Mainstreet Research - Survey of Canada

About Mainstreet

Founded in 2010, Mainstreet Research is recognized as one of Canada’s top public opinion
and market research firms. Since our founding, we have been providing actionable and data-
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Our diverse team has decades of experience in conducting both quantitative and qualitative
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search.

Methodology

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from September 21st-
24th, 2020 among a sample of 1307 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada.
The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (Smart IVR). Respondents
were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the
voting population in Canada.
The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.7% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are
higher in each subsample.

1
Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.

Two years ago, the Trudeau Liberals brought in a law called the Green-
house Gas Pollution Pricing Act. This law requires every province to
have a form of “Carbon tax” or “carbon pricing” system. Do you ap-
prove or disapprove of the federal Liberal carbon-pricing law?

4%

28 % 38 %

All Voters

10 %

20 %

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove

Response
Strongly Disapprove Not Sure

broken out by age, gender, and region

Gender Age Region

Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic
Strongly Approve 37.9% 36.7% 39% 42.9% 36.3% 33% 39.7% 37.9% 18.9% 29.3% 36.3% 53.5% 33.1%
Somewhat Approve 20.1% 16.5% 23.6% 15.4% 21.7% 24.1% 19.1% 20.7% 11.4% 16.2% 19.9% 25.8% 18.4%
Somewhat Disapprove 10.1% 10.1% 10.2% 6.4% 10.3% 10.8% 14.2% 10.9% 10.3% 10.2% 11.3% 7.3% 11.5%
Strongly Disapprove 27.9% 35.2% 20.8% 30.6% 28.8% 27.3% 23.9% 24.4% 56.8% 41.8% 28.4% 9.5% 34.3%
Not Sure 4% 1.5% 6.4% 4.8% 2.9% 4.9% 3.1% 6.2% 2.6% 2.5% 4.1% 4% 2.8%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 799 508 239 374 419 275 164 157 80 489 330 87
Weighted Frequency 1307 647 660 363 327 360 256 178 148 85 501 305 90

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broken out by federal vote intention

Party
Total LPC CPC Bloc NDP Green PPC Other UD
Strongly Approve 37.9% 58.9% 7.2% 51.9% 63.1% 55.2% 4% 5.1% 28%
Somewhat Approve 20.1% 24% 13.8% 32.4% 14.4% 20.5% 11.1% 7.8% 30.5%
Somewhat Disapprove 10.1% 7.1% 15.3% 10.8% 7.6% 5.4% 5.6% 16.6% 9.1%
Strongly Disapprove 27.9% 7.4% 60.9% 3% 10.9% 1.4% 79.2% 58.2% 23.8%
Not Sure 4% 2.5% 2.8% 1.9% 3.9% 17.5% 0% 12.4% 8.5%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 444 433 62 143 43 26 18 138
Weighted Frequency 1307 439 404 56 176 45 27 16 145

3
Under the Liberals’ Carbon-pricing law, the federal government can im-
pose a federal carbon tax on a province should their government refuse
to have their own carbon pricing system. Do you approve or disap-
prove of the federal government forcing a mandatory carbon tax on the
provinces?

3%

32 % 38 %

All Voters

10 %
16 %

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Somewhat Disapprove

Response
Strongly Disapprove Not Sure

broken out by age, gender, and region

Gender Age Region

Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic
Strongly Approve 37.8% 37.2% 38.5% 41.4% 35.8% 34.3% 40.4% 41% 19.5% 29.9% 38.8% 46.9% 33.3%
Somewhat Approve 16.4% 13.1% 19.7% 14.4% 18.6% 18.5% 13.6% 21.2% 10% 15.4% 14.6% 20.5% 14.7%
Somewhat Disapprove 10.3% 9.5% 11.2% 9.3% 11% 8.1% 14% 6.8% 6.8% 3.9% 11.3% 13.9% 11.5%
Strongly Disapprove 32.5% 38.9% 26.2% 32.5% 32.8% 35.7% 27.7% 27.7% 61.1% 48.2% 31.4% 16.4% 40.5%
Not Sure 2.9% 1.3% 4.5% 2.5% 1.7% 3.5% 4.3% 3.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.9% 2.2% 0%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 799 508 239 374 419 275 164 157 80 489 330 87
Weighted Frequency 1307 647 660 363 327 360 256 178 148 85 501 305 90

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broken out by federal vote intention

Party
Total LPC CPC Bloc NDP Green PPC Other UD
Strongly Approve 37.8% 59.1% 8.4% 40.5% 61.8% 58.6% 4% 8.1% 28.5%
Somewhat Approve 16.4% 20.6% 10.2% 20.5% 14.6% 16.5% 6.9% 12.9% 23.9%
Somewhat Disapprove 10.3% 8.9% 11.2% 21.3% 8.3% 2.8% 9.6% 9% 13.2%
Strongly Disapprove 32.5% 9.2% 68.8% 15.3% 12.2% 6.7% 79.4% 70% 28.4%
Not Sure 2.9% 2.2% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 15.4% 0% 0% 6%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 444 433 62 143 43 26 18 138
Weighted Frequency 1307 439 404 56 176 45 27 16 145

5
Does the federal Liberal commitment to have mandatory carbon-pricing
in every province make you more likely or less likely to vote Liberal in
the next federal election?

22 % 23 %

All Voters
12 %
16 %

27 %

Much More Likely To Vote Liberal Somewhat More Likely To Vote Liberal No Difference
Response
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Liberal Much Less Likely To Vote Liberal

broken out by age, gender, and region

Gender Age Region

Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic
Much More Likely To Vote Liberal 23.4% 21.5% 25.3% 24.9% 19.1% 23% 27.4% 24.1% 12.4% 20.1% 27.1% 22.5% 25.8%
Somewhat More Likely To Vote Liberal 16.4% 14.6% 18.2% 16% 16.4% 19% 13.3% 16.2% 8.8% 17% 15.8% 22.1% 13%
No Difference 26.6% 23.9% 29.3% 25.4% 31% 23.5% 27.1% 30.2% 14.2% 18.4% 23.6% 38.1% 25.6%
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Liberal 12% 13.3% 10.8% 14.1% 12.9% 11.4% 9% 10.6% 19.3% 11.1% 14% 7.7% 7.8%
Much Less Likely To Vote Liberal 21.5% 26.7% 16.4% 19.5% 20.6% 23.1% 23.3% 18.9% 45.3% 33.3% 19.5% 9.6% 27.8%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 799 508 239 374 419 275 164 157 80 489 330 87
Weighted Frequency 1307 647 660 363 327 360 256 178 148 85 501 305 90

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broken out by federal vote intention

Party
Total LPC CPC Bloc NDP Green PPC Other UD
Much More Likely To Vote Liberal 23.4% 47.5% 2.7% 6.5% 30% 21.9% 4% 12.2% 12.1%
Somewhat More Likely To Vote Liberal 16.4% 24.6% 4.7% 23.2% 21.5% 18.9% 0% 0% 19.2%
No Difference 26.6% 22.2% 20.8% 45.2% 34.4% 40.4% 6.9% 22.7% 39.3%
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Liberal 12% 3.2% 21.9% 13.3% 8.7% 0% 27.6% 21% 15%
Much Less Likely To Vote Liberal 21.5% 2.5% 49.8% 11.8% 5.5% 18.8% 61.5% 44.1% 14.3%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 444 433 62 143 43 26 18 138
Weighted Frequency 1307 439 404 56 176 45 27 16 145

7
The new Conservative Party leader, Erin O’Toole, has promised that, if
elected, he will not force a carbon tax on any province that does not
want one. Does this Conservative promise make you more likely or less
likely to vote Conservative in the next election?

28 % 26 %

All Voters

11 % 13 %

23 %

Much More Likely To Vote Conservative Somewhat More Likely To Vote Conservative No Difference
Response
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Conservative Much Less Likely To Vote Conservative

broken out by age, gender, and region

Gender Age Region

Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic
Much More Likely To Vote Conservative 26.5% 32.2% 20.8% 25.5% 27.2% 28.8% 23.6% 21.5% 54.6% 32.8% 26.3% 13.2% 29.8%
Somewhat More Likely To Vote Conservative 12.6% 11.9% 13.2% 12.4% 12.3% 13.4% 12.1% 13% 13.5% 14.2% 13.9% 8.7% 14.7%
No Difference 22.8% 19.4% 26.1% 20% 23.5% 22.7% 25.7% 21.1% 14.3% 15.3% 20.9% 32.6% 23.7%
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Conservative 10.6% 11.4% 9.9% 11.4% 11.9% 9.4% 9.5% 12.2% 2.5% 8.1% 11.9% 12.7% 8.6%
Much Less Likely To Vote Conservative 27.6% 25.1% 30% 30.7% 25.1% 25.6% 29.1% 32.1% 15.1% 29.5% 27% 32.8% 23.2%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 799 508 239 374 419 275 164 157 80 489 330 87
Weighted Frequency 1307 647 660 363 327 360 256 178 148 85 501 305 90

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broken out by federal vote intention

Party
Total LPC CPC Bloc NDP Green PPC Other UD
Much More Likely To Vote Conservative 26.5% 5.7% 67.5% 8.5% 4.6% 4.2% 49% 20.6% 11.7%
Somewhat More Likely To Vote Conservative 12.6% 11.4% 13.8% 1.2% 8.6% 10% 27.2% 15.1% 20%
No Difference 22.8% 24.8% 12.4% 40.6% 22% 22.7% 21.1% 34.9% 38.3%
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Conservative 10.6% 17.5% 4.5% 13.6% 10.5% 4.6% 2.7% 12.4% 8.8%
Much Less Likely To Vote Conservative 27.6% 40.6% 1.7% 36.2% 54.4% 58.5% 0% 17% 21.2%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 444 433 62 143 43 26 18 138
Weighted Frequency 1307 439 404 56 176 45 27 16 145

9
If the new Conservative Party leader, Erin O’Toole, changed his mind
on the carbon tax issue and, in the next election, promised to keep the
Trudeau carbon tax the way it is right now, would this new pro carbon
tax promise make you more or less likely to vote Conservative in the
next election?

9%
17 %

16 %

13 %
All Voters

45 %

Much More Likely To Vote Conservative Somewhat More Likely To Vote Conservative No Difference
Response
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Conservative Much Less Likely To Vote Conservative

broken out by age, gender, and region

Gender Age Region

Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic
Much More Likely To Vote Conservative 9.1% 12% 6.2% 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 7.2% 9.2% 8.8% 8.1% 9.3% 10.2% 4.9%
Somewhat More Likely To Vote Conservative 16.5% 18.6% 14.4% 19.7% 14.5% 16.2% 14.8% 14.3% 16.2% 21.9% 18% 14% 16.3%
No Difference 44.9% 37% 52.6% 45.2% 44.4% 44.3% 45.7% 45.5% 41.4% 35.6% 43.6% 50.9% 44.4%
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Conservative 13.1% 13.6% 12.5% 11.4% 17% 12% 11.9% 14.6% 18% 16.9% 12.8% 9.2% 12.5%
Much Less Likely To Vote Conservative 16.5% 18.8% 14.3% 14.8% 14.5% 17.4% 20.5% 16.3% 15.7% 17.5% 16.2% 15.7% 21.9%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 799 508 239 374 419 275 164 157 80 489 330 87
Weighted Frequency 1307 647 660 363 327 360 256 178 148 85 501 305 90

10
broken out by federal vote intention

Party
Total LPC CPC Bloc NDP Green PPC Other UD
Much More Likely To Vote Conservative 9.1% 7.3% 16.3% 3.4% 5.4% 5.6% 5.6% 5.1% 3.2%
Somewhat More Likely To Vote Conservative 16.5% 17.2% 16.9% 17.6% 15.9% 9.4% 0% 20.3% 18.1%
No Difference 44.9% 48.5% 37.3% 47.7% 56.9% 40.9% 20.5% 21.8% 47.5%
Somewhat Less Likely To Vote Conservative 13.1% 9.4% 18.9% 14.6% 7% 5.9% 25.8% 17.4% 14.2%
Much Less Likely To Vote Conservative 16.5% 17.6% 10.6% 16.7% 14.9% 38.1% 48.1% 35.3% 17%
Unweighted Frequency 1307 444 433 62 143 43 26 18 138
Weighted Frequency 1307 439 404 56 176 45 27 16 145

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