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Climate Change
Climate Change
Climate Change
INTRODUCTION
Climate change, also called global warming, refers to the rise in average surface
temperatures on Earth. An overwhelming scientific consensus maintains that
climate change is due primarily to the human use of fossil fuels, which releases
carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the air. The gases trap heat within
the atmosphere, which can have a range of effects on ecosystems, including rising
sea levels, severe weather events, and droughts that render landscapes more
susceptible to wildfires.
Scientists have warned that the world's climate has been changed a lot and it has
affected many living and non-living things. Many places that were warmer are
now getting colder, and many colder regions are getting much more colder or
even warmer this is known as Global Warming.
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Geographical Background of
o Bangladesh
The physical, social and economic conditions of Bangladesh are relevant to its
status as one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change.
Bangladesh is one of the largest deltas in the world, formed by a dense network of
the distributaries of the rivers Ganges, Brahmaputra, and the Meghna, and more
than 230 major rivers and their tributaries and distributaries. The total land area is
147, 5700 sq km and consists mostly of low, flat land (see
( map 1). 80 per cent of
the land is floodplain, and only in the extreme northwest do elevations exceed 30
metres above mean sea level. Between 30-70
30 70 per cent of the country is normally
flooded each year. Thee extent of flooding is exacerbated by the sediment loads
brought by the three major Himalayan rivers, coupled with a negligible flow
gradient, which increases congestion.
The impacts of global warming and climate change are worldwide. For
Bangladesh they are most critical as large part of the population is chronically
exposed and vulnerable to a range of natural hazards. However, the following
explains the relationship between Bangladesh and Climate Change:
Bangladesh is one of the most vulnerable countries in the world to cyclone and
flood.
In last 35 years, the government of Bangladesh has invested more than US$ 10
billion for making the country less vulnerable to natural disasters like flood,
cyclone, draught etc.
Sea level rise is also causing a higher level of salinity intrusion with tide
through the rivers and estuaries. Another natural disaster intensified by climate
change is “River Erosion”
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In Bangladesh, each year, thousands of acres of land near the major rivers are
submerged due to river erosion. Following table 1 shows the most vulnerable
countries to climate change including Bangladesh:
Flood Impacts
1984 Inundated 52,520 sq-km, affected people 100,000, cost estimated at US$378
million.
1987 Inundated over 50,000 sq-km, estimated damage US$ 1.0 billion, 2055 deaths.
1988 Inundated 61% of country, estimated damage US$ 1.2 billion, more than 45
million homeless, between 2,000-6,500 deaths.
1998 1,100 deaths, inundated nearly 100,000 sq-km, rendered 30 million people
homeless, damaged 500,000 homes, heavy loss to infrastructure, estimated
damage US$ 2.8 billion.
2004 Inundation 38%, damage US$ 6.6 billion, deaths 700, affected people nearly 3.8
million.
2007 Inundated 32000 sq-km, over 85,000 houses destroyed and 1 million damaged,
1.2 million acres of crops destroyed, damage over $1 billion, 649 deaths.
Source: National Plan for Disaster Management 2010-2015, Bangladesh Government and Bangladesh Climate
Change Strategy and Action Plan 2009.
However, Two thirds of the country is less than 5 meters above sea level. These
areas are susceptible to river, rain water and tidal flooding during storm.
Following Map 2 shows the area vulnerable to flooding in Bangladesh: Source: Centre for Environmental and Geographic
Information Services( CEGIS), Bangladesh 2009.
Cyclone Impacts
2007 (SIDR) 3363 deaths , affected 8.7 million people, displaced 650,000 people.
190 deaths, affected 4.82 million people.
2009 (AILA)
2009 (BIJLI) Displaced 200,000.
Source: Bangladesh Meteorological Department 2007 and Bangladesh Government and Bangladesh Climate
Change Strategy and Action Plan 2009.
Strom surges are higher in Bangladesh than in neighbouring countries because the
Bay of Bengal narrows towards north. In recent years general cyclonic activity
has become more frequent in the Bay of Bengal. Following Map 3 shows Tracks
of Cyclones over last 50 Years in Bangladesh:
Events Impacts
Heavy rainfall 333mm in July 2009 (record in last 60 years) and landslide killed 124 people.
Extreme Lowest temperature recorded 3 degree in 2013 and highest 42.8 degree in
temperature 2009. caused displacement.
Drought 21% less rain in northern districts in the same year. Drought observed even in
coastal zone. caused displacement.
Sea-level rise 1 meter sea level rise may submerge 17.5% of total land. May displace 40
million people. (IPCC, Second Assessment Report 1995). In 1995 Bhola
island was undergone water and displaced 500,000. Lohachara island (in
Ganges delta) was submerged in 2006.
Source: National Plan for Disaster Management 2010-2015, Bangladesh Government. Earth Policy Institute
Report 2010. Various governments reports and peer reviewed literatures on Bangladesh.
We have seen that the scientific data shows that the world's climate and weather
patterns are changing, and that this spells disaster for many people in the world,
and will impact all of us. To do something about it, we need to know the causes
of climate change.
Natural causes
Volcanic eruptions
Ocean currents
Earth orbital changes
Solar Variations
Volcanic eruptions
A volcano is a vent in the earth's crust through which molten rock (magma), rock
fragments, gases, and ashes are ejected from the earth's interior. Volcanic
eruptions happen when lava and gas are discharged from a volcanic vent.
Volcanic eruptions often cause temporary food shortages and volcanic ash
landslides called Lahar.
For more than a century, scientists have known that Earth's ice ages are caused by
the wobbling of the planet's orbit, which changes its orientation to the sun and
affects the amount of sunlight reaching higher latitudes, particularly the polar
regions.
Solar variations
Solar variations are changes in the amount of radiant energy emitted by our Sun.
There are periodic components to these variations, the principal one being the 11
year solar cycle (or sunspot cycle), as well as fluctuations which are a periodic.
Solar activity has been measured via satellites during recent decades and through
'proxy' variables in prior times. Climate scientists are interested in understanding
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what, if any, effect variations in solar activity have on the Earth. Any such
mechanism is referred to as "solar forcing".
Ocean Currents
Rotation of earth,
Temperature variations
Salinity differences
Atmospheric pressure
Winds
Evaporation
Tides
Ocean currents flow for great distances, create the global conveyor belt which
plays a dominant role in determining the climate of many of the Earth’s regions.
More specifically, ocean currents influence the temperature of the regions through
which they travel. For example, warm currents traveling along more temperate
coasts increase the temperature of the area by warming the sea breezes that blow
over them.
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Man-made causes
Scientists are now 90% sure that the major sources of the increased gases is
human activity, which has significantly increased these gases since the industrial
revolution. The major causes are the burning of fossil fuels for energy generation
and transport,
t, and agricultural activities (e.g., land clearing, fertilizer use, flood
irrigation and stock all produce greenhouse gases.)
Dominant man-made
made causes
Greenhouse gases
Deforestation
Burning fossil fuels
Coal mining
Industrial processes
Greenhouse gases
Deforestation
Coal mining
Coal mining is the process of extracting coal from the ground. Coal is valued for
its energy content, and, since the 1880s, has been widely used to generate
electricity. Steel and cement industries use coal as a fuel for extraction of iron
from iron ore and for cement production. Coal mining can result in a number of
adverse effects on the environment. Surface mining of coal completely eliminates
existing vegetation, destroys the genetic soil profile, displaces or destroys wildlife
and habitat, degrades air quality, alters current land uses, and to some extent
permanently changes the general topography of the area mined.
Bangladesh has already experienced the adverse impacts of global warming and
climate change. The following impacts have been observed: Summers are
becoming hotter, monsoon irregular, untimely rainfall, heavy rainfall over short
period causing water logging and landslides, very little rainfall in dry period,
increased river flow and inundation during monsoon, increased frequency,
intensity and recurrence of floods, crop damage due to flash floods and monsoon
floods, crop failure due to drought, prolonged cold spell, coastal erosion,
riverbank erosion, deaths due to extreme heat and extreme cold, increasing
mortality, morbidity, prevalence and outbreak of dengue, malaria, cholera and
diarrhea, etc.
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The impacts of climate change are adding significant stress to our physical and
environmental resources, our human ability, and economic activities. IPCC in its
AR4 described with high confidence climatic anomalies and their impacts on
Bangladesh. Climate risks for Bangladesh are as follows:
Water resources
Changes in rainfall patterns
Agriculture and forestry
Increased frequency and severity of:
Floods Food security
Droughts Human health
Storms Infrastructure (e.g. transport)
Heat waves Settlements: displacement of inhabitants and
Changes in growing seasons and loss of livelihood
regions Coastal management
Changes in water quality and quantity Industry and energy
Sea level rise Disaster response & recovery plans
Glacial melt
A major concern for Bangladesh are climate change victims who are being
increased in number every day and must seek refuge due to loss of their homes,
land, settlement to river erosion, coastal erosion, and permanent inundation. It has
been reported that many of the slum dwellers in the metropolitan areas are the
victims of riverbank erosion.
The security in the context refers to both 'freedom from want' aspects of human
security (e.g. livelihood security, food security, health security, water security and
environmental security) and 'freedom from fear' aspects (e.g. personal security,
asset security, political security and tenure security)
The climate change in Bangladesh creates insecurities for food, water, life,
property, settlement, livelihood assets, livelihoods and others. Climatic impacts
reduce securities directly and indirectly. Environmental degradation, degradation
of land resources ultimately reduces food securities, health securities etc and at
the same time increases conflicts over resources and livelihood persuasions.
Following are limited elaborations of insecure domains:
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Food security: Loss of crop due to flood, storm surge, cyclone, and drought are
increasing every year. Salinity and permanent inundation are also limiting crop
production.
Water scarcity: Reduced precipitation, prolonged dry season and drought are
resulting scarcity of drinking water. Contamination of fresh water resources with
saline water are reported in the coastal aquifer.
Loss of property and life: An increasing number of people are suffering from
disease and losing their property and sometimes life. Increased cyclone, storm
surges, floods, river bank erosion destroys are damaging peoples properties
including land, house, cattle, and other livelihood assets and living essentials.
Frequent disasters increases damage and loss by many folds.
Land degradation and loss: Following the climate change, the river bank and
costal erosion are increasing at alarming rate. According to IPCC findings a 45
cm sea-level rise will inundate almost 10.9% of our territory and will displace 5.5
million population of our coastal regions. Salinity intrusion into the country side
reached 100km and degrades land resources. Land use for farming, shrimp and
other uses in the declining context generates conflicts.
Loss of livelihoods: Land loss and degradation, scarcity of water, floods, and
other hazards reduces livelihood opportunities. The rough sea limits fishing
opportunities. Health hazards, malnutrition, access to services prior, during and
after disasters reduces working days and opportunities.
Displacement: People compelled to move from their land to other places raises
conflicts for resources where they move. Most migrants end up in urban slums,
particularly in Dhaka (capital), and there is some evidence that this constant
influx of people is contributing to rising crime and insecurity in these areas.
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To reduce the future impacts of climate change, we obviously need to reduce the
amount of greenhouse gases that we put into the atmosphere, in particular, we
need to reduce the amount of carbon. The following steps can reduce the future
impacts of climate change:
Forego Fossil Fuels—The first challenge is eliminating the burning of coal, oil
and, eventually, natural gas. This is perhaps the most daunting challenge as
denizens of richer nations literally eat, wear, work, play and even sleep on the
products made from such fossilized sunshine. And citizens of developing nations
want and arguably deserve the same comforts, which are largely thanks to the
energy stored in such fuels.
By stopping cutting down trees and improving agricultural practices along with
paper recycling and forest management—balancing the amount of wood taken out
with the amount of new trees growing—could quickly eliminate this significant
chunk of emissions.
And when purchasing wood products, such as furniture or flooring, buy used
goods or, failing that, wood certified to have been sustainably harvested. The
sundarban and other forests are not just the lungs of the earth, they may also be
humanity's best short-term hope for limiting climate change.
One child
Falling birth rates in some developed and developing countries (a significant
portion of which are due to government-imposed limits on the number of children
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a couple can have) have begun to reduce or reverse the population explosion. It
remains unclear how many people the planet can comfortably sustain, but it is
clear that per capita energy consumption must go down if climate change is to be
controlled.
Ultimately, a one child per couple rule is not sustainable either and there is no
perfect number for human population. But it is clear that more humans means
more greenhouse gas emissions.
Future Fuels
Replacing fossil fuels may prove the great challenge of the 21st century. Many
contenders exist, ranging from ethanol derived from crops to hydrogen
electrolyzed out of water, but all of them have some drawbacks, too, and none are
immediately available at the scale needed.
Biofuels can have a host of negative impacts, from driving up food prices to
sucking up more energy than they produce. Hydrogen must be created, requiring
either reforming natural gas or electricity to crack water molecules. Biodiesel
hybrid electric vehicles (that can plug into the grid overnight) may offer the best
transportation solution in the short term, given the energy density of diesel and
the carbon neutral ramifications of fuel from plants as well as the emissions of
electric engines. A recent study found that the present amount of electricity
generation in the U.S. could provide enough energy for the country's entire fleet
of automobiles to switch to plug-in hybrids, reducing greenhouse gas emissions in
the process.
There are some actions we can all take, such as eat less meat, pay carbon offsets
when we travel by plane, use more energy efficient transport and use less energy
at home ( avoid air conditioner). But the most important response we can make is
to support political action to provide incentives for more efficient energy
generation, transport, industry, mining, and agriculture by being willing to pay
more for goods and services.
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Conclusion
Climate change is the big challenges for Bangladesh. In Bangladesh, many lives
and wealth have been losed by natural disaster, such as Cyclone, Floods,
Droughts, Storms, Heat waves, Heavy rainfall created by climate change. The
primary cause of climate change in Bangladesh is the burning of fossil fuels, such
as oil and coal, which emits greenhouse gases into the atmosphere—primarily
carbon dioxide. Other human activities, such as agriculture and deforestation, also
contribute to the proliferation of greenhouse gases that cause climate change.
However, we should reduce the impact of climate change by effective steps for a
comfortable life.
References
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/10-solusions-for-climate-change/
https:// en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/greenhouse-gas
https://www.cs.mcgill.ca/~rwest/link-suggesion/wpcd_2008
09_augmentd/wp/s/Solar_variation.html
https://www.ifrc.org/en/what-we-do/disaster-management/about
disasters/definition-of-hazard/volcanic-eruptions/
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=http://www.pedz.uni-
mannheim.de/daten/edz-ma/ep/08/EST19195.pdf