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Payback Period

(the estimated amount of time that will be necessary to recoup the investment in a project)

1. all potential costs of development are assesed BEFORE the decision to implement the project
2. costs are compared with all the expected sources of revenue from the project
3. a discount rate based on the firm's cost of capital is applied to this calculation

Example:

Our company wants to determine which of 2 project alternatives is the more attractive investment opportunity
by using a payback period approach. We have calculated the initial investment cost of the 2 projects and the expected
revenues they should generate for us. Which project should we invest in?

Initial data:

Project A Project B
Revenues Outlays Revenues Outlays
Year 0 0.00 € 500,000.00 € 0.00 € 500,000.00 €
Year 1 50,000.00 € 75,000.00 €
Year 2 150,000.00 € 100,000.00 €
Year 3 350,000.00 € 150,000.00 €
Year 4 600,000.00 € 150,000.00 €
Year 5 500,000.00 € 900,000.00 €

Solution:

Project A Project B
Cumulative
Year Cash Flow Cash Flow Year Cash Flow
0 -500,000.00 € -500,000.00 € 0 -500,000.00 €
1 50,000.00 € -450,000.00 € 1 75,000.00 €
2 150,000.00 € -300,000.00 € 2 100,000.00 €
3 350,000.00 € 50,000.00 € 3 150,000.00 €
4 600,000.00 € 650,000.00 € 4 150,000.00 €
5 500,000.00 € 1,150,000.00 € 5 900,000.00 €

PP 2.86 PP 4.03
Note:
To determine the payback period with the fraction of the year, I used:
No. of years before first positive cumulative cash flow + (Absolute value of last negative cumulative cash flow / Cash flow i
ent in a project)

nt the project

active investment opportunity


st of the 2 projects and the expected

oject B
Cumulative Cash
Flow
-500,000.00 €
-425,000.00 €
-325,000.00 €
-175,000.00 €
-25,000.00 €
875,000.00 €

ative cumulative cash flow / Cash flow in the year of first positive cumulative cash flow)
Net Present Value

A positive NPV indicates that the firm will make money as a result of the project.
A negative NPV shows a loss.

Example:

Should you invest $60,000 in a project that will return $15,000 per year for five years?
You have a minimum return of 11%.

Inflows/Ouflaws
Year 0 -60,000.00 €
Year 1 15,000.00 €
Year 2 15,000.00 €
Year 3 15,000.00 €
Year 4 15,000.00 €
Year 5 15,000.00 €
NPV -4109.50
The NPV is
negative, so don’t
invest!
Internal Rate of Return

Higher the IRR, better the project.

Example:

Our company wants to determine which of 2 project alternatives is the more attractive investment opportunity.
We have calculated the initial investment cost of the 2 projects and the expected
revenues they should generate for us. Which project should we invest in?

Revenues/outlays
Project A Project B
Year 0 -500,000.00 € -500,000.00 €
Year 1 50,000.00 € 75,000.00 €
Year 2 150,000.00 € 100,000.00 €
Year 3 350,000.00 € 150,000.00 €
Year 4 600,000.00 € 150,000.00 €
Year 5 500,000.00 € 900,000.00 €
IRR 39% 29%
Example:

A project that costs $40,000 will generate cash flows of $14,000 for the next four years.
You have a rate of return requirement of 17%; does this project meet the threshold?

Year 0 -40,000.00 €
Year 1 14,000.00 €
Year 2 14,000.00 €
Year 3 14,000.00 €
Year 4 14,000.00 €
IRR 15%
ment opportunity.

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