Facebooking It To The Polls A Study in Online Social Networking and Political Behavior

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Journal of Information Technology & Politics

ISSN: 1933-1681 (Print) 1933-169X (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/witp20

Facebooking It to the Polls: A Study in Online


Social Networking and Political Behavior

Leticia Bode

To cite this article: Leticia Bode (2012) Facebooking It to the Polls: A Study in Online Social
Networking and Political Behavior, Journal of Information Technology & Politics, 9:4, 352-369,
DOI: 10.1080/19331681.2012.709045

To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19331681.2012.709045

Accepted author version posted online: 09


Jul 2012.

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Journal of Information Technology & Politics, 9:352–369, 2012
Copyright © Taylor & Francis Group, LLC
ISSN: 1933-1681 print/1933-169X online
DOI: 10.1080/19331681.2012.709045

Facebooking It to the Polls: A Study in Online Social


Networking and Political Behavior
Leticia Bode
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ABSTRACT. As Internet use continues to become integrated into the daily lives of average
Americans, it becomes necessary to understand the implications of each aspect of that use. As the
majority of adults now take advantage of social network sites, understanding how they make use of
those sites and what that means for American politics is increasingly important. This study considers
one such social network site, Facebook, and how engaging in specific behaviors that provide personal-
ized information, create community engagement, and generate social capital within that realm impacted
users’ decision to participate politically in the presidential primary of 2008. It concludes that certain
Facebook behaviors can be translated into participatory political behaviors, both online and offline.
Moreover, it is not whether or how often one uses Facebook, but rather the specific set of activities one
engages in during such time that drives the relationship between Facebook use and various types of
political participation.

KEYWORDS. 2008 election, Facebook, political participation, social media, social network

“The Internet may serve a similar function students have a Facebook profile. A majority
as offline interpersonal networks but on a of users (52%) log in to the site on a daily
much larger scale.” basis, and 56% update statuses at least weekly
—Hwang, Schmierbach, Paek, Gil de (Fox, 2011). All this activity makes Facebook
Zuniga, & Shah (2006, p. 467) the second most-trafficked Web site in the world
(“Facebook.com site info,” 2012).
The membership of Facebook is skyrocket- As a result of this activity, scholars are begin-
ing in parallel with its popularity. In 2012, the ning to consider what good or evil may come
site registered an amazing 845 million users, of Facebook use. There is a growing body
a number which is growing at the astounding of research, for example, focusing on privacy
rate of 30,000 per day, in countries all over the and self-presentation on Facebook. Authors are
world (Helvie-Mason, 2011; Protalinski, 2012). beginning to delve into the impact of low-
The numbers among undergraduates are noth- ered privacy expectations online, the likelihood
ing short of overwhelming—85% of college of users to release or post private informa-

Leticia Bode is an assistant professor in the Communication, Culture, and Technology department at
Georgetown University. She received her PhD in political science from the University of Wisconsin–Madison
in 2012. Her research and teaching interests include political communication, political behavior, gender and
politics, and constitutional law, with a focus on technology and politics. Her current primary research project
examines the implications of exposure to political information available via social media.
Address correspondence to: Leticia Bode, Communication, Culture, and Technology, Georgetown
University, 3520 Prospect St., NW, Suite 311, Washington, DC 20057 (E-mail: leticiabode@gmail.com).

352
Bode 353

tion on Facebook, and the potential implica- 2009), and the relationship between some types
tions of such displays (boyd & Hargittai, 2010; of social network use and civic engagement
Dwyer, Hiltz, & Passerini, 2007; Gross & (Pasek, more, & Romer, 2009). It remains to be
Acquisti, 2005). Additionally, researchers have seen, however, how the average, everyday use
begun to look into how users present them- of Facebook affects the political behavior of its
selves in an online setting, and whether and many users.
how they may share their identities with others Due to the extreme popularity and growing
(Stutzman, 2006). everyday use of Facebook within the adult pop-
Other research, more pertinent to this study, ulation of the United States, it is paramount that
has begun to examine the Facebook network, we begin to understand how members are using
both as a social tool and as a research venue Facebook, and what effects these uses have on
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in and of itself (Lewis, Kaufman, Gonzalez, the rest of their lives, and particularly their polit-
Wimmer, & Christakis, 2008). Similar lines ical lives. Moreover, given that the majority of
of research are considering how the Facebook early Facebook adopters were newly suffraged
network may benefit its users by connecting and citizens (in that most of them were undergrad-
communicating with others (Donath & Boyd, uates and had limited experience voting and
2004; Subrahmanyam & Greenfield, 2008), or participating politically), an emphasis should be
harm them by creating a virtual echo chamber placed on discerning what effects Facebook use
(Sunstein, 2007). Perhaps most important to this may have on young people’s habits of political
study are a number of works that have demon- participation. Because Facebook is replicating
strated a positive relationship between online offline networks online, it is my belief that it
social network use and social capital (Ellison, will function similarly in its relationship to
Steinfield, & Lampe, 2007; Valenzuela, Park, & political participation as offline networks do.
Kee, 2009). By providing personal information from trusted
While some have begun to ponder potential others, creating community norms, and gen-
outcomes related to Facebook use, few have erating social capital, I believe the committed
yet considered the major political implications use of Facebook will increase the likelihood of
of such use. In fact, the major reported uses political participation among its users.
and gratifications related to Facebook—social This study takes a first look at how a spe-
connection, shared identities, content, social cific population—college undergraduates—are
investigation, social network surfing, and sta- using Facebook, and how that use translates
tus updating—are clearly apolitical (Joinson, into important offline behavior, including vari-
2008). Moreover, most studies that have sought ous measures of political participation and elec-
to examine the political side of Facebook have toral turnout. For the purposes of this study,
concentrated on a top-down approach, examin- political participation will be congruent with the
ing the use of Facebook by politicians seeking definition proposed by Verba, Schlozman, and
office, as well as the aggregate potential of Brady (1995): “activity that has the intent or
their Facebook content to serve as an indica- effect of influencing government action—either
tor for electoral enthusiasm (Williams & Gulati, directly by affecting the making or implementa-
2008a, 2008b). Recent work has determined that tion of public policy or indirectly by influencing
Facebook use that is explicitly political (sup- the selection of people who make those poli-
porting a candidate, creating a political event, cies” (p. 40). I propose that Facebook and other
etc.) predicts political behaviors and political social networking sites function much in the
engagement among young people, but that kind same way as traditional, face-to-face social net-
of behavior is limited to a small sector of the works do, in that they tend to facilitate the
population (Bode, Vraga, Borah, & Shah, forth- transfer of information and norms, promote inti-
coming). We also have begun to learn how macy and trust, and generate social capital,
people create their online networks with respect thus resulting in positive effects on political
to their political ideologies (Gaines & Mondak, participation.
354 JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & POLITICS

UNDERSTANDING THE ROLE OF important to understand the effects of new and


FACEBOOK different settings, including virtual social net-
works, on political participation and behavior.
Traditional Social Networks Interpersonal networks were first conceptu-
alized as a geographic or spatial phenomenon,
To understand social networking sites as vir- but research on this idea of spatial constraint
tual social networks, it is first necessary to has been mixed. Originally, it was determined
understand how membership and participation that neighborhood networks did, in fact, influ-
in face-to-face social networks influences other ence political attitudes (Weatherford, 1982).
behaviors. The importance of social networks However, later research concluded “. . . the
has long been emphasized as a major factor in neighborhood appears to be of minor importance
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predicting political participation. It is somewhat as a political environment, [whereas] social rela-


intuitive that the people with whom we sur- tions among particular neighbors result in an
round ourselves have an impact on how we feel interpersonal context that has an impact on
about things and whether or not we are moved political behavior” (Eulau & Rothenberg, 1986,
to act on those feelings. Various studies over p. 152). Thus it is the human interaction itself,
the years have attempted to measure and under- not the propinquity of those interactions, that
stand exactly how that impact is realized. The seems to affect political behavior.
general concept, elaborated by Scott McClurg If geography plays no role in social network
(2003), is that social interaction produces con- effects, then what does? While answers to this
versation, which in turn facilitates the exchange question are surely inchoate, I will focus briefly
of information. This exchange of information on two that are of particular importance to this
has the potential to affect political preferences as study. First, the level of intimacy shared by
well as one’s tendency to participate politically those in the network affects the degree of influ-
(McClurg, 2003; see also Kenny, 1992). ence exerted. As one study explains, “Intimacy
As early as 1954, Berelson, Lazarsfeld, and becomes a precondition for influence. In other
McPhee took note of the fact that, “People words, I am more likely to trust your opinion
mostly discuss politics with other people like and the information it conveys if I hold you
themselves—‘like’ in such characters as social in high personal esteem, both as a friend and
position, age, occupation, and attitude” (p. 102). as a knowledgeable informant” (Huckfeldt et
This tendency to associate with similar others al., 1995, p. 1027; see also Huckfeldt, 2001).
has been emphasized throughout the scholarship This concept of “intimacy” is also captured by
on interpersonal networks (see, for instance, Klofstad (2005), who emphasizes the influence
Mutz & Martin, 2001). However, two points of peers on “individual civic behavior” (p. 49).
run counter to this tendency towards homophily. Finally it is important to recognize certain dif-
First, simply interacting with others “exposes ferences when social networks are formalized
people to a different set of politically-relevant in some sort of institutional setting. First, it is
information and stimuli than they possess indi- not the mere association with a formal social
vidually” (McClurg, 2003, p. 450; see also network that seems to affect political participa-
Mutz, 2002a, 2002b). Additionally, “The avail- tion, but rather certain skills that are gained by
ability of alternative information sources and affiliation with that network. “What matters for
particular political biases is variable across envi- participation is what happens in the institution—
ronments, and hence the same informational the acquisition of civic skills” (Verba et al.,
preferences produce different consequences in 1995, p. 340). These civic skills include job
different settings” (Huckfeldt, Beck, Dalton, & skills, church skills, and (most important to this
Levine, 1995, p. 1049). Moreover, that variabil- study as they are the most likely to be generated
ity in availability and bias has been shown to in formal online social networks) organization
exert both direct and indirect effects on polit- skills. Organization skills have a consistent and
ical participation (Scheufele, Hardy, Brossard, positive effect on political participation, even
Wiasmel-Manor, & Nisbet, 2006). Thus it is after controlling for major predictors such as
Bode 355

political interest and attention (Verba et al., is not necessarily a positive development for
1995). Additionally, the ability of nonpoliti- democracy, as it may be generated by or lead
cal activities to predict political participation to the development of anti-democratic organi-
depends on the degree of voluntarism of the zations and networks (Putnam, 1993; Putzel,
nonpolitical activities. For instance, “Evidence 1997).
demonstrates that those civic skills performed in Recently the possibility of online generation
more voluntary NPOs [nonprofit organizations] of social capital has been proposed and tested,
exert a much greater effect on a person’s level in a variety of manners and settings. Shah,
of political participation than do those skills per- Kwak, and Holbert (2001) found that overall
formed in the less voluntary setting of the work- Internet use is a positive, though weak, pre-
place” (Ayala, 2000, p. 109). Thus voluntary dictor of civic engagement. More specifically,
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participation in formal social networks—much information exchange has a strong, consistent,


like that in online social network sites such as and positive effect on civic engagement (Shah
Facebook—is necessary to generate effects on et al., 2001). A different conception of social
various political behaviors. capital developed specifically in relation to the
Internet, “alloy social capital,” is generated by a
Social Capital combination of communication online and face-
to-face interactions, and may be stronger than
Social capital, described as “features of social
social capital created by either context alone
life—networks, norms, and trust—that enable
(Sander, 2005). This suggests that Calhoun was
participants to act together more effectively to
right when he suggested that, above all, the
pursue shared objectives,” is positively corre- Web facilitates “the maintenance of dispersed
lated with the formation of interpersonal net-
face-to-face networks” (Calhoun, 1998, p. 383).
works, as well as with civic engagement and
Moreover, scholars now believe that social
political participation (Putnam, 1995, pp. 664– network sites like Facebook do successfully
665). It is thought that “ . . . informal interac-
generate social capital. Ellison et al. (2007) con-
tion also contributed importantly to social cap-
ducted extensive survey research and concluded
ital formation by fostering negotiating skill, the
that Facebook helps create bonding and bridg-
sharing of opinions, and companionship, and by
ing social capital, as well as a new form of
creating networks of mutual obligation” (Green
social capital, which they deem “high school
& Brock, 2005, p. 1).
social capital”—a very loose connection with
Indeed, as La Due Lake and Huckfeldt (1998) acquaintances of the past that helps to keep
point out,
old networks intact and build a weaker form of
social capital (Ellison et al., 2007). Valenzuela et
Politically relevant social capital (that al. (2009) similarly found that Facebook use pre-
is, social capital that facilitates political dicted certain indicators of social capital. These
engagement) is generated in personal net- important contributions further bolster the like-
works ... it is a by-product of the social lihood of finding a link between certain types
interactions with a citizen’s discussants, of Facebook use and various forms of political
and ... increasing levels of politically rel- participation. This study builds on this work in
evant social capital enhance the likelihood two main ways. First, it offers a more complete
that a citizen will be engaged in politics. model, in which potentially confounding vari-
(p. 567) ables are controlled. It is possible, for instance,
that those who use or engage on Facebook are
Again it is important to emphasize that the simply more social to start with, or already
generation of social capital is an “unintended better connected to their community. By con-
consequence” of normal interactions in interper- trolling for these potential confounds, we gain
sonal networks—networks that may be formal a clearer picture of what behavior is due to
or informal (Kwak, Shah, & Holbert, 2004, pp. actual Facebook use rather than other behav-
648–649). Moreover, social capital generation iors or attributes related to that use. Second, and
356 JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & POLITICS

more importantly, it takes the current literature their ordinary lives call for particular study”
that confirms social capital generation on social (Norton, 2004, p. 11). As Internet access and use
networking sites and extends it to see whether skyrocket, they become inserted into our ordi-
that use further predicts political behaviors we nary lives as well: “Habits appear to be taking
have traditionally associated with the existence hold on the Internet as well, making the Web less
of social capital (Brehm & Rahn, 1997; La Due of a novel exploratory activity and more of a rou-
Lake & Huckfeldt, 1998). Whereas Ellison et tine instrumental activity” (Muhlberger, 2005a,
al. (2007) and Valenzuela et al. (2009) verify p. 167; see also Anderson & Tracey, 2001).
that Facebook use generates social capital, this Equally important, many studies have shown
study asks whether that mechanism (and oth- the possibility for certain online activities to
ers) further result in increasing the likelihood of result in positive effects on political behav-
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political participation. ior. These investigations are quite varied and


span the spectrum of various online behaviors
Possibilities for Online Social Networks and offline effects, but generally have yet to
and Facebook include social networking sites in their field
of study. First, various types of online com-
While it is clear that both face-to-face inter- munication have been shown to fulfill many
personal networks and online social networks needs and have positive effects on civic par-
such as Facebook can generate social capital, it ticipation. For instance, online information-
remains to be seen whether or not online social seeking “works through” both interpersonal
network sites, and Facebook specifically, have political discussion and interactive civic mes-
the potential to transform that social capital into saging to increase civic participation (Shah,
positive political outcomes. There are several Cho, Eveland, & Kwak, 2005). Additionally,
reasons, however, to believe that membership Flanigan and Metzger (2001) demonstrated that
in and use of Facebook have the possibility to mediated interpersonal communication fulfills
promote political participation of various forms. significantly more needs than do the mass
First, while many would dismiss Facebook media. Mediated online communication in a
as a useless way for college students to pass network of one’s choosing, as is the case for
the time, it is important to remember that many Facebook, should therefore fulfill similar needs,
areas of life that are not explicitly political may produce engagement within that space, and spur
have significant and potentially strong effects on political participation.
political behavior. Peter Dahlgren (2005) refers Another realm of the Internet that has demon-
to these areas as the “prepolitical or parapoliti- strated the potential to create benefits for users is
cal domain,” where “politics is not explicit but the so-called blogosphere. Blogs have the ability
always remains a potential” (p. 153). Verba et to create positive net benefits for their visitors
al. (1995) are actively aware of this domain, in two main ways. First, blogs seem to create
imploring scholars to be ever mindful of the a sense of community among their users—they
“embeddedness of political activity in the non- “ . . . seem to allow us to get, in effect, closer
political institutions of civil society” (p. 40). to others who inhabit the same ‘cultural unit,’
This embeddedness is clear in certain areas of occupy the same interpretive/speech commu-
scholarship as well, including Matthew Baum’s nity, or have similar affiliations and affections as
work on the political effects of television’s “soft ourselves” (MacDougall, 2005, p. 595). Clearly
news” (Baum, 2003; Baum & Jamison, 2006). Facebook, which connects people who are in
Even when people are not actively seeking pol- the same “cultural unit,” also has the poten-
itics or political information, they can easily be tial to build such a community. Additionally,
influenced by it. blogs have the capacity to “bring the issue
Moreover, political scientists have also sug- home” (Rogers, 2005). That is, they can make
gested that “ . . . if politics is understood as con- a broad public issue important and relevant to
cerning the people, then those everyday prac- the average citizen by clarifying exactly how
tices through which and in which people live it relates to one’s daily life. Again, Facebook
Bode 357

has the potential to do this as well, as friends information on the Internet (Caputo & Trichter,
and classmates may discuss issues as they per- 2005, p. 4–5). Facebook also has structures
tain to the personal and the everyday. Greater that allow users to share political and election-
personalization of information may spur partici- related information, again lowering the cost of
pation at the margins. obtaining such material.
Facebook also might be able to lower the The potential of Facebook to have positive
costs of online information in a specific way. effects on political participation is not a given,
Although the Internet itself lowers the cost of however, and this literature review would be
finding information in general, “ . . . as the incomplete without making note of certain pos-
amount of information, particularly faulty infor- sible limitations on its ability to have such
mation, proliferates on the Internet, the attention effects. Most importantly, “ . . . having access
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costs of identifying useful and trustworthy infor- to the wealth of political information and com-
mation grow, as does the expertise needed to munication available through the Internet is not
evaluate it” (Muhlberger, 2005a, p. 167).1 by itself connected with participation” (Bimber,
Social network sites, and Facebook specifi- 2001, p. 61). The simple act of lowering the cost
cally, allow for a natural filter for information. of information is not responsible for increas-
Remembering that intimacy promotes trust, and ing political participation. Information must be
trust is needed for one to believe that informa- coupled with interest to result in positive par-
tion is reliable, Facebook combines these two ticipation effects. Additionally, online talk has
elements (intimacy/trust and information) to not been shown to result in opinion change
effectively reduce the cost of obtaining valuable (Muhlberger, 2005b). However, since the scope
and trustworthy information online (Huckfeldt of this study is limited to measures of partici-
et al., 1995). Moreover, the “Newsfeed” func- pation, rather than opinion, this does not pose a
tion of Facebook provides constant updates of direct problem for this particular work.
one’s friends’ activities, which further reduces By examining to what extent and under what
the cost of information. Having said that, some circumstances the use of Facebook can spur
research indicates that information flow is con- political participation, this study contributes a
strained in online environments by pre-existing new and important piece to the question of why
social networks and boundaries, suggesting that people participate in the electoral process and in
information may not be as readily shared in politics in general. More specifically, it updates
these venues as we might have expected (Cho the literature on social networks to include
& Lee, 2008). However, greater access to infor- newer manifestations of networks facilitated by
mation potentially lowers the cost of political innovation in communication technology.
participation, thus making it a more likely action
(Riker & Ordeshook, 1968).
Finally, there are clear positive correlations RESEARCH QUESTIONS AND
between various online activities and voting HYPOTHESES
behavior. Klotz (2005) has concluded that the
“Web sphere” in general has a tendency to pro- The specific purpose of this study is to deter-
mote voter mobilization. Tolbert and McNeal mine whether and how certain behaviors on
(2003) find the effect of mere access to the Facebook predict various measures of political
Internet to be quite substantial on voting turnout: participation, including voting, online political
“Internet access increased the probability of vot- participation, and offline political participation.
ing by [about] 7% in the 1996 presidential elec- In order to examine this research question
tion and the 1998 midterm election and 12.5% in in more depth, it is useful to first generate
the 2000 presidential election” (p. 183). Seeking some testable hypotheses. Broadly, I expect that
information online also seems to correlate pos- behavior on Facebook that represents engage-
itively with turning out to the polls, especially ment with a community will increase the
for new voters. In 2004, 44% of new voters likelihood of all types of political participa-
reported finding political and election-related tion. Engagement in a social network increases
358 JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & POLITICS

the likelihood of transmission of information distributed to several hundred undergraduates in


and norms from trusted and intimate others, political science classes at a large Midwestern
and facilitates the generation of social capital, research university during the spring of 2008.2
known to be associated with political participa- This undergraduate population was specifically
tion. Thus if users are intensely engaging with chosen, as Facebook has reached near satura-
their Facebook communities, we would expect tion in the college population [89% of students
use to resemble offline social networks and spur enrolled at a four-year university in 2008 were
political participation. Facebook users (Harvard University Institute of
Specifically, this has several testable impli- Politics, 2012)]. Because of this, the impor-
cations. The behaviors most likely to encour- tant thing becomes not whether a respondent
age political participation include intensity of is using Facebook, but rather how he or she
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Facebook use, which is a measure reflect- is doing so. This population therefore allows
ing to what extent a user is engaging with for the testing of various relationships between
the Facebook community. Because engagement specific Facebook behaviors and political out-
should increase social capital and information comes. Moreover, while this cohort is not rep-
flows (Muhlberger, 2005a; Shah et al., 2001), resentative of the entire U.S. population, it is
I hypothesize that as this measure increases, likely to represent future directions of social
political behaviors will also increase (H1). media use by the broader population, and is thus
Beyond mere engagement with the Facebook particularly advantageous to consider.
community, one might imagine that the degree Respondents were e-mailed by their respec-
to which one feels close to that community tive professors and invited to participate in a
might also encourage the creation of social cap- survey having to do with online social network-
ital and facilitate the transmission of trusted ing practices. Most students were offered a small
information and participatory norms, thus con- amount of extra credit in return for their partic-
tributing to increased political outcomes, includ- ipation in the online survey. Participation was
ing voting, online, and offline political behavior completely voluntary, and one e-mail reminder
(H2). This is supported by works in the lit- was sent to the students prior to the end of
erature that suggest that networks build trust the survey period. These e-mail prompts yielded
conducive to the transmission and acceptance of 542 separate responses.3 The sample was 90%
information and norms (Huckfeldt et al., 1995; white, 58% female, 27% Republican, and had
Klofstadt, 2005). an average age of about 20 years.
A final measure of interest is one that asks The survey consisted of 133 questions, rang-
respondents what their primary motivation for ing in scope from behaviors online, to behaviors
using Facebook might be. Answers include on Facebook, to general inclinations offline,
meeting new friends, keeping in touch with peo- as well as basic controls and demographics.
ple I otherwise wouldn’t, interacting with my Respondents reported that the survey took about
current friends, playing games, gathering infor- 20 minutes to complete. Attrition was not at
mation, and finding out about what’s going on all an issue (not a single respondent failed to
in my community. I expect that the motivations complete the survey).
of keeping in touch with people and interact-
ing with current friends would be most likely
to result in social capital creation, thus increas- Variables of Interest
ing the likelihood of the same political outcomes
listed above (H3). Before beginning the data analysis, a more
thorough description of the variables in play is
useful. Of greatest importance are those vari-
METHODS AND DATA ables of substantive interest to this study—those
having to do with Facebook behaviors hypothe-
In order to begin to assess the nature of the sized to be involved in spurring political partici-
many relationships just discussed, a survey was pation.
Bode 359

In order to measure intensity of Facebook TABLE 1. Descriptive Statistics


use, four separate variables were combined into
a scale. Measures reflecting how often a respon- Standard
dent checks his or her Facebook page, how Reliability Mean deviation

often he or she updates it, how many peo- Facebook intensity 0.495 3.52 1.12
ple the respondent has “friended” on Facebook, Facebook closeness 0.534 24.98 19.75
and how many groups he or she is a part of Time on Facebook 44.30 38.69
Motivation—new friends 0.01 0.09
were each divided into six categories reflect- Motivation—keep in touch 0.51 0.50
ing frequency or number. These measures reflect Motivation—interact 0.42 0.49
a respondent’s general Facebook use—greater Motivation—play games 0.01 0.08
scores on each suggest greater connection to Motivation—information 0.01 0.12
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Motivation—community 0.04 0.20


one’s Facebook community and greater devo- Political Facebook 1.97 0.94
tion to engaging in that community. These mea- Political interest 0.903 3.10 1.08
sures were then averaged to produce a scale of Political knowledge 0.75 0.24
Facebook use intensity (referred to as Facebook Political talk 0.740 3.44 0.90
News use 0.701 2.59 0.79
Intensity hereafter). This scale ranges from 0 Community ties 0.837 3.81 0.92
to 6, with a mean of 3.52 (S.D. = 1.12, Sociability 0.886 2.55 0.70
Chronbach’s α = 0.495). PID 4.77 2.26
The second set of hypotheses dealt with Gender 0.58 0.49
Online participation 0.765 1.60 0.55
a respondent’s feeling of closeness to his or Offline participation 0.722 1.68 0.52
her Facebook community. In order to opera- Voting 0.75 0.44
tionalize this concept, three measures asking
what proportion of Facebook friends a respon-
dent considers friends, very close friends, and Controls
family were combined and averaged (referred
to as Facebook Closeness; mean = 24.98, Having now established the operationalized
S.D. = 19.75, Chronbach’s α = 0.534). concepts of interest, a few control variables are
While this is not a perfect measure of close- necessary in order to rule out certain spurious
ness, it reflects whether respondents tend to relationships.
have a very intimate Facebook community, or First, it is conceivable that each of the above
tend to use it more as a tool for network- measures might be higher as a result of peo-
ing with acquaintances or even strangers. We ple spending more overall time on Facebook.
would expect that greater feelings of close- Perhaps it is not how you use Facebook at all,
ness would contribute to the generation of trust but rather whether you spend 10 minutes or two
and social capital, resulting in more political hours on the site each day. In order to control for
participation.4 this possibility, a variable, Time on Facebook,
Finally there is the primary motivation was included, which is a simple measure of
for using Facebook, from which respondents reported time spent on the Facebook Web site
could choose one of the following: Meet new in any day (reported in minutes, mean = 44.30,
friends, keep in touch with people I otherwise S.D. = 38.69).
wouldn’t, interact with my current friends, play Additionally, several variables measuring
games, gather information, or find out about respondents’ political inclinations in general
what’s going on in my community. Each of must be included, in order to ensure that the
these was coded as a dichotomous variable— relationships we are capturing are not just man-
either it was the respondent’s primary moti- ifestations of some generic tendency to be polit-
vation or it was not. Each of these vari- ical or to engage in political behaviors. In order
ables is labeled as FBMotivation followed by to account for this possibility, three separate
a brief description of what the motivation was variables were included to capture respondents’
(see Table 1 for descriptive statistics of each political interest, political knowledge, and habit
variable). of talking about politics with others.
360 JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & POLITICS

Political interest is ascertained using a scale behaviors. First, engaging in Facebook might
that combines three measures. Respondents just be a proxy for engaging in one’s community
were asked to what extent they agreed or dis- in general. Such behavior would also produce
agreed (on a scale of 1 to 5) with each of the social capital, facilitate information flows, and
following statements: “I closely follow politi- promote trust, though not necessarily through
cal issues,” “I am interested in political strat- the medium of Facebook, as is the interest of this
egy,” and “I consider politics to be among my study. Because of this, I included a scale measur-
hobbies.” These three measures were averaged ing a respondent’s Community Ties, composed
into a scale ranging from 1 to 5 with a mean of two measures with which respondents agreed
of 3.10 called Political Interest (S.D. = 1.08, or disagreed: “I feel ‘at home’ in the community
Chronbach’s α = 0.903). I live in,” and “I feel connected to those who
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Political knowledge was determined in a sim- live around me” (1–5 agree/disagree, for a scale
ilar way. Respondents were asked four mul- ranging from 1 to 5, mean = 3.81, S.D. = 0.92,
tiple choice questions about modern politics. Chronbach’s α = 0.837).
For each question they answered correctly, they In a similar vein, the variables of interest
received one point. These points were then in this study may, in fact, only be capturing
divided by four to produce a scale ranging from the respondents’ tendency to affiliate with other
0 to 1 with a mean of 0.75, called Political people, or to be sociable. This tendency is cap-
Knowledge (S.D. = 0.24).5 tured in a scale composed of 15 items, reflecting
The habit or comfort level of talking with oth- respondents’ Sociability (1 to 5, mean = 2.55,
ers about politics might also be predictive of S.D. = 0.70, Chronbach’s α = 0.886).6
various political behaviors, and so some mea-
sure of this tendency should also be included Demographics
in the model. This variable is also the result
of a scale (ranging 1 to 6, with a mean of Finally, due to recorded differences in social
3.44) that combined the respondents’ answers media use for each, I include a measure of
to three questions asking about their comfort Gender (coded female = 1, 58.5% female)
talking about politics with friends and fam- and Party Identification, coded from 1 to 7,
ily, and with strangers, as well as the fre- Republican to Democrat (mean = 4.77, S.D.
quency with which they talk to friends and = 2.26) (Lenhart, Madden, Smith, & Macgill,
family about politics (S.D. = 0.90, Chronbach’s 2007).
α = 0.74).
In addition, I chose to include a measure of Outcome Variables
news use, in order to ensure that the relation-
ship I have hypothesized is not being distorted The outcome variables of interest consist of
by a simple tendency to keep up with cur- one’s reported voting in the 2008 presidential
rent events, some of which are certainly polit- primaries (for either party), political behavior
ical in nature. Thus, I created a News Use online, and political behavior offline. For the
scale, which is the average reported frequency voting measure, respondents were simply asked
of use of seven different news sources (rang- whether or not they voted in the recent presiden-
ing from “multiple times a day” to “virtually tial primaries (75% reported doing so).
never”), including local newspapers, national For the two political behavior measures,
newspapers, news Web sites, political blogs, respondents were asked how often they engaged
national evening news, local evening news, and in a series of political behaviors online (used e-
news/talk radio. This scale ranges from 1 to 6 mail to contact a politician; contributed money
(mean = 2.59, S.D. = 0.79, Chronbach’s α = online to a politician, social group, or cause;
0.701). forwarded a political e-mail or news story
Finally, two further possible spurious expla- to friends; signed an online petition; visited
nations exist for why Facebook behavior the Web site of a political campaign or can-
might come across as correlating with political didate; or posted comments or questions on
Bode 361

political news stories or political blogs) and Voting in the 2008 Presidential Primaries
offline [volunteered in the community; attended
a political meeting, rally, or speech; displayed To predict a respondent’s tendency to report
a campaign button, sticker, or sign; worked voting in the 2008 presidential primaries (a
for a political party or candidate (phonebank- dichotomous measure), I used a logistic estima-
ing, blockwalking, etc.); contacted a politician tion. All the variables described in detail above
by phone or mail; donated money in per- were included in this model. As can be seen
son to a politician, social group, or cause; or in Table 2, two variables of interest deserve
signed a petition (on paper)]. For each ques- particular attention. Both intensity of Facebook
tion, respondents could report frequencies rang- use and time spent on Facebook have significant
ing from “never” to “more than once a week.” effects on one’s likelihood of voting, but in
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The online political behavior scale ranged from different directions. Intensity of Facebook use
1 to 5 with a mean of 1.6 (S.D. = 0.55, is positively related to voting, whereas time
Chronbach’s α = 0.765), whereas the offline spent using Facebook is negatively related
political behavior scale ranged from 1 to 5 (see Figure 1 for an illustration). This suggests
with a mean of 1.7 (S.D. = 0.52, Chronbach’s support for hypothesis H1, which posited that
α = 0.722).7 intensity of Facebook use would encourage
transmission of information and electoral norms
across the network as well as the generation of
social capital, thus leading to desirable political
ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION behaviors.
Moreover the disparate relationships demon-
I estimated three sets of models, reflecting strated indicate that it is truly intensity of
each of the outcome variables in which I am use, and not merely use or amount of use of
interested. I then re-estimated each model with- Facebook, that is having the effect. That is, in
out the variables of interest to indicate the order to be motivated to participate electorally,
increase in predictive power achieved by includ- engagement with one’s Facebook network is
ing the variables reflecting various aspects of required, above and beyond simply spending
Facebook use. time on the site in a more superficial manner.

TABLE 2. Logit Estimation of Voting in the 2008 Primaries

Estimate Standard error z value Significance

(Intercept) −4.01 1.52 −2.65 0.01∗∗∗


Facebook intensity 0.60 0.14 4.14 0.01∗∗∗
Facebook closeness 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.71
Time on Facebook −0.01 0.00 −2.68 0.01∗∗∗
FBMotivation—New Friends −3.78 1.81 −2.08 .04∗∗
FBMotivation—Keep in Touch −1.56 1.20 −1.30 0.19
FBMotivation—Interact −1.23 1.20 −1.02 0.31
FBMotivation—Play Games −2.93 1.73 −1.69 0.09
FBMotivation—Information −0.07 1.70 −0.04 0.97
FBMotivation—Community −1.56 1.32 −1.18 0.24
Political interest 0.31 0.15 2.04 0.04∗
Political knowledge 0.70 0.49 1.42 0.16
Community ties 0.32 0.12 2.59 0.01∗∗∗
Sociability −0.01 0.18 −0.04 0.97
Political talk 0.47 0.18 2.63 0.01∗∗∗
News use −0.01 0.17 −0.05 0.96
Gender −0.16 0.25 −0.64 0.52
PID 0.16 0.05 3.25 0.01∗∗∗
Signif. codes ∗∗∗ = 0.001 ∗∗ = 0.01 ∗ = 0.05
AIC = 525.95
362 JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & POLITICS

FIGURE 1. The effects of time spent on Facebook and intensity of Facebook use on respondent’s
likelihood of voting.
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Note also that the motivation of making new removing the variables of interest, we can then
friends as the primary motivation for using see if we truly gain predictive power by includ-
Facebook has a negative effect on one’s like- ing the Facebook-oriented variables. As noted in
lihood of voting. I would suggest that this is Table 1, the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC)
because if you are primarily using Facebook for the first model was 525.95. Table 3, which
to meet people, you are less actively engag- reflects the reduced model of voting turnout, has
ing within the Facebook community, which is an AIC of 553.47.8 This suggests that the model
the action I have hypothesized does the bulk of including the Facebook variables does a better
the work of motivating participation by trans- job of estimating the true relationship than does
ferring information and norms throughout the the model lacking them.
network and creating social capital. This relates However, it is still possible that we are captur-
to H3, which predicted that motivations related ing a spurious relationship, in that the measure
to engagement would positively predict politi- of intensity of Facebook use is acting as a proxy
cal behavior. While we do not find clear support for some other activity. Perhaps, it could be
for that hypothesis, we do see the reverse—that argued, the more intense Facebook users are
motivations that detract from engaging with the being exposed to more politics on Facebook as
Facebook community have a negative impact on a result of their increased engagement, which
the likelihood of participating electorally. The would then be responsible for their increased
closeness one feels to one’s Facebook commu- likelihood of voting. In order to ascertain if this
nity does not seem to be a relevant motivator was, in fact, occurring, I included an additional
for electoral participation, and thus H2 is not variable in the original model. This variable
supported. asked respondents how often a political story
It is also reassuring that various control vari- showed up on their Newsfeed. (This is the user’s
ables we would expect to predict a respondent’s home page that features stories of what their
likelihood of voting do, in fact, appear to be sig- Facebook friends have been doing on Facebook.
nificant and in the expected direction. Political It can include news stories, notes, pictures, and
interest, community ties, and political talk all actions of their friends.) This measure, Political
increase the likelihood of turning out to vote. Facebook Exposure, ranged from 1 to 6 (“vir-
To further isolate the impact of Facebook, tually never” to “multiple times a day”) with a
I re-estimated the same model, but without mean of 1.97 (S.D. = 0.94). The re-estimated
any variables reflecting Facebook behavior. By model can be seen in Table 4. The measure
Bode 363

TABLE 3. Logit Estimation of Voting in the 2008 Primaries: Reduced Model

Estimate Standard error z value Significance

(Intercept) −3.31 0.89 −3.73 0.01∗∗∗


Political interest 0.28 0.14 1.98 0.05∗∗
Political knowledge 0.63 0.46 1.38 0.17
Community ties 0.33 0.12 2.83 0.01∗∗∗
Sociability −0.16 0.16 −0.98 0.33
Political talk 0.44 0.17 2.67 0.01∗∗∗
News use 0.05 0.16 0.35 0.73
Gender −0.11 0.23 −0.45 0.65
PID 0.17 0.05 3.60 0.01∗∗∗
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Signif. codes: ∗∗∗ = 0.001


AIC=553.47

TABLE 4. Logit Estimation of Voting in the 2008 Primaries: Expanded Model

Estimate Standard error z value Significance

(Intercept) −4.03 1.52 −2.64 0.01∗∗∗


Political Facebook exposure 0.18 0.12 1.51 0.13
Facebook intensity 0.59 0.15 4.03 0.01∗∗∗
Facebook closeness 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.68
Time on Facebook −0.01 0.00 −2.78 0.01∗∗∗
FBMotivation—New Friends −4.07 1.86 −2.18 0.03∗∗
FBMotivation—Keep in Touch −1.72 1.22 −1.41 0.16
FBMotivation—Interact −1.38 1.22 −1.13 0.26
FBMotivation—Play Games −3.03 1.75 −1.73 0.08
FBMotivation—Information −0.10 1.71 −0.06 0.95
FBMotivation—Community −1.79 1.34 −1.33 0.18
Political interest 0.29 0.15 1.94 0.05
Political knowledge 0.68 0.49 1.39 0.17
Community ties 0.35 0.12 2.79 0.01∗∗∗
Sociability −0.00 0.18 −0.01 0.99
Political talk 0.45 0.18 2.53 0.01∗∗∗
News Use −0.07 0.17 −0.38 0.70
Gender −0.14 0.25 −0.57 0.57
PID 0.16 0.05 3.29 0.01∗∗∗
Signif. codes: ∗∗∗ = 0.001 ∗∗ = 0.01 ∗ = 0.05
AIC: 525.5

does not appear significant, and adds nothing of ordinary least squares (OLS) is an appropriate
substance to the predictive power of the model model to estimate. Table 5 reflects this OLS
(AIC = 525.5). This reassures us that it is estimation, with the same independent vari-
truly engagement with the community, and not ables as were included in the model predicting
merely exposure to politics, that is producing the voting.
increased likelihood of voting. Intensity of Facebook use is still a signifi-
cant, positive predictor of the outcome variable
Online Political Behavior (again supporting H1), and having one’s pri-
mary motivation to use Facebook to be meet-
The second outcome variable of interest ing new people is still a negative predictor.
reflects one’s political behavior online. Because However, it is important to note that one’s
this variable was scaled from six others, the time spent on Facebook switches signs in this
index is roughly continuous. As a result of this, model. This is not surprising, as more time
364 JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & POLITICS

TABLE 5. OLS Estimation of Online Political Behavior

Estimate Standard error t value Pr(>t)

(Intercept) 0.38 0.24 1.59 0.11


Facebook intensity 0.05 0.03 2.18 0.03∗∗
Facebook closeness −0.01 0.00 −1.33 0.18
Time on Facebook 0.01 0.00 3.77 0.00∗∗∗
FBMotivation—New Friends −0.74 0.28 −2.61 0.01∗∗∗
FBMotivation—Keep in Touch −0.32 0.18 −1.73 0.09
FBMotivation—Interact −0.28 0.18 −1.53 0.13
FBMotivation—Play Games 0.41 0.31 1.32 0.19
FBMotivation—Information −0.15 0.24 −0.60 0.55
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FBMotivation—Community −0.14 0.20 −0.66 0.51


Political interest 0.07 0.03 2.77 0.01∗∗∗
Political knowledge −0.05 0.09 −0.58 0.56
Community ties −0.02 0.02 −0.76 0.44
Sociability 0.01 0.03 0.17 0.86
Political talk 0.11 0.03 3.49 0.01∗∗∗
News use 0.26 0.03 9.02 0.01∗∗∗
Gender −0.03 0.04 −0.63 0.53
PID 0.02 0.01 2.74 0.01∗∗∗
Significance codes: ∗∗∗ = 0.001 ∗∗ = 0.01 ∗ = 0.05
Adjusted R2 : 0.3943

TABLE 6. OLS Estimation of Online Political Behavior: Reduced Model

Estimate Standard error t value Pr(>t)

(Intercept) 0.26 0.16 1.66 0.10


Political interest 0.08 0.03 2.97 0.01∗∗∗
Political knowledge −0.11 0.09 −1.26 0.21
Community ties −0.01 0.02 −0.15 0.88
Sociability −0.01 0.03 −0.06 0.95
Political talk 0.11 0.03 3.54 0.01∗∗∗
News use 0.26 0.03 8.93 0.01∗∗∗
Gender 0.03 0.04 0.66 0.51
PID 0.03 0.01 3.31 0.01∗∗∗
Signif. codes: ∗∗∗ = 0.001 ∗∗ = 0.01 ∗ = 0.05
Adjusted R2 : 0.34

spent on Facebook means more time spent Again, it is useful to estimate the model with-
online in general, thus giving more opportunity out the Facebook variables to see what effect
and inclination to engage in political behav- they are having on the predictive power in
ior online, rather than offline (remembering that general. A reduced model reflecting this change
those two outcome variables are not highly can be seen in Table 6. As indicated in the final
correlated). line of each of the tables, the reduced model has
Apart from that, much of the model stays a lower adjusted R2 value, indicating that it has
very similar to the model estimating turnout, in less predictive power than the full model includ-
Table 2. This indicates that the important predic- ing the Facebook variables. The full model does
tors hold up across various behaviors related to five percentage points better than the reduced
political participation. model, or 14% better overall.
Bode 365

TABLE 7. OLS Estimation of Offline Political Behavior

Estimate Standard error t value Pr(>t)

(Intercept) 0.58 0.25 2.35 0.02∗∗


Facebook intensity 0.08 0.03 3.33 0.00∗∗∗
Facebook closeness −0.01 0.00 −0.89 0.37
Time on Facebook 0.01 0.00 1.49 0.14
FBMotivation—New Friends −0.46 0.29 −1.57 0.12
FBMotivation—Keep in Touch −0.05 0.19 −0.25 0.80
FBMotivation—Interact −0.06 0.19 −0.33 0.74
FBMotivation – Play Games 0.24 0.32 0.77 0.44
FBMotivation—Information 0.12 0.25 0.48 0.63
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FBMotivation—Community 0.05 0.21 0.22 0.83


Political interest 0.06 0.03 2.33 0.02∗∗
Political knowledge −0.07 0.09 −0.84 0.40
Community ties −0.03 0.02 −1.12 0.26
Sociability −0.05 0.03 −1.76 0.08
Political talk 0.06 0.03 2.08 0.04∗∗
News use 0.18 0.03 6.18 0.00∗∗∗
Gender 0.13 0.04 3.01 0.00∗∗∗
PID 0.03 0.01 3.77 0.00∗∗∗
Signif. codes: ∗∗∗ = 0.001 ∗∗ = 0.01 ∗ = 0.05
Adjusted R2 : 0.2705

Offline Political Behavior CONCLUSIONS


Of equal if not greater importance to one’s Overall, results suggest strong support for the
online political behavior is the political behav- first hypothesis—that intensely engaging with
ior engaged in offline. This is what some might one’s Facebook community facilitates behav-
consider more traditional political behavior, but iors and activities that spur political participa-
of course it still plays an important role in mod- tion of all kinds. This relationship is robust to
ern politics and campaigning. Again, due to the model specification, even including time spent
continuous nature of the offline political behav- on Facebook in general and exposure to political
ior scale, an OLS regression is appropriate. information in that venue. This is important in
This estimation can be seen in Table 7. that it shows that much of what we know about
The intensity of one’s Facebook use remains how offline networks spur political participation
strongly significant and positively related to may still inform our understanding of similar
offline political behavior, above and beyond relationships in the online world. Moreover, it
other traditional predictors of political partici- shows that Facebook use can and sometimes
pation, further bolstering support for the first does have a positive impact on the political
hypothesis. It is, however, the only variable of participatory behaviors of its users.
interest to retain significance in this model (both Interestingly, there is no evidence to suggest
the new friends motivation and the time spent on that feeling closer to one’s Facebook community
Facebook lose significance). encourages political participation. It is possible
While the model predicting offline politi- that intimacy is less important in the realm of
cal behavior has less power than the estima- online social networks than it is in traditional
tions modeling the other two outcome variables face-to-face social networks. On Facebook, peo-
(Adjusted R2 = 0.2705), it is still more than a ple generally share similar levels of informa-
12% improvement over the same model, absent tion with their entire network, which is not
the Facebook variables (see Table 8, adjusted R2 true in offline social networks, and may change
= 0.2422). the extent to which intimacy is important for
366 JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & POLITICS

TABLE 8. OLS Estimation of Offline Political Behavior: Reduced Model

Estimate Standard error t value Pr(>t)

(Intercept) 0.78 0.16 4.89 0.01∗∗∗


Political interest 0.07 0.03 2.62 0.01∗∗∗
Political knowledge −0.10 0.09 −1.20 0.23
Community ties −0.01 0.02 −0.41 0.68
Sociability −0.07 0.03 −2.34 0.02∗
Political talk 0.07 0.03 2.12 0.03∗
News use 0.18 0.03 6.38 0.01∗∗∗
Gender 0.17 0.04 4.02 0.01∗∗∗
PID 0.04 0.01 4.09 0.01∗∗∗
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Signif. codes: ∗∗∗ = 0.001 ∗∗ 0.01 ∗ = 0.05


Adjusted R2 : 0.24

transmitting norms and information in this new introductory statistics class will tell you, cor-
type of network. The null finding could also be relation does not equal causation. We cannot
an artifact of the way it was measured. While decisively determine the direction of causality
the proportion of close friends and family in in any of these models—it is just as possible
one’s Facebook network reflects the proportion that political behavior leads to more intense use
of the network to which one feels close, it does of Facebook as it is that Facebook use leads to
not necessarily reflect how close one actually political behavior. However, the mechanism by
feels to the community. Future research might which political behavior might lead to intense
re-operationalize this variable with a more direct Facebook use is unclear, whereas the relation-
measure of how close one feels to those in the ship between Facebook network engagement
network and the network as a whole. and political behavior is both intuitive and based
The third hypothesis predicted that motiva- in decades of theory relating to offline social net-
tions related to engagement with the Facebook works, making it the more plausible explanation
community would be most likely to spur politi- of the relationship we see.
cal participation. While there was no clear evi- Of course, survey data themselves are some-
dence of this (neither keeping in touch with peo- what suspect, as we can never be certain whether
ple one otherwise wouldn’t nor interacting with recollections are an accurate portrayal of the
my current friends were significant predictors of reported behaviors (see for instance, Norton,
political participation), there is some evidence 2004, p. 117). Additionally, these data capture
that other motivations might decrease the likeli- only one point in time, one social network site
hood of political participation. Specifically, the (though by far the most used), and a single
motivation to meet new people on Facebook was university. Again, this sample was deliberately
negatively related to voting and online political chosen due to the level of Facebook use in the
participation. This suggests that intimacy may undergraduate population, and is likely unbi-
still play a role. Meeting new people does not ased for that population. However we cannot
seem to result in the type of deep engagement generalize to all Facebook users due to the
necessary to facilitate catalysts of political par- nature of the sample. Because of this, future
ticipation. This also may be a reflection of those research might include both longitudinal studies
who use Facebook primarily for business net- using a sample outside the undergraduate popu-
working purposes, thus decreasing the intimacy lation, and track users before and after they join
they feel and they level of engagement in which Facebook, monitor their intensity of use over
they participate in their Facebook community. time, and engage in qualitative research, con-
As with any study, this one has its share sisting of interviews or participant observation,
of limitations. As any undergraduate in an that might give a more well-rounded view of the
Bode 367

relationship between Facebook use and political Scale (Cheek & Buss, 1981; Leary, 1983). For a complete
behavior. list of these items, please contact the author.
While this study is limited in some ways, 7. Despite this similarity of mean, the correlation
the general conclusion is important. Intensity between the two variables is only 0.08, suggesting that
more of one does not indicate more of the other.
of Facebook engagement has clear, significant, 8. AIC is a measure of goodness of fit that both
and robust effects on several types of political rewards fit and penalizes the number of estimated parame-
participation, even above and beyond the normal ters, thus discouraging against model overfitting. A smaller
predictors. While more work certainly needs to AIC reflects a better fit (Burnham & Anderson, 2002). It is
be pursued in this area, this study represents thus preferable to other criteria for model comparison that
an important first step in understanding how a do not account for overfitting.
staple of online life may affect the political par-
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