www.tooclosetocall.

ca Final projections, October 23rd 2020

LIB NDP Green Cons Ind

% 35.8 49.0 13.2 1.4 -
seats 29 57 1 0 0
chances of winning most seats 0.3% 99.5% 0.0% 0.0% -
chances of a majority 0.2% 99.2% 0.0% 0.0% -
Probability of winning the riding
LIB NDP Green Cons Ind LIB NDP Green Cons Ind
Abbotsford-Mission 43.1% 37.9% 12.3% 6.7% 74% 26% 0% 0%
Abbotsford South 50.1% 39.1% 10.9% 91% 9% 0%
Abbotsford West 47.3% 39.7% 6.3% 6.7% 82% 18% 0% 0%
Boundary-Similkameen 40.9% 51.3% 7.8% 19% 81% 0%
Burnaby-Deer Lake 32.8% 57.8% 9.4% 0% 100% 0%
Burnaby-Edmonds 28.0% 61.5% 10.5% 0% 100% 0%
Burnaby-Lougheed 33.2% 56.1% 10.7% 0% 100% 0%
Burnaby North 35.2% 55.9% 8.9% 0% 100% 0%
Cariboo-Chilcotin 49.3% 38.3% 12.4% 90% 10% 0%
Cariboo North 46.4% 44.4% 3.0% 6.2% 59% 41% 0% 0%
Chilliwack 40.0% 41.0% 12.4% 6.7% 44% 56% 0% 0%
Chilliwack-Kent 51.2% 12.7% 35.2% 0% 99% 0% 1%
Columbia River-Revelstoke 44.0% 48.2% 7.7% 30% 70% 0%
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain 40.0% 51.3% 8.7% 7% 93% 0%
Coquitlam-Maillardville 33.8% 58.4% 7.8% 0% 100% 0%
Courtenay-Comox 37.6% 47.6% 14.8% 10% 90% 0%
Cowichan Valley 18.9% 36.3% 44.8% 0% 13% 87%
Delta North 35.5% 56.2% 8.3% 1% 99% 0%
Delta South 53.4% 38.2% 8.3% 95% 5% 0%
Esquimalt-Metchosin 23.7% 55.4% 20.9% 0% 100% 0%
Fraser-Nicola 39.2% 49.0% 11.9% 11% 89% 0%
Kamloops-North Thompson 39.6% 38.4% 15.4% 6.6% 56% 44% 0% 0%
Kamloops-South Thompson 52.0% 31.6% 16.4% 99% 1% 0%
Kelowna-Lake Country 55.1% 30.2% 14.7% 100% 0% 0%
Kelowna-Mission 53.2% 34.7% 12.1% 99% 1% 0%
Kelowna West 55.6% 35.1% 9.3% 99% 1% 0%
Kootenay East 53.3% 39.7% 6.9% 95% 5% 0%
Kootenay West 19.2% 63.9% 10.6% 6.3% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Langford-Juan de Fuca 22.3% 62.4% 15.3% 0% 100% 0%
Langley 40.0% 42.1% 12.1% 5.8% 39% 61% 0% 0%
Langley East 41.9% 39.0% 14.8% 4.3% 63% 37% 0% 0%
Maple Ridge-Mission 38.0% 51.5% 10.5% 5% 95% 0%
Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows 38.5% 61.5% 1% 99%
Mid Island-Pacific Rim 25.7% 55.2% 19.1% 0% 100% 0%
Nanaimo 28.6% 55.5% 15.9% 0% 100% 0%
Nanaimo-North Cowichan 24.2% 55.9% 19.9% 0% 100% 0%
Nechako Lakes 54.8% 45.2% 92% 8%
Nelson-Creston 27.4% 46.9% 25.7% 0% 100% 0%
New Westminster 16.8% 57.8% 21.2% 4.2% 0% 100% 0% 0%
North Coast 30.3% 69.7% 0.0% 0% 100% 0%
North Island 32.8% 48.9% 12.3% 6.1% 2% 98% 0% 0%
North Vancouver-Lonsdale 34.3% 53.5% 12.2% 1% 99% 0%
North Vancouver-Seymour 42.4% 42.4% 15.2% 49% 51% 0%
Oak Bay-Gordon Head 27.1% 39.8% 33.0% 3% 82% 16%
Parksville-Qualicum 37.0% 36.2% 20.7% 6.1% 54% 46% 0% 0%
Peace River North 67.7% 18.8% 13.5% 100% 0% 0%
Peace River South 63.9% 30.0% 6.1% 100% 0% 0%
Penticton 48.3% 37.9% 13.8% 90% 10% 0%
Port Coquitlam 26.3% 63.9% 9.8% 0% 100% 0%
Port Moody-Coquitlam 34.5% 52.8% 8.6% 4.1% 1% 99% 0% 0%
Powell River-Sunshine Coast 20.8% 59.7% 19.5% 0% 100% 0%
Prince George-Mackenzie 52.5% 40.7% 6.7% 92% 8% 0%
Prince George-Valemount 53.6% 38.7% 7.7% 96% 4% 0%
Richmond North Centre 49.5% 42.9% 7.6% 78% 22% 0%
Richmond-Queensborough 37.4% 48.6% 9.6% 4.3% 7% 93% 0% 0%
Richmond South Centre 42.7% 57.3% 8% 92%
Richmond-Steveston 42.0% 58.0% 6% 94%
Saanich North and the Islands 22.5% 39.5% 38.0% 0% 59% 41%
Saanich South 27.1% 51.5% 21.5% 0% 100% 0%
Shuswap 52.0% 36.7% 11.3% 97% 3% 0%
Skeena 47.8% 52.2% 29% 71%
Stikine 40.2% 59.8% 1% 99%
Surrey-Cloverdale 40.9% 45.8% 9.1% 4.3% 26% 74% 0% 0%
Surrey-Fleetwood 31.7% 60.9% 7.5% 0% 100% 0%
Surrey-Green Timbers 30.0% 70.0% 0% 100%
Surrey-Guildford 34.4% 58.6% 7.0% 0% 100% 0%
Surrey-Newton 27.5% 68.5% 4.0% 0% 100% 0%
Surrey-Panorama 38.6% 61.4% 1% 99%
Surrey South 48.6% 42.3% 9.1% 77% 23% 0%
Surrey-Whalley 27.5% 72.5% 0% 100%
Surrey-White Rock 47.1% 39.5% 13.4% 81% 19% 0%
Vancouver-Fairview 27.9% 61.7% 10.4% 0% 100% 0%
Vancouver-False Creek 36.9% 46.7% 12.2% 4.2% 11% 89% 0% 0%
Vancouver-Fraserview 38.5% 56.8% 4.7% 1% 99% 0%
Vancouver-Hastings 20.7% 62.8% 16.5% 0% 100% 0%
Vancouver-Kensington 28.3% 63.3% 8.4% 0% 100% 0%
Vancouver-Kingsway 23.7% 69.9% 6.4% 0% 100% 0%
Vancouver-Langara 43.5% 45.9% 10.6% 37% 63% 0%
Vancouver-Mount Pleasant 12.3% 73.7% 13.9% 0% 100% 0%
Vancouver-Point Grey 29.2% 63.6% 7.2% 0% 100% 0%
Vancouver-Quilchena 52.1% 36.1% 11.8% 98% 2% 0%
Vancouver-West End 19.4% 69.6% 11.0% 0% 100% 0%
Vernon-Monashee 39.4% 37.6% 16.5% 6.6% 59% 41% 0% 0%
Victoria-Beacon Hill 14.5% 57.1% 28.5% 0% 100% 0%
Victoria-Swan Lake 11.8% 62.5% 25.7% 0% 100% 0%
West Vancouver-Capilano 47.7% 34.3% 18.0% 95% 5% 0%
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky 39.3% 35.1% 25.6% 69% 30% 1%

In grey: close races (within 5%) If a "0%" is colored, it means chances are >0%
(like 0.1%)