Saskatchewan

Provincial Vote Intentions

25th October 2020
METHODOLOGY
The analysis in this report is based on results of
a survey conducted between October 24th, 2020
among a sample of 616 adults, 18 years of age
or older, living in Saskatchewan. The survey was
conducted using automated telephone interviews
(Smart IVR). Respondents were interviewed on
both landlines and cellular phones. The survey
is intended to represent the voting population of
Saskatchewan.
The survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research
and was not sponsored by a third party.
The sampling frame was derived from both a
national telephone directory compiled by Mainstreet
Research from various commerically available
sources and random digit dialing. The part of the
survey that dialed from the directory was conducted
as a stratified dial of Saskatchewan. In the case of
random digit dials, respondents were asked the
additional question of what region of the country
they resided in.
The margin of error for this poll is +/- 3.95% and is
accurate 19 times out of 20.
(full methodology appears at the end of this report)
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 If an electionAll
All Voters Voters
were held today,Decided And Leaning
which party Voters
would you vote for?

12.9% 5.1%
12.9% 2.4%

3.9%
3.9%
2%
2%

48.6%
All Voters
48.6%
All Voters 37.3%
Decided And Leaning Voters
55.2%

32.6%
32.6%

Saskatchewan Party NDP Green Another Party

Saskatchewan Party NDP Green Another Party Saskatchewan Party NDP Green Another Party
Undecided
Undecided

Regional Breakouts
60

50

40

30

20

10
5.4%
5.1%

2.5%

2.5%
2.4%

2.2%
55.2%

37.3%

51.4%

45.4%

38.1%

54.0%

64.5%

25.8%
1.0%

7.2%

0
All Saskatoon Regina Rest of SK

Saskatchewan Party NDP Green Another Party

Breakout Tables
If the provincial election were held today, which party would you vote for?
(All Voters)
All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK
Saskatchewan Party, Moe 48.6% 56.1% 41.1% 49% 41.4% 47.8% 58.3% 32.6% 48.1% 55.7%
NDP, Meili 32.6% 26.2% 38.9% 36.1% 39.8% 26.2% 26.7% 47% 41% 21.9%
Green, Hunter 2% 1.6% 2.3% 1.8% 1.3% 4.1% - 2.3% 2% 1.8%
Another Party 3.9% 4.5% 3.4% 2.6% 2.7% 8.8% 0.9% 4.6% 1% 5.2%
Undecided 12.9% 11.6% 14.3% 10.5% 14.8% 13.2% 14.1% 13.5% 8% 15.4%
Unweighted Frequency 616 390 226 113 145 186 172 149 146 321
Weighted Frequency 616 307 309 188 149 164 115 135 167 314

(Leaning Voters With Undecided Totals)

All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK
Saskatchewan Party, Moe 50.8% 58.6% 43.1% 50.9% 43.7% 51% 59.6% 35.7% 48.5% 58.6%
NDP, Meili 34.5% 28.1% 40.8% 38% 43.1% 27.3% 27.7% 50.3% 42.7% 23.3%
Green, Hunter 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 1.8% 2.5% 4.1% - 2.3% 2% 2.3%
Another Party 4.7% 5.4% 4.1% 4.4% 3.2% 8.8% 1.3% 4.9% 1% 6.6%
Undecided 7.8% 5.8% 9.7% 4.8% 7.5% 8.9% 11.5% 6.8% 5.8% 9.2%
Unweighted Frequency 616 390 226 113 145 186 172 149 146 321
Weighted Frequency 616 307 309 188 149 164 115 135 167 314

(Decided And Leaning Voters)

All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Regina Saskatoon Rest of SK
Saskatchewan Party, Moe 55.2% 62.4% 48% 53.2% 47.5% 55.8% 67.4% 38.1% 51.4% 64.5%
NDP, Meili 37.3% 29.6% 44.9% 40.2% 46.3% 30% 31.1% 54% 45.4% 25.8%
Green, Hunter 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 1.9% 2.6% 4.5% - 2.5% 2.2% 2.5%
Another Party 5.1% 5.7% 4.5% 4.7% 3.5% 9.7% 1.4% 5.4% 1% 7.2%
Unweighted Frequency 567 365 202 108 134 172 153 139 137 291
Weighted Frequency 567 282 285 173 137 151 106 124 154 289
Questionnaire
Have you voted already – either through in-person or mail-in advance voting?
Yes
No

If a provincial election were held today, which party would you vote for?
The Saskatchewan Party led by Scott Moe
The Saskatchewan New Democratic Party led by Ryan Meili
The Saskatchewan Green Party led by Naomi Hunter
Another Party
Undecided

And which party are you leaning towards? (only asked of those who said they were
undecided)
The Saskatchewan Party led by Scott Moe
The Saskatchewan New Democratic Party led by Ryan Meili
The Saskatchewan Green Party led by Naomi Hunter
Another Party
Undecided

What is your gender?

Male
Female

What is your age group?

18 to 34 years of age
35 to 49 years of age
50 to 64 years of age
65 years of age or older

And what region do you live in?

Regina
Saskatoon
Elsewhere in Saskatchewan
Methodology
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on October 24th, 2020,
among a sample of 616 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Saskatchewan. The survey was
conducted using Interactive Voice Recording. Respondents were interviewed on both landlines
and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population of Saskatchewan.

The survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and was not sponsored by a third party.

The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by Mainstreet
Research from various commercially available sources and random digit dialing. The survey
that dialed from the directory was conducted as a stratified dial of British Columbia. In the case
of random digit dials, respondents were asked the additional question of what region of the
province they resided in. Respondents were dialed at random.

At least two attempts were made to complete an interview at every sampled telephone number.
The calls were staggered over different times of day and two days to maximize the chances of
making contact with a potential respondent. Interviewing was also spread as evenly as possible
across the field period.

The questionnaire used in this survey is available in this report and online at www.
mainstreetresearch.ca. If a question is asked of a subset of the sample a descriptive note is
added in parenthesis preceding the question.

The sample was weighted by population parameters from the Canada 2016 Census for adults
18 years of age or older in Saskatchewan. The population parameters used for weighting are
age, gender, and region.

The margin of error for this poll is +/- 3.95% at the 95% confidence level.

Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.

In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that the wording of questions and practical
difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls.
Moreover, all sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but
not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.