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Topic 8: Currency Markets synergies will likely be achieved if the firm can obtain what

it needs from a supplier that also operates in the same set


The International Monetary System of countries.
• Every nation has a monetary system and a monetary G. Protect processes and products.
authority. In the Philippines, the Bangko Sentral is the • property rights involving intangible assets are
monetary authority which is tasked by the law to promoting often difficult to protect particularly in foreign markets.
economic stability and growth as discussed in Topic 1. • In order to protect the secrecy of their
• Countries trade with one another, hence they need a production processes, distribution systems, or the product
payments facility that connects these nations itself, firms often invest abroad rather than license local
foreign firms.
International Monetary System
• The framework within which exchange rates are Five factors to consider when companies operate globally:
determined. 1. Political risk.
• Multinational companies also took advantages of these • constraints on the transfer or use of corporate
technology-advanced system resources, including various regulations and tax rules
• these must be addressed explicitly in any
multinational companies (MNCs) financial analysis.
• also known as global firms or transnational corporations 2. Economic and legal ramifications.
• they international assets and operations in foreign • Each country has its own economic and legal
markets and they earn part of their total revenue and profits systems. These differences should be taken in to
from those markets. consideration since it may cause significant problems when
a firm tries to coordinate its global operations
Primary reasons why companies go “global”: • Such differences can restrict global
corporations’ flexibility in deploying resources
A. To broaden markets. 3. Different currency denominations.
• Based on economic product life-cycle theory, a • exchange rates must be included in all financial
company must first produce in its domestic market, to analysis of multinational companies because cash flows in
develop its product and satisfy local customers. However, various parts within a multinational corporate system will be
as the domestic market matures, the growth of total denominated in different currencies.
demand slows, and competition becomes more intense 4. Language and cultural differences.
and stiffer. This is the time demand for the product • Multinational companies find these matters i.e.
develops can be expand abroad, which creates conditions goals of the firm, performance evaluation, attitudes toward
favoring production in foreign countries. risk, compensation systems, interactions with employees,
B. They seek efficiency in production. and the ability to curtail unprofitable operations vary
• assuming an adequate supply of labor and an dramatically from one country to another.
transportation infrastructure, companies based in high-cost 5. Role of governments.
countries shift production to lower cost regions. • Traditional financial models have to include
C. Avoid political, trade, and regulatory hurdles. political and other non-economic aspects in the decision
• To circumvent government restrictions, such as • Essentially, a political process in which the
but not limited to tariffs, quotas, and other restrictions on terms under which companies compete, the legal or illegal
imported goods and services, firms often develop actions, and the terms of trade are determined not in the
production facilities abroad. marketplace but by negotiation between host governments
D. Seek raw materials and new technology. of a particular country and the multinational entities
• companies must go where the materials are
found since supplies of many essential raw materials are Terminologies
geographically dispersed These words are frequently encountered when dealing with
E. Diversification international markets
• companies can cushion the effect of adverse Exchange rate
economic conditions in a single country by establishing • it is the number of units of a particular currency that can
worldwide production facilities and markets be purchased for one unit of another currency.
• companies investing overseas can benefit from • the price of one country’s currency in terms of another
diversification in the same way that individuals benefit from country’s currency
investing in a broad portfolio of stocks.
F. Retain customers spot exchange rate
• Managing the relationship with customers will • quoted price for a unit of foreign currency to be delivered
be much easier and economies of scale and other “on the spot” or within a short span of time
forward exchange rate CROSS RATES
• quoted price for a unit of foreign currency to be delivered
in the future at a particular date • The exchange rate between any two currencies.
• Example:
fixed exchange rate o a German executive is flying to Tokyo for a
• currency is set by the government and allowed to business trip. The exchange rate in which he or she is
fluctuate slightly around the desired at set rate, the par interested is not euros or yen per dollar, but the issue is
value how many yen can be purchased with a euro. Use this
table:
floating or flexible exchange rate
• not regulated by the government
• the supply and demand in the market determine the
currency’s value

Devaluation of a currency
• refers to a decrease in the stated par value of a currency
whose value is fixed
• this decision is made by the government

Depreciation of a currency
• a decrease in the foreign exchange value of a floating
currency
• this is caused by market forces

revaluation of a currency
• refers to an increase in the stated par value of a currency
whose value is fixed
• this decision is made by the government
Solution:
appreciation of a currency • For the German executive, the cross rates are
• an increase, respectively, in the foreign exchange value determined:
of a floating currency
• this is caused by market forces
• Cancelling the dollar signs will get the number of euros
Foreign Exchange Rate Quotations that 1 yen could buy:

Direct quote • Finding the number of yen that 1 euro could buy:
• the number of units of domestic currency corresponding
or in equivalent to 1 unit of foreign currency
• home or domestic currency price of one unit of the foreign
currency.
• It is the norm in all countries, except in the Australia, UK,
New-Zealand, Canada and the Eurozone • The two cross rates are reciprocals of each other.
• Examples (for a Swiss Franc based investor):
o 0.99 CHF = 1 USD Trading in Foreign Exchange
o 1.08 CHF = 1 EUR • The Foreign exchange rate or the so-called Forex market
is the largest financial market.
Indirect quote
• the number of units of foreign currency corresponding or
in equivalent to 1 unit of domestic currency
• The foreign currency price of one unit of the home or
domestic currency.
• this is the norm in UK, New-Zealand, Australia, Canada
and the Eurozone
• Examples:
o 1 EUR = 1.09 USD
o 1 AUD = 0.71 USD
SPOT RATES AND FORWARD RATES
Spot rates Step 2: Solve
• rate paid for delivery of the currency “on the spot”
• in reality, no more than 2 days after the day of the trade

forward exchange rate • Hence, the nominal annual interest rate on a 6-


• the buy or sell of currencies for delivery at an agreed- month default-free British bond is: 2*0.135861% =
upon future date which is usually 30, 90, or 180 days from 0.2717%. It is multiplied by 2 to annualize the interest rate
the negotiated day of the transaction on default-free 6-month British bonds.

Purchasing Power Parity


• a theory stating that these two things should be
equivalent:
o Buying a good in a given currency
o Using this money to exchange it into another
currency and then buy the same good in the country of this
Example: other currency

• sometimes referred to as the law of one price

• The relationship in which the same products cost roughly


the same amount in different countries after taking into
account the exchange rate.

• Equation:

Observe: 𝑊ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒:𝑃ℎ=𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑒ℎ 𝑔𝑜𝑜𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 ℎ𝑜𝑚𝑒


a. Selling at a discount: forward Australian dollars 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑦;𝑃𝑓=𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑒ℎ 𝑔𝑜𝑜𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑖𝑔𝑛
• a dollar buys more Australian dollars in the forward 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑦
market than in the spot market
b. Selling at premium: forward pounds, yen, and Swiss Illustration:
francs A U.S. customer observes that a tennis racket costs $200.
• a dollar buys less pounds, yen, and Swiss francs in the 1 euro, in the spot market, can be exchanged for $1.1924.
forward market than in the spot market How many euros is expected to be paid for the same tennis
racket in Europe under the purchasing power parity theory?
Interest Rate Parity
• Specifies that investors should expect to earn the same Solution:
return in all countries after adjusting for risk.
• recognizes that when you invest in a country other than
your home country, you are affected by two forces—returns
on the investment itself and changes in the exchange rate
• Equation: Analysis:
• If purchasing power parity holds, the price of the tennis
Illustration: racket in the European market should be €167.7290.
The nominal annual interest rate on 6-month U.S. • The U.S. customer has $200 that either:
Treasuries is 1.5%. The spot rate of the British pound is o could be used the $200 to buy the golf club in
$1.2881 (£0.7763 per U.S. dollar) and the 6-month forward the U.S. market, or
rate of the British pound is $1.2960 (£0.7716 per U.S. o could be exchanged for €167.7290 and buy the
dollar). If interest rate parity holds, what is the nominal tennis racket that cost €167.7290, when purchasing power
annual interest rate on default-free 6-month British bonds? parity would hold.
• It would be better to buy the tennis racket in the United
Step 1: Substitute the variables on the problem to the States if the tennis racket sold for more than €167.7290 in
formula Europe otherwise if the tennis racket sold for less than
• the semiannual return on 6-month U.S. €167.7290 in the Eurozone, it would make sense to buy the
Treasuries is 0.75% tennis racket in Europe.
International Credit Markets
Major types of international credit markets:
1. Eurocredits
• Floating-rate bank loans, available in most major trading
currencies
• The oldest example of a eurocredit is a eurodollar
deposit, which is a U.S. dollar deposited in a bank outside
the United States. Today eurocredits exist for most major
trading currencies.

2. Eurobond market
• Eurobond
o An international bond underwritten by an
international syndicate of banks and sold to investors in
countries other than the one in whose money unit the bond
is denominated.

3. Foreign bond market


• Foreign Bonds
o A type of international bond issued in the
domestic capital market of the country in whose currency
the bond is denominated and underwritten by investment
banks from the same country
o the headquarters of the borrower is in a
different country.

International Stock Markets


New issues of shares are sold in international markets for a
various reason:
a. Create an equity market presence to
accompany its operations in other country; and
b. Tap a much larger source of capital

Gold market
Gold, as a financial asset, has been used as:
• Investment
• Store of value
• Money (either as coins or as backing to Fiat
currency systems like the gold standard)

Gold can be used to hedge against:


• A collapsing currency
• Political tensions
• Inflation
• Stock market crashes
• The sudden loss of faith in a fiat currency
system

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