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Termpapaer ASI PDF
Termpapaer ASI PDF
Termpapaer ASI PDF
PROCYCLICALITY IN A BANKING
FINANCIAL FACTORS: EMPIRICAL
STUDY ON THE BANKS OF
BANGLADESH 2016-2017
Term Paper on Corporate Governance and Procyclicality in a Banking
Financial Factors: Empirical study on the banks of Bangladesh 2016-
2017
Accounting for Specialized Institutions
ACT 4104
Prepared by:
Tridib Debnath (17211004)
Scion Zaman (17211006)
S.M Shamsul Arefeen (17211028)
Sadat Wasif Ansary (17211030)
Imtiaz Ahmed (17211088)
Department of Accounting & Information Systems (Batch: 02)
Section: B
Prepared for:
Dilruba Afroze
Lecturer
Department of Accounting & Information System
Bangladesh University of Professionals
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL
Ma’am,
This is my great pleasure to have the opportunity to submit the report on the “Corporate
Governance and Procyclicality in a Banking Financial Factors: Empirical study on the banks of
Bangladesh 2016-2017” as part of my course studies. The submission of this report is a compulsory
part for the fulfillment of my BBA Program at Bangladesh University of Professionals. The report is
prepared based on the ideas provided by you during the class time and from internet sources.
Through my best genuineness I have tried to uptake all the related issues in the report within
several limitations.
Therefore, I would like to place this report for your kind judgment and valuable suggestion.
Yours Sincerely,
Tridib Debnath
(17211004)
AIS 02, Section B
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DECLARATION
We hereby declare that, the term paper “Corporate Governance and Procyclicality in a Banking
Financial Factors: Empirical study on the banks of Bangladesh 2016-2017” is completely our
work. No part of it has been used for any further research or academic purposes in any other
institution. We also declare that we have used various internet sources as reference to prepare this
report. Therefore, this report is completely a unique and creative work.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Firstly, we are very grateful and thankful to the Almighty.
We are really thankful to Lecturer Dilruba Afroze for the freedom she gave us in writing the report
topic. Her advices and our efforts played the important role about the report. We express our
profound indebtedness and gratitude for her valuable advice that helped immensely in preparing
this report.
In addition, we would also like to thank all the people who spent their valuable time to provide us
information to make the report pronounced in such trying times.
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ABSTRACT
The Purpose: The purpose of this term paper is to analyze the present situation of 15 banks on
how liquidity, loan growth, capitalization and assets and relative to non-financial factors such as
political dependency, tenure, board size and fraction female in the bank
The Methodology: This paper reviews existing literature from the annual reports of 15
Bangladeshi Banks(2016 and 2017) which are AB Bank, Al-Arafa Bank, Bank Asia, Jamuna Bank,
National Bank, Mercantile Bank, Trust Bank, UCB, Uttara Bank, DBBL, Eastern Bank, IFIC bank,
Brac Bank, City bank and Dhaka Bank.
Research Findings: The analysis suggests that there was a major study limitation since the
variables do not completely interpret the dependents and there are other major factors which plays
in terms of determining the relationship between financial and non-financial factors.
Research limitations: Limitations include not enough testing of practices, accounting methods
followed in different enterprise, paper is based on researches done by other researchers and not
verifiable information.
Keywords: Growth rate, dependent variable, independent variable, accounting, liquidity, loan
growth, capitalization, political dependency, tenure, board size, fraction female.
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Contents
LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL ................................................................................................ i
DECLARATION ................................................................................................................ ii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ................................................................................................... iii
ABSTRACT ...................................................................................................................... iv
INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. 1
FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................ 2
ANALYSIS ........................................................................................................................ 6
CONCLUSION .................................................................................................................. 6
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INTRODUCTION
The current status of banking sectors in Bangladesh has seen shortfalls and these are increasing
due to some factors. This banking industry mainly focuses on profit and loss but there is also some
key indicator that are responsible for the key changes in banks. The factors like loan growth,
capitalization, Liquidity and assets can be positively or negatively corelated with some non-
financial factors such as political dependency, tenure, board size, fraction female. Loan Growth
means the average of the increases in the bank’s total loans less allowance for loan losses at the
end of the four fiscal quarters of a Year as reported in the balance sheets included in the Company’s
quarterly and annual reports on forms 10-Q and 10-K. Market capitalization is the aggregate market
value of a company represented in the respective amount. Since it represents the “market” value
of a company, it is computed based on the current market price (CMP) of its shares and the total
number of outstanding shares. It is commonly referred to as "market cap," where “cap” represents
capitalization - a financial term used for indicating the size of the company. Liquidity refers to the
ease with which an asset, or security, can be converted into ready cash without affecting its market
price. These are positively or negatively correlated with non-financial factors.
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FINDINGS
Banking scenario in Bangladesh always had its ups & downs throughout the years. There have
always been many significant factors that plays important role upon the fluctuation of banks assets.
The study has been done on 15 registered banks in Bangladesh. The data variables consist of;
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Brac Bank 0.18 0.337 0.0631 33.85 0 4 8 0.125
City Bank 0.0543 0.033 0.0863 29.88 0 1 5 0
Dhaka Bank -0.1059 0.007 0.0513 31.95 0 2 17 0.0588
Table 2: Data set for the year 2017
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Max 0.323 1 0.7 40.2 0 4 20 0.2
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Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 1.173470004 0.473568525 2.477930738 0.032658347 0.118293575 2.228646434
Political Dependence 0 0 65535 #NUM! 0 0
Tenure -0.07499557 0.125929989 -0.59553388 #NUM! -0.35558507 0.205593926
Board Size -0.01647023 0.029282229 -0.56246533 0.586185937 -0.08171511 0.048774633
Fraction female -5.15624752 2.014559851 -2.55949086 0.028397959 -9.6449666 -0.66752845
Table 1.4: Regression stat on capitalization for the year 2016
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower Upper
95% 95%
Intercept 0.363305327 0.161841752 2.244818303 0.048605237 0.002699 0.723911
Political Dependence 0 0 65535 #NUM! 0 0
Tenure -0.02247241 0.043036496 -0.52217106 #NUM! -0.11836 0.073419
Board Size -0.01345793 0.010007184 -1.34482753 0.208387192 -0.03576 0.008839
Fraction female -0.70411869 0.688474589 -1.02272284 0.33054294 -2.23814 0.829898
Table 1.5: Regression stat on liquidity for the year 2016
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 36.06117025 10.01380114 3.601147032 0.004838684 13.74903088 58.37330962
Political Dependence 0 0 65535 #NUM! 0 0
Tenure 0.226668682 2.662841389 0.085122863 #NUM! -5.70651674 6.159849037
Board Size -1.09269635 0.619184766 -1.76473358 0.108071486 -2.47232578 0.286933498
Fraction female 4.962057739 42.59869621 0.116483794 0.909575259 -89.9537523 99.8778678
Table 1.6: Regression stat of assets for the year 2016
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 0.142130986 0.119970471 1.184716413 0.263521696 -0.125179881 0.409441853
Political Dependence 0 0 65535 #NUM! 0 0
Tenure 0.033292015 0.033568423 0.991765818 #NUM! -0.041503093 0.108087122
Board Size -0.00363566 0.006934531 -0.52427711 0.611508572 -0.019086714 0.011815482
Fraction female -0.10774858 0.556483115 -0.19362473 0.850346569 -1.347670232 1.132173066
Table 2.3: Regression Stat of loan growth for the year 2017
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 0.813303954 0.493817724 1.646971976 0.130584546 -0.28699504 1.913598411
Political Dependence 0 0 65535 #NUM! 0 0
Tenure 0.025867169 0.13817302 0.187208538 #NUM! -0.28201506 0.333735844
Board Size -0.01382466 0.028543644 -0.48355654 0.639114042 -0.07741669 0.049796737
Fraction female -4.14641475 2.290573869 -1.81026399 0.1003685 -9.25012806 0.957305157
Table 2.4: Regression stat on capitalization for the year 2017
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 0.333346433 0.166656855 2.000196348 0.073364027 -0.037988181 0.704681046
Political Dependence 0 0 65535 #NUM! 0 0
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Tenure -0.00353151 0.04663154 -0.07573227 #NUM! -0.107433059 0.100370034
Board Size -0.01348568 0.009633097 -1.39993167 0.191785235 -0.034949554 0.0079782
Fraction female -0.92016558 0.773037941 -1.19032395 0.261409392 -2.642601419 0.802270322
Table 2.5: Regression stat on liquidity for the year 2017
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 35.51865748 10.99744172 3.22972 0.009025233 11.01483031 60.02248465
Political Dependence 0 0 65535 #NUM! 0 0
Tenure -0.07796056 3.077147019 -0.02533538 #NUM! -6.934271386 6.778350267
Board Size -0.93045666 0.63567395 -1.46373254 0.173979832 -2.34682647 0.485913179
Fraction female 0.273598603 51.01164131 0.005363454 0.995826092 -113.3874213 113.9346185
Table 2.6: Regression stat of assets for the year 2017
ANALYSIS
The analysis suggests that there was a major study limitation since the variables do not completely
interpret the dependents and there are other major factors which plays in terms of determining the
relationship. In completion of the study the team recognized there to be a significant non-disclosure
issue regarding the annual reports where many relevant information are not to be found. There is
an inconsistency present regarding the valuation methods among the observations. The data set
itself isn’t sufficient enough to reflect the relationship of the variables. But the analysis also
suggests that changes in the independent variables will also bring in significant changes in terms
of the financial factors.
CONCLUSION
The paper was conceptualized from the paper “Corporate governance and procyclicality in a
banking crisis: Empirical evidence and implications” which was provided by the respected faculty.
In the formation of this paper a major factor that was missing from the parent paper was the bailout
of banks. Bangladesh has not seen many bailout scenarios and the observations taken for the study
did not consist of such scenario, which was a major gap for the formulation. Despite the team has
worked to bring out the relationship that was shown in the prime study. The existence of the errors
is due to the lack of human experience regarding such works but the study has given a realistic
view of how such factors play major role regarding the observations.
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