Gainingnew

Gaining new subscriptions

subscriptions

Let NN be
Let be the
the increase
increasein
in the
the number
number of
of new
new subscriptions.
subscriptions.

Given that
Given that P(N
P(N <<3000)
3000) ==0.25
0.25 and
and P(3000
P(3000<=
<= NN<=
<= 5000)
5000) ==1/3,
1/3, the
the addition
additionrule
ruleimplies
implies that
thatP(N>
P(N>5000)
5000) == 11 --1/4
1/4 --
1/3 == 5/12.
1/3 5/12.

Thus, using
Thus, usingthe
theaddition
addition rule
rule once
once again,
again, P(N
P(N << 3000
3000 or
or NN >>5000)
5000) == 1/4
1/4 ++5/12
5/12 == or
or 2/3.
2/3.
 implies that
implies thatP(N>
P(N>5000)
5000) == 11 --1/4
1/4 --

or 2/3.
or 2/3.