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Commerce Project 3rd Year (ANALYSIS OF INDIAN REAL ESTATE MARKET) PDF
Commerce Project 3rd Year (ANALYSIS OF INDIAN REAL ESTATE MARKET) PDF
Commerce Project 3rd Year (ANALYSIS OF INDIAN REAL ESTATE MARKET) PDF
Project Report
[Submitted for the Degree of B.Com Honours in
Accounting & Finance under the
University of Calcutta]
Submitted by
Supervised by
Name of the Supervisor:
Name of the College:
This is to certify that Mr. Swarnavo Pal a student of B.Com. Honours in Accounting &
Finance of The Bhawanipur Education Society College under the University of Calcutta has
worked under my supervision and guidance for his Project Work and prepared a Project
Report with the title “Analysis of Indian Real Estate Market” which he is submitting, is his
genuine and original work to the best of my knowledge.
Place:
Date:
Signature:
Name:
Designation: Lecturer
Name of the College:
Annexure-IB
Student's Declaration
I hereby declare that the Project Work with the title “Analysis of Indian Real Estate
Market” submitted by me for the partial fulfillment of the degree of B.Com. Honours in
Accounting & Finance under the University of Calcutta is my original work and has not been
submitted earlier to any other University /Institution for the fulfillment of the requirement for
any course of study. I also declare that no chapter of this manuscript in whole or in part has
been incorporated in this report from any earlier work done by others or by me. However,
extracts of any literature which has been used for this report has been duly acknowledged
providing details of such literature in the references.
Place:
Date:
Signature:
Name:
Address:
Registration No.:
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
“Acknowledgement is an art, one can write glib stanzas without meaning a word, on the
other hand one can make a simple expression of gratitude.”
I take the opportunity to express my gratitude to all of them who in some or other way
helped me to accomplish this challenging project in Real Estate Industry. No amount of
written expression is sufficient to show my deepest sense of gratitude to them.
I am very grateful to my supervisor Prof. for their everlasting support and guidance on
the ground of which I have acquired a new field of knowledge. The course structure
created for this curriculum has benefited with the inclusion of recent development in
the organizational and managerial aspects.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Indian real estate has huge potential demand in almost every sector especially
commercial, residential, retail, industrial, hospitality, healthcare etc. Commercial office space
requirement is led by the burgeoning outsourcing and Information Technology Industry.
As per estimates, there is a pressing demand for 66 million square feet of IT (Information
Technology) space for the next few years. The number of Indians living in urban areas is
expected to reach increase by 46% by 2025.The increase in purchasing power and exposure
to organized retail formats has redefined the consumption pattern. As a result the country
has experienced mushrooming of retail projects across the cities. The main growth thrust is
coming due to the favourable demographics, increasing purchasing power, existence of
customer friendly banks & housing finance companies, professionalism in real estate and
favourable reforms initiated by the government to attract global investors.
India, like many other parts of the world is zooming away in the face of a real estate
boom in any direction you wish to see. Whether it is Bangalore, Pune, Kolkata, Chennai or
Hyderabad or even already sky high Mumbai and Delhi-the story is the same.
Along the length and breadth of India, there are many small and big Indian real estate
companies. Each has a geographical stronghold, but there are also bigger companies which
has a national presence. There are innumerable agents, brokers, architects, property
consultants and home finance companies in the metros and smaller cities. Indian real estate
companies have geared up to meet the high demand from domestic as well as international
buyers. The development of real estate in India focuses on two primary areas: retail and
residential.
This Project will help us to analyse the Real Estate Market of the Country.
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Table of Contents
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CHAPTER:I
INTRODUCTION
BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
What is Real Estate?
The most basic definition real estate is "an interest in land". Broadening that
definition somewhat, the word "interest" can mean either an ownership interest (also
known as a fee-simple interest) or a leasehold interest. In an ownership interest, the
investor is entitled to the full rights of ownership of the land (for example, to legally
use and transfer the title of the land/property), and must also assume the risks and
responsibilities of a landowner (for example, any losses as a result of natural disasters
and the obligation to pay property taxes). On the other side of the relationship, a
leasehold interest only exists when a landowner agrees to pass some of his rights on to a
tenant in exchange for a payment of rent. If you rent an apartment, you have a
leasehold interest in real estate. If you own a home, you have an ownership interest in
that home. Some jurisdictions recognize other interests beyond these two, such as a life
estate, but those interests are less common in the investment arena. About 250 ancillary
industries such as cement, steel, brick, timber, building material etc. are dependent on the
real estate industry.
As a real estate investor, you will most likely be purchasing ownership interests and
then earning a return on that investment by issuing leasehold interests to tenants, who
will in turn pay rent. It is also not uncommon for an investor to acquire a long-term
leasehold interest in land, which then has a building constructed upon it. At the end of
the land lease, the land and building become the property of the original land-owner.
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Indian Real Estate Industry: An Insight
The size of the real estate industry in India is estimated to be around $1.72 billion. And it is
continuously growing at the rate of 30% for the last few years. Almost 80% of real estate
developed in India is residential space and the rest comprises of office, shopping malls, hotels
and Hospitals. The main reason for growth is mainly due to off-shoring business, including
high end technology consulting, call centers and software programming houses which covers
30 million square feet of real estate development.
With an ever increasing influx of funds, the real estate sector in India is growing bigger. In
the first half of 2020, there will be atleast 20 more funds making an entry in India while 35
big ticket foreign funds have already made their presence in India. Northbridge Research
expects that the Indian realty sector will grow from US$ 1 trillion by 2030 from US$ 120
billion in 2017. Global fund houses like Carlyle, Blackstone, Morgan Stanley, Trikona and
Warbus Pincus are sitting on a total corpus of US$ 20-30 billion. Even the most aggressive
retailers expands their business creates a huge demand for real estate.
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OBJECTIVES OF THE
STUDY
The Objectives of the Study are as follows.
To understand the opportunities present in Real Estate in India
To analyze the future constraints of Real Estate in India.
Legal frameworks regulating Real Estate Sector India.
To analyse the segments of Indian Real Estate Market i.e. Residential, Commercial,
Retail, Hospitality.
To analyse the Investments in the market.
To analyse of Impact of COVID-19 on The Real Estate Market of India.
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LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
The limitations of the study are as follows.
Only some basic topics of Real Estate market are taken into consideration as it is a
vast topic.
Primary Data could not be collected due to reliability of data and short duration for
preparation.
The study is only for academic purpose.
The recommendation made may not be a perfect prediction of the Real Estate Sector
is not an absolutely accurate practice.
The analysis is made to get additional information related to the real estate sector in
India it’s trends, objectives, agencies, etc
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LITERATURE REVIEW
Significant research has been conducted in the real estate field of both developed and
developing nations by many academics in order to study various factors. I attempt to cover
the relevant studies conducted in the past along with secondary research in order to obtain a
complete picture of the Indian real estate market and understand researcher views in this
market.
Singh Vandana et. al. (2009) concluded her research paper with the remark that the Real
Estate is a very wide concept and it is highly affected by the macro-economic factors like
GDP, FDI, per capital income, interest rates and employment in the nation. The most
important factor in the case of Real Estate is location which affects the value and returns from
the Real Estate. India needs a stronger capital market base for property financing. The
introduction of REIT s in 2007, will give international investors in particular a familiar
investment vehicle. Private investors could also enter into indirect investment in real estate.
CVR Murthy et. al. (2013) states that the real estate industry is the second largest industry
of the country after agriculture. It makes a significant contribution to the national economy
and provides employment to large number of people. The use of various new technologies
and deployment of project management strategies has made it possible to undertake projects
of mega scale. In its path of advancement, the industry has to overcome a number of
challenges.
R. Venkatesh (2018), in his article, “Recent Trends in Real Estate Marketing in India”,
writes about the contribution of IT Sector to fast growth of real estate sector in India. He
highlighted that the expansion of Indian IT industry impacted profoundly the real estate
industry. Highly paid young IT professionals led the boom by buying into high priced
apartments in major IT centers across the 79 country.
Joshi et. al. (2019) in the report “Report on Real Estate Sector in India” stated that The
market size of real estate in India is expected to increase at a CAGR of 15.2 per cent during
FY2009 – 2029E and is estimated to be worth US$ 982 billion by 2029. Mumbai and
Bengaluru have been rated as the top real investment destinations in Asia.
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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The main sources of data are collected through:
Websites
Various publications
Reports
The secondary data are those which have already been collected by someone else and which
have already been passed through the statistical process. The methods of collecting secondary
data are published data or unpublished data. The secondary data and the articles collected are
from the most visited site and mainly from the Internet.
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CHAPTER:II
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
NATIONAL SCENARIO
Indian Real Estate Market
Indian Real estate is a large, growing market. Real estate sector in India is expected to reach
a market size of US$ 1 trillion by 2030 from US$ 120 billion in 2017. Indian real estate
increased by 19.5% CAGR from 2017 to 2028. By 2040, real estate market to grow to
Rs.65,000 crore (US$ 9.30 billion) from Rs.12,000 crore (US$ 1.72 billion) in 2019.
Increasing share of real estate in the GDP would be supported by increasing industrial
activity, improving income level and urbanization. In Q2 2019, all India housing price
increased by 2.8 per cent. The government also launched 10 key policies for real estate
sector, namely:
Real Estate Regulatory Act
Benami Transactions Act
Boost to affordable housing construction
Interest subsidy to home buyers
Change in arbitration norms
Service tax exemption
Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT) exemption
Goods and Services Tax
Demonetization
PR for foreign investors
The Indian real estate sector is one of the most globally recognized sectors. In the country, it
is the second largest employer after agriculture and is stated to grow at 30% over the next
decade. It has significant linkages with several other sectors and over 250 associated ancillary
industries. According to estimates, every rupee invested in this sector results in 78 paisa
being added to the GDP. The Indian realty sector would see unchanged interest from N R Is
aided by the relaxation in FDI norms in real estate. The government has also helped by
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permitting banks to advance home loans to N R Is. The report acknowledges that the
government had also played a pivotal role in the development of this sector.
In the last three years the Indian real estate sector has seen more regulatory and policy
reforms than what was ever witnessed in the last one decade. The year 2018-19 turned out to
be a period that saw the impact of these reforms come to fore gradually. The new regulations
and policies like affordable housing, Private equity, Land, RERA, IBC, Commercial real
estate, REITs, Hospitality, Retail and GST were effectively in operation.
There will be a huge scope for the commercial real estate due to the increasing number of
grade-A office spaces for start-ups, co-working places and e-commerce. IT parks in terms of
location and amenities will emerge as an exemplary trend for commercial real estate growth.
Rentals in commercial realty will catalyse growth as investors tend to rent a commercial
space rather than buying it. Also, the increase in educational institutions in metro cities will
drive student housing.
Another rising sector is organized warehousing, which has seen a sharp increase in demand
due to advancements in e-commerce. According to an industry report, India is set to witness
investments close to Rs.50,000 crore for creation of warehousing facilities across the country
between 2018 and 2020.
Home buying sentiments will shift towards homes with compelling prices over luxurious
spaces because of the additional charges that the luxury properties come with. Hence,
properties consisting of amenities and features of a premium project, which are also
affordable to a larger segment of the population, will be in huge demand. The year 2019
witnessed a fair revival in the residential market, primarily buoyed by new launches and sales
in the affordable housing sector which is projected to continue to drive the market growth in
the upcoming years, aided by the transparency brought about by policy implementation,
thereby augmenting buyer sentiments and bringing back investors into the fold.
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Laws Regulating Real Estate Industry of India
1) Central Laws
Right to Fair Compensation and Transparency in Land Acquisition, Rehabilitation
and Resettlement Act, 2013
Benami Transactions (Prohibition) Amendment Act, 2016
Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, (RERA, 2016)
Transfer of Property Act, 1882
Indian Contract Act,1872
Registration Act, 1908
The Indian Stamp Act, 1899
The Easements Act, 1882
2) State Laws
Urban development laws
Agricultural development laws
West Bengal Housing Industry Regulatory Act, (HIRA, 2017)
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Projects Registered Under RERA (2016)
Source: The Times Of India
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The Indian version of REIT-REIS (Real estate investment scheme) enabled investment by
small investors in the real estate sector and thus earn dividends on the rental income being
paid. The credit of housing has gone up and interest rates have come down to 8-9% average.
With fiscal incentives and factoring inflation the real interest rates on housing loans is very
less. This has brought in a sea change in the profile of the home purchaser across the
spectrum. The average age of the home buying customer has been drastically reduced. It has
been found that young working people in early and mid 20 also buying residential flats.
Today real estate office market is booming IT AND ITE’s segment. With lower operating
costs being the driver office property have moved from Central Business Districts to suburbs
to Class I cities and this market is continue to expand in Tier II and tier III cities. Real estate
sector is still facing the main problem of high stamp duty in Indian states and liquidity crunch
after demonetization in 2016. As many as 16 types of taxes got subsumed in the Goods and
Services Tax (GST) in July 2017. However, stamp duty and registration charges continue to
remain in force even today. The additional burden on the real estate sector by way of stamp
duty averages 5%-10%. These rates are varying for different states. The sector represented
by real estate bodies such as NAREDCO and CREDAI expect this tax to be abolished and
included in GST. Stamp duty is a tax levied by state governments on property transactions
and may vary for different areas. It is payable under Section 3 of the Indian Stamp Act,
1899.
While the traditional housing segment is struggling due to a funding crisis, alternate
commercial models like co-working spaces are gaining traction. But measures to boost
demand are needed to help the sector properly recover from the slowdown. The year 2019 has
been another difficult one for the real estate sector, which continues to struggle with a
funding crisis in the midst of issues plaguing the NBFC and banking sector. The situation has
been exacerbated by the economic slowdown resulting in poor housing demand. There have
also been structural changes in the industry, as a fall out of events like demonetization and
the introduction of the RERA and the GST in the last few years. The irony is that currently,
the real estate sector has huge unsold inventory of 4.5 lakh housing units, even while the
overall housing requirement in the country remains high. As we head towards the future,
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there are interesting trends that have emerged in the last few years that will be guiding the
outlook for the sector.
1) Housing Segment
Housing demand has moved to user segment as against investors. For cities like Delhi,
Mumbai the investor:end-user ratio was 60:40 around 6-7 years ago. However, with the
return on investment in real estate reducing and many big developers defaulting, investors
have moved out of real estate as an asset class. Investor participation in the overall demand
has fallen to as low as 5-10%. Even among the users, the demand is clearly for ready-to-
move-in projects, with buyers unwilling to take any risk. This trend of the user segment
dominating the housing demand is going to continue, at least for the next few years, even
with the economic outlook improving. Housing demand is going to continue, at least for the
next few years, even with the economic outlook improving.
2) Commercial Segment
Interestingly, even with the residential real estate sector struggling and the economy slowing,
the commercial real estate sector has been showing good traction. Total office transaction in
H1 2019 was a strong 28 million square feet on the back of an all-time high of 48 million
square feet in 2018. This spurt in office space demand is being led by the IT/ITES sector.
The IT sector in India is moving towards high value segments like artificial intelligence, data
analytics and product development, supporting the rise in demand. Rentals have also been
inching up with companies like Apple, Facebook expanding their presence in India. There is
large office supply lined up for upcoming years too, hence the rental growth may moderate in
upcoming years. While the commercial real estate is showing good growth, the rise of
Hyderabad as an office option is especially commendable. Bengaluru is known as India’s IT
hub. But with a huge pressure on Bengaluru’s infrastructure, Hyderabad is emerging as an
attractive alternative. In 2019, Hyderabad has been a close second to Bengaluru in terms of
office transactions. Given the pro-active State government and appropriate infrastructure,
Hyderabad’s growth will continue going forward.
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3) Alternate models
The first REIT launched by Blackstone and the Embassy group in 2019 has given
phenomenal returns since listing. There are likely to be more REIT launches in upcoming
years as investors try to participate in the gains of the commercial real estate sector. Apart
from REIT, fractional ownership of commercial real estate is being taken to the masses
through block chain technology and the marketplace model. The fractional ownership model
is similar to a REIT, with certain differences in structuring of the transaction. Both fractional
ownership and REIT can emerge as a credible alternative for investing in commercial real
estate.
The growth of co-working spaces has been very sharp, with the segment accounting for
around 13% of the total office transactions in 2019 from 5% in 2017. Small start-ups as well
as large IT players are finding this an attractive model. The debacle of We Works’ listing has
failed to dampen sentiments of the co-working operators in India as they see good demand.
The co-living space is also emerging in the form of student living, senior citizen living and
similar options. Demand for shared spaces is likely to gather further momentum going
forward.
These trends are going to shape the future of real estate industry in India. However, the
immediate requirement for the industry survival is easing of the credit crunch. While
measures like AIF (Alternative Invest Fund) for completion of projects in the affordable
housing segment and partial credit guarantee for banks buying assets of NBFC will provide
some relief, it will only be able to solve a small percentage of the problem.
There is an urgent need for quick implementation of further credit-easing measures. If the
government comes up with meaningful stimulus to boost housing demand, it will help the
industry to recover from this prolonged slowdown. But any recovery in 2020 is going to be
slow and painful. But in the upcoming years it will pace up.
Real estate developers, in meeting the growing need for managing multiple projects across
cities, are also investing in centralised processes to source material and organise manpower
and hiring qualified professionals in areas like project management, architecture and
engineering.
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The growing flow of FDI into Indian real estate is encouraging increased transparency.
Developers, in order to attract funding, have revamped their accounting and management
systems to meet due diligence standards.
ADVANTAGES IN INDIA
A) Robust Demand:-
Demand for residential properties has surged due to increased urbanisation and
rising household income. India is among the top 10 price appreciating housing
markets internationally.
About 10 million people migrate to cities every year.
35% of the population is in young age bracket (15-35 years).
Growing economy driving demand for commercial and retail space.
B) Attractive Opportunities:-
Growing requirements of space from sectors such as education and healthcare
Growth in tourism providing opportunities in the hospitality sector
In 2016, India secured 3rd position in the US Green Building Council
(USGBC) annual ranking of the top 10 countries for LEED (Leadership in
Energy and Environmental Design). This will generate attractive opportunities
for companies to expand their portfolio.
C) Increasing Investments:-
During April 2000 to September 2017, FDI inflows in construction development
in India stood at US$ 24.66 billion and accounted for 7% of total FDI inflows
into the country.
Private equity and debt investments in Indian real estate increased to US$ 4.18
billion in 2017, compared to US$ 3.73 billion 2016.
D) Policy Support:-
The government has allowed FDI of up to 100% for townships and settlements
development projects.
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Under the Housing for All Scheme, 60 million houses are to be built which
include 40 million in rural areas and 20 million in urban area by 2022.
Real Estate Bill was passed in March 2016 to establish a real estate regulatory
authority for regulating and promoting the sector.
GLOBAL SCENARIO
In the global scenario high energy prices, climate change and government regulation are
already pushing sustainability up the real estate agenda, but by 2020, their impact will be far
greater. Technology is already disrupting real estate economics, but by 2020, it will have
reshaped entire sectors. And the real estate community will have taken a greater role in the
financial ecosystem, in part moving into the space left by banks.
In the new era of real estate investment, to 2020 and beyond, is the beginning of a time of
unprecedented opportunity for real estate investors and asset managers, although with greater
risk. The global stock of institutional-grade real estate will expand by more than 55% from
US$29.0 trillion in 2012, to US$45.3 trillion in 2020, according to our calculations. It may
then grow further to US$69.0 trillion in 2030. This huge expansion in investable real estate
will be greatest in the emerging economies, where economic development will lead to better
tenant quality and, in some countries, clearer property rights. And it will play out across
housing, commercial real estate and infrastructure. Indeed, as intense competition continues
to compress investment yields for core real estate, real estate managers will have every
incentive to search for higher yields elsewhere.
By 2020, the 21st century’s great migration to the cities will be well underway. Cities will be
swelling across the fast-growing countries in Asia, Africa, the Middle East and Latin
America. Even the developed Western nations will be urbanizing, albeit at a slower pace. But
not all cities will prosper.
The volume of building activity will be huge, expanding the world’s inventory of
institutional-grade real estate. Global construction output is expected to almost double to
US$15 trillion by 2025, up from US$8.7 trillion in 2012.
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Emerging markets in Asia will be the fastest growing region, but sub-Saharan Africa is
expected to be the second highest.
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CHAPTER:III
PRESENTATION OF DATA,
ANALYSIS & FINDINGS
SEGMENTS IN THE INDIAN REAL ESTATE SECTOR
Residential
INDIAN REAL ESTATE
Segment
Commercial
SECTOR
Segment
Retail Segment
Hospitality
Segment
1) Scenario:
A localized, fragmented market presents opportunities for consolidation with only
few large, pan-India players such as DLF.
More foreign players might enter the market as FDI norms have eased.
Furthermore, norms on land acquisitions is expected to be relaxed.
2) Key Drivers:
Rapid urbanization.
Growth in population. Rise in the number of nuclear families.
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Easy availability of finance. Repatriation of NRIs and HNIs.
Rise in disposable income.
3) Notable Trends:
Housing sales are expected to increase by 6% year-on-year by 2019 end to reach 2.58
lakh units across seven major cities.
NCR is expected to generate maximum demand in MIG and HIG category followed by
Bengaluru.
Developers now focusing on affordable and midrange categories to meet the huge
demand.
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Cumulative Housing Demand-Supply in Top 8 Cities
2016-2020
Table No.:- 1
Income Groups Demand Supply
2016-2020 2016-2020
(„000) („000)
High Income Group 717 351
Data Presentation:-
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India Housing Price Index
Table No.:- 2
Quarters Average Price Index Average Price Index
(Beginning) (End)
Jul'2017 98 96
Jan'2018 103 103
Jul'2018 104 107
Jan'2019 105 103
Jul'2019 105 114
Data Presentation:-
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Findings:
MIG or middle income group (Rs.15-70 lakh) accounts for 63% of the total housing
supply across eight cities between 2016 and 2020 at 647,000 units, the demand is
estimated to be a much higher at 14,57,000 units.
LIG or low income group housing, below Rs.15 lakh, is the most under-serviced segment.
While the LIG is likely to generate demand of about 1.98 million units by 2020, supply
by private developers is going to be barely 25,000 units.
Housing Index in India by taking the average of cities it has been identified that it
increased to 114 points in the third quarter of 2019 from 105 points in the second quarter
of 2019.
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Analysis of Commercial Segment
1) Scenario:
Few large developers with a pan-India presence dominate the market.
Operating model has shifted from sales to a lease and maintenance.
By 2023, commercial space is expected to reach at 50 million square ft. mainly
driven by sectors - IT-BPO, Pharma, engineering and manufacturing.
2) Key Drivers:
Rapid growth in services sectors: IT, BFSI and Telecom.
Rising demand from MNCs.
Demand for office space in Tier-II cities.
3) Notable Trends:
Developers now focusing on affordable and midrange categories to meet the huge
demand.
In first nine month of 2019, the office sector demand with commercial leasing
activity reached 47 million square ft.
Business activity shifting from Central Business Districts to Special Business
Districts, Tier I to Tier II cities
Co-working space across top seven cities increased to reach 12 square ft. by the end
of 2019.
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Commercial Space Demand (million square ft.) 2013-18
Table No.:- 3
City Commercial Space Demand (million
square ft.) 2013-18
Pune 16
NCR 25
Mumbai 26
Kolkata 8
Hyderabad 15
Chennai 13
Bengaluru 32
Ahmedabad 4
Data Presentation:-
City-Wise Commercial Space Demand
(million square ft.) 2013-18
35 32
30
25 26
25
20
16 15
15 13
10 8
4
5
0
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Net Office space leasing (million square ft.) 2019
Table No.:- 4
City Net Office space leasing (million square
ft.) 2019
Bengaluru 15.3
Mumbai 9.7
NCR 8.6
Chennai 5.2
Pune 0.8
Hyderabad 12.8
Kolkata 1.35
Ahmedabad 1.5
Data Presentation:-
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Findings:
According to the graph analysis Bengaluru has the highest commercial space demand of
32 million square ft. thus it dominated the market being the silicon valley of India and
tech boom followed by Mumbai 26 million square ft. and then NCR with 25 million
square ft.
Demand for commercial space has also increased significantly in Hyderabad with 15
million square ft.
Other Metros such as Kolkata with 8 million square ft. and Chennai 13 million square
ft. is also increasing day by day.
Bengaluru, followed by Hyderabad, National Capital Region (NCR) and Mumbai
dominated office leasing on an annual basis, together accounting for almost 75% of the
overall leasing of office space.
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Analysis of Retail Segment
1) Scenario:
Currently, retail accounts for a small portion of the Indian real estate market.
Organised retailers are few and the organised retail space is mostly developed by
residential/office space developers.
2) Key Drivers:
Booming consumerism in India.
Organised retail sector growing 25-30% annually
Entry of MNC retailers.
India’s population below 30 years of age having exposure to global retail are
expected to drive demand for organized retail.
3) Notable Trends:
Around 32 new malls with area of 13.5 million square ft. are expected to start
operations in 2019.
Mumbai, National Capital Region (NCR), Bengaluru and Kolkata witnessed highest
growth in retail real estate during 2019.
Retail sector witnessed an annual rise of 170 per cent attracting US$ 1 billion in
2019.
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Number of Shopping Malls Across Top 8 Cities in India
Table No.:- 5
Year Number of Shopping Malls
2012 188
2013 203
2014 212
2015 219
2016 232
2017 246
2018 253
2019 268
Data Presentation:
150
100
50
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
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Shopping Mall Supply Across Top 8 Cities (2019)
Table No.:- 6
Data Presentation:-
Shopping Mall supply across top 8 cities
(2019)
2% 2%
3%
4%
25%
19%
24%
22%
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Findings:
Shopping Malls across top 8 metropolitan cities have increased at a substantial rate.
Demand for retail mall spaces have increased in Hyderabad the most and thus it occupies
25% of Indian retail shopping mall market.
There is substantial demand in Chennai, Mumbai, NCR regions and in the near future it is
going to grow at a good pace.
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Analysis of Hospitality Segment
1) Scenario: .
NCR and Mumbai are by far the biggest hospitality markets in India, followed by
Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Chennai.
Besides hotels, the hospitality market comprises serviced apartments and convention
centres
2) Key Drivers: .
A robust domestic tourism industry.
The increasingly global nature of Indian businesses boosting business travel.
Tax incentives for hotels and higher FSI.
3) Notable Trends:
Serviced apartments appear particularly attractive within the hospitality space.
Government initiatives to promote tourism in Tier II and Tier III cities is generating
significant demand for hotels in such cities, especially for budget hotels.
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Branded Hotel Rooms Inventory in Major Indian Cities
Table No.:- 6
City FY-19 ('000) FY-23 ('000)
Bengaluru 12.7 17.1
NCR 14.7 16
Mumbai 13.7 15.9
Chennai 9.2 10.1
Goa 6.7 8.5
Hyderabad 6.8 7.7
Gurugram 5.9 7.4
Pune 6.3 7.1
Jaipur 6.3 5.4
Kolkata 3.9 5.2
Ahmedabad 3.4 4.3
Agra 2.3 2.6
Noida 1.5 2
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Data Presentation:-
NCR 14.7
16
13.7
Mumbai 15.9
9.2
Chennai 10.1
Goa 6.7
8.5
Hyderabad 6.8
7.7
Gurugram 5.9
7.4
Pune 6.3
7.1
Jaipur 5.4
6.3
Kolkata 3.9
5.2
Ahmedabad 3.4
4.3
Agra 2.3
2.6
Noida 1.5
2
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
FY19 FY23
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Hotel Rooms Occupancy Vs. Inventory (2020E)
Table No.:- 7
City Inventory („000) Occupancy
Bengaluru 19 67%
Chennai 12 63%
NCR 36 65%
Kolkata 7 67%
Hyderabad 11 65%
Pune 10 67%
Mumbai 20 69%
Ahmedabad 5 65%
Data Presentation:-
Occupancy % Vs. Inventory ('000) (2020E)
40 70%
36
69%
35
68%
30
67%
25 66%
19 20
20 65%
64%
15 12 11 10 63%
10 7
5 62%
5 61%
0 60%
Bengaluru Chennai NCR Kolkata Hyderabad Pune Mumbai Ahemdabad
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Findings:
As we can observe Hotel room inventory is going to increase across major Indian cities.
Bengaluru going to have the highest demand being the upcoming IT enabled business
going to increase so it is evident in FY 19 there was enough inventory available and it’s
going to substantially increase in FY 23
Mumbai, NCR, Goa, Chennai and Kolkata also have substantial inventory and it’s going
to increase in FY 23 all the cities are equally important venues for tourism and business.
Occupancy of branded hotel rooms among major Indian cities are also high in
accordance to the inventory available.
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Special Economic Zones (SEZs) Analysis
SEZs continues to hold a consistent share in the India office stock with a long-term
100% FDI permitted in real estate projects within Special Economic Zone (SEZ).
100% FDI permitted for developing townships within SEZs with residential areas,
markets, playgrounds, clubs, recreation centres, etc.
Exports from SEZs reached Rs. 7.01 lakh crore (US$ 100.30 billion) in FY19.
Industry players, including realtors and property analysts, are rooting for the creation
of "Special Residential Zones" (SRZs), along the lines of SEZs.
Minimum land requirement has been brought down from 1000 hectares to 500
hectares for multi-product SEZ and for sector-specific SEZs to 50 hectares.
As of November 14, 2019, India had formally approved 417 SEZs, of which 238 were
in operation.
Majority of the SEZs are in the IT sector.
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City-Wise Distribution of SEZs in 2019
Table No.:- 8
City City-Wise Distribution of SEZs in 2019
Bengaluru 30%
Hyderabad 16%
NCR 15%
Chennai 15%
Pune 13%
Mumbai 8%
Data Presentation:-
13% 30%
15%
16%
15%
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Findings:
As we can observe Special Economic Zones in 2019 have been established among all
major Indian Cities in India and created an opportunity for developers.
Bengaluru has the highest share of SEZ with a share of 30%.
Hyderabad emerged as the second most-preferred office destination, overtaking Mumbai.
SEZs are a boon to real estate of India.
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Analysis of Private Equity and Venture Capital
Investments in The Industry
RBI proposed to allow banks to invest in real estate investment trusts and
infrastructure investment trusts, attracting more institutional investors to such assets.
Indian Banks, which are allowed to invest about 20% of their net-owned funds in
equity-linked mutual funds, venture capital funds and stocks, could invest in these
trusts within this limit.
Between 2009-18, Indian real estate sector attracted institutional investments worth
US$ 30 billion and received US$ 5.15 billion in 2019.
Private Equity and Venture Capital investments in the sector reached US$ 4.47 billion
in 2018 and reached US$ 1.47 billion during January March 2019.
Real estate attracted around US$ 14 billion of foreign private equity (PE) between
2015 and Q3 2019. In 2018, Indospace raised US$ 1.2 billion to build logistics parks,
the largest investment during the year.
Blackstone crosses US$ 12 billion investment milestone in India.
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Private Equity/Venture Capital Investments in Indian
Real Estate (US$ million)
Table No.:- 10
Year PE/VC Investments in Indian Real Estate (US$ million)
2013 1,139
2014 2,117
2015 3,408
2016 3,178
2017 4,981
2018 4,467
2019 5,147
Data Presentation:-
4,000
3,408 3,178
3,000
2,117
2,000
1,139
1,000
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
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Institutional Investments in India (2019)
Table No.:- 10
Data Presentation:-
2%
3%
8%
Office Space
10%
40% Residential Space
Entity Level
Retail Space
Mixed Use
37%
Other
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Findings:-
As we can observe Private equity/Venture Capital investments have increased YoY.
Investments by Private equity firms have rose from US$ 1,139 million to US$ 5,147
million.
Major Institutional investments in the year 2019 have been done in the commercial/office
segment which accounts for 40% of the investments followed by residential segment
accounting 37%.
Retail segment and entity spaces have also attracted investments in a significant
percentage.
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MAJOR MARKET PLAYERS IN INDIA
COMPANY MARKET
NAME CAPITALISATION
(₹ in Crores)
DLF Ltd.(1946) 34,060.29
Godrej Properties Ltd.(1990) 17,309.00
Oberoi Realty Ltd.(1980) 11,235.31
Phoenix Mills Ltd.(1905) 8,210.24
Prestige Estates Projects Ltd.(1986) 7,188.11
NBCC(India) Ltd.(1960) 3,060.00
Sunteck Realty Ltd.(1980) 2,883.53
Omaxe Ltd.(1989) 2,824.90
Brigade Enterprises Ltd.(1986) 2,820.45
Dilip Buildcon Ltd.(1987) 2,798.31
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Analysis Of DLF Ltd. (India‟s Largest Real Estate
Company)
DLF has nearly 70 years of track record of sustained growth, customer satisfaction, and
innovation. The company has 264 million square ft. of development potential with 22.5
million square ft. of projects under construction. DLF's primary business is development of
residential, commercial and retail properties. The company has a unique business model with
earnings arising from development and rentals. Its exposure across businesses, segments and
geographies, mitigates any down-cycles in the market. From developing 22 major colonies in
Delhi, DLF is now present across 15 states-24 cities in India.
Company‟s Journey:-
1946 - DLF was founded by Chaudhary Raghvendra Singh
1964 - Developed 22 urban colonies in Delhi
1985 - Development of DLF city Gurgaon
1996 - Ventured into group housing projects
1999 - Ventured into Grade A Office Spaces
2002 - Ventured into Retail complexes
2006 - Development of DLF Cyber city Gurgaon, premium residential complexes, IT
Parks and next generation malls, hotels and large townships.
2007 - Entered Capital Market with listing in BSE and NSE with largest IPO of US$
2.25 billion, largest of it’s time.
2008 - Launched 8.3km expressway project in partnership with HUDA,
2014 - First real estate company to set up 3 fire stations, Launched Cyber Hub- India's
first integrated Food-Entertainment destination.
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Impact of COVID-19 on The Real Estate Market
Residential Segment
Residential segment will have a huge impact as project sites are shut, site visits have stopped,
and construction activity has come to a grinding halt, eventually impacting property sales.
Also, developers have deferred their new project launches for an unknown period.
Data Presentation:-
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Findings:
As we can observe sales have decreased drastically q-o-q basis due to covid-19 impact in
the country.
Sales in Bengaluru have decreased the most by 52% (q-o-q), followed by Hyderabad
where sales decreased by 40.5% (q-o-q), followed by Kolkata where sales decreased by
35.3% (q-o-q).
Sales in Mumbai decreased by 18.8% (q-o-q), sales in Pune and Delhi NCR also
decreased at the same rate of 17.8% (q-o-q).
Sales in Chennai decreased by 7.9% (q-o-q).
Commercial Segment
Commercial real estate is also not immune to the Covid-19 fallout. Corporate occupiers are
seen delaying their leasing decisions and still several MNCs and businesses are testing new
waters of the work from-home option. If proved successful, it could impact leasing activities
in the future.
Table No.:- 12
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Data Presentation:-
Commercial Space Leasing (million sq. ft.)
(Quarter-on-Quarter)
5 4.624
4.5 4.189
4 3.74
3.5 3.105
3 2.621
2.5
2 1.86 1.799
1.606
1.5 1.158 Q1 2019
0.986
1 0.705 0.723 Q1 2020
0.3580.268 0.539
0.5 0.3126
0
Findings:
In India Mumbai and Delhi NCR recorded a rise in commercial space leasing despite
Covid-19 fallout by a rate of 66.9% (q-o-q) and 59.8% respectively.
Bengaluru and Chennai being an IT hub faced a downfall in commercial space leasing by
a negative rate of 19.1% (q-o-q) and 28.5% (q-o-q).
Hyderabad recorded an increase of 12% (q-o-q) in commercial space agreement
There has been a downfall in Pune, Kolkata and Ahmedabad in commercial space leasing
q-o-q basis.
Retail Segment
Retail real estate, highly dependent on consumer spending, are also witnessing a momentary
slowdown and reduced interest from global brands who may now consider revising their
expansion plans. Unfortunately, 2020 seems to be different. Country-wide lockdown has
halted all activities. Also, even after the lockdown ends, there might be restrictions on the
footfalls as the social distancing norms may extend for malls which have a high population
density. Amidst low footfalls, the leasing activity may continue be slow in 2020.
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Retail Space Completion and Absorption of Top 7 Cities (million
sq. ft.)
Table No.:- 13
Year Completion Absorption
(million sq. ft.) (million sq. ft.)
2015 3 3.3
2016 2.9 1
2017 2.9 1.5
2018 5.5 4.9
2019 8.5 8.5
2020E 8.4 4.3
Data Presentation:-
Retail Space Completion and absorption of Top 7 Cities
(million sq. ft.)
2015 3
3.3
2016 2.9
1
2019 8.5
8.5
2020 4.3
E 8.4
0 2 4 6 8 10
Data Source: Anarock Property Consultants
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Findings:
As we can observe completion of retail spaces along top 7 cities in the country is high in
the market but due to covid-19 fallout there is very less absorption.
According to Anarock Property Consultants in the year 2020 there will be completion of
8.4 million sq. ft. of retail spaces in top 7 cities but post covid-19 there will be an
expected absorption of only 4.3 million sq. ft. that indicates there will be huge unsold
inventory in retail segment.
In the previous financial years absorptions were more than completion of retail spaces.
Hospitality Segment
Hospitality segment will have the worst impact among all segments because May to June is
the time for vacations and usually during this time hotels have a spike in the sales but this
year after nationwide lockdown imposed from April and fear of going out affected the
hospitality industry. Even after lockdown ends hospitality industry will not be able to recover
because travelling will be impacted due to covid-19 so hospitality industry going to suffer.
Table No.:- 14
City Revenue Per Available Revenue Per Available
Room (RevPAR) Room (RevPAR)
Q1 2019 Q1 2020
Ahmedabad 3170 2865
Kolkata 4260 3555
Jaipur 4800 4000
Pune 3290 2900
Gurugram 4660 3900
Hyderabad 3948 3475
Goa 6341 5500
Chennai 3450 3000
Mumbai 7200 6000
NCR 6015 5165
Bengaluru 4380 3465
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Data Presentation:-
2000
1000
Findings:
All major 11 markets in India witnessed a decrease in Revenue Per Available Room
(RevPAR) performance in Q1 2020.
Mumbai continues to be the RevPAR leader in absolute terms, despite the decline of
RevPAR by 20% in Q1 2020 as compared to Q1 2019.
Bengaluru saw the sharpest decline in RevPar in Q12020 with a decline of almost 28%.
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CHAPTER:IV
CONCLUSION AND
RECOMMENDATION
Conclusion
After studying all the factors of the real estate it can be concluded that the Real Estate is a
very wide concept and it is highly affected by the macro-economic factors like GDP, FDI, per
capital income, Interest rates and employment in the nation. Private equity and venture
capital investments have grown significantly and major investments have been done by
foreign companies in Indian Real Estate Projects and Companies developing them.
Introduction of RERA was a great move by the Government it protects the investments and
interests of Investors and thus the Residential real estate specially is going to get properly
regulated. Residential segment contributes 80% of the real estate sector. Housing launches
across top eight Indian cities increased 23% Year on Year in 2019. Emergence of nuclear
families and growing urbanization. The Residential segment in India can reach US$ 50
billion in size by 2030, according to a study by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry.
There has been a huge demand from the middle and lower income groups for properties in the
residential segment.
Retail Spaces though contributes very small portion in the market. New shopping malls are
coming up in Tier 2 and 3 cities. Entry of MNC retailers is another good sign for retail space.
Retail would add up more 39 million square feet of space by 2022.
Commercial space is expected to reach at 50 million square ft. mainly driven by sectors - IT-
BPO, Pharma, engineering and manufacturing. Upcoming office spaces likely to boost
hospitality segment. Hotel room supply in the country increased 5.4 Year on Year % in
FY19. Corporate clients expected to provide steady growth to room demand. Hotel room
inventories are growing at very high rate in all cities. Though there are very few developers
in commercial real estate development.
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Majority of the SEZs are in the IT/ ITes sector. So that’s driving the demand for commercial
real estate development in SEZs.
But Covid-19 made a negative impact on all the segments of the real estate market in the
country. All the segments of the market saw a heavy downfall due to the pandemic.
Recommendations
After analyzing the entire study on Indian Real Estate Market with respect to secondary data
the following recommendations can be put forward-
1. Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, 2016 (RERA) is in effect but still in
some states and parts of India RERA is not properly implemented so interest of the
investors in those parts are not properly protected and frauds occur thus RERA must be
properly implemented to properly regulate the market.
2. At present in India there is only one Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) listed in the
stock exchanges so more REITs must be launched by the real estate companies and list
them in the Indian stock exchanges.
3. Developers need to focus on the MIG (middle income group) and LIG (lower income
group) because in they have huge demand of housing but there aren’t enough supplies.
So developers need to focus on them.
4. Under Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana(PMAY) more people needs to be included to
provide affordable housing to the Low income Group and due to covid-19 PMAY
should be made more effective by allocating more funds in the scheme.
5. There are few developers in the commercial space segment and commercial spaces are
set to rise because of our economy is growing at very high rate and many Indian and
foreign companies setting up offices and manufacturing units in the country so to satisfy
the demand of the space more developers need to come into the commercial segment.
6. Due to covid-19 there has been a huge unsold inventory so developers need to sell them
of by lowering the prices so that new cash flow can be generated in the economy.
Project completion time under RERA needs to be extended and exemption from penal
charges for a year. Healthcare facilities for construction workers need to be improved.
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CHAPTER:V
BIBLIOGRAPHY
The websites used for this analysis are-
1) The Confederation of Real Estate Developers Associations of India (CREDAI),
https://credai.org/
2) Ministry of Commerce, https://commerce.gov.in/
3) Builders' Association of India (BAI), https://www.baionline.in/
4) Cushman and Wakefield India, https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/india
5) JLL India, https://www.jll.co.in/
6) Economic Times Realty, https://realty.economictimes.indiatimes.com/
7) CBRE India, https://www.cbre.co.in/en/about
8) DLF India, https://www.dlf.in/
9) Moneycontrol, https://www.moneycontrol.com/real-estate-property/
10) Ernst and Young, https://www.ey.com/en_in/real-estate-construction
11) Grant Thorton, https://www.ey.com/en_in/real-estate-hospitality-construction
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