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Ejercicio 2 Teoria de Decisiones
Ejercicio 2 Teoria de Decisiones
its workshop work. The purchase will be decided according to several alternatives
presented by the seller (adaptability), this to facilitate the implementation in the
workshop. The decision variables presented below represent the cost of adaptatio
that will arise after acquiring the machinery and training the workers in their use.
Table 11 shows the costs in millions of currency units per technology. Determine
the optimal size of the premises to be purchased, using the methods of LAPLACE,
WALD, HURWICZ AND SAVAGE. Hurwicz Alpha 0,70.
Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812
Maximin o de Wald
Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812
Technology 1 780
Technology 2 820
TECHNOLOGY3 IS THE
Technology 3 830 HIGHEST AMONG THE
WORST
TECHNOLOGY3 IS THE
HIGHEST AMONG THE
Technology 4 630 WORST
Maximax
Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812
Technology 1 860
Technology 2 880
TECHNOLOGY 4 IS THE
Technology 3 900 HIGHEST BETWEEN THE
Technology 4 910 BEST
Hurwicz
Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812
α= 0.7
1-α= 0.3
Alternative
Technology 1 (780*0,70)+(860*0,30) 572
Technology 2 (820*0,70)+(880*0,30) 838
Technology 3 (830*0,70)+(900*0,30) 851
Technology 4 (630*0,70)+(910*0,30) 714
Laplace
Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812
Savage
Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 780 810 818
Technology 2 880 820 855
Technology 3 830 875 878
Technology 4 630 872 812
MAXIMO VALOR 880 875 878
Event
Fits Fits
Alternative Does not fit
acceptably successfully
Technology 1 100 65 60
Technology 2 0 55 23
Technology 3 50 0 0
Technology 4 250 3 66
Fits
well
860
820
900
910
Fits
well
860
820
900
910
HNOLOGY3 IS THE
HEST AMONG THE
WORST
HNOLOGY3 IS THE
HEST AMONG THE
WORST
Fits
well
860
820
900
910
HNOLOGY 4 IS THE
HEST BETWEEN THE
BEST
Fits
well
860
820
900
910
Fits
well
860
820
900
910
Fits
well
860
820
900
910
910
Fits
SUMA
well
50 275
90 168
10 60
0 319