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Revision Notes: Book " Corporate Finance ", Chapter 1-18 Revision Notes: Book " Corporate Finance ", Chapter 1-18
Revision Notes: Book " Corporate Finance ", Chapter 1-18 Revision Notes: Book " Corporate Finance ", Chapter 1-18
PV of multiple cash flows: draw a timeline at which point of time you want to have how much money available, calculate the
present values individually and add them up, hoch...: Zahl am Zeitstrahl
PV = C1/(1+r) + C2/(1+r)2 + …+Ct/(1+r)t
Note: if there is an immediate cash flow (C ) at the start then begin sum with t = 0. Do not discount!!
0
6.2 valuing lnvnl cash flows: annuitins and pnrpntuitins
Annuity: finite series of equal payments that occur at regular intervals, e.g. comsumer loans → car, home mortgage
If the first payment occurs at the end of the period, it is called an ordinary annuity
If the first payment occurs at the beginning of the period, it is called an annuity due
PV=Cx {1-[1/(1+r)t]}/r
FV={[(1+r)t -1]/r}
If the monthly payments are unknown: C = PV/{[1-1/(1+r)t]/r}
to find the period it takes off to pay the amount,you need to rearrange the formula
Annuity: finding the rate → Trial and Error Process
Choose an interest rate and compute the PV of the payments based on this rate
Compare the computed PV with the actual given amount:
1.If the computed PV > given amount, then the interest rate is too low. Action: increase rate
2.If the computed PV < given amount, then the interest rate is too high. Action: lower rate
→ discount rate and present value move in opposite directions!
Adjust the rate and repeat the process until the computed PV and the given amount are equal
Suppose you begin saving for your retirement by depositing $2000 per year in an investment account. If the interest rate is 7.5%, how
much will you have in 40 years? FV = 2000(1.07540 – 1)/0.075 = 454,513.04
Perpetuity: infinite series of equal payments at regular intervals
Perpetuity: A company wants to sell preferred stock at $100 per share. Similar shares sell for $40 with $1 dividend per quarter. What
dividend will the new shares offer?
Perpetuity formula: PV = C / r, C = ?, C= P x r
Current required return: 40 = 1 / r, r = C/P,
r = 0.025 or 2.5% per quarter
6.3 comparing ratns: thn nffnct of compounding
If you want to compare two alternative investments with different compounding periods you need to compute the EAR (effective
annual rate) and use that for comparison, EAR: The interest rate expressed as if it were compounded once per year.
Nominal interest rates (NIR): This is the annual rate that is quoted by law
By definition NIR = period rate x number of periods per year
Period rate = NIR / number of periods per year
You should NEVER divide the EAR by the number of periods per year – it will NOT give you the period rate
What is the NIR if the monthly rate is 0.5%? → 0.005(12) = 6%
Formula:
m is the number of compounding periods per year
Example: Suppose you can earn 1% per month on $1 invested today.
What is the NIR ? 1% x (12) = 12%
FV = $1x(1.01)12 = $1.1268
EAR = ($1.1268 – $1) / $1 = .1268 = 12.68%
EAR = [1 + (Quoted rate/m)]m – 1 m = the number of times the interest is compounded during the year
→ If r=11% per month and is compounded, you have to divide it by 12 to get the EAR
Dividend Growth Model: Dividends are expected to grow at a constant percent per period (g%)
D0 < D1 < D2 …Dt-1< Dt P0 = D1/(r-g) = Do(1+g)/(r-g), Pt=Dt(1+g)/r-g = Dt+1/r-g
Beispiel: P4=D5(1+g)/r-g, D5=D1(1+g)4
dividend's yield: A stock’s expected cash dividend divided by its current price.
Payback pnriod
Length of time until initial investment is recovered
Computation: Estimate cash flows, Subtract the future cash flows from the initial cost until the initial investment has been recovered
calculate last postive cashflow : number which is still to cover to receive exact time
Take the project if it pays back in some specified period
Cons: Doesn’t account for time value of money, arbitrary cutoff period, ignores cash flows beyond cutoff date, biased against
longterm projects
Pros: easy to understand, biased towards liquidity
Avnragn Rnturns
Gnomntric Avnragn = annual average compound return per period over multiple periods, is overly pessimistic for short horizons - use
over long term GM =Rg = π[1+R]1/t -1 → Rg =[(1+R1)x(1+R2)x(1+R3)x(1+R4)]1/t -1
Arithmntic Avnragn = return in an average year per period over multiple periods,
is overly optimistic for long horizons - use over short term AM= Ra
Risk Mnasurnmnnts:
Main Measures:
- Variance (VAR): = the average of the squared differences between the actual return and the average return.
- Data reflects two features often observed in financial markets: - There is a reward for bearing risk.
- The larger the potential reward, the larger the risk.
- This is called the risk-return trade-off
- There is a positive relationship between risk and return
Risk Prnmium
- The “extra” return earned for taking on risk
- The risk premium is the return over and above the risk-free rate
- Average Return – Risk-free Rate = Risk Premium
- What is a risk free rate? Treasury bills are considered to be risk-free. Can use Government bonds as well, Considered risk free in
terms of ability of pay interest obligations
2) Compute the E(Rpstate) using probabilities as for a single asset: E(RP) = p1 x E(Rstate1) + p2 x E(Rstate2) + p3 x E(Rstate3)
4) Compute the deviations of each state from the mean, then square the deviation: [E(RPstate)-E(RP)]2
5) Multiply the squared deviation with probability of each state, then sum: ∑ (pstate x [E(RPstate)-E(RP)]2)
Total return = expected return + unexpected return, on average the expected return equals the actual return
Risk and Portfolio Theory: Risk Averse Investors: require a higher average return to take on a higher risk
Portfolio Theory Assumption: Investors prefer the portfolio with the highest expected return for a given variance, or, the lowest
variance for a given expected return
Expected returns and Variances of Portfolios derived from historical returns, variances, and covariances of individual assets in
portfolio
Our cost of capital provides us with an indication of how the market views the risk of our assets
Rnquirnd rnturn = cost of capital
- The Required Rate of Return = Discount Rate = Hurdle Rate = Cost of Capital
- Need to know the required return for an investment so we can compute the NPV and decide whether or not to take the investment
- Need to earn at least the required return to compensate investors for their financing
- Required return – from the investor’s point of view
- Cost of capital – from the firm’s point of view
Cost of Capital
- Cost of Capital is a mix of Cost of Equity and Cost of Debt
- These costs are determined by the market
- The firm determines the mix, Debt/Equity (D/E) reflecting it’s target capital structure.
- To calculate cost of capital: Calculate cost of equity → Calculate cost of debt → Combine them
Cost of Equity
- The cost of equity is the return required by equity investors, the shareholders on their investment in the firm
- Since this cost is not directly observable, it must be estimated
- There are two main methods for determining the cost of equity: - Dividend Growth Model
- CAPM
DGM Approach
Start with the dividend growth model formula where g is constant:
Where: RE is the required return for shareholders, P0 is the current price, D0 is the current/last dividend, D1 is the next dividend.
Rearranging to solve for RE:
Where D1/P0 is the dividend yield, and g is the growth rate of dividends
Problem: estimate the dividend growth rate: e.g. through historical average or using analysts forecast
Advantages and Disadvantages of DGM:
- Advantage: Easy to understand and use
- Disadvantages: Only applicable to companies currently paying dividends, Assumes dividend growth is constant, Cost of equity is
sensitive to growth estimate, Does not explicitly consider risk
CAPM Approach
using the SML approach, the expected return of the asset i is: , rearranging for return expected we
get:
Advantages and disadvantages of CAPM:
- Advantages: Explicitly adjusts for risk, Applicable to all companies
- Disadvantages: Have to estimate the expected market risk premium, which does vary over time, Have to estimate beta, which also
varies over time, We are using the past to predict the future, which is not always reliable
Cost of Prnfnrrnd Stock
- Preferred stock pays a constant dividend
- Dividends are expected to be paid forever
- Preferred stock return = Perpetuity RP P0 = D/Rp → RP = D / P0
Cost of Dnbt
The cost of debt is the required return on our company’s debt
We usually focus on the cost of long-term debt or bonds
The required return is best estimated by computing the yield-to-maturity or YTM
The cost of debt is NOT the coupon rate
For publicly listed debt use YTM
If the firm has no publicly traded debt, use YTM on similar debt that is traded
Step 2: Calculate the market value of each source of financing and the weights
Step 3: Calculate the WACC adjusting for tax
to find the numbers of an D/E taio = 0.33 just assign one number (e.g. 1) to E, afterwards calculate D=0.33v and V=1.33, afterwards
you can calculate the E/v and D/V for the WACC
WACC can be taken into account to see if a firm should take on a porject or rather not or as a performance evaluation
Divisional and Projnct Costs of Capital
- 3sing the WACC as our discount rate is only appropriate for projects that have the same risk as the firm’s current operations
- If we are looking at a project that does NOT have the same risk as the firm, then we need to determine the appropriate discount rate
for that project
- Divisions also often require separate discount rates
danger: a firm that uses its WACC to evaluate all projects will have a tendency to both accept unprofitable investments and
become increasingly risky.
Othnr approachns to estimating a discount rate:
- divisional cost of capital—used if a company has more than one division with different levels of risk;
- pure play approach —a discount rate that is unique to a particular project is used;
Look at companies in the same line of business as the new project
Calculate an average WACC for all the companies and use this rate as the discount rate of the new project
- subjective approach —projects are allocated to specific risk classes which, in turn, have specified discount rates
Consider the project’s risk relative to the firm overall risk
If the project risk > firm risk, use a discount rate > WACC
If the project risk < firm risk, use a discount rate < WACC
Flotation Costs
The required return depends on the risk, not how the money is raised
However, the cost of issuing new securities should not just be ignored either
Basic Approach: Compute the weighted average flotation cost, 3se the target weights because the firm will issue securities in these
percentages over the long term fA = (E/V)*fE + (D/V)* fD, where fA is the weighted average flotation cost, fE is the equity flotation
cost proportion, and fD is debt flotation cost proportion.
True cost of project = Cost/(1-fA)
RA is the “cost” of the firm’s business risk, i.e., the risk of the firm’s assets
(RA – RD)(D/E) is the “cost” of the firm’s financial risk, i.e., the additional return required by stockholders to compensate for the risk
of leverage
Conclusions:
- Case I – no taxes or bankruptcy
costs: No optimal capital structure
Managnrial Rncommnndations
- The tax benefit is only important if the firm has a large tax
liability
- Risk of financial distress:
The greater the risk of financial distress, the less debt will
be optimal for the firm
The cost of financial distress varies across firms and
industries and as a manager you need to understand the cost
for your industry
- Taxes: Individuals in upper income tax brackets might prefer lower dividend payouts, given the immediate tax liability, in favor of
higher capital gains with the deferred tax liability. All other things being the same, when personal tax rates are higher than
corporate tax rates, a firm will have an incentive to reduce dividend payouts. However, if personal tax rates are lower than
corporate tax rates, a
firm will have an incentive to pay out any excess cash in dividends.
- Flotation costs (for selling stock) – low payouts can decrease the amount of capital that needs to be raised, thereby lowering flotation
costs
- Dividend restrictions – debt contracts might limit the percentage of income that can be paid out as dividends
Thn imputation Systnm
The imputation system results in shareholders receiving a tax credit with their dividend for the tax actually paid by the company.
Imputation credits can be offset against income tax on the income of shareholders.
Franked dividends are dividends that are paid out of company profits on which tax has been levied.
Dividends are declared as: - eully eranked
- partially eranked
- uneranked
Stock Rnpurchasn
- Company buys back its own shares of stock: Equal access purchase, On-market purchase, Employee share purchase, Selective
purchase, Odd-lot purchase
- Similar to a cash dividend in that it returns cash from the firm to the stockholders
- Supports the argument for dividend policy irrelevance in the absence of taxes or other imperfections
- In a world with taxes, repurchases may be more desirable due to the options provided to stockholders
Stock Dividnnds
- Pay additional shares of stock instead of cash
- Increases the number of outstanding shares
- Small stock dividend – less than 20 to 25%
- Large stock dividend – more than 20 to 25%
Stock Splits
Stock splits – essentially the same as a stock dividend except expressed as a ratio
Stock price is reduced when the stock splits
If have 100 shares @ $30 each
A 2 for 1 stock split is the same as a 100% stock div.
New nr of shares = old nr. x (new nr./old nr.) = 200
New price = old $ x (old/ new) = $15
Common explanation for split is to return price to a “more desirable trading range”
Reverse split – number of share is reduced
If same data and have a 1 for 2 reverse split:
New nr of shares = old nr. x (new nr./old nr) = 50
New price = old $ x (old/ new) = $60