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Bretton Woods System
Bretton Woods System
Nations attempted to revive the gold standard following World War I, but it
collapsed entirely during the Great Depression of the 1930s. Some economists said
adherence to the gold standard had prevented monetary authorities from expanding
the money supply rapidly enough to revive economic activity. In any event,
representatives of most of the world's leading nations met at Bretton Woods, New
Hampshire, in 1944 to create a new international monetary system. Because the
United States at the time accounted for over half of the world's manufacturing
capacity and held most of the world's gold, the leaders decided to tie world
currencies to the dollar, which, in turn, they agreed should be convertible into gold
at $35 per ounce.
Under the Bretton Woods system, central banks of countries other than the United
States were given the task of maintaining fixed exchange rates between their
currencies and the dollar. They did this by intervening in foreign exchange
markets. If a country's currency was too high relative to the dollar, its central bank
would sell its currency in exchange for dollars, driving down the value of its
currency. Conversely, if the value of a country's money was too low, the country
would buy its own currency, thereby driving up the price.
The Bretton Woods system lasted until 1971. By that time, inflation in the United
States and a growing American trade deficit were undermining the value of the
dollar. Americans urged Germany and Japan, both of which had favorable
payments balances, to appreciate their currencies. But those nations were reluctant
to take that step, since raising the value of their currencies would increases prices
for their goods and hurt their exports. Finally, the United States abandoned the
fixed value of the dollar and allowed it to "float" -- that is, to fluctuate against
other currencies. The dollar promptly fell. World leaders sought to revive the
Bretton Woods system with the so-called Smithsonian Agreement in 1971, but the
effort failed. By 1973, the United States and other nations agreed to allow
exchange rates to float.
Economists call the resulting system a "managed float regime," meaning that even
though exchange rates for most currencies float, central banks still intervene to
prevent sharp changes. As in 1971, countries with large trade surpluses often sell
their own currencies in an effort to prevent them from appreciating (and thereby
hurting exports). By the same token, countries with large deficits often buy their
own currencies in order to prevent depreciation , which raises domestic prices. But
there are limits to what can be accomplished through intervention, especially for
countries with large trade deficits. Eventually, a country that intervenes to support
its currency may deplete its international reserves, making it unable to continue
buttressing the currency and potentially leaving it unable to meet its international
obligations.
Fixed rates provide greater certainty for exporters and importers. This also helps
the government maintain low inflation, which in the long run should keep interest
rates down and stimulate increased trade and investment.
A fixed exchange rate is usually used to stabilize the value of a currency against
the currency it is pegged to. This makes trade and investments between the two
countries easier and more predictable, and is especially useful for small economies
where external trade forms a large part of their GDP.
Economists generally assume that the law of one price can be applied in liquid
financial markets because of the possibility of arbitrage. Unlike in international
trade, where it takes time and effort to move goods physically from one place to
another, there are very little barriers in global financial markets.
What makes the law of one price work?
For example, an ounce of gold should cost the same on commodity exchanges in
Chicago and London. If the gold costs more on one exchange, then traders would
have incentive to purchase the gold on one exchange and sell it at the other one.
They would do what is called an arbitrage.
This law does not always hold in practice. The reason is mostly transaction costs
and trade barriers. There may be limits on how much gold one can export or
import out of the country. It costs something to buy gold in Chicago and have it
shipped to London.
The law of one price is an economic rule saying that a security must have a single
price in an efficient market regardless of how that security is created.
The purchase of a Put option while owning shares in XYZ company is a strategy
with a limited loss and (after subtracting the Put premium) unlimited profit. Profit
potential is unlimited. Losses limited as long as the Put option is owned. The
payoff of this strategy is the same like the payoff of a Long Call option position
Creating either of the position must cost the same. If one position yielded profit,
the law of one price would not hold because arbitrageurs would trade both position
until they would return to their equilibriums.
The purchasing power parity theory is an aggregate application of the law of one
price.
If the law of one price says that identical goods should sell for identical prices in
different markets, then the law should apply to all identical goods sold in both
markets.
In other words, if the law of one price holds for each individual item in the market
basket, then it should hold for the market baskets as well.
Where:
"S" represents exchange rate of currency 1 to currency 2
"P1" represents the cost of good "x" in currency 1
"P2" represents the cost of good "x" in currency 2
In other words, the exchange rate adjusts so that an identical good in two different
countries has the same price when expressed in the same currency.
Purchasing power parity (PPP) is a theory which states that exchange rates between
currencies are in equilibrium when their purchasing power is the same in each of the
two countries. This means that the exchange rate between two countries should equal
the ratio of the two countries' price level of a fixed basket of goods and services.
When a country's domestic price level is increasing (i.e., a country experiences
inflation), that country's exchange rate must depreciated in order to return to PPP.
The basis for PPP is the "law of one price". In the absence of transportation and other
transaction costs, competitive markets will equalize the price of an identical good in
two countries when the prices are expressed in the same currency.
For example, a particular TV set that sells for 750 Canadian Dollars [CAD] in
Vancouver should cost 500 US Dollars [USD] in Seattle when the exchange rate
between Canada and the US is 1.50 CAD/USD. If the price of the TV in Vancouver
was only 700 CAD, consumers in Seattle would prefer buying the TV set in
Vancouver. If this process (called "arbitrage") is carried out at a large scale, the US
consumers buying Canadian goods will bid up the value of the Canadian Dollar, thus
making Canadian goods more costly to them. This process continues until the goods
have again the same price. There are three caveats with this law of one price. (1) As
mentioned above, transportation costs, barriers to trade, and other transaction costs,
can be significant. (2) There must be competitive markets for the goods and services
in both countries. (3) The law of one price only applies to tradeable goods; immobile
goods such as houses, and many services that are local, are of course not traded
between countries.
Economists use two versions of Purchasing Power Parity: absolute PPP and relative
PPP. Absolute PPP was described in the previous paragraph; it refers to the
equalization of price levels across countries. Put formally, the exchange rate between
Canada and the United States ECAD/USD is equal to the price level in Canada PCAN
divided by the price level in the United States PUSA. Assume that the price level ratio
PCAD/PUSD implies a PPP exchange rate of 1.3 CAD per 1 USD. If today's exchange
rate ECAD/USD is 1.5 CAD per 1 USD, PPP theory implies that the CAD will appreciate
(get stronger) against the USD, and the USD will in turn depreciate (get weaker)
against the CAD.
Relative PPP refers to rates of changes of price levels, that is, inflation rates. This
proposition states that the rate of appreciation of a currency is equal to the difference
in inflation rates between the foreign and the home country. For example, if Canada
has an inflation rate of 1% and the US has an inflation rate of 3%, the US Dollar will
depreciate against the Canadian Dollar by 2% per year. This proposition holds well
empirically especially when the inflation differences are large.
Does PPP determine exchange rates in the short term?
No. Exchange rate movements in the short term are news-driven. Announcements
about interest rate changes, changes in perception of the growth path of economies
and the like are all factors that drive exchange rates in the short run. PPP, by
comparison, describes the long run behaviour of exchange rates. The economic
forces behind PPP will eventually equalize the purchasing power of currencies. This
can take many years, however. A time horizon of 4-10 years would be typical.
How is PPP calculated?
The simplest way to calculate purchasing power parity between two countries is to
compare the price of a "standard" good that is in fact identical across countries.
Every year The Economist magazine publishes a light-hearted version of PPP: its
"Hamburger Index" that compares the price of a McDonald's hamburger around
the world. More sophisticated versions of PPP look at a large number of goods and
services. One of the key problems is that people in different countries consumer
very different sets of goods and services, making it difficult to compare the
purchasing power between countries.
The primary purpose of the foreign exchange market is to assist international trade
and investment, by allowing businesses to convert one currency to another
currency. For example, it permits a US business to import British goods and pay
Pound Sterling, even though the business's income is in US dollars. It also
supports speculation, and facilitates the carry trade, in which investors borrow
low-yielding currencies and lend (invest in) high-yielding currencies, and which (it
has been claimed) may lead to loss of competitiveness in some countries
Corporate treasury
Corporate treasury manages a company’s cash flows in the most efficient and
profitable fashion possible. It also involves forecasting future needs for funding
and seeking the best alternatives for obtaining it.
Promissory notes
A written, dated and signed two-party instrument containing an unconditional promise by
the maker to pay a definite sum of money to a payee on demand or at a specified future
date
Government securities
Government securities(G-secs) are sovereign securities which are issued by the
Reserve Bank of India on behalf of Government of India,in lieu of the Central
Government's market borrowing programme.
Credit instruments
A promissory note or written evidence of a debtor's obligation. A credit instrument
is a term used in the banking and finance world to describe any item agreed upon
that can be used as currency. Banks issue credit instruments, in the form of credit
cards
Customers, in turn, use these credit instruments to make purchases 'on credit' and
pay the amount 'borrowed' back to the bank either at the end of the month, quarter,
or whatever term has been agreed upon.
Any item can serve as a credit instrument, so long as both parties (the borrower
and the lender) have agreed on the use of that instrument. The instrument is
basically a promise by the debtor that he/she will pay back the debtor.
A simpler example of a credit instrument is the cheque. When one person gives
another a cheque, he/she is basically saying that this piece of paper proves I owe
you a certain amount of cash, and if you take it the bank, they will gladly pay you
on my behalf. Even simpler than the cheque is the promissory note, which is also
very similar in nature.
Credit instruments are ever popular due to their convenience by not having you
carry around piles of cash everywhere you go.
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Wealth maximization
Wealth maximization has been accepted by the finance managers, because it overcomes the
limitations of profit maximization. Wealth maximization means maximizing the net wealth of
the company’s share holders. Wealth maximization is possible only when the company pursues
policies that would increase the market value of shares of the company.