EUROPEAN NETWORK OF FORENSIC SCIENCE INSTITUTES - DRUGS WORKING GROUP ‘Table 5.1 Hypergeometric distribution. ‘Required sample size to guarantee with 95% or 99% confidence that the seizure cofttains atleast a proportion of k drugs, if expected that all sampled wnits ‘contain drugs. a ees rca h=0.5 0 k=0.7) k=0.9 | k=0.5 k=0.7 4 =0.9 3 3 6 9 ‘Example 1 Suppose that a population contains 100 packages. To guarantee with 95% ‘confidence that at least 90% of the packages contains illegal drugs, ‘a sample of 23 packages has to be drawn and all of these packages have to ‘contain illegal drugs (see Table 5.1). ‘The assumption that all sampled units contain drugs is often made. ‘This assumption can be made because this is learned from many years of ‘experience in the field, or simply by reasoning that it makes no sense to