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Amar Raja Risk & Returns Calc
Amar Raja Risk & Returns Calc
Amar Raja Risk & Returns Calc
-0.0465566 0.050968
2.698521 0.6154216
1.6427176 0.7844881
0.4943367
0.8032489
1.0125783
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.385168
R Square 0.148354
Adjusted R Square 0.144849
Standard Error 1.519092 (Standard devation of residuals)
Observations 245
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 97.68219 97.68219 42.32988 4.364E-10
Residual 243 560.7569 2.307642
Total 244 658.4391
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept -0.087664 0.097257 -0.901371 0.368283 -0.279238 0.103909 -0.279238 0.103909
X Variable 1 0.806541 0.123966 6.506141 4.364E-10 0.562356 1.050726 0.562356 1.050726
(Beta value)
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
(Unsystematic risk)
Observation Predicted Y Residuals
1 0.17413 -0.026187 STDEV VARIANCE
2 -1.010862 -0.647309 1.515976 2.298184
3 1.464064 -0.833597
4 -0.037303 -0.199442
5 0.284239 -0.103502
6 0.09009 1.116715
7 0.027783 0.585494
8 0.233008 -0.821687
9 0.081424 -0.069119
10 0.278964 0.985915
11 0.068084 -0.536735
12 -0.25988 3.766497
13 0.211371 -0.62455
14 -0.097207 1.050824
15 0.069843 0.741208
16 0.137945 -1.672201
17 -0.42117 0.072393
18 0.272053 -0.818338
19 0.476271 1.842566
20 0.266463 -0.039821
21 -0.247788 3.086154
22 -0.377142 -2.298828
23 -0.552706 0.163668
24 0.647665 2.400414
25 -0.070356 -1.843905
26 0.091992 2.092765
27 -0.276728 -1.615105
28 0.586487 -1.554686
29 -0.086921 0.50302
30 -0.123123 -0.734074
31 -0.542546 0.757557
32 -0.527378 1.411474
33 -0.741872 -3.632704
34 -0.696592 -2.168941
35 0.065573 -1.235176
36 -0.90587 -1.200018
37 0.55544 -1.570342
38 0.609701 1.194573
39 0.544881 -0.430816
40 -0.506412 0.772062
41 -0.231531 -0.135506
42 0.83258 0.402399
43 -0.388345 -2.444303
44 -0.599776 -1.213906
45 -0.356361 1.782755
46 0.606006 -0.438
47 0.541685 0.018431
48 -0.092902 1.051313
49 0.05677 -1.633431
50 0.329217 0.15413
51 0.015297 -0.472803
52 -0.449899 -0.022668
53 -0.015681 0.359005
54 -0.220864 -1.166103
55 -0.758085 0.758085
56 0.374877 0.161352
57 -0.319733 -0.538312
58 0.516413 0.106566
59 -0.531581 -2.683568
60 -0.037469 0.924634
61 -0.823093 0.427525
62 -0.712102 -1.488481
63 0.860356 -1.128529
64 -0.517889 3.261694
65 0.234093 1.887011
66 0.438266 1.465211
67 -0.238709 -0.21924
68 0.083972 0.322476
69 0.510935 0.494803
70 0.610471 3.913099
71 -0.07993 0.055556
72 0.462234 0.887466
73 -0.119131 -3.137611
74 -0.690492 -2.650209
75 0.435702 0.312845
76 -0.290136 -0.715602
77 -0.259363 -1.586052
78 0.30226 -0.256349
79 0.456602 3.066311
80 0.272063 0.916893
81 -0.104325 -1.071978
82 0.167687 0.148184
83 0.710414 -0.754573
84 0.206431 1.43957
85 0.175184 2.077338
86 -0.160847 0.051547
87 -0.81242 -0.512096
88 0.740806 0.299728
89 0.098831 1.80624
90 -0.071017 -0.422988
91 0.339982 -1.201284
92 0.058017 0.100245
93 -0.377877 0.681515
94 -0.609779 1.196216
95 0.473955 1.661148
96 -0.441451 1.340211
97 0.51718 -0.225209
98 0.479868 3.442207
99 0.045933 -3.172358
100 -0.00511 1.086768
101 -0.266474 -0.815184
102 0.847976 0.388068
103 0.232811 -2.778952
104 -0.408483 1.411531
105 -0.1919 -2.061454
106 -0.06211 0.464861
107 -0.768258 0.720957
108 -0.520912 -2.237056
109 -0.391729 -0.456846
110 0.332538 -2.470366
111 0.276436 1.873656
112 -1.145452 0.128841
113 -1.156649 -1.61232
114 0.498984 4.365768
115 0.936511 -3.834364
116 -1.056177 -1.108285
117 -0.791447 1.661603
118 -0.406873 0.280302
119 -0.745445 -4.08672
120 -1.369513 2.591419
121 0.644765 0.185494
122 -0.187203 2.56114
123 -0.645951 -3.402078
124 -0.434458 -1.612163
125 0.48474 0.235675
126 -1.19459 0.142516
127 -2.034809 0.909872
128 -2.268835 0.901962
129 0.159004 1.235288
130 -0.454823 1.090256
131 1.148131 -0.42198
132 -1.84503 -0.896934
133 1.76526 0.488659
134 0.219809 3.429578
135 0.464757 -0.917829
136 -1.097494 -0.782522
137 -1.249511 -0.407109
138 -0.545319 1.724677
139 -0.866446 1.551383
140 0.529572 -1.254939
141 -0.879161 4.915235
142 -0.847198 0.412485
143 1.668981 -2.282087
144 -0.501396 -0.955002
145 1.387144 -2.515376
146 -0.13543 0.363435
147 1.241993 4.529651
148 -0.30961 -2.407813
149 -0.041695 0.514847
150 0.434551 0.312722
151 -0.188181 -0.65613
152 -0.876318 -1.064725
153 0.680412 -2.579143
154 -0.134933 -0.845095
155 0.219839 -0.070533
156 0.408404 -0.884277
157 0.523105 -0.686777
158 -0.894982 0.256448
159 -0.513776 0.589516
160 -0.647328 -0.850518
161 0.688938 0.194446
162 0.343719 1.59717
163 0.238124 -0.967542
164 0.882627 -1.824378
165 0.046291 -2.097712
166 -0.035774 0.90614
167 -0.193333 -0.044571
168 -0.732826 0.06511
169 -1.458708 0.615955
170 0.613403 -0.584951
171 -1.650751 0.822579
172 0.377763 2.651396
173 1.340416 0.52686
174 0.316561 -0.795564
175 0.016158 0.749145
176 0.528752 -0.114408
177 0.062939 -0.531754
178 0.344436 1.704839
179 -0.202466 -0.29251
180 -1.556935 1.23454
181 -0.769279 1.098371
182 0.41262 -2.294228
183 0.28693 0.271761
184 0.50943 -0.659019
185 -0.06799 1.157562
186 -0.087664 -0.459017
187 -0.609466 -0.103684
188 -0.991356 -1.4302
189 0.327672 0.735098
190 0.245846 1.385207
191 0.139267 0.288079
192 0.307092 -0.029969
193 -0.337334 2.256038
194 -0.286529 0.33287
195 -0.5173 1.45275
196 1.025319 -0.652261
197 -0.061739 0.283583
198 0.022613 2.309528
199 -0.074723 -0.327257
200 0.317284 -1.003728
201 -0.375862 0.96635
202 -0.764289 0.91138
203 0.048486 -0.824704
204 -0.604098 -0.659644
205 -0.982907 -2.528095
206 -0.158425 1.793195
207 -0.090696 0.010919
208 1.257559 -2.172884
209 0.377895 2.877483
210 0.049925 0.261448
211 0.075512 -0.237569
212 0.851741 0.776198
213 -0.037008 -0.014065
214 -1.009525 -2.88395
215 -0.492552 -1.201434
216 -0.51395 0.486936
217 -0.72573 0.637874
218 -0.250317 0.365187
219 -0.717716 0.926821
220 -0.36556 -0.13434
221 0.903341 -2.817794
222 0.32 1.166892
223 -0.074205 -0.608245
224 0.570689 -0.303993
225 -0.420451 -0.00388
226 -0.301203 -0.753727
227 -0.193343 -0.425459
228 0.441192 0.944057
229 0.827371 0.321597
230 0.392079 1.193278
231 -0.049727 -0.547731
232 -0.254129 -0.272438
233 0.876046 -0.013397
234 0.868242 -0.633649
235 0.200858 0.299995
236 -0.076644 -0.471067
237 0.504576 -0.497895
238 0.161465 -1.856817
239 0.404795 0.443101
240 -0.167086 -1.632189
241 -0.538003 -0.979543
242 -0.813558 -0.394655
243 0.823511 -0.51303
244 -0.356416 1.991543
245 0.788097 -1.33714
VAR of AMAR
2.698520952
Upper 95.0%
Q.1 Total return Return relative
A 24.67% 1.2467
B 2.36% 1.0236
C 7.71% 1.071
1.169394226
b) Arithmetic mean
3.40%
c) Geometric mean
3.18%
d) Variance
54.30
e) SD
7.37
(returns- (returns-
Q.1 YEAR A mean) Squared (A,E) E mean)
1 6.2 2.92 8.5264 -25.8712 -9.5 -8.86
2 3.6 0.32 0.1024 -3.5392 -11.7 -11.06
3 4 0.72 0.5184 10.3968 13.8 14.44
4 2.4 -0.88 0.7744 4.1008 -5.3 -4.66
5 0.2 -3.08 9.4864 -31.2312 9.5 10.14
N 5
Q.2 A E F
6.2 -9.5 26.5
3.6 -11.7 -12.3
4 13.8 2.6
2.4 -5.3 10.5
0.2 9.5 9.2
Mean of Mean of
portfolio 1.32 portfolio 5.29
Variance of Variance of
portfolio 23.0496 portfolio 44.1814
SD 4.8009999 SD 6.6469091
A 0.33 0.1089
E 0.33 0.1089
F 0.33 0.1089
Mean of
portfolio 3.2802
Variance of
portfolio 28.129131
SD 5.3036904
Q.3 A E
Squared*Pr
Ps Ri RiPs (Ri-mean) Squared ob Ps Ri
0.2 -13 -2.6 -28.6 817.96 163.592 0.2 -4
0.15 16 2.4 0.4 0.16 0.024 0.15 -2
0.4 32 12.8 16.4 268.96 107.584 0.4 21
0.25 12 3 -3.6 12.96 3.24 0.25 20
SD 16.566231 SD
A&E A&F
E 0.5 0.25
F 0.5 0.25
Mean of
portfolio 3.33
Variance of
portfolio 64.4456
SD 8.0278017
F
Squared*Pr
RiPs (Ri-mean) Squared ob Ps Ri RiPs (Ri-mean) Squared
-0.8 -16.3 265.69 53.138 0.2 -9 -1.8 -19.8 392.04
-0.3 -14.3 204.49 30.6735 0.15 8 1.2 -2.8 7.84
8.4 8.7 75.69 30.276 0.4 16 6.4 5.2 27.04
5 7.7 59.29 14.8225 0.25 20 5 9.2 84.64
11.353854 SD 10.562197
E&F
Covariance 106.36
Corelation 0.8869125
Squared*Pr
ob
78.408
1.176
10.816
21.16
111.56