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Kidston Review Report
Kidston Review Report
TABLE OF CONTENTS 1
LIST OF FIGURES 2
LIST OF TABLES 2
LIST OF ATTACHMENTS 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3
1. INTRODUCTION 6
1.1 Introduction 6
1.2 Objectives 6
2. METHODOLOGY 7
2.1 Definition of Exploration Stages 7
8. REFERENCES 29
1
List of Figures
List of Tables
TABLE 6. TABLE OF RESOURCES AND ESTIMATED NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) OR PROFIT AT
DECISION TO MINE (DTM) FOR THE DEPOSITS DEFINED AT KIDSTON. 16
List of Attachments
2
Executive Summary
In 2000 Placer (Granny Smith) and Placer Dome Inc., in conjunction with SRK
Consulting investigated alternate approaches and methodologies for assessing exploration
value and progress to discovery on early phase exploration properties. This was based on
a review of historical gold exploration in the Laverton District over the past decade. As a
result of the success of this approach, Greg Hall requested that a similar review be
conducted on the exploration at Kidston. The principal objectives were to:
Review annual technical reports and expenditure for exploration projects at Kidston
Synthesize this data to determine exploration costs and probabilities of advancing
exploration prospects through the exploration ‘pipeline’
If possible, review resource sizes and Net Present Value (NPV) data at decision to mine
and currently, to allow assessment of the success of the exploration expenditure
Construct a template methodology for ranking and prioritising exploration targets for
intrusive related deposits in North Queensland.
Data was compiled by KGM for fourteen exploration project areas between 1985 and 2000.
Based on Annual Technical Reports and expenditure recorded by KGM, these constituted
some $24 million in exploration expenditure. Two delineation/feasibility stage resources were
identified with both of these becoming mines or mine expansions.
A summary of the historical exploration costs per Exploration Stage and probabilities of
advancing from the previous Exploration Stage is as follows:
The success of exploration in terms of the resources discovered per project and expected NPV
/ Profit at decision to mine were also summarised:
3
Project Total expenditure Resources defined or Estimated Profit
1985-2000 ounces produced
Kidston Lease $14,731,867 2,210,000 $189M*
Kidston Environs $4,818,521 None $0
Georgetown West $949,783 None $0
Mt Turner $871,016 None $0
Forsayth West $776,264 None $0
Bald Mountain $502,819 None $0
Wandoo $320,746 None $0
*Approximate due to the delay in processing of low grade waste dumps
Key outcomes of this analysis include:
The high generative component reflected the large area explored by KGM, and the heavy
reliance on large scale regional stream geochemistry, reconnaissance traversing and
regional mapping, and regional I.P. programs to identify a “Kidston signature”, as well as
large aeromagnetic surveys, photogeologic surveys and other studies.
The relatively low cost/prospect for the Reconnaissance reflects the early identification of
drill targets.
The relatively low Systematic Drill Testing component reflects the early recognition of
targets that will not meet KGM’s investment criteria.
All of the resources defined at Kidston were located in the Kidston Mine Lease, and
correspond with the highest funded exploration project by far.
The Kidston Environs Project has a very high total expenditure commitment due to the
extremely large area encompassed by the project. Numerous small mineralised systems
were identified, but with potential for <20 Koz and hence were quickly evaluated and
disposed.
Major intrusion related deposits are restricted to the primary structural anomaly, i.e.
breccia pipe, on the major transfer structure in the area.
Once the major deposit has been found, the main structural anomaly and its immediate
vicinity should be intensely explored. Once this is completed, exploration should move on
to finding the next major deposit on the another transfer structure.
The Georgetown West, Forsayth West, Mt Turner, Bald Mountain, and Wandoo Projects
tested targets on other transfer structures in Far North Queensland. These targeted stand
alone deposits of >1 Moz.
The Reconnaissance cost per prospect for Campex and FGR at Kidston is remarkably
similar due to using a consistent exploration approach based on the Kidston model.
Findings from the Laverton review, which are applicable in all areas, include:
4
Exploration success should also consider financial outcomes e.g. NPV data as this may
show quite different trends.
Linking the resource size and NPV of the exploration target to where exploration dollars
are expended is critical to optimising exploration value.
Prompt recognition and early drill testing of key targets is critical in optimising and
realising exploration value.
Exploration should aim to systematically test the best exploration targets, rather than
systematically exploring the project areas.
5
1 Introduction
1.1 Introduction
In 2000 Placer (Granny Smith) and Placer Dome Inc., in conjunction with SRK Consulting
investigated alternate approaches and methodologies for assessing exploration value and
progress to discovery on early phase exploration. This was based on a review of historical
gold exploration in the Laverton District over the past decade. As a result of the success of
this approach, Greg Hall (PDI) requested that a similar review be conducted on the
exploration at Kidston. The review involved the creation of an exploration database for the
Kidston district, for a period of sixteen years, summarising the exploration programs and
budgets. The review involved the creation of an exploration database for Kidston that
summarised the exploration programs and budgets from start of mining in 1985 to 2000. The
data was compiled and analysed to determine the exploration costs and probabilities of early
stage exploration projects advancing through the “exploration pipeline”.
1.2 Objectives
The review commenced in December 2000 with the work program consisting of:
Data collection phase, undertaken by KGM
Analysis of historical exploration data base, with respect to probabilities of projects
advancing through the exploration pipeline and the associated costs of project
advancement through defined exploration stages
6
Preparation of final report.
2. Methodology
The methodology used was that devised by SRK in conjunction with Placer (Granny Smith).
This is described in Section 4 of SRK’s Laverton Historic Exploration Review, 2000.
Stage A. Ground Acquisition Goals: To build an expert team for the belt/region
(Project Generation) To have knowledge, knowledge management and data /
information availability for the belt
To acquire ground in well endowed belts, considering availability,
political/environmental risks
Probabilities/risks associated with progressing from Stage A to Stage B, i.e. P(A-B)
Probability that the process of Ground Acquisition (A) will result in the acquisition of high quality, well
endowed and available ground that is worthy of further work
Stage B. Prospect Definition Goals: To define drillable targets
(Reconnaissance Exploration) To build area knowledge, quality data management systems,
suitable geological models
To use efficient exploration methods, geologic skills of exploration
team
To define prospect risks and target ranking tools, exploration
audit process
To test presence of mineralising system
Probabilities/risks associated with progressing from Stage B to Stage C, i.e. P(B-C)
Probability that this process will define drillable targets (features that meet criteria of the geological model
and knowledge of the area)
Stage C. Drill Testing Goals: To test geological and mineralisation models, interpreted from
(Systematic RC, DD) mapping and geochemical sampling
To test geological information gathered during prospect definition
To test presence of mineralising system to the stage of indication
of sufficient continuity and grade as to indicate to potential for
an economic resource.
Probabilities/risks associated with progressing from Stage C to Stage D, i.e. P (C-D)
Probability that the drill testing phase will result in one or more "economic drill intersections" that would be
further drill tested
The decision to continue would be supported by other geological information that would give some initial
confidence in the continuity of mineralisation
Stage D. Resource Delineation Goals: To have confidence in size and grade potential, continuity of
grade and geological setting
To understand controls on grade distribution (low cost curve
position)
Probabilities/risks associated with progressing from Stage D to Stage E, i.e. P(D-E)
Probability that a "drill-out" will result in the definition of a preliminary resource that is sufficiently robust at
present prices to warrant proceeding to feasibility
Stage E. Feasibility Goals: To determine metallurgy, metal prices, mineability, cost, prices,
mineral balance sheet
To result in decision to mine, asset with defined NPV
Probabilities/risks associated with progressing from Stage E to target NPV
Probability that the feasibility study will deliver an ore reserve
7
As applied to projects at Kidston, these are defined more specifically and are discussed
further in Section 1.6.
A list of exploration projects at Kidston was generated. The principal sources of information
for the review were Department of Minerals and Energy Annual Technical Reports for
exploration projects held at Kidston.
Expenditures for individual Exploration Permits were acquired from the DME for the period
from 1985-1995. Exploration expenditures for individual Exploration Permits for the period
1995-2000 were recorded at Kidston. The Accounting Department at Kidston provided total
annual expenditure, for delineation and exploration. Due to their being no requirement to
provide the DME with exploration details or expenditures for exploration on mine leases, no
expenditure information was available for the drill out of the original Wises Hill resource, or
other exploration, from the time of Placers acquisition of the project in 1978, to start of
mining in 1985.
The fourteen exploration projects reviewed are listed below, in order of decreasing
expenditure (Table 2). Total cumulative exploration expenditure at Kidston to end 2000
amounts to $23,910,949.
Data summary spreadsheets were developed by Marcus Willson and Deborah Lord for the
Laverton Project and adapted for the Kidston Project. The Project Summary, which includes
8
the number of prospects at each Exploration Stage, and corresponding expenditure are
included in Appendix I.
9
The following information was summarised for each exploration project area for each year:
Tenement history - lease numbers and years
Project Summary - how many exploration prospects were at each Exploration Stage each
year (taking into account projects at the same stage that have been on-going over multiple
years or reporting periods), plus associated exploration costs per Exploration Stage
Cost details – spreadsheets compiling relevant expenditure, amalgamated for the
exploration project but spilt into the various Exploration Stages. Where reported costs
were attributable to more than one Exploration Stage, costs were divided according to the
ratio of metres drilled and samples collected (allows division where geochemical
sampling was conducted) at estimated cost to determine a percentage to be attributed.
Where possible real costs were then apportioned to the relevant Exploration Stage
accordingly. Exploration expenditure relates to dollars spent on particular exploration
programs during the reporting periods.
The general Exploration Stages defined in Section 2.1 were applied during the data review.
More specific comments for the Kidston Historical Review should be noted:
Stage A Project Generation Stage. This Exploration Stage includes ground selection
and tenement acquisition which, occurs prior to an Exploration Project commencing.
Often very little of this type of activity is recorded in easily retrievable technical reports.
From 1994 onwards a project generation cost code was used to capture expenditure for
activities associated with this Stage, such as prospect reviews and university studies.
Costs for items such as aeromagnetic data purchase, reconnaissance stream sampling,
regional I.P., image interpretation and regional mapping were attributed to the
Exploration Permits. An estimate of the proportion of the salaries of the geological team
attributable to project generation was also used as a cost estimate. Unfortunately, not all
targets developed from the interpretation of aeromagnetics and stream geochemistry were
listed in the reports. Generally only those prospects where reconnaissance rock samples
were collected were reported. Costs associated with orientation studies over known
mineralisation, i.e. the Eldridge multi-element geochemistry study were also allocated to
this Stage, as they are considered applicable to determining the Kidston signature.
Similarly the Datamine study of the Kidston mineralisation is included in this stage as this
was to aid in targeting in the Generative Stage through to the Reconnaissance Stage.
Stage B Reconnaissance Exploration Stage. Generally exploration activity related to
this Stage includes all grid based geochemical sampling programs (rock, soils, RAB
drilling), mapping, and ground geophysics (ground magnetics, I.P. EM) utilised to define
drillable targets. This stage may also include RC, or diamond drilling where conceptual
targets required this type of drilling to test at an early stage (e.g. where surface or near
surface sampling is not possible).
Stage C Drill Testing / Systematic Exploration Stage. Exploration activity related to
this Stage includes selected drill testing of an anomaly or pattern drill testing up to the
point of obtaining one or more ‘economic’ drill intercepts. RC diamond and some RAB
drilling are included in costs associated with this Exploration Stage. Some ground
geophysics may also be assigned here where it is used to aid located extensions to
10
mineralised intercepts (e.g. down hole I.P.). Since the definition of a single ‘economic’
intersection is difficult it is perhaps better to consider this Stage as continuing up to when
there is indication of the potential of an economic resource. Sometimes a single promising
drill intercept may have been obtained during Stage B, but its significance not known.
Stage C exploration is concerned with defining the likelihood that there is sufficient
continuity and grade to indicate the potential for an economic resource and without this,
the project would not move to delineation stage.
An example of Stage C includes the drilling program at Wandoo in 2000 where 7 RC
Diamond holes were drilled to determine if continuity existed, and potential for a +1 Moz
deposit existed between the broadly spaced intercepts in the earlier drill programs.
Stage D Resource Delineation Stage. Pattern grid drilling to determine the extent and
continuity of mineralisation consisting primarily of diamond and RC drilling,
geotechnical, hydrogeological and metallurgical testwork, preliminary resource modeling.
Stage E Feasibility Stage. Infill drilling during prefeasibility to feasibility Exploration
Stage including detailed diamond drilling, other testwork, resource modeling etc. Separate
costings for the Delineation and Feasibility drilling were not available for the Wises
Extension and the Eldridge ore bodies. The 2 costs were combined into the Delineation
Stage.
It also provides a summary of the number of prospects, which advance through the pipeline
allowing a probability calculation to be made as discussed further below.
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Kidston Historic Exploration Review
Project Name Project Generation Reconnaissance Stage Drill Testing Stage (C) Resource Delineation Feasibility Stage (E) Total Project Exploration
Stage (A) (B) Stage (D) Expenditure
Kidston Lease
Number of Prospects 11 0 11 2 2
Combined Cost $1,030,735 $0 $2,097,132 $11,906,000 $14,713,867
Cost per Prospect $93,703 $0 $110,648 $5,802000
Kidston Environs
Number of Prospects 54 35 15 0 0
Combined Cost $2,007,386 $2,423,934 $387,201 $0 $0 $4,818,521
Cost per Prospect $37,174 $69,255 $25,813 $0 $0
Georgetown West
Number of Prospects 25 14 4 0 0
Combined Cost $217,875 $605,901 $126,007 $0 $0 $949,783
Cost per Prospect $8,715 $43,279 $42,002 $0 $0
Mt Turner JV
Number of Prospects 10 9 3 0 0
Combined Cost $80,155 $497,930 $292,931 $0 $0 $871,016
Cost per Prospect $8,816 $55,326 $97,644 $0 $0
Forsayth West JV
Number of Prospects 14 6 5 0 0
Combined Cost $85,712 $511,695 $178,857 $0 $0 $776,264
Cost per Prospect $6,122 $85,283 $35,771 $0 $0
Bald Mountain
Number of Prospects 4 2 1 0 0
Combined Cost $157,431 $108,935 $236,453 $0 $0 $502,819
Cost per Prospect $39,358 $54,468 $236,453 $0 $0
Wandoo Option
Number of Prospects 1 1 1 0 0
Combined Cost $12,100 $44,987 $263,659 $0 $0 $320,746
Cost per Prospect $12,100 $44,987 $263,659 $0 $0
Percyville JV
Number of Prospects 4 1 1 0 0
Combined Cost $2,200 $162,850 $92,143 $0 $0 $257,193
Cost per Prospect $550 $162,850 $92,143 $0 $0
Gilberton JV
Number of Prospects 1 5 0 0 0
Combined Cost $1,000 $98,800 $0 $0 $0 $99,800
Cost per Prospect $1,000 $19,760 $0 $0 $0
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Kidston Historic Exploration Review
Project Name (cont…) Project Generation Reconnaissance Stage Drill Testing Stage (C) Resource Delineation Feasibility Stage (E) Total Project Exploration
Stage (A) (B) Stage (D) Expenditure
Mt Hogan
Number of Prospects 8 6 2 0 0
Combined Cost $9,350 $57,532 $28,440 $0 $0 $95,322
Cost per Prospect $1,169 $9,589 $14,220 $0 $0
Quartz Blow Creek
Number of Prospects 2 1 0 0 0
Combined Cost $40,157 $18,645 $0 $0 $0 $58,802
Cost per Prospect $20,079 $18,645 $0 $0 $0
Galloway
Number of Prospects 1 2 0 0 0
Combined Cost $2,940 $31,019 $0 $0 $0 $130,701
Cost per Prospect $2,940 $15,510 $0 $0 $0
Christmas Hill Option
Number of Prospects 0 1 0 0 0
Combined Cost $0 $23,089 $0 $0 $0 $115,897
Cost per Prospect $0 $23,089 $0 $0 $0
Project Generation
Number of Prospects 32 0 0 0 0
Combined Cost $371,768 $0 $0 $0 $0 $110,777
Cost per Prospect $11,618 $0 $0 $0 $0
Total number of Prospects 169 83 46 2 2
Probability of advancing (from previous stage) 0.49 0.49 0.05 1.00
Total cost for all Prospects at each Exploration $3,920,318 $4,644416 $3,751,645 $11,604,000 $23,910,949
Stage
Average cost for all Prospects at each $23197 $55,957 $81,558 $5,802,000
Exploration Stage
Table 3. Summary table of Kidston projects showing number of exploration prospects, cost of exploration, and average cost
per prospects for each of the Exploration Stages. Note that Stage E is not represented in this data set (see discussion below).
13
Kidston Historic Exploration Review
Synthesizing the above data a summary table (Table 4), was generated (note all are AUD$,
and unadjusted to current dollars);
The cost per prospect in the Generative stage due in part to the large area explored by KGM.
Under an agreement with Placer Exploration Ltd, Placer was restricted from exploring within
a 100 km radius of Kidston, allowing KGM to test this area for resources in its own right.
Generative exploration had a heavy reliance on regional stream geochemical surveys over
large areas (+5,000 square km) and regional I.P. surveys to identify the “Kidston signature”,
along with regional mapping to identify breccia pipes. A large component was also
attributable to the flying, and interpretation of >30,000 ln km of aeromagnetics/radiometrics.
The multi-element geochemistry study of Eldridge core was attributed to this stage as this
was the basis to defining the “Kidston signature” and was a major cost contributor.
The relatively low cost/prospect for the Reconnaissance reflects the early identification of
drill targets.
The relatively low Systematic Drill Testing component reflects the early recognition of
targets that will not meet KGM’s investment criteria. This cost is much lower than that
found in the Laverton review. This is largely due to the high Au endowment of the Laverton
area, and the nature of Archean Au mineralisation, but also due to the superior exposure in
the Kidston region. This led to far greater surface geological knowledge and the ability to test
targets with 2 or 3 selected drill holes.
The Kidston Environs Project has an anomalously large expenditure commitment for a
project where no prospects advanced to the delineation stage. This is largely due to the size of
the area that was encompassed by the Project. In the period 1988-1994, all wholly owned
KGM Exploration Permits were reported as a single project. These exploration permits were
enclosed in an area approximately 80 km in diameter. This is almost 10x the average sized
project. The average cost of evaluating targets in each stage is consistent with the other
projects.
Costs for the feasibility studies have not been included. The Wises expansion occurred in a
number of phases (final stage 5 pit). Although a feasibility study was completed for Eldridge,
infill drilling was conducted concurrently with step out drilling. All costs related to feasibility
have been captured as delineation. Hence the very large cost figure in the Delineation Stage is
really a combination of the resource Delineation and Feasibility Stages.
14
Kidston Historic Exploration Review
A summary of resources defined for relevant exploration projects between 1985 and 2000 is
shown in Table 5.
Table 5. Summary of exploration expenditure per project versus current resource or ounces
produced and profit.
All of the resources defined at Kidston have been located on the Kidston Lease project,
specifically within the Kidston pipe. Small deposits with were identified at Josephine on the
Kidston Project, Mountain Creek in the Mt Turner J.V., Wandoo on the Mt Wandoo J.V., and
Union on the Percyville J.V.. Early recognition that these prospects would not meet KGM’s
investment criteria (Josephine and Union – insufficient tonnes to pay for the strip ratio, road
building, and road maintenance (negative NPV); Mountain Creek and Wandoo – insufficient
ounces to support a stand-alone operation) led to their disposal by sale (Josephine), or
relinquishment prior to entering the delineation stage.
The Kidston Environs Project identified numerous mineralised systems, but with potential for
<20 Koz, these were quickly evaluated and disposed.
As part of the Generative Stage in the Kidston and Target Generation Projects, a number of
resources in the Kidston area were evaluated. These ranged in size from 8 Koz to 90 Koz, and
included Mt Hogan, Beverly, Jubilee/Plunger, Agate Creek/Sherwood, and Electric Light. All
failed to meet KGM’s investment criteria due to lack of tonnage to pay for road building and
maintenance (negative NPV), or in the case of Agate Creek, too late in the mine life to be
exploited.
Major intrusion related deposits in North Queensland have a similarly solitary nature. The
region surrounding the Mount Leyshon deposit of 5 Moz has also been extensively explored
with no additional reserves identified outside the breccia pipe. At Red Dome (1 Moz), no
additional reserves where identified away from the main intrusive centre. Similar situations
occur at Charters Towers (7 Moz), Ravenswood (3 Moz), and Mount Morgan (8 Moz). The
15
Kidston Historic Exploration Review
major intrusive related deposits are restricted to the primary structural anomaly (e.g. breccia
pipe) on the major transfer structure active at the time of emplacement. The bulk of the
mineralising fluid is focused on the major structural anomaly, with only very small deposits
are present in the peripheries of the system. In the case of Kidston this is the Gilberton Fault,
with the exploration of the Kidston Environs , Percyville J.V., Gilberton J.V., Christmas Hill,
and Mt Hogan projects highlighting the lack of significant deposits away from the Kidston
breccia pipe.
The implication of the statement above is that once the major deposit has been found, the
main structural anomaly and its immediate vicinity should be intensely explored. Once this is
completed, exploration should move on to finding the next major deposit on the another
transfer structure. In 1995, Campex at Kidston was essentially completed and exploration
focussed on goldfields, associated with Permo-Carboniferous intrusives, on major crustal
scale structures further afield. This occurred initially in the Georgetown/Forsayth area, and
then more selectively elsewhere in North Queensland, i.e. the Wandoo Project at Chillagoe.
These projects targeted +1 Moz deposits that would support a stand-alone operation. A
comparison between Kidston Campex and Focus Grass Roots exploration is made in Section
5.
Table 56 is based on more complete resource data and, where available, associated profit
and / or NPV data. Due to the in the pre-stripping, low grade reclaim, and direct production
from orebodies, the profit figures and cash costs per mine are approximated. Table 7 and
Figure 1 show exploration expenditure over time.
16
Kidston Historic Exploration Review
Deposit Exploration Resources at DTM Resource Profit Actual Oz mined Total Cash Data Source / Comment
Project Oz at (Approx) Cost*
DTM
Wises Hill 37.04Mt @ 1.86g/t Au 2.22M A$306M* 2.2M A$265* Spread Sheet constructed by Gil Quickfall
Wises Kidston 33.96Mt @ 1.19 g/t Au 1.30M A$80M** 1.2M A$471*** Spread Sheet constructed by Gil Quickfall.
Expansion Lease
Eldridge Kidston 23.17Mt @ 1.24g/t Au 0.93M A$58M*** 0.7M A$471*** Spread Sheet constructed by Gil Quickfall
Lease (A$89M) (A$435#)
Table 6. Table of resources and estimated Net Present Value (NPV) or profit at Decision to Mine (DTM) for the deposits
defined at Kidston.
** 1994-2001 “profit” proportional to ounces – due to overlap of low grade reclaim and Eldridge stripping
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Kidston Historic Exploration Review
Kidston Lease Kidston Environs Georgetown West Mt Turner Forsayth West Bald Mountain Project Generation Wandoo
1985 $272,000
1986 $787,000
1987 $0
1988 $624,000 $242,986
1989 $66,926 $734,883
1990 $1,531,000 $1,352,847
1991 $1,067,489 $573,266
1992 $119,708 $686,500
1993 $1,100,100 $497,100
1994 $5,606,480 $276,829 12,340 $136,122 $18,718 $22,007
1995 $3,049,570 $107,363 $170,846 $316,709 $11,115 $75,936
1996 $341,150 $153,181 $257,976 $207,244 $141,322 $22,534 $61,353
1997 $32,469 $99,385 $215,639 $210,941 $81,838 $141,839 $66,322
1998 $39,028 $25,566 $37,008 $58,479 $72,160 $34,667
1999 $56,765 $39,689 $213,961 $378,406 $236,453 $83,985 $129,741
2000 $38,182 $28,926 $42,013 $116,219 $9,199 $27,498 $191,005
Total $14,731,867 $4,818,521 $949,783 $871,016 $776,264 $502,819 $371,768 $320,746
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Kidston Historic Exploration Review
Percyville Gilberton Mt Hogan Quartz Blow Creek Gallaway Christmas Hill Annual Expenditure Cumulative
Expenditure
1985 $272,000 $272,000
1986 $787,000 $1,059,000
1987 $0 $1,059,000
1988 $95,322 $962,308 $2,021,308
1989 $23,089 $824,898 $2,846,206
1990 $2,883,847 $5,730,053
1991 $53,800 $1,694,555 $7,424,608
1992 $46,000 $852,208 $8,276,816
1993 $1,597,200 $9,874,016
1994 $20,725 $6,093,221 $15,967,237
1995 $15,448 $13,234 $3,760,221 $19,727,458
1996 $24,709 $1,209,469 $20,936,927
1997 $18,645 $867,321 $21,804,248
1998 $266,908 $22,071,156
1999 $1,138,991 $23,210,147
2000 $257,193 $710,235 $23,920,382
Total $257,193 $99,800 $95,322 $58,802 $33,959 $23,089 $23,920,382 23,920,382
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Kidston Historic Exploration Review
30000000
Annual Expenditure
Forsayth West
15000000 Bald Mountain
Wandoo
Percyville
10000000 Gilberton
Mt Hogan
Quartz Blow Ck
5000000 Gallow ay
Christmas Hill
Project Generation
0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Year
Figure 1. Chart of historical exploration expenditure at Kidston, including project, annual and cumulative.
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Kidston Historic Exploration Review
The prompt recognition and early drill testing of the best exploration targets is crucial is
realising value of exploration properties.
21
Kidston Historic Exploration Review
In 1995, KGM began what was essentially a Focussed Grass Roots exploration program in
the Georgetown/Forsayth region. This was later expanded to include targets throughout North
Queensland. It was Focussed Grass Roots in so far as exploration was targeted on goldfields,
associated with Permo-Carboniferous rhyolitic intrusives and crustal scale structures, and
based on the Kidston Model. Later targets tended towards the MSP side of the scale as mine
closure loomed.
Table 8 and Table 9 summarise the exploration expenditures as Campex and Focussed Grass
Roots.
Table 8. Summary of Campex and Focused Grass Roots exploration projects reviewed at
Kidston
Campex/Minex
Exploration Stage Number of Expenditure Cost / Probability of advancing
prospects (1985-2000) Prospect from previous Stage
Generative 78 $3.1M $39K
Reconnaissance 48 $2.8M $58K 0.62: 2 in 3
Systematic Drill 29 $2.8M $96K 0.60: 2 in 3
Testing
Resource Delineation 2 $11.6M $5,802K 0.07: 1 in 14
Feasibility 2 1.00: 2 of 2
Mine 2 1.00: 2 of 2
Focused Grass Roots
Exploration Stage Number of Expenditure Cost / Probability of advancing
prospects (1985-2000) Prospect from previous Stage
Generative 91 $0.8M $9K
Reconnaissance 35 $1.8M $51K 0.38: 2 in 5
Systematic Drill 17 $0.9M $53K 0.49: 1 in 2
Testing
Resource Delineation 0 0
Feasibility 0 0
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Kidston Historic Exploration Review
Mine 0 0
Table 9. Synthesis of historical exploration activity by Exploration Stage for Campex and
Focused Grass Roots exploration projects at Kidston.
The Generative cost per prospect for the Campex is very high. This cost included the flying
of aeromagnetics over virtually the entire region, regional I.P., and the Eldridge multi-
element geochemistry program. The Generative cost per prospect for Focused Grass Roots is
in line with that found in the Laverton review.
The Reconnaissance cost per prospect for Campex and FGR is remarkably similar. This is a
result of using a consistent exploration approach based on the Kidston model.
Smaller target size for Campex than for FGR meaning that targets that would be passed
over in FGR would be tested in a Campex program.
Testing for “buried Kidston” targets by drilling I.P. targets with or without a geochemical
signature.
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Kidston Historic Exploration Review
As part of the Laverton review, SRK in conjunction with Placer (Granny Smith) constructed a
valuation methodology that can be used to value exploration projects and as a means of
ranking prospects and prioritising exploration expenditure. The application of this
methodology, particularly to Project Generation and Reconnaissance Exploration Stage
prospects is outlined below.
The presence of various geological features present at each prospect location is used to
determine the probability that the prospect will advance to the next stage of the exploration
program. This relies on the geological model used for exploration, i.e. the Kidston model, and
the presence of key first order processes or critical success factors, without which a deposit
would not have formed.
For each feature of the geological model, a value between 1.0 and 0.0 is assigned, where a
value of a value of 1.0 indicates that feature is definitely present and 0.0 indicates the feature
is not present. A value of 0.5 is assigned where information about the feature is not known or
data are not available. A probability higher than 0.5 indicates that there is evidence that the
feature is present, whereas a probability below 0.5 is assigned where there is evidence that the
feature is not present.
Initial criteria to be used in assigning probabilities for individual prospects for the
Kidston/Intrusive related model are summarised on the following page.
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As was stated in the Laverton Report, these individual probability factors are multiplied
together to form an estimate of the probability that all essential components of the ore system
are present in the target region (example Table ). This is assumed to be the same as the
probability that there is mineralisation at the target region, and therefore that the prospect
could advance to the next phase of exploration.
The product of probabilities assigned is considered to represent the probability that the
exploration project or prospect could advance to the next Stage of exploration.
By assigning a NPV for the target deposit size being sought, the probabilities can be
transferred to a valuation spreadsheet and using the probabilities and exploration costs
documented during the review, an Expected Value of each prospect could also be calculated.
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To examine the success of exploration the resources discovered per project and expected
NPV / Profit at decision to mine were also summarised and compared to the total exploration
expenditure;
The high generative component reflected the large area explored by KGM, and the heavy
reliance on large scale regional stream geochemistry, reconnaissance traversing and
regional mapping, and regional I.P. programs to identify a “Kidston signature”, as well as
large aeromagnetic surveys, photogeologic surveys and other studies.
The relatively low cost/prospect for the Reconnaissance reflects the early identification of
drill targets.
The relatively low Systematic Drill Testing component reflects the early recognition of
targets that will not meet KGM’s investment criteria.
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All of the resources defined at Kidston were located in the Kidston Mine Lease, and
correspond with the highest funded exploration project by far.
The Kidston Environs Project has a very high total expenditure commitment due to the
extremely large area encompassed by the project. Numerous small mineralised systems
were identified, but with potential for <20 Koz, these where were quickly evaluated and
disposed.
Major intrusion related deposits are restricted to the primary structural anomaly (e.g.
breccia pipe) on the major transfer structure in the area.
Once the major deposit has been found, the main structural anomaly and its immediate
vicinity should be intensely explored. Once this is completed, exploration should move on
to finding the next major deposit on the another transfer structure.
The Georgetown West, Forsayth West, Mt Turner, Bald Mountain, and Wandoo Projects
tested targets on other transfer structures in Far North Queensland. These targeted stand
alone deposits of >1 Moz.
The Reconnaissance cost per prospect for Campex and FGR at Kidston is remarkably
similar due to using a consistent exploration approach based on the Kidston model.
Prompt recognition and early drill testing of key targets is critical in optimising and
realising exploration value.
Exploration should aim to systematically test the best exploration targets, rather than
systematically exploring the project areas.
A template to rank and prioritise exploration targets, similar to that constructed for the
Laverton area is included in the body of this report.
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8. REFERENCES
SRK Consulting, Placer Granny Smith, 2000, “Laverton Historic Exploration Review”
Lord D., Etheridge M., Willson M., Hall, G., Uttley P., “Measuring Exploration Success: An
alternate to the discovery-cost-per-ounce method of quantifying exploration effectiveness.,
unpublished draft.”
Circosta G., Bobis R., Burgess K., “The Mack’s Knob Delineation and Mine Lease
Exploration Programs (1993-1995)”
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Appendix I
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