Mainstreet Research Survey of Voting Intentions in Barrie

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Methodology

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on September 21, 2020
among a sample of 1005 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Barrie. The survey was
conducted using automated telephone interviews (Smart IVR). Respondents were interviews
on landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population
in Barrie.
The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.7% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are
higher in each subsample.
Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.

1
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeff Lehman is handling his
job as Mayor of Barrie?

14 %

11 %

All Respondents 51 %

24 %

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve

Response
Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove

broken out by age and gender

Gender Age
Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Strongly Approve 50.9% 49.5% 52.4% 35.3% 50.2% 55.9% 60.4%
Somewhat Approve 23.7% 18.6% 29% 6.6% 29.2% 27.8% 29%
Somewhat Disapprove 11.2% 13.7% 8.6% 16.2% 11.2% 11.2% 6.2%
Strongly Disapprove 14.2% 18.2% 10% 41.9% 9.4% 5% 4.4%
Unweighted Frequency 908 326 582 12 113 243 540
Weighted Frequency 908 455 438 199 224 271 199

2
broken out by ward

Ward
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Strongly Approve 50.9% 43.4% 63.2% 55.6% 43.9% 42.7% 56.8% 41.1% 48.6% 66.6% 38.2%
Somewhat Approve 23.7% 19.3% 21.9% 17.9% 30.3% 33.6% 22.6% 45.1% 22.3% 16.7% 16.8%
Somewhat Disapprove 11.2% 3.4% 9.7% 25.1% 6.1% 16.7% 8.2% 13.2% 6.4% 11.4% 19.6%
Strongly Disapprove 14.2% 33.9% 5.2% 1.4% 19.7% 6.9% 12.4% 0.6% 22.7% 5.3% 25.5%
Unweighted Frequency 908 86 147 72 92 81 65 52 117 50 67
Weighted Frequency 908 74 101 94 74 108 61 50 101 46 81

broken out by past voting

Total Yes No
Strongly Approve 50.9% 53.3% 31.9%
Somewhat Approve 23.7% 23.2% 27.5%
Somewhat Disapprove 11.2% 10.5% 16.9%
Strongly Disapprove 14.2% 13% 23.7%
Unweighted Frequency 908 854 54
Weighted Frequency 908 791 102

3
And, do you approve or disapprove of City Council as a whole?

9%
21 %

21 %

All Respondents

49 %

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve

Response
Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove

broken out by age and gender

Gender Age
Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Strongly Approve 20.8% 19.1% 22.5% 9% 21.8% 24.7% 27.1%
Somewhat Approve 49.3% 42.8% 55.9% 51.7% 44.1% 47.4% 54.7%
Somewhat Disapprove 20.6% 24.5% 16.7% 30.3% 16.6% 21.3% 13.5%
Strongly Disapprove 9.4% 13.6% 5% 9% 17.5% 6.5% 4.7%
Unweighted Frequency 878 321 557 13 108 237 520
Weighted Frequency 878 447 436 212 213 266 192

4
broken out by ward

Ward
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Strongly Approve 20.8% 18.1% 31.8% 33.8% 23.9% 14.9% 28.5% 21.6% 16.5% 14.3% 15%
Somewhat Approve 49.3% 42.7% 42.9% 34.7% 42.6% 69.4% 39.3% 38.6% 63.2% 49.9% 49.8%
Somewhat Disapprove 20.6% 9.6% 18.3% 30.4% 26.4% 8% 17% 36.8% 12.4% 27% 22.7%
Strongly Disapprove 9.4% 29.6% 7% 1% 7.1% 7.6% 15.2% 3.1% 7.9% 8.8% 12.5%
Unweighted Frequency 878 84 144 70 82 78 62 57 113 50 63
Weighted Frequency 878 73 98 92 66 104 59 66 98 44 81

broken out by past voting

Total Yes No
Strongly Approve 20.8% 21.5% 15.1%
Somewhat Approve 49.3% 48.5% 55.5%
Somewhat Disapprove 20.6% 20.3% 23.6%
Strongly Disapprove 9.4% 9.8% 5.7%
Unweighted Frequency 878 827 51
Weighted Frequency 878 784 99

5
And, do you approve or disapprove of your local City Councillor?

10 %

30 %
17 %

All Respondents

42 %

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve

Response
Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove

broken out by age and gender

Gender Age
Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+
Strongly Approve 30.2% 30.5% 29.9% 22.8% 35.2% 25.4% 37.8%
Somewhat Approve 42.2% 37.6% 47.3% 38.6% 37.3% 49.4% 41.5%
Somewhat Disapprove 17.4% 18.8% 15.9% 27.2% 9.1% 18.7% 15.6%
Strongly Disapprove 10.2% 13.2% 6.9% 11.4% 18.4% 6.5% 5.1%
Unweighted Frequency 809 303 506 10 98 212 489
Weighted Frequency 809 409 372 167 194 239 181

6
broken out by ward

Ward
Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Strongly Approve 30.2% 18.4% 41% 64.2% 19.5% 24.6% 38.6% 32.9% 17.6% 24.6% 17.9%
Somewhat Approve 42.2% 39.4% 36.7% 28.7% 41.3% 46.6% 36.3% 46.8% 56.6% 42.6% 52.9%
Somewhat Disapprove 17.4% 4.4% 13.2% 3.4% 31.9% 24.7% 14.7% 11.2% 20.9% 22.7% 11.8%
Strongly Disapprove 10.2% 37.8% 9.1% 3.7% 7.3% 4.1% 10.4% 9.2% 4.9% 10.1% 17.4%
Unweighted Frequency 809 81 134 65 79 72 54 54 101 46 61
Weighted Frequency 809 72 86 70 61 86 52 51 92 41 75

broken out by past voting

Total Yes No
Strongly Approve 30.2% 29.4% 35.5%
Somewhat Approve 42.2% 41.9% 44.2%
Somewhat Disapprove 17.4% 17.7% 15.4%
Strongly Disapprove 10.2% 11% 4.9%
Unweighted Frequency 809 758 51
Weighted Frequency 809 680 101