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provocative opinion

Does Theory Ever Become Fact?


Charles M. Wynn
Eastern Connecticut State University, Willimantic, CT 06226

Recent breakthroughs in the field of microscopy have form of explanation is usually called a theory. In the
an
provided striking evidence for the apparent reality of example, one theory might be that the next door neighbor
atoms. In the 1950’s, field ion microscopes were used to is a health enthusiast who behaves that way to stay fit by
provide images of gas atoms striking a fluorescent screen. jogging. This might be called the Theory that the Next
In 1976, scanning electron microscopes were used to pro- Door Neighbor Is a Health-Conscious Jogger. The theory
duce motion pictures of the thermal motion of uranium predicts the observation of this neighbor jogging between
atoms. With the development of a new family of micro- 6:00 and 7:00 a.m. Until such a sighting is made, other ex-
scopes, scanned-probe microscopes, such as the scanning planations such as tennis playing, newspaper getting, etc.,
tunneling microscope developed in 1981 and the atomic could also be considered.
force microscope developed in 1985, direct observation of A theory also can take the form of a model, a representa-
particles with properties consistent with theoretical expec- tion of reality invented to account for observed phenom-
tations of atoms has at last been achieved (1, 2). Such de- ena. Model formulation is an attempt to provide a visual-
vices are even capable of resolving features that are only ization or analogue that helps one better understand the
about a hundredth the size of an atom. nature and interactions of the entities involved in the phe-
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Now that atoms have been observed and direct evidence nomenon. In this example, one might envision the neigh-
for the shape and location of atoms has been obtained, bor dressed in jogger regalia-a sweatband, sweatshirt,
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should the Atomic Theory be considered completely fac- sweatpants, and jogging shoes. This could be called the
tual? Jogger Model of the neighbor.
The same reasoning process is used by chemists. For ex-
The Nature of Science ample, after numerous determinations of mass relation-
An answer to this question must be given in the context ships in chemical reactions, chemists formulated the laws
of the nature of science. Science, the study of natural and of Conservation of Mass, Constant Composition, and Mul-
artificial phenomena in the universe with the aim of un- tiple Proportions. To explain these laws, they proposed the
derstanding them in a general way, begins with observa- Atomic Theory, which postulates entities known as atoms.
tion of phenomena. After sufficient observations have been
made, a hypothesis or general statement about the basic Limited versus Universal Theories
nature of the phenomenon observed is formulated. This What is the status of a Jogger Model or an Atomic Theory
hypothesis should be as general as possible to deal with once the postulated entities (joggers, atoms) are actually
other phenomena besides the specific ones observed. It can observed?
thus be used to predict phenomena. Experimentation is If the next door neighbor is observed to be a jogger, the
the test of the prediction: did the phenomenon occur as an- Jogger Model takes on the status of fact only for that par-
ticipated? If it did, the hypothesis upon which the predic- ticular jogger. While other individuals who leave their
tion was based gains credibility. If it did not, the hypothe- rooms at 6:00 a.m. and return at 7:00 a.m. out of breath
sis must be discarded or modified to accommodate the may also be joggers, still others may be tennis players,
results. newspaper getters, or even previously unimagined types of
To illustrate this approach, consider a student assigned individuals. A theory regarding a single jogger is a limited
to a room in a college dormitory. On the first day of classes, theory, limited to a particular phenomenon. The sighting
while still burrowed beneath blankets, the student can ob- of one or even many such joggers does not mean that every
serve with his or her sense of hearing that the occupant of
early rising, out-of-breath individual is also a jogger.
the adjoining room leaves the room at 6:00 a.m. and then Even though atomic theory has been able to explain the
returns out of breath at 7:00 a.m. After observing this be- behavior of all matter studied thus far, and, even though in
havior several days in a row, the student formulates a de- all samples scanned by microscopes, the existence of the
scriptive generalization of the behavior: the neighbor al- postulated atoms has been verified, it must be considered
ways leaves the dorm at 6:00 a.m. and returns at 7:00 a.m. at least conceivable that entities other than atoms might
out of breath. A hypothesis in the form of a descriptive gen- be discovered, particles which also explain the laws of Con-
eralization is usually called a law. In this example it might servation of Mass, Constant Composition, and Multiple
be named the Law of the Next Door Neighbor’s Early
Proportions. Scientific theories can never become scientific
Morning Behavior. One could then make a prediction facts, because a scientific theory deals with all instances of
based upon the law: this individual will leave the room to- a phenomenon; i.e., it is a universal theory. While the be-
morrow at 6:00 a.m. and once again return at 7:00 a.m. out havior of all matter may indeed be explained by atomic
of breath. If the actual behavior or experiment is consis- theory, there is no way of being certain that this is the case.
tent with the prediction, the hypothesis gains credibility. If Such is the open-ended nature of science.
not, it must be revised. For example, the next door
neighbor’s behavior may be limited to weekdays. Literature Cited
Once the law has been established, one could seek to ex- 1. Binnig, G.; Rohrer, H. Sci. Amer. 1985, 253 (2), 50-56.
plain the regularity of the behavior. A hypothesis in the 2. Wickramasinghe, H, Sci. Amer. 1986,261 (4), 98-105.

Volume 69 Number 9 September 1992 741

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