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K. Subramanya - Engineering Hy-Hill Education (India) (2009) 49 PDF
K. Subramanya - Engineering Hy-Hill Education (India) (2009) 49 PDF
EXAMPLE 2.8 The record of annual rainfall at Station A covering a period of 22 years
is given below. (a) Estimate the annual rainfall with return periods of 10 years and 50
years. (b) What would be the probability of an annual rainfall of magnitude equal to or
exceeding 100 cm occurring at Station A? (b) What is the 75% dependable annual rain-
fall at station A?
SOLUTION: The data are arranged in descending order and the rank number assigned to
the recorded events. The probability P of the event being equalled to or exceeded is calcu-
lated by using Weibull formula (Eq. 2.14). Calculations are shown in Table 2.5. It may be
noted that when two or more events have the same magnitude (as for m = 13 and 14 in
Table 2.5) the probability P is calculated for the largest m value of the set. The return
period T is calculated as T = 1 /P.
A graph is plotted between the annual rainfall magnitude as the ordinate (on arithmetic
scale) and the return period T as the abscissa (on logarithmic scale), (Fig. 2.17). It can be