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DamianWhite PDF
2020 11:23PM
Introduction
To what extent should the environmental social sciences be as engaged in
speculative thinking about desirable sustainable futures? Should we remain primar-
ily focused on empirically understanding, explaining and critiquing the key
dynamics driving fossil capitalism or should there also be more spaces for rigorous
projective, prescriptive and normative discussions that map and debate possible
pathways to alternative post-carbon futures? This are questions that have long
generated a certain amount of tension in environmental sociology but also in many
other related subfields of the environmental social sciences, such as environmental
geography, political ecology and ecological anthropology. Scholars trained in either
quantitative or qualitative methodologies of the empirical social sciences are taught
to carefully police the slippage between “is” and “ought” and more recently to guard
against “speaking for others” when conducting their explanatory work. Over the last
four decades, neoliberal culture has enforced the view that those who challenge
dominant market logics are “out to lunch or out to kill” (Jacoby 1999: xi).
Postcolonial and indigenous scholars have reminded us that the history of
Eurocentric utopias has also been closely tied to colonial erasures. Most environ-
mental social scientists of a critical disposition are aware that if all our disciplines
can do is to explain and deconstruct the mechanisms driving environmental crisis
without broaching the question “what is to be done?” the crisis will continue
unabated. To think beyond climate denialism, climate fatalism and sheer despair in
these times requires an expansive political imagination informed by propositional
thinking. How, then, should we “future”?
This chapter suggests that whilst many mainstream and critical traditions have
pushed discussions of futures to the sidelines, futures have long played a generative
role in the development of sociology and the broader environmental social sciences.
These have ranged from fin de siècle utopianism to Cold War futurology, from black
feminist science fiction to discussions of “cosmopolitics.” We then go on to argue
that emerging discussions around post-carbon transitions/transformations are now
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settlers who came to the Americans and Australasia were often inspired by utopian
projects and proposals which then quickly fed into and legitimized settler colonial
doctrines of terra nullius/empty space with disastrous consequences for indigenous
people (Hardy, 2012). Rosanne Dunbar Ortiz (2014) has observed Romantic tradi-
tions of wilderness thinking in the United States have rendered invisible the history
of the labor of indigenous people on the land. As Sylvia Wynter has noted “white
utopia” has often functioned as “black inferno” (Wynter, 2003). At the same time, it
has to be recognized that diverse socialist, feminist, black nationalist and prophetic
traditions of utopianism and futuring have centrally informed many moments of the
black freedom struggle in the United States. From African American and Afro-
Brazilian attempts to establish intentional communities, mutual aid movements and
communal societies beyond slavery and white supremacist violence (Peace and
Peace 1963) to the “hidden histories” of African American experiments with eco-
nomic democracy and co-operative systems of ownership (see Gordon Nembhard,
2014; Akuno and Nangwaya 2017), utopias have functioned both to silence and
uplift subordinated peoples.
argued that there have been some striking divergences in how different sections of
the environmental social sciences have engaged with the crisis of futuring.
The rise of the subfield of environmental sociology in North America out of the
limits to growth debates of the 1970s has, generally speaking, been marked by a deep
resistance to neo-liberal, green capitalist/ecomodernist also and poststructuralist/
post-colonial currents. There has also been a somewhat ambivalent attitude to
futuring running through the sub-discipline. The more quantitative end of environ-
mental sociology in the United States – whether exploring public opinion, ecologi-
cally unequal exchange, population-resource dynamics, the metabolic rift or
mapping environmental/climate justice issues – has generally focused on historical,
sociological, explanatory and empirical questions that are thrown up by environ-
mental movements and the study of socio-environmental phenomena rather than
engaging in speculations on the deeper future. It could also be argued that while
environmental sociology in the United States has developed a set of powerful
explanatory concepts that could help us understand the drivers of environmental
degradation, environmental displacement and the limitations of green capitalist/
ecomodern solutions to these problems, there has been much less fresh and innova-
tive thinking around the question of what the forms and contours of a sustainable
future might be. Indeed, it could be noted that the futures that tend to be presented as
offering a viable counter-point to green capitalism are still deeply in debt to quite
dated homeostatic, Eurocentric and dualistic ecologies that shaped the US environ-
mental movement from the 1920s to the 1970s. More often than not, the implicit
future horizons that continues to inform many interventions in the field are still
reliant on a synthesis of the insights of: (i) limits to growth and steady state ecology
reworked now in terms of planetary boundaries discussions; (ii) Malthusian demo-
graphy; (iii) the romantic traditions of North American environmentalism, wild-
erness and “pure Nature” against (perfidious) social constructionism; (iv) some
general sympathies for rural populism often running alongside further commitments
to ; (v) liberal, socialist, feminist, anti-racist and/or Marxist reworking of the insights
of social or deep ecology.
In contrast, it is striking how currents of political ecology and environmental
geography – more closely aligned now with environmental justice studies – have
increasingly sought to think beyond Wilderness Romanticism and the Malthusian
legacies of the 1970s. Following the turn in post-Marxism towards discussions of
radical democracy and the deliberative turn in critical theory toward deliberative
democracy, it has been some kind of vision of ecological democracy that has
emerged out of these discussions. For example, multiple currents of neo-Marxist
political ecology over the last two decades have argued that that the fundamental
project for a radical or revolutionary environmentalism should be less focused on
the imposition of external limits and more focused on the demand for the “demo-
cratic production of nature” which could allow socio-ecological constraints and
enablements to be debated and democratically decided. This frame, influenced by
the writings of Neil Smith (see Smith, 1998; Braun and Castree, 1998), starts from
the proposition that all environmental questions are always political and entangled
in broader power relations about the making, enframing, production or co-
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production of social natures, technologies, spaces and places. The concept of the
democratic production of nature suggests we need to understand and politicize the
capitalist material and semiotic production of social natures if we are to think
about how we could alter this project so as to make just and democratic socio-
natures beyond capitalism (see Braun and Castree 1998). Attention should be
given then to the voices that are excluded from the dominant Malthusian, neo-
liberal or Northern environmental framings of socio-environmental problems.
Attention also needs to be given to the ways in which diverse popular social
movements – such as environmental justice movements in the global North and
what Martinez-Alier has identified as “the environmentalisms of the poor” (2003)
in the global South – and their disruptive knowledges and practices could become
democratizing forces which open up possibilities for alterative productions of
nature.
A slightly different emphasis to the study of social natures has emerged out of
the field of post-humanist or new materialist political ecologies. Following the
spirit of feminist science fiction that we mentioned earlier, many “cosmopolitical”
authors have variously drawn from the philosophical interventions of Isabelle
Stengers, Gilles Deleuze, Bruno Latour and Donna Haraway, indigenous ontolo-
gies with developments in animal studies to further explore the proposition that
we live in messy hybrid worlds marked by “a commotion of many beings” (see
Whatmore, 2002.) The human subject is best understood as neither exceptional or
bounded but relationally constituted and embedded in all kinds of heterogeneous
biochemical, social and technological flows. Cosmopolitics political ecologies are
particularly interested, then, in exploring the porous nature of the human, the
ways in which the boundaries between humans and nonhumans, lively technolo-
gies and lively natures are deeply political and continually marked by complex
boundary crossings and border policing. The key political maneuver of such
approaches has been to argue for a vision of sustainable futures as requiring
some account of multi-species democracy. A political ecology needs to bring in
more voices, or perhaps more accurately, to make visible that there are more
beings and more attachments that need to be objects of concern in thinking about
sustainable, post-carbon futures than a purely humanist political ecology
recognizes.
The virtues of the democratic production of nature and discussions of cosmo-
politics is that they take the complicated intertwined nature of our more-than-
human socio-ecological and socio-technical worlds seriously. These are
approaches which usefully push back against naturalistic determinisms and tech-
nophobic environmental romanticisms, regressive catastrophism and white colo-
nial humanisms. They are literatures which highlight how realities are co-
produced by many agents and the potential continually exists other ways of co-
producing more emancipatory hybrid worlds to come. However, the preference in
this literature for procedural rather than propositional modes of inquiry and
a tendency to avoid extended discussion of the programmatic content or institu-
tional articulation of cosmopolitics/the democratic production of nature has sig-
nificantly limited the impact of these interventions. It is in this respect that
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Discourses of Transition
Over the last decade post carbon futures have been increasingly been dis-
cussed through the language of socio-technical transitions or transformations. In some
respects, discussions of transition are restaging conversations that have run across the
environmental social sciences for four decades and more. This focus has forced the
environmental social sciences to adopt greater openness to propositional discourses. In
the remainder of this chapter, we introduce a range of transition discourses that we will
suggest are now vying to shape the contours of environmental futures to come. What
follows are sketches of eight positions which we will argue capture some of the most
important empirical, theoretical and normative matters at stake. It should be empha-
sized that each position sketched here is a distilled “ideal type” as Max Weber would
have it, a pure case which is presented in its purity so that we can highlight and
accentuate some of the key suppositions underlying a particular transition argument.
Reality of course is more complicated and messy, with plenty of room for fuzzy
boundaries and overlaps between these positions. We consider this typology and these
characterizations preliminary. Again, the goal is to provide some orientation to a vast
landscape that has not been well mapped, and to identify useful elements of each
position.
approaches can become ineffective if attention is not given to lay innovation and
the broader ways in which social practices, habits and cultural expectations
(shaped by ideas of convenience, need, desire, comfort and so on) are also key
drivers of carbon-, energy- and resource-intensive behavior. Transition thinking
has to be able to offer something more than a completely de-contextualized vision
of transition as a globalized high modernist energy infrastructure for a high energy
planet. It needs to ask more penetrating questions such as “Energy for what?” and
“To sustain whose vision of the good life?” Broader issues need to be examined if
transition attempts are to avoid rebound effects and self-defeating strategies. These
include the forces sustaining consumer culture, the design of urban form, and the
design of systems and services that facilitate current modes of carbon intensive
lifestyles. Within the field of transition studies, social practice theory, behavioral
economics, actor network theory, transition design, cultural sociology as well as
interpretive and feminist traditions have increasingly sought to map, investigate
and sometimes instigate these developments.
Fields of transition inquiry focused on everyday life seek to understand and
cultivate social innovation in a range of different spaces. Such work can range
from research exploring the modest nudging and norming that could facilitate
more sustainable lifestyles or forms of green consumption (see Shove and Spurling
et al 2013). Yet, such literature can also look to more substantial social experiments
at the street/community/locality or city level that seek to generate a public directly
engaged in and shaping the possible forms of low carbon futures. Examples of this
might include attempts to build low carbon solidarities and opportunities for collec-
tive, pleasurable downscaling, through: community gardening and different forms of
community provisioning, care and mutual aid; attempts to build cultures of commu-
nity recycling, maintenance and repair; low economic trading schemes, community
supported agriculture, car-pooling; climate conscious public art or low carbon
streets, restaurants and festivals (Schor 2010). Many of these kinds of ventures
coincide with the agenda of the Transition Town and Transition Design movements
(see Kossoff, Tonkinwise, Irwin. 2015). Beyond this, we can see growing intersec-
tions occur between social design, service design and activities in everyday life.
Juliet Schor has argued in Plenitude (2010) that purposeful attempts to aggregate up
subcultures of self-provisioning and downshifting, DIY cultures and various
attempts to build low carbon communitarian ventures could open up very different
pathways for low carbon living for the future. Slow food, sustainable pleasure and
leisure, sustained by institutional supports like a universal basic income, she argues,
might allow us to power down, decelerate, shift our life/work balance and ultimately
live better.
plenitude and transition towns will fail and end up collapsing back into a green
liberal lifestyle politics. There is some evidence that capitalist economies have been
able to achieve relative decoupling of economic growth from resource use (e.g.,
Steinberger and Roberts 2010), there is little evidence that absolute decoupling of
growth from resource use (let alone drastic reductions of greenhouse gas emissions)
are possible in a global capitalist growth-orientated economy.
Proponents of a new commons (P2P Foundation, 2015) or diverse economies
(Gibson-Graham, 2006) argue that post-carbon futures that maximize freedom, and
autonomy are only going to emerge if we can politically expand and defend post-
capitalist spaces for civil and socio-ecological invention. These spaces, however, need
to operate beyond the state and market spheres. The question of public and collective
ownership is critical here. A great deal of transition work in this area has focused on
ways in which utilities might be brought under municipal ownership, how local food
growing might be extended through land trusts, how new forms of public financing
might emerge through community banking or how a range of further peer to peer
services could be provided by socializing the sharing economy via establishing worker
owned platform co-operatives (Scholz, 2016). In many contexts, this search for a more
radical bottom-up vision of transition is occupied by degrowth movements and visions.
Key degrowth thinkers such as Serge Latouche (2012) and Giorgos Kallis (2018) have
argued such modes of anti-capitalist innovation need to focus their critiques on the
growth logic of the existing system. As such, this will involve discarding older
modernist Promethean ideologies, myths of green growth and a shift to an economic
system that ensures that “altruism” takes “precedence over egoism, cooperation over
unbridled competition” (Latouche, 2012:75). Latouche argues social life needs to be
prioritized over unlimited consumption, and that “sharing wealth and access to the
natural resources between North and South as well as within each society” must take
place. Bookchin’s defense of participatory municipal democracy and ‘liberatory Eco
technologies” – mentioned earlier – stands as an important complementary attempt
here to think about the political /institutional forms that could be used to support
decentralized transitions from below (see Bookchin, 2015). Whilst focused more on
the search for sustainable abundance than degrowth per se, radical municipalism
movements today – from Mojave to Barcelona – have drawn inspiration from
Bookchin’s view that attempt to build confederal alliances of popular assemblies,
municipal movements and struggles to create citizen-controlled renewable energy,
food provisioning and solidarity economies, offers the most coherent basis of resis-
tance to fossil capitalism and the fossil fueled state.
Type Six: Red Green Productivism, Left Climate Hawks and the Red
Green State
We use the term Red Green Productivism to refer to a cluster of currents – from Left
Green Keynesians and green social democrats to Left “Climate Hawks,” “solar
communists” and advocates of fully automated luxury socialism. These are funda-
mentally skeptical of the view that deep carbonization will be brought about by the
market, innovation or decentralized bottom-up ventures alone (see Schwartzman,
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2012; Aronoff, 2018; Huber, 2018, Bastian, 2019). Red Green productivists are
committed to the general proposition that sustainable low carbon prosperity is going
to require a drastic cutting of greenhouse gas emissions and degrowth of certain
kinds of wasteful and destructive economic activity, consumption and energy use
(particularly military and consumer spending). As such, they share some of the
critique of capitalist growth outlined by degrowthers and the search for different
kinds of pleasure, leisure and work/life balance outside the capitalist treadmill of
production/consumption. However, they also stress that localist Left transition posi-
tions mostly underestimate the political, socio-technical and scalar complexities of
what is involved in achieving just structural transformation of complex economies to
zero carbon. The range of industries and processes that need to be decarbonized and
the need for new forms of public ownership, bold regulation and new industries to
drive just transitions, they argue, require much more.
From this perspective, just transitions are going to involve massive deployment
and ongoing public investments in diverse clean energy sources, the building of
continental scale smart grids and large “seasonal scale energy storage” systems to
decarbonize the economy. But increasingly it is argued by red green productivists
that this investment for decarbonization has to occur now at a speed and scale across
many more sectors across the economy – from concrete and steel production to the
agro-food sector and transportation – than has ever been grappled with by commu-
nitarian and localist approaches. Revitalized urban, rural and regional planning will
be critical to move urban densification forward, ruggedize coast cities, build afford-
able sustainable public housing and sustainable transportation systems, and speed
the development of just climate-adaptive agriculture and agro-food systems that can
feed 9 billion people. Increasingly, many (though not all) red green productivists ally
with Climate Hawks in arguing that Nuclear power, carbon capture and storage as
well as the contributions that automation and AI might make to rapid decarboniza-
tion all need to be on the table. In short, something like a Green New Deal and World
War II-level mobilization approximates the scale of the task ahead, much more than
narratives framed around degrowth, sufficiency and localist, small-scale solutions.
Moving a just transition forward with appropriate speed and scale will require
revitalized public institutions from the local to cities, regional and national level,
that can confront and overcome fossil capitalism and the forms of ruling class interests
that will resist this project. Christian Parenti (2012), for example, has argued the state
will have to play a central role in decarbonization because it is the only quasi-
democratic institution that has the power to shut down the largest and most powerful
set of industries on the planet – the fossil fuel industries – and help construct a new eco-
industrial settlement. It is state agencies operating at local, city and federal/national
levels that has the administrative reach and the existing infrastructure in place to move
swiftly to develop eco-industrial policies, public financing and new forms of public
ownership that can quickly shift investment, procurement and research and develop-
ment, build circular economies to facilitate sustainable production and consumption,
and regulate the worst polluters out of existence. It is a climate-smart, democratized
green welfare state that could build the kinds of green public goods, redistributive
politics and forms of universal basic income or green job guarantees that can underpin
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a zero carbon politics that decisively shift power and possibility to the multi-racial
working class. Rather than devoting time and energy to well-meaning but often
ineffectual communitarian ventures, red green productivists increasingly argue that
just transitions are going to require the emergence of political movements that under-
stand the urgency of deploying concentrated public power and democratic public
agency to build the just transition. What is required then are forms of political
organizing, movement building, ideological and policy work that can generate popular
hegemonic coalitions around populist demands, like the Green New Deal, that force
public institutions to enact just transitions.
transition discussions emanating from the affluent world is that they are still largely
embedded in ways of knowing which purposely obscure the power relations at play in
transition. For example, the starting points for analysis in Natural Capitalist or
ecomodern transition thinking on “market failure” or “the innovation crisis in energy”
sidesteps analysis of how these systems have been intimately entangled with systems
of colonialism and imperialism, slavery, genocide and plunder for five hundred years
(see Escobar, 2018; Nishime and Hester Williams 2018; Yusoff, 2018). As such,
attempts to theorize transition in terms of US energy choices for decarbonization
that have nothing to say about the exploitative geographies of resource and energy
extraction between minority/majority worlds, the uneven terms of global trade or the
use that militarism plays in sustaining carbon and energy intensive lifestyles amongst
the top 10 percent of the global population must be recognized as deficient and
ideological. What follows from this then? First, no progress on just transitions will
be made unless there is acknowledgement of the ecological and carbon debt owed by
the affluent majority world to the majority world. Second, there must be full recogni-
tion that many Eco technologies underpinning proposals for a Green New Deal raise
significant issues around resource extraction (particularly for rare earths and Coltan),
land use impacts (for solar and wind) and disposal and could contribute to the ongoing
displacement of environmental pollutants from North to South (see Mulvaney, 2019).
As such the environmental impacts of affluent nations must be internalized rather than
displaced, and many argue this will now require that the affluent world rapidly shrinks
or degrows its vast overextended ecological footprint to allow for sustainable growth
of the “survival emissions” of the global South. Third, transition strategies must not
only stop the use of the global South as “sink” and “tap” for the global North, but
provide reparations to allow communities in the global South to mitigate and adapt to
climate change and build systems that can offer sustainable prosperity for the majority
world. Fourth, the settler colonial frames of modernization theory, what Arturo
Escobar (2018) calls the “one world World” project that that underpins ecomodern
transition thinking must be challenged, and a world where many worlds fit (which
Escobar has called a pluriverse) must be honored and acknowledged. For Escobar,
what this means is that we need transition thinking, transition design and transition
practice that can decenter Northern transition discourse (whilst engaging with its
strengths). Transition debates must be opened up to the insights of subordinated
subaltern knowledges (particularly indigenous and peasant knowledges). Transition
futures cannot simply seek to globalize Euro-American futures, rather futuring for the
Pluraliverse will requiring thinking with Afro-futurists, Chicano and Latinx futures,
sino-futures, queer futures, indigenous futures and many more futures to make other
worlds possible.
space of despair, cling to counter-cultural ecotopias that have long lost their political
and cultural relevance or engage in evasive and ultimately safe modes of procedural-
ism that never actually propose anything concrete. Our climate emergency has
revealed, as Tony Fry argues, that one particular future – “is coming at us” – with
alarming speed and we must do all that we can to redirect our practices as fast as
possible to bring about survivable post-carbon futures (see Fry, 2009). This chapter has
also demonstrated that the matter of transition is increasingly organizing how we think
about sustainable futures. We have gone on to map a series of eight different accounts
of how post-transitions are being conceptualized in the emerging literature on transi-
tions. It is tempting to read these different traditions as fundamentally antagonistic, and
clearly, there are some fundamental tension underlying each approach. From advocacy
of the merits of green growth to advocates of degrowth, champions of modernization
to advocates of decolonial approaches, gender-blind accounts of transition to
approaches that place class/race and gender at the center of their analysis, there is no
question that transitions debates are fraught and contested. At the same time, it is
important to remember that we have presented ideal type accounts of transition. None
of the transition positions we have outlined have a monopoly on wisdom. In the real
world, post-carbon transitions are going to be messy and complex, iterative and
incomplete. It is here, though, where the exciting political, socio-technical work of
creative borrowing and synthesis can start to bring the search for just transitions alive
(See White, Rudy and Gareau, 2016; White 2019a; 2019b).
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