Statistics: Statistics, Data, & Statistical Thinking

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STATISTICS

Statistics, Data, &


Statistical Thinking

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Contents
1. The Science of Statistics
2. Types of Statistical Applications in Business
3. Fundamental Elements of Statistics
4. Processes
5. Types of Data
6. Collecting Data
7. The Role of Statistics in Managerial Decision
Making

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Learning Objectives
1. Introduce the field of statistics
2. Demonstrate how statistics applies
3. Establish the link between statistics and data
4. Identify the different types of data and
data-collection methods
5. Differentiate between population and sample data
6. Differentiate between descriptive and inferential
statistics

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
1.1

The Science of Statistics

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
What Is Statistics?

1. Collecting Data Data Why?


e.g., Survey Analysis
2. Presenting Data
e.g., Charts & Tables © 1984-1994 T/Maker Co.

3. Characterizing Data Decision-


e.g., Average Making

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
© 1984-1994 T/Maker Co.
What Is Statistics?

Statistics is the science of data. It involves


collecting, classifying, summarizing, organizing,
analyzing, and interpreting numerical
information.

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
1.2

Types of Statistical Applications in


Business

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Application Areas

• Economics • Science/Engineering
– Forecasting – Construction
– Demographics – Materials

• Sports • Business
– Individual & Team – Consumer Preferences
Performance – Financial Trends

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Statistics: Two Processes

Describing sets of data

and

Drawing conclusions (making estimates,


decisions, predictions, etc. about sets of data
based on sampling)

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Statistical Methods
Statistical
Methods

Descriptive Inferential
Statistics Statistics

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Descriptive Statistics
1. Involves
• Collecting Data $
50
• Presenting Data
• Characterizing Data 25
2. Purpose 0
• Describe Data Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

X = 30.5 S2 = 113

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Inferential Statistics
1. Involves
• Estimation Population?
• Hypothesis
Testing

2. Purpose
• Make decisions about
population characteristics

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
1.3

Fundamental Elements
of Statistics

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Fundamental Elements
1. Experimental unit
• Object upon which we collect data
2. Population • P in Population
• All items of interest & Parameter
• S in Sample
3. Variable & Statistic
• Characteristic of an individual
experimental unit
4. Sample
• Subset of the units of a population

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Fundamental Elements
1. Statistical Inference
• Estimate or prediction or generalization about a
population based on information contained in a
sample
2. Measure of Reliability
• Statement (usually qualified) about the degree
of uncertainty associated with a statistical
inference

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Four Elements of Descriptive
Statistical Problems
1. The population or sample of interest
2. One or more variables (characteristics of the
population or sample units) that are to be
investigated
3. Tables, graphs, or numerical summary tools
4. Identification of patterns in the data

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Five Elements of Inferential
Statistical Problems
1. The population of interest
2. One or more variables (characteristics of the
population units) that are to be investigated
3. The sample of population units
4. The inference about the population based on
information contained in the sample
5. A measure of reliability for the inference

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
1.4

Processes

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Process
A process is a series of actions or operations that
transforms inputs to outputs. A process produces or
generates output over time.

© 2011 Pearson Education, Inc


Process
A process whose operations or actions are unknown or
unspecified is called a black box.

Any set of output (object or numbers) produced by a


process is called a sample.

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
1.5

Types of Data

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Types of Data

Quantitative data are measurements that are recorded


on a naturally occurring numerical scale.

Qualitative data are measurements that cannot be


measured on a natural numerical scale; they can only be
classified into one of a group of categories.

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Types of Data
Types of
Data

Quantitative Qualitative
Data Data

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Quantitative Data
Measured on a numeric 4
scale. 943
• Number of defective
21 52
items in a lot.
• Salaries of CEOs of 120 12
oil companies. 8
• Ages of employees at 71
a company.
3
© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Qualitative Data
Classified into categories.
• College major of each
student in a class.
• Gender of each employee
at a company.
• Method of payment
(cash, check, credit card).
$ Credit

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
1.6

Collecting Data

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Obtaining Data

1. Data from a published source


2. Data from a designed experiment
3. Data from a survey
4. Data collected observationally

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Obtaining Data
Published source:
book, journal, newspaper, Web site
Designed experiment:
researcher exerts strict control over units
Survey:
a group of people are surveyed and their
responses are recorded
Observation study:
units are observed in natural setting and
variables of interest are recorded
© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Samples
A representative sample exhibits characteristics
typical of those possessed by the population of
interest.

A random sample of n experimental units is a


sample selected from the population in such a way
that every different sample of size n has an equal
chance of selection.

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Random Sample
Every sample of size n has an equal chance of
selection.

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
1.7

The Role of Statistics in


Managerial Decision Making

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Statistical Thinking
Statistical thinking involves applying rational
thought and the science of statistics to critically
assess data and inferences. Fundamental to the
thought process is that variation exists in
populations and process data.

A random sample of n experimental units is a


sample selected from the population in such a way
that every different sample of size n has an equal
chance of selection.
© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Nonrandom Sample Errors
Selection bias results when a subset of the
experimental units in the population is excluded so
that these units have no chance of being selected for
the sample.
Nonresponse bias results when the researchers
conducting a survey or study are unable to obtain data
on all experimental units selected for the sample.
Measurement error refers to inaccuracies in the
values of the data recorded. In surveys, the error may
be due to ambiguous or leading questions and the
interviewer’s effect on the respondent.
© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Real-World Problem

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Statistical
Computer Packages
1. Typical Software
• SPSS
• MINITAB
• Excel

2. Need Statistical
Understanding
• Assumptions
• Limitations

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Key Ideas
Types of Statistical Applications

Descriptive
1. Identify population and sample (collection
of experimental units)
2. Identify variable(s)
3. Collect data
4. Describe data

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Key Ideas
Types of Statistical Applications

Inferential
1. Identify population (collection of all
experimental units)
2. Identify variable(s)
3. Collect sample data (subset of population)
4. Inference about population based on sample
5. Measure of reliability for inference
© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Key Ideas

Types of Data

1. Quantitative (numerical in nature)


2. Qualitative (categorical in nature)

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Key Ideas

Data-Collection Methods

1. Observational
2. Published source
3. Survey
4. Designed experiment

© 2011 EBCuzzamu
Key Ideas

Problems with Nonrandom Samples

1. Selection bias
2. Nonresponse bias
3. Measurement error

© 2011 EBCuzzamu

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