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Company Analysis and Valuation

(Northern Jute Manufacturing Company Ltd.)


Global Economic Influences
Tax Credit
Government Expenditure
Industry Influences on Jute manufacturing Industry
Porter`s Five Forces Model

Supplier Buyer Entry


Substitutes Competitor
power Power barriers
Company Analysis

Evaluating Operating Performanc


Evaluating Internal liquidity
e
Assumptions

01 Perpetual growth is 3%

02 Tax rate 17.52%

03 Weighted Average Cost of


Capital(WACC) 7.97%
Capital expenditure will be
04 financed from Long term loan.
Long term loan will be repaid in
05 next two years by equal
installments.
Free Cash Flow Model
Particulars 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
EBIT 308,494,750 471,475,310 720,579,684 1,101,330,053 1,683,317,149
EBIT (1-tax rate) 254458609.8 388891389.4 594362479.9 908420367.7 1388466227
Depreciation 25,853,661 39,488,882 60,315,319 92,125,618 140,712,669
Capital expenditure 31,404,272 34,230,657 37,311,416 40,669,443 44,329,693
Change in NWC -87,508,040 202,255,779 308,925,477 471,852,773 720,707,925
Free cash flow 399224582.8 260355149.4 383063737.9 569362655.7 852800664.1
87,8384,684
Present value discount factor 0.9139 0.8352 0.7633 0.6976 0.6378
Present value of free cashflow 364851346.2 217448620.8 292392551.2 397187388.6 543916263.6
Terminal value 1,127,2308,883

Enterprise value 13,088,105,053


Cash 2,529,179
Interest-bearing debt 162,705,381
Equity value 12,927,928,851
Value per share 6035.447643
Dividend Discount Model
Year Growth rate Dividend 8% Factor PV
2019 0.00645
2020 31% 0.0084495 0.9259 0.0078234
2021 31% 0.011068845 0.8573 0.0094893
2022 31% 0.014500187 0.7938 0.0115102
2023 29% 0.018705241 0.735 0.0137484
2024 27% 0.023755656 0.6806 0.0161681
2025 25% 0.02969457 0.6302 0.0187135
2026 23% 0.036524322 0.5835 0.0213119
2027 21% 0.044194429 0.5402 0.0238738
2028 19% 0.052591371 0.5002 0.0263062
SUM 0.1489449

Constant growth period 2.78734264

Present value of high growth period dividends 0.028823


present value of declining growth period dividend 0.1201219
Present value of constant growth period dividends 2.787342
Total present value of dividends 2.9362869
Thank you

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