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Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

Post-pandemic Infrastructure and Digital Connectivity in the Indo-Pacific


Author(s): Daniel F. Runde, Conor M. Savoy and Owen Murphy
Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) (2020)
Stable URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep26994
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CSIS BRIEFS
Post-pandemic Infrastructure
and Digital Connectivity
in the Indo-Pacif ic
By Daniel F. Runde, Conor M. Savoy, and Owen Murphy NOVEMBER 2020

THE ISSUE
■  The Indo-Pacific region is critical to the interests of the United States. The pandemic presents challenges to
infrastructure and economic development but also reveals openings for U.S. leadership to collaborate with allies,
development banks and institutions, and the private sector to compete with China as the region seeks to accelerate
recovery efforts and diversify its investment and development opportunities post-pandemic.
■  Even prior to the global Covid-19 pandemic, economic trends already forecast changes to global supply chains. More
specifically, trends indicated an increase in global value chains, a heightened focus on closing the infrastructure gap,
as well as greater digital expansion, diversification, and connectivity in the Indo-Pacific. China has dominated the
infrastructure development space in the region in recent years with extensive funding and project allocation through
its Digital Silk Road and broader Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
■  The pandemic triggered a slowdown in funding for core infrastructure projects, an upsurge in concerns about debt
sustainability issues in emerging countries, and a continued emphasis on enhancing digital and energy infrastructure
in the Indo-Pacific.

Physical and digital connectivity have become both key


INTRODUCTION
pillars of and continuing goals for Indo-Pacific economies.
Over the last few decades, the Indo-Pacific region has
The region holds nine of the ten most active seaports in
experienced enormous change and unprecedented
the world and accounts for about 60 percent of global
development. With the three largest global economies—the
maritime trade, a third of which crosses the South China
United States, China, and Japan—the region contributes
Sea alone.2 Open and free trade in the region remains a top
60 percent of global gross domestic product (GDP).1 This
priority for the United States, as it is the destination for
figure will rise because the region also includes some of the
a quarter of U.S. exports, with exports to India and China
fastest growing developing economies in the world: India,
more than doubling in the past decade.3
Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Nepal, and the Philippines.
Its prosperous economic transition is largely due to the Economic growth pushed many Indo-Pacific countries
expansion of market-based economies, many of which to either Upper Middle-Income Country (UMIC) or
still have room for liberal economic advancement. More Advanced Middle-Income Country (AMIC) status while
hospitable investment environments—particularly in lifting billions of people out of poverty in the process.
the private sector—have removed barriers, increased Economic reforms have prompted the region to triple its
transparency, and fostered greater economic prosperity. regional GDP over the last quarter century and categorize

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70 percent of the population as either economically secure Healing the economic damage requires first addressing and
or middle class.4 The AMICs in the region include China, containing the pandemic itself. Currently, the countries
Malaysia, Thailand, Fiji, Sri Lanka, and the Maldives—with within the region that are on the fastest road to recovery are
Indonesia, Mongolia, the Philippines, and Vietnam set to the ones that implemented rapid and effective containment
join the group over the next decade (though this could take measures (e.g., Singapore, Mongolia, Taiwan, and Korea).
longer due to Covid-19).5 However, those that have struggled to contain Covid-19 face
Demand for infrastructure development in the Indo- even more severe economic contractions going forward (e.g.,
Pacific has grown steadily. With increasing urbanization India and the Philippines). These countries in particular
and government focus on new economic sectors, general have had to put infrastructure development projects on hold
construction in 2019 was expected to reach an 8.9 in order to prioritize addressing the immediate impacts of
percent compound annual growth rate by 2023. The Asian the Covid-19 crisis (e.g., health, poverty, unemployment,
Development Bank (ADB) in 2019 estimated that to keep breakdown of supply chains and services, and struggling
up with economic growth and climate change, the region’s SMEs).11 Given that many of the countries struggling were
infrastructure development would require an investment of already trying to break out of low and lower-middle income
$1.7 trillion annually until 2030.6 Vast global and regional status (e.g., Papua New Guinea, Timor-Leste, Cambodia, and
advances in technology and communication mechanisms Myanmar), Covid-19 poses another challenging setback to
have transformed supply chains; as they have become their economic growth in the long term.12
shorter and more efficient, governments have looked to
expand their digital infrastructure capacity and diversify
partnerships and investors to diverge from previous Chinese
A rapid digital transformation within
dominance in the region.7 the Indo-Pacif ic region is greatly
Over the last few decades, supply chains have increasingly needed in areas such as e-commerce
become global value chains, where goods and services
production cycles span multiple countries. Global platforms, cybersecurity measures,
value chains made up a total of 70 percent of global distance learning protocols, legal
trade in 2019.8 A rapid digital transformation within
the Indo-Pacific region is greatly needed in areas such frameworks reforms, e-government
as e-commerce platforms, cybersecurity measures, services, and increasing local
distance learning protocols, legal frameworks reforms,
e-government services, and increasing local technical technical cooperation.
cooperation. Nevertheless, prior to the pandemic, the
Indo-Pacific was on an unsustainable development track.
Percent of Real GDP Growth in Developing Asia
Many countries were developing an overdependence
on fossil fuels and were experiencing an increase in
income inequality as they sought rapid development.
Covid-19 has severely exacerbated the obstacles
to economic development in the region. Since the
World Health Organization (WHO) recognized the
coronavirus as a global pandemic in March 2020,
Covid-19 has infected over 8.2 million people in the
Indo-Pacific.9 In addition to its impact on health,
the economic consequences of the pandemic—twin
supply shocks (stalled production and supply of
goods and services) and demand shocks (reduced
incomes, greatly restricted mobility, and social
distancing measures)—make recovery timelines for
many countries unpredictable. The IMF predicts the
slowest growth for the region in 60 years.10

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U.S. APPROACH TO ECONOMIC AND Energy), seeks to develop sustainable and secure energy
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT projects in the region, with USAID leading the effort to
IN THE INDO-PACIFIC work with Indo-Pacific partners to support and promote
The Trump administration outlined its vision for a free energy access, diversification, and security across the
and open Indo-Pacific in November of 2017, aimed at region going forward.16
ensuring all of the countries in the region remain strong, Though USAID has played an outsized role in its
independent, and prosperous.13 The Indo-Pacific Strategy implementation, the strategy’s whole-of-government
(IPS) recognizes the importance of safeguarding a peaceful approach has also relied on support from other
and open Indo-Pacific, not only for the billions of people government agencies. In 2018 alone—the first fiscal
who live there, but also for U.S. economic and strategic year since the IPS was announced—the Overseas
interests. Protecting the freedom of sea lanes, airways, and Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) invested over
cyberspace in the region is essential to ensuring that this $640 million into projects in the Asia region.17 This is
economic exchange, and the livelihoods that depend on a vast increase from the $503 million OPIC invested in
it, can continue to grow. The Indo-Pacific Strategy seeks to 2017, and investments continue to increase now under
accomplish this by focusing on three pillars: governance, the recently formed U.S. International Development
security, and economics. The governance pillar seeks to Finance Corporation (DFC).18 Roughly around when
ensure that Indo-Pacific countries are free from coercion the IPS entered into force, the Millennium Challenge
by strengthening and supporting state sovereignty, Corporation (MCC) signed compacts in the region worth
regional bodies, civil society, and democratic institutions. $830 million, and is currently developing compacts with
The security pillar focuses on promoting partnerships in Indonesia and Timor Leste that would grow the agency’s
the region to protect regional stability, maritime security, commitment even further.19 And from 2018–2019, the
freedom of navigation, and deter transnational crime, U.S. Trade and Development Agency (USDTA) spent
environmental degradation, and terrorism. The economics over $24 million to support infrastructure development
pillar aims to promote regional integration and economic projects in the Indo-Pacific, second only to its similar
growth by encouraging open, transparent, and fair investments in sub-Saharan Africa.20
investment environments and enhanced trade networks.
The Indo-Pacific Strategy calls for a whole-of-
ECONOMIC AND INFRASTRUCTURE CHAL-
government approach to enacting these pillars.
LENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE
Alongside the many other agencies involved in the INDO-PACIFIC DURING COVID-19
implementation of the Trump administration’s vision CHALLENGES AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS
since its launch, USAID plays a leading role in meeting Some of the most significant consequences of the
some of the vision’s flagship initiatives, especially Covid-19 pandemic for the Indo-Pacific region are its
those aimed specifically at economic and infrastructure unsustainable debt levels, digital transformation needs,
development in the Indo-Pacific. and collapsing supply and value chains.21 The majority of
These include the Infrastructure Transaction and Indo-Pacific countries are in great need of infrastructure
Assistance Network (ITAN), an interagency initiative development but do not currently possess the policy or
aimed at promoting sustainable, transparent, and high- fiscal space to revive economies and facilitate large scale
quality infrastructure across the Indo-Pacific. Within infrastructure investments.22 More specifically, countries
ITAN, USAID encourages private investment in the region in the Indo-Pacific have large fiscal deficits (e.g., Vietnam
and helps its regional partners manage projects that and Cambodia), elevated levels of debt (e.g., Malaysia,
meet these sustainability and transparency standards.14 Vietnam, Lao PDR, and Papua New Guinea), and an
Another initiative is the Digital Connectivity and over-reliance on volatile capital (e.g., Cambodia and
Cybersecurity Partnership (DCCP), whose goal is to Indonesia).23 Moreover, key sectors such as tourism and
promote a free, open, and secure internet in the Indo- manufacturing continue to struggle— leading the private
Pacific, starting primarily with the implementation of sector to experience cuts to revenue and reduced access
regulatory standards and reforms as well as private sector to capital.24 As a hub of international travel, the Indo-
network investments.15 A third initiative, known as Asia Pacific’s falling tourism numbers have led to an estimated
loss of $1.04 trillion in annual GDP for the region. Many
EDGE (Enhancing Development and Growth through

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businesses, small and large, are no longer able to sustain and food supply) as well as engage the private sector in
pre-pandemic levels of operations.25 public private partnerships (PPPs). The public sector can
The Covid-19 pandemic has exposed vulnerabilities and amplify investment and economic growth, create more
structural flaws (e.g., factory lockdowns, transportation transparency, and facilitate energy efficient, high-quality
disruptions, and shortages caused by panic buying) projects for the Indo-Pacific.
in global supply and value chains that have led to
trade restrictions and nationalist policies meant to China’s Support for Indo-Pacific
Infrastructure Developments
impede globalization and dependent supply chains.26
Since 2013, China has become a significant source of
The aftereffects of the pandemic will likely require a
infrastructure development financing in the Indo-Pacific
redefinition of globalization since, even prior to the
under its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).30 While promoted
pandemic, a number of initiatives intended to address
as a direct investment and diplomatic tool in emerging
concerns and perceived vulnerabilities in global supply
markets, the BRI has also promoted unsustainable, non-
chains were put forward. Examples of these measures
transparent, and debt-generating projects, often leaving
include altering cost structures to counteract East Asia’s
shrinking cost advantage, facilitating the “re-localization countries worse off than they started. Covid-19 has
of supply chains,” supporting investment in manufacturing created a situation in which Indo-Pacific countries likely
technology (e.g., Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing face greater reliance on China’s threatening infrastructure
building U.S. plants in Arizona), and lastly, augmenting financing unless effective alternatives are put forth.
certain sectors that have proven to be particularly However, China has halted or suspended numerous
vulnerable (e.g., biopharmaceuticals, medical tools, infrastructure and development projects in BRI countries
electrical and mechanical machinery, semiconductors, and due to the vast disruptions to global supply chains,
aerospace).27,28 The implications of these actions for the workers repatriating from other countries, travel
future of infrastructure development in the Indo-Pacific restrictions, and economic and social lockdowns.31
remain unclear. Furthermore, domestically, China’s current account
struggled, seeing only 3.2 percent second quarter growth
after an economic contraction of 6.8 percent of GDP in
The majority of Indo-Pacif ic countries the first quarter of 2020.32
are in great need of infrastructure Chinese firms are struggling with debt and sustainability
development but do not currently issues regarding BRI initiatives, so Beijing has undergone
an inward policy change (Dual Circulation policy) that
possess the policy or f iscal space to stems from mounting public pressure to prioritize
revive economies and facilitate large domestic investment over foreign investment. According
to a survey conducted by China’s Ministry of Foreign
scale infrastructure investments. Affairs in June, Covid-19 has impacted about 50 to 60
percent of the projects under China’s Belt and Road
Initiative.33 Despite the global slowdown of economic
In part, these globalization changes led Indo-Pacific
activity, China’s economy is set to fully recover, and many
countries to seek diversification of partners and
predict BRI activity to increase in the long run, starting
opportunities to increase country capacity, thereby shifting
with initiatives under the Digital Silk Road.34
demand.29 As China looks to leverage the pandemic for
its own gains, other countries in the Indo-Pacific need Under the Digital Silk Road, Beijing has announced
to be given greater opportunities to partner with the its efforts to directly infiltrate the region with the
United States, Australia, Japan, and other allies for their development and expansion of new 5G networks and data
infrastructure development needs, especially during the centers—along with software and surveillance programs
upstream phase (i.e., project identification). Similarly, that governments may abuse—thus possibly further
developed governments and multilateral institutions inflating the gap for hidden strategic corruption and debt.35
should seek to diversify sourcing and back critical In addition to the ongoing “tech cold war” between China
production capacities in the region (e.g., pharmaceuticals and the United States, Covid-19 has only increased efforts
and drive from Chinese technology firms to win projects

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in the region. With the developing trends of Covid-19, and the integration of these resources into power grids.
China’s Digital Silk Road faces many new opportunities Moreover, countries can encourage their manufacturing
for acceleration and expansion in the Indo-Pacific. China’s industries to integrate renewable energy and storage
“whole of society” strategy and interoperability of Chinese technologies to become more resilient. These projects
tech platforms allows it to move faster to begin projects will become increasingly important as the global climate
and gain influence in comparison to other countries such crisis worsens, and Indo-Pacific countries’ attention
as the United States.36 Digital infrastructure projects tend focuses on shifting toward an increasingly virtual world.
to have lower costs, and as Covid-19 has underscored the These changes will require the region to integrate
significance of a digital economy in addressing both the renewable energies, promote energy efficiency, and plan
pandemic and efforts to keep economies and societies infrastructure for disaster risk management.41
operating, Indo-Pacific countries with fewer affordable The Indo-Pacific presents a “digital frontier” where rapid
alternatives are eyeing Chinese firms and financing.37 digital transformation is needed.42 This includes robust
IT infrastructure and data projects provide Beijing internet infrastructure and cybersecurity; modernized
with ample opportunity to disrupt or manipulate data centers, e-commerce, and e-governance services;
information flows, access private data or information, and enhanced digital literacy programs and legal
track and monitor individuals, and much more.38 As frameworks to foster and protect economic growth
China’s development strategies threaten the economic, and stability. The pandemic has revealed that a lack
environmental, and social sustainability in the region, of digital development and connectivity has created
Covid-19 has expedited the efforts of the United States larger vulnerabilities for entrepreneurship and SMEs,
and its allies to promote a free and open Indo-Pacific.39 which comprise the clear majority of Asia’s employment
opportunities. Implementing digital infrastructure and
increasing connectivity is a complicated process that
Digital infrastructure projects tend involves cybersecurity concerns, misinformation and
disinformation campaigns, and other impediments to
to have lower costs, and as Covid-19 digital inclusion.
has underscored the signif icance of •  Development of cybersecurity capacity and sufficient
a digital economy in addressing both legal frameworks is critical to fostering sustainable digital
growth, infrastructure, and connectivity while also
the pandemic and efforts to keep protecting governance initiatives, democratic institutions,
economies and societies operating, and digital markets.43 The Indo-Pacific region in particular
has increased focus on building cyber capabilities for
Indo-Pacif ic countries with fewer member states and deterring bad actors. Nonetheless,
affordable alternatives are eyeing as Covid-19 catalyzes digital demand, cybersecurity will
become an ever-increasing concern.44
Chinese f irms and f inancing. •  In a progressively digital environment, misinformation
and disinformation campaigns present a challenge
to accurate communications, governance, and
Infrastructure Demands and Opportunities development. Covid-19 produced an enormous
Infrastructure has been greatly impacted by the Covid-19 “infodemic,” an overload of information channels
pandemic, leading to a slowdown in investment and that wound up preventing reliable and trustworthy
a decline in asset utilization and solvency challenges communications from providing guidance for citizens.45
throughout the Indo-Pacific.40 Nevertheless, core In the Indo-Pacific, governments, multilateral
infrastructure projects are still needed to address digital institutions, journalists, and individuals on social
integration, economic growth, disaster risk reduction, media platforms have made efforts to counteract
gender disparities, and other issues. Specific sectors misinformation and disinformation campaigns in
that will require increased attention include sustainable response. A creative example is BBC’s initiative to
transport and efficient energy projects— primarily through contest the “infodemic” in Myanmar, Indonesia,
the acquisition of distributed renewable energy resources India, Cambodia, and Nepal through traditional folk

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music.46 However, countries such as the Philippines
A large part of the success of the Vietnamese
and Cambodia are also leveraging the existence
response efforts can be attributed to its effective
of misinformation campaigns and government
use of information technology and online tools to
health policies during Covid-19 to justify increased
spread health messaging and information. Prior
authoritarian measures that target and charge political
to the pandemic, Vietnam had instituted various
opponents and activists.47
digital agendas to increase digital infrastructure.
•  Digital infrastructure programs should specifically target In December of 2019, Vietnam established the
gaps in digital inclusion, technology literacy, and internet National Public Services Portal, a public service
connectivity, as these will be essential to strengthening and e-government platform serving as a conduit
local economies during and after the pandemic.48 The between government, citizens, and businesses.55
Indo-Pacific region has already undergone much digital This platform later became a central part of the
development—with 2.3 billion people in the region having Covid-19 response to disseminate public health
access to the internet in 2019.49 Nevertheless, there announcements and information. Following the worst
remains a significant digital divide, as approximately of Covid-19, the government instituted the National
2 billion people in the region do not have internet Digital Transformation Roadmap 2025 in June 2020,
access and 207 million women do not have access which laid out a multidimensional transition plan
to mobile phones. This challenge disproportionately that prioritizes e-government, e-economy, and
affects low-income and/or rural populations as well e-society initiatives.56
as women who are less “fluent” in digital resources,
1. E-government: this initiative aims to digitize
have less access to online and mobile networks, are
documents, public services, and administrative
the targets of various forms of digital harassment, and
capacities like the National Public Services
have fewer economic and social opportunities when
Portal. Moreover, it seeks to expand national
targeted infrastructure development is lacking. Digital
databases monitoring demographics,
inclusion, connectivity, and literacy programming will
population, property, insurance, and business
need to be a central concern for Covid-19 recovery and
inventory.
economic development efforts by governments, investors,
multilateral organizations, and aid agencies.50 2. E-economy: this initiative aims to have 30
percent of GDP based on digital activities
COVID-19 ACCELERATES DEMAND FOR by 2030 and to implement e-commerce in
DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE AND business and online markets. Vietnam hopes to
IMPLEMENTATION OF TECHNOLOGY increase domestic technological innovation by
IN VIETNAM reaching a goal of 100,000 local tech firms.
Vietnam’s Covid-19 response was rapid and relatively 3. E-society: this initiative aims to bridge digital
effective, allowing only minimal cases and deaths gaps and increase digital inclusion. Strategies
nationwide.51,52 Moreover, despite economic include increasing access to the internet and
consequences caused by the pandemic (including fiber optic broadbands, deploying 5G networks,
negative impacts to trade, manufacturing exports, promoting online spending, and diversifying
foreign direct investment (FDI), and tourism), e-payment methods. Additionally, it encourages
Vietnam was able to quickly re-open its economy investment into newer digital technologies
following strict Covid-19 response measures that of interest such as cloud computing, artificial
included movement restrictions, school closures, intelligence, blockchains, and “the internet
and travel bans. It also leveraged its large domestic of things.”
spending (approximately 68 percent of GDP) through
Other related initiatives include supporting local
a $1.6 billion stimulus package for households and
tech firms and e-commerce platforms (e.g., Tiki and
SMEs to help keep the economy alive.53 Consequently,
Sendo) and promoting local social media platforms
the Asian Development Bank (ADB) estimates that
as they compete with international corporations.
despite the pandemic, Vietnam is on track to have the
Vietnam seeks support from the private sector to
fastest growing economy in Southeast Asia.54

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USAID should seek to actively address these basic
help boost the economy following the pandemic infrastructure gaps. Covid-19 has exacerbated the
and enhance its digital goals. Nonetheless, Vietnam negative health consequences of overcrowding and
faces various challenges to fostering innovation lack of access to clean water. Even after the virus is
and digital development—such as censorship and contained, failure to address these growing basic needs
weak legal systems. Heightened state censorship will create a fertile breeding ground for future pandemics,
(e.g., its 2018 cybersecurity law), mandated as well as limit sorely needed economic growth.
government access to stored digital data from both Moreover, basic infrastructure provision provides an
foreign and domestic companies, and surveillance enormous strategic opportunity for the United States. By
of homegrown social media platforms may impede concentrating heavily on large-scale projects and digital
digital capacity and economic growth. In addition, infrastructure provision, China has somewhat neglected
Vietnam’s current underdeveloped and adverse legal these sectors of infrastructure development.62 The U.S.
frameworks stifle innovation and technological development community is well positioned to fill this
advancements, which ultimately challenge its dearth by providing long-term gains toward livelihoods,
overarching digital agenda. government service provisions, and employment
2020 presents opportunities for accelerated digital prospects in the process.
integration and investment, partner diversification,
and refinement of digital infrastructure initiatives INVEST IN BROADBAND INTERNET—THE
particularly in the context of national crises.57
“NEW ELECTRICITY”
Not only are basic infrastructure needs not being met in
Overall, the pandemic may assist in expediting
the region, but so is broadband internet access—which
digital development and investment in Vietnam
Covid-19 has revealed is a necessity in today’s digital,
and the wider regional and global context.58
globalized world. Less than 15 percent of the population in
the Indo-Pacific has access to broadband internet.63 China
has prioritized broadband internet provision throughout
OPPORTUNITIES POST-PANDEMIC:
the region, but the need for broadband access is nowhere
RECOMMENDATIONS
near satiated. As with water and sanitation, rural areas
To compete with China in the digital and hard
have even less access than urban ones. While some
infrastructure sector, USAID should adapt its approach
countries have rapidly improved in recent years, others
to the economics pillar of the Indo-Pacific Strategy in the
are persistently behind—in Cambodia, Laos PDR, and
following ways:
Myanmar, broadband access was below 1 subscription per
100 households as late as 2017.64
PRIORITIZE THE EXPANSION OF ACCESS TO WATER,
SANITATION, AND HOUSING Post-Covid, broadband will be the “new electricity”. The
In 2019, the Indo-Pacific region became majority urban pandemic has brought enormous economic challenges,
with at least 2.3 billion people living in urban areas across but it has also transformed the way people live, work,
the region.59 By 2050, this number is expected to grow to and study—in many cases for the better.65 There has been
3.5 billion.60 While urbanization can be hugely beneficial for more progress toward e-government, e-commerce, and
economic growth, it also brings its own set of infrastructure distance learning in the last 30 weeks than in the last 30
challenges. One of the most basic issues is a lack of adequate years.66 These developments hold enormous potential for
housing. Urban density in the Indo-Pacific is the highest of economic growth in the region going forward. However,
any region in the world, and one third of urban-dwellers live for these gains to be realized, and for growth to be
in slums or slum-like conditions. Unsurprisingly, many of inclusive of all subregions and income-levels, the digital
these residential areas lack basic services like piped water broadband they depend on will need to be expanded
and sanitation (sewage). According to the ADB, in 2016, significantly. The UN Economic and Social Commission for
1.7 billion people across the Indo-Pacific lacked access to Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) member states in the Indo-
basic sanitation, and in 48 member countries, less than Pacific region have recognized this gap and are actively
50 percent of the populations had access to piped water.61 seeking to address it through the Asia-Pacific Information
These issues are not exclusive to urban areas—in fact, rural Superhighway initiative (AP-IS), whose goal is to promote
areas tend to have even less access to water and sanitation. regional cooperation around building broadband activity.67

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To ensure that broadband infrastructure is built where it USAID and other U.S. agencies must recognize the
is most needed, and to strengthen regional coordination importance of collaboration over competition as there is
going forward, USAID should actively seek to expand bound to be overlap in terms of relationships and expertise
broadband infrastructure development within the among the agencies.
framework of the AP-IS Master Plan.68
CREATE A STRATEGIC INVESTMENT FUND FOR THE
High-quality infrastructure and proper connectivity have a
INDO-PACIFIC
direct impact on the delivery of public goods and services
The U.S. government should create a Strategic Investment
and overall economic efficiency, growth, and productivity.
Fund for the Indo-Pacific with the mission of providing the
Digital infrastructure provides an enabling environment
region with grants for digital infrastructure. The new fund
for mobilizing domestic and international private capital to
should leverage USAID’s technical assistance expertise
support the broader agenda of economic development and
and the DFC’s expanded credit guarantee capabilities and
human prosperity.69
increased investment tools to provide digital infrastructure
in the Indo-Pacific that fosters long-term access to capital
CREATE A PIPELINE OF INVESTABLE AND
BANKABLE PROJECTS and a business enabling environment. In addition, where
U.S. government agencies should collaborate by unifying appropriate, Export-Import Bank financing could support
program standards and actively working with countries projects launched under this fund. Such a fund could also
in the Indo-Pacific to identify sector needs and promote pursue co-financing MOUs with the Asian Development
digital and hard infrastructure while they recover from Bank and other regional allies, such as Japan and Australia
the effects of the pandemic. More specifically, USAID to further expand the pool of funding.
should work with the DFC and the United States Trade and Countries who receive grants from the Strategic
Development Agency (USTDA) to create a reliable pipeline Investment Fund could become part of a Digital
of investable (bankable) projects to take advantage of the Connectivity Compact, which would ensure that the
large infrastructure gaps in the Indo-Pacific. Interagency country’s digital infrastructure meets quality infrastructure
collaboration will be essential for project implementation standards. USAID and other U.S. development agencies
during the development, construction, operation, and would provide technical assistance to help these
evaluation stages of all projects. countries meet the required benchmarks. On larger-scale
USAID’s efforts and on-the-ground presence in the projects, the fund should seek to work with multilateral
region is paramount for building the foundation of a development banks, bilateral development finance
functional project pipeline, but its ability to reposition institutions, and other development agencies to co-finance
businesses and provide tools to governments is limited digital connectivity initiatives.
without a dedicated interagency pipeline. USTDA can USAID’s ability to improve the digital infrastructure space
provide valuable connections to U.S. companies and assist and digital connectivity in the region will be central
throughout the entirety of a project process, especially to meeting the objectives of the Indo-Pacific Strategy
during the upstream and project design phases, as well as and countering China’s Digital Silk Road and Belt and
during project renegotiations and when economic activity Road Initiative. A Strategic Investment Fund provides a
begins to resume. Likewise, the DFC will be crucial in platform for incorporating digital thinking within Indo-
attracting investment from the private sector to promote Pacific development for the long-term. USAID and partner
infrastructure development and resilient economic growth. agencies should focus on building a business-enabling
This could include collaboration on the Blue Dot Network environment to facilitate U.S. private sector engagement in
to further enable infrastructure projects and strengthen the Indo-Pacific digital conversation, lest Chinese telecom
U.S. relationships from a single government front. In order firms take their place.
to heighten project impact and opportunities, USAID,
the DFC, and USTDA should also continue to coordinate
their project objectives more closely—such as through the
Infrastructure Transaction and Assistance Network (ITAN),
while also enabling Indo-Pacific countries to establish their
own national project development funds.

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Daniel F. Runde is senior vice president and director of the
Project on Prosperity and Development at the Center for
Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, D.C.
Conor Savoy is a non-resident senior associate with the Project
on Prosperity and Development at CSIS. Owen Murphy is a
program coordinator and research assistant for the Project on
Prosperity and Development at CSIS.
The authors would like to thank Rakan Aboneaaj, Elena
Méndez Leal, Virgil Parker, and Blair Sullivan for their excellent
research assistance.
Support for this brief was provided by the U.S. Agency for
International Development (USAID). The views expressed here
do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID.

CSIS BRIEFS are produced by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a private, tax-exempt institution
focusing on international public policy issues. Its research is nonpartisan and nonproprietary. CSIS does not take specific
policy positions. Accordingly, all views, positions, and conclusions expressed in this publication should be understood to
be solely those of the author(s). © 2020 by the Center for Strategic and International Studies. All rights reserved.
Cover Photo: NHAC NGUYEN/AFP via Getty Images

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fault/files/documents/1861/July_8_Asia_EDGE_Factsheet.pdf.
ENDNOTES 17. “Transparency and Accountability: Data on DFC Projects,” Develop-
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