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Best Pre-Match Corner Betting Strategies: First Half Corners
Best Pre-Match Corner Betting Strategies: First Half Corners
Best Pre-Match Corner Betting Strategies: First Half Corners
It’s true that the vast majority of punters places live bets when it comes to corners. But still, there are some
profitable corner betting strategies when choosing to bet pre-match. These are the best two:
Usually online bookmakers don’t pay much attention to first-half lines. They just count an over/under
market line for the whole match (i.e. over/under 9,5 corners) and just divide it into two, subtracting one
corner most of the times (i.e. over/under 4,5 corners). Supposing that in several leagues (like the Dutch
Eredivisie or the German Bundesliga) there’s an ascending number of corners even from the first minutes,
it’s really worthy to bet on the over 4,5 corners before halftime.
This is a strategy, focusing on the teams rather than the matches. You just have to pick some teams,
usually the favorites on every league who are desperate to win every match, especially at home. Then you
focus on their attitude: They don’t have to be tired after a midweek international or important domestic cup
tie.
They have to be fully focused on getting maximum points of the game (even better when they’ve lost points
at their previous match). So, you’re just sure they’re giving 100% potential during most of the 90 minutes,
not just to secure victory, but to score as many goals as possible.
Central defenders: Gifted players, who are tall and strong enough to win all body challenges in the box,
but can also pass and dribble accurately, are rare in modern football. Watch for less-skilled players, who
have in mind primarily to drive away the ball at any cost. They’re going to allow much more corner kicks
during a match.
Bad Weather (rain, snow etc.): There’s some contradiction whether heavy rain or snow could be a sign
for more or less corners. Some insist that due to the slippery terrain, goalkeepers and defenders don’t think
twice before giving a corner, to prevent worse situations for their team. Others claim that due to this fear
(and given that offensive players have the same difficulty to create chances) they become extremely
careful not to allow many set pieces around their goal. I support the first version.
Injuries/suspensions: Watch out for specific absences, who can affect crucially the average number of
corners a team has in a match. A change of the starting goalkeeper, a fast striker who likes to play on the
line and usually invades the box, or a smart midfielder, capable of making accurate lateral passes are
important factors of a match.
Allegations of “fixed” results: I usually avoid even mentioning “fixed” matches, but let’s face it. In some
leagues, this is a reality. You might have heard that the exact number of corner kicks is easier to be fixed
than the final result or the number of goals, as this number does not affect crucially any win/lose scenario.
Unfortunately, you’ll bump into some unknown “friends”, eager to provide you with information about “free
money” from corner kicks, I strongly advise you to avoid them. But if you’re watching a football match and
you observe a suspicious urge of defenders to give away corners, don’t hesitate to bet. After all, it’s your
decision.
Shots per game: This is a number found in many football statistics websites, mainly from the top leagues.
The bigger the number of shots per game, the greater the chance of getting more corner kicks. Look for the
team who’re away of the average numbers, bookmakers still pay more attention to the league’s average
number to offer odds.
3. Latin American Leagues, especially Brazil and Colombia, have many more corners than
European leagues, due to talented lateral strikers.
5. Many Eastern European leagues tend to have less corners than the Western European ones.
The match tempo is much slower than in Western Europe, there aren’t so many shots on goal,
especially during the winter months.
As you can see, there are many ways to make a profit through corner betting. This betting market
doesn’t depend on luck, but on betting discipline, accuracy, analysis and momentum. There are
specific teams who count mainly on set pieces to score, others with excellent sideline strikers,
leagues which produce a lot of corners. All you have to do is analyze and place your bets.
Pre-match corner betting is when you place a bet on a corners market before kick-off. Therefore, you don’t
have any insight as to which team will be attacking most or other in-play stats but there are a few things
you can look at to increase your chances of winning your pre-match corner bets.
The first thing you should look for when deciding on a football match to place your corner bets on is the
previous stats for the teams playing. If they have a consistent record of receiving a large number of
corners, then they may be a good bet in their next match. If they are playing a team who are also awarded
a lot of corners on a regular basis then betting on a high number of match corners may be a good bet.
2.Team Shots Statistics
The more shots there are in a football match, the more corners there are likely to be. Shot are made
towards the goal and if they come off an opposing player either trying to block the shot or if a goalkeeper
deflects it out of play, a corner will be awarded. Analysing the number of shots made by a team can give
you an idea of the level of corners there will be in a match. You will be able to view the number of shots
made by a team in previous games on various websites. For example, if two teams were playing each
other who both had a record of taking a large number of shots per game, an ‘Over’ bet on the number of
match corners could be a good bet. Similarly, if ‘Team A’ had a record of a high number of shots per game
and were playing Team B who had a low shot record, betting on Team A to receive the most corners may
be wise.
3. Goalkeepers
Goalkeepers are responsible for a large number of corners awarded during a football match. If a
goalkeeper tends to palm the ball away around or over the goalposts rather than catching the ball, there is
a greater chance of more corners being awarded. You may not be able to gather stats on this area but if
you are knowledgable about football and aware of this factor, you may be able to build your own stats and
keep record of them.
4. Defenders
Some defenders are more inclined to put the ball out of play when under pressure whereas others have the
confidence and ability to compose themselves and send the ball upfield or to another player. Players who
put the ball out of play more often are more likely to give away corners. Similar to with goalkeepers, you
may need to record your own stats with the defenders but it may come in useful when betting on corners.
5. Squad Changes
If you have collected data on players who tend to give away more corners than others, it is important to
check whether or not those players will be featuring in the match you are betting on. Lineups for the
Premier League are usually announced one hour before kick-off and so it may be sensible to wait until after
this time to place your corner bets if you are using these factors when deciding on your bets.
Football leagues around the world have different styles of play and produce more corners than others.
League which generally playing attacking style of football such as the Bundesliga are more likely to see a
lot of corners in matches whereas more defensive leagues such as Serie A will produce less.
Conclusion
Corner betting markets are often overlooked by both punters and bookies but can be profitable if
you make informed decisions on your bets based on the criteria mentioned in this article.
Always do your research into the teams playing when betting on corners and apply your knowledge
of the game and players along with statistics of previous games when deciding on which bets to
place.
When choosing to bet on the corners market it is recommended that you consider the
following:
For example is one of the teams top of the league or bottom of the league? In a cup
game, is one of the teams in the Premier League and the other in Championship Division
2? If there is an FA Cup game to be played between a top very strong Premier League
team (like Chelsea or Arsenal) and a weaker lower division team (like Cheltenham) then it
is more likely that there will be a higher number of corners in the match than if two
weaker teams or two top teams are playing against each other.
This is because, especially in CUP games, the weaker team is more likely to be playing to
draw rather than win and the stronger team is going to be trying to win. The stronger
teams have many games to play in Europe, and are often in other cup competitions too.
They do not want to draw because this means they will have more replays. They also
want to avoid an “upset” as it is embarrassing.
Stronger teams will therefore attack more and have more shots on goal. This means that
the weaker teams will often concede (give away) more corners, more free kicks, more
penalties, more throw ins.
The goalkeeper from the weaker team will make many more saves (some of these will
make corners) and the defending weaker team will often kick the ball away for a corner
much more often than a better team – a strong team always tries to avoid conceding
corners instead preferring to kick the ball out for a throw-in or keep the ball in play and
try to pass to a team mate or a forward.
If the weaker team is playing at home then it is likely that they are going to get some
corners, with the excitement of the match the first ten minutes is always a little bit
strange. The weaker team sees the first ten minutes as an opportunity to pressure the
stronger team because they have a lot of energy at the beginning. They might then
score the first corner or get a few in the first 15 minutes. As the match continues they
will probably get less and less corners.
The stronger team will often absorb the early pressure and later attack so you can expect
the number of corners the stronger team gets to increase more quickly.
The stronger home team with the larger crowd wants to see lots of goals so will expect
their team to press from the very beginning. You can expect a higher number of corners
to happen – especially for the home team - in this situation as well as a higher number
of goals.
Clearly two attacking teams playing each other should create more corners than two
defensive teams playing each other but when you get a defensive team playing an
attacking team you may see even more. Defensive teams often “give” corners as they are
better at defending them – they also often like to attack on the break from a corner
which often results in a corner “at the other end” – corners can quickly happen when
attacking teams play defensive teams.
Is it raining and windy? If it is you will see more corners than if it is hot, dry and sunny. A
wet pitch means the ball moves more quickly than normal and goes out of play more
easily. Also players slide more and the ball hits them. Goalkeepers sometimes drop the
slippery ball and defenders have to kick it out for a corner.
The next game for the teams
Top teams have more games to play than lower teams, they also like to try new or young
players in cup competitions and they also like to rest their top players but lower teams
often try to use the same players for every game. Also, lower teams are more motivated
in cup games because it is their only chance to win a trophy. A weakened top team will
not be as good as their normal team so you can expect them to give away more corners
than usual.
Finally, we show you some betting tips which are summarized these points above.
1. Look for Cup matches where the stronger and weaker teams are playing each other.
2. Gamble on the total number of corners to be “Above” rather than “Below” the
numbers given by the bookmakers.
3. If the game is 0-0 or 1-1 at half time, gamble on a higher number of corners to
happen in the second half than the first half.
4. If the stronger team is losing at half-time gamble on the stronger team to have more
corners than the weaker team in the second half.
5. Bet on the stronger teams to win the “Race” bets and bet on low through to higher
numbers.
6. For insurance or value bets – place low Race win bets on the weaker teams, e.g. Race
to 2 or 3 corners.
7. Place bets on a corners to be awarded in both the 0-15 and 16 – 30 minute periods.
8. Never bet on “no corners”.
9. Never bet on even / odd corners totals unless you are playing them in accumulators
for FUN.
10. If it’s raining, expect more corners.
We hope you enjoy the sports betting activity with our strategy, of course also getting
extra profits! Good Luck!