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Saudis, Qatar To Settle Feud, Aiding U.S. Efforts On Iran
Saudis, Qatar To Settle Feud, Aiding U.S. Efforts On Iran
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pute with Qatar, taking a first Morgan Chief Executive James sands of employees around the Program aimed to help pan- nesses up and running fast.
step toward resolving a bitter Dimon and supported by Ama- country working at different demic-hit businesses that Its apolitical reputation re-
feud that has fractured the zon’s Jeff Bezos and Berk- companies, the people said. were too small to borrow in duced concern about loans
Middle East and hampered shire’s Warren Buffett, sought “The Haven team made the bond market but might being steered to big donors.
U.S. efforts to isolate Iran. A1 to “transform health care” and good progress exploring a need more help than a small- The Treasury Department
Iran said it has resumed reduce costs for hundreds of wide range of health-care so- business loan from the popu- became a Fed partner to ab-
enriching uranium to 20% thousands of workers at the lutions, as well as piloting new JASON GAY lar Paycheck Protection Pro- sorb any loan losses.
purity, exceeding limits set three companies by pooling ways to make primary care The only thing you can gram. But the experience re-
resources and technology. easier to access, insurance “There was a program vealed the limitations of run-
in a 2015 nuclear deal and
The joint venture, which benefits simpler to understand
expect in this year’s here that looked nice on pa- ning a relief program
slashing the time it would NFL playoffs is a little
take for Tehran to produce was made public in 2018 with and easier to use and prescrip- per, but in practicality, it has through the Fed and exposed
expectations high enough to Please turn to page A2 more chaos. A12 not worked,” said Mike Ca- Please turn to page A8
weapons-grade fuel. A7
López Obrador said Mexico
would offer Assange political
asylum after a British judge Feel the Burn, Fiat Chrysler and PSA
refused to order the WikiLeaks
founder’s extradition to the While Out
U.S. on spying charges. A16
Johnson ordered schools In the Cold
Speed Up Merger Deal
and nonessential shops across
i i i BY NORA NAUGHTON newly combined auto maker
England to shut amid spiral-
Stellantis NV and said Monday
ing infection rates caused by a
new coronavirus variant. A16 Gyms test outdoor Fiat Chrysler Automobiles it would start trading in Paris
NV and Peugeot maker PSA and Milan on Jan. 18 and in
The House passed rules winter workouts Group are accelerating plans New York the following day.
that weakened a procedural to complete their trans-Atlan- At both PSA and FCA,
tool Republicans had used during pandemic tic merger, saying that the shareholders overwhelmingly
to force Democrats to take biggest automotive merger supported the deal with more
tough political votes. A4 BY HILARY POTKEWITZ this century should be com- than 99% of the votes cast at
Trump awarded the Pres- plete mid-January. each company approving the
idential Medal of Freedom to Colleen McGrath hardly rec- The new timeline follows merger, according to results
Rep. Nunes, bestowing the ognizes herself some mornings. both auto makers winning ap- released Monday.
nation’s top civilian honor on Bundled in fleece, a hat and proval from shareholders for Each share of PSA will be ex-
a close Republican ally. A6 leggings, the 35-year-old fit- the deal Monday, a critical step changed for 1.742 shares in FCA
ness newbie heads to a vacant needed to move the merger into stock, the companies said. Fiat
CONTENTS
Arts in Review.... A11
Opinion.............. A13-15
Personal Journal A9-10
lot where her gym has set up
loudspeakers, artificial turf
platforms and an open-air ex-
its final stages. Executives had
previously been aiming for
completion by the end of the
Chrysler shareholders will also
receive a special cash distribu-
tion of €1.84 per common share
WE STO P
AT N OTHI N G .
Business News...... B3 Sports........................ A12
Capital Journal...... A4 Technology............... B4 ercise arena. “The idea of 2021 first quarter. They now ex- the day before the merger
Crossword............... A11 U.S. News............. A2-6 working out outside in a Chi- pect it to be done on Jan. 16. closes, for a total payout of €2.9
Heard on Street.. B11 Weather................... A11
Markets................... B10 World News...... A7,16
cago winter would’ve sounded For more than a year, the billion ($3.5 billion), as previ-
crazy a year ago,” she says. two auto makers have been ously agreed to. That's why we built a flexible,
“Now I love it. I go six days a working through the details of Carlos Tavares, the PSA chief
> week. I’ve invested in thermal the combination, which when tapped to lead the combined pay-as-you-go cloud for a
turtlenecks. I don’t know who completed would create a group, said that the new com- scalable world.
this girl is right now.” global auto-making colossus, pany’s size and scale will help it
That’s music to the ears of selling 8.7 million vehicles an- confront the continued chal-
s 2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
David Blitz, the CEO of her nually—more than General lenges posed by the Covid-19 Learn more at DellTechnologies.com/Cloud
All Rights Reserved gym, Studio Three. Motors Co. crisis and help it keep pace
Please turn to page A10 The two plan to call the Please turn to page A6
A2 | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 * **** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
Manufacturers Ended Year on High Note
BY PAUL HANNON widespread immunity against for the U.S. manufacturing omy as the service sector is saw its PMI rise to its highest Purchasing managers indexes
AND AMARA OMEOKWE Covid-19. sector rose to 57.1 in Decem- hit by tough social distancing level since April 2019, while for manufacturing
Surveys of purchasing man- ber from 56.7 in November. measures,” said Chris William- South Korean factories re-
60
Factories in the U.S., Asia agers at factories across Asia That was the biggest improve- son, IHS Markit’s chief busi- ported the same strong growth
and Europe boosted their out- and Europe released Mon- ment since September 2014, ness economist. in activity as in November. Above 50 indicates Germany
put as 2020 drew to a close, day recorded strong rises in ac- IHS Markit said. A reading Meanwhile, in the U.S., the By contrast, China’s Caixin an expansion U.S.
aided by a rise in new orders tivity during December, with above 50 points to an increase resurgence of coronavirus cases PMI for the manufacturing sec-
and a revival in trade that has Taiwan’s manufacturing sector in activity from the previous and coronavirus-related supply- tor fell slightly, partly reflect- China
continued despite a sharp rise recording its strongest month month, while a reading below chain disruptions posed chal- ing a cooling of demand for the 50
in coronavirus infections in almost a decade. The results that level points to a decline. lenges for some manufacturers, country’s exports. During the Japan
across many large economies. of a similar survey of U.S. man- IHS Markit’s purchasing Mr. Williamson said. Consumer- pandemic, protective gear and
The resilience of the global ufacturers also pointed to an managers index for the euro- goods producers, for example, work-from-home tech products
manufacturing sector contrasts increase in activity. zone’s manufacturing sector reported a decrease in orders have served as pillars for
with weakness in services Despite increases in infec- also rose, to 55.2 in December and production as Americans China’s overseas trade, helping
businesses that rely on close tions in both the U.S. and Eu- from 53.8 in November, reach- pulled back on spending, and it gain global market share. 40
physical proximity and that rope that have prompted gov- ing its highest level since May factories overall said input Despite the lengthening re-
have suffered as consumers try ernments to impose or extend 2018. prices were up sharply. covery, the surveys of pur-
to lower their risk of infection restrictions, manufacturers “The solid performance of Europe’s factory revival has chasing managers indicate
and governments impose re- continued to report a recovery manufacturing amid the tight- been led by Germany, which is that many factories around
strictions on their behavior. from the sharp declines in out- ening of Covid-19 restrictions seeing strong demand for its the world continue to cut pay- Below 50 indicates
Economists expect that di- put that accompanied the pan- in the closing months of 2020 exports. The country’s PMI rose rolls. That suggests that many a contraction
30
vergence to be a feature of the demic’s first wave and the lock- represents a major contrast to to its highest level in almost remain cautious about their
global economy well into 2021, downs that accompanied it. the lockdowns earlier in the three years during December. prospects in 2021, even as the 2019 2020
and until vaccines are distrib- Data firm IHS Markit said year, with factories acting as a Japan, another leading ex- deployment of vaccines gets Sources: IHS Markit (U.S.); IHS Markit/BME
uted broadly enough to ensure its purchasing managers index crucial support to the econ- porter of manufactured goods, under way. (Germany); au Jibun Bank (Japan); Caixin (China)
U.S. WATCH
EPA Narrows Use
Of Science in Rules
FEDERAL RESERVE
Stimulative Policy to
Remain, Official Says
Federal Reserve Bank of Chi- BY TIMOTHY PUKO agency must now give greater
cago President Charles Evans consideration to studies in this
said the U.S. economy has a WASHINGTON—The Envi- area in which underlying dose-
long period of very stimulative ronmental Protection Agency is response data is available for
monetary policy ahead of it as issuing new rules that will give independent validation. And
the central bank works to help preference in future decisions when it proposes new regula-
the nation emerge from the cor- about public health to scientific tions it must make available to
onavirus pandemic. studies that disclose their un- the public that science that in-
Mr. Evans, who was making a derlying data. forms the rule.
virtual appearance Monday at an The policy change, in the The rule won’t categorically
economic conference, made lim- works since the start of the exclude any data, Mr. Wheeler
Trump administration, has wrote, adding that the new
MARK HUMPHREY/ASSOCIATED PRESS
CORRECTIONS AMPLIFICATIONS
Haven become executive chairman
and focus more on the pan-
demic. Dr. Gawande, who took
The limited public achieve-
ments contrast with Haven’s
ambitions, which attracted at-
The program, which offered
Seattle-area workers at-home
visits by nurses or clinicians,
ture was a problem almost would help reduce costs for culture aimed at quick innova- carrier in the Middle East in- The Industry Groups table
Continued from Page One from its outset, according to their workers and improve tion, and separate teams often correctly said he was killed Jan. in the Markets Digest page of
tion drugs more affordable,” a people familiar with the mat- care. In a March 2019 memo work on similar projects at the 3, 2019. Monday’s Journal Report
spokeswoman said. ter. Other executives who left posted on Haven’s website, Dr. same time. The company often showed performance for the
The three founding compa- Haven included technology Gawande promised that the operates as a network of small Chen Yang, who runs a full year 2020. The table incor-
nies plan to try to split Ha- chief Serkan Kutan and oper- startup would be “relentless,” teams under one umbrella state-owned enterprise in rectly labeled the performance
ven’s staff, Mr. Dimon said in a ating chief Jack Stoddard. produce “high impact” work rather than with centralized China, expected to incur losses change as from the previous
memo to bank employees Haven sought to develop and “create new solutions and planning, according to current in 2020 in part because of a quarter.
Monday. new ways to improve access to work to change systems, tech- and former Amazon employees. sharp rise in shipping costs. In
“We’ll collaborate less for- primary care, simplify insur- nologies, contracts, policy, and The tech giant has long some editions Monday, a World Notice to readers
mally going forward as we ance coverage and make pre- whatever else is in the way of pursued its own health-care News article about China’s ex- Wall Street Journal staff
each work to design programs scription drugs more afford- better health care.” ambitions and launched an on- porters incorrectly said he ex- members are working re-
tailored to specific needs of able, the company said. It line pharmacy in November. pects losses this year. motely during the pandemic.
our individual employee popu- tested providing flat-rate costs The pharmacy will ship insu- For the foreseeable future,
lations and local markets,” he for health-care services, which lin, asthma inhalers and other The Argentine peso fell please send reader comments
wrote. “Haven worked best as all three companies piloted,
The JPMorgan- common generic or branded 28.79% against the U.S. dollar only by email or phone, using
an incubator of ideas, a place according to a person familiar Amazon-Berkshire medications. It won’t sell opi- in 2020. The chart titled “Track the contacts below, not via
to pilot, test and learn—and a with the venture. One such pi- oids or other drugs deemed at the Markets: Winners and Los- U.S. Mail.
way to share best practices lot involved about 30,000 JP-
venture showed few higher risk of theft, and cus-
across our companies.” Morgan employees in Ohio and signs of impact. tomers will need prescriptions Readers can alert The Wall Street Journal to any errors in news articles by
Haven’s foundation ulti- Arizona. Haven also worked on for their medications. emailing wsjcontact@wsj.com or by calling 888-410-2667.
mately proved unwieldy for experiments to lower prescrip- Amazon said its pharmacy
solving the three sprawling tion drug costs and to make would accept most insurance
companies’ problems, people leading providers accessible to Combined, the three com- and offer discounts to unin- THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
familiar with the matter said. employees wherever they live, panies have more than 1.5 mil- sured Prime customers. An (USPS 664-880) (Eastern Edition ISSN 0099-9660)
(Central Edition ISSN 1092-0935) (Western Edition ISSN 0193-2241)
Different employee bases and this person said. lion employees, with Amazon Amazon spokeswoman said at Editorial and publication headquarters: 1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y. 10036
locations led to different pri- It couldn’t be learned how accounting for about 1.1 mil- the time that “the same teams, Published daily except Sundays and general legal holidays.
orities, and each company had much Haven cost the three lion on its own. The tech giant technology, and infrastructure Periodicals postage paid at New York, N.Y., and other mailing offices.
its own existing health-care companies, as it operated has more than 800,000 work- that support PillPack by Ama- Postmaster: Send address changes to The Wall Street Journal, 200 Burnett Rd., Chicopee, MA 01020.
systems that required differ- largely out of public view, but ers in the U.S. and hired zon Pharmacy have expanded All Advertising published in The Wall Street Journal is subject to the applicable rate card, copies of which
are available from the Advertising Services Department, Dow Jones & Co. Inc., 1211 Avenue of the
ent fixes, according to one of the costs weren’t a significant 400,000 in 2020 alone. to serve a wider range of cus- Americas, New York, N.Y. 10036. The Journal reserves the right not to accept an advertiser’s order. Only
the people familiar with the factor in its shutdown, one of Even as Haven sought to tomers, both in terms of needs publication of an advertisement shall constitute final acceptance of the advertiser’s order.
matter. After Haven struggled the people said. improve health-care offerings and numbers.” Amazon bought Letters to the Editor: Fax: 212-416-2891; email: wsj.ltrs@wsj.com
to implement any changes, the The company showed few for the three companies, Ama- online pharmacy PillPack Inc. Need assistance with your subscription?
By web: customercenter.wsj.com; By email: wsjsupport@wsj.com
three companies opted to signs of impact in the three zon teams worked separately about two years before intro- By phone: 1-800-JOURNAL (1-800-568-7625)
close it down, this person said. years following its rollout. Ha- to expand the company’s pro- ducing its own service. Previ- Reprints & licensing: By email: customreprints@dowjones.com | By phone: 1-800-843-0008
Writer, surgeon and Har- ven spent much of its early time grams for its workers, particu- ously, Amazon customers had WSJ back issues and framed pages: wsjshop.com
vard University professor Atul building data systems about larly in the Seattle area. In been directed to a separate Our newspapers are 100% sourced from sustainably certified mills.
Gawande was named Haven’s employees across the three 2019, it launched a virtual pri- site geared toward patients
chief executive, but he stepped partner companies, people fa- mary-care clinic for employees with complex, chronic medical GOT A TIP FOR US? SUBMIT IT AT WSJ.COM/TIPS
down in May, saying he would miliar with the matter said. there dubbed Amazon Care. conditions.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * * * * Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | A3
U.S. NEWS
Drive-Through Vaccination Site Opens for Kentucky Health-Care Workers
JON CHERRY/GETTY IMAGES
GEARING UP: Workers prepared Monday for the first day of mass inoculations with Moderna’s Covid-19 vaccine in Broadbent Arena at the Kentucky Exposition Center in Louisville.
1.3M
Number of people that traveled
But those helping drugmak-
ers need more help themselves.
More than 5,000 open jobs ex-
ist at the world’s 10 largest
has soared for niche produc-
tion of complex medications
treating diseases such as
breast cancer or rheumatoid
company with a potential vac-
cine candidate has enlisted
contract manufacturers to help
meet production targets.
The company, based in Som-
erset, N.J., has hundreds of un-
filled jobs, which could directly
affect how much extra produc-
missioner Stephen M. Hahn
and FDA vaccine chief Peter
Marks said that “changes that
are not supported by ade-
through U.S. airports on Sunday companies that have won arthritis, taken by a minority Catalent Inc., one of the tion it can allot to Covid-19 quate scientific evidence may
Covid-19 outsourcing work, ac- of the population. But Covid-19 largest contract manufacturers vaccines, said Bernie Clark, ultimately be counterproduc-
cording to a Wall Street Jour- vaccines have created a mas- in the U.S., has leaned into un- Catalent’s vice president of tive to public health.” They
nal analysis of the companies’ sive new product category usual recruiting strategies, in- marketing and strategy. The said doctors and nurses ad-
as a fall surge of the coronavi- websites. The firms were where the potential market is cluding ads on the radio- company has signed multiple ministering the Covid-19 vac-
rus strained hospitals across ranked by production capacity. every person on Earth. streaming app, Pandora, Covid-19 vaccine contracts. cines should follow their FDA-
the country, public-health ex- The labor crunch is another World production of targeting people who live near “To keep adding capacity authorized dosing schedules.
perts and the CDC urged people potential drag on a global vac- Covid-19 vaccines is expected its manufacturing plants. It of- and new lines, you have to —Thomas M. Burton
not to travel over the holidays, cine rollout already facing a to reach six billion doses in fers $3,000 sign-on bonuses for have the people to run them,” and Jared S. Hopkins
and instead recommended that supply backlog and requiring 2021, according to industry its manufacturing associates Mr. Clark said.
people remain at home and cel-
ebrate only with those in their
U.S. NEWS
Lines Are Drawn for a Republican Civil War challenged by Republican siderable internal ideological kota—in which they have to the precedent that it would which path the party takes
rebels, who, taking a cue schisms. Instead, the party is take a stand that either infu- set.” from here is under way. It
from what is happening being pulled apart in the last riates Trump loyalists back And the Arizona Republi- was set in sharp relief by the
right now, will charge that days of the Trump term. home or energizes Demo- can Party openly attacked president’s 11th-hour insis-
the election was “rigged” by Mr. Trump is setting up crats and many indepen- the most prominent Arizona tence last week that his
the establishment, and go to this week as a dramatic test dents against them. Republican of the past gen- party’s congressional leaders
court to try to overturn it. of loyalty to him in the form Meantime, the party’s eration, the late Sen. John reverse course and support
of his last-ditch effort to broader splits are coming to McCain, in a weekend tweet $2,000 coronavirus relief
CAPITAL JOURNAL
S
uch are the forces be- overturn the victory of Pres- the surface. The president proclaiming that the GOP is checks for most Americans.
By Gerald F. Seib ing unleashed this ident-elect Joe Biden, and rang in the New Year by “never going back” to the This week’s drama is partly
week within the GOP, his core supporters will be tweeting that his party’s sec- party he represented but in- about election results, but
where the prospect of a vir- rallying in Washington to ond-ranking senator, Mr. stead “is now, and forever also about where Republican
Less than two years from tual civil war suddenly feels underscore the point. Sens. Thune, who has an 85% life- will be, one for the working office-holders will land along
now, after this week’s at- real. This internal struggle Josh Hawley of Missouri and time congressional-vote ap- man and woman!” this philosophical divide.
tempt to overturn the re- engages the president and Ted Cruz of Texas, who as- proval rating from the Amer- As that tweet shows,
T
sults of the presidential elec- his family; lawmakers court- pire to lead the Trump army ican Conservative Union, there is an important ideo- he unanswerable ques-
tion has long since played ing the support of Trump whenever Mr. Trump isn’t should be unseated by one of logical struggle lying be- tion is whether Mr.
out, here is a plausible sce- loyalists; and a conservative there to do so himself, have the president’s personal fa- neath the skirmishing. Mr. Trump can maintain
nario: Republican establishment engineered a scenario in vorites, South Dakota Gov. Trump essentially ran for his hold on the party once
A Republican senator or embodied by Senate Major- which each of their col- Kristi Noem. president in 2016 as an inde- he is out of office. Scott
House mem- ity Leader Mitch McConnell. leagues will have to go on Former House Speaker pendent populist, with no Reed, a longtime GOP strate-
ber, one party Part of the struggle is ideo- record either favoring or op- Paul Ryan released over the use for a Republican estab- gist, argues that “Trump
leaders are logical, part is simply about posing the president’s effort weekend a blunt statement lishment that largely op- wannabes need a new para-
eager to see power. In any case, it figures to reverse the election. urging his former colleagues posed him. Upon prevailing, digm, for there will never be
retain his or to roll through the next two They have done so in defi- not to attempt what many he turned the party away another Trump.” He predicts
her seat, will years and into the 2022 mid- ance of Mr. McConnell, cre- are about to try: overturn from traditional conservative Mr. McConnell, a traditional
be challenged term election. ating in the process a no-win the election results. “Under principles of free trade, conservative, will emerge as
in a primary by a disciple of The irony is that Republi- scenario for a series of their our system, voters deter- lower government spending the party’s clear leader.
President Trump. The in- cans might instead be unit- colleagues up for re-election mine the president, and this and limited executive au- He adds: “The election
cumbent, after being at- ing in celebration over what in 2022—Roy Blunt of Mis- self-governance cannot sus- thority and toward more of a showed us that GOP policies
tacked as a member of a dis- actually was a good outcome souri, Lisa Murkowski of tain itself if the whims of working-class agenda. and ideas worked up and
paraged party establishment, for them in the 2020 vote, Alaska, Rob Portman of Congress replace the will of Now, with the Trump down the ticket, but it was
will still win the primary. and allowing attention to fo- Ohio, Marco Rubio of Flor- the people,” Mr. Ryan wrote. presidency near its end, the the personality that cost us
But that outcome will be cus on Democrats’ own con- ida, John Thune of South Da- “I urge members to consider inevitable struggle over the White House.”
fraud for his defeat, but no sig- of power as President Trump from some Republican senators
nificant evidence emerged that and many Republicans continue and House members are ex-
would change the result, and he to dispute the election results. pected to force debate and
and his legal team have been The letter, sent by the Part- votes in Congress. Majorities in
dealt losses in courts at all lev- nership for New York City, the House and Senate would
els including the U.S. Supreme which represents the city’s have to agree for the challenge
Court. Then-Attorney General business leaders and largest to succeed, an extremely un-
William Barr said last month GOP Sen. Tom Cotton with his wife, Anna Peckham, at his ceremonial swearing-in at the Capitol. employers, called on Congress likely prospect given that Dem-
the Justice Department hadn’t to certify the electoral vote on
found evidence of widespread pared for the proceedings to from some states unless Con- runoffs, and he encouraged Wednesday as the nation con-
fraud that could reverse Mr. Bi- last for several days. gress appoints a commission to other Senate Republicans to re- tinues to reel from the corona- Pfizer CEO
den’s victory. Over the week- Democrats said Republicans conduct an emergency, 10-day main silent as well, this person virus pandemic. Albert Bourla
end, Mr. Trump urged Georgia were bowing to Mr. Trump’s audit of the election results. said. But over the weekend Mr. “Attempts to thwart or delay was among
Secretary of State Brad Raffen- demands despite no chance of It takes one House lawmaker Cotton spoke to Mr. McConnell this process run counter to the the nearly 200
sperger to overturn the Novem- success. and one senator to object to a again and they discussed essential tenets of our democ- executives
ber election results that deliv- “It’s just really soul crushing state’s electoral votes in writ- whether he should come out racy,” the letter said. “Our duly who signed
ered the state to Mr. Biden. that these people are continuing ing on Wednesday. The objec- with a statement before elected leaders deserve the re- the letter.
Mr. Trump’s comments came this effort, but our democracy is tion, once filed, triggers two Wednesday, the person said. spect and bipartisan support of
as more than a dozen Republi- stronger,” Sen. Amy Klobuchar hours of concurrent debate and For Republican senators and all Americans at a moment
can senators and scores of GOP (D., Minn.) said. “Donald Trump votes in each chamber. staff who feared more defec- when we are dealing with the ocrats control the House.
House members have said they is a dominant personality and On Monday, Mr. Trump sin- tions, Mr. Cotton’s statement worst health and economic cri- In a Saturday telephone call,
would challenge certification of he knows no limits, and he’s gled out one Republican sena- came as “a sigh of relief,” one ses in modern history.” Mr. Trump urged Georgia’s Re-
Mr. Biden’s win. Senate Major- pushing this to the end.” tor for breaking with him. He aide said. Several more GOP Among the nearly 200 busi- publican secretary of state,
ity Leader Mitch McConnell (R., Business interests weighed tweeted at Sen. Tom Cotton of senators said they wouldn’t ness leaders who signed the Brad Raffensperger, to overturn
Ky.) and other Republicans have in, with nearly 200 top U.S. Arkansas: “Republicans have challenge the election results. letter are the heads of financial the November election results
made the case that a public business leaders in a letter pluses & minuses, but one thing “I cannot support allowing firm BlackRock Inc., consul- that led Mr. Biden, a Democrat,
fight over the results could Monday pressing Congress to is sure, THEY NEVER FORGET!” Congress to thwart the will of tancy Deloitte, airline JetBlue to win the state.
hurt GOP incumbents’ chances certify the results. The U.S. Mr. Cotton, who along with the voters,” said Sen. Rob Port- Airways Corp. and pharmaceu- The U.S. Chamber of Com-
in 2022 and could open future Chamber of Commerce also Messrs. Cruz and Hawley is man of Ohio in a statement. tical company Pfizer Inc., ac- merce, which represents more
presidential contests up to urged lawmakers to back Mr. seen as a 2024 presidential Sens. Shelley Moore Capito cording to a release sent by the than three million businesses,
challenges by Democrats. Biden’s win and for the Trump hopeful, said in a statement (R., W.Va.) and Kevin Cramer partnership. The group includes also urged Congress on Monday
Vice President Mike Pence is administration to facilitate an late Sunday he wouldn’t join (R., N.D.) also said Monday they a number of Fortune 500 com- to certify Mr. Biden’s win.
scheduled to preside over orderly transition. the group objecting to results. wouldn’t object to the electoral panies across industries as well “Efforts by some members
Wednesday’s joint session to The group planning to chal- Mr. Cotton’s decision not to tally. Sen. Kelly Loeffler, a can- as New York-based financial- of Congress to disregard certi-
count each of the 538 Electoral lenge Mr. Biden’s win in the participate long predated Mr. didate in the runoffs in Georgia services firms and law firms. fied election results in an effort
College votes from the 50 Senate includes Sen. Josh Haw- Hawley’s announcement last Tuesday, said she would. Eleven current and incoming to change the election outcome
states and the District of Co- ley (R., Mo.), who said Wednes- week, according to a person fa- Capitol Hill offices are being Republican senators said this or to try to make a long-term
lumbia. Any challenge is set to day he would contest results in miliar with Mr. Cotton’s think- overwhelmed by calls in the past weekend that they would political point undermines our
fail in both chambers, given Pennsylvania and potentially ing. Last month, he privately thousands, urging their elected vote to reject the Electoral Col- democracy and the rule of law
Democratic control of the other states. On Saturday, 11 let Mr. McConnell know where officials to investigate the pres- lege votes of some states on and will only result in further
House and lack of broad GOP more senators, led by Ted Cruz he stood but didn’t plan to dis- ident’s fraud allegations and Wednesday as not “lawfully division across our nation,”
Senate support. Senate leader- of Texas, said they, too, planned close his decision before Tues- overturn the election in his fa- certified” unless Congress ap- said Chamber CEO Thomas J.
ship told staffers to be pre- to challenge electoral votes day’s pivotal Georgia Senate vor, GOP Hill aides said. points a commission to conduct Donohue in a statement.
We’ll be there.
Resilient, clean and economical energy solutions businesses can
depend on – no matter the storm.
U.S. NEWS
Georgia Girds
For Senate
Runoff Vote
nity to reset everything in a re- comes as other global auto long grappled with factories several hurdles, including win- the security or national inter-
ally fast-changing industry,” manufacturers are moving running at below-normal ca- ning approval from European ests of the United States, to
said Philippe Houchois, an auto quickly to downsize and be pacity, industry data show, but Union regulators, but it is still world peace, or to cultural or
analyst for Jefferies. “Now, you more nimble. One of the big- closing plants in Europe is ex- waiting for regulatory approval other significant public or pri-
can change your priorities to gest challenges facing Mr. Tav- pensive and politically fraught, from governments in several vate endeavors.” It was estab-
adjust to the changing world.” ares will be trying to manage analysts said. smaller markets. The companies lished in 1963 by President
France’s PSA, whose brands the combined group’s collec- Both companies have in- also have yet to publicly reveal John F. Kennedy.
include Peugeot and Citroën, tion of 15 automotive brands— sisted they won’t close plants. the new leadership team. In December, Mr. Trump
has fared better than rivals more than the dozen owned by But that would mean Mr. Tava- Fiat Chrysler said in De- awarded the medal to retired
during the health crisis, man- Volkswagen AG, now the res would have to find ways to cember that Mike Manley, the Notre Dame football coach Lou
aging to post a profit in the world’s largest auto maker by fill up the European factories company’s current chief execu- Holtz and Iowa wrestling icon
first half of 2020. Fiat Chrys- sales. with models that generate tive, would take on a new role Dan Gable.
ler was hit hard in the spring Mr. Tavares has said he steady sales—a tactic Fiat postmerger, running the Mr. Trump’s plans were
by factory closures and a col- doesn’t plan to cut any brands, Chrysler has tried in the past Americas for the newly com- Rep. Devin Nunes oversaw a earlier reported by the Wash-
lapse in vehicle demand, lead- but industry analysts said that with little success, analysts said. bined auto maker. House committee’s Russia probe. ington Post.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | A7
WORLD NEWS
Tehran Accelerates Uranium Enrichment
New nuclear activity ramps up pressure on Western
countries, reaching 4.5% pu-
exceeds deal’s limits, rity last year. The 2015 deal
speeds up timetable limits Iran to 3.67% purity.
The increased nuclear activ-
to produce a weapon ity and the Dec. 1 law that set
it in motion could be designed
BY ARESU EQBALI to improve Iran’s position in
AND JARED MALSIN negotiations toward a revival
of the 2015 nuclear deal under
TEHRAN—Iran said it has Mr. Biden, who will be inaugu-
resumed enriching uranium to rated as president on Jan. 20.
20% purity, exceeding limits Iran’s Foreign Minister Ja-
set in a 2015 nuclear deal and vad Zarif said the nuclear ac-
slashing the time it would take tivity was in response to non-
for Tehran to produce the compliance by other members
grade of fuel needed for a nu- of the agreement. “Our mea-
clear weapon. sures are fully reversible upon
BY PAUL BERGER noted the work also will mod- The highly contagious
ernize a heavily used stretch strain of Covid-19 recently dis-
New York state transporta- of line and eliminate eight covered in the U.K. has
tion officials said Monday that railroad crossings that incon- reached New York, Gov. An-
despite the coronavirus pan- venience residents and have drew Cuomo said Monday.
demic they are on schedule to been the scene of dozens of State health officials said
complete a $2.6 billion project injuries and several deaths they detected a case of the
OFFICE OF ALBANY COUNTY EXECUTIVE DANIEL P. MCCOY
that will expand rail capacity over the past decade. strain in a man from upstate
on one of the nation’s busiest The MTA paused billions of Saratoga County. The new
commuter railroads. dollars of spending on tracks, variant, which is known to
The Metropolitan Transpor- vehicles and equipment last spread 70% faster than earlier
tation Authority paused billions year because of a significant versions of the virus, was first
of dollars of planned spending drop in revenue from fares detected in the U.S. in a man
after the virus started spread- and dedicated taxes. in Colorado, health officials
ing in the region in March. The In 2020, the authority com- said last week.
pandemic also caused construc- mitted just $5 billion of a The New York man is asso-
tion delays as worksites and planned $13 billion in spend- ciated with N. Fox Jewelers in
suppliers were forced to close ing. It has delayed projects to Saratoga Springs, a business
or limit operations. add new subway escalators where other people tested
Janno Lieber, the authority’s and elevators and to bring ser- positive for coronavirus, New
chief development officer, said vice on the authority’s Metro- York state officials said. The
in an interview that the MTA’s North Railroad into New York officials urged anyone who ‘If you can stay home, stay home,’ said Albany County Executive Daniel McCoy in a Monday update.
plans to add a third track to the City’s Penn Station. visited the store since Dec. 18
Long Island Rail Road’s Main Mr. Lieber said the LIRR to be tested. hard as New York City during and support restaurants by data showed the school’s posi-
Line should be completed in project survived and is moving The identification of the the initial wave of the pan- getting takeout, and he asked tivity rate was lower than the
2022, as expected. forward because construction new strain in New York came demic last spring. The highest school districts to pause in- surrounding communities’. It
The project will increase ca- began before the pandemic. He as Covid-19 hospitalizations positivity rates are in the Mo- person learning for one or two would be up to individual dis-
pacity on five LIRR branches said the authority has managed and positivity rates continue hawk Valley and Finger Lakes weeks rather than resume af- tricts, the governor said.
over a 10-mile stretch from to keep to schedule, in part, by to climb around the state, regions; the latter includes the ter the holiday break. The Mohawk Valley had the
Floral Park to Hicksville. Before using fixed cameras and mobile mostly in areas north of the city of Rochester. “Only go out if necessary. If state’s highest seven-day posi-
the pandemic the route carried GoPro cameras to limit the Hudson Valley. Mr. Cuomo said he would you can stay home, stay home. tivity rate, at 10.4%, state offi-
about 40% of the LIRR’s need for supervisors and in- Another 170 New Yorkers order further shutdowns only Don’t travel if you don’t have cials reported on Monday.
300,000 weekday passengers. spectors to appear on work died on Sunday as a result of if data showed hospitals would to,” Mr. McCoy, a Democrat, Oneida County Executive An-
Commuter rail ridership sites and at suppliers’ factories. Covid-19, and 8,251 people be overrun. New York cur- said. thony Picente, whose office is
has plummeted across the He said the authority also around the state were hospi- rently bans gatherings of more Only the state has the au- in Utica, agreed with Mr.
country since the start of the has implemented aggressive talized, the Democratic gover- than 10 people around the thority to close school build- Cuomo’s approach.
pandemic as many white-col- safety protocols, such as sepa- nor said. That is the highest state and prohibits indoor din- ings, or order restrictions on “I can’t say that I want to
lar workers shifted to working rating entrances and exits on hospitalization figure since ing in New York City. activities such as dining, per- see things shut down, because
from home rather than com- work sites, minimizing min- May 7, state data show. Calcu- Albany County Executive sonal care and gyms. Mr. I don’t think that’s going to fix
muting to the office and many gling among workers and not lated on a seven-day average, Daniel McCoy said Monday Cuomo previously said in July it,” Mr. Picente, a Republican,
businesses closed or are oper- allowing sharing of tools. 71% of the state’s available that the number of hospital- that he would close schools in said. “It’s behavior, education
ating at limited capacity. Mr. Lieber said the author- hospital beds are occupied. ized Covid-19 patients has ex- a region where the seven-day that we have to continue and
Weekday ridership on the ity has taken advantage of low The number of people hos- ceeded its record level for the average positivity rate topped hopefully we have to get this
LIRR is down more than 75%. ridership during the pandemic pitalized is higher in upstate past three consecutive days. 9%. But on Monday he said vaccine out the door quicker
MTA officials say the LIRR to accelerate many other exist- regions that weren’t hit as He urged people to stay home schools could remain open if to stem this tide.”
capacity expansion is still ing projects, such as taking
needed because ridership is the E train out of service near
expected to return and de-
mand will only increase in the
John F. Kennedy International
Airport to perform extensive
GREATER NEW YORK WATCH
following years. Mr. Lieber track repairs.
MANHATTAN for the attack in subway tunnels CONNECTICUT BROOKLYN
beneath Times Square and the
Judge Rejects Effort Port Authority bus terminal. Fire Kills Woman; Man Is in Custody
By Subway Bomber Those challenges included a Many Left Homeless After Fatal Stabbing
claim that he didn’t provide sup-
The conviction of a Bangla- port to the Islamic State group. A woman was killed and A 79-year-old man was fa-
deshi immigrant who set off a Judge Sullivan said in a deci- about 20 people were left tally stabbed and two people in-
pipe bomb attached to his chest sion dated Dec. 31 but placed in homeless when fire ripped cluding a 4-year-old were
in New York City’s busiest subway the public record Monday that through a multifamily dwelling in slashed in what police said were
station was properly returned by evidence “amply establishes” New Haven early Monday, au- attacks by a family member.
a Manhattan jury, a judge said in that Ullah acted at the group’s thorities said. Officers responded to a report
a decision released Monday. direction by “heeding the call of The fire broke out at around of an assault just before 6:30 p.m.
The December 2017 attack by the organization’s propaganda 1:30 a.m. at a building on Salton- Sunday in Bedford-Stuyvesant
Akayed Ullah, 30 years old, of and recruiting materials.” stall Avenue. Firefighters used a and found the victims. A 22-year-
Brooklyn, fizzled when the bomb Ullah faces a mandatory 30- ladder to rescue four people old man was taken into custody.
barely exploded, burning him but year prison term. from the building’s upper floors. Charges against him were pend-
causing mostly minor injuries to Amy Gallicchio, a lawyer for One, a woman, was pronounced ing Monday. Police said the at-
MTA
others. Judge Richard Sullivan re- Ullah, declined to comment. Pros- dead. Two of the other victims tacker and the victims were all
Workers laid tracks in September as part of the Long Island Rail jected several challenges by Ullah ecutors declined to comment. were hospitalized. members of the same family.
Road’s Main Line expansion project, due to be completed in 2022. to his November 2018 conviction —Associated Press —Associated Press —Associated Press
A8B | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 NY * * THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
side New York City, where all to the public, the officials said.
employers hit the $15 hourly Investigators determined they
wage requirement at the end constituted a hoax bomb in-
of 2019. tended to cause a disruption.
State law requires the New “The Bomb Squad has de-
York State Division of the Bud- termined that this is a hoax
get to analyze the impact of device, which means, in their
recent minimum-wage in- judgment, it was set up to ap-
creases and the health of the New York City hit the $15 hourly wage requirement at the end of 2019. Wage activists demonstrating in August in Times Square. pear to be a device,” NYPD
economy before the state Deputy Commissioner of Intel-
moves forward with scheduled industries, have been dispro- suffering such a decrease in ees, said the wage increase with the statewide unemploy- ligence and Counterterrorism
increases. A 2016 law, which portionately harmed by the business, it becomes much, won’t have a significant im- ment rate falling below 4% John Miller said at a news
raises the minimum wage over pandemic and need support, much harder to pay the higher pact on her business. just before the pandemic. The conference at the scene.
several years to $15 an hour, is Ms. Reardon said in explaining wages,” he said. “Some people don’t even statewide rate was 8.1% in No- A Siberian husky was also
scheduled to reach the thresh- her decision to move forward Some business groups said have food,” said Ms. Welling- vember, the most recent data found in the vehicle, police of-
old in Long Island and with the minimum-wage in- the higher labor costs could ton, who is also deputy direc- available, down from a high of ficials said. The dog was re-
Westchester in 2021. crease. slow the state’s jobs recovery. tor of Nassau County for the 16% in July, according to the moved from the vehicle by a
Roberta Reardon, commis- “We will rebuild our econ- “It just increases the cost of state labor department. member of an NYPD canine
sioner of the New York State omy while continuing to lead doing business at a time when In addition to New York, 19 unit, police officials said.
Department of Labor, had the the nation in the fight for eco- sales are at an all-time low, other states and 32 cities and Police officials declined to
option of delaying the wage nomic justice,” she said in a revenue is at an all-time low
‘In New York we counties raised their minimum comment on possible motives
boost but said the labor mar- statement. “This investment in and many businesses are sim- believe a fair day’s wages Jan. 1, according to a for the hoax and other items
kets affected by the increase— our workers once again proves ply closed in New York state report by the National Em- that might have been found in
meaning those outside New that in New York we believe a or operating under severe ca-
work deserves a fair ployment Law Project, a non- the car. An investigation into
York City—are leading the fair day’s work deserves a fair pacity restrictions,” said Greg day’s pay.’ profit research group that ad- the matter remained ongoing,
state’s economic recovery. day’s pay.” Biryla, New York director of vocates for low-wage workers. and no arrests had been made
The unemployment rate for Steve Wangel, president of the National Federation of In- The statewide new minimum Monday afternoon, the offi-
Long Island and Westchester, the Lynbrook Chamber of dependent Business. wages range from $8.75 an cials said.
for example, fell to 7.1% in Oc- Commerce on Long Island, Elizabeth Wellington, vice Long Island African American hour in Montana to $14 an Police first received a 911
tober from its pandemic peak said he supported delaying the president of the trucking com- Chamber of Commerce. “Some hour in California. call about the suspicious vehi-
of 15.4% in April, according to minimum-wage increase. Mr. pany Wellie The Transporter, workers in the African-Ameri- In New Jersey, the mini- cle at 7:40 a.m. Monday, the
the report. The national unem- Wangel, who owns a kitchen based in Elmont on Long Is- can community have to hold mum rose to $12 an hour from officials said, and NYPD Bomb
ployment rate was 6.9% in Oc- cabinet and design company, land, said she supported rais- three jobs in order to survive.” $11 on Jan. 1. A law signed in Squad and Emergency Service
tober, according to the U.S. La- isn’t affected by the change ing the minimum wage be- The state budget division’s 2019 by Gov. Phil Murphy, a Unit officers responded.
bor Department. because he pays his employees cause many workers are report found that minimum- Democrat, will gradually in- The police investigation led
Minimum-wage workers, on commission. having a hard time paying wage increases over the last crease the state’s minimum to the closure of nearby build-
such as those employed in the “Especially now, because of their living expenses. Ms. Wel- four years didn’t adversely af- wage to $15 an hour for most ings and roads for roughly two
retail, leisure and hospitality coronavirus and businesses lington, who has two employ- fect employment in New York, workers by 2024. hours.
Since 1985, we’ve been cooking and home-delivering nutritious, individually tailored meals
to people living with serious illness in the NYC metropolitan area.
Being sick and hungry is a crisis. You can help.
Donate, volunteer, or just learn more at glwd.org
godslovewedeliver @godslovenyc God’s Love We Deliver is a member of the Food is Medicine Coalition (FIMC).
To learn more about FIMC’s work around the country, visit fimcoalition.org
HEALTH & WELLNESS
PERSONAL JOURNAL.
© 2021 Dow Jones & Company. All Rights Reserved. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | A9
ILLUSTRATIONS BY BRIAN STAUFFER
ANATOMY OF A WORKOUT
JEN MURPHY A n hourlong escape to even a home
gym is a luxury right now. If you’re
finding it hard to make time for your
of the cup Ms. Campbell and Mr.
Turpin will perform a toe tap on.
With older children, Ms. Campbell
Plank Ball Roll
(Ages 8 to adult)
The Family
workout, try including your kids.
“It’s important for your kids, no
matter their age, to see you make
suggests turning exercise into play.
She often gamifies workouts for her
training programs specifically designed
S tart in a plank position, hands under shoulders, feet
shoulder-width apart or wider for more stability. If
there are two people, face each other. The farther apart
movement a priority,” says Samantha for kids ages 5 to 13. “The more com- you are, the more challenging the exercise. If there are
Fitness Plan Campbell, owner of Deep Relief Peak
Performance Athletic Training Center
petitive you make an activity, the more
excited kids are to do it,” she says. And
more than two people, form a circle.
Roll a ball from person to person maintaining proper
One-Leg Balance Toe Taps color mark with your foot without losing
(Ages 2 to adult) your balance. The first person to tap wins.
Keep score and play to 10 points, then
I AM FROM TUCSON, diagnosed groups. We have been sick with MY 17-YEAR-OLD daughter got smell is altered, and she gets no
Readers with coronavirus on June 15. I
don’t think people believe the
identical stories and symptoms
for the same amount of time.
Covid in early March. She men-
tioned that she was smelling “pad
pleasure from scents that used to
be enjoyable.
Share Long- symptoms we have are real.
The stories of the others
Today I’m having a bad breath-
ing day, which Stephanie dealt
Thai” or dirty rags all the time,
but I ignored her as I myself was
—Dana Lustbader,
Great Neck, N.Y.
prompted me to write. My symp- with for the past three days. When working in the Covid ICUs during
Haul Covid toms are similar. Hard to breathe,
racing heart, numbness and tin-
I get up, my oxygen levels go down the surge as an intensivist, and I’M 22 YEARS OLD and I’ve had
POTS for about three years. Be-
Experiences gling, tight and heavy feeling in my
chest, aching in various body parts,
coming chronically ill flipped my
life upside down. Now I’ve
sometimes headache, ringing in my learned how to live with POTS, as
ears. Some days are better but after well as my overlapping chronic
YOUR I go and do something—shop, cook, health conditions.
HEALTH relax in the pool, or walk farther There is a huge community of
SUMATHI than the mailbox—I am done for the POTS patients who have been bat-
REDDY day. And I can’t stay focused, can’t tling this condition for many
work seated at the computer for years, pre-Covid, with little to no
more than 30 or 40 minutes with- light ever shed on our struggle.
A
series of Wall Street Journal out getting confused and frustrated. There are still some doctors who
articles about long-haul Thank you for letting me share refuse to treat it because they
Covid patients, who suffer this. No one else is listening. don’t believe it’s real.
from debilitating symptoms for —Morgan Egan-Murphy, Becoming chronically ill, espe-
months after their initial diagno- Tucson, Ariz. cially if you were healthy before,
BRITTANY GREESON FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
S
Gupta, a University of Cambridge
virologist who ran the studies.
cientists around the The South African variant has
world are scrambling to more than 20 mutations, including
learn more about previ- several affecting the spike protein.
ously unknown variants The U.K. and South Africa vari-
of the coronavirus that ants share a spike-protein muta-
seem to spread from tion that enables the spike to bind
person to person more readily more tightly to the cell mem-
than other versions of the branes, research suggests.
Covid-19-causing pathogen.
One new variant, known as Do existing vaccines work against
B.1.1.7, was identified in December new variants?
in the U.K., leading to travel re- While there is no final word yet
strictions and a widespread lock- on whether the existing vaccine
down there. Since then, the U.K. made by Pfizer and BioNTech and
variant has been detected in China the one from Moderna confer im-
and other countries, as well as in munity to the new variants, scien-
Colorado, California and Florida. tists have expressed confidence
In South Africa, meanwhile, that they do.
doctors and researchers battling a The mutations “raise some ques-
second surge of Covid-19 cases are tions about vaccine efficacy, but it’s
studying another new variant and important to note that the vaccines
what role it plays in the rising tide elicit a broad immune re-
of cases there. The variant, known sponse…that targets several areas
as B.1.351, has been identified in of the spike protein,” said Dr. Rich-
samples dating back to October. It ard Lessells, an infectious-disease
hasn’t been detected in the U.S. specialist at the University of Kwa-
Here is what we know so far Zulu-Natal in Durban, South Africa,
about the new variants and the ge- and a member of the team that dis-
netic mutations that characterize covered the South African variant.
them, as well as their potential im- Pfizer and Moderna have con-
pact on public health. ducted lab tests of their vaccines
against several versions of the coro-
What is a viral variant? navirus and found that the vaccines
Viral variants are new versions were effective against all. The com-
of a virus that arise as a result of A Covid-19 testing site in California, one of the states where a U.K. variant of the coronavirus has been detected. panies said they were conducting
small changes in its genetic code. experiments to determine whether
Over the course of the pandemic, antibodies generated by people vac-
there have been several variants. cases of Covid-19. The reproduction process in- rologist and provost at Northwell cinated were effective against the
Those that proved able to spread U.K. contact-tracing data show volves copying the virus’s genetic Health’s Feinstein Institutes for U.K. and South Africa variants.
more efficiently have become more that patients infected with the code, which holds the instructions Medical Research. The Centers for Disease Control
prevalent, while others fizzle out. new variant went on to infect for building successive generations and Prevention continues to urge
more people than those infected of virus particles, or virions. But What about the mutations seen in people who are eligible for vaccina-
Why the concern about these par- with previous variants. Data also the code isn’t always reproduced the new variants? tion to get the shots.
ticular variants? suggested that the viral load, or faithfully; sometimes the copying The new variant that cropped up
Some doctors worry that the new the amount of virus in the body, process yields mistakes that re- in the U.K. has about two dozen What can be done to stay safe
variants of the coronavirus could su- was higher among people infected searchers have likened to typo- separate mutations, including some from the new variants?
percharge the spread of Covid-19, with the new variant. The higher graphical errors. This is what related to the prominent outcrop- Infectious-disease experts and
putting additional stress on hospi- the viral load for individuals, the gives rise to new viral variants. pings that stud the coronavirus’s public-health officials say it is im-
tals and nursing homes when cases more infectious they tend to be. Some viruses have genetic codes outer surface. It is this so-called portant to continue strategies for
are near their historic highs. of DNA, the same molecule that car- spike protein that helps the virus in- avoiding contagion, including social
Preliminary data suggest that What gave rise to the new ries the genetic information in hu- filtrate cells by binding to and then distancing, masking and hand-wash-
BING GUAN/BLOOMBERG NEWS
the new variants are no more variants? man cells. Other viruses, including breaching their outer membranes. ing, as well as avoiding exposure to
likely to cause severe illness than Like other viral pathogens, the the coronavirus, are based on a re- In theory, a mutated form of the others indoors, especially where
the more familiar forms of the cor- coronavirus spreads by infecting lated molecule known as RNA. spike protein could boost the ability ventilation is poor. Extra care might
onavirus. But even if their viru- cells and then reproducing within RNA viruses lack a molecular of a virus to attach to cells and thus be required in indoor gatherings if
lence isn’t greater, the variants’ them, creating copies of itself that proofreader, a protein that checks enable it to infect with increased ef- experiments confirm that the new
apparently increased transmissibil- spread throughout the body and for mistakes and corrects them, so ficiency. Previous research has variants are more infectious.
ity could spell more misery and then are shed, potentially infecting they “accumulate more typos more shown one mutation of note in the —Joanna Sugden
death by increasing the number of other people. quickly,” said Bettie Steinberg, a vi- U.K. variant can make the virus contributed to this article.
room due to Covid restrictions, each Washington state halted indoor group enough space to go maskless and surveys indicated people would be
outdoor venue can hold at least 25. fitness and limited outdoor classes to blast music. She set the original tem- willing to come out in 15-degree
“We didn’t plan on being outdoors five people. perature limit at 40 degrees, but re- weather, but Mr. Blitz isn’t convinced.
beyond Nov. 15, but people asked us “The in-person classes are a hot cently dropped it to 33. “I think 20 degrees is probably the
to,” said Gyee O’Malley, co-owner of commodity,” Ms. Liu says. “It feels like I’m playing a game of limit, he says. “We’ll see.”
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | A11
ARTS IN REVIEW
n artist or label consid- MUSIC REVIEW | MARK RICHARDSON bodes well for this project. They
Unmissable Music
ering releasing music in pair a mournful vocal sample from
2020 had to make some obscure Philly soul band the Ethics
calculations: How impor- with precise and forceful percus-
tant would live promo- sion, bringing new clarity to
tion be to this record’s Madlib’s layered collage approach.
R A P N O G O T A N N E R
Oklahoma City 56 36 pc 50 32 r Edinburgh 38 29 pc 36 27 pc Zurich 33 28 c 34 28 sn
A12 | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
SPORTS
It was a game so pain- JASON GAY
BY ANDREW BEATON
TENNESSEE TITANS quarterback The Bargain Bin Quarterback coach of the New York Jets.
Not even the Titans expected
much, though. He was there to back
nehill’s success. He plays with run- homes, Josh Allen, Russell throwing ability to be worthy of run for two scores of his own. He
ning back Derrick Henry, who just Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, a top draft pick. He went threw for another score. He
became the eighth player in NFL Tom Brady or pretty much 42-46 during his time in Mi- dropped the ball in A.J. Brown’s
history to run for 2,000 yards in every other top quarterback ami despite playing many of arms to lead to the game-winning
the same season. He won under in the NFL because he left a those years with a much- score.
50% of his games with the Dol- trail of clues that indicated maligned coaching staff— The win solidified the Titans’ di-
phins. He plays in one of the NFL’s there was a fountain of un- his coach during his later vision crown. It also affirmed how
smaller markets. tapped potential. years was Adam Gase, they gave up almost nothing for a
But by any traditional or ad- Before Tannehill became an who was fired Sunday as star quarterback.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | A13
OPINION
Joe Biden’s Missing Coattails BOOKSHELF | By Laura Vanderkam
On Tuesday
the American
people will
Democrats fared even
worse in the House. Though
expectations were that Demo-
within the margin of error, go
back and forth. As this column
goes to press the latest poll
are pinned to an Election Day
surge, and the GOP needs the
president to ensure they get
The Commute
learn
things from
two
Georgia’s Sen-
ate runoffs.
crats would pick up seats, Re-
publican victories narrowed
Nancy Pelosi’s Democratic ma-
jority to 11 votes from 37. Hav-
numbers show effectively a
dead heat, with each Demo-
crat holding a slight lead.
Meanwhile, Democrats have
it. In this sense, Monday
night’s Trump rally in Dalton,
Ga., is the president’s win-one-
for-the-Gipper test.
To Nowhere
MAIN
STREET One
whether Don-
is ing Mr. Biden on the ticket
may have helped Democrats
been busy registering new
voters and successfully getting
Mr. Biden held his own rally
earlier in the day. In Atlanta
Where Is My Office?
By William
ald Trump, such as Pennsylvania’s Conor them out to vote. he characterized Ms. Loeffler By Chris Kane
McGurn
amid all his Lamb eke out victories in and Mr. Purdue this way: “You (Bloomsbury Business, 262 pages, $35)
F
election con- more moderate districts, but have two senators who don’t
troversies, can rally his troops the Biden-led blue wave Can the president- think they work for you. They or much of the past century, work has been a place
in numbers sufficient to put proved a dud. think they work for Trump.” where people went. For big organizations, a workplace
Republican Sens. Kelly Loeff- Now it’s all being refought elect carry Democrats Though he said that electing meant “concrete, steel and glass monuments built to
ler and David Perdue over the in Georgia. Again November other than himself “Jon and the Reverend” would service commerce and Mammon; commanding the skyline
top. The other is whether Joe offers little evidence of a Bi- “break the gridlock that’s of the modern cityscape and dominating the lives of the
Biden has any coattails. den effect here. Other than past the finish line? gripped Washington,” it was a millions of people who work in them.” So observes corporate
Thus far attention on Geor- Mr. Biden’s own victory, Dem- relatively brief appearance. real-estate veteran Chris Kane in “Where Is My Office?”
gia has focused on President ocrats in Georgia flipped only Given the overriding impor- But now, he says, “the world of work is changing.” Office
Trump, and for good reason. one of nine GOP House seats. The challenge for Republi- tance for Democrats of turn- work especially is “no longer anchored in one place.”
Not only did he lose a state The two Democratic Senate cans is clear: They need Mr. ing out African-American vot- Indeed, he notes, work has become a thing that people do
that hasn’t gone for a Demo- candidates, Jon Ossoff and Ra- Trump to get Republicans to ers, who account for about a and not a place where people go.
cratic presidential candidate phael Warnock, have each the polls. Which is why Sens. third of the state’s registered So what is to become of those monuments to Mammon?
since Bill Clinton in 1992, he’s raised more than $100 million Loeffler and Perdue have voters, maybe Democrats are And how about all those workers whose lives were dominated
now made himself the main is- for this race, with Mr. Ossoff backed the president’s attacks looking to Ms. Harris and Ba- by them? Mr. Kane explores this question in his intriguing,
sue in the two Senate runoffs. emerging as the most richly on Georgia’s Republican gov- rack Obama to get the job if meandering, book on “reimagining the workplace for the
And the outcome will affect all funded candidate in the his- ernor, Brian Kemp, and its Re- done. On Sunday Ms. Harris 21st century.”
Americans, because it will de- tory of the U.S. Senate. If the publican secretary of state, blasted Mr. Trump for his Much has been written on the future of work, mostly by
termine whether the Biden Democratic Senate candidates Brad Raffensperger. It’s also weekend call to Mr. Raffen- management gurus. Mr. Kane comes at the question from a
agenda will sail through a don’t win, it will confirm that why they have endorsed the sperger asking him to “find” different angle, with a
Democratic Congress or be Mr. Biden’s Georgia triumph president’s bid for $2,000 the 11,780 votes he needs to background in the property
blocked and tempered by a had less to do with his appeal stimulus checks and avoided overturn Georgia’s presiden- business—mostly, though not
Republican Senate. than it did with dislike for Mr. antagonizing him on the Na- tial election results. exclusively, in the U.K. He
But there’s been zero atten- Trump. tional Defense Authorization Plainly Democrats have con- calls himself an “industry
tion on the equally compelling The math underscores the Act by abstaining rather than cluded that, even though the provocateur” who has spent
question about Mr. Biden: Can coattails problem. Take Mr. Os- voting to override his veto, president isn’t on the ballot, his career persuading the
he carry Democrats other than soff, who garnered 88,000 even though both actions run defeating Mr. Trump is a more people who finance and build
himself to victory? fewer votes than Mr. Perdue in counter to their earlier votes promising sales pitch than offices to think about what
The November election sug- November. Roughly 100,000 and positions. asking Georgians to send to their tenants will actually
gests he can’t. Start with the Georgians who pulled the lever So far in the runoffs, more Washington two senators who want. (Oddly enough, they
Senate, which Democrats were for Mr. Biden failed to do so for than three million Georgians will be partners for Mr. Biden. don’t seem to want the
favored to win. Instead, they Mr. Ossoff. Mr. Warnock, who have already voted. Of these The good news for Mr. Biden is “uninspiring spaces of beige,
have 48 seats, so they need to is challenging Ms. Loeffler, votes Democrats are thought that he won’t be blamed if grey or off-white” that the
sweep both Senate runoffs to ended up more than 800,000 to enjoy a large advantage, Democrats lose. The bad news industry delivers.) He has also
get to a 50-50 tie in which Ka- votes short of Mr. Biden. buoyed by an increase in Afri- is that this is only because no helped large companies rethink
mala Harris would then cast The runoffs will be close can-American numbers. Re- one thinks he’s really a factor. their property portfolios, urging
the deciding vote. and the polls, almost all publican hopes, by contrast, Write to mcgurn@wsj.com executives to see that property
can be converted “from a cost centre into a value creator.”
He observes that “a well-designed and well-run workplace
Brexit Arrives, for Better or Worse has beneficial effects on the performance of its occupants.”
They collaborate. They feel inspired. They don’t quit quite as
quickly. Handled well, property can be a strategic tool.
Fo r t y - e i g h t critics—negotiated an agree- looking. It will almost inevita- British politics, announced Mr. Kane acted on this principle most notably at the BBC,
years after ment that won the backing of bly seek to define itself in jux- that he intended to renegoti- where, beginning in 2004, he oversaw a vast property
the U.K. en- both hardline Tory Brexiteers taposition to America in vari- ate the terms of Britain’s EU reorganization. He recounts shrinking the BBC’s total real-
tered what and the head of the Labour ous ways. The rush to sign an membership and ask British estate footprint, modernizing its facilities with new systems
would become opposition. investment treaty with China voters to endorse the agree- and networks for digital technology, moving functions out
the European That he pulled all this off despite public requests for de- ment in a referendum. The of expensive London, and transforming the BBC’s historic
Union and despite the pandemic eroding lay and consultations from se- failure of the Obama adminis- buildings into redevelopment projects. By building
GLOBAL
more than his government’s standing in nior members of the incoming tration to take this issue seri- independent studio and media-company space in the BBC’s
VIEW
four years af- the polls, and sending him to U.S. administration is a sign ously, to try to facilitate a old Television Centre, creating new parkland, and tying the
By Walter
ter voters critical care, only emphasizes of things to come as the cen- U.K.-EU agreement palatable complex to a nearby shopping development, he helped
Russell Mead
shocked David the extraordinary nature of ter of gravity of the post- to British voters, was the leverage the BBC brand to create a place that other brands
C a m e ro n ’s his success. It remains to be Brexit EU shifts east. first of a number of unmis- clamored to become part of.
government by voting to seen what Mr. Johnson will And the United Kingdom takable signals from Wash- While the BBC case study is fascinating, the rest of
leave, Brexit is no longer only make of Brexit, but he has al- may shrink too. Brexit was ington that Europe was no “Where Is My Office?” is a bit unsatisfying for anyone looking
a gleam in Nigel Farage’s eye. ready joined Margaret unpopular in Scotland, and a longer an important foreign for answers to the question of what the workplace of the
As of last weekend, Britons Thatcher and Tony Blair on plurality of Scots currently policy priority. future will look like. One reason may be that no one knows,
have joined Americans in the short list of post-imperial tell pollsters they would vote Any Cold War American especially now that Covid has changed daily work rhythms.
those crowded “Other Pass- British leaders who made a to secede from Britain if a administration would have Mr. Kane is also keenly aware that many past attempts to
port” lanes in European air- mark on world history. new referendum is held. seen a potential rift between rethink office life have resulted in ideas that are questionable
ports and British trade faces It is also much too soon to key NATO allies—to say noth- at best: Witness seas of soul-deadening cubicles or the
more red tape. tell how Brexit will work out ing of the potential break-up attempts to do away with assigned seating completely that
Whatever its merits as pol- in practice. Raising barriers to With Britain gone, of Britain—as a major na- ended up with much-hated “hot desking” policies—everyone
icy, Brexit was an important travel and trade is not a recipe tional security challenge de- has to fend for herself every morning to score a workable spot.
test of the U.K. political sys- for economic growth, and the the U.S. will find manding a focused response. While noting that companies will want more flexible
tem. Most of the British es- world-beating U.K. financial it even harder to In the Obama years, Washing- spaces to scale up and down and shorter leases, Mr. Kane
tablishment hates Brexit as sector is particularly vulnera- ton mostly yawned when the wisely doesn’t endorse no-personal-space policies that seem
much as the U.S. establish- ble. Still, both Britain and the influence EU policy. subject came up; then Presi- unaware of human nature; nor does he recommend shrinking
ment hates Donald Trump. EU may find offsetting advan- dent-elect Trump suggested square-footage requirements to save money and then hoping
But instead of following the tages. Without Eurosceptic that the U.K. name Mr. Farage for the best. He argues that smaller, fluid spaces can’t just
European pattern of holding Brits dragging their feet, Eu- Scexit would have serious im- as its ambassador to the U.S. be about cutting costs; they should be “about choice of how
repeated referendums until ropeans are now free to plications for U.S. security Neither approach did much to and where we work.”
voters return the “right” an- tighten the “ever closer union” and the future of NATO. Al- strengthen our trans-Atlantic
swer, the political glitterati that many hope will make the though the Scottish National alliances or to protect Ameri-
bowed to the people’s will. EU a more significant world Party dropped its longstand- can interests as Brexit moved Is it worth having central hubs and office towers
Like Brexit or loathe it, that is power. And freed from the ing opposition to NATO in forward. or would it be better just to rent space for a
how democracy is supposed regulatory burdens of EU 2012, it remains fiercely op- But there are weighty con-
to work. membership, Britain has the posed to nuclear weapons. sequences to Britain’s EU de- week every quarter to gather distributed teams?
It is also a personal tri- chance to engage more deeply This means that an indepen- parture, and the Biden admin-
umph for Boris Johnson. with faster growing economies dent Scotland might seek to istration will need a more
Prime Minister Johnson took around the world. ban both British and Ameri- proactive European and Atlan- The options include renting space in commercial co-
office with a Parliament hope- For the U.S., Brexit is a can nuclear submarines from tic policy to avoid the worst. working spaces such as WeWork and working from home—
lessly deadlocked on Brexit. challenge. Britain’s egress its waters, a stance that could Promoting an Open Atlantic something companies were loath to allow in the past, since
He maneuvered his opponents from the EU didn’t only widen make Scottish membership in trade agreement, supporting “many managers insist on being able to see their staff and
into allowing him to call an the English Channel; the At- NATO impossible. Franco-British military coop- have them physically present in the same office.” Managers
election on a date of his lantic Ocean is going to be Brexit has been on the ta- eration and working to rejuve- fear that “no work gets done unless they can see their staff
choosing, won some of La- harder to cross. Without the ble since Jan. 2013 when nate NATO can strengthen at their desks.” Mr. Kane is quick to argue against this fear,
bour’s safest seats to gain a U.K., the EU is likely over time then-Prime Minister David critical U.S. alliances even as but 10 months into Covid, much of this debate seems moot.
solid majority, and—to the as- to become less Atlanticist, Cameron, hoping to eliminate the U.K. and the EU go their The proportion of Americans who had ever worked from
tonishment and chagrin of his more statist and more inward Brexit as a divisive issue in politically separate ways. home doubled in the span of about two weeks in March
2020. There is every reason to think that, even if “normal”
life returns, many companies will aim to keep at least part
Lockdowns Starve Mom and Pop of their workforce away from central hubs and office towers
and that many employees will refuse to endure commutes
after a year or more of skipping them. To what effect? one
By Andy Puzder precedented economic de- vantages. Those that have Mollie isn’t alone. From wonders. While Mr. Kane refers to the pandemic from time
T
cline.” In November alone, the scraped by through outdoor the Pineapple Hill Saloon & to time, “Where Is My Office?” feels as if the bulk of the
he latest lockdowns Bureau of Labor Statistics re- dining, delivery and limited in- Grill in Los Angeles to Bread manuscript was written before this game-changer. He says
across the country will ported, restaurants and bars door seating are now being and Barley’s in Covina, videos that “the corporate sphere now needs to take a Darwinian
be deadly for the small lost 17,400 jobs as new state pushed to the brink by fresh spreading across social media approach—adapting and evolving in order to cope with
businesses that have endured lockdowns took effect. lockdowns and worsening show the increasing despera- uncertainty.” But the BBC’s new spaces were created with
the pandemic this far. While But while national brands weather. tion and anger of California’s the idea that employees would show up at them more days
there are no official numbers lose in lockdown-happy states, My favorite Italian restau- independent restaurant com- than not. Now it’s unclear how many organizations really
yet, business data show signifi- many are able to compensate rant, Trattoria Mollie in Santa munity. need a gleaming headquarters—no matter how well-
cant losses. Yelp’s Local Eco- with revenue from their loca- Barbara, Calif., is one such es- Paycheck Protection Pro- designed the headquarters happen to be.
nomic Impact Report found tions in places with minimal tablishment. Mollie is an Ethio- gram loans have ameliorated Early in “Where Is My Office?” Mr. Kane says that, while he
that, from March 1 through restrictions. pian immigrant who invested some losses, but even more is trying to issue a “clarion call” for people to “take a smarter
Aug. 31, nearly 100,000 busi- everything she had in her res- generous benefits would be approach in how spaces and places are used,” he also hopes
nesses listed on Yelp had taurant. She never made a for- insufficient to keep local to “demystify the complexities of the corporate property
closed permanently due to the Paying customers are tune, but I’ve never seen any- businesses alive if lockdowns sector to make it just a little easier for everyone to under-
pandemic, an average of more the best stimulus for one happier running a persist. The best stimulus for stand.” One suspects that this is where his true interests lie.
than 500 a day. restaurant, or better at it. Her any business is customers. In The result is much discussion of British lease idiosyncrasies,
In addition to destroying any small business. employees, many of whom are many cases, it would only among other digressions. Even the BBC case study is more a
the accomplishments of thou- also immigrants, make a good take a little leeway—all Mol- play-by-play of critical meetings than a guide to how others
sands of American entrepre- living. Santa Barbara’s mild cli- lie needs is the restoration of should rethink their spaces. Such a guide would surely be
neurs and the jobs they cre- National chains that are mate has allowed her business outdoor dining. useful for a leader looking to figure out how much space
ate, lockdowns are forcing known for delivery are actu- to survive on outdoor dining If blue states really want employees need, or what the right mix of in-person and
retail to consolidate around ally seeing sales improve. alone. to champion the vulnerable remote work should be, or whether it’s worth having a
large national brands, which Domino’s third-quarter U.S. That is, until a couple weeks and dispossessed, they headquarters or just renting space for a week every quarter
are better positioned to sur- sales were up 17.5%; Papa ago when, despite its limited should start by letting them to gather distributed teams.
vive the pandemic. John’s were up 24%. Quick health risks, outdoor dining feed their families. That said, whatever the post-pandemic workplace looks
Consider restaurants, Amer- service chains with drive- was banned by Gov. Gavin like, it will look better if leaders follow a lesson that Mr.
ica’s second-largest source of through lanes are also benefit- Newsom. Mollie called me in Mr. Puzder is a former Kane learned early on: “The focus had to be on the people
private employment. Accord- ing: McDonald’s third-quarter tears asking for advice; her CEO of CKE Restaurants and and their activities rather than the physical space.” Otherwise
ing to the National Restaurant U.S. sales rose 4.6%, while restaurant was on the brink, author of “The Capitalist offices are just places to go—and not much more.
Association, 110,000 have per- Wendy’s were up 7.9%. and her employees were about Comeback: The Trump Boom
manently closed and more Single-location, sit-down to go jobless, unable to feed and the Left’s Plot to Stop Ms. Vanderkam is the author of “The New Corner Office:
than 500,000 are “in an un- eateries have none of these ad- their families or pay their rent. It.” How the Most Successful People Work From Home.”
A14 | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
Pelosi Keeps Her Gunpowder Dry The Next Energy Secretary’s Climate Record
F
or all the attention devoted to Republi- a state avenue provides the opportunity to re- In addition to billions of taxpayer signing an industrial-size plant takes
cans contesting Joe Biden’s victory, the solve first.” We’ll see if that tradition holds in dollars awarded to favored corpora- several years and multiple steps. Ar-
tions under the guise of investing in ranging the financing required to
party with the best chance to overturn Mrs. Pelosi’s polarized and closely divided
green energy, expect two major pol- complete the plant as part of the
a federal election this year re- House. icy reversals from an Energy Secre- early development of the system is
mains the Democrats. Democrats reserve the Mr. Elias found seven Hart tary Jennifer Granholm (“Biden’s Cli- normal for a capital-intensive indus-
Nancy Pelosi, who was nar- right to overturn an voters who sent in absentee mate All Stars,” Review & Outlook, try. Never drawing on that money
rowly elected again as Speaker ballots that county election Dec. 28). should the technology fail to meet its
on Sunday, allowed the Repub- Iowa House election. boards disqualified because of First, “environmental responsibil- early-stage milestones is also stan-
lican winner in Iowa’s 2nd problems with the envelope ity” will justify regulations that drive dard practice. That is what happened
Congressional district, Mari- seal. He also found a voter up the cost of shale oil-and-gas pro- with Mascoma.
annette Miller-Meeks, to take her seat. But that whose absentee ballot was disqualified because duction, perhaps halting new produc- GEORGE SCHAEFER
may not be the last word on the election, which it lacked a signature in the required space and tion altogether. Second, mandates Austin, Texas
Democrat Rita Hart hasn’t conceded. Mrs. two whose ballots were dropped off at the wrong and incentives to use renewable en-
ergy will turn energy producers from The editorial board is correct to
Pelosi’s spokesman said Ms. Miller-Meeks would county commissioner’s office.
profit makers into rent seekers, gen- point out that progressive solutions
be seated “provisionally” and “pending the out- Absentee ballots usually have a higher rejec- erating returns from government lar- to climate change—subsidies, man-
come” of a House probe. tion rate than ballots cast in person because of gesse. Increases in the legally re- dates and taxes—are often ham-
The House has the power to decide contested the greater security needed, but some Demo- quired percentage of renewable handed tools. Perhaps they would
elections of its Members. Mrs. Pelosi is saying crats have lately talked themselves into the posi- energy in the electricity stream raise hold less sway were the GOP to offer
that the Democratic-controlled Committee on tion that any disqualification is voter suppres- corporate profits in tandem with con- an alternative. As with health-care,
House Administration reserves the right to rec- sion. The Hart campaign also successfully sumer energy costs. Republicans have left climate issues
ommend muscling Ms. Miller-Meeks out of her excluded several Miller-Meeks ballots over This is what Ms. Granholm did as to the Democrats and have lost votes
seat months from now, when Mr. Trump’s chal- “identifying marks” that could be recontested governor of Michigan. As energy sec- as a result. Young people, especially
lenge is history. if the House opened the door to it. retary, her policies would slow energy those wary of strong progressive pol-
Ms. Miller-Meeks, a physician and state sena- production, drive costs up and in- icies, will more seriously consider
Another question about the race that was
crease government involvement in voting for Republicans if the party
tor, won the district by six votes. Her victory was never litigated because Ms. Miller-Meeks won our lives—that’s the plan. would devise and sell an efficient cli-
confirmed in a recount, and the state certified the is why the absentee ballot recount in Scott JOHN MULARONI mate plan.
results Nov. 30. More than three weeks later Marc County found 131 more votes than in the initial Bloomfield Hills, Mich. CHRISTIAN CARSON
Elias, the Democratic election lawyer who special- count, resulting in a 26-vote swing to Ms. Hart. Cambridge, Mass.
izes in vote-counting mischief (Al Franken in Mr. Muller notes that the Hart campaign often You cite several examples of green-
2008), presented the House with a list of 22 bal- sought more-inclusive recounts in Democratic technology projects that received Your editorial cites several exam-
lots he says should have been counted and would counties compared to Republican ones. state and federal awards but were ples of alternative-energy invest-
result in a net 15-vote swing to Ms. Hart. It is possible to throw doubt on any race this never completed, leaving the impres- ments by government that didn’t pan
The most straightforward response for Ms. close. The question is how many Democrats sion that this money was spent and out. Your conclusion: “Government is
Miller-Meeks, whose lawyers have to respond would be willing to bypass state courts and un- wasted. This isn’t necessarily so. Sig- a lousy venture capitalist.” But a very
nificant portions of government similar article could have been writ-
this month, is that the Hart campaign forfeited seat an elected Republican Member to grow
awards are never disbursed. ten about the venture-capital indus-
a House challenge because it never asked a state their majority. It’s not lost on Mrs. Pelosi that As the former chief financial offi- try itself. Even the industry admits
court to review the ballots under Iowa law. moving on Jan. 3 would distract from the Jan. cer of Mascoma, the biofuels startup that about 30% of its ventures fail,
Derek Muller, a University of Iowa law profes- 6 spectacle of congressional Republicans voting mentioned in the editorial, I must but the number may well be higher.
sor who represented the Miller-Meeks campaign to contest the Electoral College. But new rules clarify that the $20 million of state Research from Shikhar Ghosh of Har-
on a county recount board, wrote that Congress for the 117th Congress direct extra money to- funds and $100 million of federal vard Business School, cited in the
generally “prefers not to dig into the nuances of ward “resolving contested elections,” and the funds were not wasted. None of Journal in 2012, found that about
state law, or to visit facts for the first time that Speaker may be biding her time to strike. these grants were disbursed to Mas- three-quarters of venture-backed
coma, as our technology was never firms in the U.S. don’t return inves-
demonstrated successfully and the tors’ capital. The hope is that the few
Biden’s Iran Policy vs. Reality in Tehran project stopped before these funds
were required.
investments that succeed will more
than make up for all the failures.
P
Developing a new technology, im- STEPHEN BROWN
resident Trump’s maximum-pressure Mr. Biden has said the U.S. will comply with plementing a complex system and de- Palm Beach, Fla.
sanctions campaign against Iran will the agreement again as soon as Iran does. This
continue until his final day in office— ostensibly would be followed by negotiations
and so will Tehran’s escalating violations of the over other malign Iranian behavior. “In that
2015 nuclear deal. While the facts on the ground
change, Joe Biden’s policy hasn’t.
broader negotiation, we can ultimately secure
limits on Iran’s ballistic missile technology,” Mr.
No Blanket Protection for Internet Platforms
Iran is now enriching uranium to 20% purity, Biden’s National Security Adviser, Jake Sullivan, I agree with Rick White that “Laws because such speech is within the
the International Atomic Energy Agency con- said in an interview over the weekend. Governing Online Speech Need Re- protection of the First Amendment.
firmed Monday. This is below the 90% needed “We did believe that if you had the Iranian form, Not Repeal” (op-ed, Dec. 23). Any internet provider that refused to
Outright repeal of Section 230, which adopt this policy would lose the pro-
for a bomb but a big leap above the accord’s nuclear program in a box, you could then begin
grants immunity from liability to in- tections of Section 230 entirely.
3.67% limit. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani to chip away at some of these other issues,” Mr. ternet platforms for content posted ROBERT GOODFRIEND
says he was “bound” by the Iranian parliament, Sullivan recalled of the original deal, which he on their sites by third parties, would Dallas
which passed a law mandating the escalation. helped negotiate. “Obviously, that did not come prompt even more censorship. The
But this crosses a red line for the European to pass, but it was never fundamentally part of social-media companies would try to Mr. White is right to call for re-
countries that have tried to keep the deal alive the Iran nuclear deal that we had the expecta- protect themselves from litigation form of internet speech protections.
since Mr. Trump’s 2018 withdrawal. tion that it would.” If that’s the case, why does over all kinds of potentially offensive This should include a new definition
The regime also said Monday that it had Mr. Sullivan think the Biden Administration can or illegal content that users post. of libel for those platforms protected
detained a vessel from South Korea, which get cooperation on missiles now? Since the First Amendment is a by Section 230. The law in this area
is in a dispute with Tehran over frozen bank Simply rejoining the deal means giving up well-litigated line between permissi- is as out of date as a Sony Beta re-
accounts. Last month Mr. Trump blamed significant leverage for nothing. Iranian For- ble and impermissible speech consis- corder. Who could have known then
tent with the values of a free society, that a new type of newsstand would
Iran-backed militias for the largest attack eign Minister Javad Zarif said last month that
it offers the best solution for regulat- emerge, become dominant and act no
on Baghdad’s Green Zone since 2010. Iran the sanctions campaign had done $250 billion ing the social-media companies. The better than a partisan pest hole?
was also likely behind a series of cyber at- in damage. The U.S. would have to accept irre- government should condition the Internet platforms should be liable
tacks against dozens of Israeli firms at the versible benefits to Iran, like the knowledge grant of immunity under Section 230 when a plaintiff can show a pattern
end of 2020. and data its scientists gained while violating on a pledge from the platforms not to or practice of publishing falsehoods
This shouldn’t surprise anyone: Tehran has the deal. censor third-party content unless it or imposing discriminatory censor-
been a regional menace for 40 years. Mr. Iran is escalating its nuclear enrichment to falls outside the protections of the ship. The platforms are able to track
Trump’s newly acquired sanctions leverage put pressure on the new U.S. Administration First Amendment, such as libel, their own data and manage the liabil-
could eventually forge a better deal, but it was to rush back into the 2015 deal. It sees the same threats to overthrow the government, ity risks. What they lack is the objec-
always unlikely in his first term. Watching Iran Obama negotiators moving into Biden jobs, and direct threats of physical violence tivity and decency to operate in the
break out from the deal so easily is a reminder figures it can outfox them again. But if the U.S. and certain types of indecent mate- nondiscriminatory manner expected
rial. Censoring “hate speech” or con- of any fixed-site retailer.
of how sweet the 2015 accord’s terms are for keeps Mr. Trump’s sanctions, and persuades
tent suspected of originating with STAN LONG
Tehran, which bet on waiting out Mr. Trump Europe to join them, the pressure will be back hackers couldn’t meet this standard Eugene, Ore.
for a Democrat. on Tehran to make concessions.
H
Your characterization of the par- A federal judge dismissed the orig-
ospitals in much of America are triag- health spending. ObamaCare’s payment models dons of the Blackwater mercenaries inal indictments for “reckless viola-
ing Covid-19 patients because they are accelerated these trends. as “hard to justify” (“Trump’s Weiss- tion of the defendants’ constitutional
short of staff, especially doctors Another problem Congress overlooked is the mann Pardons,” Review & Outlook, rights.” To appease Iraqi politicians
trained in emergency-care and Dec. 26) is a masterpiece of under- seeking re-election, the Obama ad-
aging U.S. population and phy-
statement. These four killers opened ministration pressured the Justice
anesthesiology. Blame Con- Trillions for Covid relief, sician workforce. A third of fire with machine guns and grenade Department to appeal. After multiple
gress, which rationed the sup- very little to address the 906,000 or so practicing launchers on a crowd of unarmed trials, the guards were convicted—not
ply of new physicians two de- doctors in the U.S. are over men, women and children. Seventeen by a jury of their peers but a civilian
cades ago and is only now medical training. age 60, and the Association of innocent civilians were killed. Might jury with no combat experience. Ap-
addressing its mistake, albeit American Medical Colleges the pardons be connected to the fact peals raising more constitutional vio-
not nearly enough. (AAMC) forecasts a physician that Blackwater was founded by Erik lations—including that prosecutors
The $900 billion relief bill adds 1,000 new shortage of 54,100 to 139,000 physicians by Prince, a Trump buddy and informal withheld information suggesting the
Medicare-funded graduate medical education 2033. Shortages will be especially acute in geri- adviser? lead Iraqi investigator had ties to ter-
(GME) positions over five years. A Congressio- atrics, primary and emergency care. DON KAUL rorist groups—were rejected.
nal bill summary boasts about the doctor-train- Medical schools are expanding enrollment, Chicago President Trump’s pardons were
not only justifiable. They did justice.
ing expansion, though it requires a microscope but graduates face a bottleneck because there
Your editorial calls the pardons of DAVID B. HARRISON AND ERIC H. JASO
to find amid the spending fat. are too few GME positions—only 120,000 or so, former State Department security Short Hills, N.J.
Since 1965 Medicare has funded the vast ma- and each lasts about three to five years. Some guards “hard to justify” and com- Messrs. Harrison and Jaso repre-
jority of residency positions at hospitals, which hospitals fund residencies from their own bud- ments that they “show disrespect for sented Paul Slough, one of the former
are essentially apprenticeships for medical gets—e.g., charging more to privately insured American soldiers who must be disci- Blackwater guards, in his pardon ap-
school graduates. During the early 1990s econo- patients—but rural and low-income hospitals plined under great stress on the bat- plication.
mists and physician groups sounded alarms are less able to do so. tlefield.” To the contrary, the Justice
about a physician glut—their theory being that Some health economists say technology and Department’s obsessive prosecution
more doctors would result in needless treat- nurses can substitute for fewer doctors. We of these decorated veterans disre- Pepper ...
ments and health spending. support relaxing state licensing regimes to let spected U.S. fighters making split-
second decisions in a war zone.
And Salt
Congress responded in the Balanced Budget physician assistants and registered nurses pro-
After a car bombing targeted an THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Act of 1997 by capping Medicare-funded resi- vide more care, but the pandemic has high-
American diplomat, the guard team
dency positions at 1996 levels and paying hospi- lighted the limits of this strategy and the U.S. stopped traffic in a busy Baghdad
tals to eliminate positions. Health-maintenance faces a nurse shortage too. square to ensure her safe passage. A
organizations were supposed to limit health- In a minor political miracle, health industry car suddenly sped toward them.
care utilization and spending while the popula- lobbies and medical groups endorsed legislation When the driver ignored warnings to
tion and demand increased. to add 15,000 Medicare-funded GME positions stop, guards shot at and disabled the
Yet introductory economics teaches that over five years, but the details proved too thorny car. Immediately the convoy came un-
prices will rise when demand increases and for Congress to negotiate. As a small salve, the der heavy insurgent gunfire and re-
supply stays the same. This has happened in latest relief bill expands residency positions by turned fire. Tragically, Iraqi civilians
health care. Government has kept a lid on physi- 1,000 over five years, which will cost in the were killed, but this was no unpro-
voked massacre.
cian fees for Medicare and Medicaid, but doc- neighborhood of $120 million. That’s less than
tors increased rates charged to private insurers 0.004% of Covid relief spending this year and
Letters intended for publication should
to compensate. Hospitals have also discovered 0.015% of Medicare spending last year. be emailed to wsj.ltrs@wsj.com. Please
they can generate more revenue if in-house doc- When Americans can’t find a doctor in the include your city, state and telephone
tors perform more treatments. So hospitals coming years, they should blame a Congress number. All letters are subject to
have acquired independent physician practices, that spends trillions without addressing this editing, and unpublished letters cannot
be acknowledged.
which has reduced competition and driven up soon-to-be urgent need. “Hold up, Reynolds—you’re in coach.”
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | A15
OPINION
C
The share of new U.S. debt bought They believe America’s growing ad-
hina is no longer biding its by China is smaller than it’s been in diction to negative real interest
time and hiding its decades. rates, its unsustainable fiscal path,
strength. Those days are China is also trying to replace the and the Fed’s debt monetization in-
over. U.S. as the preferred destination for dicate a country—and a system—in
China’s economic growth foreign capital. Its leaders are ac- decline.
in 2020 significantly outpaced the tively seeking to persuade global in- Two major economic shocks, the
U.S. and all other major economies, vestors to reconfigure their portfo- Great Recession and the Great Lock-
which suffered severe recessions. lios to give Chinese securities, down, influenced the thinking of
China’s recent adventurism at home especially risk-free debt, a much China’s leaders. The twin shocks, sep-
and abroad can be explained largely greater role. And some finance min- arated by a decade of deliberation
in economic terms. Its leaders draw istries, sovereign-wealth funds and among China’s academics, policy
confidence to challenge the world large global asset managers are con- makers and other party members,
from their country’s macroeconomic sidering shifting capital in the com- changed China’s view of its relative
outperformance, and from their grow- ing year to China’s higher-yielding economic strength and accelerated
ing belief in the superiority of China’s sovereign debt. the timeline to bolster its global
economic governance model. Currently, 10-year U.S. Treasurys presence.
A new front in the great power yield less than 1% nominally, imply- America’s economic future, how-
competition between the U.S. and ing a significant negative real return ever, depends less on the top-down,
China has opened. Beijing isn’t yet over the decade. The Federal Re- macroeconomic decisions of manda-
ready to challenge the U.S. dollar di- serve’s newfangled policy regime of rins in Washington than China might
rectly. But it has set its sights on the lower interest rates and higher infla- appreciate. U.S. prospects rest more
tion for longer periods portends con- on the resilience and dynamism of
tinued losses. Investors will increas- the micro-foundations of our econ-
China plans to displace ingly struggle to build portfolios if omy—the culture of hard work, risk-
they are unable to use Treasury taking, free allocation of capital and
the U.S. as investors’ top bonds to mitigate risk effectively. labor, and respect for the rule of law
target, and global crises China’s comparable 10-year bonds in a market system.
yield about 3.25%, allowing for the China is moving with dispatch to
have sped up its effort. prospect of positive real returns. establish itself as the preferred des-
DAVID GOTHARD
Historically, the renminbi was an in- tination for low-risk capital returns.
adequate store of value, which kept If successful, this would be a critical
U.S. bond market, which showed new international investors wary. In the step in its effort to establish an al-
vulnerability last year. China is tak- five years before the Covid crisis, the ternative financial and economic
ing steps to displace U.S. Treasurys dollar-renminbi exchange rate weak- global ecosystem. China could then
as the world’s most important and ened as much as 15% peak-to-trough its economy, of which there should be scale and scope, purchasing about $1 emerge as a more viable and serious
reliable asset. American policy mak- amid heightened volatility. Global in- some skepticism. But the current nar- trillion in government debt in about rival for hegemony.
ers should take notice. vestors were reluctant to buy Chi- rative of strong, stable, sustainable three weeks. In good times, U.S. policy makers
There are signs that China is nese sovereign debt over comparable Chinese growth is gaining big trac- This Covid-induced episode stands feel no compulsion to normalize, and
starting to reduce its direct pur- U.S. Treasurys. tion in the investor community. in contrast with the global financial in bad times no reason or ability to
chases of Treasurys. This is difficult In a purposeful and marked The vulnerability of the U.S. bond crisis a decade ago: U.S. bonds then do so. Better, more forward-looking
to know precisely: China’s official change in recent quarters, China has market became clearer when Covid served as the ultimate safe haven. U.S. economic policy is required to
foreign exchange reserves total more consistently fixed its overnight ex- fears struck last year. Foreign inves- China never sought to replicate retain the privilege of U.S. Treasurys
than $3 trillion, and it controls other change rate in one direction, allowing tors, including China, pulled back the U.S. economic system. But for de- as the world’s safe-haven asset, not
massive pools of capital. The compo- its currency to strengthen more than from the Treasury market. Prices fell cades Beijing considered America’s least to strengthen America’s posi-
sition of China’s foreign reserves and 8% against the dollar. China’s fiscal unexpectedly, even as equity prices economic model worthy of great re- tion in its growing rivalry with
the amount of its dollar-denomi- and monetary support for its econ- plummeted. Yields spiked 0.75% in spect, even admiration. Since their China.
nated assets are a state secret. omy has become less expansionary. mid-March, one of the largest, fast- 1980s reforms under Deng Xiaoping,
But, according to statistics com- The clear and concerted message to est shifts in years. U.S. bond liquidity Chinese leaders believed the U.S. Mr. Warsh, a former member of
piled by the U.S. Treasury Depart- global investors: Invest in China and evaporated, and Treasurys failed to knew how to run a successful mod- the Federal Reserve Board, is a dis-
ment, Chinese direct holdings of get better, safer returns. China’s abil- serve as an effective market hedge. ern economy. tinguished visiting fellow in econom-
U.S. government debt fell in each of ity to sustain investor interest de- Market panic ensued. The Fed en- Times have changed. Many of ics at Stanford University’s Hoover
the past five months, and are now at pends on the long-term strength of tered the market in unprecedented China’s leaders no longer hold the Institution.
C
The action, by more than half the gloriously reinstall Donald Trump as note more recent examples, includ- their bill of complaint is a reference
ynical opportunism is the cur- Republican members of the House president on Jan. 20, they wouldn’t ing the last time a senator objected to a Reuters-Ipsos poll citing wide-
rency of democratic politics. and almost a quarter of GOP sena- touch it. to Electoral College results in 2005. spread distrust of the election out-
Since man first learned that tors, may rank among the most cyni- To grasp fully the measure of these come. It isn’t clear if any of them
the route to power required the cally contrived, morally contempt- senators’ gall, however, it’s worth spotted the irony—the only thing
massaging of others’ egos, history ible, soul-corrupting acts of political The GOP election noting exactly who that challenger less trusted these days than mail-in
has been replete with sycophants degeneracy ever attempted. was. voting is opinion polling.
and yes-men with an unerring drive Let’s be clear at the outset what challenge marks a new Two words: Barbara Boxer. There are, it seems, enough prin-
to jettison any principle in the ser- it isn’t. It isn’t a coup. It isn’t even a low-water mark for I’m old enough to remember cipled conservatives to expose and
vice of self-advancement. serious attempt to overturn the elec- when that name was for most con- oppose this cant. As Rep. Liz Cheney
There’s a story of an ambitious tion result. political cynicism. servatives a byword for unprincipled (R., Wyo.) put it this weekend, the
and especially oleaginous member of The letter signed by 11 senators chicanery, political extremism and proposed vote would set “an excep-
the British Parliament who, when who plan to object this week is up rank dishonesty. Now, apparently, tionally dangerous precedent,
some young colleague—a potentially front about this. They acknowledge There would be a kind of kami- Ms. Boxer’s ridiculous challenge to threatening to steal states’ explicit
useful voter in a future leadership with disarming honesty that their kaze courage about their action if the 2004 election result makes her constitutional responsibility for
election—asked what time it was, effort to reject the result pending a this was indeed its objective. But the model they wish to emulate. choosing the president and bestow-
put his arm around the questioner’s congressionally-mandated inquiry these are no kamikaze politicians, Let’s state it again for disgruntled ing it instead on Congress.”
shoulder and, smiling, said: “What into voter fraud will fail. willing to make the ultimate political conservative voters: Of course there Doubtless, the members of Con-
time would you like it to be?” “We are not naïve. We fully ex- sacrifice for a cause. These guys are are legitimate concerns about the gress signing up for this week’s odi-
But even those long familiar with pect most if not all Democrats, and more like the ground crew at a Japa- outcome of the 2020 election, espe- ous little exercise assume they will
spectacles of careerist expediency perhaps more than a few Republi- nese fighter base, happy to supply cially the ubiquity of mail-in voting be rewarded by the ranks of angry
dressed up in faux-altruistic casu- cans, to vote otherwise.” the fuel to propel others to their susceptible to manipulation. Republican voters. Perhaps so. Let’s
istry can only step back in awe when It’s the brazen acknowledgment fate. They only mount this perfor- But beyond that general objec- hope for their sakes that the gain
evidence of a new standard of cyni- of this reality that makes the whole mance because they are secure in tion—and a justified conviction that thus achieved is large enough to fill
cal self-aggrandizement comes enterprise so unprincipled. We can the knowledge that enough of their future elections must not be con- the hole where their principles
along. So it is this week with the reasonably surmise that if the sena- Republican colleagues will eschew ducted in this way—the case that might once have been.
T
public scrutiny. This is why we are Our rule will prioritize transpar- an attack on, the important work from EPA use. We don’t seek to
he task of science is one of promulgating a rule to make the ency and increase opportunities for done by career scientists at the limit anyone’s ability to conduct
test and retest, analysis and agency’s scientific processes more the public to access the “dose-re- EPA, along with their colleagues at sound science.
comparison, over and over. It transparent. sponse” data that underlie signifi- research institutions around the Transparency has been a guiding
is slow and careful work, done in Too often Congress shirks its re- cant regulations and influential sci- country. Increasing polarization principle at the EPA for 50 years. Ad-
the open. Only rarely has science sponsibility and defers important entific information. Dose-response around scientific questions stems in ministrator William Ruckelshaus is-
benefited from secrecy, and that is decisions to regulatory agencies. data explain the relationship be- part from too many public policy sued his famous “Fishbowl Memo” in
usually for reasons of national secu- These regulators then invoke sci- tween the amount of a chemical or debates setting science in a cate-
rity. The geniuses of the Manhattan ence to justify their actions, often pollutant and its effect on human gory apart from normal discussion
Project who built the atomic bomb, without letting the public study the health and the environment—and or standards. By shining light on The agency has long made
the mavericks of Cape Canaveral underlying data. Part of transpar- are the foundation of the EPA’s reg- the science we use in decisions, we
who sent men to the moon, these ency is making sure the public ulations. If the American people are are helping to restore trust in gov- decisions without allowing
giants did their work behind high knows what the agency bases its de- to be regulated by interpretation of ernment. We want the EPA to be the public to scrutinize
walls, and for good reason. cisions on. When agencies defer to these scientific studies, they de- able to say, “you can check our
But the work of the Environmen- experts in private without review serve to scrutinize the data as part work.” our underlying data.
tal Protection Agency—to protect from citizens, distinctions get flat- of the scientific process and Ameri- The rule-making process is itself
human health and the environ- tened and the testing and delibera- can self-government. transparent. This rule-making is the
result of several years of work and 1983. This memo demanded that EPA
two separate public comment peri- employees act in the open and “en-
PUBLISHED SINCE 1889 BY DOW JONES & COMPANY
Notable & Quotable ods, making this final rule a better
product.
sure that the basis for the Agency’s
decision[s] appears in the record.”
Rupert Murdoch Robert Thomson
Executive Chairman, News Corp Chief Executive Officer, News Corp
From changes to the House rules Some special interests have dem- Ruckelshaus knew the credibility of a
Matt Murray Almar Latour
package for the 117th Congress: agogued the rule, calling it an at- regulator depended on clear commu-
Editor in Chief Chief Executive Officer and Publisher tack on privacy that would weaken nication with the public.
Neal Lipschutz Karen Miller Pensiero DOW JONES MANAGEMENT: (3) In clause 8(c)(3) of rule XXIII, the science used by the EPA and po- Transparency knows no political
Deputy Editor in Chief Managing Editor Ramin Beheshti, Chief Technology Officer; strike ‘‘father, mother, son, daughter, liticize public health studies. Critics ideology. My Democratic predeces-
Jason Anders, Chief News Editor; Louise Story, Chief Kamilah Mitchell-Thomas, Chief People Officer; brother, sister, uncle, aunt, first cousin, in the media appear to prefer it sors often appealed to its impor-
News Strategist, Product & Technology Officer Edward Roussel, Chief Innovation Officer; nephew, niece, husband, wife, father- when regulators feed them conclu- tance. In 2014, the Obama adminis-
Thorold Barker, Europe; Elena Cherney, Coverage; Christina Van Tassell, Chief Financial Officer
in-law, mother-in-law, son-in-law, sions, instead of analyzing the un- tration’s Gina McCarthy reassured
Andrew Dowell, Asia; Anthony Galloway, Video &
Audio; Brent Jones, Culture, Training & Outreach;
daughter-in-law, brother-in-law, sister- derlying data themselves. the National Academy of Sciences
OPERATING EXECUTIVES:
Alex Martin, Print & Writing; Michael W. Miller, Jason P. Conti, General Counsel; in-law, stepfather, stepmother, step- This rule is not a stick for forcing that, “In everything we do—EPA re-
Features & Weekend; Emma Moody, Standards; Frank Filippo, Print Products & Services; son, stepdaughter, stepbrother, step scientists to choose between re- lies on transparency, on rigorous
Shazna Nessa, Visuals; Matthew Rose,
Kristin Heitmann, Chief Commercial Officer; sister, half brother, half sister, grand- specting the privacy and rights of peer review, and on robust, mean-
Enterprise; Michael Siconolfi, Investigations;
Stephen Wisnefski, Professional News
Nancy McNeill, Corporate Sales; son, or grand daughter’’ and insert their study participants and submit- ingful public comment.” This final
Thomas San Filippo, Customer Service; ‘‘parent, child, sibling, parent’s sibling, ting their work for consideration. regulation does just that. Please
Gerard Baker, Editor at Large Josh Stinchcomb, Advertising Sales;
Paul A. Gigot, Editor of the Editorial Page;
first cousin, sibling’s child, spouse, No private information will be re- read the rule before you reflexively
Suzi Watford, Chief Marketing Officer;
Daniel Henninger, Deputy Editor, Editorial Page Jonathan Wright, International
parent in-law, child-in-law, sibling-in- leased as a result of this rule. We repeat tired misinformation or
law, stepparent, step child, stepsibling, can verify results with independent make another’s interpretation of it
WALL STREET JOURNAL MANAGEMENT:
Joseph B. Vincent, Operations; Professional Information Business: half-sibling, or grandchild.’’ . . . review and still protect confidential your own.
Larry L. Hoffman, Production Ingrid Verschuren, Deputy Head and personal information. Our rule
EDITORIAL AND CORPORATE HEADQUARTERS: (6) In clause 4 of rule XXVII, strike won’t allow administrators to Mr. Wheeler is administrator of
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y., 10036 ‘‘himself or herself’’ and insert cherry pick research to derive polit- the Environmental Protection
Telephone 1-800-DOWJONES
‘‘themself.” ically helpful results. It won’t cate- Agency.
A16 | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 * * THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
to extradite founder of
WikiLeaks, citing risk
you are never going to win
that argument. But if you
have, as Assange does, these
Offers
of suicide in prison
underlying, serious mental-
health problems, then it’s go-
ing to be a problem always
Asylum
BY JASON DOUGLAS with the Americans,” he said. BY JOSÉ DE CÓRDOBA
The U.S. alleges that Mr. As-
LONDON—A British judge sange broke the law by solicit- MEXICO CITY—President An-
rejected a U.S. request to ex- ing classified material from for- drés Manuel López Obrador of-
tradite Julian Assange on spy- mer U.S. Army intelligence fered political asylum to Julian
ing charges, saying the analyst Chelsea Manning and Assange after a British court
WikiLeaks founder would be at by helping her crack a pass- denied a U.S. request to extra-
severe risk of suicide if sent to word to obtain that material. dite the founder of WikiLeaks
the U.S. to await trial in a Publication of the diplomatic to face spying charges.
high-security prison. cables and military logs she Mr. López Obrador on Mon-
ary amid spiraling infection slow the spread of the virus University of Oxford on Mon- wrote to health professionals
rates caused by a new variant and protect vulnerable people. day, government officials are arguing that allowing a 12-
of the coronavirus. Britain moved more quickly hopeful that vaccination rates week gap between shots
As of Monday evening, than other European nations can increase significantly by would ensure that more peo-
schools and nonessential to approve and roll out the second half of the month. ple can receive a basic level of
shops were to shut across Covid-19 vaccines. So far over Britain has already set up protection.
England and people have been a million people have received close to 1,000 mass injection Some experts question
told to leave their homes only a vaccine shot in the U.K. sites and has drafted thou- whether data back this ap-
if necessary. However, the new variant sands of retired nurses and proach.
The imposition of a third of the virus—Mr. Johnson doctors to administer the Even with higher vaccina-
national lockdown came after said scientists estimated it Brian Pinker, 82, became the first person to receive a shot of the shots. The government is rac- tion rates, restrictions will
the government’s chief medi- was 50% to 70% more trans- vaccine developed by AstraZeneca and the University of Oxford. ing to inoculate the 13 million likely be necessary for some
cal officers warned the more- missible than earlier vari- Britons who are considered time to come.
contagious strain was spread- ants—has taken hold since number of people testing pos- lored restrictions wasn’t most at risk from the virus. A study by Imperial College
ing quickly and that some December and is spreading itive for Covid-19 doubled working. As late as Sunday, “We are now rolling out London found the new mu-
hospitals risked being over- rapidly, U.K. government sci- over the past week to 366,000 Mr. Johnson was urging par- the biggest vaccination pro- tated variant of the coronavi-
whelmed within three weeks entists warned. as of Monday. Hospitalization ents to send their children to gram in our history,” said Mr. rus increases the R number—
if new restrictions weren’t put Epidemiologists say that numbers have risen 30% in a school where possible. Johnson. By mid-February, ev- or the number of people on
in place. stopping the virus’s exponen- week. Deaths in the week rose The government held off eryone most at risk of the vi- average every person with the
There are now more tial spread will require the by a quarter to 4,228. announcing a more stringent rus should have received a infection goes on to infect—
Covid-19 patients in British immunization of around two The buildup to the latest nationwide lockdown while shot of a vaccine, he said. At by 0.4 to 0.7. That could ne-
hospitals than at the height of million people a week and lockdown was marked by Mr. awaiting evidence of how that point many restrictions gate the effect of the existing
the pandemic in the spring. strict social-distancing re- Johnson gradually tightening tighter social restrictions in can be removed, Mr. Johnson social-distancing restrictions
Mr. Johnson said that the strictions. rules amid clamor by scien- the south of the country af- said. that were in place across
fight against the virus had U.K. infection rates have al- tific advisers who said Brit- fected the virus’s spread. Both the AstraZeneca-Ox- much of the country before
reached a critical phase. “It is ready begun to surge. The ain’s system of regionally tai- Earlier on Monday, Scottish ford shot and the vaccine de- Monday.
WORLD WATCH
SOUTH KOREA GREECE
Population Declines First Openly Gay
For the First Time Minister Appointed
South Korea’s population de- The center-right government
creased for the first time in in Greece named the country’s
2020, entering a downward trend first openly gay minister in a
likely worsened by the pandemic. cabinet shuffle Monday.
South Korea, Asia’s fourth- Nicholas Yatromanolakis, 44
largest economy, reported a pop- years old, was named as the
ulation of 51.8 million last year, a new deputy minister of culture
drop of 20,838 people from after being promoted from the
BRIAN ONGORO/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
DJ TRANS g 2.21%
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Russell 2000
Hotel operators also re-
treated, with Hilton World-
wide Holdings shedding $3.80,
or 3.4%, to $107.46 and Mar-
Chinese
BY AKANE OTANI
AND ANNA HIRTENSTEIN
1.3%, to 30223.89. The S&P 500
shed 55.42 points, or 1.5%, to
3700.65, and the Nasdaq Com-
Nasdaq Composite
riott International losing
$7.09, or 5.4%, to $124.83.
One stock that bucked the
Delistings
posite declined 189.83 points, trend: Tesla. The electric-car
Stocks tumbled on the first or 1.5%, to 12698.45. S&P 500 maker rose $24.10, or 3.4%, to BY CHONG KOH PING
trading day of the year, re- “We have continued con- $729.77 after saying it deliv- AND BEN OTTO
treating sharply from records cerns over Covid-19 and the Hilton Worldwide Holdings ered a record 499,550 cars last
set just days ago. ability to staunch this wave, year, just shy of its half a mil- The New York Stock Ex-
Investors are starting off the not just in the U.S. but glob- Delta Air Lines lion target. change reversed its decision to
new year fixated on the same ally,” said Quincy Krosby, chief As investors broadly with- delist China’s three largest tele-
issue that dominated markets market strategist at Prudential drew from stocks, gold prices communications companies, af-
Coca-Cola
for much of 2020: the corona- Financial. jumped 2.7% to $1,944.70 a ter consulting with regulatory
virus pandemic. Many believe Ms. Krosby added that there troy ounce, posting their big- authorities about a recent U.S.
economic activity will pick up appeared to be growing ner- American Airlines gest one-day percentage gain investment ban.
later this year as more of the vousness over Tuesday’s Geor- since April. The precious metal In a statement released late
population is vaccinated and gia runoff races, which will de- Marriott International tends to gain favor with inves- Monday in New York, the Big
businesses reopen. But they ac- termine whether Republicans tors when market volatility in- Board said “it no longer intends
knowledge the path to recovery can hold on to control in the –6% –4 –2 0 2 4 creases. to move forward with the de-
will likely be long and uneven. Senate. In recent days, betting Source: FactSet Overseas, the pan-continen- listing action” on China Mobile
News on the pandemic has markets have shown the Re- tal Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.7%, Ltd., China Telecom Corp. and
painted a grim picture in re- publican lead shrinking, point- Among individual stocks, events and dining at restau- paring earlier gains. China Unicom (Hong Kong)
cent days. Hospitalizations in ing to what will likely be a Coca-Cola shares fell $2.08, or rants, potentially hurting de- The U.K.’s FTSE 100 added Ltd.
the U.S. jumped to a record tight race. 3.8%, to $52.76. RBC Capital mand for Coca-Cola products. 1.7%. The trade deal struck on The Hong Kong-listed shares
Sunday. Meanwhile, govern- “These are all of these con- Markets analysts downgraded Airline stocks, another Christmas Eve between the of the three telecom majors
ments across Europe are ex- cerns, and then we have a mar- the stock to sector perform group that has been hard hit U.K. and European Union is surged on the news. Shares of
tending lockdowns to try to ket that is priced to perfection, from outperform, saying they by the pandemic, fell as well, likely delivering a boost to China Mobile, which is among
slow the spread of the virus. which is denting returns right believe the pandemic will con- with American Airlines falling British stocks, said Sebastian the most valuable of China’s
The difficulties countries now,” Ms. Krosby said. tinue to limit major public 64 cents, or 4.1%, to $15.13, and Please turn to page B10 listed state-owned enterprises,
rose as much as 7.5% in late
morning trade on Tuesday,
A Fidelity Investments..B9 N
Activision Blizzard....B11 Fitness International . A8 NautilusTech ............. B10
Alibaba........................B9 Flir Systems................B2 98point6......................B3
Alphabet ................ B1,B4 G Nordstrom.................B10
Amazon.com...............A1 Gap ............................ B10 P-R
American Airlines.......B1 Genworth Financial .... B3 PayPal........................B10
American Well............B3 H Peugeot.......................A1
Apple...........................B4
Haven Healthcare.......A1 Pfizer...................A3,A16
AstraZeneca........A3,A16
Hilton...........................B1 PSA Group .................. A1
AT&T............................B4
Hony Capital ............... B3 Recipharm AB.............A3
Avid Bioservices.........A3
Hu................................B3 Robinhood Financial ... B9
B
J S
BioCatch......................B4
Johnson & Johnson....A3 Semiconductor
BioNTech ............. A3,A16
JPMorgan Chase.........A1 Manufacturing
C Just Eat Takeaway.com International.............B9
Caesars Entertainment .....................................B9 Slack Technologies ..... B4
.....................................B1 K Sony...........................B11
Catalent ...................... A3 Square.......................B10
Kohl's.........................B10
CD Projekt.................B11 T
China Mobile...............B1 L
Teladoc Health............B3
China Telecom.............B1 Livongo Health............B3
Company sors.
“It’s going to be harder for
legislators to feel comfortable
putting a slot machine or ta-
Continued from page B1 ble game on somebody’s
partnership with Caesars. phone sitting at their house,”
The total revenue gener- Mr. Bussmann said.
ated from online casino and Sports betting has been ad-
sports betting, though, is still opted more quickly across the
a fraction of what gambling country since the Supreme
operators get from slot ma- Court in 2018 issued a ruling
chines and table games in that cleared the way for
bricks-and-mortar casinos. states to legalize the practice.
From January through Oc- Now, 25 states and the Dis-
tober of last year, total com- trict of Columbia have legal
mercial gambling revenue fell sports wagering. Some states
33% from the previous year to allow online sports wagering,
about $24 billion, according while some have limited the
to the most recent data com- practice to in-person sports
ROY LIU/BLOOMBERG NEWS
more than tripled during that begun to recover after the 100
period, but the total revenue springtime closures of casinos Continued from page B1
amount was still only $1.23 wiped out revenue. In Octo- Last week, the Treasury said
billion. Sports betting, includ- ber, total gambling revenue it would add subsidiaries to the 75
ing online sports wagering, fell about 6% from the previ- blacklist if they were majority
rose 39% to more than $957 ous year, according to the owned—or controlled—by a
million. trade group. company that has been named. 50
Online casinos, which in- Under the proposed MGM- The NYSE on Monday said it
clude digital versions of slot Entain deal, the resulting had further discussions with 25
machines and roulette, have combined company would “relevant regulatory authori-
been legalized in only five generate about 30% of its ties” about the Treasury De-
states: New Jersey, Pennsylva- earnings before interest, partment’s recent statement on 0
nia, West Virginia, Delaware taxes, depreciation and amor- its intention to publicly name 2000 ’10 ’20
and Michigan. Nevada limits tization from digital opera- the subsidiaries of the banned Note: HK$1=$0.13
online casino games to poker tions, with the remainder groups. Source: FactSet
only. coming from traditional en- “At this time, the Issuers
Sports betting has been terprises, according to ana- will continue to be listed and plemented the administrative
easier for state lawmakers to lysts at Jefferies Group LLC. traded on the NYSE,” the ex- order for political purposes,
change said, adding its regula- completely ignoring the actual
tion arm will continue to evalu- situation of the companies con-
ate how the executive order cerned and the legitimate
applies to the three telecom rights and interests of global
companies and their continued investors, and seriously dis-
listing status. rupting the normal market
China Mobile has been listed rules and order.”
on the Big Board for more than In separate statements re-
PAUL ELLIS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
two decades, while China Uni- leased a day earlier, the three
com and China Telecom have Chinese telecom companies
been traded on the exchange said their American depositary
since 2000 and 2002 respec- receipts represent ownership of
tively. All had raised billions of 3.3% to 8% of the companies’
dollars in their initial public of- tradable shares, and account
ferings. for 9% to 22% of total trading
Some analysts said the de- volumes, when both ADRs and
listing would likely force some Hong Kong shares are consid-
American investors to sell their ered.
shares when they were trading On Tuesday, China Unicom
near multiyear lows. and China Telecom noted the
The China Securities Regula- NYSE’s updated decision and
MGM rival Caesars Entertainment reached a $4 billion deal last tory Commission on Sunday said they will continue to moni-
year to buy another U.K. sports-betting company, William Hill. said the U.S. government “im- tor developments.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | B3
BUSINESS NEWS
Mondelez
Set to Buy
U.S. Insurer’s Chinese Merger Stalls
BY LESLIE SCISM
AND SERENA NG
Chocolate China Oceanwide Holdings
PAID ADVERTISEMENT
Telemedicine Startups Seek
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2019, according to market-in- Medicare telemedicine service chronic diseases. blade is made from 420 surgical
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smaller than in biotechnology, they view telehealth positively,
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Telehealth companies such term, questions remain about of two overlapping feathers— a reminder for
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fited from skyrocketing inter- erations, she said. full tang, stainless steel blades with bone handles
est in 2020 and cashed in by “We need to see a longer- in excess of $2,000. Well, that won’t cut it around
raising growth financing. term persistence of utilization here. We have mastered the hunt for the best deal,
Landmark telehealth deals Medicare has since added in a non-pandemic environment
and in turn pass the spoils on to our customers.
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$18.5 billion purchase of emergency-department visits to stay,” Ms. Schlueter said. But we don’t stop there. While supplies last,
Livongo Health Inc., and that would be covered through Teladoc’s acquisition of we’ll include a pair of $99, 8x21 power compact
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liver health-care services and cal facility. Between mid- scale and influence, said cut you a fair deal, send it back within 30 days for a
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the use of telehealth for acute than 24.5 million out of 63 with health-care investment Limited Reserves. A deal like this won’t last long.
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B4 | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 * * THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Slack Restores
Service After
Broad Disruptions
BY KIMBERLY CHIN start the application to see if
there is an improvement.
Workplace messaging plat- Temporary interruptions
EMERSON MILLER/PARAMOUNT NETWORK/ASSOCIATED PRESS
to bring security into every security products that deal 2020, Mr. Nelson suggests that said the pandemic later forced
stage of the software-develop- specifically with the cloud. early on, many investors fo- investors to adapt their mind-
ment process. These are two “This [pandemic] has really cused on deals that were al- set beyond typical boundaries.
areas seen as crucial to en- been an accelerant in a lot of ready in progress before the “Without our office space,
abling zero-trust models. Bio- ways. And importantly, I think pandemic was declared in we’ve challenged ourselves to
Catch Ltd., for instance, which it’s gotten the board’s atten- March, and on funding compa- find the best entrepreneurs
helps companies prevent fraud tion in a lot of cases, which is nies started by founders that globally, instead of the best
by assessing customer and em- always very helpful for bud- were already known to them. founders who are within the
ployee identities using biomet- gets,” he said. Research firm As investors figured out how 50 miles around each office lo-
ric data, raised $125 million in PitchBook Data Inc. expects to make deals remotely, many cation and able to drive in for Company employees walked off the job in 2018 to protest
April, while identity manage- the network security market, began to look outside of their a meeting,” he said. allegations of sexual misconduct in the executive ranks.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | B5
Seattle, Washington
Kyoto, Japan • Seoul, South Korea
Shenzhen and Hong Kong, China Exploring Global Innovation
Ulaanbaatar Or Gobi, Mongolia by Private Jet
Samarkand, Uzbekistan • Tallinn, Estonia
Helsinki And Lapland, Finland • Reykjavík, Iceland August 21-September 13, 2021
Boston, Massachusetts
Health Notice:
The private jet trip will follow enhanced health and safety measures, and a physician will be on board for the duration of the journey.
* Price is per person, double occupancy, and subject to change. Plus an extra $9,495 for a single room. Airfare to Seattle, Washington and return from Boston, Massachusetts is not included in the expedition cost.
This trip will be operated by National Geographic Partners Chicago, the tour operations branch of National Geographic, on lights operated by Icelandair. Please visit natgeoexpeditions.com/privatejetterms to
see the Operator-Participant Contract and Terms and Conditions for this trip. © 2021 Dow Jones & Co., Inc. All rights reserved. © 2021 National Geographic Partners, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC EXPEDITIONS and the Yellow Border are trademarks of National Geographic Society and used with permission.
B6 | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 5, 2021 | B7
MARKETS DIGEST
EQUITIES
Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P 500 Index Nasdaq Composite Index
Last Year ago Last Year ago Last Year ago
30223.89 t 382.59, or 1.25% Trailing P/E ratio 29.73 21.35 3700.65 t 55.42, or 1.48% Trailing P/E ratio * 40.40 25.67 12698.45 t 189.84, or 1.47% Trailing P/E ratio *† 39.45 28.06
High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 24.91 19.28 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 26.75 19.70 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate *† 32.79 24.15
trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 2.00 2.22 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield * 1.60 1.81 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield *† 0.75 0.95
All-time high 30606.48, 12/31/20 All-time high 3756.07, 12/31/20 All-time high: 12899.42, 12/28/20
5-year Citizens Equity First Credit Union One year ago 2.00 Australian dollar .7668 1.3041 0.3
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Monday Close
Sunnyvale, CA 408-742-2801 t WSJ Dollar index Kazakhstan tenge .002374 421.25 –0.03 Bahrain dinar 2.6522 .3771 unch
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Associated Bank, NA 2.75% –10
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Rockford, IL 800-682-4989 1 3 6 1 2 3 5 7 10 20 30 2020 2021
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East Cambridge Savings Bank 2.75% month(s) years
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Cambridge, MA 866-354-3272 maturity Philippines peso .0208 48.040 0.1 Qatar rial .2747 3.640 –0.03
2020
Sources: Tradeweb ICE U.S. Treasury Close; Tullett Prebon; Dow Jones Market Data Singapore dollar .7572 1.3206 –0.1 Saudi Arabia riyal .2666 3.7515 –0.01
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Interest rate Last (l)Week ago Low 0 2 4 6 8 High (pct pts)
Corporate Borrowing Rates and Yields Sri Lanka rupee .0053476 187.00 0.9
Close Net Chg % Chg YTD%Chg
Federal-funds rate target 0.00-0.25 0.00-0.25 0.00 l 1.75 -1.25 Taiwan dollar .03559 28.095 0.02
Yield (%) 52-Week Total Return (%) Thailand baht .03344 29.900 –0.5 WSJ Dollar Index 84.98 –0.02–0.03 –0.03
Prime rate* 3.25 3.25 3.25 l 4.75 -1.25 Bond total return index Close Last Week ago High Low 52-wk 3-yr
Libor, 3-month 0.24 0.24 0.20 l 1.88 -1.47 Sources: Tullett Prebon, Dow Jones Market Data
U.S. Treasury, Barclays 2459.080 0.570 0.580 1.790 0.400 7.219 5.283
Money market, annual yield 0.20 0.20 0.19 l 0.57 -0.13
Five-year CD, annual yield 0.56 0.58 0.56 l 1.41 -0.96 U.S. Treasury Long, Barclays 4716.280 1.520 1.530 2.320 0.980 14.876 10.074 Commodities
30-year mortgage, fixed† 2.89 2.92 2.86 l 4.22 -1.02 Aggregate, Barclays 2290.730 1.130 1.150 2.310 1.020 6.875 5.396 Monday 52-Week YTD
Pricing trends on someClose
raw materials, or commodities
Net chg % Chg High Low % Chg % chg
15-year mortgage, fixed† 2.37 2.40 2.37 l 3.43 -0.99 Fixed-Rate MBS, Barclays 2231.840 1.250 1.290 2.690 0.930 3.729 3.739
Jumbo mortgages, $548,250-plus† 2.90 2.94 2.87 l 4.36 -1.42 DJ Commodity 733.66 2.07 0.28 733.66 433.70 13.24 0.28
High Yield 100, ICE BofA n.a. n.a. 3.577 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. TR/CC CRB Index 167.35 -0.45 -0.27 187.39 106.29 -10.70 -0.27
Five-year adj mortgage (ARM)† 3.20 3.21 2.85 l 4.35 -0.83
Muni Master, ICE BofA n.a. n.a. 0.867 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Crude oil, $ per barrel 47.62 -0.90 -1.85 63.27 -37.63 -24.74 -1.85
New-car loan, 48-month 4.02 4.02 4.02 l 4.50 0.78
Bankrate.com rates based on survey of over 4,800 online banks. *Base rate posted by 70% of the nation's largest EMBI Global, J.P. Morgan 933.830 4.300 4.355 7.480 4.295 5.788 4.861 Natural gas, $/MMBtu 2.581 0.042 1.65 3.354 1.482 20.89 1.65
banks.† Excludes closing costs.
Sources: FactSet; Dow Jones Market Data; Bankrate.com Sources: J.P. Morgan; S&P Dow Jones Indices; Bloomberg Barclays; ICE Data Services
Gold, $ per troy oz. 1944.70 51.60 2.73 2051.50 1477.30 24.17 2.73
B8 | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
COMMODITIES wsj.com/market-data/commodities
Metal & Petroleum Futures July 630.50 636.25 s 623.00 629.75 1.50 78,357 March .9700 .9744 .9687 .9705 .0016 204,061 June 30342 30562 s 29648 29984 –393 77
Wheat (KC)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Canadian Dollar (CME)-CAD 100,000; $ per CAD S&P 500 Index (CME)-$250 x index
Contract Open
March 605.00 613.75 s 597.00 599.50 –4.00 122,152 Jan .7858 .7896 s .7814 .7829 –.0004 1,339 March 3694.70 3772.70 s 3691.30 3692.20 –56.60 8,633
Open High hi lo Low Settle Chg interest
May 607.75 616.00 s 600.25 603.25 –3.00 38,156 March .7855 .7897 s .7815 .7830 –.0004 146,596 Mini S&P 500 (CME)-$50 x index
Copper-High (CMX)-25,000 lbs.; $ per lb. Cattle-Feeder (CME)-50,000 lbs.; cents per lb. British Pound (CME)-£62,500; $ per £ March 3748.75 3773.25 s 3652.50 3692.25 –56.50 2,531,490
Jan 3.5590 3.6010 3.5415 3.5530 0.0390 3,422 Jan 1.3674 1.3704 s 1.3544 1.3568 –.0087 740
Jan 138.550 138.800 134.500 134.950 –4.000 7,616 June 3739.75 3762.75 s 3642.75 3682.00 –56.50 4,122
March 3.5270 3.6070 3.5220 3.5545 0.0355 160,440 March 1.3667 1.3710 s 1.3547 1.3572 –.0087 139,189
March 139.675 139.900 135.400 136.025 –4.200 21,273 Mini S&P Midcap 400 (CME)-$100 x index
Gold (CMX)-100 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Cattle-Live (CME)-40,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Swiss Franc (CME)-CHF 125,000; $ per CHF
Jan 1912.20 1945.10 1912.20 1944.70 51.60 521 March 2307.40 2330.60 2246.20 2266.80 –36.70 52,210
Feb 115.300 115.375 111.500 112.300 –2.725 109,499 March 1.1340 1.1406 s 1.1328 1.1378 .0056 48,293
Feb 1908.20 1948.70 1906.10 1946.60 51.50 406,192 June … 2277.20 –38.80 n.a.
April 119.300 119.500 115.650 116.250 –3.000 82,095 June 1.1364 1.1434 s 1.1359 1.1408 .0056 80
March 1917.80 1949.90 s 1917.80 1949.00 51.70 2 Mini Nasdaq 100 (CME)-$20 x index
Hogs-Lean (CME)-40,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Australian Dollar (CME)-AUD 100,000; $ per AUD March 12889.00 12959.75 s 12522.50 12685.50 –200.00 219,677
April 1912.50 1953.00 1911.30 1951.10 51.50 87,935 Feb 71.425 72.000 70.675 71.225 .950 79,402 Jan .7711 .7741 .7644 .7672 –.0024 762
June 1918.00 1955.60 1918.00 1954.30 51.50 36,025 June 12857.25 12942.50 s 12508.75 12670.25 –200.25 1,166
April 73.000 74.025 72.600 73.625 1.375 45,762 March .7703 .7746 .7647 .7675 –.0025 138,167
Aug 1927.20 1958.50 1926.90 1957.60 51.80 12,243 Lumber (CME)-110,000 bd. ft., $ per 1,000 bd. ft. Mexican Peso (CME)-MXN 500,000; $ per MXN Mini Russell 2000 (CME)-$50 x index
Palladium (NYM) - 50 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Jan 873.10 883.00 864.00 876.80 3.70 545 March 1977.90 1997.60 1920.50 1945.50 –29.30 532,515
Jan .05052 .05060 .05000 .05017 .00009 87
Jan s 2385.90 –62.60 1 March 727.00 748.90 694.00 700.60 –16.30 1,706 March .04992 .05032 .04962 .04983 .00009 140,306 June 1972.60 1992.70 1918.00 1941.20 –29.40 31
March 2464.50 2485.50 s 2370.00 2391.20 –62.60 8,989 Milk (CME)-200,000 lbs., cents per lb. Euro (CME)-€125,000; $ per € Mini Russell 1000 (CME)-$50 x index
Platinum (NYM)-50 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Jan 15.81 16.16 15.39 15.42 –.38 3,681 Jan 1.2240 1.2313 1.2240 1.2256 .0025 2,093 March 2121.50 2121.60 s 2063.70 2084.50 –32.10 8,055
Jan 1085.40 1117.50 s 1052.30 1066.00 –9.40 882 Feb 17.30 17.99 16.99 17.12 –.37 3,001 March 1.2252 1.2330 s 1.2249 1.2271 .0025 662,648 U.S. Dollar Index (ICE-US)-$1,000 x index
April 1081.00 1142.00 s 1055.00 1071.50 –7.70 56,873 Cocoa (ICE-US)-10 metric tons; $ per ton. March 89.87 89.93 t 89.39 89.85 –.05 34,928
Silver (CMX)-5,000 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. March 2,624 2,661 2,542 2,552 –51 96,899 Index Futures June 89.74 89.89 t 89.38 89.82 –.04 531
Jan 27.284 0.952 483 May 2,545 2,589 2,497 2,507 –28 56,240
March 26.770 27.760 26.730 27.364 0.952 144,172 Coffee (ICE-US)-37,500 lbs.; cents per lb. Mini DJ Industrial Average (CBT)-$5 x index
Crude Oil, Light Sweet (NYM)-1,000 bbls.; $ per bbl. March 30481 30691 s 29760 30104 –393 84,975 Source: FactSet
March 128.40 129.40 125.25 126.15 –2.10 110,946
Feb 48.40 49.83 s 47.18 47.62 –0.90 367,996 May 130.00 131.30 127.25 128.10 –2.05 46,173
March 48.49 49.94 s 47.31 47.76 –0.87 270,365 Sugar-World (ICE-US)-112,000 lbs.; cents per lb.
April
May
48.56
48.46
50.01 s
50.00 s
47.43
47.50
47.87 –0.82
47.92 –0.77
131,218
101,192
March
May
15.65
14.78
16.13 s
15.20 s
15.55
14.74
15.76
14.95
.27
.27
391,368
213,950
Bonds | wsj.com/market-data/bonds/benchmarks
June 48.40 49.96 s 47.50 47.92 –0.71 230,220 Sugar-Domestic (ICE-US)-112,000 lbs.; cents per lb.
Dec 47.36 48.97 s 46.81 47.18 –0.50 269,319 March 28.50
28.72
28.75
29.00
28.50
28.72
28.50
28.75
.10
.15
2,820
2,362
Tracking Bond Benchmarks
NY Harbor ULSD (NYM)-42,000 gal.; $ per gal. July
Feb 1.4828 1.5347 s 1.4522 1.4620 –.0220 98,160 Cotton (ICE-US)-50,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Return on investment and spreads over Treasurys and/or yields paid to investors compared with 52-week
March 1.4839 1.5348 s 1.4540 1.4640 –.0214 52,924 March 78.25 79.90 s 78.25 78.97 .85 127,824 highs and lows for different types of bonds
Gasoline-NY RBOB (NYM)-42,000 gal.; $ per gal. May 78.78 80.51 s 78.78 79.69 .99 43,378 Total Total
Feb 1.4085 1.4516 s 1.3620 1.3729 –.0372 120,263 Orange Juice (ICE-US)-15,000 lbs.; cents per lb. return YTD total Yield (%) return YTD total Yield (%)
March 1.4131 1.4560 s 1.3697 1.3807 –.0347 79,340 Jan 121.90 121.90 121.90 121.80 –1.45 674 close return (%) Index Latest Low High close return (%) Index Latest Low High
Natural Gas (NYM)-10,000 MMBtu.; $ per MMBtu. March 125.80 126.95 121.00 122.85 –2.65 8,706
Feb 2.626 2.670 s 2.566 2.581 .042 197,610 Broad Market Bloomberg Barclays Mortgage-Backed Bloomberg Barclays
March 2.601 2.643 s 2.553 2.561 .035 250,113 Interest Rate Futures 2231.84 n.a. Mortgage-Backed 1.250 0.930 2.690
April 2.605 2.652 s 2.576 2.582 .044 111,461
2290.73 -0.1 U.S. Aggregate 1.130 1.020 2.310
Ultra Treasury Bonds (CBT) - $100,000; pts 32nds of 100%
May 2.617 2.669 s 2.601 2.608 .053 64,315 March 212-310 213-260 211-180 213-060 –12.0 1,044,130 U.S. Corporate Indexes Bloomberg Barclays 2178.50 n.a. Ginnie Mae (GNMA) 0.710 0.290 2.660
Sept 2.786 2.809 s 2.760 2.767 .055 46,908 Treasury Bonds (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% 3453.44 -0.2 U.S. Corporate 1.770 1.740 4.580 1318.14 n.a. Fannie mae (FNMA) 1.430 1.110 2.690
Oct 2.813 2.837 s 2.784 2.793 .052 112,039 March 172-270 173-110 172-040 173-010 –5.0 1,161,798
June 170-200 171-210 170-200 171-190 –7.0 14 3112.30 -0.1 Intermediate 1.100 1.080 4.400 2023.30 n.a. Freddie Mac (FHLMC) 1.410 1.080 2.710
Agriculture Futures Treasury Notes (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100%
5170.55 -0.4 Long term 2.810 2.730 4.930 n.a. n.a. Muni Master n.a. n.a. n.a.
Corn (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. March 137-310 138-055 137-260 138-040 1.5 3,229,599
March 487.25 497.75 s 479.50 483.75 –.25 835,996 June 136-230 137-085 136-195 137-065 .5 140 701.91 -0.2 Double-A-rated 1.420 1.300 3.360 n.a. n.a. 7-12 year n.a. n.a. n.a.
May 486.00 497.25 s 480.25 484.25 1.00 272,697 5 Yr. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100%
March 126-045 126-070 126-022 126-065 1.2 3,238,502 921.07 -0.2 Triple-B-rated 2.020 2.010 5.350 n.a. n.a. 12-22 year n.a. n.a. n.a.
Oats (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu.
March 361.00 370.00 s 353.75 356.00 –4.75 3,986 2 Yr. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$200,000; pts 32nds of 100% High Yield Bonds ICE BofA n.a. n.a. 22-plus year n.a. n.a. n.a.
May 358.75 364.75 s 350.00 351.25 –3.75 527 March 110-155 110-158 110-151 110-157 .1 1,903,468
Soybeans (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. 30 Day Federal Funds (CBT)-$5,000,000; 100 - daily avg. n.a. n.a. High Yield Constrained n.a. n.a. n.a. Global Government J.P. Morgan†
1349.75 s Jan 99.9175 99.9200 99.9150 99.9150 –.0050 158,760 n.a.
Jan 1324.00 1306.25 1316.50 1.25 4,198 n.a. n.a. Triple-C-rated n.a. n.a. n.a. 615.25 Global Government 0.550 0.390 1.040
March 1319.25 1349.50 s 1301.00 1313.00 2.00 410,499 Feb 99.9250 99.9250 99.9200 99.9200 .0000 151,511
Soybean Meal (CBT)-100 tons; $ per ton. 10 Yr. Del. Int. Rate Swaps (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% n.a. n.a. High Yield 100 n.a. n.a. n.a. 863.65 n.a. Canada 0.820 0.590 1.700
Jan 439.10 444.90 s 425.70 427.20 –7.20 3,794 March 97-275 98-045 97-225 98-015 2.0 109,264
Eurodollar (CME)-$1,000,000; pts of 100% n.a. n.a. Global High Yield Constrained n.a. n.a. n.a. 420.98 0.1 EMU§ 0.042 0.010 0.794
March 431.90 440.80 s 420.70 423.70 –5.70 185,549
Soybean Oil (CBT)-60,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Jan 99.8025 99.8075 99.8000 99.8025 –.0025 250,642 n.a.
Europe High Yield Constrained n.a. n.a. n.a. 793.96 n.a. France -0.120 -0.160 0.430
n.a.
Jan 43.63 44.61 s 42.50 42.93 –.40 2,290 March 99.8300 99.8350 99.8250 99.8300 … 1,060,812
March 42.50 44.07 s 41.75 42.13 –.27 212,138 June 99.8350 99.8450 99.8300 99.8400 .0050 942,621 U.S Agency Bloomberg Barclays 552.95 0.1 Germany -0.480 -0.740 -0.050
Rough Rice (CBT)-2,000 cwt.; $ per cwt. Sept 99.8300 99.8400 99.8250 99.8350 .0050 795,681
1868.29 n.a. U.S Agency 0.480 0.460 1.880 295.12 n.a. Japan 0.300 0.040 0.320
Jan 12.65 12.65 12.65 12.45 .05 114
March 12.75 13.02 s 12.62 12.73 .04 9,138 Currency Futures 1628.25 n.a. 10-20 years 0.360 0.340 1.760 619.04 0.1 Netherlands -0.400 -0.540 0.080
Wheat (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Japanese Yen (CME)-¥12,500,000; $ per 100¥ 4276.71 n.a. 20-plus years 1.630 1.170 2.410 1095.68 n.a. U.K. 0.540 0.390 1.130
March 643.00 650.25 s 634.00 642.00 1.50 193,713 Jan .9683 .9737 s .9682 .9699 .0016 1,209
2935.26 n.a. Yankee 1.380 1.370 3.500 933.83 n.a. Emerging Markets ** 4.300 4.295 7.480
*Constrained indexes limit individual issuer concentrations to 2%; the High Yield 100 are the 100 largest bonds † In local currency § Euro-zone bonds
Cash Prices | wsj.com/market-data/commodities Monday, January 4, 2021 ** EMBI Global Index Sources: ICE Data Services; Bloomberg Barclays; J.P.Morgan
These prices reflect buying and selling of a variety of actual or “physical” commodities in the marketplace—
separate from the futures price on an exchange, which reflects what the commodity might be worth in future Global Government Bonds: Mapping Yields
months. Yields and spreads over or under U.S. Treasurys on benchmark two-year and 10-year government bonds in
Monday Monday Monday
selected other countries; arrows indicate whether the yield rose(s) or fell (t) in the latest session
Aluminum, LME, $ per metric ton *n.a. Wheat,No.1soft white,Portld,OR-u 6.6000
Energy Country/ Spread Under/Over U.S. Treasurys, in basis points
Copper,Comex spot 3.5530 Yield (%)
Coal,C.Aplc.,12500Btu,1.2SO2-r,w 54.350 Iron Ore, 62% Fe CFR China-s 164.5 Food Coupon (%) Maturity, in years Latest(l)-2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 Previous Month ago Year ago Latest Prev Year ago
Coal,PwdrRvrBsn,8800Btu,0.8SO2-r,w 11.550 Shredded Scrap, US Midwest-s,m 371 Beef,carcass equiv. index 0.125 U.S. 2 0.115 t l 0.119 0.151 1.523
Steel, HRC USA, FOB Midwest Mill-s 1009 181.36 0.875 10 0.915 s 0.913 0.967 1.787
Metals choice 1-3,600-900 lbs.-u l
Fibers and Textiles select 1-3,600-900 lbs.-u 168.26
Gold, per troy oz Broilers, National comp wtd. avg.-u,w 0.8048
2.250 Australia 2 0.076 t l 0.079 0.110 0.836 -4.1 -4.2 -69.7
Engelhard industrial 1941.00 Burlap,10-oz,40-inch NY yd-n,w 0.6450 Butter,AA Chicago 1.3950 1.000 10 0.994 s l 0.982 1.006 1.266 7.8 6.3 -52.3
Handy & Harman base 1943.20 Cotton,1 1/16 std lw-mdMphs-u 0.7597 Cheddar cheese,bbl,Chicago 148.25
Handy & Harman fabricated 2156.95 Cotlook 'A' Index-t *n.a. Cheddar cheese,blk,Chicago 161.75 0.000 France 2 -0.677 s l -0.698 -0.688 -0.599 -79.4 -81.9 -213.2
LBMA Gold Price AM *n.a. Hides,hvy native steers piece fob-u n.a. Milk,Nonfat dry,Chicago lb. 114.75 0.000 10 -0.365 t l -0.341 -0.305 0.021 -128.0 -126.0 -176.8
LBMA Gold Price PM *n.a. Wool,64s,staple,Terr del-u,w n.a. Coffee,Brazilian,Comp 1.2012
Krugerrand,wholesale-e 2028.62 Grains and Feeds Coffee,Colombian, NY 1.7603 0.000 Germany 2 -0.717 t l -0.710 -0.742 -0.626 -83.4 -83.1 -215.9
Maple Leaf-e 2048.13 Eggs,large white,Chicago-u 0.7750
Barley,top-quality Mnpls-u n.a. 0.000 10 -0.605 t l -0.571 -0.543 -0.280 -152.0 -149.0 -207.0
American Eagle-e 2048.13 Flour,hard winter KC 16.30
Mexican peso-e 2359.84 Bran,wheat middlings, KC-u 148 Hams,17-20 lbs,Mid-US fob-u n.a.
Corn,No. 2 yellow,Cent IL-bp,u 4.7750
0.050 Italy 2 -0.413 t l -0.411 -0.397 -0.222 -53.0 -53.2 -175.4
Austria crown-e 1914.98 Hogs,Iowa-So. Minnesota-u 62.33
Austria phil-e 2048.13 Corn gluten feed,Midwest-u,w 152.7 Pork bellies,12-14 lb MidUS-u n.a. 0.900 10 0.551 s l 0.546 0.629 1.345 -36.5 -37.3 -44.4
Corn gluten meal,Midwest-u,w 565.2 Pork loins,13-19 lb MidUS-u 0.8652
Silver, troy oz. 0.100 Japan 2 -0.124 t l -0.120 -0.130 -0.125 -24.1 -24.1 -165.7
Cottonseed meal-u,w n.a. Steers,Tex.-Okla. Choice-u 112.00
Engelhard industrial 27.5100
Hominy feed,Cent IL-u,w 118 Steers,feeder,Okla. City-u,w n.a. 0.100 10 0.023 t l 0.025 0.026 -0.016 -89.3 -89.4 -180.5
Handy & Harman base 27.2000
Meat-bonemeal,50% pro Mnpls-u,w 300
Handy & Harman fabricated 34.0000
Oats,No.2 milling,Mnpls-u 3.7150 Fats and Oils 0.400 Spain 2 -0.595 s l -0.629 -0.588 -0.376 -71.2 -75.0 -190.8
LBMA spot price *£19.4100 Rice, Long Grain Milled, No. 2 AR-u,w 26.88
(U.S.$ equivalent) *26.4850 Corn oil,crude wet/dry mill wtd. avg.-u,w 41.5000 1.250 10 0.030 t l 0.041 0.085 0.388 -88.6 -87.8 -140.1
Sorghum,(Milo) No.2 Gulf-u 6.9375
Coins,wholesale $1,000 face-a 20191 SoybeanMeal,Cent IL,rail,ton48%-u 424.70 Grease,choice white,Chicago-h 0.3200
0.125 U.K. 2 -0.157 t l -0.148 -0.035 0.557 -27.4 -26.9 -97.6
Other metals Soybeans,No.1 yllw IL-bp,u 13.0600 Lard,Chicago-u n.a.
LBMA Platinum Price PM *n.a. Wheat,Spring14%-pro Mnpls-u 7.1400 Soybean oil,crude;Centl IL-u 0.4393 4.750 10 0.176 t l 0.200 0.354 0.739 -73.9 -71.9 -105.0
Platinum,Engelhard industrial 1121.0 Wheat,No.2 soft red,St.Louis-u 6.7450 Tallow,bleach;Chicago-h 0.3800
Source: Tullett Prebon, Tradeweb ICE U.S. Treasury Close
Palladium,Engelhard industrial 2469.0 Wheat - Hard - KC (USDA) $ per bu-u 6.2450 Tallow,edible,Chicago-u n.a.
KEY TO CODES: A=ask; B=bid; BP=country elevator bids to producers; C=corrected; E=Manfra,Tordella & Brookes; H=American Commodities Brokerage Co; Corporate Debt
M=monthly; N=nominal; n.a.=not quoted or not available; R=SNL Energy; S=Platts-TSI; T=Cotlook Limited; U=USDA; W=weekly; Z=not quoted. *Data as of 12/31/20 Prices of firms' bonds reflect factors including investors' economic, sectoral and company-specific
Source: Dow Jones Market Data
expectations
Investment-grade spreads that tightened the most…
Borrowing Benchmarks | wsj.com/market-data/bonds/benchmarks Spread*, in basis points
Issuer Symbol Coupon (%) Yield (%) Maturity Current One-day change Last week
Money Rates January 4, 2021
Archer–Daniels–Midland 4.535 2.40 March 26, ’42 74 –6
Key annual interest rates paid to borrow or lend money in U.S. and international markets. Rates below are a
ADM n.a.
guide to general levels but don’t always represent actual transactions. Santander UK SANUK 2.875 0.72 June 18, ’24 56 –6
n.a.
trade them in London over al- levels of its Turquoise platform erators. For example, trading
ternative venues. Those venues in Amsterdam Monday. For volume on Deutsche Börse’s
included Turquoise, a trading Cboe, about 90% of its trading Xetra exchange currently rep-
facility majority-owned by the volumes of European stocks resents about 14.4% of total
London Stock Exchange had moved to its platform in volume across European mar-
Group PLC, and rival platforms Amsterdam Monday. Before kets, according to Cboe, which
Aquis Exchange PLC and Cboe that, all of that volume had tracks the data. That is up
Global Markets Inc.’s Europe- been handled in London. In the from about an average daily
based marketplace. case of Aquis, close to 100% of share of 13.9% in December.
But with the Brexit trade its volumes of European stocks However, Spain’s Bolsa de Trading in stocks such as Amsterdam-listed Just Eat Takeaway.com are among those that moved
agreement taking effect Jan. 1, had moved to its Paris opera- Madrid’s market share and from London because of the trade agreement that took effect Jan. 1.
that option ended. tion. That is up from a minimal that of Euronext NV’s Euro-
The bloc pushed for greater amount when the U.K. was still pean platforms including which was trading 1.5% lower Covid-19’s spread and vaccina- period to really look through
control over the trading of EU part of the EU. those in Amsterdam and Paris against the euro. tions against it are obscuring the overriding factors. It’s
stocks during Brexit negotia- “It’s been an overnight are currently down from their Jane Foley, head of foreign- any impact. quite difficult to figure out
tions as part of its efforts to transition business,” said December averages. exchange strategy at Ra- “Perhaps during the course which factors are pulling in
better compete with London, Belinda Keheyan, head of mar- The shift in trading vol- bobank, said that while the of this year that might become any direction.”
historically Europe’s dominant keting at Aquis. umes of EU stocks coincided change in trading venue might a little more obvious,” Ms. Fo- —Caitlin Ostroff
financial center. The U.K.’s split with the EU with weakness in the pound, weigh on the pound, news on ley said. “We need a longer contributed to this article.
MARKETS
China’s Growth
Data Dazes
And Confuses
Investors are right to be skeptical about the stats
on the world’s second-largest economy
ARIEL DAVIS
cial figures is widespread, and jus- industrial output.
tifiably so, some of the more gran- There are three reasons. First,
ular official data are actually very real growth has long been one of
useful. The picture can and does the ways officials are evaluated in
change over time: When a certain China, and so there is a strong in- growth lines up far better than so- would expect. in China is also a common occur-
economic data point becomes a centive to inflate it—and substan- called real growth with other cy- China has recently released a rence—oftentimes after that data
political target in China, the incen- tial evidence that has happened, clical indicators that aren’t con- new series on unemployment—an- begins to show trends counter to
tives for officials to fudge it rise. particularly during downturns. For trolled by government statisticians other very politicized data set— the narrative that the government
Still, understanding the lay of the instance, after the housing and —like global metal prices and the that may turn out to be better is pushing. In late 2018, as the
land can help investors spot suspi- commodity market downturn of profits of listed Chinese compa- than its predecessor, which barely trade war with the U.S. was begin-
cious deviations from trend—or 2015 and early 2016, China’s Inner nies. That makes it more credible. ever moved at all. But in the ning to bite, China’s export hub
changes in reporting—that might Mongolia province—a major coal Unfortunately, nominal growth meantime the employment subin- Guangdong province was ordered
be an indication of problems offi- producer—admitted its 2016 in- figures are released only once ev- dexes of the nation’s purchasing to stop publishing its own pur-
dustrial growth was overstated by ery three months. What about managers indexes are probably a chasing managers index. The offi-
Chinese data, change from 40%. more high frequency data? reasonable proxy for the labor cial explanation was the surveying
a year earlier Second, official statisticians use China’s headline industrial office hadn’t properly applied to
some questionable assumptions growth figure, which is released renew its authority to compile the
60% Total finance outstanding*
for the price adjustments to real monthly, is of questionable value. index, although it had been pub-
Revenue of China-listed firms†
growth. Oxford Economics notes But the more volatile data on out-
China’s headline lishing the series regularly for
Nominal economic growth
that unlike the U.S. and Germany, put of individual industrial prod- industrial growth figure, seven years previously. A widely
40 which use more precise inflation ucts is probably more reliable. For watched official series detailing
indexes to adjust industrial growth instance, an average of growth in
released monthly, is of how much lending goes to state-
in their national accounts, China output of steel, cement, glass and questionable value. owned versus private sector bor-
20 relies on its producer-price index, other heavy industrial products rowers—another sensitive, highly
which is strongly influenced by tends to follow Chinese housing politicized topic in recent years—
heavy industry and commodity prices, which you would expect has also disappeared since 2016.
0 prices. That could create problems since housing is the largest source market. One reason to think that is All of this sometimes makes
if, for example, steel and coal of demand for these materials. true: They move with the trend in finding and interpreting Chinese
prices fall substantially but more And when Chinese housing de- listed company profits, as ex- data more like searching for bur-
profitable, fast-growing sectors mand is strong but industrial out- pected, since companies should ied treasure than most analysts
–20
such as electronics or pharmaceu- put is artificially weak—as in the tend to hire more when times are and economists are accustomed to.
2009 ’12 ’15 ’18 ’21 ticals don’t see their prices change forced steel capacity closures of good and profits are rising. But on the bright side there is al-
*Advanced six months †A shares as much. 2017—global metal prices have Unfortunately, the disappear- ways something new to unearth.
Sources: CEIC; Wind (revenues) Most important, nominal skyrocketed, which is what one ance of useful official data series —Nathaniel Taplin
While most businesses are un- the challenges imposed by remote question of what business will look 100 PayPal
derstandably pleased to see 2020 working. That included the annual like in 2021 when mass vaccinations
pass, videogame companies might entry to Activision Blizzard’s are expected to slowly bring life
have some mixed feelings. blockbuster “Call of Duty” franchise. back to normal. Brian Nowak of
The coronavirus pandemic has The game, “Black Ops Cold War,” Morgan Stanley argued in a Dec. 22 0
KBW Nasdaq
been an undeniable boon for the launched a few weeks later than report that the pandemic “likely
Bank Index
game industry. Restrictions that normal and has garnered among the pulled forward four years of gamer
have kept many at home and shut franchise’s lowest critic scores in adoption,” which will leave growth –100
down other forms of entertainment more than a decade. But Cowen an- depending on publishers’ abilities to
March 2020 June Sept. Dec. ’21
have resulted in a banner year for alyst Doug Creutz notes the game is launch compelling games.
the sector. Six of the largest game still on track to sell more than 20 Of course, game publishers could Source: FactSet
publishers are expected to post million units. Analysts estimate Ac- be helped by further adoption of
combined total revenue of $24 bil- tivision’s publishing business, which the new Xbox and PlayStation con-
lion for the calendar year, up 19%
from the previous year, according
to consensus estimates compiled by
comprises mainly the “Call of Duty”
franchise, will show a 74% surge in
net bookings for 2020, to nearly
soles, which will raise demand for
games designed to take advantage
of their cutting-edge capabilities.
Biden Administration
FactSet. In 2019, the same group’s
combined revenue fell nearly 3%.
That number doesn’t include
$3.9 billion, according to FactSet.
Even 2020’s flops have been rel-
ative. In a Dec. 22 regulatory dis-
Activision and Electronic Arts—
the two largest publishers by an-
nual revenue—are expected to re-
Could Unsettle Banks
sales of the new Xbox and PlaySta- closure, Polish game publisher CD cord revenue growth of 7% and 8%
tion consoles, which went on sale in Projekt reported unit sales of its respectively in calendar year 2021, Historically, investors in banks further enable a new kind of bank-
early November and are still very problem-plagued “Cyberpunk with at least two new games from would be worried about stepped- ing ecosystem to evolve. One that
hard to come by due to soaring de- 2077” totaled more than 13 million Activision’s Blizzard side and a up financial regulation from a new has been making its way into poten-
mand. Other game-hardware mak- copies since its Dec. 10 launch. new “Battlefield” from EA pro- Democratic administration. This tial legislation is to create accounts
ers also have been capitalizing on That is well below the 18 million to jected to be released in the year. time, however, a bigger long-term for individuals with the help of the
the rush. Turtle Beach, which 25 million units that Jefferies ana- The speed of national reopening worry might be government efforts Federal Reserve. Some propose this
makes accessories such as specialty lyst Ken Rumph said Wall Street also will factor heavily into the in- that could disrupt banking itself. in conjunction with postal banking.
headphones for gamers, has re- had been expecting the title to sell dustry’s performance for 2021. There are a handful of measures Additionally, the Fed is in the early
corded a 71% year-over-year sales in its debut. But it isn’t bad for a Lockdowns and other restrictions either working their way through stages of developing its own real-
gain to $227 million for the nine- game so riddled with bugs that seem likely to persist through the agencies or being discussed in time payments. Depending on how
month period ended September. Sony dropped it from its online winter given the recent jump in Democratic policy circles aimed at it is fleshed out, that could compete
Newly public Corsair Gaming, store, while both Sony and Micro- Covid-19 cases, while the reopening broadening access to financial ser- with some existing bank payments.
which makes game PCs and laptops soft joined other retailers in offer- of mass entertainment options such vices, which could force traditional There also are continuing devel-
and other related accessories, ing refunds to disgruntled players. as movies, concerts and theme banks to compete more—either opments at the level of who is al-
logged a 54% revenue jump to about Analysts still expect CD Projekt to parks that compete for spare time with the government, technology lowed to offer banking services.
$1.2 billion for the same period. post the equivalent of about $672 and discretionary income likely will upstarts, or both in combination. Some of this work, done by agencies
For game makers, the current million in revenue for 2020—more occur much later. But as more en- Postal banking is one intriguing during the Trump administration,
sales boom has been especially re- than five times the previous year’s tertainment options open up and as example. The notion of offering ba- may move further ahead in the com-
markable considering the impact sales, according to FactSet. more workers return to the office, sic banking services via the post of- ing years under new leadership. A
the pandemic has had on their de- But like other industries that the game industry will need to con- fice had the support of several lot of the thinking behind the Office
velopment cycles. Several major have been boosted by the pandemic, tend with not being the only game Democratic contenders, and some of the Comptroller of the Currency’s
games got delayed in 2020 due to the videogame sector faces the in town. —Dan Gallagher advocates have had roles in Biden’s process for so-called fintech char-
transition. Major new legal powers ters began under President Barack
Videogame companies combined total revenue granting the U.S. Postal Service li- Obama and may continue. The Fed-
cense to make loans or hold depos- eral Deposit Insurance Corp. has ad-
$25 billion Zynga its may be politically complex. But opted new rules around industrial
things like installing ATMs, facilitat- loan companies that might open a
Nexon
ing bill payments or expanding elec- path for more nonbanks to offer
20
tronic money transfer services at certain banking services, though
Ubisoft
post offices may be more feasible. much may hinge on how individual
15 Take-Two Some banking industry groups applications are treated. There also
have opposed postal banking, argu- are potential Consumer Financial
ing consumers could be left vulner- Protection Bureau “open banking”
10
EA able. But moves to broaden banking rules that might allow easier access
access might generate support to bank-account data from upstarts.
among other constituencies, per- The bottom line is that investors
5 Activision haps from rural representatives, or in banks have more to think about
in Silicon Valley: Digital players than, say, higher capital require-
could see post offices as de facto ments. A combination of technologi-
ACTIVISION
0 branches, helping people that don’t cal and political currents means the
use traditional banks move cash future of banking could be up in the
2017 ’18 ’19 ’20 ’21
Projections into and out of their virtual wallets. air in more ways than one.
Sources: S&P Global Market Intelligence (actual); FactSet (projections) Activision’s ‘Black Ops Cold War’ There are other ideas that could —Telis Demos
B12 | Tuesday, January 5, 2021 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
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