lambda: 0.

1 2 5 15

k 0.1 2 5 15
0 0.904837 0.135335 0.006738 3.06E-07
1 0.090484 0.270671 0.03369 4.59E-06 lambda/k
2 0.004524 0.270671 0.084224 3.44E-05 k(3)/k(2)
3 0.000151 0.180447 0.140374 0.000172 0.666667 0.666667
4 3.77E-06 0.090224 0.175467 0.000645
5 7.54E-08 0.036089 0.175467 0.001936
6 1.26E-09 0.01203 0.146223 0.004839 Probabilities of number of events for diffe
7 1.8E-11 0.003437 0.104445 0.01037 poisson distribution
8 2.24E-13 0.000859 0.065278 0.019444 1
9 2.49E-15 0.000191 0.036266 0.032407 0.9
10 2.49E-17 3.82E-05 0.018133 0.048611 0.8
11 2.27E-19 6.94E-06 0.008242 0.066287 0.7

Probability
12 1.89E-21 1.16E-06 0.003434 0.082859 0.6
13 1.45E-23 1.78E-07 0.001321 0.095607 0.5
14 1.04E-25 2.54E-08 0.000472 0.102436 0.4
15 6.92E-28 3.39E-09 0.000157 0.102436 0.3
16 4.32E-30 4.24E-10 4.91E-05 0.096034 0.2
17 2.54E-32 4.99E-11 1.45E-05 0.084736 0.1
18 1.41E-34 5.54E-12 4.01E-06 0.070613 0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
19 7.44E-37 5.83E-13 1.06E-06 0.055747
20 3.72E-39 5.83E-14 2.64E-07 0.04181 Count of Events
21 1.77E-41 5.56E-15 6.29E-08 0.029865
22 8.05E-44 5.05E-16 1.43E-08 0.020362
23 3.5E-46 4.39E-17 3.11E-09 0.01328
24 1.46E-48 3.66E-18 6.47E-10 0.0083
25 5.83E-51 2.93E-19 1.29E-10 0.00498
26 2.24E-53 2.25E-20 2.49E-11 0.002873
27 8.31E-56 1.67E-21 4.61E-12 0.001596
28 2.97E-58 1.19E-22 8.23E-13 0.000855
29 1.02E-60 8.22E-24 1.42E-13 0.000442
30 3.41E-63 5.48E-25 2.37E-14 0.000221
31 1.1E-65 3.53E-26 3.82E-15 0.000107
32 3.44E-68 2.21E-27 5.96E-16 5.02E-05
33 1.04E-70 1.34E-28 9.03E-17 2.28E-05
34 3.06E-73 7.88E-30 1.33E-17 1.01E-05
35 8.76E-76 4.5E-31 1.9E-18 4.31E-06

And now, below, the cumulative probability of the

poisson distribution. I.E., what is the probability of
Poisson(l) <=X?
 And now, below, the cumulative probability of the
poisson distribution. I.E., what is the probability of
Poisson(l) <=X?

lambda: 0.1 2 5 15

k 0.1 2 5 15
0 0.904837 0.135335 0.006738 3.06E-07 Cumulative probability density for d
1 0.995321 0.406006 0.040428 4.89E-06 distribution
2 0.999845 0.676676 0.124652 3.93E-05
1.2
3 0.999996 0.857123 0.265026 0.000211
4 1 0.947347 0.440493 0.000857 1
5 1 0.983436 0.615961 0.002792
6 1 0.995466 0.762183 0.007632 0.8

Probability
7 1 0.998903 0.866628 0.018002 0.6
8 1 0.999763 0.931906 0.037446
9 1 0.999954 0.968172 0.069854 0.4
10 1 0.999992 0.986305 0.118464
0.2
11 1 0.999999 0.994547 0.184752
12 1 1 0.997981 0.267611 0
13 1 1 0.999302 0.363218 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 1
14 1 1 0.999774 0.465654
15 1 1 0.999931 0.56809
Count of
16 1 1 0.99998 0.664123
17 1 1 0.999995 0.748859
18 1 1 0.999999 0.819472
19 1 1 1 0.875219
20 1 1 1 0.917029
21 1 1 1 0.946894
22 1 1 1 0.967256
23 1 1 1 0.980535
24 1 1 1 0.988835
25 1 1 1 0.993815
26 1 1 1 0.996688
27 1 1 1 0.998284
28 1 1 1 0.999139
29 1 1 1 0.999582
30 1 1 1 0.999803
31 1 1 1 0.99991
32 1 1 1 0.99996
33 1 1 1 0.999983
34 1 1 1 0.999993
35 1 1 1 0.999997
er of events for different expected values of the

0.1
2
5
15

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35

Count of Events
bability density for different expected values of the poisson

0.1
2
5
15

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35

Count of Events
 DF:
x 1 2 5 15
0.1 1.200039 0.475615 0.005318 2.31E-12
1 0.241971 0.303265 0.10722 4.65E-06 1.791759 6
2 0.103777 0.18394 0.18394 0.000255
3 0.051393 0.111565 0.204958 0.002162
4 0.026995 0.067668 0.191393 0.008506
5 0.014645 0.041042 0.162235 0.022004
6 0.008109 0.024894 0.129351 0.043656
7 0.004553 0.015099 0.098865 0.072119
8 0.002583 0.009158 0.073263 0.104196
9 0.001477 0.005554 0.053023 0.135892
10 0.00085 0.003369 0.037666 0.163482
11 0.000492 0.002043 0.026357 0.184236
12 0.000285 0.001239 0.018215 0.196722 Point Probability for different degrees of fr
13 0.000166 0.000752 0.012457 0.200752
14 9.72E-05 0.000456 0.008444 0.197112
15 5.7E-05 0.000277 0.00568 0.187209
1.4
16 3.35E-05 0.000168 0.003795 0.17273
17 1.97E-05 0.000102 0.002521 0.155367
18 1.16E-05 6.17E-05 0.001666 0.136635 1.2
19 6.85E-06 3.74E-05 0.001096 0.117772
20 4.05E-06 2.27E-05 0.000718 0.099699 1
21 2.4E-06 1.38E-05 0.000468 0.083038
Point Probability

22 1.42E-06 8.35E-06 0.000305 0.068148 0.8

23 8.43E-07 5.07E-06 0.000198 0.055181
24 5E-07 3.07E-06 0.000128 0.044135 0.6
25 2.97E-07 1.86E-06 8.23E-05 0.034904
26 1.77E-07 1.13E-06 5.3E-05 0.027318 0.4
27 1.05E-07 6.85E-07 3.4E-05 0.021175
28 6.27E-08 4.16E-07 2.18E-05 0.016268
0.2
29 3.74E-08 2.52E-07 1.39E-05 0.012395
30 2.23E-08 1.53E-07 8.89E-06 0.009372
0
31 1.33E-08 9.28E-08 5.66E-06 0.007034
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
32 7.94E-09 5.63E-08 3.6E-06 0.005245
33 4.74E-09 3.41E-08 2.29E-06 0.003885
34 2.83E-09 2.07E-08 1.45E-06 0.002861
X
35 1.69E-09 1.26E-08 9.19E-07 0.002095

DF:
x 1 2 5 15 10 16
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 This is the cumulative One-tailed C
1 0.682689 0.393469 0.037434 2.54E-07 0.000172 6.22E-08
2 0.842701 0.632121 0.150855 2.97E-05 0.00366 1.02E-05
3 0.916735 0.77687 0.300014 0.000402 0.018576 0.00017
4 0.9545 0.864665 0.450584 0.002263 0.052653 0.001097
5 0.974653 0.917915 0.58412 0.007874 0.108822 0.004247
6 0.985694 0.950213 0.693781 0.020252 0.184737 0.011905
7 0.991849 0.969803 0.77936 0.04235 0.274555 0.026739 Cumulative probability de
8 0.995322 0.981684 0.843764 0.076217 0.371163 0.051134 chisquare distribution

1.2

0.8
 Cumulative probability de
chisquare distribution
9 0.9973 0.988891 0.890936 0.122483 0.467896 0.086586
10 0.998435 0.993262 0.924765 0.18026 0.559507 0.133372
1.2
11 0.999089 0.995913 0.94862 0.247406 0.642482 0.190515
12 0.999468 0.997521 0.965212 0.320971 0.714943 0.25602 1
13 0.999689 0.998497 0.976621 0.397702 0.776328 0.327242
0.8
14 0.999817 0.999088 0.984391 0.474471 0.827008 0.401286

Probability
15 0.999892 0.999447 0.989638 0.548583 0.867938 0.475361 0.6
16 0.999937 0.999665 0.993156 0.617948 0.900368 0.547039
0.4
17 0.999963 0.999797 0.9955 0.681136 0.925636 0.614403
18 0.999978 0.999877 0.997054 0.737334 0.945036 0.676103 0.2
19 0.999987 0.999925 0.998078 0.786266 0.959737 0.731337
20 0.999992 0.999955 0.99875 0.828067 0.970747 0.779779 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
21 0.999995 0.999972 0.99919 0.863171 0.978906 0.821489
22 0.999997 0.999983 0.999476 0.892196 0.984895 0.856808
23 0.999998 0.99999 0.999662 0.91586 0.989253 0.886265
24 0.999999 0.999994 0.999783 0.934907 0.9924 0.910496
25 0.999999 0.999996 0.999861 0.950057 0.994654 0.930175
26 1 0.999998 0.999911 0.961977 0.99626 0.945972
27 1 0.999999 0.999943 0.971264 0.997396 0.958517
28 1 0.999999 0.999964 0.978431 0.998195 0.96838
29 1 0.999999 0.999977 0.983915 0.998754 0.976064
30 1 1 0.999985 0.988079 0.999143 0.981998
31 1 1 0.999991 0.991215 0.999413 0.986544
32 1 1 0.999994 0.993562 0.9996 0.99
33 1 1 0.999996 0.995306 0.999728 0.99261
34 1 1 0.999998 0.996595 0.999815 0.994567
35 1 1 0.999998 0.997541 0.999875 0.996026
 point probabilities of
the chisquare
distribution.

different degrees of freedom of the chisquare distribution

1
2
5
15

15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

e cumulative One-tailed Chisquare probabilitydensities

ulative probability density for different degrees of freedom of the

quare distribution

1
ulative probability density for different degrees of freedom of the
quare distribution

1
2
5
15

5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

X
 Two tailed
cumulative dist critical value
critical val cumulative distribution
X of Std Normal X Squared chisquare 1 df
1.96 0.950004 3.8416 0.950004

cumulative dist
from zero, doubled cumulative distribution
X std normal X squared chisquare 1df
0 0 0 0
0.1 0.079656 0.01 0.079656
0.2 0.158519 0.04 0.158519
0.3 0.235823 0.09 0.235823
0.4 0.310843 0.16 0.310843
0.5 0.382925 0.25 0.382925
0.6 0.451494 0.36 0.451494
0.7 0.516073 0.49 0.516073
0.8 0.576289 0.64 0.576289
0.9 0.63188 0.81 0.63188
1 0.682689 1 0.682689
1.1 0.728668 1.21 0.728668
1.2 0.769861 1.44 0.769861
1.3 0.806399 1.69 0.806399
1.4 0.838487 1.96 0.838487
1.5 0.866386 2.25 0.866386
1.6 0.890401 2.56 0.890401
1.7 0.910869 2.89 0.910869
1.8 0.928139 3.24 0.928139
1.9 0.942567 3.61 0.942567
2 0.9545 4 0.9545
2.1 0.964271 4.41 0.964271
2.2 0.972193 4.84 0.972193
2.3 0.978552 5.29 0.978552
2.4 0.983605 5.76 0.983605
2.5 0.987581 6.25 0.987581
2.6 0.990678 6.76 0.990678
2.7 0.993066 7.29 0.993066
2.8 0.99489 7.84 0.99489
2.9 0.996268 8.41 0.996268
3 0.9973 9 0.9973
3.1 0.998065 9.61 0.998065
3.2 0.998626 10.24 0.998626
3.3 0.999033 10.89 0.999033
3.4 0.999326 11.56 0.999326
3.5 0.999535 12.25 0.999535
3.6 0.999682 12.96 0.999682
3.7 0.999784 13.69 0.999784
3.8 0.999855 14.44 0.999855
3.9 0.999904 15.21 0.999904
4 0.999937 16 0.999937
4.1 0.999959 16.81 0.999959
4.2 0.999973 17.64 0.999973
4.3 0.999983 18.49 0.999983
4.4 0.999989 19.36 0.999989
4.5 0.999993 20.25 0.999993
4.6 0.999996 21.16 0.999996
4.7 0.999997 22.09 0.999997
4.8 0.999998 23.04 0.999998
4.9 0.999999 24.01 0.999999
5 0.999999 25 0.999999
5.1 1 26.01 1
5.2 1 27.04 1
5.3 1 28.09 1
5.4 1 29.16 1
5.5 1 30.25 1
5.6 1 31.36 1
5.7 1 32.49 1
5.8 1 33.64 1
5.9 1 34.81 1
6 1 36 1
6.1 1 37.21 1
6.2 1 38.44 1
6.3 1 39.69 1
6.4 1 40.96 1
6.5 1 42.25 1
6.6 1 43.56 1
6.7 1 44.89 1
6.8 1 46.24 1
6.9 1 47.61 1
7 1 49 1
 Here's a look at the individual likelihood functions
and the joint likelihood and joint log likelihood
function for Poisson distribution given the following
observed values, or Ks

individual likelihood Fns product of log

K1= K2= K3= K4= K6= the likelihoods likelihood
lambdas 10 10 12 14 14
0.001 2.75E-37 2.75E-37 2.09E-45 1.15E-53 1.15E-53 2.1E-227 -521.9566
0.1 2.49E-17 2.49E-17 1.89E-21 1.04E-25 1.04E-25 1.3E-105 -241.5362
0.2 2.31E-14 2.31E-14 7E-18 1.54E-21 1.54E-21 1.77E-87 -199.7542
0.3 1.21E-12 1.21E-12 8.22E-16 4.06E-19 4.06E-19 5.92E-77 -175.5208
0.4 1.94E-11 1.94E-11 2.35E-14 2.06E-17 2.06E-17 1.5E-69 -158.4722
0.5 1.63E-10 1.63E-10 3.09E-13 4.25E-16 4.25E-16 7.43E-64 -145.3605
0.6 9.14E-10 9.14E-10 2.49E-12 4.93E-15 4.93E-15 3.05E-59 -134.7388
0.7 3.87E-09 3.87E-09 1.43E-11 3.86E-14 3.86E-14 2.24E-55 -125.8357
0.8 1.33E-08 1.33E-08 6.45E-11 2.27E-13 2.27E-13 4.68E-52 -118.1902
0.9 3.91E-08 3.91E-08 2.4E-10 1.07E-12 1.07E-12 3.75E-49 -111.5055
1 1.01E-07 1.01E-07 7.68E-10 4.22E-12 4.22E-12 1.41E-46 -105.5785
1.1 2.38E-07 2.38E-07 2.18E-09 1.45E-11 1.45E-11 2.86E-44 -100.2646
1.2 5.14E-07 5.14E-07 5.61E-09 4.44E-11 4.44E-11 3.5E-42 -95.45687
1.3 1.04E-06 1.04E-06 1.33E-08 1.23E-10 1.23E-10 2.8E-40 -91.07426
1.4 1.97E-06 1.97E-06 2.92E-08 3.14E-10 3.14E-10 1.56E-38 -87.05368
1.5 3.55E-06 3.55E-06 6.04E-08 7.47E-10 7.47E-10 6.36E-37 -83.34511
1.6 6.12E-06 6.12E-06 1.19E-07 1.67E-09 1.67E-09 1.98E-35 -79.90826
1.7 1.01E-05 1.01E-05 2.22E-07 3.53E-09 3.53E-09 4.84E-34 -76.71016
1.8 1.63E-05 1.63E-05 3.99E-07 7.11E-09 7.11E-09 9.6E-33 -73.7235
1.9 2.53E-05 2.53E-05 6.91E-07 1.37E-08 1.37E-08 1.58E-31 -70.92539
2 3.82E-05 3.82E-05 1.16E-06 2.54E-08 2.54E-08 2.18E-30 -68.2965
2.1 5.63E-05 5.63E-05 1.88E-06 4.56E-08 4.56E-08 2.6E-29 -65.8203
2.2 8.11E-05 8.11E-05 2.97E-06 7.91E-08 7.91E-08 2.69E-28 -63.48258
2.3 0.000114 0.000114 4.59E-06 1.33E-07 1.33E-07 2.46E-27 -61.27103
2.4 0.000159 0.000159 6.92E-06 2.19E-07 2.19E-07 2E-26 -59.17489
2.5 0.000216 0.000216 1.02E-05 3.51E-07 3.51E-07 1.46E-25 -57.18475
2.6 0.000289 0.000289 1.48E-05 5.5E-07 5.5E-07 9.7E-25 -55.29228
2.7 0.000381 0.000381 2.11E-05 8.44E-07 8.44E-07 5.88E-24 -53.49012
2.8 0.000496 0.000496 2.95E-05 1.27E-06 1.27E-06 3.28E-23 -51.7717
2.9 0.000638 0.000638 4.06E-05 1.88E-06 1.88E-06 1.69E-22 -50.13113
3 0.00081 0.00081 5.52E-05 2.73E-06 2.73E-06 8.12E-22 -48.56313
3.1 0.001018 0.001018 7.41E-05 3.91E-06 3.91E-06 3.64E-21 -47.06295
3.2 0.001265 0.001265 9.81E-05 5.52E-06 5.52E-06 1.53E-20 -45.62628
3.3 0.001557 0.001557 0.000128 7.68E-06 7.68E-06 6.06E-20 -44.24921
3.4 0.001899 0.001899 0.000166 1.06E-05 1.06E-05 2.27E-19 -42.92818
3.5 0.002296 0.002296 0.000213 1.43E-05 1.43E-05 8.08E-19 -41.65994
3.6 0.002753 0.002753 0.00027 1.92E-05 1.92E-05 2.73E-18 -40.44152
3.7 0.003276 0.003276 0.00034 2.56E-05 2.56E-05 8.81E-18 -39.27018
3.8 0.00387 0.00387 0.000423 3.36E-05 3.36E-05 2.72E-17 -38.14342
3.9 0.004541 0.004541 0.000523 4.37E-05 4.37E-05 8.04E-17 -37.05891
4 0.005292 0.005292 0.000642 5.64E-05 5.64E-05 2.29E-16 -36.01453
4.1 0.00613 0.00613 0.000781 7.21E-05 7.21E-05 6.25E-16 -35.00828
4.2 0.007058 0.007058 0.000943 9.14E-05 9.14E-05 1.65E-15 -34.03833
4.3 0.008081 0.008081 0.001132 0.000115 0.000115 4.2E-15 -33.10297
4.4 0.009202 0.009202 0.00135 0.000144 0.000144 1.04E-14 -32.20061
4.5 0.010424 0.010424 0.001599 0.000178 0.000178 2.48E-14 -31.32976
4.6 0.011751 0.011751 0.001884 0.000219 0.000219 5.74E-14 -30.48905
4.7 0.013184 0.013184 0.002206 0.000268 0.000268 1.29E-13 -29.67717
4.8 0.014724 0.014724 0.00257 0.000325 0.000325 2.83E-13 -28.89291
4.9 0.016374 0.016374 0.002978 0.000393 0.000393 6.04E-13 -28.13513
5 0.018133 0.018133 0.003434 0.000472 0.000472 1.26E-12 -27.40277
5.1 0.02 0.02 0.003941 0.000563 0.000563 2.55E-12 -26.69481
5.2 0.021976 0.021976 0.004502 0.000669 0.000669 5.06E-12 -26.01031
5.3 0.024057 0.024057 0.005119 0.00079 0.00079 9.8E-12 -25.34837
5.4 0.026241 0.026241 0.005797 0.000929 0.000929 1.86E-11 -24.70815
5.5 0.028526 0.028526 0.006537 0.001087 0.001087 3.45E-11 -24.08885
5.6 0.030908 0.030908 0.007343 0.001265 0.001265 6.29E-11 -23.48972
5.7 0.033382 0.033382 0.008216 0.001467 0.001467 1.12E-10 -22.91005
5.8 0.035943 0.035943 0.00916 0.001693 0.001693 1.97E-10 -22.34915
5.9 0.038585 0.038585 0.010175 0.001946 0.001946 3.39E-10 -21.80639
6 0.041303 0.041303 0.011264 0.002228 0.002228 5.72E-10 -21.28115
6.1 0.04409 0.04409 0.012429 0.002541 0.002541 9.52E-10 -20.77287
6.2 0.046938 0.046938 0.013669 0.002887 0.002887 1.56E-09 -20.28098
6.3 0.049841 0.049841 0.014986 0.003268 0.003268 2.51E-09 -19.80495
6.4 0.05279 0.05279 0.016381 0.003687 0.003687 3.97E-09 -19.3443
6.5 0.055777 0.055777 0.017853 0.004144 0.004144 6.2E-09 -18.89855
6.6 0.058794 0.058794 0.019402 0.004644 0.004644 9.55E-09 -18.46723
6.7 0.061832 0.061832 0.021027 0.005186 0.005186 1.45E-08 -18.04992
6.8 0.064882 0.064882 0.022728 0.005774 0.005774 2.17E-08 -17.6462
6.9 0.067935 0.067935 0.024503 0.00641 0.00641 3.21E-08 -17.25568
7 0.070983 0.070983 0.02635 0.007094 0.007094 4.68E-08 -16.87796
7.1 0.074017 0.074017 0.028267 0.007829 0.007829 6.74E-08 -16.5127
7.2 0.077027 0.077027 0.030251 0.008616 0.008616 9.59E-08 -16.15954
7.3 0.080005 0.080005 0.032299 0.009457 0.009457 1.35E-07 -15.81815
7.4 0.082942 0.082942 0.034408 0.010353 0.010353 1.88E-07 -15.4882
7.5 0.08583 0.08583 0.036575 0.011304 0.011304 2.58E-07 -15.1694
7.6 0.088661 0.088661 0.038796 0.012312 0.012312 3.51E-07 -14.86144
7.7 0.091427 0.091427 0.041066 0.013378 0.013378 4.73E-07 -14.56404
7.8 0.094121 0.094121 0.043381 0.014502 0.014502 6.3E-07 -14.27693
7.9 0.096735 0.096735 0.045736 0.015684 0.015684 8.32E-07 -13.99985
8 0.099262 0.099262 0.048127 0.016924 0.016924 1.09E-06 -13.73255
8.1 0.101696 0.101696 0.050547 0.018222 0.018222 1.41E-06 -13.47477
8.2 0.104031 0.104031 0.052993 0.019578 0.019578 1.8E-06 -13.2263
8.3 0.106261 0.106261 0.055457 0.020991 0.020991 2.29E-06 -12.9869
8.4 0.108382 0.108382 0.057935 0.022461 0.022461 2.88E-06 -12.75635
8.5 0.110388 0.110388 0.060421 0.023986 0.023986 3.6E-06 -12.53445
8.6 0.112277 0.112277 0.062909 0.025565 0.025565 4.46E-06 -12.32099
8.7 0.114043 0.114043 0.065393 0.027196 0.027196 5.47E-06 -12.11578
8.8 0.115684 0.115684 0.067868 0.028877 0.028877 6.67E-06 -11.91863
8.9 0.117197 0.117197 0.070327 0.030608 0.030608 8.05E-06 -11.72935
 9 0.11858 0.11858 0.072765 0.032384 0.032384 9.66E-06 -11.54778
9.1 0.119832 0.119832 0.075176 0.034205 0.034205 1.15E-05 -11.37374
9.2 0.12095 0.12095 0.077555 0.036067 0.036067 1.36E-05 -11.20707
9.3 0.121935 0.121935 0.079895 0.037968 0.037968 1.59E-05 -11.0476
9.4 0.122786 0.122786 0.082192 0.039904 0.039904 1.85E-05 -10.89519
9.5 0.123502 0.123502 0.08444 0.041872 0.041872 2.15E-05 -10.74968
9.6 0.124086 0.124086 0.086634 0.043869 0.043869 2.46E-05 -10.61093
9.7 0.124537 0.124537 0.08877 0.045892 0.045892 2.81E-05 -10.4788
9.8 0.124857 0.124857 0.090843 0.047937 0.047937 3.19E-05 -10.35316
9.9 0.125047 0.125047 0.092847 0.05 0.05 3.59E-05 -10.23386
10 0.12511 0.12511 0.09478 0.052077 0.052077 4.02E-05 -10.12079
10.1 0.125048 0.125048 0.096637 0.054165 0.054165 4.48E-05 -10.01382
10.2 0.124863 0.124863 0.098415 0.056259 0.056259 4.95E-05 -9.912831
10.3 0.124559 0.124559 0.10011 0.058355 0.058355 5.45E-05 -9.817704
10.4 0.124139 0.124139 0.101719 0.06045 0.06045 5.96E-05 -9.728328
10.5 0.123606 0.123606 0.103239 0.062539 0.062539 6.48E-05 -9.644591
10.6 0.122963 0.122963 0.104668 0.064618 0.064618 7E-05 -9.566388
10.7 0.122215 0.122215 0.106003 0.066683 0.066683 7.53E-05 -9.493614
10.8 0.121365 0.121365 0.107243 0.06873 0.06873 8.06E-05 -9.426168
10.9 0.120418 0.120418 0.108385 0.070754 0.070754 8.58E-05 -9.363952
11 0.119378 0.119378 0.10943 0.072753 0.072753 9.08E-05 -9.30687
11.1 0.118249 0.118249 0.110375 0.074721 0.074721 9.56E-05 -9.25483
11.2 0.117036 0.117036 0.11122 0.076656 0.076656 0.0001 -9.207742
11.3 0.115743 0.115743 0.111964 0.078553 0.078553 0.000105 -9.165516
11.4 0.114374 0.114374 0.112607 0.080409 0.080409 0.000109 -9.128067
11.5 0.112935 0.112935 0.113149 0.08222 0.08222 0.000112 -9.095313
11.6 0.11143 0.11143 0.113591 0.083982 0.083982 0.000115 -9.067171
11.7 0.109863 0.109863 0.113933 0.085694 0.085694 0.000118 -9.043563
11.8 0.108239 0.108239 0.114175 0.08735 0.08735 0.00012 -9.024411
11.9 0.106562 0.106562 0.11432 0.08895 0.08895 0.000122 -9.00964
12 0.104837 0.104837 0.114368 0.090489 0.090489 0.000124 -8.999176
12.1 0.103069 0.103069 0.114321 0.091965 0.091965 0.000124 -8.992949
12.2 0.101261 0.101261 0.11418 0.093376 0.093376 0.000125 -8.990889
12.3 0.099418 0.099418 0.113947 0.09472 0.09472 0.000124 -8.992927
12.4 0.097544 0.097544 0.113624 0.095994 0.095994 0.000124 -8.998997
12.5 0.095644 0.095644 0.113215 0.097197 0.097197 0.000122 -9.009035
12.6 0.09372 0.09372 0.11272 0.098326 0.098326 0.000121 -9.022976
12.7 0.091777 0.091777 0.112142 0.099381 0.099381 0.000118 -9.04076
12.8 0.089819 0.089819 0.111484 0.10036 0.10036 0.000116 -9.062327
12.9 0.087849 0.087849 0.110749 0.101263 0.101263 0.000113 -9.087616
13 0.08587 0.08587 0.10994 0.102087 0.102087 0.00011 -9.116571
13.1 0.083887 0.083887 0.109059 0.102833 0.102833 0.000106 -9.149136
13.2 0.081901 0.081901 0.108109 0.1035 0.1035 0.000103 -9.185255
13.3 0.079917 0.079917 0.107094 0.104087 0.104087 9.86E-05 -9.224876
13.4 0.077936 0.077936 0.106017 0.104595 0.104595 9.44E-05 -9.267945
13.5 0.075962 0.075962 0.10488 0.105024 0.105024 9.01E-05 -9.314411
13.6 0.073998 0.073998 0.103687 0.105374 0.105374 8.57E-05 -9.364225
13.7 0.072046 0.072046 0.102441 0.105644 0.105644 8.13E-05 -9.417336
13.8 0.070107 0.070107 0.101146 0.105836 0.105836 7.68E-05 -9.473698
13.9 0.068185 0.068185 0.099804 0.105951 0.105951 7.24E-05 -9.533263
14 0.066282 0.066282 0.098418 0.105989 0.105989 6.8E-05 -9.595985
14.1 0.064399 0.064399 0.096993 0.105951 0.105951 6.37E-05 -9.661819
14.2 0.062537 0.062537 0.09553 0.105839 0.105839 5.94E-05 -9.730722
14.3 0.0607 0.0607 0.094034 0.105654 0.105654 5.53E-05 -9.80265
14.4 0.058887 0.058887 0.092507 0.105396 0.105396 5.13E-05 -9.877561
14.5 0.057101 0.057101 0.090951 0.105069 0.105069 4.75E-05 -9.955414
14.6 0.055343 0.055343 0.089371 0.104672 0.104672 4.38E-05 -10.03617
14.7 0.053614 0.053614 0.087769 0.104209 0.104209 4.03E-05 -10.11978
14.8 0.051915 0.051915 0.086148 0.103681 0.103681 3.69E-05 -10.20622
14.9 0.050247 0.050247 0.08451 0.103089 0.103089 3.38E-05 -10.29545
15 0.048611 0.048611 0.082859 0.102436 0.102436 3.08E-05 -10.38742
15.1 0.047007 0.047007 0.081197 0.101724 0.101724 2.8E-05 -10.4821
15.2 0.045436 0.045436 0.079526 0.100955 0.100955 2.54E-05 -10.57946
15.3 0.043898 0.043898 0.077849 0.10013 0.10013 2.3E-05 -10.67946
15.4 0.042394 0.042394 0.076169 0.099254 0.099254 2.08E-05 -10.78206
15.5 0.040925 0.040925 0.074487 0.098327 0.098327 1.87E-05 -10.88724
15.6 0.03949 0.03949 0.072806 0.097351 0.097351 1.68E-05 -10.99496
15.7 0.03809 0.03809 0.071127 0.09633 0.09633 1.5E-05 -11.10518
15.8 0.036724 0.036724 0.069454 0.095266 0.095266 1.34E-05 -11.21788
15.9 0.035394 0.035394 0.067787 0.094161 0.094161 1.2E-05 -11.33302
16 0.034098 0.034098 0.066129 0.093016 0.093016 1.06E-05 -11.45057
16.1 0.032836 0.032836 0.064481 0.091836 0.091836 9.44E-06 -11.57051
16.2 0.031609 0.031609 0.062845 0.090621 0.090621 8.35E-06 -11.6928
16.3 0.030417 0.030417 0.061223 0.089375 0.089375 7.38E-06 -11.81741
16.4 0.029258 0.029258 0.059616 0.0881 0.0881 6.5E-06 -11.94432
16.5 0.028133 0.028133 0.058025 0.086798 0.086798 5.71E-06 -12.0735
16.6 0.027041 0.027041 0.056451 0.085471 0.085471 5.01E-06 -12.20492
16.7 0.025983 0.025983 0.054896 0.084121 0.084121 4.38E-06 -12.33855
16.8 0.024956 0.024956 0.053361 0.082751 0.082751 3.82E-06 -12.47437
16.9 0.023962 0.023962 0.051847 0.081363 0.081363 3.33E-06 -12.61235
17 0.023 0.023 0.050355 0.07996 0.07996 2.9E-06 -12.75247
17.1 0.022068 0.022068 0.048886 0.078542 0.078542 2.51E-06 -12.8947
17.2 0.021167 0.021167 0.047439 0.077113 0.077113 2.17E-06 -13.03901
17.3 0.020296 0.020296 0.046017 0.075673 0.075673 1.88E-06 -13.18539
17.4 0.019454 0.019454 0.04462 0.074226 0.074226 1.62E-06 -13.3338
17.5 0.018641 0.018641 0.043248 0.072773 0.072773 1.39E-06 -13.48423
17.6 0.017856 0.017856 0.041902 0.071316 0.071316 1.2E-06 -13.63665
17.7 0.017098 0.017098 0.040582 0.069856 0.069856 1.02E-06 -13.79104
17.8 0.016368 0.016368 0.039288 0.068396 0.068396 8.76E-07 -13.94738
17.9 0.015664 0.015664 0.038021 0.066936 0.066936 7.48E-07 -14.10564
18 0.014985 0.014985 0.036782 0.06548 0.06548 6.37E-07 -14.2658
18.1 0.014332 0.014332 0.035569 0.064027 0.064027 5.42E-07 -14.42785
18.2 0.013702 0.013702 0.034384 0.062579 0.062579 4.6E-07 -14.59176
18.3 0.013097 0.013097 0.033227 0.061139 0.061139 3.9E-07 -14.75752
18.4 0.012514 0.012514 0.032097 0.059707 0.059707 3.3E-07 -14.92509
18.5 0.011954 0.011954 0.030994 0.058284 0.058284 2.78E-07 -15.09447
18.6 0.011415 0.011415 0.029919 0.056872 0.056872 2.35E-07 -15.26563
18.7 0.010898 0.010898 0.028871 0.055471 0.055471 1.97E-07 -15.43855
18.8 0.010401 0.010401 0.02785 0.054084 0.054084 1.66E-07 -15.61321
18.9 0.009924 0.009924 0.026856 0.05271 0.05271 1.39E-07 -15.7896
19 0.009466 0.009466 0.025889 0.051351 0.051351 1.16E-07 -15.9677
19.1 0.009027 0.009027 0.024948 0.050007 0.050007 9.71E-08 -16.14749
19.2 0.008606 0.008606 0.024034 0.04868 0.04868 8.1E-08 -16.32895
19.3 0.008202 0.008202 0.023146 0.047371 0.047371 6.74E-08 -16.51207
19.4 0.007815 0.007815 0.022283 0.046079 0.046079 5.61E-08 -16.69682
19.5 0.007445 0.007445 0.021445 0.044806 0.044806 4.65E-08 -16.8832
19.6 0.00709 0.00709 0.020633 0.043552 0.043552 3.86E-08 -17.07118
19.7 0.00675 0.00675 0.019845 0.042317 0.042317 3.19E-08 -17.26075
19.8 0.006425 0.006425 0.019082 0.041103 0.041103 2.63E-08 -17.45188
19.9 0.006114 0.006114 0.018342 0.039909 0.039909 2.17E-08 -17.64458
20 0.005816 0.005816 0.017625 0.038737 0.038737 1.79E-08 -17.83881
20.1 0.005532 0.005532 0.016932 0.037585 0.037585 1.47E-08 -18.03457
20.2 0.00526 0.00526 0.01626 0.036455 0.036455 1.21E-08 -18.23184
20.3 0.005001 0.005001 0.015611 0.035347 0.035347 9.9E-09 -18.43061
20.4 0.004753 0.004753 0.014984 0.034262 0.034262 8.1E-09 -18.63085
20.5 0.004516 0.004516 0.014377 0.033198 0.033198 6.62E-09 -18.83256
20.6 0.00429 0.00429 0.013791 0.032156 0.032156 5.41E-09 -19.03573
20.7 0.004074 0.004074 0.013225 0.031137 0.031137 4.41E-09 -19.24033
20.8 0.003869 0.003869 0.012679 0.030141 0.030141 3.59E-09 -19.44635
20.9 0.003672 0.003672 0.012152 0.029167 0.029167 2.91E-09 -19.65378
21 0.003485 0.003485 0.011644 0.028215 0.028215 2.36E-09 -19.86261
21.1 0.003307 0.003307 0.011154 0.027286 0.027286 1.92E-09 -20.07283
21.2 0.003137 0.003137 0.010682 0.026379 0.026379 1.55E-09 -20.28441
21.3 0.002976 0.002976 0.010227 0.025494 0.025494 1.25E-09 -20.49735
21.4 0.002821 0.002821 0.009789 0.024631 0.024631 1.01E-09 -20.71164
21.5 0.002675 0.002675 0.009367 0.02379 0.02379 8.15E-10 -20.92725
21.6 0.002535 0.002535 0.008961 0.022971 0.022971 6.56E-10 -21.14419
21.7 0.002402 0.002402 0.00857 0.022174 0.022174 5.28E-10 -21.36243
21.8 0.002276 0.002276 0.008194 0.021397 0.021397 4.24E-10 -21.58197
21.9 0.002156 0.002156 0.007833 0.020642 0.020642 3.4E-10 -21.8028
22 0.002042 0.002042 0.007486 0.019908 0.019908 2.72E-10 -22.02489
22.1 0.001933 0.001933 0.007153 0.019194 0.019194 2.18E-10 -22.24825
22.2 0.00183 0.00183 0.006832 0.018501 0.018501 1.74E-10 -22.47285
22.3 0.001732 0.001732 0.006525 0.017828 0.017828 1.39E-10 -22.69869
22.4 0.001639 0.001639 0.006229 0.017174 0.017174 1.11E-10 -22.92576
22.5 0.00155 0.00155 0.005946 0.016539 0.016539 8.8E-11 -23.15405
22.6 0.001466 0.001466 0.005674 0.015924 0.015924 6.99E-11 -23.38354
22.7 0.001387 0.001387 0.005414 0.015327 0.015327 5.55E-11 -23.61422
22.8 0.001311 0.001311 0.005164 0.014749 0.014749 4.4E-11 -23.84609
22.9 0.00124 0.00124 0.004924 0.014189 0.014189 3.49E-11 -24.07913
23 0.001171 0.001171 0.004695 0.013646 0.013646 2.76E-11 -24.31333
23.1 0.001107 0.001107 0.004475 0.013121 0.013121 2.18E-11 -24.54869
23.2 0.001046 0.001046 0.004265 0.012612 0.012612 1.72E-11 -24.78519
23.3 0.000988 0.000988 0.004063 0.01212 0.01212 1.36E-11 -25.02283
23.4 0.000933 0.000933 0.00387 0.011645 0.011645 1.07E-11 -25.26158
23.5 0.000881 0.000881 0.003686 0.011185 0.011185 8.41E-12 -25.50146
23.6 0.000832 0.000832 0.00351 0.01074 0.01074 6.61E-12 -25.74243
23.7 0.000785 0.000785 0.003341 0.010311 0.010311 5.19E-12 -25.9845
23.8 0.000741 0.000741 0.00318 0.009896 0.009896 4.07E-12 -26.22766
23.9 0.000699 0.000699 0.003026 0.009496 0.009496 3.19E-12 -26.4719
24 0.00066 0.00066 0.002878 0.009109 0.009109 2.49E-12 -26.7172
24.1 0.000622 0.000622 0.002738 0.008736 0.008736 1.95E-12 -26.96356
24.2 0.000587 0.000587 0.002603 0.008377 0.008377 1.52E-12 -27.21097
24.3 0.000553 0.000553 0.002475 0.00803 0.00803 1.19E-12 -27.45942
24.4 0.000522 0.000522 0.002353 0.007696 0.007696 9.25E-13 -27.70891
24.5 0.000492 0.000492 0.002236 0.007374 0.007374 7.2E-13 -27.95942
24.6 0.000463 0.000463 0.002124 0.007064 0.007064 5.6E-13 -28.21095
24.7 0.000437 0.000437 0.002018 0.006765 0.006765 4.35E-13 -28.46348
24.8 0.000411 0.000411 0.001917 0.006478 0.006478 3.38E-13 -28.71702
24.9 0.000388 0.000388 0.00182 0.006201 0.006201 2.62E-13 -28.97155
25 0.000365 0.000365 0.001728 0.005935 0.005935 2.03E-13 -29.22706
25.1 0.000344 0.000344 0.00164 0.005678 0.005678 1.57E-13 -29.48354
25.2 0.000324 0.000324 0.001557 0.005432 0.005432 1.21E-13 -29.741
25.3 0.000305 0.000305 0.001477 0.005196 0.005196 9.36E-14 -29.99941
25.4 0.000287 0.000287 0.001401 0.004968 0.004968 7.22E-14 -30.25878
25.5 0.00027 0.00027 0.001329 0.004749 0.004749 5.57E-14 -30.5191
25.6 0.000254 0.000254 0.001261 0.00454 0.00454 4.29E-14 -30.78035
25.7 0.000239 0.000239 0.001195 0.004338 0.004338 3.3E-14 -31.04253
25.8 0.000225 0.000225 0.001133 0.004144 0.004144 2.54E-14 -31.30564
25.9 0.000211 0.000211 0.001074 0.003959 0.003959 1.95E-14 -31.56966
26 0.000199 0.000199 0.001018 0.003781 0.003781 1.49E-14 -31.83459
26.1 0.000187 0.000187 0.000964 0.00361 0.00361 1.15E-14 -32.10043
26.2 0.000176 0.000176 0.000914 0.003446 0.003446 8.77E-15 -32.36716
26.3 0.000165 0.000165 0.000865 0.003289 0.003289 6.71E-15 -32.63478
26.4 0.000155 0.000155 0.000819 0.003138 0.003138 5.13E-15 -32.90328
26.5 0.000146 0.000146 0.000776 0.002994 0.002994 3.92E-15 -33.17265
26.6 0.000137 0.000137 0.000735 0.002856 0.002856 2.99E-15 -33.4429
26.7 0.000129 0.000129 0.000695 0.002723 0.002723 2.28E-15 -33.714
26.8 0.000121 0.000121 0.000658 0.002596 0.002596 1.74E-15 -33.98597
26.9 0.000114 0.000114 0.000623 0.002475 0.002475 1.32E-15 -34.25878
27 0.000107 0.000107 0.000589 0.002359 0.002359 1.01E-15 -34.53243
27.1 0.0001 0.0001 0.000557 0.002248 0.002248 7.65E-16 -34.80692
27.2 9.4E-05 9.4E-05 0.000527 0.002142 0.002142 5.81E-16 -35.08225
27.3 8.82E-05 8.82E-05 0.000498 0.00204 0.00204 4.41E-16 -35.35839
27.4 8.28E-05 8.28E-05 0.000471 0.001943 0.001943 3.34E-16 -35.63536
27.5 7.77E-05 7.77E-05 0.000445 0.00185 0.00185 2.53E-16 -35.91314
27.6 7.29E-05 7.29E-05 0.000421 0.001761 0.001761 1.91E-16 -36.19172
27.7 6.84E-05 6.84E-05 0.000398 0.001676 0.001676 1.45E-16 -36.4711
27.8 6.42E-05 6.42E-05 0.000376 0.001595 0.001595 1.09E-16 -36.75128
27.9 6.02E-05 6.02E-05 0.000355 0.001518 0.001518 8.26E-17 -37.03225
28 5.64E-05 5.64E-05 0.000335 0.001444 0.001444 6.23E-17 -37.31401
28.1 5.29E-05 5.29E-05 0.000317 0.001373 0.001373 4.7E-17 -37.59654
28.2 4.96E-05 4.96E-05 0.000299 0.001306 0.001306 3.54E-17 -37.87984
28.3 4.65E-05 4.65E-05 0.000282 0.001242 0.001242 2.66E-17 -38.16391
28.4 4.36E-05 4.36E-05 0.000266 0.001181 0.001181 2E-17 -38.44874
28.5 4.09E-05 4.09E-05 0.000251 0.001122 0.001122 1.51E-17 -38.73433
28.6 3.83E-05 3.83E-05 0.000237 0.001066 0.001066 1.13E-17 -39.02067
28.7 3.59E-05 3.59E-05 0.000224 0.001013 0.001013 8.49E-18 -39.30776
 Likelihood Fn

0.00014

0.00012

0.0001

8E-05

Likelihood
6E-05

4E-05

2E-05

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30

lambda

Log Likelihood Fn

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30
-10

-20

-30

-40

-50 Log Likeli

-60

-70

-80

-90

-100
 -50 Log Likeli

-60

-70

-80

-90

-100

lambda
 Likelihood Fn

30

8 30

Log Likelihood Fn
Log Likelihood Fn