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DIGITAL DEAL SOURCING

IN PRIVATE EQUITY
By Christy Carter and Pratik Shah

T he global private equity (PE)


industry is continuing to outperform
other asset classes, but at the same time, it
Data analytics can improve a PE firm’s per-
formance all along the deal value chain.
But in this article, we focus on the initial
is being buffeted by a changing environ- stages: deal sourcing and due diligence.
ment. Unprecedented levels of dry powder
and a steady rise in the number of new
firms are leading to intense competition for Deal Sourcing
high-quality assets. Average deal multiples Deal sourcing is the first stage of the PE
have increased by 40% over the past five value chain. It is often the most important
years, and the number of deals that close stage for generating a competitive advan-
in less than five weeks has risen tenfold. tage and still very much a human endeav-
Compounding these issues is the surge in or—there is no algorithm or digital process
unregulated yet high-caliber sources of that can source winning investments.
private-debt financing; it is further driving
up the price of quality assets across deal But by using data analytics tools, invest-
sizes. ment professionals can gain access to far
more information about a much larger uni-
These challenges spotlight an opportunity verse of companies than they could possi-
for investment professionals at PE firms: as bly do through traditional processes. They
the world becomes increasingly digitized can also evaluate a tremendous amount of
and analytics tools become more powerful, unstructured data—such as social media
investors can gain a clear edge over com- posts, quality ratings, and customer re-
petitors by using data analytics to better views—to identify potential targets. More-
identify and assess targets. Top-performing over, new tools are emerging to help inves-
firms are beginning to view data analytics tors understand which information is truly
as a complement to their existing channels, relevant and the meaning of data patterns
procedures, and processes. and trends.
In short, data analytics tools can provide ing these innovative tools early on in the
richer and more comprehensive information investment value chain. “Digital and ad-
about a potential opportunity than conven- vanced analytics during the sourcing pro-
tional processes can produce. These tools cess allow us to move around pieces of
can also help investors assess multiple vari- complex data in different ways to really see
ables, such as increasing consumer engage- the excitement of an opportunity,” noted a
ment and the opinions of influencers, and partner at a large-cap fund. “We have the
thus generate deeper and more actionable same data as everyone else, but we can
insights. Professionals who use these tools generate completely new insights if we just
will be able to see various aspects of a po- interpret patterns differently. We’re not
tential investment (or the sector in which it quite there yet, but we’re rapidly moving in
operates) faster and with more granularity that direction.”
than their competitors will be able to do.
(See the exhibit below.) Importantly, data analytics tools enable in-
vestment professionals to identify more
For example, one rapidly evolving digital proprietary deals. (A proprietary deal can
tool, social media analytics, can monitor take one of two forms: a deal in which a
brands—tracking the number of customer firm is the only bidder, or a deal in which a
mentions or brand hits in the media, for firm is the first of multiple bidders and has
example—and send customized alerts a significant head start in terms of a rela-
when patterns shift or certain thresholds tionship and access to company informa-
are reached. Receiving advanced notice tion.) The investment director at a leading
about brands that are generating buzz lets midmarket fund told us, “Of course, every-
investment professionals further analyze one is trying to find a proprietary deal, but
those companies, assess the market posi- we know that it’s nearly impossible once
tioning of the brands, and evaluate con- transaction sizes move beyond the lower
sumer sentiment in online discussions. (See midmarket.”
the sidebar, “How Social Media Analytics
Can Be Applied to PE Deal Sourcing.”)
Due Diligence
Social media analytics is often associated After identifying potential targets, invest-
with B2C industries. Many PE firms view it ment professionals can partner with com-
as a way for consumer-focused companies panies that have the data analytics tools
to anticipate current and potential custom- required to create multidimensional views
ers’ wants and needs and stay a step ahead of those opportunities. These tools can
of the competition. However, such tools are complement conventional analytics pro-
equally applicable to all industries. cesses and, in the hands of those who un-
derstand how to use them, allow investors
Indeed, the global PE industry is beginning to dig deeper into companies’ performance
to understand the sheer potential of apply- and potential.

Multiple Vendors Offer Data Monitoring and Other Services for PE Firms

Social media analytics vendors


Deal platforms
Customer experience Social media monitoring
analytics

• Axial Networks • Klear • Crimson Hexagon


• Intralinks Dealnexus • Socialbakers • Sysomos
• BankerBay • Clarabridge • Brandwatch
• PitchBook Data • Synthesio
Source: BCG analysis.
Note: PE = private equity.

The Boston Consulting Group | Digital Deal Sourcing in Private Equity 2


HOW SOCIAL MEDIA ANALYTICS CAN BE APPLIED TO PE
DEAL SOURCING
Social media analytics is an evolving tool consumers’ rising living standards, their
that can help investment professionals greater focus on health, and an increase
translate broad investing themes and in their disposable income will lead to
trends into actionable insights, in the form higher spending on health and wellness
of attractive investment opportunities. PE products and services.
firms can contract with a growing number
of vendors that provide social media •• By tracking comments across numerous
analytics as a service. social media platforms and in various
digital communities and forums, the
Here’s an example of how this tool could investor begins to focus on a target
be used. (See the exhibit below.) category: essential oils.

•• A PE investment professional starts •• The investor builds search strings to


with an initial hypothesis. For example, find companies that are in the value

Investors Can Use Social Media Analytics to Identify Opportunities

DISCUSSION ANALYSIS OF THE ESSENTIAL OILS CATEGORY


Participants
4,000
+74%
3,000

2,000

1,000
0
August October December February April May
2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015
Positive Neutral Negative

TOP BRANDS OF ESSENTIAL OILS, RANKED BY NUMBER OF MENTIONS


@doterra 230 @ivyvine77 20
@younglivingeo 170 @vitalityinoil 20
@mitchgrassi 30 @AuraCacia 20
@OSimplyAroma 30 @PuritansPride 20
@EssentialOils23 20 @SajeWellness 20

SENTIMENT ANALYSIS OF A SPECIFIC BRAND


Sentiment index
30
25
20
+122%
15
10
5
0
September January January
2014 2015 2016
Joy Neutral Disgust Anger Other
Sources: Crimson Hexagon; BCG analysis.

The Boston Consulting Group | Digital Deal Sourcing in Private Equity 3


HOW SOCIAL MEDIA ANALYTICS CAN BE APPLIED TO PE
DEAL SOURCING (continued)
chain of that category. Such companies could signal ways in which the brand
may include manufacturers and differentiates itself from its competitors.
refiners, distributors, and retailers. Those terms could also suggest that
other factors, such as price, are less
•• After the investor chooses which important to customers. The investor
companies to follow, the analytics tool also reviews the demographics behind
sends automatic notifications when it the social media hits. For example, the
detects spikes in social media traffic analytics tool may determine that the
that indicate a selected company is majority of participants in the discus-
trending (for example, when the sion forums are women under the age
number of company hits or mentions of 35 who primarily live in coastal cities.
increases by 5% in one day or when the
number of company followers grows by •• Through this analysis, the investor
more than 10% in a week). surmises that essential oils could be an
interesting avenue to explore further
•• After receiving these notifications, the and begins to identify companies and
investor examines the underlying cause set up meetings with their management
of the spike and the sentiment ex- team to learn more. This is where
pressed in the traffic. The use of terms digital and conventional analyses
such as “quality” and “innovation” conflate.

For example, data analytics tools can help consider” businesses—and finding a
an investor explore how to develop or grow way to link them together—an invest-
a market for a company or its products. ment professional can potentially create
Key areas of analysis may include potential a strong and stable investment platform
pockets of value, customer demographics, in a given segment
brand value relative to the competition,
and potential new customers. These tools •• To identify opportunities for estab-
can also help validate the market- and lished companies that are in the firm’s
company-specific assumptions being used portfolio; such investments may include
in valuation models and inform a PE smaller add-on businesses that have
fund’s subsequent bidding strategy. By been operating under the radar
combining data analyses with conventional
analyses, investors can gain unique insights •• To generate insights regarding disrup-
and spot early indications of value creation tions that may affect the value of
opportunities. (See the sidebar, “Data Ana- existing portfolio assets (and also affect
lytics Delivers Due Diligence Insights for a the timing and means by which the
PE Firm.”) fund exits those investments)

•• To change the culture and mindset of


A Wide Variety of Benefits investment professionals, encouraging
In addition to the uses we’ve mentioned, them to think about value creation
data analytics tools are helping PE firms in from multiple angles and in unconven-
the following ways: tional ways

•• To act on attractive businesses that are


below the firm’s threshold for accept-
able deal sizes; by identifying and
investing in several “too small to
D ata analytics tools are increasingly
applicable to helping PE investment
professionals identify potential targets and

The Boston Consulting Group | Digital Deal Sourcing in Private Equity 4


DATA ANALYTICS DELIVERS DUE DILIGENCE INSIGHTS
FOR A PE FIRM
An investment professional at a leading PE influencers, the investor determined
fund was conducting due diligence on a that the company’s network of influen-
consumer products company. In addition to tial customers was larger than that of
using more conventional analyses, the its competitors. The company’s custom-
investor and his strategic partner used data ers also spread its brand news faster.
analytics to understand how the company Thus, the company’s revenue growth
performed relative to its competitors in potential was stronger relative to that of
several areas. (See the exhibit below.) its competitors.

•• Social Media Ratios. By expressing •• Search Trends. Looking at Google


the number of social media followers of search trends, the investor found that
the company as a multiple of revenue, consumer interest in the company grew
and comparing the multiple to that of much faster than consumer interest in
competitors, the investor determined its competitors. This was true across a
that the company had the potential to variety of regions, which was additional
monetize a larger fan base and thus evidence of the company’s strong
strengthen its market position. potential for revenue growth.

•• Influencer Metrics. After evaluating •• Sentiment and Attribution Analy-


the social media comments from ses. By aggregating and analyzing

Text Analysis of Online Reviews for a Product

Product attribute Product attribute Product Product Marketing


Quality Skill development attribute attribute Pricing
Noise Helpful-
MOST REVIEWS THAT REFERRED

ness
TO PRODUCT ATTRIBUTES ARE

“It's very durable and he enjoys


the interactive aspect of it.”

FEW REVIEWS CITE MARKETING ASPECTS OF THE PRODUCT


“It teaches
great hand-eye Marketing
coordination Packaging
“The various parts are falling off skills.” Product Product
POSITIVE

all over my house.” Attribute attribute


Condition Accuracy
Product attribute Product attribute
Design/style Ease of use

Product
“It is durable and looks very real.” attribute
Assembly
Marketing
Emotion Emotion Emotion Promotions
Satisfaction Love Anticipa-
MOST REVIEWS THAT REFERRED

tion
TO EMOTIONAL SENTIMENT
ARE POSITIVE

“Not a lot of bells and Emotion


whistles, and that is Sadness
“Not only does he love it, but the
rest of the family enjoys using it with him!” one reason we love it.”
Emotion
Confusion

Emotion
Happiness

1,000 reviews 0 reviews

Sources: Clarabridge; BCG analysis.


Note: Based on 5,986 reviews.

The Boston Consulting Group | Digital Deal Sourcing in Private Equity 5


DATA ANALYTICS DELIVERS DUE DILIGENCE INSIGHTS
FOR A PE FIRM (continued)
5,986 product reviews, the investor investor also grasped what was unique
understood customers’ product-specific about the brand and what differentiated
reactions and sentiment for the it from its competitors.
company’s portfolio of offerings. The

conduct due diligence. And as the world is the surface of the proprietary insights that
increasingly digitized, the trend is likely to can be generated. The investment profes-
gather momentum. These tools are contin- sionals who embrace and apply these tools
uously evolving and can be customized to will give themselves a sustainable edge.
reflect the theses and investment strategy Those who don’t risk putting themselves at
of a given PE firm; we have only scratched a permanent disadvantage.

About the Authors


Christy Carter is a partner and managing director in the New York office of The Boston Consulting Group
and a leader of the firm’s Principal Investors & Private Equity practice. You may contact her by email at
carter.christy@bcg.com.

Pratik Shah is a fund strategy knowledge expert in the firm’s London office and a core member of BCG’s
Principal Investors & Private Equity practice. You may contact him by email at shah.pratik@bcg.com.

The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global management consulting firm and the world’s leading advi-
sor on business strategy. We partner with clients from the private, public, and not-for-profit sectors in all
regions to identify their highest-value opportunities, address their most critical challenges, and transform
their enterprises. Our customized approach combines deep insight into the dynamics of companies and
markets with close collaboration at all levels of the client organization. This ensures that our clients
achieve sustainable competitive advantage, build more capable organizations, and secure lasting results.
Founded in 1963, BCG is a private company with more than 90 offices in 50 countries. For more informa-
tion, please visit bcg.com.

© The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. 2017. All rights reserved. 9/17

The Boston Consulting Group | Digital Deal Sourcing in Private Equity 6

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