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Capitalismo Nórdico
Capitalismo Nórdico
1
The Co-evolution of Experimentalist
Business Systems and Enabling Welfare States
Nordic Countries in Transition
1. 1 I N TRO D U C T I ON : BE NC H M A R K IN G
T H E NO R D IC CO UN T R I E S
Over the past couple of decades, the enigma of mechanisms for and barriers
to economic development has not diminished for social researchers. They
have seen a move from a Keynesian to a Washington Consensus, the latter
then being questioned by quick and radical shifts in the countries that
seemed, for a while, to offer new, shifting, and less than comprehensible
benchmarking lessons for economic development. This book is both a con-
tinuation and a critical re-examination of this flow in the emerging tradition
of comparative studies of the performance of divergent forms of capitalisms,
as our aim is to understand how and why the Nordic welfare states, contrary
to previous predictions, happened to perform very well in international
comparisons up to the financial crisis in 2008. We shall search for causes of
their success and assess whether they jointly point towards a model that can
be perfected by learning from each other.
We embark on this mission from the conviction that institutions, and
institutional experimentation, matter and that it is a distinct match between
the experimental search for improved institutions in a society and the ongo-
ing transformations of the international economy that may explain how
distinct societies, at given moments, may create benchmarking performances
that can inspire other countries to institutional search and experimentation.
Obviously, as increasing numbers of researchers leave aside grand theories
of universal capitalist development mechanisms as an inspiration for how to
engineer economic development, comparative benchmarking and the study
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outflows became more balanced, indicating that there was not capital flight
(see Table 1.1).
Although their interpenetration with the global economy by 1990 was
lower than in Anglo-Saxon and Continental countries, the Nordic countries
were contesting the leading countries in terms of globalization by 2002.
Furthermore, after 2000 a considerable proportion of enterprises sourced
activities to foreign countries (Statistics Denmark 2008), especially from
Denmark and Norway, and to a considerably less degree from Sweden.
Whereas Norway outsourced primarily to old member states in the EU,
Finland and particularly Denmark outsourced more globally (ibid.). While
outsourcing within their own enterprise group dominated in Sweden, Finland,
and Norway, the opposite was true for Denmark (ibid.).1
By 2005, after major crises and restructurings of the Nordic welfare states, it
became obvious that a major retrenchment or ‘race to the bottom’ of their
welfare states had not been effected. The argument of this book is that crises
1
Sweden and Denmark rank 5 and 6, Finland 9, and Norway 20 in the 2009 KOF index on
globalization (see http://globalization.kof.ethz.ch/).
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2
A number of observers have introduced new notions to capture the transformations going
on in the nature of welfare states. Bob Jessop (2000) has seen the transition as one to a
Schumpeterian welfare state. Salais and Villeneuve (2004) speak about a capability welfare
state. A highly elaborated new vision comes from the Irish NESC (2005) using the notion of
the developmental welfare state. Zeitlin and Trubek (2003) offer a richness of observations on
the heterogeneous experiments that have taken place on the American and European continents.
We are not the first to use the expression of the enabling welfare state, but while others have used
it as an expression for a change towards contracting out and privatization of e.g. public services
(Deakin and Walsh 1996; Gilbert 2005), we focus less on the means, and more on what the aim
of institutions might be.
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Among policy circles and social researchers a broad consensus has spread
that for highly developed countries to stay competitive under intensified
globalization, they must move up the ladder of the global value chain and
focus on innovative activities.3 Measured in inputs to, and outputs from,
such activities, the US is still the uncontested world leader according to all
comparative indexes, but two Nordic countries—Sweden and Finland—
appear able to contest the leading position of the US in most respects, while
Denmark moves close if a broader set of data on innovation is brought into
the index. Debates about how to measure innovative inputs and outputs
(Jensen et al. 2007; Innometrics 2008) are related to how production and
innovation are becoming integrated in networks in the most advanced
countries, and the question of how societies ‘enable’ firms to participate
in these new networks may be decisive for their macroeconomic perfor-
mances. The US and the UK may have led during the first phases of these
transitions in both industrial and innovative organization, but the Nordic
and other welfare countries may be quickly finding roles in the new global
economy.
Paradoxically, the leading position held by the US is based on a very strong
leadership in the old Chandlerian Innovation System (ChIS), and to first-
mover advantage in the new Networked Innovation System (NeIS) of open
innovation, but with the emergence of the NeIS, new constellations of social
institutions may provide better complementarities between industry and the
state than in the US. In what follows, we shall try to draw the contours of the
new economy as we see it.
3
An adapted version of section 1.2 has previously been published as an article in the journal
Transfer, 2 (2010).
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4
In the Nordic countries less than 10% (and for Norway only 5%) leave school without a
qualification in one or another form, and this is matched by very few other countries (OECD
2006).
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5
This does not imply that they have solved the educational problems. Compared to Finland,
Norway and Denmark, and to a lesser degree Sweden, perform poorly in PISA-tests.
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6
Information from the Norwegian Central Bureau for Statistics, SSB.
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Sickness/Health care
Paid sick leave 265 485 302 940 227 197 154%
In-patient care 990 610 592 1301 937 810 78%
Out-patient care 449 873 806 689 725 631 98%
Disability
Disability pension 503 700 523 1020 287 255 200%
Accommodation 169 154 27 15 67 57 174%
Home help 101 217 50 69 22 19 558%
Old Age
Old age pension 2055 2256 1787 1991 2404 2096 85%
Anticipated pension 529 198 147 52 100 98 291%
Accommodation 34 473 103 380 60 51 339%
Assistance with daily tasks 455 191 71 261 38 32 629%
Survivors pension 0 179 233 109 287 245 48%
Family/Children
Maternity allowance 152 181 113 195 40 35 372%
Parental leave benefit – – 58 60 17 16 341%
Family or child allowance 273 214 232 294 306 263 78%
Child day care 440 241 240 309 73 63 421%
Accommodation 139 83 52 60 18 15 507%
Unemployment
Unemployment benefit 371 330 393 205 254 215 144%
Early retirement for LM – 0 112 8 25 22 224%
reasons
Vocational training – 36 39 6 19 16 197%
Housing
Rent benefits 199 147 69 15 147 127 94%
Social Exclusion
Income support 178 86 71 114 41 37 272%
TOTAL 7302 7654 6020 8093 6094 5300 119%
TOTAL other benefits in 1338 1395 582 1100 297 253 372%
kind
TOTAL in-cash benefits + 5964 6259 5438 6993 5797 5047 106%
health care
Source: Eurostat 2008; calculations produced by Marko Jaklic and Aljaz Hribernik.
activities, and it is obvious that the different Nordic countries act as enablers
for very different behavioural patterns.
One of the most striking differences in patterns is discovered when com-
paring figures for paid sick leave with amounts spent on vocational training
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Table 1.4. Social protection as share of GDP and share of other in-kind benefits
within it
Country Social protection as % of GDP (2000–2005) Share of other in-kind benefits
Italy 24.7–26.4 3
Greece 23.5–24.2 11
UK 26.9–26.8 12
Denmark 28.9–30.1 21
Sweden 30.7–32.0 23
Norway 24.4–23.9 18
Finland 25.1–26.7 16
EU15 27.0–27.8 9
7
We know from other sources that Denmark is the number one spender on vocational
training.
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Italy 59 13 25 3
Greece 50 13 26 11
UK 42 17 29 12
Denmark 38 23 18 21
Sweden 41 18 18 23
Norway 34 25 23 18
Finland 43 20 21 16
EU15 47 20 24 9
with domestic care and assistance. Data from Table 1.5 support this
reasoning. While expenditure for inpatient and outpatient care in Nordic
countries is below the EU15 average, at 22 and 2 per cent respectively, Nordic
countries spend 74 per cent more on accommodation and 458 per cent more
on home help for disabled persons, and 239 per cent more for accommoda-
tion and 529 per cent more on assistance with daily tasks for old people, than
the EU15 average.
There are very good reasons why the Nordic welfare states should be on their
toes when it comes to reducing structural unemployment and increasing
participation rates. The OECD (2006a) has calculated how a 1 per cent
reduction in unemployment affects potential GDP growth and cyclical ad-
justed public budget balances in different countries. While the effect on
potential GDP only varies between 1.1 and 1.6 per cent in all OECD countries,
the Nordic countries consistently achieve the largest effects (1.5–1.6 per cent
compared to an average within the EU of 1.3 per cent). Variations in effect,
however, are very considerable on public budget balances. Whereas countries
such as the US and Japan are only affected by 0.3 per cent, and the euro-area
with an average of 0.6 per cent, the effect is 1.2 per cent for Denmark, 0.9 per
cent for Finland, and 1.0 per cent for Norway and for Sweden. Obviously the
problem is much more pressing in the Nordic countries when they run into
periods of high unemployment. They have good reasons for investing more
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8
A similar pattern—although with some deviation especially concerning the Netherlands—
is found in Salais 2003: fig. 12.3; 339.
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9
This question calls for studies along trajectories that have been suggested by Dorf and Sabel
1998, and Liebmann and Sabel (n.d.). For a condensed argument, see Sabel 2005.
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1. 7 A R E I N TE RPR E TAT IO N OF F I N D IN G S A N D
H YP OT H E S I ZI N G A C LO S E R EN Q U I RY
Given the evolution drafted in this chapter, it is no wonder then that the
public attitude towards globalization was rather positive in the Nordic
countries up to the time of the financial crisis. A survey showed ‘that the
proportion of those considering that globalization either represents a threat
to employment or has a rather negative effect on employment is far greater in
continental (52 per cent), and Mediterranean (45 per cent) countries, than in
Anglo-Saxon (36 per cent), and Nordic (37 per cent) countries’ (Sapir 2005).
Andersen et al. (2007) seem to suggest that public-sector services, welfare
provisions, etc. are a price paid for gaining citizen’s support for and the
economic benefits from international trade and specialization.
The Nordic countries seemed, thus, to have found templates for develop-
ment under globalization before the financial crisis. The question is what kind
of society they had in the making. What questions were the Nordic countries
answering with such virtuosity?
In his highly imaginative book, Roberto M. Unger (2007) poses the ques-
tion in this way:
How can society and culture be so organized that large numbers of ordinary men and
women have a better chance to awake from the narcoleptic daze, outside the circle of
intimacy and love, without having to do so as pawns and belligerents? . . . How can an
individual born into a small country live a large life? How can the state help him
redefine the stage on which he can live such a life?
Unger answers his questions in a way that more than anticipates, and may
offer a reinterpretation of, the course on which the Nordic countries had
embarked:
The general answer to all these questions is the development of political, economic,
and social institutions that both equip the individual and multiply his chances of
changing pieces of the established setting of his work and life as he goes about his
ordinary activities. Diminishing the dependence of change on calamity they raise him
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10
Whereas Hall and Soskice (2001) saw the Nordic countries as varieties of coordinated
market economies, others have been less certain. Hotho (2009) e.g. through a quantitative
cluster analysis, group Denmark and Finland together with the Netherlands, Luxembourg, and
Switzerland (small open economies), whereas Sweden, and Norway are grouped with Austria,
Belgium, and Germany (collaborative economies). Paunescu and Schneider (2004, 2010) show
how some of the Nordic countries transformed towards the LME type between 1990 and 2005.
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