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Fuzzy Markets
Fuzzy Markets
Understanding
& serving readers:
The problem of
fuzzy market structure
hy Stephen Lacy
conomists use the term market structure to describe how competition takes
place within a geographic area. The structure is described with three character-
istics:
•The probability that buyers will substitute products;
•The number of firms in the geographic area; and
•The barriers new firms face when trying to enter the market.
mix to satisfy basic informational needs.^ The mix includes multiple companies
and media. It is established as habit and based on a wide range of social,
household and personal considerations. The advantages of television and
related technology as a source of entertainment and surveillance explains why
a greater proportion of the mix is coming from something other than newspa-
pers now than was the case 40
years ago. ,, , , I Technology has contributed to
Whatever the factors I ^pj^svaver's fuzzy markets
that determine information- I ^^^^P^P^^f / " j ? ! / marKevs
seeking habits, a person to- I because of the diversity of options
day faces a multitude of me- I « « ^ ^«^ / « ^ * ^««^ people use more
dia options, which are not I than one medium to meet their
direct substitutes when taken I information needs.
two at atime,but when taken
as a mix create a variety of options for fulfilling information needs. For example,
people living in a metrop)olitan area have: national newspapers, metro daily
newspapers, suburban dailies, suburban weeklies, local television news, na-
tional network news. Cable News Network, National Public Radio, local all-
news and all-talk radio, national news magazines, national opinion magazines,
national literary magazines, sp>ecialty magazines, local city magazines, nation-
ally distributed books, regionally distributed books, neighborhood and organi-
zational newsletters, computer databases, computer bulletin boards, govern-
ment newsletters, public meetings, and talking with friends and neighbors.
Even this list is misleading because many markets have more than one
outlet within a given medium. For example, a suburban resident of a large
metropolitan city may have two metro dailies, and two or three suburban
newspapers, as well as four local television shows, three radio news stations,
two city magazines, etc.
Anyone can seek the mixture of these forms of communication that will
serve best their information needs. In addition, the mixture may change with
time as new technologies are adopted at the household level. Technology has
contributed to newspaper's fuzzy markets because of the diversity of options
and the fact that people use more than one medium to meet their information
needs. The numb>er of options available for people's media mixes will continue
to grow and obfuscate newspaf>er markets as computer, sa telli te and fiber optics
continue to develop.
become more fuzzy. But newspaper managers and researchers have added to
this fuzziness because little effort has gone toward clarifying markets as they
have changed. The newspaper industry traditionally has invested little in
research and development.^ This lack of research probably reflects the mo-
nopoly or oligopoly positions most newspapers had 30 years ago and the failure
of managers to realize that newspapers sell information and not just news.
In effect, the newspaper industry has not been prepared to deal with the
changes in society and technology because it lacked the competitive pressure
and the foresight to make it prepare. For example, the Kerner Commission said
in 1968 that mass media performance had been inadequate in serving society
and the ethnic diversity of the United States. But it was not until ten years later
that the American Society of Newspaper Editors committed to proportionate
representation by the year 2000.^ Efforts to reach this goal are still inadequate for
several reasons, including disenchantment with journalism.^
Problems with •
managerial adjustment to I The newspaper industry has not
change also can be found out- I heen prepared to deal with the
side the newsroom. For ex- I changes in society and technology
ample, many daily newspa- I because it lacked the competitive
per managers and journalists I pressure and the foresight to make
consider weekly newspapers I ^f^^^^^^^ ^ ^
to be something less than real | prepare.
newspapers. Yet as daily cir-
culation has stagnated, weekly circulation has boomed. Daily circulation de-
clined between 1984 and 1991, but weekly circulation increased from 43 million
to almost 55 million during that period. This growth is interesting in light of a
recent study that indicates some readers in nonmetropolitan areas see weeklies
as substitutes for dailies.^"
Managers are not the only ones who have contributed to a growing
fuzziness about newspaper information markets. Newspaper researchers and
scholars have contributed by concentrating on studies about what readers want
and on correlations between readership and reader psychographics. Research
needs to concentrate on understanding why and how people use information,
all information. Economists have not provided the newspaper industry with
adequate theory for understanding reader demand, but then neither have
media scholars.
Types of newspaper markets
The movement to ward fuzzy market structure has resulted from chang-
ing information needs and technology, but geographic location of newspaperr
markets also plays a role in the movement. Generally, newspaper market
locations can be classified into three types: metropolitan, outstate and isolated.
The degree of fuzziness in market structure varies with these locations.
62 - Newspaper Research Journal * Vol. 14, No. !• Spring 1993
The implications
As newspaper market structure continues to become more difficult to
define, what will this fuzzy structure mean for the industry? The quick answer
is that fuzzy structure means
readers will be more diffi- Individual newspaper companies
cult to serve. This difficulty will face a hasic decision as to
comes from the complexity whether their newspapers will
of information needs. The
backgrounds, lifestyles and remain a mass medium or whether
living patterns of people af- they will serve smaller segments in
fect their information needs. society.
As the diversity of these three
areas increases, the diversity of information needs will increase.
During the next decade, individual newspaper companies will face a
basic decision as to whether their newspapers will remain a mass medium or
whether they will serve smaller segments in society. Movement toward more
narrow segments will reduce the impact of newspapers in the intellectual
market and will challenge the continued existence of the special treatment given
newspapers under the First Amendment.^^ Such a movement also will affect the
way the advertising and information markets interact.
The implications of fuzzy market structure differ with the two ap-
proaches. If newspapers take a segmented approach, fuzzy market structure
will be less of a problem because the markets will become clearer. It is easier to
serve a homogeneous group of readers because their needs do no t vary as much,
and such a group is easier to re-
search and understand. in addition to perceiving the
If newspapers continue to market as information^ rather
serve the broader needs and wants than news, managers should
of society, fuzzy structure has understand that fuzzy markets
implications for newspaper man- offer opportunity.
agers' perceptions of their mar-
kets, for the adaptation of news-
paper organizations to these markets, and for the cost of running a newspaper.
Because structure has become more vague, managers should change
their perceptions about the content of their newspapers. They need to realize
that they sell information, not just news. Selling information does not mean
journalists should stop publishing news or change the nature of their news
coverage. On the contrary, as the market becomes more fuzzy, the news in a
newspaper may be its comparative advantage. Recognizing the information
market simply means understanding that mass circulation newspapers always
have contained, and always will contain, more than just news. This non-news
64 - Newspaper Research Journal * Vol. 14, No. !• Spring 1993
and into public relations. Even smaller communities have variety. This variety
should be present in the newsroom.
In addition, adaptation means using research to understand the needs
of a diverse readership now and in the future. Holding a half-dozen focus
groups every other year will not work. Conducting traditional cross-sectional
readership studies will not work. Research should aim more at understanding
the role of information in the community and for individuals than just asking
what they like and do not like.
Finally, increasingly fuzzy market structure means higher cost for
newspapers. The increase in expense comes from three sources. First, increas-
ingly diverse information requires a large newshole. Adding new content to
meet diversity of information demand will either fill additional space in the
newshole or push out existing content. If new types of information replace old
types, long-time readers will be alienated.
Besides increased cost for newshole, a diverse and well-trained news-
room will increase cost. The increasing need for specialists, the increasing need
for people who have a wide range of experience, and the need for more
journalists to fill the larger newshole will increase payroll costs.
Conducting meaningful research also will be expensive. A stagnant
industry needs more and better research to grow. Newspaper managers must
either spend the money to better serve or they will continue to lose readers who
turn to media mixes that don't include regular newspaper reading.
Because of the nature of its product, the nature of its customers and the
changes in technology, the newspaper industry exists in markets that are
difficult to define and serve. This will continue because market structure is
beyond the control of the newspaper industry. However, it is not beyond
understanding.Newspapersarenotdinosaursheaded for extinction. However,
like the dinosaurs, newspapers face a changing environment. Their su rvi val will
depend on managers understanding the changes and their adaptation to them.
But understanding and adaptation in fuzzy markets will not be easy or inexpen-
sive. It will come as newspaper managers adjust their perceptions, expand their
research and increase the diversity in newspaper staffs and content.
66 - Newspaper Research Journal * Vol. 14, No. 2* Spring 1993
Notes
1. Market structure models come from microeconomic theories such as pure competi-
tion, monopolistic competition oligopolies and monopoly. Such models define
geographic markets based on the number of firms, the homogeneity of products
and the barriers to entry. For more details, see Barry Litman, Microeconomic
Foundations, in Robert G. Picard, James P. Winter, Maxwell F. McCombs and
Stephen Lacy, eds. Press Concentration and Monopoly. Norwood, New Jersey:
Ablex, 1988, pp. 3-34; and Robert G. Picard, Media Economics: Concepts and
Issues. Newbury Park, California: Sage, 1989.
2. For a more complete discussion of the three markets served by newspapers, see
Stephen Lacy and Todd F. Simon, The Economics and Regulation of United States
Newspapers. Norwood, New Jersey: Ablex, 1993.
4. For a discussion about the role of television and newspapers as complements, see
Leo Bogart, Press and Public, 2nd. ed. Hillsdale, New Jersey: Lawrence Erlbaum
Associates, 1989, pp. 232-233.
5. Uses and gratification research have developed various lists of information needs
and uses. For a review of uses and gratification research, see Severin and Tankard,
op.cit., pp. 269-281. Based on the research and theory. Lacy and Simon suggested
four basic uses of research: decision making, surveillance, social/cultural interac-
tion and entertainment. See Lacy and Simon, op. cit, pp. 26-30.
7. Carol Smith, Models of Social Responsibility for News Media Managers, in Stephen
Lacy, Ardyth B. Sohn and Robert H. Giles, eds. Readings in Media Management.
Columbia, South Carolina: Association for Education in Journalism nnd Mass
Communication, 1992, pp. 241-260.
8. See Ted Pease, Race, Gender and Job Satisfaction in Newspaper Newsrooms, in Lacy,
Sohn and Giles, eds. op.cit., pp. 97-122. Pease found that minority journalists were
less satisfied than white journalists with their opportunities in journalism. Minor-
ity journalists said they were less likely to stay in newspaper journalism.
9. These data came from '91 Facts about Newspapers. Washington, D.C: American
Newspaper Publishers Association, 1991.
Lacy: Understanding & serving readers- 67
10. See Stephen U c y and Shikha Dalmia, The Relationship Between Daily and Weekly
Newspaper Penetration in Non-Metropolitan Areas, paper presented to the Association
for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication, Montreal, Quebec, August
11. See Clarice N. Olien, George A. Donohue and Phillip J. Tichenor, Metropolitan
Dominance and Media Use. ANPA News Research Report, No. 35, September 24,
12. The Hutchms Commission Report addressed the importance of serving reader
and society m order for the press to retain First Amendment protection. See The
Commission on Freedom of the Press, A Free and Responsible Press. Chicago:
Chicago University Press, 1947.