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New Scientist - December 12 2020 PDF
New Scientist - December 12 2020 PDF
Hosted by New Scientist’s Rowan Hooper, new episodes are out each Friday.
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YOUR GUIDE TO
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HOW
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This week’s issue
News Features
13 Unnecessary lockdown? 32 Here’s looking at you
The debate over England’s News Who are you? Where did
latest round of restrictions you come from and what
makes you tick? “Know thyself”
14 Leave that bot alone isn’t an easy maxim to follow,
Military robots perform better so here’s the ultimate guide
without human meddling to that strange creature in
the mirror: you
15 Ancient art
Rock paintings in Colombia 44 The call of alcohol
reveal lives of the earliest Some take great pleasure from
inhabitants of the Amazon booze while others don’t. We are
beginning to work out why
Views
The back pages
21 Comment
Christopher Jackson on 51 Stargazing at home
geology for the future Jupiter and Saturn put on a show
Essential Guide
Quantum physics
What better way could there be to while away
the holiday season than getting to grips with
our most mind-bending theory of reality?
If you think there are multiple alternative
answers to that question, you are getting IT HAS been a long old year, but the good
entirely into the spirit of our latest Essential news (important vaccine developments
Guide, which is all about the quantum world. aside) is that there is now only one week
“No one understands quantum mechanics,” to go until our famous festive double issue!
Subscriber the physicist Richard Feynman once said. Its
predictions of a random world, where cats can
My colleague Daniel Cossins is the editor of
our special holiday features section this year,
Christmas Special be simultaneously dead and alive and where and he has spared no reindeers in his efforts
the act of observing reality might play a to deliver a world-beating, mind-bending
The end of each year simply must be marked fundamental part in making it, is entirely smorgasbord of stardust-sprinkled delights.
with an office party, even a year as bruising as at odds with our experience and intuition. That is literal stardust in one case, as we
this one. Not thwarted by lockdowns or social Get the low-down on what we do and don’t follow our feature editor Joshua Howgego
distancing, we are having one of our own – understand, as well as futuristic technologies onto the roof of his house in search of
and you are all invited. built on quantum theory, with the Essential micrometeorites from the dawn of the solar
So join us on 17 December for the New Guide: Quantum physics. It is available from system. But if you have also ever wondered
Scientist Christmas special live. Kicking off at supermarkets and newsagents, or you can why animals don’t have wheels, or what a
6pm GMT, it is an online event that is a party, order it online. glacier mouse is, wonder no more – these
panel show and quiz all in one. I am your host, shop.newscientist.com/ vital questions and more will be answered
and the contestants are our journalists in next week’s mag.
Graham Lawton, Sam Wong, Layal Liverpool There will also be a fiendish science
and Penny Sarchet. There will be 10 rounds, quiz, an exclusive short story from sci-fi
including a picture round and questions from writer Adrian Tchaikovsky, our staff’s brave
the audience. Start thinking up your science- taste-testing of “instant” vintage whisky and
related questions and I will select the best to our news review of an extraordinary year for
ask on the day (there is a chance to win one all of us, and for science. The edition is on sale
of our lovely jigsaws). from 17 December for those of you without
The whole thing is free for subscribers, so a subscription. We hope you enjoy it.
go to newscientist.com/events to book tickets
and submit your question. I look forward to Emily Wilson
seeing you there. New Scientist editor
Rowan Hooper
New Scientist podcast editor
Shop
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SUBSCRIBER-ONLY EVENT
NEW SCIENTIST
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th A NEW
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Get in the holiday spirit
Join a panel of New Scientist journalists
as they answer a range of topical, quirky
and truly cosmic questions from quiz master
Rowan Hooper – some of them posed by you,
the audience. Find out who will be crowned
the Christmas Special Live champion 2020,
plus the best audience question wins
a New Scientist jigsaw!
“KNOW thyself.” The first of three They also didn’t have the rapidly our moods and emotions? Or how
maxims said to have been inscribed expanding knowledge of genetics and does the complex, ever-changing
in the forecourt of the Temple of cell biology that the past century or so interplay of genes and environment
Apollo in Delphi sounds grand. What has brought us, or the sophisticated that makes us who we are alter our
it actually means has been a matter psychological experiments showing ideas of the continuity of our self?
of debate for millennia, and when it that we are all a bundle of delusions We hope you will find much to enjoy
comes to knowing ourselves, modern and biases that prevent self-knowledge. and stimulate in our special feature on
science has made things deliciously the greatest mysteries of you, which
more complex, too. “Psychological experiments covers all these and more (see page 32).
How the physical substance of our show that we are all a bundle It is possible to take introspection too
bodies creates our sense of being a of delusions and biases that far. Not for nothing were the two other
consistent entity, and what it means to prevent self-knowledge” Delphic maxims “nothing to excess” and
have that sensation, is a long-standing “surety brings ruin”. But as we reach the
puzzle. Debates about this relationship Such insights give new perspectives end of a unique year of lockdowns that
between matter and mind were on some old philosophical debates has seen many of us struggling without
meat and drink to the Ancient Greek about the nature of human free will the company of others, let us delve into
philosophers, but they didn’t have our and whether any sort of afterlife awaits the mysteries of ourselves with one of
conception of a universe whose matter us. They have also sparked new ones. the most productive interpretations of
consists of fundamental particles that Where do the boundaries of our selves the ancient aphorism in mind: that by
have been evolving according to rigid lie if the trillions of alien cells that make better knowing ourselves, we can learn
mathematical laws since the big bang. up our microbiome are also influencing to understand others a little better, too. ❚
This Black Friday we’d like to offer you 20% off everything at the
New Scientist shop. From jigsaw puzzles to books, and sprout pencils
to facemasks, we have something for everyone. It’s the perfect time
to treat yourself and your loved ones.
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News
Science
How effective is the vaccine?
About 95 per cent. The phase III
trials of the Pfizer/BioNTech
vaccine involved 42,000 people,
about half of whom got the
experimental vaccine and the rest
a placebo. In total, 170 people fell ill
with covid-19. Only eight of them
were in the vaccine group; 162 had
received the placebo. So around
5 per cent of cases were in the
vaccine group, which is where the
95 per cent figure comes from.
That is a very healthy number: the
World Health Organization (WHO)
STEVE PARSONS/PA WIRE/PA IMAGES
SHUTTERSTOCK/NATALIA DERIABINA
And in other vulnerable groups? other against covid-19, and hasn’t enough data on children aged 12
The vaccine appears to be equally occurred naturally, as sometimes to 15. But trials in those groups are
effective regardless of recipients’ happens with other viruses. ongoing or planned.
age, sex and ethnicity, according
to BioNTech. It has been tested Has the full data from the trial been Everyone else can get it?
extensively in people who have published yet? Yes, but most will have to wait
already had the virus and doesn’t No, it hasn’t, but there is nothing their turn. Sean Marett at >
9 million
Austrians will be offered a
answer is yes. “I think there is a
risk of that,” says Katy Gaythorpe
at Imperial College London.
“If grandparents and vulnerable
people mix with other people that
have been mixing in the run-up to
younger ones – might be slightly
less susceptible to the coronavirus
than adults, and slightly less
coronavirus test before Christmas In England, about 2 per cent of Christmas, such as schoolchildren, likely to infect others, but the
people aged between 11 and 24 this inevitably increases risk of evidence is mixed.
age of 12 who can meet in a have covid-19, according to the infection,” says Duncan Robertson “If we are working towards
home at eight. In the rest of the latest survey by the Office for at Loughborough University, UK. a clear objective of minimising
UK, numbers are unlimited. National Statistics, compared with Teaching unions have called for deaths, then it would make sense
“One household could be as about 1 per cent in most other age schools to close a week early, and to close schools around two
high as 20 people,” says Griffin. groups, including younger children. a petition for this has gathered weeks before Christmas bubbles
Several other countries are also The reason is that schools and more than 100,000 signatures, are formed,” says Robertson.
relaxing rules during the holidays. universities remained open during but the UK government says “But doing this could have an
In France, for example, people the latest lockdown in England, so schools will stay open. unintended consequence of
will be able to meet in groups of students were more likely to mix Most children have only mild encouraging more mixing.”
six adults but a national curfew is with others and pass on the virus. symptoms if infected, and about Michael Le Page
expected when lockdown lifts on
other utensils. But many scientists ENGLAND didn’t need a second information available faster Andrew Hayward at University
now think the risk of passing on lockdown because daily covid-19 than the surveys relied on College London (UCL), a member
the virus from contaminated cases were already peaking under by SAGE. He suggests that the of SAGE, says the rate at which
surfaces has been overstated. previously imposed regional three tiers of restrictions cases were curbed by regional or
Cleaning and disinfecting surfaces restrictions, according to a introduced on 14 October, with national measures matters too.
was ranked among the least useful researcher leading a popular levels varying by region, were “It’s not just the case of whether
measures to combat the virus symptom-tracking app. “It was already reining in the disease. you’re peaking, but also the
in a recent study that modelled unnecessary, if you looked at the “We really need to learn lessons speed at which you’re declining
the effectiveness of different latest data on the curves,” says from this for the third wave, that is relevant. A gradual decline
interventions. “A casual touch of Tim Spector at King’s College and not keep repeating the same in those high-incidence areas
a surface is not going to get that London, who oversees the overreacting or under-reacting would still be devastating
much virus off it,” says Tang. Covid Symptom Study. Other problems,” he says. in terms of the number of
Austria’s approach involves researchers disagree, however. SAGE’s work shows that the deaths and hospitalisations
mass testing its population of Almost 3 million people have lowest tier was failing to stop that could have been avoided,”
9 million over 10 days in an signed up to the study’s app, he says, adding that Spector’s
attempt to isolate cases before the which asks users to log how they “We need stable analysis of the daily case curves
increased socialising starts. The are feeling each day and input restrictions to stop is “a bit simplistic”.
country is using antigen tests that results from any covid-19 tests. people rushing to the Christina Pagel, also at UCL,
look for protein molecules from Information from the app pub before lockdowns” says: “Tier three reduction is
the virus, rather than the more indicates that daily cases in slow and hospitals would still
commonly used PCR tests, which England peaked at about cases growing but the two have been more likely to be
look for the virus’s genes. 33,000 around 23 October highest tiers were putting the overwhelmed compared to
Antigen tests give fast results, before gradually falling. brakes on the epidemic before a faster reduction.”
but aren’t as sensitive as genetic Modelling by the Office for the national lockdown started. Schools being closed for
tests, so will generate more false National Statistics suggests that A paper by the group published on half-term at the end of October
negatives, wrongly telling people the peak came later, in November. 27 November found that cases will also have contributed to the
they are clear of the virus. The second lockdown in England were still growing in areas under slowing in cases then, with less
One risk is that it could be was announced on 31 October, the lowest restrictions, tier one. social mixing and travel, says
counterproductive, if people and started on 2 November. In tier two, cases were shrinking Hayward. However, disentangling
wrongly think a negative test is an Spector says the government in many areas. Most areas that impact is hard, he adds.
all-clear. The testing process could relied too much on modelling with the toughest measures, Devi Sridhar at the University
even lead to a rise in cases. “If you from its scientific advisers, SAGE, tier three, saw cases declining. of Edinburgh, UK, says she is
bring all these people for testing, instead of the data being reported However, that doesn’t mean sceptical about how well the
you might get some additional by users of the app, which makes the lockdown was unnecessary. epidemic can be tracked through
spread,” says Andreas Bergthaler at people reporting symptoms
the Research Center for Molecular to Spector’s app. “There are
Medicine of the Austrian Academy major limitations,” she says.
of Sciences in Vienna. The UK government has
We will find out in early 2021 rejected the idea that earlier
which approaches have worked regional restrictions were
best, when we see the impact on working well enough to
WIKTOR SZYMANOWICZ/BARCROFT MEDIA VIA GETTY IMAGES
WHEN soldiers are teamed how the AI discovers, on its own, constantly want to interrupt the findings suggest this reduces
with robots, the human need to some very tricky and interesting them,” said the scientist. This military effectiveness.
interfere may negate the benefits tactics,” said a US Army scientist, interference could have a serious Fast, tactical decision-making is
of robotic assistance, a new US speaking on condition of effect on the outcome, they said, a key advantage of AI, says Robert
military project has discovered. anonymity. “Often you say, leading to the stark conclusion: Bunker at US consultancy firm
But letting military artificial ‘Oh whoa, that’s pretty smart. “If we slow the AI to human C/O Futures, who published a
intelligence proceed without How did it figure out that one?’” speed… we’re going to lose.” study earlier this year on the
human supervision raises However, the robots were This is the first time researchers effective control of armed robots.
troubling ethical questions. impeded by humans who may have discussed SESU, for which Making rapid decisions could
The System-of-Systems not have understood their actions. DARPA awarded more than bring easy victories against slower
Enhanced Small Unit (SESU) “What we found, as we ran the $45 million to contractors opponents, he says.
project foresees a team of around simulations, was that the humans Raytheon, Northrop Grumman Stuart Russell at the University
200 to 300 soldiers augmented and Collins Aerospace earlier this of California, Berkeley, who has
with swarms of small drones and The US Army is year. Current Pentagon policy calls campaigned against autonomous
robotic ground vehicles. The unit increasingly using for lethal military AI to be under weapons on ethical grounds, says
would fight in zones where an robots in the field meaningful human control, but the findings look like an attempt
enemy controls the airspace and to justify using the AI robots.
yet be able to defeat enemy forces “It points to the slippery slope
that are “overwhelmingly superior whereby partial autonomy and
in size and armament”, according partial human oversight and so on
to the US Defense Advanced will evaporate almost immediately
Research Projects Agency (DARPA). under the pressure of war, and
Rather than being operated militaries will go straight to full
STAFF SGT. MANUEL J. MARTINEZ/U.S. AIR FORCE
The brain
MRI machines get Anne Stankewitz at Ludwig Recording was ended when and hypothalamus was key
Maximilian University Munich, the participant rang to say they to a migraine attack (bioRxiv,
a glimpse at what Germany, and her colleagues had started to undergo a second doi.org/fk8v). Among other things,
causes migraines recruited 50 people who experience migraine attack. Of the pool the limbic system is involved in
migraines and asked them to ring of 50 people on retainer, the regulating emotion and pain, while
WE MAY be a step closer to knowing when they first started getting a researchers got complete data for the hypothalamus acts as a sort
why some people get migraines. headache. When a call came in, the 12 of them, 11 women and one of metronome for brain activity.
About 15 per cent of people team would bring the person in and man. The shortest migraine cycle Stankewitz speculates that
globally are estimated to experience scan them in an MRI machine, which they recorded lasted seven days, people who get migraines may have
migraines and they affect three can record the brain’s blood flow while the longest ran for 21 days. a genetically faulty link between
times as many women as men, levels, a measure of neural activity. The team found that joint activity the hypothalamus and limbic
although we don’t know why. The participant would then come between the brain’s limbic system system. She notes that although
Studying them has proved difficult back repeatedly so their brain could men and women may have different
because symptoms are sporadic be recorded throughout an entire “Migraines affect three triggers for their attacks, this
and the MRI machines required migraine cycle, the period before, times as many women mechanism for how migraines
to record them are typically in during and after a single migraine as men, although we start is probably shared. ❚
high demand for other uses. attack, which can last for days. don’t know why” Jason Arunn Murugesu
Voice assistants
could guess what
Ancient rock art reveals life
someone is typing of Amazon’s earliest people
Layal Liverpool Luke Taylor
CHANG’E 5 is on the last leg of its Once we get the samples back to
lunar mission. After a visit to the Earth, we will have a better idea of
lunar surface lasting less than how old these volcanic rocks are.
48 hours, it returned to orbit That’s crucial because on other
around the moon to get ready worlds, the only way we can tell
to bring its samples back to Earth. the age of an area on the surface
It isn’t the only spacecraft is by analysing the craters – there
returning far-flung samples in is no direct way to confirm those
December. Japan’s Hayabusa 2 has ages. By comparing the age
this week returned debris from an directly measured from the
asteroid, landing in Australia (see samples with the age inferred from
“Rocks from Ryugu”, below). craters on the moon, we can create
“Two sample return missions a link between those methods of
returning within 10 days of each analysis that will also be useful
CHINA NATIONAL SPACE ADMINISTRAT/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES
WE MAY never be able to hear the TWO monkeys are able to So groups like Roelfsema’s are cortex of two rhesus macaques,
sounds produced inside a neutron “see” and recognise letter focusing on the visual cortex. for a total of 1024 electrodes in
star, but a group of scientists have shapes generated by arrays of The visual cortex is a bit like each monkey.
created what might be the next electrodes implanted in their a cinema screen in our heads. These monkeys had been
best thing. visual cortex rather than relying Each area on its surface maps to trained to recognise 16 letter
The team, led by Martin Zwierlein on light hitting their retina. It is the visual field, so activating an shapes made from dots on a
at the Massachusetts Institute of the highest resolution achieved A-shaped pattern of electrodes computer screen and to move
Technology, listened to sounds with implants in the brain, in contact with the visual cortex their eyes in specific ways in
moving through a type of superfluid rather than the retina. will, in principle, make people response to each one. They
called a perfect fluid – a gas with “That’s really good news,” “see” an A-shaped pattern. responded in the same way to
the lowest possible amount of says Pieter Roelfsema at the However, if electrodes are letters created by the electrodes
friction. Although the conditions Netherlands Institute for simply placed on the surface (Science, doi.org/ghndcm).
are different, Zwierlein says this Neuroscience, whose team aims of the visual cortex, a relatively Unfortunately, achieving the
experiment can be used to work to restore some vision to people same in humans will be harder
out the resonant frequencies at who have lost their sight. “The visual cortex is like because the central part of the
the centre of a neutron star. Many research groups are a cinema screen – each visual field is deeper within the
Theory suggests that the cores working on restoring some area on its surface maps human brain than in macaques.
of neutron stars contain strongly sight in people who are blind to the visual field” What’s more, the electrodes
interacting matter comprising by sending signals from a would have less and less effect
fermions, a type of particle defined head-mounted camera to arrays strong current is required to over time as scar tissue builds
by a quantum property called spin. of electrodes that stimulate the stimulate the nerves, and it is up around them.
When fermions start to interact appropriate nerve cells. There hard to generate a perception This work is a clear step
strongly, or couple, they behave have been numerous trials of more than two dots. forward in increasing the
like a perfect fluid. in people already, and one Roelfsema and his colleagues number of electrodes, says
Zwierlein’s team set out to 60-electrode device, called the have instead used arrays of John Pezaris at Harvard Medical
create a perfect fluid using a gas Argus II, was approved for use needle-like silicon electrodes School, but it doesn’t solve the
of lithium-6 atoms that behave in the US in 2013. that are 1.5 millimetres long. issue of how to reach the central
like fermions. The atoms were held Most implants, including These electrodes are pushed visual field in human brains.
together in a small box-like volume the Argus II, are designed to be into the cortex so that they “It is in a challenging location
with walls made of laser light. placed in the retina of an eye, make better contact with to access surgically,” he says.
The researchers then sent sound but this approach won’t work the nerve cells. The team Even if this approach
waves of increasing frequency for people whose optic nerve implanted 16 arrays, each with succeeds, a device with 1000
through the gas. The vibrations has been damaged, for instance. 64 electrodes, across the visual electrodes won’t come close
would only travel through the gas if to matching the resolution of
they were at a particular frequency human vision – our eyes have
known as a resonant frequency. the equivalent of a million
“The quality of the resonances pixels. Nor is it yet possible
tells me about the fluid’s viscosity, to control colour or depth
or sound diffusivity,” says Zwierlein. perception.
“If a fluid has low viscosity, it can “High-fidelity artificial vision
build up a very strong sound wave. through cortical stimulation
If it’s a very viscous fluid, then it is a difficult goal,” says Pezaris.
doesn’t have any good resonances.” “One thing that we are learning
By studying the resonances as a field is that our idea that
through the gas, Zwierlein and his any level of artificial vision is
team found the gas had the lowest better than being blind, and
viscosity allowed by quantum therefore crude devices are
LUXIANGJIAN4711/GETTY IMAGES
A NEW type of quantum sampling device is a type of matches up with theoretical using photonic boson sampling,
computing called boson sampling quantum computer, albeit one predictions. Jiuzhang had a fidelity which many people had doubted,
is capable of calculations that with a very narrow purpose. of 0.99 (Science, DOI: 10.1126/ and which represents a completely
no classical computer could A team led by Jian-Wei Pan science.abe8770). different hardware path than
accomplish in any reasonable at the University of Science and The researchers calculated the superconducting qubits
amount of time. This is the second Technology of China built a boson that it would be impossible to that Google used,” says Scott
time this feat, known as quantum sampler called Jiuzhang using simulate boson sampling with Aaronson at the University
supremacy, has been claimed, laser pulses sent into a maze of such a high fidelity on a classical of Texas at Austin.
after Google said last year that its 300 beam splitters and 75 mirrors. computer: Japan’s Fugaku While this is an impressive
Sycamore device had achieved it. A perfect boson sampler would supercomputer, the world’s most achievement, quantum
Boson sampling relies on a have a fidelity of 1 over many powerful classical computer, supremacy only means that this
strange quantum property of trials, meaning that it completely would take 600 million years device is better than classical
photons that is displayed when to accomplish what Jiuzhang computers at one extremely
these particles of light travel Boson sampling uses can do in just 200 seconds. specific task. Changing the
through a beam splitter, which a strange quantum “It shows that it’s feasible boson-sampling mechanism
divides a single beam of light property of light to get to quantum supremacy to allow researchers to pause the
into two beams propagating experiment, make measurements
in different directions. If two and redirect some of the photons
identical photons hit the beam could allow it to do different types
splitter at exactly the same time, of computations, but that will
they don’t split from one another. be difficult to achieve. Until then,
Instead, they stick together and there might be little practical
both travel in the same direction. use for boson sampling.
If you shoot many photons “It’s not obvious whether
through a sequence of beam boson sampling has any
splitters, patterns begin to emerge applications in and of itself
in their paths that are incredibly besides demonstrating quantum
difficult to simulate or predict supremacy,” says Aaronson.
SAKKMESTERKE/ALAMY
Energy
UK makes moves possibility of building the project, by 2050. But fusion faces big due to switch on. The hope is it
known as the Spherical Tokamak for challenges to play that role. will turn 50 megawatts of power
to build a nuclear Energy Production (STEP). The UK Reproducing the way the sun into 500MW, showing net gain is
fusion power plant Atomic Energy Authority (UKAEA), makes energy, by fusing hydrogen possible. STEP’s power output goal
the government body overseeing together to make helium, requires is more modest – a net gain of
THE UK embarked on a step toward STEP, hopes construction could significant energy on Earth to heat 100MW – but unlike ITER, it will be
building the world’s first nuclear begin around 2030, with the plant and control the hydrogen with huge connected to the ordinary electricity
fusion power station last week, by operating as soon as 2040. “STEP magnets. No fusion reactor has yet grid to understand how a fusion
launching a search for a 100-plus is a hugely ambitious programme: produced more power than it plant operates day to day.
hectare site where it can be plugged to be at the forefront, to be the first consumed. That might change in The UKAEA is calling on
into the electricity grid. However, in the world to produce a prototype 2025, when the world’s biggest communities in the UK to host
there are still major hurdles to fusion power plant, and then export fusion project, ITER in France, is STEP, as the authority’s current
overcome before it could start that round the world,” says Ian home at Culham in Oxfordshire
generating power. Chapman at the UKAEA. “The plant is pitched as an is full. Nominations can be made
Prime minister Boris Johnson The plant is pitched as an important plank in efforts until March 2021, with a plan to
last year committed an extra important plank in efforts to hit the to hit the UK’s target of net pick a site by the end of 2022. ❚
£200 million to flesh out the UK’s target of net zero emissions zero emissions by 2050” Adam Vaughan
University in New Jersey and Crucially, this melting could Monica, California. In 2010, an
his colleagues say they have a have provided potential habitats estimated 5 million to 13 million
solution. They suggest that water for life over long periods of time. tonnes of plastic waste entered
could have been produced and Jonathan O’Callaghan the world’s oceans. Ibrahim Sawal
including deaths due to heatwaves Lancet Countdown initiative. The team behind the report
and the consequences of food The report found that between urged governments to make sure
insecurity, are at their “most 2000 and 2018, the number of the carbon-cutting plans they
worrying” since an initiative heat-related deaths per year in submit to the UN ahead of the
to track them began. people aged over 65 jumped by COP26 climate summit next year –
All 16 indicators of the health almost 54 per cent to 296,000 known as nationally determined
Orca deaths a result impacts of a warming world are globally. Most were in Japan, contributions (NDCs) – aren’t just
of our activity worsening, the fifth annual China, India and Europe. bold, but factor in health. “Health
Lancet Countdown report shows. More than half of 196 countries is not featuring among the NDCs
Humans are responsible for “Climate change-induced shocks saw an increase in the risk of in the way that it needs to,” says
the deaths of several orcas are claiming lives, damaging people exposed to wildfires Hamilton. Adam Vaughan
in the eastern Pacific Ocean.
Six animals were struck by Palaeontology Health
ships, while one calf died
after swallowing a large
fishhook. Other orcas died Vaginal microbes
of disease, but researchers hamper HIV drugs
says proximity to humans
may be the greatest threat WOMEN with a certain mix of
to orca health (PLoS One, bacteria in their vaginas may be at
doi.org/fk8w). higher risk of getting HIV as some
of the microbes consume drugs
Vibrated flies designed to prevent an infection.
sleep for longer Oral pre-exposure prophylactic
(PrEP) drugs are 90 per cent
Fruit flies end up snoozing effective in preventing HIV
for longer if they are lulled infections in men who have sex
by gentle vibrations while with men. But the efficacy of PrEP
CARLA DU TOIT
Comment
T
HIS year has brought into Sustainable Development Goals.
sharp focus the importance To name just a couple of examples,
of scientists in our everyday geologists study the origin,
lives. Vaccinologists have sought natural transportation and fate
to create inoculations to help of contaminants like arsenic and
tackle the covid-19 pandemic, lead, critical to the provision of
and have succeeded. Virologists, safe and reliable water supplies,
epidemiologists and behavioural and they explore the origin of
scientists have directly informed natural hazards such as landslides
government policies that control and earthquakes, and so help
our movements to keep us safer. reduce the vulnerability of
Pandemics come and (we hope) communities across the world.
go. But what of global warming? But geologists must redouble
Overshadowed in 2020, this threat their engagement with other
to the environment, global health scientists and politicians to
and our economic well-being will develop and ultimately help
persist for generations after implement solutions to the many
covid-19. Scientists clearly have environmental and resource
a pivotal role in understanding challenges we face. Students of
and, ultimately, informing policies geology should be made aware of
that aim to mitigate its impacts – the broader contributions their
none more so than geologists. multidisciplinary skill set can
It is a common misconception make to global well-being, beyond
that geology is “just” about rocks. just energy provision – although
True, geologists are trained to read ensuring energy supply, we should
what rocks tell us about Earth’s oceans remove carbon dioxide impact on Earth’s habitability. not forget, underpins many of the
past, present and possible future from the atmosphere, reducing Geology has improved our Sustainable Development Goals.
structure and evolution. But, as global warming. understanding of global warming Geology is about far more
I will explain as part of this year’s The rocks and fossils in the and hopefully will help us to than just rocks. By collectively
Royal Institution Christmas geological record bear witness mitigate it. reimagining geology through
Lectures, geological processes and to these processes, showing us There is an irony to that, given the prism of sustainability, we
climate are inextricably linked. that Earth’s climate has changed geologists’ work also underpins can ensure that it is central to the
Numerous complex physical continually since the planet the locating and exploitation of public’s consciousness, as virology
and chemical links and feedbacks formed around 4.6 billion years climate-heating fossil fuels. Now, and epidemiology were in 2020. ❚
exist between Earth’s surface and ago. This same record also shows more than ever, our discipline
subsurface rocks, its atmosphere, that atmospheric CO2 is at its needs to fully embrace the concept Christopher Jackson’s Royal Institution
oceans and ice caps and life in all highest level in at least the past of “sustainable geoscience”. Christmas Lecture will be broadcast on
these places. Volcanic eruptions 3 million years, and that the This isn’t a new idea and nor BBC4 on 28 December in the UK and
bring carbon from deep within the current pace of planetary warming is it limited to climate change. subsequently on BBC iPlayer
planet to the surface and the air, is unprecedented in Earth’s history. The many and varied historical
MICHELLE D’URBANO
enhancing the greenhouse effect. The geological record can also contributions of geology to Christopher Jackson is
Conversely, weathering of exposed be used to assess the accuracy of tackling some of our greatest a geologist at Imperial
rocks at the surface and the action complex numerical models used societal challenges can be seen College London. Follow
of shell-forming animals in the to predict future climate and its by looking at the United Nations him @seis_matters
L
IKE the majority of people The chasm in the US has Neither side is “choosing” science
in my local area, I follow the become so deep that both sides or anti-science. They are just being
rules on face coverings. It’s cannot even agree on basic facts mindlessly tribal. This fits with
an inconvenience, but I consider about the world. You know, small other recent research suggesting
putting on a mask a small sacrifice stuff like whether climate change that partisans in the US dislike the
to protect my health and that of is real, whether covid-19 is a hoax, other side much more than they
other people. Every day, I see many who won the presidential election. like their own, and are driven by
people – more than could possibly This conjuring up of two a desire to crush their opponents.
have a legitimate exemption – alternative realities is both weird This is a pretty miserable state
Graham Lawton is a staff flagrantly flouting the rules and and infuriating. Political scientists of affairs: opinions on crucial
writer at New Scientist and it really gets up my nose. have been trying to explain it since issues are shaped not by rational
author of This Book Could Save The refuseniks annoy me on it became the dominant force in deliberation, nor even by
Your Life. You can follow him multiple levels. They are selfishly US politics around 20 years ago. commitment to a coherent
@grahamlawton putting me and other people at The unanswerable question has world view, but by visceral hatred
risk. They think they know better always been about cause and of the other tribe. Under those
than experts. They often fall for effect: do political opinions drive conditions, what hope is there
conspiracy theories. And even if polarisation, or do people pick of ever bridging the divide?
they are mainly endangering sides first and then embrace But the latest research revealed
themselves, I’d rather they didn’t opinions to match? a silver lining: in places where the
end up wasting NHS resources. virus is surging, those opposed to
I’m tempted to confront them, but “Opinions are shaped restrictions soften their hostility
just mutter darkly under my mask. not by rational towards masks, social distancing
Yet my biggest beef is that for and lockdowns. They move away
Graham’s week deliberation, but by
some people, refusal to wear a from what political scientists call
What I’m reading mask has slotted neatly into a set
visceral hatred of “politically motivated reasoning”
The Problem with Men: of beliefs that I already found both the other tribe” towards “accuracy reasoning”. In
When is it International baffling and unforgivably selfish. the face of existential threat, there
Men’s Day? (and why You know who I mean: the equality- Then along came covid-19 is no choice but to accept reality.
it matters) by Richard hating, climate change-denying, and an opportunity to observe There are signs that the same
Herring. Brilliant stand- PC-gone-mad brigade. I’d let them a brand-new issue as it polarised happens with environmental
up comedian takes on wallow in their own swamp, but in real time. Political scientists issues. Even the most ardent
the men’s rights activists their beliefs are barriers to social watched the divide as it emerged denier finds it hard to maintain
(International Men’s Day and environmental progress. and became entrenched. their denial in the face of extreme
is on 19 November). In the US, this new front in The results are now in. Even weather, wildfires or rising sea
the culture war has escalated to though the end point is quite levels. Anti-vaxx sentiment is
What I’m watching shocking levels. Wearing a mask or predictable, with Republicans similarly bendable to reality.
I was determined not to not has become a high-vis badge skewing anti-science and When covid-19 waxes, vaccine
like The Crown but I am of political affiliation. The issue Democrats pro, its origin isn’t. hesitancy wanes.
hooked. Small Axe on the even came up in the presidential It is driven not by positive That is one reason why it is
BBC is also excellent. debates and cleaves neatly along commitment to an ideology, but important to keep on framing the
party lines, with Democrats much by hatred and mistrust of their pandemic not just as a biomedical
What I’m working on more accepting than Republicans opponents (Nature Human crisis, but as an environmental
That virus thing. of masks and other interventions Behaviour, doi.org/ghmfsz). one too. As Adrian Martin, a
such as social distancing. As soon as small differences professor of environment and
Covid-19 has thus become yet emerge – with Democrats more development at the University of
another issue sucked into what likely to see public health as the East Anglia in the UK, has pointed
political scientists call “affective priority and Republicans more out, for people in the West, covid-
polarisation” – the visceral concerned about personal 19 is their first personal encounter
and mutual hatred between freedom – both sides are driven with the biodiversity crisis. It is
supporters of the two opposing by a ferocious desire to do the now a matter of self-interest to
political parties. Both sides regard opposite of their opponents. From take that threat seriously. It’s a
This column appears the other as selfish, hypocritical those tiny seeds of difference grow drastic way to win an argument,
monthly. and closed-minded. mighty oaks of partisan division. but if it works, I will take it. ❚
SOMETHING
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Views Your letters
Editor’s pick as saying: “There’s no muscle On balance, a car-free intake for health reasons, but will
memory to vaccinate people at life is the one for me perhaps look to reduce it further
that scale throughout the world, to “offset” what my cat eats.
Would other vaccines gain 14 November, p 24
at levels that are needed to open I lock our cat inside at night to
from a half-dose approach? up society.” There was no muscle From Andrea Needham, protect wildlife, and new suburbs
28 November, p 7 memory in 1939 when the UK Hastings, East Sussex, UK in Canberra, where I live, will only
From Bryn Glover, needed hundreds of Spitfires Graham Lawton is right, it is allow cat ownership if they are kept
Kirkby Malzeard, North Yorkshire, UK (and much else besides). challenging to live without a car; inside full time. I expect this will
I am glad to read that the University Then, as now, saying necessity our towns are built around them apply to all suburbs eventually.
of Oxford’s Sarah Gilbert thinks is the mother of invention is and public transport is often unfit
more research is needed into the meaningless without the courage for purpose. But I can’t help but
This ball lightning
“half-dose” findings on the vaccine and determination of millions of think that his return to car
jointly developed with AstraZeneca. people to face the challenge. What ownership is premature. was no hallucination
So far, nearly all commentary on we have seen since March is just Could his son take the train to Letters, 21 November
the half-dose observation has been that. Even youngsters in garages university? Many young people From Eric Dunford,
along the lines of coy smiles at a have been 3D printing personal do. He could ask a neighbour Marcham, Oxfordshire, UK
piece of serendipity, following a protective equipment. to take his rubbish to the tip in I am writing about the suggestion
possible technical error in the trials. The challenge of vaccinating exchange for help with a project that sightings of ball lightning
But the obvious questions would populations will be magnified of theirs. And as for having to buy may be visual hallucinations
be: whether a 50 per cent first because of conflicts in some a car so his family could “escape induced by a bright flash. Over
dose was better than any other countries. I have a feeling the to the countryside” during the 50 years ago, I was watching an
percentage; whether a number of arrival of a vaccine is just the end pandemic without the dangers of intense thunderstorm through
doses at increasing strength works of stage one of the pandemic. public transport, that’s a privilege the window across dark fields,
better (say, a 20 per cent dose unavailable to many. when a ball appeared in the line
followed by a 70 per cent dose and I am 55, have never owned a car of a very bright lightning stroke.
Anti-vaxxers can get
then the full dose); or, perhaps more and am pretty sure I never will. This might seem to have been
significantly, whether the 60 to immunity the hard way Yes, it can be inconvenient. But an illusion for me, as Robert Masta
70 per cent efficacy of the regular 21 November, p 30 the money saved, the emissions speculates, but for the fact that my
annual flu vaccine – or any other From Barry Cash, averted and the freedom of one wife and mother-in-law were in
vaccine – could be improved by Bishopston, Somerset, UK less thing in your life makes living the room and had time to get to
splitting the dose in this way. I don’t understand what all the without a car, especially in this era the window and see the ball before
If anyone should propose an fuss is about anti-vaxxers and of climate crisis, a no-brainer. it faded. But they couldn’t have
investigation into the latter, may covid-19. It will be years before been affected by the flash itself.
I join the queue to put my name we have enough vaccine for
Change your diet to
down as a volunteer? everybody. Those who believe the
compensate for a cat On the very knotty
science will get their immunity
From Simon Guppy, from a dose of vaccine. Those who Letters, 14 November problem of a tangled cable
Combeinteignhead, Devon, UK don’t will get their immunity from From Liz Reuben, Letters, 12 September
The good news regarding the a dose of a nasty disease. Sorted. Canberra, Australia From Phoebe Young,
successful results of covid-19 Hillary Shaw suggests that the Alford, Lincolnshire, UK
vaccine trials is most welcome. amount of meat eaten by pet cats Tom Roberts asks whether an
Proof of inoculation
However, as someone who is at is a bigger issue than the wildlife extension cord plugged into itself
high risk for this disease, I wonder could be easy to fake they kill. New Scientist covered this can be manipulated to form a
if there will be any way of testing, Letters, 28 November in 2009 (24 October), looking at knot. We don’t need an equation
post-vaccination, to find out if I From Michael Peel, London, UK the “greenness” of pet ownership. or extra dimensions to solve his
am protected. I wouldn’t feel Keith Macpherson writes that I seem to recall on a per annum problem (and in fact, knots can
confident to return to “normal” concerns about vaccination may basis, a medium-sized dog was only exist in 3D), but to just
life unless I’m sure I am protected. be resolved if people need to show worse than running an SUV. consider the definitions.
a valid vaccination certificate to be Cats have a poor reputation in In knot theory, we don’t care
allowed, for example, to board an relation to ecological damage, and how much you distort a knot as
We must rise to challenge
aeroplane. Problem is, the internet deservedly so. However, I’d rather long as it isn’t cut and rejoined,
of vaccinating the world will soon be full of very high keep my cat and responsibly own so this extension cord loop,
21 November, p 36 quality fake certificates. it. I’ve already reduced my meat known as a trivial knot, stays
From Geoffrey Withington, trivial as long as it isn’t unplugged.
Bridge, Kent, UK This doesn’t stop it being tangled,
Reporting on the vast task of Want to get in touch? however, which presents a key
vaccinating people everywhere Send letters to letters@newscientist.com; issue in knot theory – that of
against coronavirus, Carrie Arnold see terms at newscientist.com/letters determining whether a given
quotes Saad Omer, director of the Letters sent to New Scientist, 25 Bedford Street, tangle can be unravelled to a
Yale Institute for Global Health, London WC2E 9ES will be delayed trivial knot. ❚
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Understanding human individuality means grappling with genetics and
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David Linden
Hachette
Apocalyptic romance
Superintelligence is a strange but captivating mix of
rom-com, sci-fi and action, says Robyn Chowdhury
to profile and predict their the film, though it does feature Listen
behaviour, highlighting how reliant some genuinely shocking twists. Hormones: The inside
Film on technology we are and the ways McCarthy’s comedic timing is story looks at the effect
Superintelligence in which this could be turned unparalleled and she prevents the of hormones on daily life.
Ben Falcone against us. With its ability to control film from taking itself too seriously. The first episodes of the
On HBO Max in the US and in and shut down our technologies, The best moments range from podcast, by the Society
UK theatres from 11 December the AI threatens to cause car awkward encounters between the of Endocrinology, cover
crashes, control the flow of money ex-lovers to some legitimately funny diet and sleep; later it
CAROL PETERS is “literally the and even fire nuclear missiles. lines from Ben Falcone, the film’s discusses the chemical
most average person on Earth”. Despite this, tension over the director and McCarthy’s husband, hijack of hormones.
She is single, unemployed, likes world’s imminent end is strangely who has a cameo as an FBI agent.
James Corden – and is all that absent, replaced instead by a Overall, Superintelligence doesn’t
stands between a supremely quite deliver on either the romance
powerful AI and the destruction of “The AI will watch or science fiction front. The romance
the planet. Failing to demonstrate is a bit of a let down and the
whatever Carol does
the goodness of humanity could flip-flopping between the comedic
lead to nuclear armageddon, so
to determine whether and intimidating behaviours of
the clock is ticking for Carol to show it should destroy the the AI is somewhat strange.
the AI what humanity is made of by, planet or not” However, there are funny and
er, rekindling her relationship with thrilling moments in the film. It is
her ex-boyfriend. lacklustre romantic storyline that also a reminder to be vigilant about Watch
Superintelligence is a sort takes up the majority of the film’s handing out personal data and that The Expanse returns
of quirky sci-fi-action-rom-com. first hour. technology can be used for both to Amazon Prime on
Carol, played by Melissa McCarthy, We are given very little good or evil. Superintelligence’s 16 December for its
is chosen by an all-seeing AI to test information about Carol’s love take on the “destruction by fifth season. Humanity
its theory of humanity. It believes interest George, played by Bobby sentient AI” storyline is unique now has access to
she is a typical human, and so it Cannavale, but are expected to and is an easy watch that is countless exoplanets,
will watch whatever she does over cheer them on as they stumble their perfect for rom-com lovers. ❚ and yet its internecine
the next three days to determine way through a series of dates set up conflicts continue in this
whether it should destroy the planet by the AI to help it better understand Robyn Chowdhury is a writer based humane and pessimistic
or not. To soothe Carol, the AI humanity via Carol. The action picks in Sheffield, UK, who is interested in space opera.
assumes the voice of James Corden, up only in the final 25 minutes of pop culture and social justice
provided by the man himself (though
the intelligence is at pains to point
out it isn’t actually James Corden).
The AI started life as a children’s
toy designed to personalise each
learning experience, but, like many
a sci-fi AI, it has gone rogue. It has
now learned so much that it has
become superintelligent and gained
access to all the world’s data and Listen
devices, from toothbrushes and A Lens on
CCTV cameras to self-driving Sustainability, a
cars. Just how it did all of this is podcast from the
neatly glossed over. AI works in Prix Pictet photography
AMAZON STUDIOS; JOANA CHOUMALI
All too human How would it feel to live in the world imagined by The Preserve,
where robots do most things better than people? It is a great thought experiment
about an all-too-possible future, says Clare Wilson
How would we
react if machines
dominated the world?
New Scientist.
The world,
better understood
Offer ends 31/12/20
Features Cover story
HERE’S
LOOKING AT
01 Y
OU almost undoubtedly know the by nuclear reactions in ancient stars,
date, possibly even the hour, you were either when they were burning or when
born. Whether you are past celebrating they ended in fiery supernova explosions.
rather depends. But reflect on the big picture, Those atoms were recycled through the
and the truth about when you beganw is too births and deaths of more stars until, at
epic, and possibly a little too confusing, to be some point, they escaped for a while.
captured by a terse entry on a birth certificate. “Our solar system captured these
you was probably forged in the big bang itself. a starting point more complicated (see “Four The development of this “theory of mind”
So much for the physical, atomistic you. points when you might have begun”, page 36). tends to happen as we approach our second
But what about you as a living, breathing Some aren’t convinced that is even a birthday. We begin to equate our image
biological organism? Here your timescale scientific discussion. “To many biologists, in a mirror with ourselves, and to use self-
shortens, but the uncertainties hardly the onset of personhood is an issue for referential language, such as “I”, “me” and
disappear. “One thing I can say with emotions and politics, not science,” says the classic “mine”. By the time we are 3, most
absolute certainty is that there is no Gilbert. Ultimately, it all comes down to how of us have added self-referential emotions
scientific consensus as to when you define “you”: as a collection of atoms, an such as embarrassment, pride, guilt and
independent human life begins,” says agglomeration of cells – or something more. shame. Soon after, we begin to store the
Scott Gilbert, a developmental biologist Our physical senses develop gradually autobiographical memories that underpin
at Swarthmore College in Pennsylvania. in the uterus and after birth, but you remain a stable, continuous sense of self.
For many centuries, a life began with the completely ignorant of your you-ness until But that continuity might well be an
“quickening”: the first time a mother felt her you develop a sense of self. A psychologist illusion (see “Are you always the same
baby’s kick. These days, those expecting a child might say that you only really become person?”, page 38). If so, another answer
can hear a fetal heartbeat much earlier, and you once you are able to reflect on your to the question “when did you begin?”
can even see the blurry outline of a face, own consciousness from the perspective might arguably be that you have no
thanks to ultrasound. That makes defining of another person. beginning, just a now. Daniel Cossins >
Fertilisation
When a sperm meets an egg
and a novel genome is created
Gastrulation
Some 14 days after fertilisation, when
an embryo can no longer divide into
identical twins
EEG activation
The onset of electroencephalogram
(EEG) patterns, or recognisably human
brainwaves, typically around 27 weeks
after fertilisation
KIEFERPIX/GETTY IMAGES
03
eyes,” says Starmans, a psychologist at temporoparietal junction is affected. “This
the University of Toronto in Canada. area is key for the brain computation that
Subjectively at least, the eyes being creates the perception of where your self
windows to the soul checks out. “The sense is located in space,” says Aspell.
of where in our bodies we are located is A twist, however, is that this process is
informed by our dominant experience shaped not just by sensory information
of the world,” says Starmans. “Almost all from the outside world, but by signals
F
OR the Ancient Egyptians, it was How exactly this happens is still strength of the signal and the strength
the heart. For philosopher René something of a mystery. But can we be any of the illusion. Other studies have since
Descartes, it was somewhere entirely more specific about where it happens? provided additional evidence.
separate from the body. According to the What’s clear – sorry, Descartes – is that, for So while modern science has long fixated
Buddhist concept of anatta, it isn’t anywhere, most of us, our self is firmly anchored in our on the brain as the seat of our conscious
because the thing concerned doesn’t exist. material bodies. In some extremely rare experience and our sense of self, it seems –
But what does modern science say conditions, people have a sense of existing Ancient Egyptians take a bow – that the
about where your self – your “soul”, outside their bodies: those experiencing heart and perhaps other parts of us may
if you like – resides? heautoscopy, for instance, see a doppelgänger, get a look-in too. “It was like the mind was
At first pass, that might not seem a and feel they are located both in their own divorced from the body,” says Aspell. “We
particularly scientific question. Regardless, body and the doppelgänger’s. “They are in are realising how the mind is completely
most of us have an intuitive answer. When, in two places at one time. It’s very disturbing,” shaped by the body.” Alison George >
as-yet unpublished work, Christina Starmans says Jane Aspell, a cognitive neuroscientist
and her colleagues showed people from the at Anglia Ruskin University in the UK.
US and India pictures of flies circling around Similar illusions can be generated in the
MELISSA KING/SHUTTERSTOCK
a person, and asked which flies they thought lab. For example, volunteers who have their YOU…
were closest, the results were striking: back stroked while wearing a virtual reality are in possession of the world’s most
regardless of cultural background, most headset showing a simulation of themselves powerful known computer model,
people pointed to flies near a person’s eyes. being stroked start to feel that they are closer estimated to be capable of 1 exaflop –
“This suggests there is a universal sense of to their virtual self than to their actual body. 1 billion billion calculations per second
the self being located in the head, near the Brain scans show that a region called the
05
beyond mere genes determine how
you turn out (see “How likely are
you?”, page 36).
The human genes that vary most,
however, are a handful that control
how our immune systems detect
foreign pathogens. These major
“Studies show
D
ELINEATING where a person begins almost define your individuality on
and ends used to be quite simple. their own”, says Daniel Davis, an
we think of While philosophers might have
tied themselves in knots trying to define
immunologist at the University of
Manchester, UK. It means that each
ourselves now the self, and biologists still struggle to locate of us is scouting for and responding
its steering mechanism (see “Where is your to disease in slightly different ways.
and in the future self?”, page 37), what it encompassed, at least, That helps some of us to fight off
as different was more clear-cut.
Their traditional definition comprises
diseases that have never existed
before, such as covid-19.
people” three elements, says Thomas Bosch at the But it is also good for the survival
University of Kiel, Germany: the mind, the of our species, says Davis. “If we all
genome and the immune system. Each of us had exactly the same susceptibility,
is a self-contained organism defined by our we would have a greater chance
mind and genes, with the immune system of succumbing, as a species, to a
patrolling our borders and discriminating particular disease.” For everyone’s
between self and non-self. Me, myself and I. sake, you can be glad there’s only
Then we looked more closely, and our one you. Daniel Cossins
relationship status went from “threesome”
BOKICA/SHUTTERSTOCK
to “it’s complicated”.
For starters, we are chimeras: some parts
of us are human, but genetically not “us”.
Most, if not all, of us contain a few cells
from our mother, our grandmothers and >
W
30 trillion human cells and 38 trillion HAT are you doing right now? apparently. “Physical laws, if they’re
microbial ones. By mass, we absolutely dwarf Reading these words. Why? deterministic, tell me that everything that
our companions: a 70-kilogram human Presumably because you chose to. I do, everything that happens in the world,
contains just 200 grams of microbe. Even if you didn’t – if you are encountering including everything that I do, including
But they punch well above their weight. them years in the future lining a forgotten every decision I ever made, follows logically
The microbiome is different from parasitic box of crockery in the attic, say – you can from the laws of nature [and] the initial
freeloaders like lice and intestinal worms: always choose to look away now. You possess conditions of the universe,” says philosopher
it is an active and vital participant in our lives. the nebulous quality of human free will. of physics Jenann Ismael at Columbia
Our gut microbiota, for example, do huge Nebulous because, despite debating it for University in New York. Since we control
amounts of work digesting food that the millennia, philosophers have been unable neither the laws of nature nor the initial
products of our human genome can’t break to pin it down – and although we are pretty conditions of the universe, we can’t be fully
down on their own. They are, in fact, the convinced we have it, at some level it must be in control of our actions – can we?
principal determinant of how we respond to an illusion, rather like our sense of self is (see Not so fast. We should define our terms
food. Our microbiome influences our health “Are you always the same person?”, page 38). first, says philosopher Eleanor Knox at King’s
in many other ways, contributing to mental Let’s start with the physics. Whenever College London. “There’s this really strong
well-being and modulating our emotions you decide something, a certain pattern
and cognition, and helping determine how of neurons fires in your brain to turn your
our immune systems function. thought into action – moving towards
For Bosch, that means we need to develop the kitchen to make coffee, perhaps, or “The laws
a more inclusive concept of “self” that takes formulating an utterance you will come to
of physics
MICHAL SANCA/SHUTTERSTOCK
account of how some of our most personal regret. Ultimately, that is all down to pulses
traits are actually those of our vast, diverse of electrons – fundamental particles that
and ever-shifting microbiomes. “Boundaries, follow the cast-iron laws of physics, under
apparently don’t
borders, different parts of host and microbe
are not so easy to separate any more,” he says.
which everything is determined by what
happened immediately before.
leave much room
“We are not alone.” Graham Lawton That doesn’t leave much room for free will, for free will”
38 | New Scientist | 12 December 2020
07
DO YOU
MATTER?
L
ET’S start with the big picture: if it
is significance on this Earth you are
looking for, then the numbers are
increasingly against you.
Go back 2000 years and there were fewer
than 200 million people on the planet. When
the industrial revolution kicked in from
the 18th century, however, new methods
emerged of feeding vastly more people and
If you don't want combating the infectious diseases that had
to read this, put kept our numbers in check. Our numbers
the magazine began to shoot up, reaching nearly 7.7 billion
down now now. Today, you are, to a greater extent than
in all history, just a face in a crowd.
That doesn’t mean you matter any less to
your closest friends and family. And perhaps
you or your offspring may be one of those
notion of free will, which is what my students round, unless you advocate some sort of few who change the world for better (or for
all come into the classroom with,” she says. mysterious, non-physical essence of the mind. worse). But that is statistically unlikely. Even
“To have free will, I must right now be able “Whatever we call free will must ultimately be in spheres where we like to think we are
to behave just with no connection to any explicable by the laws of physics,” says Knox. important, such as parenting, the evidence
contingent plan – so however I like.” The question is how. Lifting the lid on that suggests individuals don’t matter that much.
Even leaving physics aside, that is clearly vexed question is the subject of a new and Geneticist Robert Plomin at King’s College
not the case. “We think that when we make burgeoning field of research looking, for London has pointed out, for instance, that
a decision, the locus of control for behaviour example, at whether the property emerges identical twins brought up in different
is inside,” says Ismael. “But really, there’s from the ability of living, conscious families generally end up with the same
all kinds of influences: cultural influences, organisms to organise and integrate level of cognitive ability.
psychological influences, influences that are information from many sources.
more formative of our psychology that we But “free will” is a term so laden with
don’t control and so on.” baggage that those involved prefer to think It isn’t just about you
Our choices are the result of a bundle of in terms of a subtly different concept called But there is another, contrary, line of
predilections formed by genetic nature and agency – an undeniable, if still inexplicable, thinking, that collectively all of us can make
environmental nurture – a unique product ability to bundle up hopes, dreams, desires a difference on a grand scale. In the broad
of circumstances we aren’t necessarily in and compulsions and use them to change sweep of human history, these are pivotal
immediate control of (see “How likely are the world. Richard Webb times. With the development of nuclear
you?”, page 36). Fine, but there is an weapons in the mid-20th century, humanity
argument that this is just you being “you”. reached a point where we can destroy
You can still choose to go against the grain ourselves. In this century, existential risks
of what you just decided. That, after all, YOU… have only increased thanks to the threat of
is the core of free will as we experience it. emit about three antimatter particles every catastrophic climate change, bioweapons,
And to say that this sort of free will is minute, thanks largely to the decay of artificial intelligence running amok and more.
incompatible with deterministic laws of radioactive potassium-40 inside you “The analogy I use is that we’re inching our
physics is rather to get things the wrong way way along a path along the side of a sheer >
AF ARCHIVE/ALAMY
so crucial to the body’s chemistry
and structural integrity: we say
effectiveness of our response is determined we are carbon-based life forms.
by the sum of individual actions. We may Deconstruct an 80-kilogram
not know why, but we are all in control of human, and oxygen, carbon,
our actions (see “Are you predetermined?”, hydrogen and three other elements
page 40) – and what kind of life you choose account for almost 99 per cent of
08
to lead surely does matter. the body by mass, in the following
There are things you can do to increase proportions:
your positive impact. Ord helped kick off Oxygen – 52kg (65%)
the effective altruism movement, which says Carbon – 14.4kg (18%)
that by donating small amounts of money Hydrogen – 8kg (10%)
to charities that are proven to be more Nitrogen – 2.4kg (3%)
effective, you can do more good. Perhaps Calcium – 1.1kg (1.4%)
unsurprisingly, Ord now thinks that one
of the most effective ways to do good is to
Phosphorus – 0.9kg (1.1%)
Also present in quantities from
CAN YOU EVER
donate to charitable organisations trying
to head off existential threats to humanity.
hundreds of grams to just a few
grams are, in descending order, TRULY KNOW
“It needn’t be that every donor focuses on sulphur, potassium, sodium,
giving to these causes,” he says. But collectively
we need to do more than we are on this front.
chlorine, magnesium, iron, fluorine
and zinc – plus, in even tinier
YOURSELF?
“It’s hard to be precise about how much we quantities, strontium, iodine,
spend [on this], but it’s definitely less than copper, manganese and
the world spends on ice cream.” molybdenum. Other elements may
What is the lesson of all this? Perhaps we also be present, but tend not to be
should beware self-fulfilling prophesies. If permanent fixtures. Richard Webb
you believe you don’t matter, then you won’t.
If you believe you can matter – well, you just
might. Joshua Howgego
YOU…
are worth about $10 million, according to
an analysis of various bodies’ calculations
of the “value of a statistical life”, the cost
that society is willing to pay to save one life.
“Self-knowledge is
often regarded as
an unquestioned
good – but is it?”
D
ON QUIXOTE is one of the most people’s judgements, we miss it in our own. accurate one. Research led by Lauren Human
celebrated characters in literature. It isn’t all bad news though. In a seminal at McGill University, Canada, demonstrates
The hero of Miguel de Cervantes’s study a decade ago, Simine Vazire at the that people with higher self-esteem and life
novel, first published in 1605, decides to act University of Melbourne, Australia, asked satisfaction tend to be more in tune with the
out his knightly aspirations, performing acts participants to rate themselves on various views of others when judging what they are
of great chivalry and righting wrongs. So he skills and traits. They were also rated by truly like – in part because they behave in
thinks, anyway. Sadly, the gulf between his friends and strangers before undergoing ways that accurately reflect their true
self-perception and how the world views him a battery of behavioural tests. She found personality, she says.
is vast – so much so that the word “quixotic” that we tend to be the best judge of our own All this raises a thorny question. If, in
has come to describe delusional behaviour. emotional state, but when it comes to general, we are putting too positive a spin
But here is a troubling thought. What if characteristics such as intelligence and on our character and abilities, do we
we are all more quixotic than we allow for? creativity, others who aren’t strangers necessarily want to burst that bubble? That’s
We might think that with our privileged tend to rate us more accurately. tricky, says Human. Although self-knowledge
access to our every thought and motivation, “We have different blind spots for ourselves is regarded as an unquestioned good in
we are the best judge of our own character, than we have for close others,” she says. many philosophical traditions, and the idea
but what if we aren’t? “We are not very good at rating how attractive of “honest feedback” is embedded in many
In recent decades, psychologists have or intelligent we are, whereas we are pretty management manuals, the scientific take
revealed that we are beholden to all sorts good at judging that in others we know well.” is more equivocal. “There is evidence
of biases and mental blind spots that put a that there are benefits to both holding
positive spin on our characters. In one study overly positive self-views and to having
from the 1960s of drivers hospitalised by The outsider perspective self-knowledge,” says Human.
car accidents, for instance, all judged their Knowing too much about ourselves might, Accurate self-views are mostly beneficial
driving ability to be better than average. perversely, cloud our judgement of how “interpersonally”, she says – meaning that
SAVEANIMALSANDNATURE/SHUTTERSTOCK
This “illusory superiority” bias has been others see us. One reason is that we base our others like us more if we have greater self-
demonstrated many times since. Indeed, it self-opinions on memories. Studies have knowledge. Positive self-views, meanwhile,
turns out that the worse we are at a particular shown, for instance, that when asked how a are mostly beneficial “intra-personally” –
task, the less likely we are to recognise our stranger would judge our skill at something meaning that they make us feel good and
own incompetence – something known like playing darts, we invoke our knowledge protect our self-esteem. “So it might
as the Dunning-Kruger effect. And we are of past performance – something that the depend on what is more important to a
crashingly unaware of all of this: while other person has no access to. person,” says Human. Maybe Don Quixote
we recognise the impact of bias in other Yet, a positive self-view might be a more was on to something. Alison George >
B
IOLOGICALLY speaking, there is pre-measurement realm. In other words, are a habitual driver. The vehicle
definitively only one you (see “How quantum theory makes predictions about becomes part of you – or perhaps
likely are you?”, page 36). Physics reality, but says nothing about what goes you become part of the vehicle.
might give you pause for thought, however. on under the hood. With digital devices now
The most bewildering argument against That isn’t good enough for some. Physicists constantly in our hands, the
your uniqueness comes from quantum who subscribe to the rival “many worlds” extended self could become
mechanics, the fundamental theory that interpretation insist that all the possibilities permanent. “Our identity partly
describes the often counter-intuitive encoded in the wave function are real, and depends on memories,” says
behaviour of subatomic particles. It might that they continue to exist in different philosopher Richard Heersmink at
imply not only that there are multiple, universes that split off from ours every La Trobe University in Melbourne,
identical versions of you, but even that there time a quantum measurement is made. Australia. Increasingly, we are
are an infinite number of yous out there. The startling upshot of this view is that outsourcing our memories to our
The quantum realm is notoriously fuzzy: there are potentially squillions of versions smartphones – not just through
quantum objects such as particles are of you going about their (your?) business notifications of what we should do,
described in terms of probabilities, encoded in parallel universes. but through messages and images
in mathematical widgets called wave Well, sort of. Those other versions of that recreate what we have done.
functions that give you the odds on any you aren’t really copies, says Sean Carroll, The result? “A larger part of our
number of different states the object a physicist at the California Institute of narrative self is smeared out over our
might be in. Only when you observe or Technology: they are individuals who used environment,” says Heersmink. You
measure it does the object take on one of to be you, but at some point split off and may extend further than you think.
those states, at least from your perspective. became separate. “You are not spread out Graham Lawton
The truth of what happens at this over worlds,” says Carroll. “You are here
point – and indeed what, if anything, in this world, and there are a lot of other
TINKIVINKI/SHUTTERSTOCK
the wave function itself is trying to tell us people in other worlds who are closely
about reality – divides physicists. Many stick related to you.”
with a cop-out known as the Copenhagen As to how many other-worldly
interpretation: essentially, that we can relations you have, it is impossible to say.
never know what is happening in this fuzzy “The number could be infinite or there could
be a continuum of worlds rather than a
discrete set,” says Carroll. “But the number
“Quantum theory might also be finite. We’re not sure.”
What we do know is that we can never
might imply observe these doppelgängers. Their
worlds exist only in mathematical space;
there are an they have no physical connection to our
infinite number own. Ultimately, the possible existence of
as many worlds as you like doesn’t detract
of yous out from your individuality in this one. Physics,
like a doting parent, still says you are special.
there” Daniel Cossins
10 M
ICHELLE FRANCL-DONNAY will researchers think life itself is a similar
never forget 15 April 1987. Her emergent property embodied in a simple
husband Tom was due to pick her equation: life = matter + information.
up from an evening meeting, but decided to It is a cast-iron rule of physics that
take a swim first. He had an undiagnosed information cannot be destroyed. So might
heart condition, and while in the pool had physics provide a back door for some form
a catastrophic aneurysm. Michelle rode of afterlife in which information associated
L
ARS IGUM RASMUSSEN and his metabolic physiologist Filip Knop at the
mates were going large. Donning their University of Copenhagen. While Rasmussen
lederhosen, the three middle-aged was interested in finding out what havoc
men headed into Oktoberfest in Munich, excessive boozing wreaks on the bodies of
Germany, the world’s biggest folk and beer middle-aged men, Knop had another motive
festival. There, each proceeded to quaff an for getting involved. He and his colleague
average of 7.5 litres of beer a day, for three Matt Gillum had been itching to test a new
days. It was a spectacular bender. idea about people’s appetite for alcohol – but
Getting hammered wasn’t the main aim couldn’t, in good conscience, solicit anyone
of the exercise, however: Rasmussen is to partake in a binge of this magnitude.
health correspondent for Danish magazine “It would give the ethics officer a heart
Politiken and was writing a story exploring attack,” says Gillum. Volunteers, however,
the physiological effects of binge drinking. were a different matter.
To understand what was happening to him What Knop and Gillum discovered is
and his friends, he had enlisted the help of helping to build a picture of how our bodies
Knop and Gillum’s study fits in. They wanted FGF21 production,” he says.
to find out what would happen to a hormone The fact that a liver hormone has such
produced in the liver, fibroblast growth factor a specific effect on the brain came as a
21 (FGF21), when Rasmussen and his friends big surprise. Scientists already knew
went on their bender. of hormones that can reduce appetite
This hormone first drew attention in the generally, including ones that act on the >
RE N O
Thinking iconic missions, space stations and
GIS W
developing space tourism industry,
TE
including three NASA space centers and
R
about exploring Virgin Galactic Spaceport America.
for some of the tours later next year, with Professor Tamsin Mather. Explore the
TE
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BO NO
What is the
future of food?
L-R HOLLIE ADAMS/BLOOMBERG VIA GETTY IMAGES; BILLY MUTAI/SOPA IMAGES VIA GETTY IMAGES
Thousands of people participated in New Scientist’s
first all-day virtual event to get a glimpse of the
future of food and agriculture from world-leading
specialists. Layal Liverpool joined them
N
EW SCIENTIST’S most ambitious Rising temperatures and shifting seasons
virtual event yet took place on are also increasingly impacting our food in
Saturday 28 November. The Future other ways, said McGlade. “Moulds are really
of Food and Agriculture saw more than loving climate change,” she told the audience,
5500 people register for a day packed full of and while plants can defend themselves
inspiring talks from world-leading scientists against poisons released by moulds, such
and technologists about what we eat and as aflatoxin, in order to survive, that doesn’t
how we grow it on our changing planet. stop these nasty substances from making
The audience had their pick of 15 expertly their way into our food. “Kenya had to
curated talks across three virtual stages destroy a third of its maize stock last year systems and on the natural environmental
tackling some of the most challenging because of aflatoxin poisoning,” she said. systems that support them.
questions facing humanity today, including McGlade and other speakers throughout “A further challenge is the change in diets
how to feed 11 billion people sustainably, how the day acknowledged that covid-19 has set towards those that are reliant on animal-
robots are reshaping the future of agriculture back efforts to tackle food insecurity and sourced products. And that matters, because,
and why we should eat insects. A further malnutrition. But the pandemic is also by and large, livestock-sourced foods have
30 sessions about everything from plant putting a spotlight on human resilience, a much bigger resource requirement than
health to autonomous tractors were run McGlade told viewers. plant-sourced foods,” Simm explained.
by leaders in the field. As we continue to face these problems, So should everyone in the world adopt a
Alongside all the fantastic talks, the we must not forget the importance of food plant-based diet? It might not be so simple,
audience also engaged with researchers quality, as well as quantity, she said. “We need said Simm. If we want to be able to feed the
directly through nine virtual rooms, to think about our agriculture not only as growing population in a more sustainable
featuring everything from 360-degree lab food production, but also as land stewardship, way, we need to improve the way we use
visits and live chats with scientists and thinking about where we grow crops, how land, he told the audience.
roboticists to a session on the science of close to wild areas, what’s the zoonosis pool – “Many people assume that the optimal
cheese and an insect-eating demonstration. the pool of diseases that might actually start level of livestock production if you want to
Over on the main stage, environmental to infect our food systems.” minimise land use is zero, but in fact it’s not,”
scientist Jacqueline McGlade spoke from We need to generate food for a growing said Simm. That is because livestock can use
Nairobi in Kenya about the profound impact number of people too. Geoff Simm at the the by-products from crop production, as
climate change is having on global food University of Edinburgh, UK, spoke on the well as low-grade grains that aren’t suitable
production. “Plants are responding in a Field stage about feeding people sustainably for human consumption, and they can use
tremendous way to climate change,” she as the global population rises. grass and forage grown on land that is
said. Some of our most important crops are “It’s really in the last 300 years or so that unsuitable for crop production.
reacting to droughts by producing poisonous we’ve seen a dramatic increase in the number “We believe that probably we minimise
cyanide compounds, she explained – and of humans on Earth, over a 10-fold increase arable land use, with between 16 and 40 per
these dangerous compounds are already in that time,” said Simm. “That explains cent of our protein coming from animal
ending up in crucial produce such as cassava. why there is so much pressure on our food sources,” said Simm. “Of course, it’s not the
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The back pages
Puzzles Almost the last word Tom Gauld for Feedback Twisteddoodles
Try our crossword, Does a growing New Scientist Lion’s testicles and for New Scientist
quick quiz and lively population affect A cartoonist’s take crafting with cat hair; Picturing the lighter
logic puzzle p52 Earth’s mass? p54 on the world p55 the week in weird p56 side of life p56
Stargazing at home
Answers on page 55
Puzzle
set by Rob Eastaway
#89 Sunday drivers
Answers and
a giant cryptic The single lane road around Lake
crossword next week Pittoresca is scenic, but a pain if
you want to get somewhere fast.
Four couples staying at the Hotel
ACROSS DOWN
Hilberto plan a day trip to the
7 Yahoo initially lampoons early invention (5) 1 Copy short string (4) lakeside village of Paradiso. The
8 Egg-laying mammal with English and 2 Chest feature can jam component (6) driver for each couple habitually
Greek X chromosome material (7) 3 French mathematician prepared takes life at a different speed. Mr
10 Nickel bonds with overused ion (7) basic paellas (6,6) Presto likes to go full throttle in his
11 Ditch traps upper-class scoundrel (5) 4 Studio effect always used in R&B (6) Porsche. Mme Vivace isn’t quite
12 Ahead of time, rock band REM 5 So upset about grim smells (6) such a speedy driver. The Andantes
stole famous numbers (10,3) 6 Audience’s senses of taste: what prefer a leisurely drive, while
13 Hack at deli item with overhanging many painters grasp (8) inconsiderate Mr and Mrs Lento
parts for roll wrappings (7,6) 9 Truncated Beatles album one critic trashed creep along in second gear.
17 Colour seen flipped in optical illusion (5) for having “...the Sun” in the middle (12)
18 Guard identifying badge in reflection (7) 12 Feigning modesty about journal If a car finds itself behind a slower
20 Astronomer and I delay retiring supporting my study of fungi (8) car, there is no choice but to follow
constellation name (7) 14 Lad gulps “bad” cholesterol at the slower speed, and form a
21 Inactive knight involved in strange rite (5) with confidence (6) larger “clump” of cars (a clump can
15 For example, one getting hammered be any number, from one upwards).
upended festive drink (6)
16 Male tenants smoked e-cigs and After Sunday breakfast, all four
behaved seductively (6) couples set off and find they are in
19 A, B, C, D, F or G, say? (4) the only cars on the road. By the
time they arrive at Paradiso, they
are in two clumps. Later, they all
head back in reverse order, and
arrive at the hotel in three clumps.
Mr Presto looks particularly stressed
because he was barely able to put
his foot down on the journey back.
Our crosswords are now solvable online In which order did they set out?
newscientist.com/crosswords
Answer next week
VVVITA/ALAMY
across the world and have even habitat we encroach on. Even so,
been part of people who lived people are a tiny fraction of the
in past centuries. total mass of Earth. Seven billion
As such, each of us is a people are estimated to have a
temporary collection of elements This week's new questions mass of 280 billion kilograms,
borrowed from the largely finite which is less than 5 × 10-14 per
mass of the Earth system and Myopic wildlife Many people are long or short-sighted. cent of that of the whole planet.
will ultimately be recycled back Is this the same for other animals, and if so, how do they cope?
into it. Ashes to ashes. Frank Wigger, Heidelberg, Germany Patrick Forsyth
Maldon, Essex, UK
Greg Harris Recycling racket Why is the noise so deafeningly loud when There are far too many of us
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates I empty a bag of empty bottles into the glass recycling hopper? and we are adversely affecting
While the human population John May, Flitwick, Bedfordshire, UK the environment through
has doubled in the past 50 years, depletion of resources, climate
that life and almost all that change and extinctions.
sustains it is produced from Chris Warman Mike Follows Wait a minute… sorry, I misread
matter already within Earth’s Hinderwell, North Yorkshire, UK Sutton Coldfield, West Midlands, UK the question as “mess”.
gravity well, making no net If the mass of Earth’s human Humans are increasing Earth’s
change to Earth’s mass. population increases, that mass mass indirectly. I calculate that Different views
The exception to this is that is derived from whatever is being human activity makes our planet
Earth gains between 30,000 consumed by those people. 150 tonnes heavier per year via an What exactly occurs in the eyes to
What should be of concern is enhanced greenhouse effect. make some people short-sighted
“Each of us is a that, if we continue our present This is because the greenhouse and others long-sighted?
exploitative behaviour, we are gases we emit have the same effect (continued)
temporary collection gaining mass at the expense of as increasing the sun’s brightness
of elements borrowed other “forms most beautiful by just over 0.8 watts per square Tony Harding
from the Earth system and most wonderful” that so metre, and, according to Einstein’s Sarsfield, Victoria, Australia
and will ultimately be delighted Charles Darwin. famous equation E=mc2, more Time spent outdoors may make
recycled back into it” It isn’t too fanciful to imagine energy in the system means it less likely that people become
that for so many more people, greater mass. short-sighted because of exposure
and 100,00 tonnes of space dust there will be an equivalent loss to different wavelengths of light,
every year, some of which is of elephants and orangutans, Hillary Shaw as a previous answer suggested,
integrated into our biosystems. and for every extra plantation Newport, Shropshire, UK but I suspect the explanation
The planet is estimated to lose of oil palm trees, there will be The total mass of humanity, is simpler than that.
close to 100,000 tonnes per year fewer hectares of rainforest. even with almost 8 billion of us, I suggest that changes in
of atmospheric hydrogen and Earth may not actually gain is minuscule compared with eyeball shape that give rise to
helium, however, creating a net in weight, but it will be labouring the masses of other organisms long or short-sightedness are a
loss of up to 70,000 tonnes a year. under an additional burden. on the planet. consequence of the growth spurt
That loss is almost at puberty when the eye must
inconsequentially small relative Want to send us a question or answer? enlarge but retain clear vision. If
to the total mass of the planet, and Email us at lastword@newscientist.com you are a reader, the eye adapts to
has nothing to do with increases Questions should be about everyday science phenomena provide clear vision at the normal
in human population size. Full terms and conditions at newscientist.com/lw-terms distance between book and reader
3 Micropsia
5 Capsaicin
Quick Crossword
#72 Answers
ACROSS 9 Angular momentum,
10 Bisects, 12 Preemie,
while if you spend most of your “Fasting for 16 to 18 health benefits in terms of 13 Cambridge, 14 Sci-fi,
time outdoors it will adapt to hours a day has clear reducing risk factors for diabetes 15 Sputnik, 18 Subzero,
accommodate more distant views. and cardiovascular disease. 21 Quota, 23 Wear a mask,
health benefits in A defining feature of the eating 25 Emetics, 26 Titrate,
terms of reducing the patterns in intermittent fasting is 29 Cherenkov effect
Healthy spread
risk of cardiovascular that they must include periods of
If you eat three meals a day, does disease and diabetes” time with no calorie intake. These DOWN 1 Carb, 2 Eggs, 3 Electron,
it make a difference if they are must be of sufficient duration 4 Erased, 5 Morpheus, 6 Recess,
taken within, say, an 8-hour full. This is especially true if you to deplete the glucose stores in 7 Ptomaine, 8 Impetigo,
window or a 14-hour one? eat less-calorie-dense foods like the liver and then release fatty 11 In-app, 15 Sequence,
vegetables, which can physically acids from fat cells which are then 16 Udometer, 17 Kawasaki,
Lewis O’Shaughnessy fill your stomach. If you ate exactly converted into chemicals called 19 Blast off, 20 Reset,
Nottingham, UK the same food over an 8 or 14-hour ketones. The liver stores about 22 Amines, 24 Active,
Human metabolism is incredibly window, there would be negligible 400 to 500 calories of glucose, 27 Apex, 28 EDTA
complex and no one has impact on your weight. which will last for about 10 or
developed the perfect way to Second, as with any diet, time- 12 hours. For the metabolic
cheat the system and lose weight. restricted fasting makes us more switch from glucose to ketones
Time-restricted fasting has aware of what we are eating. This to be fully engaged, a person #88 Rifling the draw
become a popular way to lose means many people who follow it must fast for at least 14 hours. Solution
weight or retain a healthy weight, tend to have diets that are better Exercise can accelerate the
but, on the whole, studies have balanced or eat less overall. Eating onset of the metabolic switch The chance that Kate has won is
shown little impact to body weight main meals late at night, however, during fasting. For example, 1 in 7. Suppose they each shoot
when the only variable is the time can have detrimental effects on if a person goes on a 1-hour run 25 times: 12/25 times Pat will
over which we eat. Where there sleep and overall health, as a result in the morning before eating hit and Kate will miss (= 4/5 x
have been reports of weight loss of fluctuations in hormone levels. breakfast, they will deplete their 3/5). Just 2/25 times Kate will hit
resulting from time-restricted liver glucose stores and switch and Pat will miss (= 1/5 x 2/5).
fasting, these impacts are likely Mark Mattson, to “fat burning mode” during
to result from one of two causes. Johns Hopkins University, their run. Recent research So when there is a single hit,
First, restricting the time in Baltimore, US suggests that intermittent the odds are 6:1 (or 6/7) that
which you can eat makes it harder Evidence suggests that 16-18 hour fasting can enhance many of it is Pat’s.
to eat too much without getting daily fasting periods provide clear the health benefits of exercise. ❚