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Elliott Wave Patterns & Fibonacci Relationships Core Reference Guide
Elliott Wave Patterns & Fibonacci Relationships Core Reference Guide
Elliott Wave Patterns & Fibonacci Relationships Core Reference Guide
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Elliott Wave Theory attempts to identify recurring price movements within financial markets and to classify them into a set of
meaningful patterns, which can become a reliable tool for future price predictions. The underlying principle is that price-
action unfolds via an endless alternation between trending and corrective cycles, while producing this effect on any relative
and therefore create trend) and corrective waves (i.e. price movements that are reactionary in relation to the previous
trend-setting move). Corrective waves essentially attempt to revert or undo the movement that was initiated by the
internal wave size relationships. The images highlight the most common wave retracement and extension targets in red,
followed by the next most common targets in orange, followed by the least common targets in grey.
Please refer to your Elliott Wave drawing software for the appropriate names and symbols used for each officially defined
degree. Alternatively, you may simply label different degrees with different-colored labels on your chart.
If wave 2 is sharp (i.e. zigzag or extended zigzag) and deep (i.e. deep in the sense of how much it retraces the preceding
wave 1), then wave 4 will most likely going to be sideways (flat, combination, or triangle) and shallow relative to wave 3.
The same applies in reverse but is less common. This is because triangles (which only appear during wave 4 inside a
motive wave) are considered to be alternating to all other corrective patterns. That means even if wave 2 is a shallow
sideways correction, a triangle can still appear in wave 4, but it is less likely.
Alternation also occurs in terms of wave complexity. If a potential bigger complex correction starts out simple at first,
then expect complexity to increase during the following parts of the correction (i.e. simple-complex-most complex). The
reverse can also apply (i.e. most complex-complex-simple) but it is more rare.
If wave 1 is short, then wave 3 is likely to be extended, and wave 5 likely to be short again. If wave 1 is extended, then
wave 3 and 5 are most likely not extended. If neither wave 1 nor wave 3 is extended, then wave 5 probably will be
extended. If wave 3 is extremely long and overstretched, wave is 5 more in danger of being truncated.
just in terms of size/magnitude (which can generally be verified by Fibonacci retracement and extension ratios), but also in
terms of time duration. This balancing can occur either via alternation and/or via equality.
Consider the following as an example for ‘balance through alternation’: an impulse is showing a classic deep and short-
lived wave 2, plus a shallow but time-lengthy wave 4. The time-lengthiness of wave 4 is in balance with the depth of wave 2,
while the shallowness of wave 4 is in balance with the short-lived nature of wave 2, thereby creating balance through
alternation.
The same need for balance applies for any motive waves within a 5-wave sequence (i.e. 1,3, and 5). The exception however
will be the potentially extended wave within the sequence. It can/will be much larger in terms of magnitude and time than
the other four waves, but the sub-waves (inside the extended wave) must show a balance to each other. The extended wave
will also express relatedness to the other waves of the sequence by the angle of the overall price movement (that’s why
impulsive motive waves travel quite neatly within parallel channel lines most of the time, even if one of the waves is
extended).
Consider the following as an example for ‘balance through equality AND alternation’. Wave 1 and 5 of an impulse
sequence are equal in size and duration (equality), while wave 3 is extended (alternation to waves 1 and 5).
Alarm bells should be going off when a potential wave 4 is starting to grow out of proportion in terms of size and duration
It is dangerous to disregard the factor of balanced proportions during wave counting. Disproportionate and
The ‘right look’ may not be evident at all degrees of trend simultaneously, so it is best to focus on the degrees that are the
clearest.
Note: The percentages in the above for Fibonacci extension targets are drawn from the start of the wave, but the ratios are based on
the size of the preceding motive wave (i.e. targets of 3 are relative to the size of wave 1, targets of wave 5 are relative to the size of
wave 3.
(https://www.elitecurrensea.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/wave-guide-1-min.png)
(https://www.elitecurrensea.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/wave-guide-4-min.png)
(https://www.elitecurrensea.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/wave-guide-4-min.png)
(https://www.elitecurrensea.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/wave-guide-5-min.png)Rules:
Wave 3 must never be the shortest (in terms of percentage gain/loss) within the sequence
Wave 2 is always a corrective pattern and must not retrace more than 100% of wave 1
Wave 2 can be any corrective pattern except a triangle (but it can be a complex combination (wxy or wxyz) that ends with
a triangle)
Guidelines:
Waves 2 and 4 tend to create alternation between each other (as outlined in the introduction of this guide)
Wave 2 usually retraces to deeper levels of wave 1 than wave 4 does relative to wave 3
Wave 2 develops more commonly as a simple corrective pattern (i.e. zigzag or double/triple zigzag)
Wave 4 develops more commonly as a complex corrective pattern (i.e. triangle, double/triple threes, flat)
In almost all impulses, one of the action waves (1,3, or 5) becomes extended, and it is most commonly wave 3
Wave 5 can fail to go beyond wave 3 (truncation) but it is not very common. It usually happens when wave 3 has been
exceptionally long and overstretched. Truncation often results in significant reversals.
Wave 5 is most likely not going to form a diagonal if wave 3 is not extended
An impulse is not over until all sub degrees are finished (e.g. 5 of 5 of 5). The wave count takes precedence over channel
Wave 3 almost always exhibits the greatest volume. If volume during the 5th wave is as high as the 3rd, expect an
If wave 1 is extended, then the size of wave 3 through to the end of wave 5 is often 61.8% – 78.6% relative to the size of
wave 1
If wave 1 is extended, then wave 2 and 4 are very likely to be shallow (i.e. 23.6% – 38.2%)
If wave 1 is extended, then wave 2 will often end at the level of sub-wave 4 of 1 (i.e. the internal wave 4 of wave 1)
If wave 2 retraces more than 78.6% of wave 1, the idea that it really is a wave 2 becomes more doubtful (possible A-B?)
If wave 3 is extended, then wave 1 and 5 are often nearly equal in magnitude and duration. If equality is lacking, a 61.8%
relationship is next most likely.
If wave 3 is extended, then wave 4 often ends at the level of sub-wave 4 of 3 and is quite shallow (retraces 23.6% – 38.2%
of wave 3)
If wave 3 is extended and very vertical, it will likely overshoot the trend channel that can be drawn when placing the
anchor points at the extremities of wave 1, 2 and 4. However the channel is still very valid for gauging the end of wave 5
(see image)
If wave 4 retraces more than 50% of wave 3, it is quite often not a wave 4.
If wave 5 is extended, then it often finishes at the 161.8% extension relative to the magnitude of wave 1 through to 3 (see
image)
If wave 5 is extended, then the ensuing correction is often sharp and swift and ends near the extreme of sub-wave 2 of
the extension. This does not apply when the market is ending a 5th wave simultaneously at more than one degree.
(https://www.elitecurrensea.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/wave-guide-6-min.png)
Note: The percentages in the above for Fibonacci extension targets are drawn from the start of the wave, but the ratios are based on
the size of the preceding motive wave (i.e. targets of 3 are relative to the size of wave 1, targets of wave 5 are relative to the size of
wave 3.
(https://www.elitecurrensea.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/wave-guide-7-min.png)
Note: The percentages in the above for Fibonacci extension targets are drawn from the start of the wave, but the ratios are based on
the size of the preceding motive wave (i.e. targets of 3 are relative to the size of wave 1, targets of wave 5 are relative to the size of
wave 3.
Rules:
Diagonals can be ‘leading’ or ‘ending’ diagonals, depending on whether they form at the start or end of a trend. Diagonals
therefore can only form in the positions of wave 1 (leading) or 5 (ending) of an impulse, or the positions of wave A
Within an ending diagonal, all 5 waves must be zigzags (simple-, double-, and triple-zigzags are all valid)
Within a leading diagonal, at least waves 2 and 4 must be zigzags (simple-, double-, and triple-zigzags are all valid). Waves
1, 3 and 5 can be impulses or zigzags. (If 1, 3, and 5 are impulses, be aware that it could easily be a 1-2, 1-2, 1-2 sequence
instead of a diagonal)
Wave 4 must overlap with wave 1(please note that opinions differ over this rule. There are some Elliott Wave researchers who
believe that ending and leading diagonals can be valid without wave 4 needing to move into territory of wave 1, although they
still consider it unusual)
Leading and expanding diagonals must not have a truncated 5th wave.
Contracting diagonals always have a shorter wave 3 than wave 1 (in terms of percentage gain/loss)
Contracting diagonals always have a shorter wave 5 than wave 3 (in terms of percentage gain/loss)
Contracting diagonals always have a shorter wave 4 than wave 2 (in terms of percentage gain/loss)
Expanding diagonals always have a longer wave 3 than wave 1 (in terms of percentage gain/loss)
Expanding diagonals always have a longer wave 5 than wave 3 (in terms of percentage gain/loss)
Expanding diagonals always have a longer wave 4 than wave 2 (in terms of percentage gain/loss)
Guidelines:
Contracting diagonals form within two converging trend lines (contracting wedge)
Contracting diagonals can overshoot its trend line during wave 5 (called throw-over) and still be valid as long as wave 5
remains smaller than wave 3
Contracting ending diagonals can also undershoot its trend line during wave 5 (truncation).
Contracting ending diagonals should always show a corresponding decrease in momentum as they progress towards
their culmination. Many small candles that take a lot of time to gain further ground is a good sign that an ending diagonal
is indeed occurring. Conversely, strong big candles within a potential diagonal formation should be a warning sign that
you are probably witnessing a 1-2, 1-2, 1-2 extension of the trend, and therefore not an ending diagonal.
Expanding diagonals form within two diverging trend lines (expanding wedge). They are more rare than contracting
diagonals
Wave 2 and 4 of any diagonal very often retrace their wave 1 and 3 much deeper when compared to wave 2 and 4 of
impulses
The internal zigzags of any diagonal can sometimes subdivide into more complex double or triple zigzags
Any diagonal can begin to be confirmed with higher certainty once wave 4 is close to being complete
Diagonals are more rare in general (although they do occur quite frequently within sub-waves of very small wave degrees
A place to watch out for potential expanding leading diagonals is at the start of stock market declines (due to the
opposing forces that are in play during this transitional period). Diagonals occur because of transitory forces of trend
changes act against each other
Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Guidelines: Refer to image for key retracements and extension targets
Note: The percentages in the above for Fibonacci extension targets are drawn from the start of the wave, but the ratios are based on
the size of the preceding wave of the same direction (i.e. targets of C are relative to the size of wave A, targets of wave Y are relative
to the size of wave W, targets of wave Z are relative to the size of wave Y.
Rules:
Only one diagonal is allowed (A or C) per zigzag, i.e. it must have at least one impulse (A or C)
Wave B can be any corrective pattern (zigzag, flat, triangle, complex combination)
Guidelines:
Wave C should normally always go beyond A. Wave C can in principle be truncated (i.e. not go beyond wave A) but it is
extremely rare.
Zigzags can become extended into double or triple zigzags, in which case they are labeled wxy (double zigzag) and wxyz
(triple zigzag). W, Y, and Z will each subdivide into their own ABC zigzag, while the X wave/s can be any corrective pattern
(they take on the same role as B waves in a simple zigzag). Extended zigzags usually form when a simple zigzag appears
too small in terms of time and magnitude in order to be proportional to the swing, which it is correcting.
Zigzags can take many shapes and sizes. One of the features that can help distinguish an A-B-C zigzag from a potential
1-2-3 impulse is that wave A and B will be much more overlapping in general and A waves tend to finish quicker than
wave 1 in terms of time and magnitude. Zigzags should often show a very gently sloping channel, whereas 1-2-3 are
typically much more steep
or C = 61.8% x A
If wave B is a triangle, there is a higher chance that wave C may only reach the 61.8% extension target.
If wave B is any other sideways correction, it will typically 38% – 50% of wave A
(https://www.elitecurrensea.com/wp-
content/uploads/2018/08/wave-guide-9-min.png)
Rules:
Wave A and B must subdivide into any corrective pattern, but Wave A cannot be a triangle
Guidelines:
The structure is called an ‘Expanding” Flat if Wave B retraces between 105% – 138% of wave A, and Wave C ends
anywhere beyond the end of wave A. Expanding Flats occur most commonly.
The structure is called a ‘Regular‘ Flat, if wave B retraces between 90 %- 105% of wave A, and the size of wave C is 100% –
105% of wave A. Regular Flats are more rare.
The structure is called a ‘Running’ Flat if Wave B ends beyond the start of wave A, but wave C fails to reach beyond the
end of wave A. Running Flats are very rare and alternative wave counts should therefore always be considered before
labeling anything as a running flat, especially on larger scales.
Whenever an impulse (trend) ends in what looks like a 3-wave swing and then reverse sharply, be mindful that it could be
an expanding flat and that the old trend direction may resume suddenly.
Wave C is usually 100% – 161.8% x Wave A in size, but it is possible that it becomes as big as 261.8% on rare occasions.
Sometimes the target for wave C can also be gauged by using the start of Wave A as the base for the 161.8% extension
target (instead of using the start of wave C as the base). This method creates a slightly different price level and broadens
the target area a little
only shown it the Contracting Triangle example in order to avoid clutteringthe drawing with too many lines. Please be aware that all
waves within all triangles consist of corrective wave patterns, even if they are not shown in the image.
Rules:
A triangle can only appear in the position of wave 4 of an impulse, wave B/X of zigzags and flats , wave Y of double three
sideways corrections, or wave Z of triple three sideways corrections.
A triangle never has more than one complex wave. The complex wave within a triangle can only be a double/triple zig-zag
or a triangle itself.
In contracting & barrier triangles, Wave C does not move beyond wave A, wave D does not move beyond wave B, and
wave E does not move beyond wave C. This results in two converging trend lines forming as the triangle progresses. The
main difference between a barrier triangle is that it creates a virtually horizontal trend line between points B and D.
In an expanding triangle, Waves B, C, D, and E must retrace at least 100% of the previous wave, but no more than 150%.
This results in two diverging trend lines forming formed as the triangle progresses.
Guidelines:
In a contracting triangle, wave B can end beyond the start of wave A (about 60% of the time). The structure is then called
a ‘Running’ Contracting Triangle (see image)
Wave E will quite likely undershoot or overshoot the triangle trend line. This is normal.
Expanding triangles and barrier triangles are much more rare than contracting triangles.
Often, one of the waves becomes complex. It tends to be wave C or D that turns into a complex zigzag (double/triple).
Sometimes wave C, D, or E turns into a barrier or contracting triangle by itself. If the final wave E turns into a triangle, the
whole structure appears to extend into 9 waves, which become ever more narrow. The triangle then gets labeled as A-B-
C-D-E-F-G-H-I
There is usually a (wave 5) post-triangle thrust after wave E is finished, which will roughly be the same size as the width of
The (wave 5) post-triangle thrust in commodity prices is usually the longest wave of the entire trend.
In a contracting or barrier triangle many waves have a 61.8% – 78.6% relationship to the previous wave or alternating
wave
In an expanding triangle, wave C is usually 161.8% of wave A , wave D is 161.8% of wave B, and wave E is 161.8% of wave
review/#xm-special-offer-review)
(https://www.elitecurrensea.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/wave-guide-12-min.png)Rules:
A complex sideways combination consists of three or five corrective patterns, which alternate in their orientation, thereby
creating a complex sideways motion. The central, dividing corrective patterns (X waves) always orientate in the direction
of the previously established trend. A ‘Double Three’ combination is therefore essentially made up of 3 corrective
patterns (W-X-Y) in alternating directions, and a ‘Triple Three’ combination consists of 5 corrective patterns (W-X-Y-X-Z) in
alternating directions.
can be any corrective pattern in addition (including double or triple three combinations of a smaller degree!).
A Triple Three works in the same manner as a Double Three, and it also only allowed to have one zigzag and one triangle
in the W, Y, and Z positions. X waves in a Triple Three can be any corrective patterns in addition (including double or
triple three combinations of a smaller degree!)
Triangles are only allowed to form in the final wave of the combination sequence (i.e. in a Double-Three during wave Y, or
IMPORTANT NOTE: Opinions differ amongst Elliott Wave researchers over whether or not waves W, Y, and Z are also
allowed to be complex combinations within themselves (e.g. a smaller wxy within W, and so on). The original research
presented that W, Y and Z each need to be able to be broken down into a simple corrective pattern (i.e. zigzag, flat, or
triangle) at the next smaller degree, and only X-waves could in principle sprout smaller combinations inside themselves.
However, some modern analysts are proposing that market behaviour is more complex these days and are validating
potentially labelling smaller complex corrections inside W, Y and Z as well. Personally, I have so far not found any use by
further complicating the potential of wave W, Y and Z. In the contrary, I have found that it can lead to ‘over-labelling’ of
corrections and cause misjudgements in regards to the start of trend continuation or correction targets. If you are starting out
with Elliott Waves, I would recommend to stay with the original rules that W, Y and Z should be able to be broken down into
Guidelines:
Even though X waves could in theory also be a triangle, in addition to a triangle in the final wave of a combination, this
has never occurred and most likely never will, simply due to the underlying market dynamics. Therefore the final Y or Z
will almost certainly never be another triangle, if an X-wave was already a triangle.
Expanding triangles are extremely rare within a complex combination and have probably never been witnessed (as far as
is publicly known
Sideways combinations are by their nature range bound. Generally, all waves retrace each other around 78% – 138%,
creating either a virtually horizontal movement, or a channel that is very gently sloping against the previous trend
direction.
Guide Created and Compiled by Hubert Miranda Follow on Twitter: @miranda_hubert (https://twitter.com/miranda_hubert)
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