Simple

Technical Analysis

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 Analisa Teknikal

Analisa pergerakan saham

berdasarkan harga dan volume

Analisa teknikal berdasarkan pada pola-pola grafik yang telah terjadi

dimasa lalu yang dapat dijadikan patokan untuk memprediksi masa
datang
 Chart

1. Line Chart
2. Bar Chart
3. Candle Chart
 Line Chart

Line chart hanya menampilkan harga closing yang dihubungkan dengan

garis sehingga membentuk grafik.
Bar Chart
 High

Close Open

Open Close

Low
Candle Chart
 Candlestick
Bullish Candle Bearish Candle

High High
Upper
Shadow
Close Open

Real
Body

Open Close
Lower
Shadow
Low Low
 Trend

Kecenderungan pergerakan harga saham dalam jangka waktu

tertentu (pendek, menengah, panjang)

1. Bullish
2. Bearish
3. Sideways
Bullish
Bearish
Sideways
 Trend Analysis
HH
HH LH
LH

• Interpretasi Chart
• Tentukan arah trend
HL
HL LL

• Periksa signal trend menguat

LL

Up trend Down trend

atau melemah (Higher highs and lows) (Lower highs and lows)

• Jangan berasumsi trend telah

HH
berbalik, kecuali ada signal LH

jelas bahwa trend opposite

telah mulai.

HL
LL

Start of Up trend End of up trend

(End of down trend) (Start of down trend)
Trend Analysis
 Support – Resistance

Support adalah suatu tingkat harga dimana biasanya terjadi

tekanan jual di imbangi oleh pembelian, sehingga penurunan
harga dapat tertahan, bahkan menjadi balik arah ke atas.

Resistance adalah suatu tingkat harga dimana biasanya tekanan

beli di imbangi oleh penjualan, sehingga kenaikan harga dapat
tertahan, bahkan menjadi balik arah ke bawah.
Line
Trend Line
 Moving Average Line

EMA15
Fibonacci
 When Time To Buy ?

Break High At Support Rebound

 Technical Indicator

1. Stochastic Oscillator
2. MACD
3. Bollinger Band
 Stochastic Oscillator
Jual Jual
Jual
Jual

80 Jual
Jual
%K (14)

Jual

%D(3)

20

Beli Beli Beli

Beli
Beli

%K : The current market rate for the currencypair

%D : 3-period moving average of %K
Stochastic Oscillator
 MACD
1. MACD Line : EMA12-EMA26 ( )
2. MACD Signal Line : EMA9 MACD Line ( )
3. MACD Histogram : MACD Line – MACD Signal Line ( )

Jual
Jual

Jual
Jual

Beli
Beli

Beli

Beli
MACD
Bollinger Band
Upper Band
+2 Standard Deviations

20
SMA

Lower Band
-2 Standard Deviations
 Type of Candlestick

•Bullish/Bearish Continuation
•Bullish/Bearish Reversal
Bullish Continuation

Long
White
Marubozu
 Bearish Continuation

Long
Black
Black
Marubozu
Long black marubozu

Long White marubozu

 Candlesticks : Bullish Reversal

Bullish Doji Bullish Engulfing Harami Piercing Pattern

Hammer Inverted Hammer Morning Star Tweezer Bottom

 Candlesticks : Bearish Reversal

Bearish Doji Bearish Engulfind Harami Dark Cloud Cover

Hanging Man Shooting Star Evening Star Tweezer Top

 Tweezer Top

Tweezer Bottom Harami

 Candlesticks
Reversal or Continuation
Hal yang paling penting dari candlestick yaitu : pola reversal dari
suatu pergerakan

Jadi apabila suatu saham sedang bullish (yang juga ditandai dengan
candlestick bullish) lalu kemudian membentuk pola candlestick
bearish maka diduga saham tersebut akan mengalami koreksi

Demikian juga sebaliknya, apabila suatu saham sedang mengalami

trend bearish (dengan candlestick bearish yang terjadi terus-
menerus) maka ketika membentuk pola candlestick bullish maka
diduga trend bearish yang sedang terjadi akan berakhir
 Candlesticks : Time Frame

Kita harus melihat candlestick yang terjadi pada setiap time

frame : monthly, weekly dan daily

Usahakan selalu melihat grafik pada time frame yang paling

besar yaitu monthly baru kemudian ke weekly dan daily sebagai
time frame yang paling kecil

Hal ini sangat penting karena candlestick pada time frame

monthly/weekly tersebut yang menjadi patokan
 Technical : Art & Science

Analisa teknikal BUKAN ilmu pasti

Perlu diingat bahwa analisa teknikal mesti di tunjang trading plan
(entry & exit strategy)

Trading plan :
1) rencana dimana kita akan masuk posisi dan keluar serta cut loss
(sebaiknya dengan menggunakan support bukan persentase)
2) Pada time frame berapa ? Sebaiknya konsisten
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