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Whirlpool Q3FY21 Result Update - Others
Whirlpool Q3FY21 Result Update - Others
Whirlpool Q3FY21 Result Update - Others
Rating Upside
HOLD () (0.7) %
Q3 EBITDA print was impacted by one-offs, i.e., special items and timing impact, to the Change in Estimates
tune of Rs264mn. Adjusted EBITDA was up 41.6% yoy to Rs1.3bn but missed Emkay EPS Chg FY21E/FY22E (%) (1.0)/(2.6)
Target Price change (%) 10.4
estimate by 10%, while adj. EBITDA margins rose 145bps yoy to 8.5%.
Target Period (Months) 12
The 18% revenue growth was driven by market share gains, strong festive demand and Previous Reco HOLD
recovery in Metros and large towns. In our view, product mix change towards increased Emkay vs Consensus
premiumization has impacted gross margins in addition to commodity price inflation. EPS Estimates
We expect revenue momentum to sustain going forward as demand recovery has been FY21E FY22E
stronger than expected. However, the demand impact of price hikes - to pass on input cost Emkay 29.3 43.7
inflation - will be the key monitorable. Consensus - -
Mean Consensus TP (12M) Rs 1,963
The lower-than-expected margin print has led to FY21-22E EPS cut of 1-3%, while we
Stock Details
keep FY23E unchanged. We are penciling gradual margin recovery over FY22-23 from the
Bloomberg Code WHIRL IN
lows of FY21. Hold with a revised TP of Rs2,428 (45x FY23E EPS).
Face Value (Rs) 10
Shares outstanding (mn) 127
Continued margin disappointment: Q3 revenue stood at Rs14.9bn (+17.5% yoy, -6.6%
52 Week H/L 2,787 / 1,343
qoq) in line with estimates. Adjusting for one-off item of Rs264mn, EBITDA rose 41.6% yoy
M Cap (Rs bn/USD bn) 310 / 4.25
to Rs1.3bn, with EBITDA margin of 8.5% (up 145bps yoy). Reported gross margin contracted
Daily Avg Volume (nos.) 1,27,295
292bps yoy/122 qoq, expected to be on account of adverse product mix and commodity
Daily Avg Turnover (US$ mn) 4.1
inflation. Employee expenses grew 14.3% and other expenses grew 4.7% yoy. Adj. PAT grew
14.8% yoy to Rs841mn, partly restricted by higher ETR, lower other income and higher Shareholding Pattern Dec '20
depreciation charge. Promoters 75.0%
FIIs 3.4%
Outlook: Q3 saw demand recovery in metros and large towns along with sustained
DIIs 11.3%
momentum in Tier-2/3 cities. Management continues to see robust demand for appliances.
The company’s focus on expanding reach and fast-paced new product launches have been Public and Others 10.4%
working in favor of the company with market share gains and in turn leading to strong revenue Price Performance
growth. Although the premium product strategy has resulted in improving the counter share, (%) 1M 3M 6M 12M
it has adversely impacted gross margins, in our view. Revenue growth is expected to continue, Absolute (6) 18 17 1
driven by sustained demand and favorable base, while the effect of the recent pricing action Rel. to Nifty (11) (5) (13) (19)
will be closely watched out to gauge demand impact. After aggressive distribution expansion,
Relative price chart
Whirlpool has now started to focus on product refreshment at shorter intervals. This should
2700 Rs % 10
help in sustaining market share with rising competitive intensity. The company has a strong
presence on e-commerce platforms and it is getting enhanced further with differentiated 2490 2
product offerings. Key risks: prolonged macro-slowdown; commodity and INR volatility; 2280 -6
market share losses; and margin erosion due to heightened competition. 2070 -14
Please see our sector model portfolio (Emkay Alpha Portfolio): Consumer Durables (page 8) 1860 -22
1650 -30
Feb-20Apr-20 Jun-20Aug-20 Oct-20 Dec-20Feb-21
Financial Snapshot (Consolidated) Whirlpool of India (LHS) Rel to Nifty (RHS)
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited
Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Story in Charts
Exhibit 1: Revenue growth of 17.5% broadly on expected lines Exhibit 2: Revenue expected to post 10% CAGR over FY20-23E
15%
(Rs mn)
0.0%
13000 10%
50000
-20.0% 5%
9000 -40.0% 30000 0%
-5%
5000 -60.0%
10000 -10%
1QFY19
2QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
1QFY21
2QFY21
3QFY21
FY14
FY21E
FY22E
FY23E
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
Revenue Revenue Growth Revenue Revenue Growth
Source: Company, Emkay Research Source: Company, Emkay Research
Exhibit 3: Gross margin contraction took toll on EBITDA growth Exhibit 4: EBITDA is expected to deliver 29% CAGR over FY21-23E
1QFY20
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
1QFY21
2QFY21
3QFY21
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21E
FY22E
FY23E
EBITDA EBITDA Growth EBITDA EBITDA Growth
Source: Company, Emkay Research Source: Company, Emkay Research
Exhibit 5: EBITDA margin saw sharp sequential fall due to one-offs Exhibit 6: We estimate EBITDA margin improvement from lows of FY21
33% 35%
23% 13% 15% 10% 10% 11%
9% 8% 7% 7% 25%
13% 5%
12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11%
3% 15% 9%
2QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
2QFY20
3QFY20
4QFY20
1QFY21
2QFY21
3QFY21
5%
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
7500
6500
5500
(Rs mn)
4500
3500
2500
1500
500
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21E
FY22E
FY23E
OCF FCF
Source: Company, Emkay Research
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited
Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021 | 2
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited
Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021 | 3
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Valuations charts
Exhibit 11: 1-year forward P/E band Exhibit 12: 1-year forward P/B band
3000 4000
65x
2500 3500 13x
55x
3000
2000 45x 11x
2500
9x
1500 35x 2000
7x
1000 1500
1000
500
500
0 0
Jul-19
Jan-19
Jun-20
Dec-19
Dec-13
Nov-14
Sep-16
Aug-17
Aug-18
Oct-15
Dec-20
Apr-16
Mar-17
Feb-18
May-14
May-15
Jul-19
Dec-13
Sep-16
Jan-19
Jun-20
Nov-14
Aug-17
Aug-18
Oct-15
Apr-16
Mar-17
Feb-18
Dec-19
Dec-20
May-14
May-15
Source: Company, Emkay Research Source: Company, Emkay Research
3500
3000
2500 55x
2000 46x
37x
1500
28x
1000
500
0
Jul-19
Sep-16
Dec-13
Nov-14
Aug-17
Aug-18
Jan-19
Dec-19
Jun-20
Dec-20
May-15
Oct-15
May-14
Apr-16
Mar-17
Feb-18
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited
Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021 | 4
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Balance Sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
Equity share capital 1,269 1,269 1,269 1,269 1,269
Reserves & surplus 20,158 24,200 27,421 32,222 38,159
Net worth 21,427 25,469 28,690 33,490 39,427
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0 0
Loan Funds 0 0 0 0 0
Net deferred tax liability (344) (375) (375) (375) (375)
Total Liabilities 21,083 25,094 28,315 33,115 39,052
Net block 5,082 7,089 7,270 6,967 6,376
Investment 6,563 5,506 5,506 5,506 5,506
Current Assets 24,668 30,026 32,799 41,381 50,622
Cash & bank balance 10,537 12,742 17,105 22,614 29,455
Other Current Assets 1,038 1,115 1,096 1,312 1,481
Current liabilities & Provision 15,664 17,968 17,700 21,179 23,892
Net current assets 9,004 12,059 15,099 20,202 26,730
Misc. exp 0 0 0 0 0
Total Assets 21,083 25,094 28,315 33,115 39,052
Cash Flow
Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
PBT (Ex-Other income) (NI+Dep) 5,218 5,242 3,823 5,852 7,109
Other Non-Cash items 0 0 0 0 0
Chg in working cap 49 (881) 1,323 406 313
Operating Cashflow 4,025 3,802 5,550 6,227 7,079
Capital expenditure (1,839) (3,308) (1,626) (1,309) (1,129)
Free Cash Flow 2,186 495 3,924 4,918 5,950
Investments (2,000) 1,058 0 0 0
Other Investing Cash Flow 173 243 0 0 0
Investing Cashflow (2,619) (720) (483) 239 915
Equity Capital Raised 0 0 0 0 0
Loans Taken / (Repaid) 0 0 0 0 0
Dividend paid (incl tax) (612) (765) (495) (738) (912)
Other Financing Cash Flow 9,834 10,623 12,742 17,105 22,614
Financing Cashflow 9,131 9,659 12,038 16,149 21,461
Net chg in cash 10,537 12,742 17,105 22,614 29,455
Opening cash position 9,750 10,537 12,742 17,105 22,614
Closing cash position 10,537 12,742 17,105 22,614 29,455
Source: Company, Emkay Research
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited
Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021 | 5
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Key Ratios
Profitability (%) FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
EBITDA Margin 11.9 11.2 9.3 10.9 11.4
EBIT Margin 9.8 9.1 6.8 8.6 9.2
Effective Tax Rate 35.0 27.0 25.2 25.2 25.2
Net Margin 7.5 7.9 6.3 7.9 8.6
ROCE 32.8 29.1 19.4 24.8 26.0
ROE 20.7 20.3 13.7 17.8 18.8
RoIC 161.1 109.3 69.1 123.7 179.1
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited
Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021 | 6
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
2132
06-Aug-20 2,099 2,000 12m Hold Naval Seth
1848
1280
07-Aug-18
06-Aug-19
04-Aug-20
06-Feb-18
05-Feb-19
04-Feb-20
02-Feb-21
07-Apr-20 1,819 1,885 12m Hold Naval Seth
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited
Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021 | 7
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
NAV chart
NAV
170
150
130
110
90
70
Apr-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 May-20 Aug-20 Nov-20 Feb-21
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com and Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>. Please refer to the last page of the report on Restrictions on Distribution. In Singapore, this research report or research analyses may only be distributed to Institutional Investors, Expert Investors or Accredited
Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021 | 8
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Sources for all charts and tables are Emkay Research unless otherwise specified.
Disclaimer for U.S. persons only: This research report is a product of Emkay Global Financial Services Limited (Emkay), which is the employer of the
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Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021 | 9
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
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February 4, 2021| 10
Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
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NAVAL
Digitally signed by NAVAL SETH
DN: c=IN, o=EMKAY GLOBAL
FINANCIAL SERVICES LIMITED, ou= ,
2.5.4.20=abda4ce9ac067602590d86cf2
38501fd6c297f83ac23daf73ed9a76df2
74942b, postalCode=400013,
SETH
st=Maharashtra,
serialNumber=5486859566404ade1c4e
d187e19b0fbd0bc6ded66804bd4a1fa0
708c90aeeb5f, cn=NAVAL SETH
Date: 2021.02.04 23:44:37 +05'30'
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Investors as defined in the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore.
February 4, 2021| 11