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12/02/2020
corporate news 

Embraer’s New 10-Year Market

Outlook Identifies Trends Influencing
the Industry

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São José dos Campos, Brazil, December 2nd, 2020 – Embraer’s newly
published 2020 Commercial Market Outlook examines passenger demand
for air travel and new aircraft deliveries over the next 10 years with special
emphasis on Embraer’s product segment - aircraft up to 150 seats. The
report identifies emerging trends that will influence growth, factors
shaping future airline fleets, and the regions of the world that will lead
demand in the commercial sector.

The global pandemic is causing fundamental changes that are reshaping

air travel patterns and demand for new aircraft. There are four main
drivers:

- Fleet Rightsizing - a shift to smaller-capacity, more versatile aircraft

to match weaker demand
- Regionalization - companies seeking to protect their supply chains
from external shocks will bring businesses closer, generating new traffic
flows
- Passenger Behavior - preference for shorter-haul flights and
decentralization of offices from large urban centers will require more
diverse air networks
- Environment - renewed focus on more efficient, greener aircraft
types

“The short-term impact of the global pandemic has long-term implications

for new aircraft demand,” said Arjan Meijer, President and CEO of Embraer
Commercial Aviation. “Our forecast reflects some of the trends we’re
already seeing - the early retirement of older and less efficient aircraft, a
preference for more profitable smaller airplanes to match weaker demand,
and the growing importance of domestic and regional airline networks in
the restoration of air service. Aircraft with up to 150 seats will be
instrumental in how quickly our industry recovers.”

Selected highlights:
Traffic Growth
- Global passenger traffic (measured in Revenue Passenger Kilometres
- RPKs) will return to 2019 levels by 2024, yet remain 19% below Embraer’s
previous forecast through the decade, to 2029.
- RPKs in Asia Pacific will grow the fastest (3.4% annually).

Jet Deliveries

- 4,420 new jets up to 150 seats will be delivered through 2029.

- 75% of deliveries will replace ageing aircraft, 25% representing market
growth.
- The majority will be to airlines in North America (1,520 units) and Asia
Pacific (1,220).

Turboprop Deliveries

- 1,080 new turboprops will be delivered through 2029.

- The majority will be to airlines in China/Asia Pacific (490 units) and
Europe (190).

For more details, including regional synopses for North America, Latin
America, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, China and Asia/Pacific, and the
CIS, download the 2020 Market Outlook at
www.embraermarketoutlook2020.com

Follow us on Twitter: @Embraer

About Embraer

A global aerospace company headquartered in Brazil, Embraer has

businesses in Commercial and Executive aviation, Defense & Security and
Agricultural Aviation. The company designs, develops, manufactures and
markets aircraft and systems, providing Services & Support to customers
after-sales.

Since it was founded in 1969, Embraer has delivered more than 8,000
aircraft. On average, about every 10 seconds an aircraft manufactured by
Embraer takes off somewhere in the world, transporting over 145 million
passengers a year.

Embraer is the leading manufacturer of commercial jets up to 150 seats

and the main exporter of high value-added goods in Brazil. The company
maintains industrial units, offices, service and parts distribution centers,
among other activities, across the Americas, Africa, Asia and Europe.

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PRESS CONTACTS

 Headquarters (Brazil)  North America  Europe, Middle East and Africa

Corporate Communications Alyssa Ten Eyck Guy Douglas
embraer@idealhks.com aeyck@embraer.com guy.douglas@nl.embraer.com
Phone: +55 11 98890 7777 Phone: +1 954 383 0460 Phone: +31 (0)657120121
Phone: +55 11 4873 7984 Phone: +1 954 359 3847 Phone: +31 (0)202158109

 China  Asia Pacific

Shimeng Shen Nilma Missir-Boissac
shimeng.shen@embraer.net.br nilma.boissac@sin.embraer.com
Phone: +86 10 6502-8205 Phone: +65 9012 8428
Phone: +86 185 1929 5687 Phone: +65 6305 9955

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