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MarketSmith Stock Guide 2017-Q1
MarketSmith Stock Guide 2017-Q1
Our Winter 2017 Stock Guide provides a checklist for your investing post-analysis,
illustrates how looking at sector rotation this past year pointed to winning stocks,
and discusses the importance of locking-in gains on the upside, while a stock is still
advancing. The stock screens provide comprehensive lists of the top stocks and
industries of 2016.
There are numerous opportunities in the market every year to capture profits from
winning stocks. Only by understanding the ones that got away and staying up-to-date
with current market action can you ensure you’ll capture the next big winner.
Best Returns,
Market Charts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
*All screen results are computer-generated and were run on December 30, 2016.
Market Charts
S & P 500 INDEX
CLOSE 2238.83
2277.53
2280
2230
2193.81
2180
2120.55 2130
2111.05
2119.12
2081.56
2080
2083.79
200 DAY
MOVING
AVERAGE 2030
2025.91
1991.68 1980
50 DAY
MOVING
AVERAGE 1930
1880
1830
1812.291810.10
DAILY VOLUME AND 50-DAY AVERAGE DAILY VOLUME LINE
2.3 B
1.4 B
800 M
450 M
1 15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
JAN 2016 FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
NASDAQ COMPOSITE
CLOSE 5383.12
5550
5450
5342.88
5350
5250
5116.99 5150
50 DAY
5097.80
MOVING 5050
4969.32 4980.14 AVERAGE 5034.41
4950
200 DAY
MOVING 4850
AVERAGE
4750
4678.38 4650
4574.25 4550
4450
4350
4250
1.9 B
1.2 B
600 M
1 15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
JAN 2016 FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
4
MarketSmith Education Tips
Post-Analysis Focus
1. To begin your post-analysis, review the charts of the stocks you owned and mark
up the technical action like chart patterns, pivot points, moving averages, volume
clues, etc.
• Remember hindsight is 20/20 and it should be much easier this time around
to pick out buy points and sell signals.
3. Examine entry points and sell signals that you missed and create rules or
procedures in your research routine to address those entries.
4. Review any improper entry points you made and try to trace whether the source
of that mistake due to:
• Improper market timing
5. Finally take note of anywhere you sold improperly including those listed below:
• Ignoring defensive sell signals after the stock has already run up
If you are noticing the same mistakes on several of your stocks, adjust your buy, sell
and portfolio management rules accordingly. This process is much easier if you have
maintained notes on your transactions throughout the year. To ensure a beneficial post-
analysis, try to make it a habit to record thoughts and observations using MarketSmith’s
chart markups or the journal feature each time you make a trade.
Despite the year’s volatility, tradable rallies emerged in conjunction with rotating industry
groups. Institutions focus on longer-term trends, as opposed to shorter-term fads, allow-
ing investors to track which industries are benefiting from institutional money.
Quarterly EPS(C$)
EPS EPS %Chg
EPS Sales(C$Mil)
EPS EPS % ChgEPS
EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS
12
+34% -15% +31% -9% -47% N/A -55% N/A +74% +999% -94% +105% -72% -68% +800% -75% -20% +78% +39%
Dec-14 0.08 #+105% 503.1 +15%
Volume
Mar-15 0.15 -72% 483.6 -2%
12,200,000
Jun-15 0.09 -68% 510.1 +16%
5,290,000
Sep-15 0.18 +800% 508.8 +10%
2,300,000
Dec-15 0.02 -75% 482.9 -4%
Mar-16 0.12 -20% 490.5 +1% 999,000
Optimism in IPOs
During the summer rally, initial public offerings (IPO) had their brief moment in the sun
as names like Acacia and Twilio surged to new highs. However, optimism in new names
quickly soured after the companies introduced more shares into the market indicating
insiders were cashing out of the stock.
Intralks Hdg I IL 96 72 23
Dec-15 N/A
↑ ↑ RS Ra ting
20
Wix.com WIX 96 52 7
Sep-15 N/A Ipo $1 5.00 PO
18
QAD Inc A QADA 93 28
16
↑
QAD I B QADB 91 29 Jun-16 85 PPO 14
AspenTech AZPN 88 84 ↑
Sep-16↑ 101
↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑
12
Quarterly EPS($) %Chg Sales($Mil)
EPS % ChgEPS
EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS EPS
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Dec-14 -0.10 N/A 27.7 +122%
Volume
Mar-15 -0.10 N/A 33.4 +90%
30,500,000
Jun-15 -0.09 N/A 38.0 +89%
16,800,000
Sep-15 -0.06 N/A 44.3 +88%
9,250,000
Dec-15 -0.10 N/A 51.3 +85%
Mar-16 -0.08 N/A 59.3 +78% 5,090,000
The IBD Composite Rating combines fundamental and technical metrics together to
provide a blended perspective of the company’s strengths. Using the Composite Rating,
Nvidia and Inphi are the top two companies within the semi-conductor fabless group.
History often repeats itself in the stock market. Leading stocks tend to have some
characteristics will train you to recognize leading stocks before they make big moves.
All screen results are computer-generated and were run on December 30, 2016.
This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.
19.08
20
12.53
9.25 10
9.06
99
6.55
2.56
0
R S LINE VOLUME
VS SP500
6M
2.5 M
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 2/11 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.02∆ VS 0.17 -88% 0.02∆ VS 0.09∆ -78% 0.01∆ VS 0.11∆ -91% 0.20∆ VS 0.04∆ +400%
SALES MIL. $ 1537 VS 1947 -21% 1312 VS 1594 -18% 1339 VS 1601 -16% 1753 VS 1567 +12%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.04 14X -- 6X N/A 28X -- 5X $0.04 53X -- 21X N/A 159X -- 50X
UNITED STATES STEEL CORP(X ) NYSE 172.5 SHRS / 169.0 FLT / AVG VOL 19.78MIL $33.01(OH -15%)
STEEL-PRODUCERS ussteel.com
MANUFACTURES FLAT-ROLLED AND TUBULAR STEEL PRODUCTS FOR THE
11/16 EXPECTS 2016 LOSS OF ABOUT OF $2.26 PER SHARE.
AUTOMOTIVE, CONTAINER, CONSTRUCTION AND APPLIANCE MARKETS.
SHORT INT 1.1 DAYS -10% GROWTH RATE DEBT 128% 2.43 X BK VALUE FUNDS 33%
OPTIONS ON AM/MS EARNINGS STAB NEW CEO INVENTORY TO. 5.1X BANKS 1%
UP/DOWN 1.6 EPS RANK 66 TIMELINESS B R&D N/A MGMT 1%
EX-DIV 11/8 PE ACC/DIST A RET ON EQUITY N/A ALPHA 0.54
YIELD 0.6% 5 YR PE 3 - 183 SMR RATING E CASH FLOW $1.96 BETA 2.8
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LO GROUP REL STR 97 RS EPS (C) COMPOSITE RATING 85
10$ -3.19∆ $ 70 36 Mechel Pao MTL 99 79
QTR 3 QTR 4 PRICE
18 AK Steel AKS 99 79 SCALE
11 -0.55∆ 64
12 1.59∆ 32 17 SunCokeErg SXCP 99 47
13 -0.77 30 15 GrupoSimec SIM 98 76 39.14 40
14 4.47 46 22 ComphSidrg SID 98 58
15 -1.79 27 6
↑ QTR 2
16 -1.94 EST
17 1.36 EST ↑
QTR 1
30
27.64
20.55 20.28
20
15.72 16.17
14.80
99
12.77
10
PPO
6.15 PO
+
O
0
R S LINE VOLUME
VS SP500 25 M
13 M
6M
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE*1/26 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ -0.23 VS 1.82 N/A -2.15 VS -0.07 N/A -0.31 VS -0.79 N/A 0.40 VS -0.70 #+157%
SALES MIL. $ 2572 VS 4072 -37% 2341 VS 3272 -28% 2584 VS 2900 -11% 2686 VS 2830 -5%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.05 52X -- 3X $0.05 32X -- 25X $0.05 N/A $0.05 N/A
21.77
20
14.41
10.83
9.95
10
99
7.84
7.52
5.82
3.06 + + +
O O O
0
VOLUME
R S LINE
VS SP500 8M
2.5 M
700 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 2/23 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.03 VS 0.50 -94% 0.06 VS 0.29 -79% 0.27 VS 0.09 +200% 0.61 VS 0.40 +52%
SALES MIL. $ 1360 VS 1549 -12% 1297 VS 1363 -5% 1383 VS 1508 -8% 1398 VS 1486 -6%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.03 7X -- 4X $0.03 10X -- 2X $0.03 19X -- 9X $0.03 18X -- 10X
CLAYTON WILLIAMS ENERGY(CWEI) NYSE 17.5 SHRS / 8.4 FLT / AVG VOL 439016 $119.26(OH -4%)
OIL&GAS-U S EXPL&PROD claytonwilliams.com
ENGAGED IN THE EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION OF OIL AND NATURAL
10/16 NAMED PATRICK G. COOKE COO, EFFECTIVE OCTOBER 31, 2016.
GAS PRIMARILY IN TEXAS, LOUISIANA AND NEW MEXICO.
SHORT INT 4.8 DAYS -1% GROWTH RATE DEBT 250% 6.93 X BK VALUE FUNDS 9%
OPTIONS ON EARNINGS STAB NEW CEO INVENTORY TO. 6.3X BANKS 0%
UP/DOWN 1.4 EPS RANK 2 TIMELINESS C R&D 3.4% MGMT 27%
EX-DIV PE ACC/DIST B RET ON EQUITY N/A ALPHA 0.73
YIELD 5 YR PE 5 - 103 SMR RATING E CASH FLOW $7.55 BETA 2.02
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LO GROUP REL STR 91 RS EPS COMPOSITE RATING 55
10$ 3.04∆ $ 84 32 MidstatesP MPO 99 79
QTR 3 QTR 4 PRICE
34 ResoluteEn REN 99 59 SCALE
11 7.71∆ 109
12 2.89∆ 98 35 Unit UNT 99 32
13 3.03∆ 85 35 Abraxas AXAS 99 17 140
14 4.61 146 49 Penn VA PVAC 99 2
15 -5.81 73 28
↑ QTR 2
16 -10.37 EST
17 -4.42 EST ↓ 117.90 120
QTR 1
100
90.44
80
71.26
60
99
40
33.14
20.27 21.20
20
20.92
+ + + + + - + - - -
11.23 O O O O O O O O O O
9.60
6.35 0
R S LINE VOLUME
VS SP500
700 K
300 K
124 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 3/10 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ -1.82 VS 0.33 N/A -2.53 VS -1.68 N/A -2.82 VS -1.08 N/A -2.50 VS -1.23 N/A
SALES MIL. $ 40.4 VS 94.7 -57% 30.3 VS 64.1 -53% 42.2 VS 73.2 -42% 55.4 VS 54.6 +2%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
24.04 26.25
23.45
20
16.39
15.77
14.29
99
10
10.80 10.30 10.41
5.78
-
O
0
VOLUME
R S LINE
VS SP500 4.5 M
1.5 M
500 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
*EPS DUE 3/8 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16 QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,16 QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,16
EARNINGS $ -0.40∆ VS -0.52∆ N/A 0.05∆ VS -0.78∆ #+106% -0.42∆ VS -0.37∆ N/A -0.42∆ VS -0.62∆ N/A
SALES MIL. $ 1765 VS 2421 -27% 2197 VS 2693 -18% 2086 VS 2538 -18% 2063 VS 2488 -17%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
NVIDIA CORP(NVDA) NASDAQ 539.0 SHRS / 506.7 FLT / AVG VOL 16.72MIL $106.74(OH -10%)
ELEC-SEMICONDCTOR FABLSS nvidia.com
DESIGNS GRAPHIC PROCESSING UNITS USED IN PERSONAL COMPUTERS, 11/16 EXPECTS Q4 FY17 REVENUES OF ABOUT $2.10 BIL PLUS OR MINUS
WORKSTATIONS, GAME CONSOLES AND MOBILE DEVICES. TWO PERCENT.
SHORT INT 4.8 DAYS -16% GROWTH RATE +14% DEBT 0% 12.24 X BK VALUE FUNDS 50%
OPTIONS ON AM/MS EARNINGS STAB 14 NEW CEO INVENTORY TO. 11.1X BANKS 2%
UP/DOWN 1.6 EPS RANK 96 TIMELINESS A R&D 26.6% MGMT 6%
EX-DIV 11/23 PE 44 (2.2XS&P) ACC/DIST A RET ON EQUITY 21% ALPHA 0.44
YIELD 0.6% 5 YR PE 10 - 37 SMR RATING A CASH FLOW $2.09 BETA 1.33
EARNINGS (JAN) HI LO GROUP REL STR 95 RS EPS (C) COMPOSITE RATING 99
10$ AdvaMcrDv AMD 99 68 PRICE
QTR 3 QTR 4
11 OnTrack OTIV 99 32 SCALE
11 0.81 $ 26
12 1.19 16 11 Invensense INVN 97 17
130
13 1.17 16 11 Quicklogic QUIK 96 21
14 0.99 21 15 AlphaOmg AOSL 95 79
15 1.42 33 18 120
QTR 2
16 1.67 119 24
17 1.67
18 2.42 EST +45% ↑ 110
QTR 1
100
90
80
70
63.50
60
57.31
50
99
37.46 44.57 40
DIV
34.40 DIV 30
INC INC
24.75
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 20
O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O
10
R S LINE
VOLUME
VS SP500 20 M
7M
2M
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 2/17 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16 QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,16 QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,16
EARNINGS $ 0.52 VS 0.43 +21% 0.46 VS 0.33 +39% 0.53 VS 0.34 +56% 0.94 VS 0.46 +104%
SALES MIL. $ 1401 VS 1250 +12% 1305 VS 1151 +13% 1428 VS 1153 +24% 2004 VS 1305 +54%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.12 22X -- 17X $0.12 23X -- 16X $0.12 32X -- 20X $0.12 37X -- 29X
Identifying the most successful industry groups from last year will give you insight into
what themes are currently performing and creating demand among buyers. Review
the characteristics of these stocks and their particular industry groups and be better
All screen results are computer-generated and were run on December 30, 2016.
This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.
16.49
17.01
15
15.03
14.32 14.05
13.80
13.40
10
7.18
5
5.38 83
0
R S LINE VOLUME
VS SP500 7.5 M
2.5 M
900 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 2/18 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ -0.12 VS -0.14 N/A 0.02 VS -0.13 #+115% 0.13 VS -0.07 #+286% 0.24 VS -0.06 #+500%
SALES MIL. $ 163.0 VS 163.1 0% 158.3 VS 178.1 -11% 192.3 VS 174.2 +10% 233.7 VS 159.4 +47%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.05 N/A $0.01 N/A $0.01 N/A $0.01 N/A
CONSOL ENERGY INC(CNX) NYSE 229.4 SHRS / 224.9 FLT / AVG VOL 4.13MIL $18.23(OH -18%)
ENERGY-COAL consolenergy.com
PRODUCES BITUMINOUS COAL AND COALBED METHANE GAS PRIMARILY I 8/16 SOLD MILLER CREEK AND FOLA MINE COMPLEXES IN SOUTHERN WEST
N THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIAN AND ILLINOIS BASINS. VIRGINIA TO SOUTHEASTERN LAND LLC.
SHORT INT 8.2 DAYS -18% GROWTH RATE DEBT 58% 0.85 X BK VALUE FUNDS 49%
OPTIONS ON AM/MS EARNINGS STAB NEW CEO INVENTORY TO. 31.3X BANKS 0%
UP/DOWN 1.4 EPS RANK 37 TIMELINESS C R&D 0.3% MGMT 2%
EX-DIV 2/11 PE ACC/DIST B RET ON EQUITY N/A ALPHA 0.32
YIELD 0.2% 5 YR PE 10 - 1979 SMR RATING E CASH FLOW $2.18 BETA 2.5
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LO GROUP REL STR 99 RS EPS COMPOSITE RATING 63
10$ 2.22 $ 58 31 Westmrlnd WLB 99 50
QTR 3 QTR 4 PRICE
30 SuncokeEnr SXC 99 33 SCALE
11 3.04 56
12 0.73 39 26 NaturalRes NRP 99 30
25
13 0.53 39 26 CloudPeak CLD 99 25
14 0.93 48 31 CNX Coal CNXC 98 7
15 -0.65 34 6 22.34
↑ QTR 2
16 -0.46 EST
17 0.27 EST ↑ 20.66
19.62 19.76 20
QTR 1
16.40
15.94 17.13
16.14 15
15.41
12.41
12.62 12.87
9.73 10
9.66
92
5
4.54
- -
O O
0
R S LINE VOLUME
VS SP500
17.5 M
5.5 M
1.6 M
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 1/29 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ -0.39 VS 0.25 N/A -0.04 VS 0.26 N/A -0.22 VS -0.25 N/A -0.16 VS -0.26 N/A
SALES MIL. $ 761.9 VS 935.7 -19% 533.0 VS 760.9 -30% 285.8 VS 545.6 -48% 745.6 VS 720.9 +3%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.01 34X -- 25X $0.01 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
20
18.88
18.95
15
15.10
94
14.04
10
8.35
CO
5
R S LINE
VOLUME
VS SP500 6.5 M
1.9 M
500 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 3/3 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16 QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,16 QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,16
EARNINGS $ -0.23 VS 0.29 N/A 0.09 VS 0.64 -86% 0.10 VS 0.59 -83% 0.17 VS 0.43 -60%
SALES MIL. $ 526.3 VS 703.9 -25% 602.0 VS 810.5 -26% 586.6 VS 792.2 -26% 656.6 VS 865.6 -24%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.01 7X -- 4X $0.01 15X -- 5X $0.01 32X -- 11X $0.01 72X -- 31X
BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION(ABX) NYSE 1,165.4 SHRS / 1,153.8 FLT / AVG VOL 18.72MIL$15.98(OH -31%)
MINING-GOLD/SILVER/GEMS barrick.com
CANADIAN CO ENGAGED IN THE PRODUCTION OF GOLD AND COPPER IN 10/16 LOWERED 2016 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE GUIDANCE TO $1.20 BIL TO
CANADA, U.S., PERU, CHILE AND 8 OTHER COUNTRIES. $1.30 BIL.
SHORT INT 1 DAYS -22% GROWTH RATE -47% DEBT 136% 2.65 X BK VALUE FUNDS 34%
OPTIONS ON AM/MS EARNINGS STAB 42 NEW CEO INVENTORY TO. 4.1X BANKS 2%
UP/DOWN 0.8 EPS RANK 72 TIMELINESS C R&D 3.9% MGMT 0%
EX-DIV 11/28 PE 28 (1.5XS&P) ACC/DIST C RET ON EQUITY 4% ALPHA 0.38
YIELD 0.5% 5 YR PE 3 - 67 SMR RATING E CASH FLOW $1.82 BETA -0.64
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LO GROUP REL STR 2 RS EPS (C) COMPOSITE RATING 41
10$ 3.40 $ 55 33 GrtPanthrS GPL 98 33
QTR 3 QTR 4 PRICE
11 4.67 55 42 GoldStr GSS 98 10 SCALE
12 4.13 50 31 Drdgold rs DRD 96 27
13 2.51 36 13 GoldStrdVe GSV 96 27
14 0.68 21 10 VistaGld VGZ 96 11
15 0.30 13 5 25
↓ QTR 2
16 0.69 EST+130% 23.47
17 0.87 EST +26% ↓ 22.94
QTR 1
19.73 20
19.19 18.95
19.53
15.52 16.75
16.24 15
15.30
13.95 13.81
13.04
10
5
74
0
R S LINE
VS SP500
VOLUME
13 M
7M
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 2/17 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.08 VS 0.15 -47% 0.11 VS 0.05 +120% 0.14 VS 0.05 +180% 0.24 VS 0.11 +118%
SALES MIL. $ 2238 VS 2510 -11% 1930 VS 2245 -14% 2012 VS 2231 -10% 2297 VS 2315 -1%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.02 23X -- 14X $0.02 54X -- 21X $0.02 61X -- 45X $0.02 67X -- 38X
31.15
30.20
30
97
20.86 20
20.38
16.11
- - -
12.44
O O O
10
R S LINE VOLUME
VS SP500 1.4 M
600 K
250 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 2/25 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.20 VS 0.38 -47% 0.02 VS 0.07 -71% 0.36 VS 0.10 +260% 0.81 VS 0.26 +212%
SALES MIL. $ 1027 VS 1231 -17% 974.2 VS 1003 -3% 1232 VS 1066 +16% 1586 VS 1111 +43%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A 26X -- 13X N/A 33X -- 15X N/A 43X -- 30X N/A 43X -- 28X
FINISAR CORPORATION(FNSR) NASDAQ 110.7 SHRS / 108.5 FLT / AVG VOL 2.18MIL $30.27(OH -17%)
TELECOM-FIBER OPTICS finisar.com
MANUFACTURES TRANSMITTERS, RECEIVERS, TRANSCEIVERS AND TRANS 12/16 EXPECTS Q3 FY17 NON-GAAP EARNINGS OF ABOUT $0.58 TO $0.64
PONDERS TO CONNECT LAN AND WAN NETWORKS. PER DILUTED SHARE ON REVENUES OF $378 MIL TO $398 MIL.
SHORT INT 2.3 DAYS -56% GROWTH RATE +7% DEBT 20% 2.77 X BK VALUE FUNDS 55%
OPTIONS ON AM/MS EARNINGS STAB 27 NEW CEO 9/15 INVENTORY TO. 4.5X BANKS 0%
UP/DOWN 0.8 EPS RANK 91 TIMELINESS B R&D 16.1% MGMT 1%
EX-DIV PE 20 (1.0XS&P) ACC/DIST E RET ON EQUITY 10% ALPHA 0.26
YIELD 5 YR PE 9 - 36 SMR RATING C CASH FLOW $1.91 BETA 1.36
EARNINGS (APR) HI LO GROUP REL STR 82 RS EPS (C) (W) COMPOSITE RATING 88
10$ Oclaro OCLR 97 79 PRICE
QTR 3 QTR 4
11 1.55 $ 46 12 AppliedOpt AAOI 93 56 SCALE
12 0.87 23 10 Lumentum LITE 89 99
36.85
13 0.64 26 12 AcaciaComm ACIA 89 99
14 1.53 28 14 EXFO EXFO 84 71
15 1.04 23 10
QTR 2
16 1.01 36 11
17 1.01 31.42
18 2.15 EST+113% ↑
QTR 1 30
27.13
19.00 19.20 20
18.00
15.21
11.94 10
95
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O
0
VOLUME
R S LINE
VS SP500 3.5 M
1.2 M
400 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 3/10 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16 QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,16 QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,16
EARNINGS $ 0.25 VS 0.25 0% 0.29 VS 0.25 +16% 0.38 VS 0.23 +65% 0.58 VS 0.25 +132%
SALES MIL. $ 309.2 VS 306.3 +1% 318.8 VS 320.0 0% 341.3 VS 314.0 +9% 369.9 VS 321.1 +15%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A 15X -- 11X N/A 19X -- 12X N/A 19X -- 16X N/A 27X -- 18X
the likelihood the stock price will increase. To gauge the status of a company’s future,
its consensus earnings estimates should always be positive and the stronger the
estimates the better. Keep in mind estimates are only opinions, while actual reported
All screen results are computer-generated and were run on December 30, 2016.
This screen can also be found in the community section of marketsmith.com.
35
32.89
31.87
31.07
30.23
29.04 30.66 30
29.86
26.95
26.27 25
23.83
88
21.51
DIV 20
INC
- - - - - - - - - - -
O O O O O O O O O O O
R S LINE 15
VS SP500 VOLUME
10.5 M
4.5 M
1.9 M
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE*1/19 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.29 VS 0.24 +21% 0.29 VS 0.22 +32% 0.30 VS 0.24 +25% 0.34 VS 0.27 +26%
SALES MIL. $ 1727 VS 1577 +10% 1804 VS 1551 +16% 1868 VS 1597 +17% 1955 VS 1626 +20%
DIVIDEND-PE $0.06 36X -- 28X $0.06 33X -- 21X $0.07 29X -- 22X $0.07 28X -- 22X
SEMTECH CORPORATION(SMTC) NASDAQ 65.6 SHRS / 63.7 FLT / AVG VOL 506290 $31.55(OH -5%)
ELEC-SEMICONDCTOR FABLSS semtech.com
DESIGNS ANALOG AND MIXED-SIGNAL ICS USED IN MOBILE PHONES, C 8/16 SOLD ITS ASSETS IN CO'S SNOWBUSH IP TO RAMBUS INC, FOR $32
OMPUTERS, TELECOM NETWORKS AND CONSUMER ELECTRONICS. MIL.
SHORT INT 1.1 DAYS -32% GROWTH RATE -12% DEBT 45% 3.94 X BK VALUE FUNDS 66%
OPTIONS ON MS/NY EARNINGS STAB 15 NEW CEO INVENTORY TO. 7.1X BANKS 0%
UP/DOWN 1.4 EPS RANK 80 TIMELINESS A R&D 23.2% MGMT 2%
EX-DIV PE 27 (1.4XS&P) ACC/DIST B RET ON EQUITY 10% ALPHA 0.16
YIELD 5 YR PE 11 - 30 SMR RATING B CASH FLOW $1.24 BETA 1.54
EARNINGS (JAN) HI LO GROUP REL STR 95 RS EPS COMPOSITE RATING 98
10$ Nvidia NVDA 99 96 PRICE
QTR 3 QTR 4
19 AdvaMcrDv AMD 99 68 SCALE
11 1.71 $ 29
12 1.78 30 22 OnTrack OTIV 99 32
13 1.70 37 22 Invensense INVN 97 17 33.25
14 1.58 28 21 Quicklogic QUIK 96 21
15 1.54 30 14
QTR 2
16 0.86 33 15
17 0.86
18 1.36 EST +58% ↑ 30
QTR 1
28.17 28.20
24.76 25
23.48
22.50
22.81
20.95
21.35
20
20.09
88
15.70 15
- - - - - - - - - - -
O O O O O O O O O O O
R S LINE
VS SP500
10
VOLUME
1M
400 K
148 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 3/2 QUARTER ENDED JAN 31,16 QUARTER ENDED APR 30,16 QUARTER ENDED JUL 31,16 QUARTER ENDED OCT 31,16
EARNINGS $ 0.17 VS 0.34 -50% 0.30 VS 0.27 +11% 0.35 VS 0.24 +46% 0.37 VS 0.19 +95%
SALES MIL. $ 118.6 VS 130.4 -9% 131.2 VS 130.1 +1% 135.9 VS 125.7 +8% 137.2 VS 115.8 +18%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A 20X -- 13X N/A 27X -- 15X N/A 29X -- 23X N/A 30X -- 24X
12.56 12.47
13.33
12.45
10
10.34 10.34
7.62
5.70 5
90
4.21 PPO PPO PPO PPO
PO PO PO PO
0
R S LINE
VOLUME
VS SP500 12.5 M
4.5 M
1.3 M
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 3/2 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.05 VS 0.05∆ 0% 0.01 VS 0.01 0% 0.05∆ VS 0.04 +25% 0.09 VS 0.05 +80%
SALES MIL. $ 33.6 VS 38.4 -13% 30.7 VS 30.4 +1% 45.2 VS 39.2 +15% 55.9 VS 34.3 +63%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A 68X -- 46X N/A 60X -- 28X N/A 84X -- 54X N/A 99X -- 69X
*INPHI CORP(IPHI) NYSE 41.2 SHRS / 36.3 FLT / AVG VOL 865770 $44.62(OH -7%)
ELEC-SEMICONDCTOR FABLSS inphi.com
DESIGNS ANALOG MULTIPLEXERS, ENCODERS, AMPLIFIERS AND MEMORY 11/16 EXPECTS Q4 2016 ADJUSTED EARNINGS OF $0.44 TO $0.46 PER
BUFFERS FOR SERVERS, ROUTERS AND STORAGE EQUIPMENT. DILUTED SHARE ON REVENUES OF $74.7 MIL TO $76.7 MIL.
SHORT INT 3.5 DAYS -37% GROWTH RATE +60% DEBT 59% 6.31 X BK VALUE FUNDS 51%
OPTIONS ON PH/PS EARNINGS STAB 69 NEW CEO INVENTORY TO. 11.1X BANKS 1%
UP/DOWN 1.3 EPS RANK 97 TIMELINESS A R&D 43.2% MGMT 4%
EX-DIV PE 33 (1.7XS&P) ACC/DIST B RET ON EQUITY 14% ALPHA 0.16
YIELD 5 YR PE 18 - 165 SMR RATING A CASH FLOW $1.04 BETA 2.31
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LO GROUP REL STR 95 RS EPS IPO 11/11/10 $12.00 (C) (W) COMPOSITE RATING 98
10$ 0.40 $ 20 14 Nvidia NVDA 99 96
QTR 3 QTR 4 PRICE
11 0.25 27 7 AdvaMcrDv AMD 99 68 SCALE
12 0.17 16 7 OnTrack OTIV 99 32
13 0.13 14 7 Invensense INVN 97 17 47.60
14 0.62 19 10 Quicklogic QUIK 96 21
15 0.95 32 17 44.54 44.82
↑ QTR 2
16 1.49 EST +57%
17 1.86 EST +25% ↑
QTR 1
40
37.90 38.35
34.87
33.59 35.92
30
28.44
27.55
25.89
23.51
22.07 20
85
- - - - - - - - -
O O O O O O O O O
R S LINE 10
VS SP500
VOLUME
1.3 M
500 K
180 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 2/4 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.34 VS 0.30 +13% 0.24 VS 0.16 +50% 0.30 VS 0.25 +20% 0.46 VS 0.19 +142%
SALES MIL. $ 64.4 VS 54.8 +18% 54.1 VS 43.0 +26% 60.5 VS 49.5 +22% 70.8 VS 47.4 +49%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A 37X -- 28X N/A 37X -- 23X N/A 37X -- 25X N/A 42X -- 29X
17.35
15.96 15
15.45 15.40
13.58
12.08
96
11.01 10
9.14
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O
R S LINE 5
VS SP500 VOLUME
9.5 M
2.5 M
600 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 2/10 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.30 VS 0.28 +7% -0.05 VS -0.06 N/A 0.07 VS 0.10 -30% 0.34 VS 0.28 +21%
SALES MIL. $ 156.2 VS 129.7 +20% 159.3 VS 134.4 +18% 164.4 VS 145.0 +13% 170.3 VS 152.0 +12%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A 26X -- 16X N/A 24X -- 15X N/A 25X -- 17X N/A 29X -- 25X
ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC(ALGN) NASDAQ 79.7 SHRS / 70.9 FLT / AVG VOL 1.01MIL $96.13(OH -5%)
MEDICAL-PRODUCTS aligntech.com
DEVELOPED A PROPRIETARY SYSTEM FOR TREATING MALOCCLUSION, OR 11/16 EXPECTS Q4 2016 EARNINGS OF $0.64 TO $0.67 PER DILUTED SHARE
THE MISALIGNMENT OF TEETH. ON REVENUES OF $289.2 MIL TO $293.9 MIL.
SHORT INT 4.8 DAYS +75% GROWTH RATE +19% DEBT 0% 9.05 X BK VALUE FUNDS 42%
OPTIONS ON AM/MS EARNINGS STAB 10 NEW CEO 6/15 INVENTORY TO. 47.8X BANKS 1%
UP/DOWN 1.0 EPS RANK 98 TIMELINESS B R&D 7.2% MGMT 2%
EX-DIV PE 41 (2.2XS&P) ACC/DIST B RET ON EQUITY 17% ALPHA 0.11
YIELD 5 YR PE 18 - 50 SMR RATING A CASH FLOW $1.97 BETA 1.28
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LO GROUP REL STR 52 RS EPS COMPOSITE RATING 94
10$ 0.80 $ 21 13 Lantheus LNTH 99 32
QTR 3 QTR 4 PRICE
11 0.97 25 14 Antares ATRS 99 14 SCALE
12 1.13 39 22 Neovasc NVCN 99 3
13 1.54 60 25 Heska HSKA 98 79 102.10
14 1.77 65 43 LeMaitr LMAT 95 97
15 1.70 68 51 100
↑ QTR 2 96.90
16 2.41 EST +42% 96.13
17 2.97 EST +23% ↑
QTR 1
90
90.57
88.20
83.27
80
77.07
69.36 70
70.03
78
60
57.31
- - - - - - - - -
O O O O O O O O O
50
R S LINE VOLUME
VS SP500
1.9 M
800 K
300 K
15 29 12 26 11 25 8 22 6 20 3 17 1 15 29 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2 16 30
FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
EPS DUE 1/28 QUARTER ENDED DEC 31,15 QUARTER ENDED MAR 31,16 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30,16 QUARTER ENDED SEP 30,16
EARNINGS $ 0.60 VS 0.48 +25% 0.50 VS 0.38 +32% 0.62 VS 0.39 +59% 0.63 VS 0.34 +85%
SALES MIL. $ 230.3 VS 198.6 +16% 238.7 VS 198.1 +21% 269.4 VS 209.5 +29% 278.6 VS 207.6 +34%
DIVIDEND-PE N/A 43X -- 32X N/A 43X -- 34X N/A 45X -- 38X N/A 47X -- 41X
SHORT INT 24.3 DAYS -3% GROWTH RATE +31% DEBT 0% 3.50 X BK VALUE 40%
FUNDS
OPTIONS ON CBOE EARNINGS STAB 13 NEW CEO 7/10 INVENTORY TO. 7.5X BANKS 8% 21
UP/DOWN 1.0 EPS RANK 63 TIMELINESS B R&D 13.6% MGMT29%
EX-DIV 6/ 8 PE 16 ( 1.0XS&P) ACC/DIST D RET ON EQUITY 26% 0.03
ALPHA
YIELD 1.5% 5 YR PE 9- 31 SMR RATING B CASH FLOW $2 0.98
BETA
EARNINGS (DEC) HI LO GROUP REL STR 82 RS EPS IPO 7/7/07 $ 5.00 (C) (W) COMPOSITE RATING 82 22
04 $ 0.39 $ 14 9 SmithAO AOS 81 95 QTR 1 QTR 2 QTR 3 PRICE
05 0.60 13 9 Watsco WSO 76 82 SCALE
06 0.90 19 11 85 ACTIVE 25.11
49 07 1.22 23 16
Lennox LII 75
23
08 1.60 23 12
09 1.62 22 14 CANADIAN
10 1.38 EST -15% QTR 4 24
11 1.62 EST +17%
24
48 22.32
22.00 22.41 25
22
47 21.50
20.63
20.72
26
20
27
46
18.64
84 28
18.49
18
18.00 29
FORBES
R S LINE DIV
« 06/04/10 30
45 VS SP500
2/1
17704 PSO
INC
31
5376 16
VOLUME
* (00)
* 1000
600 32
44 400
17 31 14 28 11 25 9 23 6 20 4 18 1 15 29 12 26 12 26 9 23 7 21 4 18 2
AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN 10 FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL 33
43 *EPS DUE
EARNINGS $
*8/10 QUARTER ENDED JUN 30, 09
0.43 VS 0.43 0% 0.45 VS
QUARTER ENDED SEP 30, 09
0.47
QUARTER ENDED DEC 31, 09
-4% 0.36 VS 0.35
QUARTER ENDED MAR 31, 10
+3% 0.30 VS 0.39 -23%
SALES MIL. $ 68.6 VS 74.8 -8% 58.5 VS 79.3 -26% 54.2 VS 60.2 -10% 49.3 VS 64.0 -23%
42 DIVIDEND-PE $ 0.18 13X -- 9X N/A 13X -- 11X $ 0.18 12X -- 11X N/A 14X -- 12X
41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34
1. 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate Over 20% 15. Average Daily Volume Over Last 50 33. Earnings % Change
Per Year Trading Days 34. Qtrly EPS Compared to EPS Same Qtr
2. Company Name 16. Datablock Containing the Following Last Year (<> denotes pretax, non-
3. Industry Group Classification Information: recurring items included)
a. Stock Price Relative to Book Value 35. Insider Buying/Selling
4. Datablock Containing the Following
Information: b. Inventory Turnover 36. Qtrly Sales Compared to Sales Same Qtr
a. Short Interest Value and Percent c. Research and Development % of Total Last Year
Change Sales 37. 50-Day Average Daily Volume
b. Options Availability and Exchange d. Return on Equity Percentage
38. High and Low P/E Ratio for the Quarter
c. 50-Day Ratio of Daily Up Volume to e. Cash Flow Per Share From Operations
39. Dividend Change
Daily Down Volume 17. Convertible Issues
40. Security Announcement
d. Ex-Dividend Date 18. Warrants Outstanding
e. Current Yield 41. Cash Dividend for the Quarter
19. Closing Price
5. Ticker or Trading Symbol 42. *Indicates Earnings Expected to Report
20. % Off High
Within 4 Weeks
6. Top 5 Stocks in Group 21. Datablock Containing the Following
43. *Indicates Earnings Were Reported in Last
7. Primary Exchange Information
2 Weeks
8. Industry Group Relative Strength Rating a. Mutual Fund Sponsorship
44. Volume Peaks (in Hundreds)
9. Common Shares Outstanding (in Millions) b. Bank Sponsorship
45. Stock Dividend or Split
10. Web Address c. Management Ownership
46. Daily High, Low, and Closing Prices
d. Alpha
11. Active stock (NASDAQ only)
e. Beta 47. Line Indicates Beginning of Calendar
12. Floating Supply (in Millions) Quarter
22. Composite Rating
13. Datablock Containing the Following 48. Indicator for Canadian Dollars
Information: 23. Arithmetic Price Scale
49. Datablock Containing the Following
a. 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate 24. Key High and Low Price Points
Information:
b. Best RS Line & Rating Factor 25. 50-Day Moving Average Price Line
a. Fiscal Year End
c. Earnings Per Share Rank (EPS Rank) 26. 200-Day Moving Average Price Line b. Annual Operating Earnings
d. Current Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio 27. Relative Strength Rating (<> denotes pretax, non-recurring
e. High and Low Price/Earnings (P/E) items included)
28. Relative Strength Compared to S&P 500
Ratios c. Calendar Year High/Low Prices
29. Article in Major Publication
14. Datablock Containing the Following d. Earnings Per Share Estimates
Information: 30. *Indicates 2nd Highest Weekly Volume in e. EPS Estimates % Change
Last 12 Months
a. Debt Percentage f. Estimate Revision
b. New CEO in Last 2 Years 31. *Indicates Highest Weekly Volume in Last
50. Business Summary
Year or Volume 100% or More Above
c. Timeliness Rating
ADV
d. Accumulation/Distribution Rating
32. Volume Scale
e. SMR Rating
marketsmith.com Winter 2017
Notes 21
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Data provided under license agreement by William O’Neil + Co. Incorporated. All material presented here has been obtained
or derived from sources believed to be accurate, but Investor’s Business Daily, Inc., MarketSmith Inc., and William O’Neil +
Company, Inc. do not guarantee its accuracy and it may possibly be incomplete and/or condensed. The contents are based on
the study and interpretation of available data as it relates to our historical models of the best performing stocks. This is not a
prospectus; no effort on our part with respect to sale or purchase of any securities is intended or implied. Any chart appearing
in this material is for educational purposes and is not, and should not be construed as a recommendation or rating to buy or sell
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