Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Creadit Risk Management
Creadit Risk Management
Introduction
Credit risk is an investor's risk of loss arising from a borrower who does
not make payments as promised. Such an event is called a default.
Another term for credit risk is default risk.
Investor losses include lost principal and interest, decreased cash flow,
and increased collection costs, which arise in a number of circumstances:
A business does not make a payment due on a mortgage, credit card, line
1
of credit, or other loan
Credit risk is an investor's risk of loss arising from a borrower who does
not make payments as promised. Such an event is called a default.
Another term for credit risk is default risk.
Investor losses include lost principal and interest, decreased cash flow,
and increased collection costs, which arise in a number of circumstances:
A business does not make a payment due on a mortgage, credit card, line
of credit, or other loan
2
An insolvent insurance company does not pay a policy obligation
1. While financial institutions have faced difficulties over the years for a
multitude of reasons, the major cause of serious banking problems
continues to be directly related to lax credit standards for borrowers
and counterparties, poor portfolio risk management, or a lack of
attention to changes in economic or other circumstances that can lead to a
deterioration in the credit standing of a bank's counterparties. This
experience is common in both G-10 and non-G-10 countries.
3
or transactions. Banks should also consider the relationships between
credit risk and other risks. The effective management of credit risk is a
critical component of a comprehensive approach to risk management and
essential to the long-term success of any banking organisation.
3. For most banks, loans are the largest and most obvious source of credit
risk; however, other sources of credit risk exist throughout the activities
of a bank, including in the banking book and in the trading book, and
both on and off the balance sheet. Banks are increasingly facing credit
risk (or counterparty risk) in various financial instruments other than
loans, including acceptances, interbank transactions, trade financing,
foreign exchange transactions, financial futures, swaps, bonds, equities,
options, and in the extension of commitments and guarantees, and the
settlement of transactions.
5. The sound practices set out in this document specifically address the
following areas: (i) establishing an appropriate credit risk environment;
4
(ii) operating under a sound credit-granting process; (iii) maintaining an
appropriate credit administration, measurement and monitoring process;
and (iv) ensuring adequate controls over credit risk. Although specific
credit risk management practices may differ among banks depending
upon the nature and complexity of their credit activities, a comprehensive
credit risk management program will address these four areas. These
practices should also be applied in conjunction with sound practices
related to the assessment of asset quality, the adequacy of provisions and
reserves, and the disclosure of credit risk, all of which have been
addressed in other recent Basel Committee documents.
5
8. A further particular instance of credit risk relates to the process of
settling financial transactions. If one side of a transaction is settled but the
other fails, a loss may be incurred that is equal to the principal amount of
the transaction. Even if one party is simply late in settling, then the other
party may incur a loss relating to missed investment opportunities.
Settlement risk (i.e. the risk that the completion or settlement of a
financial transaction will fail to take place as expected) thus includes
elements of liquidity, market, operational and reputational risk as well as
credit risk. The level of risk is determined by the particular arrangements
for settlement. Factors in such arrangements that have a bearing on credit
risk include: the timing of the exchange of value; payment/settlement
finality; and the role of intermediaries and clearing houses.
settlement risk in the $1.2 trillion-a- day global foreign exchange market.1
The report noted that central banks had “signifi- cant concerns regarding
the risk stemming from the current arrangements for settling FX trades.”
It explained that “the amount at risk to even a single counterparty could
exceed a bank’s capital,” which creates systemic risk. The threat of
7
regulatory The action led to reexamination of settlement risk status of a
trade can be classified into five categories:
Revocable: when the institution can still cancel the transfer without the
consent of the counterparty
Irrevocable: after the payment has been sent and before payment from
the other party is due Uncertain: after the payment from the other party is
due but before it is actually received
Failed: after it has been established that the counterparty has not made
the pay- ment
While this type of credit risk can lead to substantial economic losses,
the short nature of settlement risk makes it fundamentally different from
presettlement risk. Managing settlement risk requires unique tools, such
as real-time gross settlement (RTGS) systems. These systems aim at
reducing the time interval between the time an institution can no longer
stop a payment and the receipt of the funds from the
counterparty.Settlement risk can be further managed with netting
agreements. One such form is bilateral netting, which involves two
banks. Instead of making payments of gross amounts to each other, the
banks would tot up the balance and settle only the net balance
outstanding in each currency. At the level of instruments, netting also
occurs with contracts for differences (CFD). Instead of exchanging
8
principals in different currencies, the contracts are settled in dollars at
Loss given default (LGD), which represents the fractional loss due to
default. As an example, take a situation where default results in a
9
fractional recovery rate of
This is so because if the counterparty defaults with money owed to it, the
The evolution of credit risk management tools has gone through these
steps:
Notional amounts
10
required capital to hold as a reserve against credit risk.
This led to the 2001 proposal by the Basel Committee to allow banks to
use their own internal or external credit ratings. These credit ratings
provide a better represen- tation of credit risk, where better is defined as
more in line with economic measures. The new proposals will be
described in more detail in a following chapter.
11
4.2 Credit Risk vs. Market Risk
The time horizon is also different. Whereas the time required for
corrective action is relatively short in the case of market risk, it is much
longer for credit risk. Positions
also turn over much more slowly for credit risk than for market risk,
although the advent of credit derivatives now makes it easier to hedge
credit risk.
Credit risk can also mix with market risk. Movements in corporate bond
prices indeed reflect changing expectations of credit losses. In this case,
12
it is not so clear
whether this volatility should be classified into market risk or credit risk.
13
Chapter 5: Credit Risk Management by Stock Exchange.
14
depositories and clearing banks debit accounts of the Clearing
Corporation and credit accounts of CMs. This constitutes pay out of
funds and securities.
NSCCL assumes the counter party risk of each member and guarantees
financial settlement. Counter party risk is guaranteed through a fine tuned
risk management system and an innovative method of on-line position
15
monitoring and automatic disablement. A large Settlement Guarantee
Fund provides the cushion for any residual risk. In the event of failure of
a trading member to meet settlement obligations or committing default,
the Fund is utilized to the extent required for successful completion of the
settlement. This has eliminated counter party risk of trading on the
Exchange. The market has now full confidence that settlements will take
place in time and will be completed irrespective of possible default by
isolated trading members. The
The acceptable forms of capital towards liquid assets and the applicable
haircuts are listed below:
16
as specified by NSCCL from time to time deposited with approved
Custodians. Haircuts applied are equivalent to the VaR margin for the
respective securities (ii) Mutual fund units other than those listed under
cash equivalents decided by NSCCL from time to time. Haircut
equivalent to the VaR margin for the units computed using the traded
price if available, or else, using the NAV of the unit treating it as a liquid
security.
5.4Derivatives Segment
Rs.25 lakh in any one form or combination of the following forms: (a)
cash (b) fixed deposit receipts with approved custodians ban Guarantee
from approved banks (d) approved securities in demat form deposited
with approved custodians
17
Rs. 2 lakh in the form of cash.
Rs.8 lakh in a one form or combination of the following: (a) cash (b)
fixed deposit receipts with approved custodians (c) Bank Guarantee from
approved banks (d) approved securities in demat form deposited with
approved custodians
Effective deposits
Liquid Networth
The Liquid Networth maintained by CMs at any point in time should not
be less than Rs.50 lakh (referred to as Minimum Liquid Net Worth).
19
Chapter6 :Margins
6.1Equities Segment
The Stocks which have traded atleast 80% of the days for the previous six
months shall constitute the Group I (Liquid Securities) and Group II
(Less Liquid Securities).
Out of the scrips identified above, the scrips having mean impact cost of
less than or equal to 1% shall be categorized under Group I and the scrips
where the impact cost is more than 1, shall be categorized under Group II.
The impact cost shall be calculated on the 15th of each month on a rolling
basis considering the order book snapshots of the previous six months.
On the basis of the impact cost so calculated, the scrips shall
move from one group to another group from the 1st of the next month.
For securities that have been listed for less than six months, the trading
20
frequency and the impact cost shall be computed using the entire trading
history of the security.
For the first month and till the time of monthly review a newly listed
security shall be categorised in that Group where the market
capitalization of the newly listed security exceeds or equals the market
capitalization of 80% of the securities in that particular group.
Subsequently, after one month, whenever the next monthly review is
carried out, the actual trading frequency and impact cost of the security
shall be computed, to determine the liquidity categorization of the
security.
Mark-To-Market Margin
VaR Margin is a margin intended to cover the largest loss that can be
21
encountered on 99% of the days (99% Value at Risk). For liquid
securities, the margin covers one-day losses while for illiquid securities, it
covers three-day losses so as to allow the clearing corporation to liquidate
the position over three days. This leads to a scaling factor of square root
of three for illiquid securities.
For liquid securities, the VaR margins are based only on the volatility of
the security while for other securities, the volatility of the market index is
also used in the computation.
Security sigma means the volatility of the security computed as at the end
of the previous trading day. The volatility is computed as mentioned
above
22
Index sigma means the daily volatility of the market index (S&P CNX
Nifty or BSE Sensex) computed as at the end of the previous trading day.
Index VaR means the higher of 5% or 3 index sigmas. The higher of the
Sensex VaR or Nifty VaR would be used for this purpose.
In case of securities in Trade for Trade segment (TFT segment) the VaR
rate applicable is 100%.
Value at Risk (VaR) based margin, which is arrived at, based on the
methods stated above. The index VaR, for the purpose, would be the
23
higher of the daily Index VaR based on S&P CNX NIFTY or BSE
SENSEX. The index VaR would be subject to a minimum of 5%.
for a member are arrived at and thereafter, it is grossed across all the
clients including proprietary position to arrive at the gross open position.
The Extreme Loss Margin for any security shall be higher of:5%,
or 1.5 times the standard deviation of daily logarithmic returns of the
24
security price in the last six months. This computation shall be done at
the end of each month by taking the price data on a rolling basis for the
past six months and the resulting value shall be applicable for the next
month. In view of market volatility, SEBI may direct stock exchanges to
change the margins from time-to-time in order to ensure market safety
and safeguard the interest of investors.The Extreme Loss Margin shall be
collected/ adjusted against the total liquid assets of the member on a real
time basis.The Extreme Loss Margin shall be collected on the gross open
position of the member. The gross open position for this purpose would
mean the gross of all net positions across all the clients of a member
including its proprietary position.
Mark-to-Market Margin
MTM Profit/Loss = [(Total Buy Qty X Close price) – Total Buy Value] -
[Total Sale Value - (Total Sale Qty X Close price)]
25
The mark to market margin (MTM) shall be collected from the member
before the start of the trading of the next day.
Example 1:
A trading member has two clients with the following MTM positions.
What will be the MTM for the trading me mber?
The MTM margin shall be collected on the gross open position of the
member. The gross open position for this purpose would mean the gross
of all net positions across all the clients of a member including its
proprietary position. For this purpose, the position of a client would be
netted across its various securities and the positions of all the clients of a
broker would be grossed.
There would be no netting off of the positions and setoff against MTM
26
profits across two rolling settlements i.e. T day and T-1 day. However,
for computation of MTM profits/losses for the day, netting or setoff
against MTM profits would be permit Example 2:A trading member has
two clients with the following positions. What will be the gross open
position for the member in X, Y and Z?
The gross open position for the member in X, Y & Z will be 2200, 450,
3450 respectively.
In case of Trade for Trade Segment (TFT segment) each trade shall be
marked to market based on the closing price of that security.
27
The members shall not be permitted to trade with immediate effect.
Penal charge of 0.07% per day shall be levied on the amount of margin
shortage throughout the period of non-payment.
pay-in, such positions for which early pay-in (EPI) of securities is made
28
shall be exempt from margins. The EPI would be allocated to clients
having net deliverable position, on a random basis. However, members
shall ensure to pass on appropriate early pay-in benefit of margin to the
relevant clients.
6.5Derivatives Segment
29
sufficient to cover this one-day loss.
6.6Initial Margin
NSCCL collects initial margin up-front for all the open positions of a CM
based on the margins computed by NSCCL-SPAN. A CM is in turn
required to collect the initial margin from the TMs and his respective
clients. Similarly, a TM should collect upfront margins from his clients.
Initial margin requirements are based on 99% value at risk over a one day
time horizon. However, in the case of futures contracts (on index or
individual securities), where it may not be possible to collect mark to
market settlement value, before the commencement of trading on the next
day, the initial
6.7Premium Margin
6.8Assignment Margin
30
contracts on individual securities and index, till such obligations are
fulfilled.
6.10Violations
31
generated if the member crosses the set limits.
A penalty of Rs. 5000/- is levied for each violation and is debited to the
clearing account of clearing member on the next business day. In respect
of violation on more than one occasion on the same day, penalty in case
of second and subsequent violation during the day will be increased by
Rs.5000/- for each such instance. (For example in case of second
violation for the day the penalty leviable will be Rs.10000/-, Rs.15000 for
third instance and so on). The penalty is charged to the clearing member
irrespective of whether the clearing member brings in margin deposits
subsequently.
32
to a violation of Client-wise Position Limit, the clearing member/ trading
member may in turn, recover such amount of penalty from the concerned
clients who committed the violation
At the end of each day the Exchange shall test whether the market wide
open interest for any scrip exceeds 95% of the market wide position limit
for that scrip. If so, the Exchange shall take note of open position of all
client/ TMs as at the end of that day in that scrip, and from next day
onwards the client/ TMs shall trade only to decrease their positions
through offsetting positions till the normal trading in the scrip is resumed.
The normal trading in the scrip shall be resumed only after the open
outstanding position comes down to 80% or below of the market wide
position limit.
market wide position limits specified for such security. Such alerts are
presently displayed at time intervals of 10 minutes.
At the end of each day during which the ban on fresh positions is in force
for any scrip, when any member or client has increased his existing
positions or has created a new position in that scrip the client/ TMs shall
be subject to a penalty of 1% of the value of increased position subject to
a minimum of Rs.5000 and maximum of Rs.1,00,000. The positions, for
this purpose, will be valued at the underlying close price.
33
The penalty shall be recovered from the clearing member affiliated with
such trading members/clients on a T+1 day basis along with pay-in. The
amount of penalty shall be informed to the clearing member at the end of
the day
34
document and legal definitions set forth by the International Swaps and
Derivatives Association, Inc. (ISDA). If a credit event occurs, the
contract is settled through one of the types of settlement specified in the
contract.
3. In option terminology, the CDS protection buyer (long put) is short the
credit risk and pays the premium or CDS spread to the protection seller
(short put) who is long the credit risk. If there is no credit event by the
contract expiration date, the protection buyer loses the premiums paid. On
the other hand, if there is a credit event during the term of the contract,
the protection seller will make a contingent payment to the protection
buyer. Thus, procedure following the credit event is analogous to
exercising an ‘in-the money’ put option.
35
5 CDS and Credit Guarantee: The credit default swap structure is
very close to that of a guarantee but differs in three important ways: the
range of credit events that trigger payment is much broader under CDS;
the protection buyer is not required to prove that it itself had suffered a
loss, in order to receive payment; and CDSs are based on standardised
documentation and are traded. Credit default swaps are traditionally
traded over-the-counter (OTC), rather than on an exchange. These are
customised risk transfer instruments that are negotiated and executed
bilaterally between counterparties. CDS counterparties typically post
collateral to guarantee that they will fulfill their obligations. Post-crisis,
the regulators and market participants are moving towards centralised
clearing of these instruments.
6 Single Name, Index and Basket CDS: There are three types of
CDS. First, the ’single-name CDS’ offers protection for a single corporate
or sovereign reference entity. Second, CDS indices are contracts which
consist of a pool of single-name CDSs, whereby each entity has an equal
share of the notional amount within the index. The standardization and
transparency of indices has contributed strongly to the growth of index
contracts. Third, basket CDS is a CDS on a portfolio with many reference
entities. The payoff trigger can be the first default (1 st-to-default), the
second default (2nd-to-default) or the nth default (nth-to-default).
36
(i) Reference Entity: CDS generally references to the credit quality of
the issuer and not the obligation. Credit default swap contracts
specify a reference obligation (a specific bond or loan) which
defines the issuing entity through the bond prospectus. Following a
credit event, bonds or loans pari passu with the reference entity
bond or loan are deliverable into the contract. Typically a senior
unsecured bond is the reference obligation, but bonds at other
levels of the capital structure may be referenced.
(ii) Notional amount: The amount of credit risk being transferred.
This amount is agreed between the buyer and seller of CDS
protection.
(iii) Spread: The payments (cost of CDS to the buyer) quoted in basis
points paid annually. Payments are paid quarterly, and accrue on an
actual/360 day basis. The spread is also called the fixed rate,
coupon, or price.
(iv) Maturity: The expiration of the contract, usually on the 20th of
March, June, September or December in case of standardised
contracts.
37
typically subject to a materiality threshold (e.g., USD 1million for
North American CDS contracts).
(iii) Restructuring: refers to a change in the agreement between the
reference entity and the holders of an obligation (such agreement
was not previously provided for under the terms of that obligation)
due to the deterioration in creditworthiness or financial condition to
the reference entity with respect to reduction of interest or principal
/ postponement of payment of interest or principal.
(iv) Repudiation/moratorium: authorised government authority (or
reference entity) repudiates or imposes moratorium and failure to
pay or restructuring occurs.
(v) Obligation acceleration: one or more obligations have become due
and payable before they would otherwise have been due and
payable as a result of, or on the basis of, the occurrence of a
default, event of default or other similar condition or event
(however described), other than a failure to make any required
payment, in respect of a Reference Entity under one or more
Obligations in an aggregate amount of not less than the Default
Requirement.
(vi) Obligation Default: one or more obligations have become capable
of being declared due and payable before they would otherwise
become due and payable as a result of, or on the basis of, the
occurrence of a default, event of default, or other similar condition
or event (however described), other than a failure to make any
required payment, in respect of a reference entity under one or
more obligations in an aggregate amount of not less than the
default requirement.
38
However, recently in the US market restructuring has been excluded from
credit events. Further, there are several versions of the restructuring credit
event that are used in different markets (e.g. modified restructuring in the
Euro zone).
39
Chapter 8 :on-line Monitoring
40
Besides this, rumors in the print media are tracked and where they are
price sensitive, companies are contacted for verification. Replies
Case Study
Although swaps can be used to hedge against any sort of credit risk, they
are easiest to explain through a notional case study of an instrument such
as a bond. A fund may, for example, hold $8,000,000 of Mega Car
Company’s five-year bond, and is concerned about the possibility of
default due to market conditions arising from rising oil prices, increased
government regulation on emissions, or the macroeconomic climate.
If Mega Car Company does not default, the fund will simply receive the
full $8,000,000. In this case its return will not be as good as it would have
been without the CDS.
On the other hand, if the corporation does default after, say, two years,
the fund will receive its $8,000,000 from the seller of the CDS. It could
be that the seller will take the bond or pay the difference between the
recovery value and the par value of the bond.
41
Alternatively, Mega Car Company could make a breakthrough in low-
emission technology and dramatically improve its credit profile. In that
case the fund might decide to reduce its outgoings by selling the
remaining period of the CDS.
Back to top
Advantages
Back to top
Disadvantages
42
through its lending, trading and capital market activities. JP's credit risk
management (CRM)1 practices were designed to preserve the
independence and integrity of the risk assessment process. JP had taken
various steps to ensure that credit risks were adequately assessed,
monitored and managed.
In early 2003, the Credit Risk Policy and Global Credit Management
functions were combined to form Global CRM consisting of the five
primary functions – Credit Risk Management, Credit Portfolio Group,
Policy & Strategic Group, Special Credits Group and Chase Financial
Services (CFS) Consumer Credit Management Risk. (See Exhi Consumer
Credit Management Risk. (See Exhibit 6).
Commercial
JP's business strategy for its large corporate commercial portfolio
remained primarily one of origination for distribution. Bulk of the
wholesale loan originations were distributed into the marketplace.
Residual holds averaged less than 10%. The commercial loan portfolio
declined by 9% in 2003, due to a combination of continued weak loan
demand, ongoing goal of reducing commercial credit concentrations and
refinancings into more liquid capital markets.
They were used to set risk-adjusted credit loss provisions. Such losses
could be factored into the pricing and covered as a normal and recurring
cost of doing business. Unexpected losses represented the potential
volatility of actual losses relative to the expected level of losses and
formed the basis for the credit risk capital-allocation process...
JP's total credit exposure was $730.9 billion as on 31st December 2003
(Exhibit 9), a 2% increase when compared to 2002. The increase reflected
a $41.5 billion in consumer exposure, partially offset by a $30.2 billion
decrease in commercial exposure...
44
...
45