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1. Introduction
Earnings are the key performance metric for capital allocation decisions (Graham et al., 2005).
Earnings quality therefore affects the level of information asymmetry between insiders and
outsiders (Francis et al., 2005; Bhattacharaya et al., 2012). Given that the realized cash flows
subcomponent of earnings is the most reliable part of accounting numbers (Dechow et al.,
1998), the usefulness and the quality of earnings depend on the quality of the accrual
subcomponent that, in turn, depends on the innate portion of accruals as well as on its
discretionary components. The former is related to the firm’s business model and operating
environment (Dechow and Dichev, 2002; Francis et al., 2005). The latter are instead a function
of accounting choices that are likely to reflect both performance measurement and
opportunism (Guay et al., 1996; Subramanyam, 1996).
The ambivalent nature of the discretionary components of earnings makes it difficult to
predict how discretionary accruals might influence the informativeness of earnings (Arya
et al., 2003). On one hand, the long survivorship of managerial discretion over accruals
Journal of Applied Accounting
suggests that the net effect of the discretionary components is probably to enhance earnings Research
as a performance indicator, representing a vehicle to unblock communication to outsiders Vol. 21 No. 3, 2020
pp. 455-476
(Guay et al., 1996; Healy, 1996). In this sense, several papers stress the strategic role of © Emerald Publishing Limited
0967-5426
discretionary accruals in conveying private information and in lowering the level of DOI 10.1108/JAAR-04-2018-0054
JAAR information asymmetry (Subramanyam, 1996; Demski, 1998; Bowen et al., 2008). On the other
21,3 hand, when incentives for an opportunistic discretion are strong, the opportunistic
subcomponent is likely to prevail over the performance one, with a negative impact on the
quality of earnings and, in turn, on the level of information asymmetry (Fan, 2007; Cohen and
Zarowin, 2010; Bhattacharaya et al., 2013).
Despite the heterogeneity of their results, a common feature of the aforementioned
papers is the assumption that the innate and the discretionary components of earnings
456 quality are orthogonal to each other. In other terms, the nature of the managerial discretion
over earnings (performance vs opportunistic) is not assumed to be correlated with any of
the innate components of earnings quality (Francis et al., 2006). However, Athanasakou and
Olsson (2016) seem to contradict this theory as they provide evidence that the economic
consequences of managerial accounting discretion vary systematically with firm’s
fundamentals. In particular, the authors find that, although the managerial accounting
discretion is generally viewed as enhancing the information asymmetry, its negative effects
on the informativeness of earnings is attenuated with higher volatility in firm
fundamentals.
Therefore, the assumption of an absence of a relationship between the innate and the
discretionary components of earnings quality might not hold in case of an abrupt change of
the innate factors caused by a negative exogenous shock in the market. The sudden and
shared worsening of the innate components of the earnings quality might, in fact, represent
an incentive for managers to use their discretion over accruals to signal future performance
and to restore – at least in part – the level of the earnings informativeness. For this reason, our
paper extends the research on this topic by analyzing the relationship between discretionary
accruals and information asymmetry in the case of a negative exogenous shock in the market
and predicts a negative relationship between the former and the latter.
To test our hypotheses, we examine the relationship between discretionary accruals and
the bid–ask spread within the Italian Stock Exchange during the latest global financial crisis.
We focus on one country to avoid systematic cross-country performance variation in
discretionary accruals models (Peek et al., 2013), and we use the bid–ask spread as a proxy for
information asymmetry (Bartov and Bodnar, 1996; Bar-Yosef; Prencipe, 2013).
Our results show the importance of the performance subcomponent of discretionary
accruals during the global financial crisis. More precisely, although limited to firms with
strong corporate governance, during the global financial crisis, the magnitude of
discretionary accruals is negatively correlated with the bid–ask spread. We interpret these
findings as evidence of the role that the environmental conditions characterizing our sampled
firms (a systemic financial crisis) play in enhancing the informativeness of discretionary
accruals, in addition to the strength of their corporate governance mechanisms. Our findings
are robust to a battery of robustness tests.
The remainder of the paper proceeds as follows. The next section outlines the background
on the relation between discretionary accruals and information asymmetry and develops the
research hypotheses. Section 3 briefly presents the Italian setting. Sections 4 describes the
research methodology, while Section 5 discusses the empirical evidence with the related
additional robustness tests. Section 6 concludes.
4. Research methodology
4.1 Sample and data selection
The sample consists of nonfinancial companies listed on the Italian Stock Exchange during
the reference period, from 2007 to 2012. We exclude all firms that refer to the GICS 40
(financials) and to GICS 60 (real estate) because of their peculiar financial reporting rules.
Then, we drop from the sample firms with a lack of historical financial market, accounting
and corporate governance data and firms involved in business combinations. At the same
time, to rule out any possible survivorship bias (Bartov et al., 2000; Ecker et al., 2006), we do
not exclude firms that were delisted or went bankrupt during the reference period.
As shown in Table 1, the sample is composed of 105 firms, with 623 firm-year
observations. The relatively small sample size is due to the limited size of the Italian stock
market and to our sampling criteria. Nevertheless, the sample covers 73% of the Italian stock
market capitalization in the reference period.
Data were collected from different sources: financial market and accounting data were
collected from Thomson Reuters Eikon and Datastream, while corporate governance data
were hand-picked from CONSOB (the Italian supervisory authority for financial markets)
online databases and from companies’ annual reports.
We analyze the 2007–2012 period because it allows us to include a specific period that
reflects a context of macroeconomic downturn. More precisely, we start from 2007 to analyze
the differential effect that the burst of a systemic market turmoil might have on the
%
3
2
EUROPE
1
ITALY
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
Figure 1. 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
European and Italian
GDP growth (%) Source(s): World Bank
Retrieved: 12/10/2018 – 8:20 a.m. – from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator
0.045 Discretionary
0.040 accruals’
0.035 informativeness
0.030 during crises
0.025
0.020
461
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Figure 2.
ROA
Trend of the Italian
firms’ ROA 2007–2012
Source(s): Data elaboration from the Authors’ database
4.2.2 Independent variable: proxy for discretionary accruals. Prior literature suggests
several methods to determine discretionary accruals. However, given the limited number of
observations in our sample, we employ the DeFond and Park (2001) model in order to estimate
the discretionary working capital accruals (DA) as a proxy for managerial discretion over
accounting numbers (Wysocki, 2004; Bar-Yosef and Prencipe, 2013):
WCAt−1
DAt ¼ WCAt *St (2)
St−1
where t identifies the reference year, DA represents the discretionary working capital
accruals, WCA indicates the noncash working capital accruals [1] and S stands for the
annual sales.
We scale DA by end-of-the-year total assets, and we use the absolute value of DA because
our purpose is to estimate the magnitude of discretionary accruals, irrespective of its intent to
increase or decrease income.
4.2.3 Moderating variables.
(1) Financial crisis dummy
This paper relies on the assumption that the deterioration in business fundamentals reduces
the innate component of accruals quality and represents an incentive for managers to use
their discretion over accruals to signal future performance. For this reason, we include a
dummy variable (Crisis) to capture an abrupt change in the innate component of accruals
caused by a negative exogenous shock in the market. This variable also allows us to control
for macroeconomic uncertainty and volatility, which are deemed to influence information
asymmetry. Specifically, the variable ðCrisisÞ takes the value of 1 for all post-2008 firm-year
observations and 0 otherwise.
(2) Proxy for corporate governance
We set up a governance score (GovScore) relying on ten items that affect the quality of
corporate governance. Consistent with the prior literature, we assume that seven of them are
positively related with the quality of corporate governance: the percentage of independent
directors within the board and within the control committee; the presence of minority
JAAR directors within the board and within the control committee; the appointment of an internal
21,3 control committee; the number of the control committee’s meetings; and the presence of
institutional investors with significant interests in the share capital (Rosenstein and Wyatt,
1990; Borokhovich et al., 1996; Cotter et al., 1997; Dahya et al., 2008). Moreover, we assume a
negative relationship between the quality of corporate governance and the remaining three
items: board size, control committee size and the CEO duality (Dechow et al., 1996; Yermack,
1996; Peasnell et al., 2005).
462 For each firm-year observation, each element is converted into a dummy variable, which
takes the value of 1 if it positively affects the quality of corporate governance (for values
above or below the median, according to their expected effects on corporate governance) and
0 otherwise (see Table 2).
Summing the total number of points awarded to each firm-year observation for all items,
we obtain the GovScore that can range from 0 (bad corporate governance) to 10 (good
corporate governance):
X
10
GovScoreit ¼ ðRatingj Þit (3)
j¼1
where j is the single corporate governance item, i represents the firm and t indicates the year.
After determining the GovScore for each firm-year observation, we turned it into a dummy
variable (CGScore), which takes the value 1 if the total firm-year score is above the median and
0 otherwise. This step allows us to single out firms with strong corporate governance from
those with weak corporate governance.
where i represents the firm, t indicates the reference year and εit stands for the regression
error. The dependent variable (LnBid−Ask) is our proxy for information asymmetry as defined
in Section 4.2.1. Our main independent variable LnDA is the proxy for discretionary accruals
as determined in Section 4.2.2. We also have the moderator (Crisis), which allows us to set up
the interaction variable (Crisis*LnDA) to detect the impact of discretionary accruals on
information asymmetry in the case of systemic market turmoil. Therefore, β3 is used to test
whether discretionary accruals are negatively correlated with the bid–ask spread during the
crisis years, according to our first hypothesis.
To test the second hypothesis, we have modified Equation (4) including the whole set of
interactions between the quality of corporate governance (CGScore) and both the proxy for
discretionary accruals and the Crisis dummy. Accordingly, the regression equation is:
LnBid −Askit ¼ β0 þ β1 LnDAit þ β2 Crisisit þ β3 ðCrisis*LnDA Þit
þ β4 CGScoreit þ β5 ðCGScore*LnDA Þit þ β6 ðCrisis*CGScore Þit
þ β7 ðCrisis*CGScore*LnDA Þit þ β8 LnSalesit þ β9 LnROAit (5)
þ β10 LnLeverage it þ β11 LnTrading Volumeit þ β12 LnPriceCloseit
X
þ β13 LnFreeFloatingit þ β14 LnVolatility it þ ðYearsEffects Þit þ εit
where the coefficient β7 is used to test whether the quality of firms’ corporate governance
enhances the negative relationship between discretionary accruals and the bid–ask spread
during the crisis years, according to our second hypothesis.
All variables included in both Equation (4) and Equation (5) (except dummy ones) identify
the natural logarithm function of their definition as reported in Section 4.2. The
implementation of the log-log specification stems from several reasons. First, most of the
JAAR variables suffer from positive skewness, and the log-log model is particularly useful for
21,3 facing this issue (Martınez-Zarzoso, 2011). Second, the log-log specification also alleviates
potential heteroskedasticity, and it is appropriate to account for potential nonlinearity
matters in the relationship between financial market variables and accounting numbers
(Kothari et al., 2005; Banker et al., 2014). Finally, we rely on previous studies on the bid–ask
spread that use log-log regressions (Fehle, 2004; Agrawal et al., 2004).
464
5. Results and discussion
5.1 Descriptive statistics
Descriptive statistics are provided in Table 3. The average percentage bid–ask spread is
about 2.4% (with a median value of 1.5%) and the mean value of DA is about 0.05 (its median
stands at about 0.03). The average corporate governance score and its median are very close
to each other (5.68 and 6, respectively). Finally, as for the multivariate analysis, descriptive
statistics suggest the use of the natural logarithm function of all variables to reduce the
positive skewness of their raw values. Moreover, data are winsorized at the upper and lowest
1% of the distribution to avoid the distortive effects of outliers.
Table 4 provides evidence on the hypothesis that the global financial crisis is likely to
worsen the economic fundamentals and, in turn, the innate component of earnings quality. In
accordance with our assumption, during the crisis period we detect higher volatility of sales,
cash flows and earnings, an increasing proportion of negative earnings and a greater
magnitude of accruals.
Bid–Ask 623 0.001 0.120 0.024 0.015 0.025 0.001 1.831 6.439
DA 623 0.001 0.343 0.049 0.028 0.062 0.004 2.551 10.489
GovScore 623 2 10 5.682 6 1.626 2.645 0.271 2.797
CGScore 623 0 1 0.292 0 0.455 0.207 0.720 1.518
Crisis 623 0 1 0.669 1 0.471 0.222 0.914 1.836
Sales 623 5.06Eþ06 8.27Eþ10 3.22Eþ09 3.55Eþ08 1.08Eþ10 1.17Eþ20 6.09Eþ00 4.20Eþ01
ROA 623 0.572 1.203 1.020 1.036 0.093 0.009 1.695 8.962
Leverage 623 0.572 0.774 0.314 0.305 0.168 0.028 0.362 2.984
TradingVolume 623 6.94Eþ03 2.67Eþ08 9.61Eþ06 2.73Eþ05 3.48Eþ07 1.21Eþ15 5.90Eþ00 4.04Eþ01
PriceClose 623 0.084 54.090 5.884 2.984 8.402 70.586 3.272 16.324
FreeFloating 623 0.078 0.822 0.357 0.349 0.159 0.025 0.763 3.565
Volatility 623 1.015 1.070 1.037 1.035 0.012 0.001 0.589 3.044
Note(s): This table reports the main descriptive statistics for the modeled variables as defined in Section 4.2. Note that GovScore is the basic governance score used to
obtain CGScore, as defined in section 4.2.3-b), and it is not included in the regression models
465
during crises
informativeness
accruals’
Discretionary
Table 3.
Descriptive statistics
JAAR allows to assess how discretionary accruals affect the level of information asymmetry during
21,3 a period of systemic crisis.
The analysis of β3 from Equation (4) shows that the variable (Crisis*LnDA) is negatively and
significantly related to LnBid−Ask (t 5 1.75, pv 5 0.083). However, to assess the full effect of
discretionary accruals on the bid–ask spread during the crisis period, we perform the
parametric test of Wald on (β1 þ β3). The sum of these coefficients is negative (0.014) but not
statistically significant (F 5 0.61, Prob > F 5 0.437).
466 Therefore, our findings are not consistent with the first hypothesis. In fact, the magnitude
of discretionary accruals during the crisis does not lower per se the level of information
asymmetry.
To test the second hypothesis, we regress Equation (5) as reported in Column 1 of
Table 8.
Equation (5) shows a negative and significant correlation between Crisis*CGScore*LnDA
and LnBid−Ask (t 5 1.89, pv 5 0.061). Again, to assess the full effect of discretionary
accruals on the bid–ask spread during the crisis period for firms with strong corporate
governance, we perform the parametric test of Wald on (β1 þ β3 þ β7). The sum of these
coefficients is negative (0.098) and statistically significant (F 5 2.97, Prob > F 5 0.087),
confirming the second hypothesis according to which the discretionary accruals reported
during the crisis period by firms with strong corporate governance reduce the information
asymmetry since their performance subcomponent fully dominates the opportunistic one
in response to an exogenous negative shock in the innate components of the earnings
quality.
where (all variables are scaled by lagged total assets) ΔWCA represents the change in
working capital accruals (1), CFO is the cash from operations, ΔSales stands for changes in
sales, PPE corresponds to property, plant and equipment, while i and t represent each firm-
year observation.
matrix
Table 5.
Univariate correlations
JAAR Obs Mean Median
21,3
Panel A: Bid–ask spread t-test during the pre- and crisis periods
Precrisis 206 0.025 0.011
Crisis 417 0.024 0.017
Differences 0.001 0.006
Ha: Difference ! 5 0 Ha: Difference <0
468 Pr (jTj > jtj) 5 0.596 Prob > jzj 5 0.095
Panel B: Bid–ask spread t-test good governance and bad governance during the crisis
Good-Gov 135 0.019 0.017
Bad-Gov 282 0.026 0.021
Differences 0.007 0.004
Ha: Difference < 0 Ha: Difference < 0
Pr (T < t) 5 0.003 Prob > jzj 5 0.000
Panel C: DA t-test during the pre- and crisis periods
Precrisis 206 0.048 0.027
Crisis 417 0.049 0.029
Differences 0.001 0.002
Ha: Difference ! 5 0 Ha: Difference ! 5 0
Pr (jTj > jtj) 5 0.806 Prob > jzj 5 0.822
Panel D: DA t-test good governance and bad governance during the crisis
Good-Gov 135 0.042 0.021
Bad-Gov 282 0.053 0.030
Differences 0.011 0.009
Ha: Difference < 0 Ha: Difference < 0
Pr (T < t) 5 0.046 Prob > jzj 5 0.006
Table 6. Note(s): Panel A shows differences in bid–ask spread during the pre- and crisis periods. Panel B shows
Two-tiles t-tests differences in bid–ask spread for firms with strong and weak corporate governance. Panel C shows differences
comparison on Bid– in discretionary accruals during the pre- and crisis periods. Panel D shows differences in discretionary accruals
Ask spread and DA for firms with strong and weak corporate governance during the crisis period
Equation (6) is performed using a larger sample including all Italian firms with available
accounting data in Thomson Reuters Eikon and Datastream, regardless of the
contemporaneous availability of corporate governance and financial market data (as
required in our main sampling process), and then performed cross-sectionally for each
industry-year from 2007 to 2012 (where industries are classified according to the Global
Industry Classification Standard). The regression coefficients obtained from Equation (6) are
then used to estimate the expected values for each firm-year observation of our sample.
Finally, the discretionary component of working capital accruals is determined as the
difference between the observed values in our sample and the expected values obtained from
Equation (6). Once the discretionary accruals are estimated, we employ their log specification
in both Equation (4) and Equation (5) as described in Section 4.3.
As reported in Table 9, findings from this model are consistent with the results discussed
in Section 5.3. Specifically, as reported in Column 2, the negative and significant relationship
between Crisis*CGScore*LnDA and LnBid−Ask (t 5 1.82, pv 5 0.072) and the significant
parametric statistical test of Wald on (β1 þ β3 þ β7) suggest that information asymmetry is
negatively related to the magnitude of discretionary accruals when firms have a strong
corporate governance and operate in a turbulent and uncertain context.
Finally, since the identification of the crisis period might not be a common ground, we use
both the DeFond and Park (2001) and the McNichols (2002) models focusing on 2009 as the
“event year,” as it is assumed to be the worst year of the global financial crisis (Figure 1).
6 Months 1 Month 3 Months 7 Months
Discretionary
Dependent variable B-A spread B-A spread B-A spread B-A spread accruals’
LnBid-Ask β t-stat β t-stat β t-stat β t-stat informativeness
Intercept 2.869 2.47** 3.115 2.12** 3.164 2.57** 2.538 2.30** during crises
LnDA 0.030 1.36 0.051 1.78* 0.032 1.29 0.029 1.36
Crisis 1.458 11.68*** 1.168 8.28*** 1.406 10.59*** 1.301 10.71***
Crisis*LnDA 0.044 1.75* 0.070 2.23** 0.036 1.27 0.041 1.72* 469
CGScore 0.099 1.94 0.137 2.21** 0.094 1.72* 0.072 1.49
LnSales 0.037 0.65 0.015 0.22 0.021 0.36 0.044 0.81
LnROA 0.553 2.13** 0.551 1.48 0.468 1.65 0.452 1.60
LnLeverage 0.026 0.54 0.019 0.29 0.034 0.65 0.053 1.07
LnTrading Volume 0.123 3.92*** 0.125 3.06*** 0.125 3.51*** 0.145 4.78***
LnPrice Close 0.174 4.00*** 0.204 3.13*** 0.183 3.58*** 0.142 3.44***
LnFree Floating 0.160 2.06** 0.121 1.22 0.139 1.70* 0.153 2.13**
LnVolatility 4.711 1.68* 5.738 1.57 6.127 2.07** 6.025 2.37**
Year effects Included Included Included Included
2
R within 0.835 0.775 0.803 0.823
R2 between 0.805 0.749 0.784 0.848
R2 overall 0.806 0.752 0.777 0.824
F-value 119.34 106.41 106.76 113.59
Prob. > F 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
No. of observations 623 623 623 623
No. of groups 105 105 105 105
Full effect of DA on the bid–ask spread during the crisis period
Table 7.
Test (β1 þ β3) 5 0 F 5 0.61 F 5 1.07 F 5 0.030 F 5 0.570
Regression analysis
Prob > F 5 0.437 Prob > F 5 0.304 Prob > F 5 0.855 Prob > F 5 0.453
with different time
Note(s): This table shows the estimation results relative to Equation (4), employing different time windows for windows for the Bid–
the bid–ask spread as defined in Section 4.2.1 and in Section 5.4, and the subsequent parametric test of Wald. Ask spread in
Significance at: 0.01*** – 0.05** – 0.1* Equation (4)
As for the DeFond and Park (2001) model, we follow the same approach described in Section
4.2.2. However, Equation (2) is performed cross-sectionally with t identifying the 2009.
As for the McNichols (2002) model, we determine discretionary working capital accruals
for 2009 making the difference between the observed CFO2009−1, CFO2009, CFO2009þ1,
ΔSales2009 and PPE2009 values in our sample and the expected values obtained from
Equation (6).
Once estimated the 2009 discretionary accruals following DeFond and Park (2001) and
McNichols (2002), we set up the following model in order to assess their effect on level
information asymmetry:
LnBid−Aski ¼ β0 þ β1 LnDAi þ β2 CGScorei
þ β3 ðCGScore*LnDA Þi þ β4 LnSalesi þ β5 LnROAi
þ β6 LnLeverage i þ β7 LnTradingVolumei (7)
þ β8 LnPriceClosei þ β9 LnFreeFloatingi
X
þ β10 LnVolatility i þ ðFixedEffects Þi þ εi
Findings from these two additional models confirm the results discussed in Section 5.3.
Specifically, as reported in Column 2 and Column 4 of Table 10, the negative correlations
between CGScore*LnAWCA and LnBid−Ask and the significant parametric statistical tests of Wald
on (β1 þ β3) confirm that information asymmetry is negatively related to the magnitude of
discretionary accruals when firms operate in an uncertain context, mainly when they have
strong corporate governance mechanisms.
21,3
470
JAAR
Table 8.
Equation (5)
Ask spread in
with different time
Regression analysis
Note
1. WCA is defined as ½ðcurrent assets–cash–shortterm investmentsÞ–ðcurrent liabilities–shortterm debtÞ.
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Corresponding author
Nicola Moscariello can be contacted at: nicola.moscariello@unicampania.it
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