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Sumber Emisi Dan Potensi Reduksi Emisi GRK Kegiatan Industri Minyak Kelapa Sawit
Sumber Emisi Dan Potensi Reduksi Emisi GRK Kegiatan Industri Minyak Kelapa Sawit
Preliminary Study
LONG-TERM STRATEGY
To ACHIEVE
3
The Importance of Low Carbon Development for DKI Jakarta
4
NDC Critically insufficient ❑ Capital city in Indonesia
DKI JAKARTA ❑ High economic activity
❑ Very dense city’s
population of 15,804
Highly insufficient persons/1 km2 (with 1%
population growth
❑ More than 10.5 million
Insufficient population living in 662
km2 of land area and
2°C compatible 6,977 km2 of sea area
❑ High motorized vehicle
1.5°C Paris density (cars and
Agreement motorcycles)
compatible ❑ Limited public transport
infrastructure.
3,000
GHG Emission Projection (Mton CO2e)
5
GHGs Emission Reduction Target
2030
2050
6
GHGs Emission Profiles
Historical GHG Inventory Projections, BaU
GHGs emission in 2010 GHGs emission in 2018 GHGs emission in 2030 GHGs emission in 2050
110 200
70 70
GHGs emission level, Mton CO2e
100 180
Coal Oil Gas Biofuel Indirect from electricity Coal Oil Gas Biofuel Indirect from electricity Coal Oil Gas Biofuel Indirect from electricity Coal Oil Gas Biofuel Indirect from electricity
❑ End-use sector: more than half of direct combustion emissions are from fuel consumption
❑The power plants (Muara Karang and Tj.Priok) are under the
in transportation
authority of PLN (national electricity company) as these
plants are grid-connected (JAMALI grid). However GHGs ❑ Emissions from indirect (electricity supply) in base year (2010) are accounted by
emission from fuel burning are released in DKI Jakarta transportation (0.2%), residential (39.4%), industry (16.9%), commercial (43.6%). The
projection showed that commercial sector (60.7%) will surpass the residential (23.6%) in
❑Indirect GHGs emission from JAMALI grid (Allocation by end- 2050
use sector i.e., transportation, residential, industry, and ❑ Transportation sector is the largest sources of GHG emissions from energy category,
commercial) followed by residential and commercial. However, the projection showed that commercial
sector will surpass the transportation. 7
Energy Demand Profiles
Historical GHG Inventory Projections, BaU
8 28 28
7 7 24 24
6 6 20
20
5 5
16 16
4 4
12 12
3 3
2 8 8
2
1 1 4 4
0 0 0 0
Muara Karang + Muara Karang
Tj.Priok + Tj.Priok
28
7 7 24 24
6 6
20 20
5 5
16
4 4 16
12
3 3 12
2 8
2 8
1 4
1 4
0 0
0 0
Muara Karang + Muara Karang +
Tj.Priok Tj.Priok
9
General Concept of GHGs emission reduction
❑Illustration of baseline emission levels, mitigation and reduction ❑Illustration of calculated emission levels for mitigation actions
Year
Historical 2010 2013 2014 2015 2016
Base Year
There are
(2010) There are mitigation actions organized/planned
by individual/ group initiatives mitigation actions, RAD
(non-project) projects, etc.
10
Methodology:
ExSS
1. 2. 3.
Setting Collection of Collection
Framework the base of LC
year Measures
information Information
5. 4.
Estimation of Estimation of
Snapshots WITH Snapshots
LC Measures WITHOUT LC
Measures
11
Assumption of Modelling
12
Projections on Energy Demand and The Associated
GHG Emissions
13
DKI JAKARTA Circumstances & Development Trends
emissions.
❑ Main driver of GHG emissions over the
4 past decade has been economic activity,
which increased at a rate of 5% to 6%
3 per year, in which it will kept at 6%
(2030 to 2050)
2 ❑ Decreasing energy use per GDP in CM
scenario (compared to BaU scenario)
indicated that the results are from (i)
1
improvement of efficiency, (ii) fuel
switching (diesel oil to gas), iii)
- renewable energy use (bio-fuel), iv)
BaU CM BaU CM BaU CM BaU CM
mode shift transportation, promotion of
Pop GDP/Cap Final energy, non Final energy, GHG, non-electricity/Cap GHG, electricity/Cap solar PV, implementation power
electricity/Cap electricity/Cap generation by waste and landfill gas
fuel, and waste treatment (solid waste
Projections on population, GDP, final energy, GHGs emission for base year (2010), 2030, and 2050
and wastewater).
14
Energy Demand of DKI Jakarta
Final Energy Demand by sub-sector
36
32
Final Energy Demand, Mtoe
8 5.743 3
4
2
0
BaU CM BaU CM
1
2010 2030 2050
Transportation 2.427 7.451 5.795 9.382 3.681
0
Industry 1.205 2.809 2.401 7.816 6.233 BaU CM BaU CM
Residential 1.145 3.192 2.848 5.220 4.366 2010 2030 2050
Commercial 0.966 3.538 2.883 9.843 7.826 biofuel - - 0.093 - 0.093
waste - 0.460 - 0.460
Final Energy Demand by type of energy gas 1.506 1.506 4.036 1.506 4.036
36 oil 1.321 3.285 0.007 3.285 0.007
Final Energy Demand, Mtoe
32 coal - - - - -
28
24
20
16
12
5.743
8 ❑ The primary energy used to supply energy demand in
4 power generation is still dominated by oil in BaU scenario.
0
BaU CM BaU CM ❑ The projections on CM scenario showed that there is a
2010 2030 2050
shift energy use, from oil to gas.
coal 0.019 0.076 0.068 0.212 -
biofuel 0.023 0.023 3.037 0.023 2.344
gas 1.041 1.877 2.359 2.654 5.004
oil 2.613 8.689 2.652 14.014 0.058
electricity 2.045 6.324 5.810 15.357 14.701
15
GHGs Emission of DKI Jakarta
GHGs emission from energy by sub-sector 20 GHGs emission from Power Sector
GHGs Emission Level, Mton CO2e
180
165.274
160 6
140
49.281
120 5
100 44.856
80 4
42.613
60
40 28.249 3
20
0 2
Baseline CM1 Baseline CM1
2010 2030 2050 1
biomass
biofuel 0.001 0.001 0.156 0.001 0.120 0
coal 0.081 0.320 0.285 0.892 - BaU CM BaU CM
gas 2.630 4.821 6.008 6.826 12.611 2010 2030 2050
oil 8.172 27.165 8.295 43.798 0.182 Domestic waste water 0.949 1.207 1.178 1.299 1.267
electricity 17.365 50.929 46.805 113.757 108.890 Domestic solid waste 1.499 3.026 1.626 3.942 1.251
16
GHGs emission Mitigation Action
17
GHG Emissions Reduction Target in Energy Sector
ENERGY
21.689 Mton CO2e
Savings on Electricity
Consumption from Public
LED Lighting and Public
Residential 2.773 Industry 1.684 Transportation 1.194 Industry 1.425 Commercial 0.115 Transportation 7.728 Industry 0.382 Transportation 0.427 Transportation 0.702 Lighting Solar PV System
Commercial 5.255
Energy Saving Energy Saving The use of Bio-fuel The use of Bio-fuel The use of Bio-fuel The use of Gas The use of Electric Mode Shift from
Industry: Transportation: Industry: Commercial: Transportation: Industry: Vehicle Individual Vehicle to
Energy Saving Energy Efficiency Device Transport Rejuvenation Substitution of Diesel Substitution of Diesel Substitution of Diesel Substitution of Diesel Transportation: Mass or Public
Residential: (Boilers, Electric Motors, And Flue Gas Emission Oil of Bio-fuel Oil of Bio-fuel Oil of Bio-fuel Oil to Gas Electric Automobile and Transport
Lighting, Air Conditioner, and Lighting), and Testing Electric Motorcycle Transportation:
Refrigeration Industrial Energy BRT
Management Systems MRT and LRT
Commercial: Electric Train
Green Building Regulation &
Pedestrian and Bicycle
Certification For Commercial
track
Building
ENERGY
43.470 Mton CO2e
Savings on Electricity
Consumption from Public
LED Lighting and Public
Residential 6.326 Industry 6.506 Transportation 5.542 Industry 3.729 Commercial 0.320 Transportation 3.080 Industry 1.850 Transportation 0.04 Transportation 1.135 Lighting Solar PV System
18
GHG Emissions Reduction Target in Power Generation
Energy Efficiency Fuel Switching Renewable Energy Energy Efficiency Fuel Switching Renewable Energy
3.381 Mton CO2e 4.814 Mton CO2e 0.991 Mton CO2e 3.381 Mton CO2e 4.814 Mton CO2e 1.017 Mton CO2e
Muara Karang
Muara Karang Muara Karang - Rooftop Solar PV in
Muara Karang - Rooftop Solar PV in
Gas Fired Power Plant Gas Fired Power Plant Substitution of Fuel Oil Government and
Substitution of Fuel Oil Government and
to Combined Cycle to Combined Cycle to Gas Commercial Buildings
to Gas Commercial Buildings
Power Plant Power Plant
Tanjung Priok - Power Generation by Tanjung Priok - Power Generation by
Substitution of Fuel Oil Waste Incineration and Substitution of Fuel Oil Waste Incineration and
to Gas Landfill Gas Fuel to Gas Landfill Gas Fuel
19
GHG Emissions Reduction Target in Waste Sector
Waste
1.429 Mton CO2e
Domestic Wastewater
Solid Waste Treatment
Treatment
1.401 Mton CO2e 0.028 Mton CO2e
Waste
2.724 Mton CO2e
Domestic Wastewater
Solid Waste Treatment
Treatment
2.691 Mton CO2e 0.033 Mton CO2e
20
Energy Sector Mitigation Sub-sector Action
Implementation
2030 2050
Energy efficiency Transportation Transport rejuvenation % 18 75
Industry Heat/furnace, electric motor, and lighting % 50 75
Commercial Air conditioner % 84 100
Water heater % 20 75
energy user equipment % 20 75
LED lighting % 100 100
Refrigeration % 68 100
Others % 20 75
Residential Air conditioner % 84 100
Water heater % 18 75
energy user equipment % 18 75
Roadmap for LED lighting
Refrigeration
%
%
100
68
100
100
Mitigation Action Clean Energy
Others
Substitution of oil fuel to gas
%
ktoe
18
579.11
75
2,332.94
in 2030 and 2050 BRT Mode shift to BRT public transport mil.passenger.k 2,236 5,582
m
MRT & LRT Mode shift to MRT & LRT public transport mil.passenger.k 5,921 8,371
m
Electric Train Mode shift to Electric train mil.passenger.k 6,839 13,574
m
Non-motorized Pedestrian & bicycle track % 0.5 1
21
Power Generation
Roadmap for Mitigation Action
in 2030 and 2050
❑ Power Generation by Waste
❑ Power Plant Energy Type Unit 2030 2050
Sunter Waste (2300 ton/day) MW 43 43
Plant Unit 2030 2050 Cakung Waste(1300 ton/day) MW 24 24
Muara Karang MFO TJ 0 0 Rawa Buaya Waste (1200 ton/day) MW 24 24
HSD TJ 61 61 Cilincing Waste(1200 ton/day) MW 24 24
IDO TJ 0 0 Production capacity (Utilization of 0.8) MW 2115 2115
Gas TJ 89,300 89,300
Total TJ 89,361 89,361 Bantar Gebang Waste (100 ton/day)
3,000,000
Domestic Sokid waste (Million ton)
150,000
1,000,000
50,000
500,000
0 0
BaU CM BaU CM BaU CM BaU CM
2010 2030 2050 2010 2030 2050
Power generation by waste 0 0 2106000 0 2256000 Sludge Removal 0 0 114 0 153
3R 0 0 6000 0 10000 Centrallized Aerobic 0 0 10867 0 12617
Composting 0 0 41000 0 60658 Non Septic tank 9342 5350 5350 0 0
Landfill 1873055 3008460 855460 3302769 976111 Septic tank 130931 159776 148795 173955 161185
23
Breakdown of GHGs Emission Reduction Target
2030 2050
Wastewater Treatment 0.028 Wastewater Treatment 0.033
Power Generator by Landfill Gas Fuel 0.039 Power Generator by Landfill Gas Fuel 0.039
Power Generation by Waste Incineration 0.739 Power Generation by Waste Incineration 0.739
Fuel Switching (Oil to Gas) in Tanjung Priok Power Plant 3.977 Fuel Switching (Oil to Gas) in Tanjung Priok Power Plant 3.977
Fuel Switching (Oil to Gas) in Muara Karang Power Plant 0.837 Fuel Switching (Oil to Gas) in Muara Karang Power Plant 0.837
Technology Efficiency in Muara Karang Power Plant 3.381 Technology Efficiency in Muara Karang Power Plant 3.381
Non-Motorized (Pedestrian & Bicycle track) 0.116 Non-Motorized (Pedestrian & Bicycle track) 0.227
BRT (Mode Shift & Electrification) 0.110 BRT (Mode Shift & Electrification) 0.184
Transport Electrification (Electric vehicle & Electic motor) 0.427 Transport Electrification (Electric vehicle & Electic motor) 0.040
- 4 8 - 4 8 12 16
Mton CO2e Mton CO2e
24
Emission reduction achieved (2018) vs emission reduction target in Energy Sector
50
40 Electric Train
30
Electrification on Transportation (Electric vehicle & electic
motor)
25 Emission reduction Jargas Programme in Industry
achieved in 2018 is 7,37% Biofuel Mandatory in Commercial
of reduction target in
20
2030 Biofuel Mandatory in Industry
25
Emission reduction achieved (2018) vs emission reduction target in Power Sector
10
GHGs emission reduction
achieved in 2018 is 83,56% Decreased on use and losses at the plant
9 of reduction target in 2030
26
Emission reduction achieved (2018) vs emission reduction target in Waste Sector
2.5
Reduction, Mton CO2e
2
Emission reduction achieved in
2018 is 4.81% of reduction
target in 2030
1.5 Solid Waste Treatment
Domestic Wastewater Treatment
0.5
0
2018 2030 2050
27
Emission reduction achieved (2018) vs emission reduction target by Sector
60
50 100%
90%
40 80%
Reduction, Mton CO2e
70%
30 60%
10%
0
2018 2030 2050
0%
Waste Sector 0.069 1.429 2.723
2018 2018
Power Sector 7.675 9.185 9.212
Energy Sector 1.598 21.689 43.470 RAD-GRK No.131/2012 (Draft of RAD-GRK 2020-2030)
❑ The largest GHGs emission reduction achieved in 2018 is power sector followed by energy and waste
❑ GHGs emission reduction target obtained from energy sector (67.35%), power (28.52%), and waste (4.13%) in 2030
❑ GHGs emission reduction target obtained from energy sector (76.44%), power (16.2%), and waste (7.36%) in 2050
28
Sector LCS mitigation actions Priority Action by ICLEI
Energy Monitoring and Appreciation of Energy Saving Efforts
Mitigation Actions
Education and Campaign of Energy Saving Behavior
Green Building Regulation & Certification for
Implementation of Green Building Concept
Commercial Building Sector LCS mitigation actions Priority Action by ECLAI
Training on renewable energy technology
Increased Investment for Renewable Energy Reduce, Sorting and Recycle Waste Management
Labelling Program (Lighting, Air Conditioner, water Implementation of energy saving equipment Provide water depots in public spaces, offices, etc.
Heater Refrigeration)
Socializing and enforcing waste regulation
Energy Efficiency Device in Industry (Boiler, Electric -
Implementation of EPR (Extended Producer
Motor), Energy Management Program
Responsibility)
Public LED Lighting & Public Lighting Solar PV -
3R (Reuse, Reduce, Recycle) Eco-friendly packaging Innovation
JARGAS (Jaringan gas) Program in Industry -
Bio-fuel Mandatory in Industry - Do not use plastic packaging in general activities
-
Regulation of single-use plastic disposal
Bio-fuel Mandatory in Transportation Using RE in public transportation modes, determining vehicle technology
standards & new types of fuels, including age restrictions on private vehicles
Bio-fuel Mandatory in Commercial - WASTE Use items that can be used repeatedly
Development of Renewable Energy Technology
Electrification of Transportation (Electric Vehicle & Comprehensive use of renewable energy in public transportation, determining Power Generation by Waste Utilizing organic waste for biogas in communal/ area,
electric motor) vehicle technology standards & new types of fuels, and age restrictions of private note: Bio-digester, not yet and Waste to energy (RDF)
vehicles included in LCS)
The mode shift to public transportation Composting -
Electric Train, MRT & LRT, BRT ( Mode Shift &
Sharing transportation (bus for employee, school bus, bus for government Power Generation -
Electrification)
employees, “nebeng-ers” initiative, etc.
Eating food as needed (no leftovers)
ENERGY Conduct mass emission tests for all vehicles (including private vehicles) and Reduce organic waste to
Transport Rejuvenation and Flue Gas Emission Test tightening emission standards landfill / composting facilities
note: 15% of public transportation uses clean energy Improving integrated modes and transportation infrastructure, including can be handled
(RE and electricity), not yet included in LCS supporting facilities for the disabled, the elderly and groups with physical
disabilities
Provide infrastructure for non-motorized transport (especially pedestrians and
bicycle track) and ensuring access for elderly and people with disable, and other
Non-Motorized (Bicycle track & Pedestrian track
physical limitations
policy)
Walk for short distances & the use of other non-motorized transports for medium
distances (i.e. bicycles, skateboards, etc.)
Fuel Switch (Oil to Gas) in Tanjung Priok Power Plant -
❑ GHGs emission reduction target from energy sector is 21.689 Mton CO2e (67.35% of total reduction target). However GHGs emission
reduction achieved in 2018 is relatively lower than GHGs reduction target in 2030 (7.37% compared with reduction target in 2030 from
energy sector).
❑ There are still rooms for improvement on mitigation action from energy sector and waste sector to achieve GHGs emission reduction
target in 2030 and 2050.
❑ GHGs emission reduction achieved in 2018 is 7.675 Mton CO2e or equivalent with 83.56% of GHGs emission reduction target from
power sector in 2030.
❑ Potential GHG Emissions reduction from waste sector for long-term (2050) need further discussion
30
THANK YOU
31
TERIMA KASIH
gelangdewi@gmail.com
gelang@che.itb.ac.id
MEMO
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