Betting

short
guide:
things that most know, but few follow.
 Hey, I’m Fox! I have been betting for a long time. This is not my only source of income, but by far
the biggest one. I would like to share with you my accumulated knowledge, of course summarized in
a nutshell - if you are new in this business, it will definitely be useful to you and if you have already
eaten your teeth on it, maybe you will find some useful supplement. I don’t want to say anything
about +EV and CLV here, tried to keep it simple as much as possible. This guide is mainly for people
who want to earn money by betting on matches. If you do it for fun, with small stakes, don't worry
about losing and you like parlays, you probably won't find anything interesting here.

1. Bankroll management

This is definitely the highlight of the program. As you may have heard, betting is a marathon, not
a sprint. And that's the way it is. If you want to do this for years, you must find your way. There are
many articles on this subject, but I will show you how I manage my funds.

Let's assume that your entire bankroll is 1,000$. The safe and recommended route is to bet no
more than 0.5% BR (bankroll). In this case, it's 5$. You will say this is a game not worth the candle.
Why so little? Because no capper will give you confidence that something will not go his way and will
not make 20 losses in a row. In that case, we lose 'only' 10% of BR. This is good for both our bankroll
and our mental health. If instead of 0.5% we would bet 5% on each match, in this case we are already
losing whole bankroll and this is a definitely undesirable situation. If you are not satisfied with betting
5$ per game, save your money and increase your bankroll before you start betting - this is important
- START with a satisfying bankroll, because hoping that your first matches with high stakes will allow
you to increase it is definitely bad decision. Don't get me wrong - you can start with 1% or 2%, it is
less safer, but still quite okay wager.

Many capers states that 3% is a low stake, 5% medium stake, 8% high stake etc. and many people
walk this path because the win is apparent, but it is a double-edged sword. There is a big chance that
the first matches will not go our way and we will lose the whole amount and future matches that we
would like to bet would have gone well, but we had no funds left to do so. You may disagree with
me, but mental health is a priority, I can't imagine betting 8% of my total bankroll on one match as it
would be too stressful. Scared money does not make money, but lack of money is even worse.

2. Wagers and units

Now let me introduce you to what unit size is. Many cappers place different stakes on matches,
depending on the risk or how much they like the bet. I also do that, I bet on matches from 1 unit to 3
units. In this case 2u (units) is my standard bet, so 0.5%, I rarely use 1u but I do it for big odds (risky
matches with big value) or when I bet the same game outright and spread. 3u in my case is 0.75% BR,
these are matches that I like very much. I think this is the only way to divide the stakes, I don't see
any point in doing 1-5u because it gives too much spread - winning a match on which we bet 1u has
nothing to do with losing a match of 5u. There are also people on twitter who bet 250 LOCK OF THE
MONTH or 500 LOCK OF THE YEAR. It is pure scam to me, those people don't know shit about
bankroll management. They go this way to make themselves look better. Nothing could be more
wrong, don't fall for it.

When to withdraw money or increase stakes? Let's say we've already made 1500$ out of 1000$,
what next? Keep betting 5$ on the match? Well, no, you have to set a goal for you to increase your
stakes or withdraw the excess, I do it after reaching 150% of your starting bankroll. Once you reach
the 1500$ you can either increase your stake to 7.5$ as 0.5% BR or withdraw 500$ and repeat the
process. Of course, you can withdraw 300$ and use 1,200$, that's up to you. My unit stake satisfies
me at this point, so every time I make 150% of the starting BR, I pay out 50% and start again.

You can change the percentage stake every day - you won something today, tomorrow you
increase the stake to the same percentage day before. You lose? You reduce stake. I haven't used
this model, but it's also not bad if your unit size is right.

I would like to point out that this is not the ONLY correct way. That's just what it looks like in my
case. I trust my process and number and I don't break down when everything goes wrong during the
week, because I know that in the end I will back on track. I will emphasize it again - mental health
first of all.

3. Bookie

Why is it so important? Because the game odds we bet on are important. Of course, the first
thing to do is to find an honest bookmaker – which will not block your account if you win too much,
will not delay the payment of funds, will not reduce your possible stakes per match. It is worth and
even you should use a minimum of 2-3 bookmakers to always choose the best odds. Why is it so
important? Because even a small difference, even between 1.92 and 1.9, is significant. Suppose we
play 100 of the same matches, at odds 1.92 and 1.9. We win 54 of them, we lose 46, we bet 1u for
each match. With the 1.92 odds we win 3.68u, while with the 1.9 odds we win 2.6u. This is a free 1u,
bonus match bet without risk. You can get even better odds, no point to pay too much juice.

4. Making your own bets and following cappers

Many people bet on matches that they don't even know about just because someone wrote that
it is a good match to bet on. This is the first mistake that can be made. Even the best capper makes
mistakes, bet on matches that they shouldn't. How to avoid it? There is nothing wrong with spying on
people with more experience, but research is the key. Many people say this match is great to bet on?
Great, but do your own research - check the statistics, check if all players are available, check any
injuries or other factors that may contribute to you losing the match. Even if you did research,
decided to bet on the match and you lost it, don't worry that you have lost time and money - it is
impossible to win all the matches and you have gained new knowledge about the team. Learn every
day, watch.

There is nothing wrong with following cappers, but you need to be sure, that they are
transparent. It is not worth following new people, even those who won 20 games in a row and these
are the only matches they have placed. Anyone can hit 20 games in a row. You can't say someone is
good if they have less than 200-300 documented matches. Only when it crosses this line can
something more be said about it. When is it worth tracking? When he is betting ATS (against the
spread on odds ~1.9) and his winratio is > 55%. Every honest capper who has 53-60% winratio with
over 300 games (it is still very little) is worth watching (it's hard, even impossible, to keep above 60%,
when someone has over 70% in the above-mentioned case, he is probably a scammer, deletes
matches or cheats otherwise). Worth watching doesn’t mean blindly tailing. You should never do
that. Always do your own research.
 5. Additional information

Parlays, teasers? We don’t do that here. In long term betting you only lose money. There are
cases of course when it is worth it - putting two matches at odds of 1.5 we like etc. in some cases,
even 3 matches. But anything above that number is just a waste of money. Best to avoid them and
that's it.

Rage bets? We don’t do that here. There is no way you wouldn’t have a bad day, week and
sometimes even month. It happens that you come out of the red during the month. And that's it,
swallow your saliva and do research once again. Sometimes you will lose 10 matches in a row and
decide to bet on matches that you don't like, just to take a chances. This is ragebet – avoid it. Cool
the head, go outside, get some fresh air. It happens, you won't avoid losses and bad beats. Never
chase, never double-up.

Chasing hot cappers? Give up on cold cappers? We don’t do that here. In paragraph three, I
wrote which people you should watch. He is transparent, he is reliable, knows his job, has
documented statistics and brings profits. Suddenly he doesn't win a single bet in a week. Losing
streaks are unavoidable. If he's doing his 55% ATS then his loosing streak will eventually end and he'll
be back on track. It is similar with hot cappers. Often people decide to follow cappers with no
recorded match history, new ones, even without knowledge, just because they made a 20-0 run. Bad
cappers can be on winning streak, but in long-term they won't be profitable. That's all.

Don’t be your own worst enemy. Do it with a cool head, slowly but surely, never blindly. This is
your money and so does your mental health. Don't get beaten, don't break down, take a day-two-
week break if you feel something's wrong. You won't always be on a roll, but that's no reason to give
up. You won’t win every match, you won’t be profitable every week, take time, matches often don't
go our way and then we make bad decisions - repeat the process of reserach and do not get carried
away by emotions. If you have any question according to this, about bets, bookies or something, feel
free to ask. You can find me on my media:

Twitter: https://twitter.com/fooxiedtips

Discord: discord.gg/QPPm5DyJBH

Email: fooxied@gmail.com