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Capital Structure Under Asymmetric Information: Problem Sets. 4 Part Series
Capital Structure Under Asymmetric Information: Problem Sets. 4 Part Series
Capital Structure Under Asymmetric Information: Problem Sets. 4 Part Series
Exercise 1
Consider an entrepreneur who has a project that requires an investment of 65 t date 0. At date 2. the project either
succeeds and generates a cash flow of 140 or fails and yields 40. The success probability depends on the effort exerted
by the entrepreneur. At date 1, the entrepreneur chooses the effort level he will exert, e. The effort level is a
continuous variable that takes values in the interval [O, 1). The success probability is the same as the effort level chosen
(p(e ) =1 - e) and the failure probability is 1 - e. Also, the choice of the effort level implies a utility cost for the
entrepreneur given by c ( e) = 𝟓𝟓𝟓𝟓 𝒆𝒆𝟐𝟐 All agents are risk neutral and there is no discounting. The effort level chosen is
not observable
by outside financiers and so it cannot be specified in a contract. Capital markets are perfectly competitive.
a) Suppose that the entrepreneur has enough funds to undertake the project: without borrowing. What effort level will
he choose? Will he invest?
b) Suppose now the entrepreneur has no funds available and raises the
required amount by issuing debt. What is the face value of debt issued? Is
debt riskless? What is the effort level chosen in equilibrium? Will the
c) Suppose the entrepreneur raises the required amount by issuing equity. What is the effort level chosen in
equilibrium? Will the project be undertaken? Is your answer different from that in Part (b)? Explain briefly why.
Answer 1)
a)
Assuming has invested 65 at period 0.
65 is sunk cost at period 0, does not feature in cost or payoff at period 1.
Expected Revenue (date 1) = (140*p(e) +40*(1-p(e))/ (1+r), p(e)=e, r =0, (since there is no discounting)
=100*e +40
expected profits = (140(1 − 𝑟𝑟2)) ∗ 𝑝𝑝(𝑒𝑒) + 40(1 − 𝑟𝑟2) ∗ �1 − 𝑝𝑝(𝑒𝑒)� − 50𝑒𝑒 2 = �140(1 − 𝑟𝑟2)�𝑒𝑒 +
40(1 − 𝑟𝑟2)(1 − 𝑒𝑒) − 50 𝑒𝑒 2
We are more concerned with optimal effort level and proceed to take diff wrt e. (Polynomial in e is differentiable to
any finite order in).
100(1−𝑟𝑟2)
First Order Conditions :140(1 − 𝑟𝑟2) − 40(1 − 𝑟𝑟2) − 100𝑒𝑒 = 0 , 𝑒𝑒 = = 1 − 𝑟𝑟2
100
Since cost function is unchanged, changing the reward function will change equilibrium effort.
In case of equity part c, reward function is reduced by same rate in High effort and Low effort case.
In b, any strategy that reduces p(e) raising 1- p(e ) is heavily penalized with coefficient set to negative, irrespective of
which is higher r2 (Risk capital) or Debt r1. Hence in b, we find the reduction in effort is disincentivized by a factor of
(𝒘𝒘 + 𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒), what he loses in case of losses. Also, debt pays more profits in case of profits since the payouts are
barred at 65r1, instead of full 140 r2 which is payable in case of equity.
Debt could see more efforts by entrepreneurs in reasonable conditions.
Exercise 2
Consider an entrepreneur who, at date 1, can choose between two mutually exclusive projects: Risky, Safe. Both
projects require an investment of 90 at date 0. At date 2, the risky project yields either 245 with probability 0.4 or 20
with probability 0.6 whereas the safe project yields either 200 with probability 0.5 or 40 with probability 0.5. All
agents are risk neutral and there is no discounting. The entrepreneur's choice cannot be observed by outside
financiers. Capital markets are competitive.
a) Suppose that the entrepreneur has enough funds to undertake the project without borrowing. Which project will
he choose?
b) Suppose now the entrepreneur has no funds available and raises the required amount by issuing equity. Which
project will he choose? Explain briefly why.
c) Suppose the entrepreneur raises the required amount by issuing debt. What is the face value of debt issued in
equilibrium? Which project will be chosen? Is your answer different from that in Part (b)? Explain briefly why.
d) Suppose the entrepreneur raises the required amount of funds by issuing convertible debt with face value 140
which can be converted into 70% of the chosen project's equity. Which project will the entrepreneur choose? Is this
an equilibrium? Explain briefly your answer.
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(Capital Structure IV: Asymmetric information)
Answer 2)
a) The Game: At history of 0, entrepreneur gets to choose between risky and safe. At history 1, profit or loss is chosen
by nature, entrepreneur cannot control/ observe at history 1. At history terminal, 2, entrepreneur gets payoff.
h= 0, investment 90, player entrepreneur
risky safe
245 20 200 40
payoffs 155 -70 110 -50
Since expected payoff of safe project strictly dominates expected payoff risky project.
The entrepreneur should always choose (p=1) safe project at node h=0.
b) The Game: At history of 0, entrepreneur gets to choose between risky and safe. At history 1, profit or loss is
chosen by nature, entrepreneur cannot control. At history terminal, 2, entrepreneur gets payoff.
risky safe
h=1, player: Chance/ Nature
The payoff function at h =2 is typical to risk capital. Whatever be the gains, the pay-out is appropriated at a rate of return/
sharing ratio. In case of losses, since 90> 40 & 90 >20, the firm is dissolved (Assume 0 for payout).
We will work by Backward induction, ignoring discounting.
At h1, action taken in h0 is observable by nature who then assigns probabilities to his strategy set: Profit & losses.
We know Chances’ support set of strategy profits and losses, given risky and given safe
Expected payoff | risky at h1 = 245(1 − 𝑟𝑟1) × .4 + 0 ∗ .6
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(Capital Structure IV: Asymmetric information)
Expected payoff |safe at h1 = 200 (1 − 𝑟𝑟1) × .5 + 0 ∗ .5
Folding back the game to h=0, where player one has to set his strategy, with 0 discounting.
c) The Game: At history of 0, entrepreneur gets to choose between risky and safe. At history 1, profit or loss is
chosen by nature, entrepreneur cannot control/ observe at history 1. At history terminal, 2, entrepreneur gets
payoff.
risky safe
Assume to fixed interest repayment is 𝒓𝒓� > 𝟗𝟗𝟗𝟗 > 𝟒𝟒𝟒𝟒 + 𝝎𝝎. 𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰 𝒄𝒄𝒄𝒄𝒄𝒄𝒄𝒄 𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐 𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍𝒍, 𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂 𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓𝒓 + 𝝎𝝎 𝒊𝒊𝒊𝒊 𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇𝒇.
Thus we get our payoffs at h=2. We will use backward induction. We are ruling out the trivial case where lenders are
secure: will always get their amount
Expected payoff |safe project - Expected payoff of risky project = 𝟐𝟐−. 𝟏𝟏𝒓𝒓�+ . 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 > 𝟎𝟎
Best response of entrepreneur will be to choose safe project as safe project strictly dominates risky projects.
Whenever losses are penalised more, entrepreneurs will try to choose projects with lower chances of failure. In case of
losses when equity is raised loss is less disincentivised, entrepreneur will go by profits, and profits look greener in risky
projects.
d) Convertible shares deal with the issue of unaffordable collateral. Suppose the firms owe more pay-out, when high
risks (high profits) are incurred than the secure Profit prototype.
So in losses, we do not usurp any collateral rather payoff is 0 (Just an assumption: Firm is scrapped).
However higher than normal profits are penalised by higher conversion / debt to be payable.
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(Capital Structure IV: Asymmetric information)
We try to see if this can be an effective signalling strategy in one player 3 history game, such that it is in best interest
of firms to play safe. In case of safe investment, 140 =200*.7, hence convertibility
keeps it a debt. In case of risky investment however we see 245*.7 = 171.5 >> 140 , hence borrower’s best interest is
to exercise convertibility.
risky safe
h = 1. Player: Nature
245*.3 0 200-140 0
Since strategy of nature at h1 | risky and safe are known, we can fold the game back to h =1 and 0 recursively.
Exercise 3
Consider a firm run by an entrepreneur. At date 0, the entrepreneur has an opportunity to invest in a project. The
investment cost is 100. The returns of the project are realised at date 2 and are either 240 with probability ⅔ or 60
with probability ⅓. At date 0, the entrepreneur has no funds available and raises the required funds by issuing debt.
Capital markets are competitive. Assume universal risk neutrality and no discounting.
a) What is face value of debt issued at date 0?
b) Suppose that at date 1 the entrepreneur discovers an additional investment opportunity which requires an
investment of 12 and increases the probability of the good state (high returns) to ¾. What is the new project's NPV?
c) Suppose that the required funds at date 1 are raised by issuing equity. Will the entrepreneur undertake the new
project? Explain briefly why.
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(Capital Structure IV: Asymmetric information)
d) Suppose now that required funds at date 1 are raised by issuing debt senior to the debt issued at date 0. Will the
entrepreneur undertake the project? Is your answer different from that in Part (c)? Explain briefly why.
Answer 3)
a) Capital markets are competitive & full information at date 0 → (ⅰ) Collateral =0
2 1
(ⅱ) 𝑵𝑵𝑵𝑵 𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂𝒂: 100 ∗ (1 + 𝑟𝑟) × + 60 ×
3 3
= 100 × (1 + 0)2 , 𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 0. 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 𝑡𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 3%
𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 100 × 1.032 , 𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗𝑗 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑒𝑒𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥
3 1
→ 𝑟𝑟 = �80 × × � − 1 = 0.2
2 100
120
b) high
don’t invest
h=o, player: firm low 0
Invest 100
Folding to h=1,
NPV of existing firm at h1| invest = 90-12 =88 >80 = NPV at h1| don’t invest
c) If the firm incurs losses equity owners get 0, since claim of debt is senior to that of equity
gets min (100,60) i.e. nothing is left for equity
12
Assuming competitive debt, required return on equity r1 = (1 + 𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅) × 12 = 3 = 16.
4
(No arbitrage)
16
RoR = − 1 = 1/3
12
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(Capital Structure IV: Asymmetric information)
120
high
don’t invest
don’t invest 0
h=1
player: invest high 120-12 =108
firm 12
h1α 0
Player: Nature h=2 Player = ∅, Outcomes
3
𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉 | 𝑐𝑐ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 ℎ1= × 108 = 3 × 27 = 81
4
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(Capital Structure IV: Asymmetric information)
The cost of senior debt is 12, lower than 16, cost of equity.
NPV of current firm/ existing stakeholders increases as a result. While senior debt is lucrative (0 risks for
entrepreneur), riskless equity is too expensive. However, Entrepreneur is seamlessly/ costless putting the owners of
bond in period one at risk.
1. William G. Gale 1990, Chapter 2: “Collateral, Rationing, and Government Intervention in Credit Markets”,
National Bureau of Economic Research Project Report, compiled by R Glen Hubbard.
2. Cho, I. and David M Kreps,1987, “Signalling games and stable equilibria”, Quarterly Journal of Economics.
3. Grossman, S.J. and M. Perry,1986, “Perfect sequential equilibrium” Journal of Economic Theory
4. Leland Hayne and David Pyle, 1977,“Informational asymmetries financial structure and financial
intermediation” Journal of Finance.
5. Myers and Stewart C.,1977, “Determination of corporate borrowing Journal of Financial Economics”
6. Myers and Stewart C.,1984, The capital structure puzzle Journal of Finance.
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