Align Fhh7o: 'T .Fi:7?..xa..,..m)

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Good morning everybody !

Last week : Poisson processes Xlt ) f- It


chains
today :
general Markov

Before we
start :

o.C.7-a.tt fth ) -

function
we
write f- Chl och) - if
align .tt#--0 .

Foch )
G h' ?
haha -
-
h 0

Koch )
¥=fhh7o
*

!÷ I
hhq ÷ . .
→ ÷ .

be Poisson process with


Pnd Let Xlt ) a

t then for any


parameter
.

reels ti s tr E . -
E tu Et E

-

'
f
integers M ,
E Mz E - - -
ma f m EM

Htt
Phat 't
't:X.fi:7?..xa..,..m )

-
n'
.
lPlXt 7-enilxHt-mt-fkt tDhth@7.e
-

- Ht 't !

Er ⑤ -

DHHI-xtfmt.tn/ )
Poisson ( Ht 't))
=

e-
nett .


'

indene:b .

Pm GI -
-

Phat .ie/--uilXfH--a1
m b
prob
-
,

him -7T
f) g. pony
Eso
Ital
=

mini .
.
*

in
'The .

art
.JP?Pfnr
tee

itnitfpmmictitie Epa
formula
) - .ca ,
Pruitt)

we can express Paanch)


in terms of pmw.CI ) or Pmmifty ) .
. .

Limit as c- → o ?
A '

fish {
a-
Panel -
m
.

.
O otherwise

devalue at
0
betteridge :

.fi?Y?e-tt--fI : :n--Lum
Tek PmmH=¥h .

YET
otherwise .

infinitesimal
.

Lum ,
=

{ ¥5 ,
generator of
""
'm
.ch/--f1-th*och1m'E
""

Pm .
Xh tofh ) inte htt

• ( ht m # hint

=
fwm ,
1- h Lumi .
t och )

Tyto mu
'

@ →o
)
Generate continuous - line chairs .

)
-

I÷¥¥t
"fH¥ffof
Day
:

- state space
'

initial dish
to -

"
transition intensities "/ju¥ ,

Assi CHS )
⇐ Assad
'

'
↳ "

¥ es .

A continued -
time Markov chain with

dshn The &


state space S, initial
.

intensities Asst :

* Xlo) ~
To

* tzo sis
'
E S
for any ,

Pss Ct ) , E Tom) :

pact 't lxttt-sixctot.sn


XAN Ssi -

Pss
,
. -
i

=
, Htt ,
Ist.EE#i8rssitLssih-
#
*
.

'
I s s

{
-

o Std
s
.

an
EI f- •
.

is -
s

L -

G- } )
2
.

¥÷÷i÷÷¥i÷÷
:* .
REKHA Mate ) -
-

Paar ?
-

Birth pnoass
-

Do Xi Xue
S It
- - '
-

-
, ,

As SESH
1st -

{ 0

Do 7, Tu la

op ;
- -

FT ; -
;
Tf all the b began at
we take Ajs
we get Poisson Heh -4 -
-
.

=X

Another important ate '


Xu -
h)

linear ( Intel
Population starts
Lemmy Cy .
Suppose a

at the O
individual
.

wth one
asexual feproduchi
produces offspring
n'a
individual
,

Each
according to a Poisson process of
rate X .

Cindy)
Ntl -
-
size of population et line t

linear birth paces


owith
is a

birth rate X .

sink

-
At 3 =
fth )

tch ) a 1+31+0141
[ small h

fth ) -

t -
Sh
a- to
Pmma Ch ) pmm.co/tPmilDhtolh1
I

¢ he
man '

{ol Lumi
÷
i :*:

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