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Republic of Indonesia Presentation Book - October 2020
Republic of Indonesia Presentation Book - October 2020
Republic of Indonesia Presentation Book - October 2020
October 2020
About Investor Relations Unit of the Republic of Indonesia
Investor Relations Unit (IRU) of the Republic of Indonesia has been established as a joint effort between Coordinating Ministry of Economic Affairs, Ministry of
Finance and Bank Indonesia since 2005. The main objective of IRU is to actively communicate Indonesian economic policy and to address concerns of
investors, especially financial market investors.
As an important part of its communication measures, IRU maintains a website under Bank Indonesia website which is administered by
International Department of Bank Indonesia. However, day-to-day activities of IRU are supported by all relevant government agencies, among others: Bank
Indonesia, Ministry of Finance, Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs, Investment Coordinating Board, Ministry of Trade, Ministry of State Owned
Enterprises, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources and Financial Services Authority.
IRU also convenes an investor conference call on a quarterly basis, answers questions through email, telephone and may arrange direct visit of banks/financial
institutions to Bank Indonesia and other relevant government offices.
E-mail: contactIRU-DL@bi.go.id
…page 50-52
…page 158-181
2
Overview
3
Section 1
Economic Recovery Program and Its Updates
Concerted Efforts to Mitigate Covid-19 Risk
General Measures
1 8
Establishment of a COVID-19 Task Force to Accelerate Decentralized tests by increasing the number of Covid-19
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Handling. test laboratories throughout Indonesia.
2 Extension of the emergency status for COVID-19 until 29th 9 Providing Designated Hospitals, including additional
May 2020. designated hospital in Galang Island.
3 Permission for civil servants to work from home, while 10 Utilization of four (4) of ten (10) Wisma Atlet Kemayoran
maintaining the continuity of public services.
Towers (former Athletes Hotel) as emergency hospital.
Promoting massive prevention of the spread of Covid-19; Preparation of 606 health workers and 192 non-health
application of health protocols in public areas, public 11 workers in Wisma Atlet Kemayoran and recruitment of 328
4 transportation, and offices; calls for carrying out social medical volunteers and 2590 non-medical personnel in the
distancing and the prohibition of carrying out activities that field of logistics and operations.
involve large crowds.
12
5 Establishment of Contingency Plans in the regions level.
Closing and limiting the mobility of Indonesian citizens
abroad and foreigners to enter Indonesian territory with
strict immigration and health protocols. 13 Preparation of drugs that have been used for Covid-19
patients in China according to doctor's prescription. The
6 drug has been distributed to designated facilities and its
Evacuation of Indonesian citizens from affected countries
and strict quarantine processes with complete medical stock is continuously being augmented with domestic
facilities. pharmaceutical production.
14
7 Speed up the procurement and distribution of personal
Conducting Rapid Test in 17 provinces with positive patients
protective equipment for designated hospitals and the
of Covid-19.
provision of incentives for medical personnel.
5
Government Measures to Mitigate Covid-19 Risk
Fiscal and Non Fiscal Stimuli
4 Provided incentives for domestic and international travellers. 4 Relaxation of Value Added Tax (VAT) Restitution.
6
Bank Indonesia’s Measures to Mitigate Covid-19 Risk
To maintain Monetary and Financial Market Stability
• Presiden Joko Widodo has signed Presidential Regulation No.82/2020 on the Covid-19 Response and National Economic Recovery Committee, enacted on
July 2020
• The government hopes that all efforts and steps in formulating and implementing programs and policies can be carried out in a more coordinated and
integrated manner, so that they can accelerate national economic recovery and save the economy from potential economic crises.
COMMITTEE COMPOSITION
Chairman Coordinating Minister of Economic Affairs
1. Healthy Indonesia
Public trust Activity increases Public consumption increases
2. Working Indonesia
Purchasing power of the middle to lower class increased Public consumption increases
3. Growing Indonesia
Socio-economic Transformation. Don't waste the opportunity to carry out this post-
pandemic transformation
Brake
Health Safety Net Gas Pedal
Need to step on the brakes
to suppress (contain) the Social Safety Net
covid-19 contagion Real Sector Safety Net
Reducing Implementation
the spread Improvement 3T
of Covid-19
(Involving Campaign
various
elements of
Massive 3M
society) Program Put on a
mask
Wash
hands
Keep the
distance
Regulates two topics: (1) National Budget (APBN) and (2) Financial Sector Policy
I. Presidential Regulation (Perpres) No 7/2020 on Taskforce to Manage COVID-19 Outbreak → Renewed through Presidential Regulation
(Perpres) No 9/2020
1. Answer to the President → Director (Chair: Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs) and Implementer (Chair: Head of Indonesian
National Board for Disaster Management), focusing on accelerating the mitigation of COVID-19 through synergy between ministries and
government
2. Funding comes from the state budget, regional budget, and other legal sources
II. Presidential Instruction (Inpres) No 4/2020 concerning Refocusing of Activities, Reallocation of Ministry/Agency Budget, and
Procurement of Goods and Services in the Framework of Mitigating COVID-19 Outbreak and Ministry of Finance Circular (SE) No
6/2020 on Refocusing Activity and Reallocation of Ministry/Agency Budget in the Framework of Mitigating COVID-19 Outbreak
1. Minister / Head of Institution prioritizes the use of budget allocations for the acceleration of mitigating COVID-19 outbreak in
accordance with COVID-19 Handling Protocol
2. Done through a budget revision mechanism (done quickly, simply and accountably)
III. Policy to support efforts to adjust regional allocations and relax transfers for handling Covid-19
1. Minister of Finance Regulation (PMK)19/2020 concerning Distribution and Use of Profit Sharing Fund (DBH), General Allocation Fund
(DAU), and Regional Incentive Fund (DID) budget year 2020 in the context of COVID-19 Countermeasures;
2. Minister of Finance Decree (KMK) 6/2020 concerning Distribution of Physical Special Allocation Fund (DAK) on Health and
Health Operational Assistance (BOK) in the framework of Prevention and/or Handling of COVID-19;
3. Ministry of Home Affairs Regulation (Permendagri) 20/2020 on acceleration of COVID-19 Mitigation in the Scope of
Regional Government
IV. Government Regulation Number 23 of 2020 for Implementation of the National Economic Recovery Program in the Context of
Supporting State Financial Policies for Handling Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) and / or Facing Threats that Harm Nation
COVID-19
IDR203.90 T IDR120.61 T IDR53.57 T IDR106.11 T IDR123.46 T IDR87.55 T Handling
Costs
• Conditional Cash
IDR695.2 T
Transfer Program • Interests Subsidy • Expenditure for
IDR37.40T; • Government-Borne • Line Ministries labor
IDR35.28T; Covid-19 Handling
• Basic Foods Income Tax Intensive Program
• Fund Placement IDR65.80T;
IDR43.60T; IDR39.66T; IDR18.44T;
• Social Assistance - IDR78.78T; • Incentives for
• Income Tax • Labor Intensive- • Housing Incentives
Jabodetabek • Guarantee Return Paramedic
Exemption on Import Fund Placement IDR1.30T;
IDR6.80T; IDR5.00T; IDR5.90T;
IDR14.75T; IDR3.42T; • Tourism IDR3.80T;
• Social Assistance – • Working Capital • Death
• Tax Deduction • State Equity • Regional Incentive
Non - Jabodetabek Guarantee (Stop Compensation
IDR14.40T; Participation Fund (DID) IDR5.00T;
IDR32.40T; Loss) IDR1.00T; IDR0.30T;
• Pre-Working • VAT Return (PMN) IDR20.50T; • Physical Special
• Government-Borne • National Health
IDR20.00T; IDR5.80T; • Working Capital Allocation Fund
Final Income Tax Insurance Fee
• Electricity Discount • Corporate IT Rate Investment Reserve IDR8.70;
IDR2.40T; & IDR3.00T;
IDR6.90T; Reduction IDR29.65T • Regional Loan Facility
• Investment • Covid-19 Task
• Logistical / Foods / IDR20.00T; & IDR1.00T; &
Basic Foods Financing to Force IDR3.50T; &
• Other Stimulus • Diversification
UDR25.00T; Cooperatives • Tax Incentives in
IDR26.00T Reserve IDR58.87T
• Village Fund - Cash IDR1.00T Health IDR9.05T
Transfer IDR31.80T
Realization
IDR 356.8 Tn
(51.3% of budget) 35.2% 69.6% 41.9% 29.4% 80.6% 0.0%
356,8 In the first four months of the National Economic Recovery (PEN)
318,48 program implementation, the absorption has reached 49.5%The
realization.
PEN program has experienced a significant acceleration during August
211,6
and September 2020.
147,67 ∆ 38.33 T
The social protection and support for MSME realization have been
∆ 106.88 T
∆ 63.93 T effectively executed.
The government will accelerate the PEN progress to reach 100%
realization.
July August September 21-Oct The PEN program drives the accelerated government spending in Q4.
CORPORATION
Fund Placement for labor intensive restructuring, State
Equity Participation (PMA) and Debt Securities to State- IDR169.97T
Owned Asset Management Company, Tax Incentives,
Labor Intensive program, Physical-Specific Allocation
Fund reserve, Tourism Incentives
SOEs
State Equity Participation (PMA) and Working Capital IDR12.0T
Investment
Regional Government
Regional Incentive Funds For Economic Recovery, Loan to IDR15.00T
Regional Government
FUND PLACEMENT
IN BANKS AS A MSME CREDIT
MEANS OF MSME
GUARANTEE AND
TAX AND LABOR
MSME SUBSIDY
INCENTIVES INTENSIVE
COMPANIES FOR CREDIT
CREDIT INTEREST
RESTRUCTURING
INVESTMENT DOMESTIC
CORPORATE
FINANCING INVESTMENT
CREDIT
FOR AND CREDIT
GUARANTEE
COOPERATIVES FOR SOEs
- Commercialisasion 100%
- Registration of Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) in the form of 50%
Patents or Plant Variety Protection Rights (PVT) in the country Technical Regulations (RPMK)
- Registration of IPR abroad / product innovation 25%
In the process of coordinating the drafting of the
- Collaboration with government / private R&D institutions 25%
Minister of Finance Regulation (IDRMK) with the
Total 300% Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Research and
Technology, and the Ministry of Industry
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs
23
National Economic Recovery Strategy Through Import Substitution
Program (35% Reduction) in 2022
SECTORS
INDUSTRIAL CONDITIONS FOCUS STRATEGIC STEPS
Import Reduction Increasing
• Require to deepen Industrial Structure Food and through Import Production
• Necessary to be independent on raw Beverage Substitution in Utilisation of All
Industries with Large Manufacturing
materials and production
Textiles and Import Value Industry Sectors
• Unsupportive regulations and incentives
• The P3DN Program is not yet optimal Clothing Encouraging the Increase in Investment and
Deepening of Absorption of New Workers
Automotive Industrial Structure
Chemical
Utilisation Utilisation Utilisation
Electronic 60% 75% 85%
35% IMPORT (2020) (2021) (2022)
SUBSTITUTION Pharmacy
PROGRAM BY 2020 • Absorption of workers affected by layoffs
Medical Devices • Increased domestic spending capacity
• Increase in the export market
Facilities Social grants Private PKBL & CSR Funds Interest Subsidy from the Government Market
Government Guarantee Mechanism
Business Ability
*Fostering Prosperous Family (Mekaar), Micro Waqf Bank (BMW), Ultra Micro (UMi), Revolving Fund Management Agency (LPBD)
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs 26
Government Assistance in the form of Salaries / Wages Subsidy
Regulated in Regulation of the Minister of Manpower (Permenaker) No.14/2020 concerning Wage Subsidized Government Assistance
AIM:
To protect, maintain, and increase the Recipient Target
economic capacity of workers / laborers in
the handling due to Covid-19
15.7 million
Salary/Wage Subsidy Budget
Given in the form of money
IDR37.87 Trillion amounting to IDR600,000 per
month for 4 months and to be paid
with a benefit of IDR 2.4 million per
every two months
worker
Recipient Requirements
1 Indonesian citizens proven by NIK (ID Number)
2 Registered as an active participant in the BPJS Ketenagakerjaan social security program
3 Workers / Laborers who receive Salaries / Wages
4 Registered in social security program membership until June 2020
5 Salaries / wages below IDR5 million according to the latest salary / wages reported by the employer to
BPJS Ketenagakerjaan
6 Have an active bank account
Source: National Economic Recovery and Transformation Task Force 27
Internet Data Assistance
Internet quota assistance for students from elementary to higher education, teachers and lecturers to support the
implementation of effective teaching and learning activities.
Social assistance of IDR 2.4 Million per business actor provided to Ultra Micro & Micro businesses that are not
currently receiving credit from banks
Implementation Time: August - September 2020 Implementation Time: October - December 2020
Prioritize :
• Job seekers • Employees who are laid off *
• Workers / Laborers affected by layoffs • Affected UKM actors
• Workers who need increased competence
*To be more precise on target, data from Ministries / Institutions
including BPJS Ketenagakerjaan is needed
2.39 million
>26 Million registrants
of 514 Districts / Cities 4.68 Million recipients
Pre-employment Card
1.45 million
Participants complete the training
The Indonesian economy is experiencing very heavy pressures, both in the supply side (business, industry - production)
and in the demand side (people's purchasing power - consumption)
Health Issues Potential Economic and/or Financial Crisis Potential Social Problems.
Vulnerable community
Low saving The New Normal Scenario is implemented by:
1
And at The End Stage of Clinical Test
Based on Presidential Decree No. 99 of 2020 and the
Presidential Meeting on 19 October 2020, the Government has 2. WUHAN INSTITUTE
OF BIOLOGICAL
1. SINOVAC
PRODUCTS -
decided to develop 2 types of vaccines: SINOPHARM
a) Government Assisted Vaccine (to be administered by the
Ministry of Health) 3. BEIJING INSTITUTE
4. UNIVERSITY OF
OF BIOLOGICAL
OXFORD -
b) Independent Vaccines (which will be managed by SOEs) PRODUCTS -
ASTRAZENECA
SINOPHARM
5. CANSINO
6. GAMALEYA
BIOLOGICAL INC. –
2
RESEARCH INSTITUTE
BEIJING INSTITUTE OF
– SPUTNIK V
Based on the assignment of the Government, SOE (Bio Farma) BIOTECHNOLOGY
Mar-20
May-20
Jan-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Jul-19
Sep-19
Jul-20
Sep-20
Oct-19
Jun-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jun-20
Sep-20
Jul-19
Jul-20
Feb-19
Apr-19
Sep-19
Feb-20
Aug-19
Apr-20
Aug-20
Jan-19
Mar-19
May-19
Jan-20
Mar-20
May-20
Car Sales (%YoY) - rhs
Nov
Feb
Sep
Jan
Apr
Mar
Mei
Ags
Des
Jun
Jul
Okt
70 77,8 -40,00 -35,8
Consumption goods Raw Material
Capital goods
Source: National Development Planning Agency 35
Section 2
Institutional and Government Effectiveness:
Accelerated Reforms Agenda with
Institutional Improvement
Improving Global Perception
…with recent improvements on corruption perception index and governance indicator
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Rank 0
20 Higher rank is better (rankings at the time of annual report publication)
20
Higher rank is better 36 40
30 41
45 60
40 50 72
73
80
50 91 73
100
60
120
70
*New Concepts by using the Global 140
80 Competitiveness index 4.0 which captures
the determinants of long-term growth. 160
90
India Indonesia Philippines Bulgaria Colombia Indonesia India Philippines Bulgaria Colombia
EoDB 2020 EoDB 2019 Change in EoDB 2020 EoDB 2019 Change in
Rank Rank Rank Points Points Points
BBB / Negative
Baa2 / Stable
Feb 2020, Rating Affirmed at Baa2/Stable
“The affirmation of the ratings is underpinned by a number of credit
strengths – including Indonesia’s robust and stable growth rates and
a low government debt burden, preserved by consistent fiscal
discipline and emphasis on macroeconomic stability – as well as
persistent credit challenges.”
“The upgrade reflects the firm implementation of policies to strengthen economic growth “The ratings mainly reflect the country’s solid domestic consumption-led economic growth, restrained budget deficit
potential on the back of a solidified political foundation. As the global spread of the novel and public debt, and resilience to external shocks supported by flexible exchange rate and credible monetary
coronavirus could strain growth in the Indonesia economy, the government and the central policies and accumulation of foreign exchange reserves. Since its previous rating review, JCR has been paying
bank are working to shore up the economy and maintain macroeconomic stability. Given the particular attention to the continuing reform initiatives pushed by the administration of President Joko Widodo and
country’s underlying economic strength which remains intact, R&I expects the economy to the content and progress of the economic policy taken by his second administration which took office in October
start to recover if the epidemic is brought under control” 2019. Among the reform agenda, infrastructure development has continued to progress faster than JCR had
expected.”.
39
Medium-Term National Development Plan (RPJMN) 2020-2024
President’s Vision: "The Establishment of an Advanced Sovereign, Independent and Personality Based
on Mutual Cooperation".
Taxes Financial
Labour
Sector1
6 Pillars of Omnibus Law Perpajakan (Taxation)
Investment
11 Clusters of Omnibus Law Cipta Lapangan Kerja (Job Creation)
1) Simplification of Licensing 4) Ease, Empowerment and Protection of MSMEs 7) Government Administration 10) Government Investment and
2) Investment Requirements 5) Ease of Doing Business 8) Imposition of Sanctions Projects
3) Employment 6) Research and Innovation Support 9) Land Acquisition 11) Economic Zone
Following the inauguration of his second presidential term in October 2019, President Joko Widodo announced his administration’s plans to continue regulatory reform by focusing on
initiatives such as developing a dynamic and qualified workforce, promoting industry cooperation through technology, further enhancing infrastructure development and economic
reform as well as simplifying regulations and bureaucracy.
To achieve such ends, President Widodo’s Government subsequently prepared three bills of omnibus laws, namely an omnibus bill on job creation, an omnibus bill on development
and strengthening the financial sector and an omnibus bill on tax provision.
Omnibus laws refer to laws that group diverse and unrelated issues which are drawn into a bill which is accepted in a single vote by a legislature.
1Under discussion
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs 41
Economic Transformation is required to recover the economy and
avoid the middle income trap
Bill on Job Creation as a strategic and extraordinary national policy to recover and improve the national economy
(Complements UU 2/2020)
Bill on Job Creation National Economy Indonesia Maju
Economic Transformation
2045
FORCE
Unemployed ARE
million are Micro & central & local regulations
TERMINATED MIDDLE
Small Businesses, (hyper-regulations) that
most of which are in regulate the sector,
SMALL causing disharmony,
the informal sector, so
it needs to be overlapping, non-
MICRO encouraged to operational and sectoral.
transform into formal
MORE THAN 13 MILLION PEOPLE NEED JOBS, AND CONTINUES ones.
TO GROW IT EVERY YEAR
BENEFITS
Encouraging Job Creation Facilitate New Business Opening Supporting Corruption Eradication
PRODUCTION
JOB CREATION
LAW
Increased
CONSUMPTION Increased
Purchasing
Power Income
HOUSEHOLD
Chapter III Improvement of Investment Ecosystems and Business Activities (Article 6 – Article 79)
Chapter V Convenience, Protection, Empowerment of Cooperatives and MSMEs (Article 85– Article 104)
15 Chapter VI Ease of Doing Business (Article 105 – Article 118)
Chapters
Chapter VII Research and Innovation Support (Article 119 – Article 121)
Improve efficient, streamlined, & Provide business licensing Overcome the barriers to
integrated business license service process assurance in terms of doing business in
standards the costs and lead times Indonesia
Policy Goals
2 4 6
1 3 5
Accelerate the business Increase coordination & synergy Implement integrated
licensing process between central & regional licensing process (single
government submission)
barriers
OSS is a web-based business licensing system intended to cut the red tape involved in obtaining business permits and
integrated between the central government and regional administrations
Sectors
Other Sector
Bonded Logistic Center To date, 52 Bonded Logistic Center has been launched to
support various industries.
48
Improving Investment Climate
…revising the Negative Investment List
2020
INVESTMENT REALIZATION TARGET Investment Realization
(Jan - Sept 2020)
Domestic
IDR817.2 T
IDR611.6 T Investment (PDMN)
IDR309.9
(50.7%)
74.8% Foreign Investment
(PMA)
IDR301.7T
(49.3%)
263,109 295,387
Others 4.524,2
East Java
19.7% IDR66.5T
Central
Banten (10.9%)
Java
IDR42.0T
IDR37.5T
(6.9%)
(6.1%)
Source: Investment Coordinating Board of the Republic of Indonesia
53
Investment Realization (Q3-2020)
* Transportation,
Warehouse, and Housing, Industrial Estate,
IDR21.7T IDR14.0T
Solving stalled investment issues is one
strategy to attract investors
IDR9.5T Bengkulu IDR5.2T
Electric Power
(Galempa
Sejahtera IDR2.0T IDR1.8T
Bersama)
PT Sumber IDR1.8T
Klaten, Central Dumai, Riau Mutiara Indah IDR1.8T
Java Perdana (SMIP)
Tax base to be
4th Most Populous Budget reform as a
broadened from
Largest Economy in country in the part of larger
one reduce
South East Asia World; 64% in economic reform
dependency on
initiative
productive age commodities
Reform-Oriented
Administration
From commodity-based to manufacturing Three main sources of financing for investment
and service sectors via infrastructure needs: State and regional budget, State Owned
development Enterprises and PPP
New Economic High
Continuing from 2015 policy, infrastructure will
From consumption-led to investment-led growth Structure Infrastructure be higher than fuel subsidy
via a stronger manufacturing sector and more
investment initiatives Investments
Infrastructure spending focused on basic
infrastructure projects
Policies to maintain purchasing power to
stimulate domestic economy in the midst of
weakening macroeconomic conditions Fiscal and non-fiscal incentives to attract
infrastructure investment and promote PPP
57
Indonesia’s GDP Growth Momentum Moderated
Strong GDP Growth1 • Indonesia’s economy contracted 5.32% (yoy) in Q2/2020 period after expanding 2.97%
QoQ YoY (yoy) in Q1/2020. The recent contraction is consistent with global economic weaknesses
% stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic as well as containment measures in the form of
7,0 large-scale social restrictions to break the domestic chain of transmission. Through its
5,1 4,9 4,9 5,0 4,8 4,7 4,8 5,2 4,9 5,2 5,0 4,9 5,0 5,0 5,1 5,2 5,1 5,3 5,2 5,2 5,1 5,1 5,0 5,0
5,0 4,2 policy mix, Bank Indonesia will continue to strengthen synergy with the Government and
4,0 4,0 4,2
3,8 3,3 3,7 3,3 3,1 3,2 3,1 3,1 3,0 other relevant authorities in order to ensure the effectiveness of various policies
3,0 implemented to build economic recovery momentum
1,0 0,0 • Domestic economic growth has declined across all GDP components from the expenditure
side. Household consumption contracted 5.51% (yoy) compared with positive 2.83% (yoy)
-1,0 (0,2) (0,4) (0,3) (0,4) (0,5) in the first quarter of 2020. Likewise, investment posted an 8.61% (yoy) contraction, down
(1,7) (1,8) (1,7) (1,7) (1,7)
(4,2) from 1.70% (yoy) in the previous period. Muted government stimuli in line with seasonal
-3,0 (2,1) (2,4) trends have also fed through to a 6.90% (yoy) contraction of government consumption,
-5,0 falling steeply from 3.75% (yoy) in the first quarter of 2020. In addition, exports
(5,3)
experienced an 11.66% (yoy) contraction in the reporting period due to the shrinking global
-7,0 economy and sliding international commodity prices. Mirroring domestic demand and
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 exports, imports recorded a 16.96% (yoy) contraction in the reporting period.
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 • All economic sectors experienced a contraction in the second quarter of 2020, excluding
Information and Communications; Water Supply; Health, Education and Financial Services;
as well as Agriculture. Economic moderation has primarily been driven by Transportation
Favourable GDP Growth Compared to Peers2 and Storage, Trade and Accommodation, as well as Manufacturing. In contrast, the
% Information and Communications sector posted stronger growth in line with greater uptake
10,00 of digital media in response to Work From Home (WFH) and School From Home (SFH)
8,80
7,40 protocols. Furthermore, the Agricultural sector has been boosted by the ongoing harvesting
season.
5,00 6,10
Growth Prospect
0,00 4,00 2020 GDP growth
Institutions
(%YoY)
-5,00 2020 Budget (Presidential Regulation 72/2020) -0,4-1,0
Exports (0.6) (0.3) (1.0) (6.4) (2.1) (3.1) (1.5) (5.9) 3.9 (1.7) 8.4 2.7 16.5 8.4 8.9 5.8 7.5 8.3 4.6 6.5 -1,6 -1,7 0,1 -0,4 -0,9 0,2 -11,7
Imports (2.6) (7.1) (6.5) (8.6) (6.2) (5.0) (3.4) (4.1) 2.7 (2.4) 4.8 0.2 15.4 11.9 8.1 12.5 14.9 13.8 7.1 11.9 -7,5 -6,8 -8,3 -8,0 -7,7 -2,2 -17,0
GDP 4.8 4.7 4.8 5.2 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5,1 5,1 5,0 5,0 5,0 3,0 -5,3
1. Source: Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia (BPS), ** Including non-profit household consumption
Inflation Rate (%) IDR Movement (%) Foreign Reserves (USD bn)
IDR depreciated year-to-date in October 2020 Significantly higher than 1998 & 2008, ample to cover 9.1
Inflation controlled within the target range
months of import and external debt repayment
1998 -197
1998 82,4
1998 17,4
2008 -35
2008 12,1 2008 50,2
2008 3,8
10,5
3.29
5,7
August 2020 3,22
1998 2008 September
Jul-15 ‘20
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
61
Outlook of Domestic Economy Remains Robust
...domestic economic growth is predicted to be moderated in 2020 and rebound in 2021
Bank Indonesia projects economic growth in 2020 at the range 0.9%-1.9%, revised down from around 2.3%.
Bank Indonesia projects inflation in 2020 within the target range, namely 3.0%±1%.
Bank Indonesia projects current account below level 1.5% of GDP in 2020, revised down from around 1.5% of GDP.
Bank Indonesia projects growth of outstanding loans disbursed by the banking industry in 2020 in the 6-8% range, revised down from
9-11% previously, in line with the revised economic growth projection in 2020.
2018
5.17% 3.13% 2.98% 11.75%
Realization
2019
5.02% 2.72% 2.71% 6.08%
Realization
10-Aug
30-Aug
8-Jan
7-Jul
5-Sep
28-Jan
17-Feb
29-Mar
18-Apr
25-Sep
12-Feb
1-Jul
19-Sep
3-Jan
23-Jan
3-Mar
23-Mar
12-Apr
9-Nov
29-Nov
9-Mar
8-May
28-May
4-Nov
24-Nov
2-May
22-May
20-Oct
19-Dec
27-Jul
15-Oct
17-Jun
14-Dec
21-Jul
11-Jun
9-Oct
liquidity.
Ample Reserves
Ample level of FX reserves to buffer against external shock
FX Reserve
FX Reserves as of of September 2020: US$135.2 bn
Swap Arrangement
Renewed a 3 year USD22.76 billion swap line with Japan on October 14th, 2018
Japan The facility is available in USD and JPY
South Korea Renewed a 3 year KRW / IDR swap arrangement with the size of up to KRW 10.7 trillion / IDR 115 trillion in March 2020
Bilateral
Australia Renewed a 3 year A$/IDR swap arrangement of up to A$10 billion or IDR 100 trillion in August 2018
Singapore Renewed a one year SGD/IDR swap arrangement with a size up to USD10 billion (equivalent) in November 2019
Renewed a 3 year swap arrangement and increased the size of swap line up to CNY 200 bn / USD 30 billion in
China November 2018
Malaysia Established a 3 year RM/IDR swap arrangement with a size up to USD2 billion (equivalent) in September 2019
Entitled to a maximum swap amount of US$ 22.76 bn under the ASEAN+3 (Japan, China, and Korea) FX reserves pool created under the
Chiang Mai Initiative agreement
Multilateralization
Came into effect in 2010 with a pool of US$120 bn and
(CMIM) Agreement
Doubled to US$240 bn effective July 2014
IMF Global Financial Indonesia is entitled to access IMF facilities for crisis prevention to address potential (actual) BOP problem
Global
Safety Net - GSFN Such facilities include Flexible Credit Line (FCL) and Precautionary and Liquidity Line (PLL)
Debt Burden Indicator (External Debt/GDP) Remains Comparable to Peers Rating Encouraging Corporates Compliance on Hedging Ratio & Liquidity Ratio
Sanction As of Q IV-2015 Applied *Data as of Q1 2020, with total population 2.518 corporates
Source: Bank Indonesia
Source: Bank Indonesia 67
Healthy External Debt Composition
External Debt Structure The Structure of External Debt is Dominated by Long-Term Debt
Private External Debt Public External Debt Short Term External Debt Long Term External Debt
100%
100%
90%
90%
80% 80%
49,1 70%
70%
60% 60% 83,8
50% 50%
40% 40%
30% 30%
50,9
20% 20%
10% 10% 16,2
0% 0%
External Debt Remains Manageable External Debt to GDP Ratio & Debt to Export Ratio
Million USD % % %
Axis Title
250.000 160 168,4 168,0 168,5
8,1 10,0 160,8 20
200.000 7,5 140
6,5 8,0 15
5,4 5,9 External Debt / Export Ratio (rhs)
150.000 5,0 139,5
6,0 120
3,0 123,1 10
100.000 4,0 121,8 External Debt / GDP Ratio
100 114,9 113,8
50.000 0,6 5
2,0 101,0
0 0,0 80 0
Source: Bank Indonesia, External Debt Statistics of Indonesia, Aug 2020 *Provisional Figures **Very Provisional Figures 68
Manageable External Debt Profile
Short term non-bank corporate debt (non affiliation) represents only 9.5% of total private external debt
Affiliation
US$203bn US$159.3bn US$18.6bn
or or or
49.1% 75.7% 8.8% US$12.6bn
of Total Ext. of Private Ext. of Private or
Debt Debt Ext. Debt 6.0%
External Debt
of Private
Position
Ext. Debt
US$210bn US$51.2bn
or US$32.6bn
or
50.9% or
US$413.4bn 24.3%
of total 15.5%
of Private
Ext. Debt of Private
Ext. Debt
Ext. Debt
Private
Non-Bank US$19.9bn
Short-Term1 or
9.5%
Private of Private
External Debt Position as of August 2020 Ext. Debt
1 Based on remaining maturity
Non Affiliation
Source: External Debt Statistics of Indonesia, October 2020
69
Solid Policy Coordination
In Managing Financial Markets Volatility
The policy measures for handling and recovering the economy are focused at improving the demand side, and many target vulnerable communities and
MSMEs
The Law on State Finance (Law With extraordinary and very Responding to the
No.17 of 2003) stipulates that urgent conditions, the State development needs of the
the budget deficit is limited to a Budget deficit policy exceeds Covid-19 pandemic handling
maximum of 3% of GDP and the the 3% limit, through the and to maintain the economy
amount of Government debt is enactment of Perppu No.1 / and financial system stability,
a maximum of 60% of GDP. 2020 (becoming Law No.2 / including running the National
2020). The magnitude of the Economic Recovery Program
2023 state budget deficit will (PEN).
return a maximum of 3%.
State Deficit
Undertaking Strategic Policies
Budget 1.76% PDB
2020 Refocusing and reallocation policies by suspending non-
priority activities, such as official travel and other
activities that cannot be carried out in the Covid-19
Perpres Deficit The budget has been
period.
revised twice to the
54/2020 5.07% GDP latest of Presidential Providing stimulus, both in the form of additional
Decree 72/2020, which spending, tax incentives, and government investment for
Perpres Deficit has incorporated the
handling Covid-19 and the National Economic Recovery
72/2020 6.34% GDP national economic
recovery initiation
12
STRENGTHENING GOVERNMENT
13
11 CONSUMPTION (G)
75
NEW PROPOSAL FOR THE USE OF COVID-19 HANDLING COSTS
As the efforts to boost economic growth in the second semester
1. Incentives for Medical 1. The utilization of food 1. Support for MSMEs 1. Exemption from applying
and Non-Medical reserve/logistic fund (IDR2.4Mio per recipient) the minimum account
Personnel: 2. Social Security programs 2. Support for worker provisions for customers
• Incentives for middle income class affected by Covid-19 with electricity
extension up to Dec 3. Extension period of (IDR600K/month for 4 consumption below the
2020 Electricity bill Discount months for those who minimum account
• Reward for 4. Additional Electricity bill registered in BP Jamsostek
Incentives for Discount with salaries below 2. Exemption from social,
Medical and Non- New proposals that have been IDR5Mio) business and industrial
Medical budgeted: 3. Buying Local Product customer expense /
2. Support for Hospitals 1. Islamic Boarding Program for supporting subscription fees
by accelerating the School/Pesantren the MSMEs and cashback
procurement process assistance for program for MSMEs’
for medical stuff and implementation of health consumers
claim for hospitalization protocols and online
Note:
costs learning
The new proposal programs
3. New Normal 2. Rice aid for Family Hope
Program beneficiaries are funded by expansion
Socialization reserves and unused
3. Cash transfer IDR500K for
4. Covid-19 Vaccine government borne taxes
9Mio Basic Food
Supplies beneficiaries and non PKH
76
Burden Sharing Scheme Between Ministry of Finance and Bank Indonesia
Based on Usage Group: Public Goods vs Non-Public Goods
Covered by
2. Non-Public Government
Micro small and Medium Goods: amounting to BI
Enterprises (MSME) • MSME reverse repo 3M Issuance through
IDR 123.46 T minus 1%, and
• CorporationN market mechanism
Non-Public on-MSME rest of covered by (auction, Green
Goods Corporation Non-MSME BI Shoe Option,
IDR 505.90 T IDR 53.57 T Private Placement
according to the
Others SKB on April 16,
IDR 328.87 T 2020)
Full Covered by
3. Non-Public Government
Goods: Others amounting market
The Covid-19 impact burden consists of expenses for Public Goods and rate
Non-Public Goods with different Burden Sharing Schemes for each
usage group.
Source: Ministry of Finance 77
Financing Strategy 2020
Opportunistic, Measured, and Prudent Financing Strategies to support State Revenue and Expenditure Budget (APBN) 2020
in accelerating the handling of COVID-19 and protecting the economy from the threat of crisis
The government can issue SBN for financing the PEN program
purchased by Bank Indonesia in the primary market (Article 21
Auction PP 23/2020).
Foreign
Denomina- Retail SKB between the Government & BI phase I has been agreed
ted GS and carried out since the SBN auction April 21, 2020.
Government
Securities
(GS)
(gross)
IDR 900.4 T Phase II SKB has been signed, will be implemented in stages
according to the real needs of financing
Private GS for BI
Placement Special Plans for project foreign activities / 2020 in the amount of IDR
Scheme 29.5 T
•Project loan plans for 2nd semester IDR 24.2 T
2019 2020
Realization of Realization of
Budget % of Budget Growth (%) Budget % of Budget Growth (%)
September 30 September 30
Revenue 2165.1 1342.2 62.0 2.3 1699.9 1158.9 68.2 (13.7)
Domestic Revenue 2164.7 1341.3 62.0 3.6 1698.6 1153.3 67.9 (14.0)
Taxation Revenue 1786.4 1039.5 58.2 1.5 1404.5 892.4 63.5 (14.1)
Tax Revenue 1577.6 902.8 57.2 0.2 1198.8 750.6 62.6 (16.9)
Custom and Excise 208.8 136.6 65.4 10.5 205.7 141.8 68.9 3.8
Non Tax Revenue 378.3 301.8 79.8 7.1 294.1 260.9 88.7 (13.6)
Central Government Expenditure 1634.3 999.3 61.1 6.4 1975.2 1211.4 61.3 21.2
Ministerial Expenditure 855.4 556.1 65.0 8.7 836.4 632.1 75.6 13.7
Non Ministerial Expenditure 778.9 443.2 56.9 3.7 1138.9 579.2 50.9 30.7
Regional Transfer and Village Fund 826.8 595.3 72.0 3.8 763.9 629.7 82.4 5.8
Regional Transfer 756.8 551.3 72.9 2.9 692.7 572.0 82.6 3.8
Village Fund 70.0 44.0 62.9 16.1 71.2 57.7 81.0 31.0
80
Government Securities Financing Realization
(as of Sep 30, 2020)
(Trillion IDR)
Realization
(ao. Sep 30, 2020
GS Matured Government Securities (GS) 1,102.97
2020 Government Debt Securities (GDS) 793.49
IDR Denominated GDS 486.52
- Coupon GDS 355.44
- Conventional T-Bills 43.06
- Private Placement 67.42
- Retail Bonds 20.59
Foreign Denominated Bonds 123.49
Issuance 2020 GS Nett - SEC USD-EUR REG SHELF TAKE-DOWN* 42.52
- Samurai Bond**** 13.43
- SEC USD REG SHELF TAKE-DOWN** 67.54
- USD Onshore Bonds 0.00
Special Instrumen 183.48
Sovereign Sharia Securities (Sukuk) 309.48
Domestic Sovereign Sharia Securitoes 273.82
SUKUK - IFR/PBS/T-Bills Sukuk (Islamic Fixed Rate Bond/Project Based Sukuk 173.22
- Retail Sukuk 37.81
GDS - Private Placement 62.80
Global Sukuk*** 35.66
* Dual-currency bonds issuance using SEC format amounted USD2 bn and EUR1 bn, settlement on January 14, 2020 (BI mid day exchange rate; 1 USD = 13,654 IDR & 1 EUR = 15,207.83 IDR)
** Global bonds issuance using SEC format amounted USD4.3 bn, settlement on April 15, 2020 (BI mid day exchange rate on April 15, 2020; 1 USD = 15,707 IDR)
*** Global Sukuk issuance amounted USD2.5 bn on June 16, 2020, settlement on June 23, 2020 (BI mid day exchange rate on June 16, 2020; 1 USD = 14,265 IDR)
**** Samurai bonds issuance using public offering amounted JPY100bn, settlement on July 8, 2020 (BI mid day exchange rate on July 2, 2020 : 1 JPY = 134.34 IDR)
81
Source: Ministry of Finance
FISCAL POLICY DIRECTION IN 2021
Responding changes in economy, challenges, and support development targets
82
SUMMARY STATE BUDGET 2021
Accelerating Economic Recovery and Strengthening Reforms
1. The global and domestic economy in 3. The 2021 State Budget will continue
2021 will still be in uncertainty. the expansionary-consolidative
Pandemic handling efforts and the countercyclical policy by taking into
availability of vaccines will determine the account flexibility in responding to
acceleration of economic recovery economic conditions and encouraging
prudent and sustainable fiscal
2. The 2021 State Budget deficit of 5.70 management
percent of GDP is aimed at maintaining
the momentum of economic growth, as 4. National development priorities will
well as avoiding opportunity losses in focus on Health, Education, Information
encouraging the achievement of national and Communication Technology, Food
development targets Security, Social Protection, Infrastructure,
and Tourism.
83
Macroeconomic Assumption and State Budget for 2021
Expansive-consolidative fiscal policy for the acceleration of Economic Recovery and strengthening the reforms
84
STATE BUDGET 2021 COMPREHENSIVELY DESIGNED TO SUPPORT THE ACCELERATION OF
NATIONAL ECONOMIC RECOVERY AND ANTICIPATE AN ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN
DUE TO THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC
-142,5
-125,6
-124,4
-11,5
-73,1
-269,4
calculated
-298,5
-308,3
-348,7
-341
-01
-200
-633,1
-700,4
-02
-400 -1,82
• Handling • Continuing social • Expanding access • Supporting
-1.006,40
-2,20
-1.039,20
COVID-19 and safety net to lay a to capital for programs -2,59 -2,49 -2,51 -03
supporting solid foundation of MSMEs and activities for -600
health programs inclusive economic cooperatives impacted
-04
recovery through interest sectors (e.g.
subsidy Tourism) -800
-05
Financing: IDR 1,006.4 trillion
• Increasing access to • Continuing to -1000
-06
• Supporting the -5,70
financing for MSMEs support higher
restructuring of SOEs,
and housing for low- education,, -6,34
PSA, Sovereign Wealth -1200 -07
income household research and
Fund (SWF) Deficit (Rp Trillion) Primary Balance (Rp Trillion) % Deficit to GDP (RHS)
cultural activities
11 12 13 14
15 16 17
86
GS Primary Market Performance 2019-2020
Through Auction
[IDR Trillion] Incoming Bids Awarded Bids % Bid to Cover Ratio (RHS)
400 7,00
6,50
350
6,00
Average
Average 5,14
300 Incoming
Awarded
Bid 2019 = 5,00
IDR35.48T/ Bid 2019
auction =
IDR14.14T
250 /auction 4,24
3,91 4,00
200
3,14 3,35
3,112,80 3,17
2,97 3,00
3,01
150 2,59
2,34 2,44 2,45
2,12 2,15
2,11 1,97 2,00
100 1,98
1,00
50
- -
Average incoming bid in 2020 = IDR55.16 tn/auction while average awarded bid in 2020 = IDR15.05 tn/auction
On January 7, 2020, the Republic of Indonesia priced a transaction comprising EUR1 bn and USD2 bn in senior unsecured notes.
Transaction Highlights
Issuer Republic of Indonesia
Issuer Rating Baa2 Moody’s (Stable) BBB
S&P (Stable) BBB Fitch
• Leveraged a brief market window of stability to price inside fair value levels by 1 bp
for the EUR tranche and at a de minimis concession inside 1 bp for the 10- and 30-
year USD tranches
Exp. Issue Rating
(Stable)
Baa2 (Moody’s) / BBB (S&P) / BBB (Fitch)
• Record-low yields, spreads, and coupons by EUR and USD financing by the GoI in
each tenor
Issue U.S. SEC-registered shelf takedown Fixed • High-quality and price-insensitive demand allowed compression of 27 bp for the
EUR tranche and 25 bp and 20 bp for the 10- and 30-year USD tranches,
rate senior unsecured notes
respectively
Aggregate Size USD3,100 mm equiv.
• Harnessed a particularly strong bid for duration to price benchmarks which
prompted a rally in the long-end of Indonesia’s curve once the new bonds were
EUR 7-year USD 10-year USD 30-year freed to trade
Maturity February 14, 2027 February 14, 2030 February 14, 2050
Tranche Size EUR1,000 mm USD1,200 mm USD800 mm
Coupon 0.900% p.a. 2.850% p.a. 3.500% p.a.
(ACT/ACT) (30/360) (30/360)
Reoffer Price 99.638% 99.737% 99.077%
Reoffer Yield 0.953% p.a. 2.880% p.a. 3.550% p.a.
Benchmark €MS (-0.077%) UST10 (1.828%) Old UST30 (2.311%)
(Yield) DBR 02/15/27
(-0.446%)
Spread to €MS + 103 bp + 105.2 bp + 123.9 bp
Benchmark DBR + 239.9 bp
Denominations EUR100k /EUR1k USD200k/1k USD200k/1k
Listing / Law Singapore, Frankfurt Open Market listing / New York law
On April 7, 2020, the Republic of Indonesia priced a transaction comprising USD4.3bn in senior unsecured notes
Transaction Highlights
Second ROI transaction priced since COVID-19 pandemic
The transaction is the lowest ever 5-year and 10-year yield achieved by the Government across both conventional
and Sukuk issuances in the US$ market.
The transaction is the first ever 30 year Sukuk issuance by the Government with the lowest coupon ever of Global
Sukuk issuance in the world and the largest ever 30 year Sukuk from Asia.
The transaction has oversubscription of 6.7 times. With the size of orderbook, Government can press the pricing
down by 70 bps from the initial price guidance (IPG) and well below its indicative fair value.
Maturity July 7, 2023 July 8, 2025 July 8, 2027 July 8, 2030 July 6, 2040
Transaction Highlights
First Sovereign Samurai issuance in 2020 and the first issue from Asian after the pandemic
declaration and part of the proceeds will be allocated to various projects in response to COVID-
19
RoI’s achievements of successful pricing of benchmark sized transaction while significantly
reducing average premium over its US dollar secondary curve across tenor, contributed to
encourage the market and proved strong presence of RoI as a leading Samurai bond issuer.
Stable Debt to GDP Ratio Over the Years Prudent Fiscal Deficit
IDR Tn Government Debt / GDP (%)
500 442 446,3 0,0%
36,41% 407 414,52
40,00%
864,3 400 362
5.000,0 30,18% -0,5%
35,00%
29,40% 29,81% 300
27,43% 28,33% 764,5
4.000,0 810,7 30,00%
24,74% 200 -1,0%
746,2 25,00%
734,8 100
3.000,0 19 14 -1,5%
755,1 20,00%
4.892,6 0
677,6 -4 (20) (9)
2.000,0 4.014,8 15,00% -1,8% (35)
3.612,7 -100 -58 (56) -2,0%
3.248,6 -69 (66)
2.780,6 10,00% -200
2.410,0
1.000,0 1.931,2 -2,2% -2,5%
5,00% -300 -2,5% -2,5% (269)
- 0,00% -2,6%-298 (308)
-400 (341) (349) -3,0%
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019* Sep 2020** 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Bond Loan Debt/GDP Ratio [RHS]
Note: *) as of end of December 2019, GS Nett Loan Nett Non-Debt
**) Preliminary number using GDP assumption Surplus (Deficit) Budget Ratio Deficit to GDP
Weighted Average Debt Maturity of ~8.8 Years Well Diversified Across Different Currencies
% of Yearly Issuance
9,6
9,39
9,4 100% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
7% 6% 6% 5% 6%
9,2 9,13 4% 4% 4% 5% 5%
80%
9 31% 29% 30% 27% 25%
8,8 8,68 60%
8,59
8,6 8,52
8,37 40%
8,4
57% 59% 58% 62% 63%
8,2 20%
8
7,8 0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sep-20 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sep-20
2048
2049-2070
5
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sep-20
Note: 1. *) as of end of December 2019, preliminary number and using GDP assumption 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Source: Ministry of Finance 93
Holders of Tradable Central Government Securities
More Balance Ownership In Terms of Holders and Tenors
Holders of Tradable Gov’t Domestic Debt Securities Foreign Ownership of Gov’t Domestic Debt Securities by Tenor
100%
100%
27,0%
38,2% 37,5% 37,7% 38,6% 34,8% 31,2%
80% 39,8%
80% 36,0% 37,0% 38,6%
44,7%
60% 60%
35,8%
37,4% 36,8% 34,1%
39,0% 35,6% 35,3%
37,8% 39,9% 38,2% 39,8% 38,6%
40%
36,8% 42,0% 40,3% 37,5% 37,7%
40%
27,0%
(IDR tn)
Description Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Sept 30,2020
Government
Banks* 399.46 22.53% 491.61 23.41% 481.33 20.32% 581.37 21.12% 1,288.60 37.23%
Institution
Govt Institutions (Bank Indonesia**) 134.25 7.57% 141.83 6.75% 253.47 10.70% 262.49 9.54% 234.79 6.78%
BANK
Bank Indonesia (gross) 157.88 8.90% 179.84 8.56% 217.36 9.18% 273.21 9.93% 640.59 18.51%
GS used for Monetary Operation 23.63 1.33% 38.01 1.81% -36.11 -1.52% 10.72 0.39% 405.81 11.72%
NON-BANK Non-Banks 1,239.57 69.90% 1,466.33 69.83% 1,633.65 68.98% 1,908.88 69.34% 1,938.01 55.99%
Mutual Funds 85.66 4.83% 104 4.95% 118.63 5.01% 130.86 4.75% 150.14 4.34%
MUTUAL FUND Insurance Company and Pension Fund 325.52 18.36% 348.86 16.61% 414.47 17.50% 471.67 17.13% 523.43 15.12%
INSURANCE &
PENSION FUND Foreign Holders 665.81 37.55% 836.15 39.82% 893.25 37.71% 1,061.86 38.57% 933.15 26.96%
FOREIGN Foreign Govt's & Central Banks 120.84 6.81% 146.88 6.99% 163.76 6.91% 194.45 7.06% 192.17 5.55%
Individual 57.75 3.26% 59.84 2.85% 73.07 3.09% 81.17 2.95% 137.18 3.96%
INDIVIDUAL
Others 104.84 5.91% 117.48 5.60% 134.22 5.67% 163.32 5.93% 194.10 5.61%
OTHERS
Total 1,773.28 100% 2,099.77 100% 2,368.45 100% 2,752.74 100% 3,461.40 100%
1) Non Resident consists of Private Bank, Fund/Asset Manager, Securities Company, Insurance Company and Pension Fund.
2) Others such as Securities Company, Corporation, and Foundation.
*) Including the Government Securities used in monetary operation with Bank Indonesia.
**) net, excluding Government Securities used in monetary operation with Banks.
Background
Commitment to implement the United Nation’s (“UN”) Indonesia’s Environmental Law was enacted in 2009 based The “Nine Agenda Priorities” of the President’s
Sustainable Development Goals (“SDG”) in order to achieve the on the concept of sustainable development, prevention, priority actions. Shifting to a low-carbon and
2030 development agenda introduced by the UN. Through precaution and a “polluter pays” principle. To better climate-resilient development path is an
Presidential Regulation No. 59/2017 relating to the address environmental issues, the Ministry of Environment integral part of this mission and is integrated in
implementation of SDGs in Indonesia, the National and the Ministry of Forestry were merged to become the development policies, strategies and programs
Development Planning Agency was instructed to present a Ministry of Environment and Forestry in October 2014
roadmap to implement the SDGs
• Adopted the National Action Plan for Greenhouse Gas Emission • National Action Plan on Climate Change Adaptation: National • Indonesia is an archipelago made up of 17,504
Reduction in 2011. framework for adaptation initiatives mainstreamed into the islands with unique ecosystems containing a
• Focuses on reducing greenhouse gas emission through a National National Development Plan. large number of diverse species.
Determined Contribution with an unconditional reduction target of • Medium Term Development Plan 2020-2024 (RPJMN): reflects • Indonesian Biodiversity Strategy and Action Plan
29% by 2030 compared to the 2010 baseline. An additional 12% Indonesia’s strong commitment to shift to a low carbon 2015-2020: launched to provide an outline on
reduction is conditional on technology transfer, capacity building, development based approach to economic development and a how biodiversity could be utilized sustainably
results for payment and access to finance. more climate resilient path. Includes key priorities such as to improve economic and development
• Environmental Fund Management Agency (BPLDH): established in renewable energy and energy efficient development, forest opportunities.
October 2019 with the vision to create a trusted institution to attract conservation and reforestation, waste management, land
national and international donors as well as effectively mobilize public intensification, food security as well as governance and
and private fund in order to support protection programmes. institutionalization of investment and regulation.
97
Indonesia’s Existing Green Bond and Sukuk Framework
Existing Green Bond and Sukuk Framework under which the Republic of Indonesia
can Finance and Refinance Selected Eligible Projects
1 2 3 4
Use of proceeds Project Evaluation Management of Proceeds Reporting
of Green Bond and Selection Management- Ministry of Finance
and Green Sukuk Ministry of Finance will
Review and approval The Green Bond and Green Sukuk proceeds prepare and publish a
Eligible Green process by Ministry of will be credited to a designated account of Green Bond and Green
Projects must fall Finance and National relevant ministries for funding exclusive Sukuk annual report
into one of the Development Planning projects as previously defined. Allocation is on the list of projects,
nineeligible Agency managed by Ministry of Finance. amounts of proceeds
sectors allocated to such
Line Ministries projects and
The line ministries utilizing the proceeds estimation of
shall track, monitor and report to beneficial impacts
Ministry of Finance, on the
environmental benefits of the Eligible
Green Projects
The Framework has received a second opinion from the Centre for International Climate Research (CICERO) and is awarded medium
green shading, which allows the possibility of light, medium and dark green project types. This shade also shows that eligible listed
projects are representing the country ongoing efforts towards the long-term vision in carbon emission reduction
98
Indonesia’s Existing Green Bond and Sukuk Framework (Cont’d)
Existing Green Bond and Sukuk Framework under which the Republic of Indonesia can
Finance and Refinance Selected Eligible Projects
Source: Green Sukuk Issuance Allocation and Impact Report (February 2020)
99
Indonesia’s Green Initiatives: Financing Green Projects
Development of Indonesia’s Green Projects Financing
The Republic of Indonesia has issued two sovereign global Green Indonesia has continued to develop the Green market through the introduction of the first Retail
Sukuk, consecutively in February 2018 and 2019, with the total Green Sukuk in the world (Savings Retail Sukuk, ST006) in November 2019. The ST006 is an
amount of USD 2 Billion investment instrument based on Sharia principles issued and sold to individual Indonesian citizens in
the domestic market with an online platform. Allocation and impact of the Retail Green Sukuk is not
2019 Issuance 2018 Issuance included in the Green Sukuk Issuance Allocation and Impact Report issued in February 2020
USD 750 million USD 1.25 billion
(or IDR 11.25 trillion) (or IDR 16.75 trillion)
Allocation by Sector
Managed by 3
Ministries:
Note: Information extracted from Green Sukuk Issuance Allocation and Impact Report (February 2020), and subject to change and assurance from PwC.
Projects were financed in Indonesian Rupiahs and the currency exchange rate based on the State Budget Assumption for 2019 budget year of IDR 15,000 per USD was used to re-calculate the spent amount on each project
*These statistics are based on the HSBC’s in house assessment of investor ESG/ SRI appetite and sophistication, which is developed from Market Intelligence and our own understanding from client conversations. A green classification is assigned to
investors taking into account whether they have Green/SRI fund and/or strategy, whether they are signatories of a variety of SRI initiatives and with awareness to their broader activities / public announcements in the SRI market. Classifications evolve over
time
100
Indonesia’s Green Initiatives: Projected Environmental Benefits
Environmental Benefits Arising from Indonesia’s Green Sukuk Issuance
3,218,014.41
tonnes
CO2e emissions reduced, towards
a low carbon future
691.4 km
of railway constructed,
linking the nation
Source: Green Sukuk Issuance Allocation and Impact Report (February 2020)
101
Tangible Results from Indonesia’s Green Sukuk Initiatives
Green Projects Refinanced and Financed with Proceeds from Indonesia’s Green Sukuk Issuance
Renewable Energy Resilience to Climate Change Waste and Waste to Energy Management
Locations Across the country Across the country Across the country
Amount Committed to
USD4.31 mil USD96.57 mil USD10.83 mil
Finance 2019 Projects
Target Impact / 134,872.41 tonnes of CO2e - In order to achieve 48,000,000 tonnes target set in RAN-GRK
Emissions Reduction (2017)
• Planning, Development and Supervision of New, • Construction of Flood Control Facilities (Financing) • Improvement of Municipal Solid Waste Management
Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation System (Refinancing)
Infrastructure (Refinancing and Financing)
Construction of retention ponds/polders, flood canals, dikes,
Construction of new and renewable energy infrastructure, checkdam, and river maintenance and normalization. It aims Improvement of basic waste management infrastructure
with a focus on areas outside current electricity coverage. to reduce the risk of flooding due to increased rainfall services through the development of city, regional and
The project aims to improve the electrification ratio in off- intensity and land use changes. special area-scale of final disposal sites.
Project Examples Financed / grid areas across the country. Power generation is sourced Locations: All provinces except East Kalimantan
Refinanced from solar, mini hydro, and micro hydro power plants*. Locations: West Java, Central Java, Yogyakarta, North
Sumatera, West Sumatera, South Sulawesi, Maluku, Bali • Improvement of Municipal Solid Waste Management
Locations spread across 19 provinces in 2017 (Refinancing) System (Financing)
and the 2019 development of such infrastructure are spread
across all provinces (Financing) Improvement of basic waste management infrastructure
services through the development of city, regional and
special area-scale of final disposal site.
Locations spread across 11 provinces
Amount Committed to
USD288.77 mil -
Finance 2019 Projects
Amount Committed to
USD77.95 mil USD202.72 mil
Refinance 2017 Projects
• Development of Jabodetabek Urban Train • Construction and Management of • Installation of Navigation Facilities (Refinancing)
(Refinancing) Double Track Railways
Infrastructure and Supporting Construction, rehabilitation and replacement of marine navigation aids and the installation of
Construction of double-double track of the Facilities (Refinancing and solar cells to power marine navigation aids. The shift towards solar powered marine
Jabodetabek urban railway network. Financing) navigation aids reduces the use of fossil-fuel sources of power.
Locations: Jabodetabek (Jakarta, Bogor, Locations: spread across 21 provinces in 2017
Depok, Tangerang, Bekasi) The construction of the double track
railway project in the Trans Java • Improvement of Land Transportation Traffic Management System (Refinancing)
• Construction and Management of railway’s northern section, upgrading
Project Examples Financed /
Railways Infrastructure and Supporting the single-track railway. Installation of road traffic equipment such as traffic signs, area traffic control systems (ATCS)
Refinanced in 2019
Facilities in Sumatera (Refinancing and Locations: Jabodetabek (Jakarta, Bogor, and navigation aids for river and take crossings (SBNP) with energy-saving sensors.
Financing) Depok, Tangerang, Bekasi) Locations: Jakarta, West Java, Central Java, Yogyakarta, East Java
Construction of the Trans Sumatera Railway • Construction, Rehabilitation and Maintenance of Airport Infra-structures (Refinancing)
from Aceh to Lampung province. The Trans
Sumatera Railway causes a mode shift from The installation of solar-powered street lights and solar power plants. It improves the energy
road transport to rail transport and logistics efficiency of airports and ensure electricity is sourced from renewable sources
Locations: Aceh, North Sumatera, West Locations: spread across 30 provinces in 2017
Sumatera and South Sumatera
Note: Information extracted from Green Sukuk Issuance Allocation and Impact Report (February 2020), and subject to change and assurance from PwC
Projects were financed in Indonesian Rupiahs and the currency exchange rate based on the State Budget Assumption for 2019 budget year of IDR 15,000 per USD was used to re-calculate the spent amount on each project
103
Section 7
Monetary and Financial Factor:
Credible Monetary Policy Track Record
and Favourable Financial Sector
Bank Indonesia’s Policy Mix
To Maintain Macroeconomic and Financial System Stability
2
momentum
Stabilize exchange rate consistent
with fundamentals 1 Macro-
Optimize monetary operations in Monetary prudential
order to ensure market Policy Policy Electronification: Social program, e-
mechanisms and adequate liquidity payment for Government
in the money and foreign exchange
Financial technology
markets
The BI Board of Governors agreed 12th and 13th October 2020 to hold the BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate at 4.00%, while also
maintaining the Deposit Facility (DF) and Lending Facility (LF) rates at 3.25% and 4.75%.
Strengthening policy
implementation to stimulate SMEs
Maintaining Strengthening the monetary by (i) corporatization, (ii) increase
Focusing on the
rupiah operations strategy in order capacity, (iii) access to finance as Close policy coordination
quantity channel by
exchange rate to reinforce the well as (iv) digitalization in line with the Government and
providing liquidity,
stabilization accommodative monetary with the National Made in Financial System Stability
including support for
Holds policy in line policy stance and Indonesia Movement. Committee will constantly
the Government in
BI7DRR terms of with the accelerating money market be strengthening order to
at 4,00% currency's and foreign exchange market Strengthening the digital economy maintain macroeconomic
accelerating state
fundamental deepening through and finance ecosystem through and financial system
budget realization in
value and infrastructure development, the use of digital payment stability, while
2020 to hasten the
market including Electronic Trading instruments and collaboration accelerating the national
economic recovery
mechanisms Platforms (ETP) as well as a between the banking industry, economic recovery.
from COVID-19
Central Counterparty (CCP) FinTech and e-commerce to
support the national economic
recovery program.
Well Maintained Inflation Ensured Price Stability Strengthened Monetary Policy Framework
(%)
20 8,38 8,36 9 8,00 19 August 2016
The New Monetary
18 8 Operation Framework
CPI (%, yoy) rhs
16 7,00
Core (%, yoy) - lhs 7 LF Rate: 7.00
14 Volatile Food (%, yoy) - lhs2
6 BI Rate: 6.50
Administered (%, yoy) - lhs 6,00
12
5
10
3,35 3,61 4 LF Rate: 4.75
3,13 5,00
8 3,02
2,72
3
6 BI 7Day RR Rate: 4.00
1,42 2 4,00
4
2 1 DF Rate: 3.25
3,00
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sep-2020
Rupiah Exchange Rate Fared Relatively Well Compared to Peers Credit Growth Profile
YTD 2020 vs 2019 % yoy
18,0
BRL -27,15 -22,13 Total Growth Working Capital Loans
16,0 Investment Loans Consumption Loans
TRY -24,63 -16,11
ZAR -15,21 14,0
-13,39
IDR -5,56 12,0
-3,11
THB -4,51 10,0
-1,39
INR -2,59
-4,92 8,0 4,6
MYR -1,38 6,0
-1,98
SGD -0,83 4,0 1,1
point-to-point -1,74
KRW 0,81 1,0
-2,68 2,0
CNY average 2,54
-0,96 0,0
JPY 3,11
1,44 -2,0
PHP data as of October 12th, 2020 4,56 -1,0
3,58 -4,0
EUR 5,08 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7
0,67
-30,0 -25,0 -20,0 -15,0 -10,0 -5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
109
Source: Bank Indonesia
Regional Inflation Remains Under Control
…supported by low inflation in all regions
Low and Controlled Inflation in All Regions, SEPTEMBER 2020 (%, YOY)
4 Strategies
Strengthening
production,
Encouraging
Government Strengthening
Stabilizing the Managing Strengthening trade Improving trade Improving data
food reserves central-regional
price demand side institution cooperation infrastructure quality
and food export- coordination
between regions
import
management
Mechanism for Bank Indonesia to purchase SBN in the primary market to finance
the State Revenue and Expenditure Budget (APBN) – Above the Line
In accordance with the joint decree issued by the Minister of Finance and Bank Indonesia Governor, SUN/SBSN purchases by Bank
Indonesia in the primary market are based on general practices through transparent market mechanisms to maintain good governance.
The mechanism for Bank Indonesia to purchase SUN/SBSN in the primary market is divided into three stages as follows:
(i) Phase I: As a non-competitive bidder, Bank Indonesia can purchase SUN/SBSN in the primary market based on the following
provisions:
Yield commensurate with the weighted average yield of the auction on the same day
Maximum SUN bid of up to 25% of the target auction maximum and maximum bid on SBSN > 1 year of up to 30% of the target
auction maximum.
(ii) Phase II: A greenshoe option based on the following provisions:
Yield commensurate with the weighted average yield of the auction on the previous day.
If the incoming bid is lower than the auction target, the maximum offer is the same as the previous offer.
(iii) Phase III: Private placements based on the following provisions:
Refer to the latest market price published by the Indonesia Bond Pricing Agency (IBPA).
Private placements are implemented if the Government seeks additional financing based on the agreed terms and conditions.
Bank Indonesia provide interest remuneration on the government account as a form of burden sharing to reduce the state budget
burden.
SBN purchases by Bank Indonesia in the primary market as a follow-up action to Act No. 2 of 2020 currently stand at IDR23.98 trillion,
with IDR166.21 trillion purchased in the secondary market for stabilisation purposes. Consequently, BI holdings of SBN were recorded
at IDR443.48 trillion on 26th May 2020.
112
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: May 2020
Mitigating the risk of COVID-19 transmission
National Economic Recovery and state budget financing mechanism – Below the Line
Bank Indonesia is providing liquidity to the banking industry through a repo mechanism for SBN in order to fund loan restructuring as part of the national
economic recovery. If SBN purchases are insufficient, banks can apply to the government for fund placements, funded through SBN purchases by Bank
Indonesia (below the line).
In accordance with Government Regulation No. 23 of 2020, government fund placements will only occur at participating banks if SBN available for repo to
Bank Indonesia are insufficient, provided the participating bank is healthy based on a soundness assessment conducted by OJK and is holding tradeable
government securities (SBN), Bank Indonesia certificates of deposit (CD), Bank Indonesia Certificates (SBI), Bank Indonesia Sukuk (SukBI) and Islamic Bank
Indonesia certificates (SBIS) that have not been repo totaling more than 6% of third party funds.
Liquidity from Bank Indonesia to the banking industry for loan restructuring is provided through the following mechanisms:
(i) Phase I: SBN Repo
Total SBN held by the banking industry as of 14th May 2020 was recorded at IDR886.0 trillion. After meeting the Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer
(MPLB) requirements for the banking industry, approximately IDR563.6 trillion must be repo to Bank Indonesia prior to applying for government
fund placements. The current position of repo SBN to Bank Indonesia stands at IDR43.9 trillion.
(ii) Phase II: Government fund placements in accordance with Government Regulation No. 23 of 2020
(iii) Phase III: Repo SBN - Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (MPLB)
Pursuant to Bank Indonesia regulations (Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer - MPLB), banks are required to maintain minimum SBN totaling 6% of
deposits (IDR330 trillion) for liquidity management in addition to the 3.5% reserve requirements
All SBN, totaling IDR300 trillion, can be repo through monetary operations in accordance with the Bank Indonesia Act before applying for short-
term liquidity loan/financing facilities (PLJP/S).Bank Indonesia provide interest remuneration on the government account as a form of burden
sharing to reduce the state budget burden.
(iv) Phase IV: Short-term liquidity loan/financing facilities (PLJP/S)in accordance with Act No. 2 of 2020
Banks can apply for the short-term liquidity loan/financing facilities (PLJP/S)if the SBN already repoed are nearly depleted. Pursuant to Act No. 2 of
2020, short-term liquidity loan/financing facilities (PLJP/S) are only available to solvent and healthy banks based on OJK requirements and
assessments, with adequate repayment capacity and guaranteed by current loans registered at Bank Indonesia.
113
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: April 2020
The BI Board of Governors agreed on 13th and 14th April 2020 to hold the BI 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate at 4.50%,
while also maintaining the Deposit Facility (DF) and Lending Facility (LF) rates at 3.75% and 5.25%.
Rupiah Reserve Requirement Lowered by 200 bps
1) To stabilize and strengthen rupiah exchange rates, Bank Indonesia has strengthened the intensity of triple intervention policy through the spot and
Domestic Non-Deliverable Forward (DNDF) markets, as well as purchasing SBN in the secondary market.
2) To support national economic recovery efforts from the deleterious COVID-19 impact, Bank Indonesia will increase monetary easing through
quantitative easing as follows:
a. Expand monetary operations by providing banks and the corporates a term-repo mechanism with SUN/SBSN underlying transactions of tenors up to
one year.
b. Lower the rupiah reserve requirement ratios by 200bps for conventional commercial banks and by 50bps for Islamic banks/Islamic business units,
effective from 1st May 2020.
c. Relax the additional demand deposit obligations to meet the Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio (MIR) for conventional commercial banks as well
as Islamic banks/Islamic business units for a period of one year, effective from 1st May 2020.
3) To strengthen liquidity management in the banking industry and in relation to the lower rupiah requirements, Bank Indonesia has raised the
Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (MLB) by 200bps for conventional commercial banks and by 50bps for Islamic banks/Islamic business units, effective
from 1st May 2020. The banking industry is required to meet the additional MLB through purchases of government issued SUN/SBSN in the primary
market.
4) To increase the uptake of non-cash payment instruments in order to mitigate the COVID-19 impact, Bank Indonesia is increasing various payment
system policy instruments as follows:
a. Supporting government programs to accelerate non-cash social aid program (bansos) disbursements to members of the public in conjunction with
payment system service providers by expediting the electronification of relevant social programs, including the Family Hope Program (PKH), Noncash
Food Assistance Program (BPNT), Pre-Employment Card and Smart Indonesian Card (KIP).
b. Increasing public socialization activities in collaboration with payment system service providers to increase the uptake of non-cash payment
instruments through digital banking, electronic money and broader QRIS acceptance.
c. Relaxing credit card policy by lowering the upper limit for credit card interest, minimum payment requirements and the penalties for late payments,
while supporting credit card issuer policy to extend the due date for customers.
114
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: April 2020
Mitigating the risk of COVID-19 transmission
As a follow-up measure to strengthen monetary and financial market stability in conjunction with the Coordinating Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Indonesian Financial Services Authority (OJK) and Deposit Insurance Corporation (LPS), the
Governor of Bank Indonesia, Perry Warjiyo, on April 1st 2020 delivered The policy mix implemented by Bank Indonesia to mitigate
the COVID-19 impact is as follows:
1) Lower the BI 7-Day (Reverse) Repo Rate in February and March by 25bps respectively;
2) Intensify triple intervention policy in the spot and DNDF markets and purchasing SBN in the secondary market;
3) Reduce the foreign currency reserve requirements for conventional commercial banks from 8% to 4%;
4) Extend the SBN repo tenor and provide daily auctions to loosen rupiah liquidity as well as increase the frequency of FX Swap auctions to
daily in order to ensure adequate liquidity;
5) Expand the types of underlying transactions for Domestic Non-Deliverable Forwards (DNDF), thus increasing hedging alternatives against
rupiah holdings in Indonesia;
6) Lower the rupiah reserve requirements by 50bps for banks that are engaged in export-import financing, as well as the financing of MSMEs
and other priority sectors;
7) Loosen the Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio (MIR);
8) Provide hygienic currency fit for circulation, reduce the costs of the National Clearing System (SKNBI), maintain a QRIS Merchant Deposit
Rate (MDR) of 0% for micro-merchants, and support non-cash disbursements of various government programs, including the Family Hope
Program (PKH) and Noncash Food Assistance Program (BPNT), as well as the Pre-Employment Card and College Smart Indonesia Card.
Bank Indonesia reiterated that rupiah exchange rates are currently adequate and the outlook scenario formulated for the main macroeconomic
indicators is a form of forward-looking anticipatory measure towards prevention through joint efforts, while Bank Indonesia continues to
maintain rupiah stability.
115
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: April 2020
Mitigating the risk of COVID-19 transmission
As a follow-up measure to strengthen monetary and financial market stability in conjunction with the Coordinating Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, Indonesian Financial Services Authority (OJK) and Deposit Insurance Corporation (LPS), the
Governor of Bank Indonesia, Perry Warjiyo, on April 1st 2020 delivered The policy mix implemented by Bank Indonesia to mitigate
the COVID-19 impact is as follows:
• Bank Indonesia also backs promulgation of the Government Regulation in Lieu of Law in order to relax prevailing laws to mitigate the COVID-19
impact as an anticipatory measure in conjunction with the Government, OJK and LPS. COVID-19 handling requires extraordinary measures,
unconventional policies and policies that exceed previous jurisdiction.
• To that end, Bank Indonesia has reiterated its authority in accordance with Government Regulation in Lieu of Law (Perppu) No. 1 of 2020 as
follows:
1) Expansion of BI authority to purchase long-term government securities (SBN) and government Islamic securities (SBSN) in the primary market in
order to assist the Government finance the handling of the COVID-19 impact on financial system stability.
2) SBN will be purchased in the primary market by Bank Indonesia as a last resort if the market is unable to fully absorb the SBN issued by the
Government. Further provisions will be regulated in conjunction with the Minister of Finance and the Governor of Bank Indonesia based on the
following considerations: financial market conditions and the impact on inflation.
3) As an anticipatory measure, Bank Indonesia will purchase repo securities held by the Deposit Insurance Corporation (LPS) in order to finance the
handling of solvency issues at systemic and non-systemic banks;
4) Provision of short-term liquidity loan or short-term liquidity financing facilities in compliance with sharia principles to systemic and non-systemic
banks;
5) Foreign exchange flow management for residents. The use of foreign exchange by residents, including provisions for the surrender, repatriation
and conversion of foreign exchange to maintain macroeconomic and financial system stability as follows:
6) Bank Indonesia would like to stress that this measure is not a form of foreign exchange control but policy to manage foreign exchange applicable
only to residents (excluding non-residents/foreign investors). Foreign portfolio investment and foreign direct investment (FDI) are still required for
the Indonesian economy, thus existing policy permitting the free flow of foreign exchange by foreign investors remains effective.
7) Regulating foreign exchange amongst residents is consistent with international prudential principles for macroeconomic management, particularly
under economic distress, such as the current COVID-19 pandemic. 116
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: April 2020
Mitigating the risk of COVID-19 transmission
Bank Indonesia has agreed a repurchase agreement line (repo line) with the US Federal reserve worth USD60 billion
• The agreement may be used by Bank Indonesia to fulfil US dollar liquidity if required. The repo line facility for Foreign and International
Monetary Authorities (FIMA) has only been extended to a few central banks, thus indicating confidence in Indonesia's economic outlook and
the macroeconomic policies implemented. In addition, Bank Indonesia has also established repo line facilities with several other institutions,
namely the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), worth USD2.5 billion, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), USD3 billion, as well
as other central banks in the region valued at USD500 million-USD1 billion.
• The agreements will strengthen Bank Indonesia’s second line of defence, encompassing Bilateral Currency Swap Arrangements (BCSA) with
several other central banks, namely the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), worth CNY200 billion (equivalent to USD30 billion), the Bank of
Japan (BOJ), USD22.76 billion, Bank of Korea, KRW10.7 trillion (equivalent to IDR115 trillion), and the Monetary Authority of Singapore
(MAS), USD10 billion.
117
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: April 2020
Mitigating the risk of COVID-19 transmission
Bank Indonesia Issued Implementing Provisions for Auction of Government Debt Securities (SUN) and/or
Government Islamic Securities (SBSN) in the Primary Market
• Bank Indonesia issued Board Member of Governors Regulation No. 22/5/PADG/2020 on Auction of Government Debt Securities and/or
Government Islamic Securities in the Primary Market to Maintain State Financial Management Sustainability as Implementation of
Government Regulation in Lieu of Law Number 1 of 2020 on State Financial Policy and Stability of Financial Systems for the Management
of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) and/or Encounter the Threat to National Economy and/or Stability of Financial Systems. The
regulation starts to take effect on 20 April 2020.
• The regulation serves as a follow-up to Government Regulation in Lieu of Law Number 1 of 2020, granting authority to Bank Indonesia
among others to purchase Government Debt Securities (SUN) and/or Government Islamic Securities (SBSN) in the primary market . It is
necessary as a funding source for the government to recover the national economy including maintaining state financial management
sustainability including SUN and/or SBSN issued in response to COVID-19 pandemic. Purchase of SUN and/or SBSN in the primary market
is based on principle that Bank Indonesia is a last resort if the market capacity is unable to purchase them and/or result in high yield
increase. Further, this regulation specifies the following:
1) Bank Indonesia holds auction of SUN and/or SBSN and auction of additional SUN and/or SBSN for long-term SUN and/or SBSN in the
primary market as a follow-up to the implementation of Government Regulation in Lieu of Law Number 1 of 2020.
2) Provisions for offer quote and participants of auction of SUN and/or SBSN and auction of additional SUN and/or SBSN refer to the
applicable Finance Minister Regulation on auction of SUN and/or SBSN in the domestic primary market.
3) Bank Indonesia may quote an offer to purchase long-term SUN and/or SBSN in auction of SUN and/or SBSN and auction of additional
SUN and/or SBSN in the following manners: a. directly without using the main dealer and/or SBSN main dealer; b. non-competitive bid.
4) Implementation of auction of SUN and/or SBSN and auction of additional SUN and/or SBSN refer to the applicable Bank Indonesia
provisions for auction of Government securities in the primary market provided that they are not in contravention of this regulation.
118
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: March 2020
Mitigating the risk of COVID-19 transmission
To strengthen coordination and the various policy measures already taken, Bank Indonesia on March
2nd 2020 introduced a variety of five follow-up policy measures to maintain monetary and financial
market stability as well as mitigate the COVID-19 risks
1) Intensify triple intervention policy to ensure rupiah exchange rates move in line with the currency's fundamental
value and market mechanisms. To that end, Bank Indonesia will optimize its intervention strategy in the DNDF
market, spot market and SBN market in order to minimize the risk of increasing rupiah exchange rate volatility.
2) Lower the FX reserve requirements for commercial banks from 8% to 4%, effective 16th March 2020, which will
increase FX liquidity in the banking industry by around USD3.2 billion and simultaneously alleviate foreign exchange
market pressures.
3) Lower the rupiah reserve requirements by 50bps for banks financing export-import activity in coordination with the
Government. Effective from 1st April 2020 for a period of nine months before a further review, this policy is
expected to facilitate export-import activity through lower costs/fees.
4) Expand the range of underlying transactions available to foreign investors in order to provide alternative hedging
instruments against rupiah holdings.
5) Reaffirm that global investors can utilize global and domestic custodian banks to conduct investment activity in
Indonesia.
119
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: March 2020
Mitigating the risk of COVID-19 transmission
Bank Indonesia on the Board of Governors Meeting 18th and 19th March 2020 has reinforced its policy mix towards mitigating
the risk of COVID-19 transmission, while maintaining money market and financial system stability and catalyzing economic growth
momentum through the following policy measures:
1) Strengthening the intensity of triple intervention policy to maintain rupiah exchange rate stability in line with the currency's fundamental value and
market mechanisms, including the spot and DNDF markets as well as purchasing SBN in the secondary market.
2) Extending the SBN repo tenor to 12 months and providing daily auctions to loosen rupiah liquidity in the banking industry, effective from 20th March
2020.
3) Increasing the frequency of FX swap auctions for 1, 3, 6 and 12-month tenors from three times per week to daily auctions in order to ensure adequate
liquidity, effective from 19th March 2020.
4) Strengthening foreign currency term deposit instruments in order to enhance foreign currency liquidity management in the domestic market, while
encouraging the banks to utilize the foreign currency reserve requirements lowered by Bank Indonesia for domestic purposes.
5) Expediting the enforcement of domestic vostro rupiah accounts for foreign investors as underlying transactions for Domestic Non-Deliverable Forwards
(DNDF), thus increasing hedging alternatives against rupiah holdings in Indonesia, which has been brought forward from 1st April 2020 to no later than
23rd March 2020.
6) Expanding the incentive of a 50bps daily rupiah reserve requirement beyond banks that are engaged in export-import financing to include the financing
of MSMEs and other priority sectors, effective from 1st April 2020.
7) Strengthening payment system policy to support COVID-19 mitigation efforts by:
• providing hygienic currency fit for circulation, alternative cash and backup services, and urging the public to prioritize non-cash payment transactions;
• encouraging the use of non-cash payment channels by reducing the cost of the National Clearing System (SKNBI) from the banking industry to Bank
Indonesia from IDR600 to IDR1 and from customers to the banking industry from a maximum of IDR3,500 to IDR2,900, effective from 1st April 2020
until 31st December 2020; and
• supporting non-cash disbursements for government programs, such as the Family Hope Program (PKH) and Noncash Food Assistance Program
(BPNT), Pre-Employment Card and College Smart Indonesia Card.
120
Principles of Average Reserve Requirement Ratios Improvement
a. Additional rupiah
• Improvement in average reserve requirement is a follow up average reserve Fixed RR: 5% Fixed RR: 4.5% 16th July
to the monetary policy operational framework reform requirement for Average RR: 1.5% Average RR: 2% 2018
implemented by Bank Indonesia since 2016. conventional RR: 6.5% RR: 6.5%
• Monetary policy operational framework reform started in commercial banks
August 2016 as BI7DRR replaced BI Rate as policy rate. This
b. Annulment of 16th July
was then strengthened in 1st July 2017, by the
demand deposit 2.5% (from 1.5% RR) 0% 2018
implementation of the average reserve requirement in
renumeration
rupiah for conventional commercial banks at 1.5% out of the
total 6.5% of GDP reserve requirement in Rupiah. The c. Implementation of
reformulation is also backed by various efforts in financial foreign exchange
market deepening. Fixed RR: 8% Fixed RR: 6%
average reserve 1st October
Average RR: 0% Average RR: 2%
• The current improvement aims to elevate flexibility in requirement for 2018
RR: 8% RR: 8%*
banking liquidity management, enhance banking conventional
intermediation function, and support efforts in financial commercial banks
market deepening. This multiple targets will in turn improve
the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission in d. Implementation of
Fixed RR: 5% Fixed RR: 3% 1st October
maintaining economic stability. average reserve
Average RR: 0% Average RR: 2% 2018
requirement for
RR: 5% RR: 5%*
Islamic banks
* Complemented by harmonisation feature to align with the average reserve requirement in rupiah
feature for conventional commercial banks (e.g. Calculation period, lag period, and Maintenance
period of 2 weeks)
Regulation
1 200bps for conventional commercial banks INELIGIBLE for looser daily reserve requirements as per macroprudential policy to support
export-import and MSME financing, effective from 1st April 2020, to 3.5%, with a daily ratio of 0.5% and average ratio of 3%
2 50bps for Islamic banks and Islamic business units INELIGIBLE for looser daily reserve requirements as per macroprudential policy to
support export-import and MSME financing, effective from 1st April 2020, to 3.5%, with a daily ratio of 0.5% and average ratio of 3%
3 200bps for conventional commercial banks eligible for looser daily reserve requirements as per macroprudential policy to support export-
import and MSME financing, effective from 1st April 2020, to 3.0%, with a daily ratio of 0% and average ratio of 3%
4 50bps for Islamic banks and Islamic business units eligible for looser daily reserve requirements as per macroprudential policy to support
export-import and MSME financing, effective from 1st April 2020, to 3.0%, with a daily ratio of 0% and average ratio of 3%
1 2 3 4
Striving to stimulate the bank The regulation is effective The policy is expected to This
intermediation function and liquidity for conventional stimulate the bank macroprudential
management, Bank Indonesia commercial banks from intermediation function to the policy instrument is
issued Bank Indonesia Regulation 16th July 2018 and for real sector congruent with countercyclical and
(PBI) No. 20/4/PBI/2018 and Board sharia banks from 1st sectoral capacity and the can be adjusted in
of Governors Regulation (PADG) No. October 2018. economic growth target in line with prevailing
20/11/PADG/2018 concerning the compliance with prudential economic and
Macroprudential Intermediation principles, while also overcoming financial dynamics.
Ratio (MIR) and Macroprudential the issue of liquidity
Liquidity Buffer (MLB) for procyclicality.
Conventional Commercial Banks,
Sharia Banks and Sharia Business
Units.
4 Source of Data Monthly Commercial Bank Reports Monthly Sharia Bank Reports
5 Criteria for securities held Corporate bonds and/or corporate sukuk Corporate bonds and/or corporate sukuk
Issued by a nonbank corporation and by a resident
Offered to the public through a public offering
Equivalent to investment grade rating affirmed by a rating agency
Administrated by an authorised securities institution
*As part of further relaxation on macroprudential policy, an adjustment will be applied starting from December 2nd, 2019 124
Principles of Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio (MIR)*
Regulation MIR (Conventional Commercial Bank) MIR Sharia (Sharia Banks and Sharia Business
Units)
6 Percentage of the securities
100%
held
7 Criteria for securities issued medium-term notes (MTN), floating rate notes (FRN) sharia-compliant medium-term notes (MTN) and/or
and/or bonds other than subordinated bonds sukuk other than subordinated sukuk
Issued by a nonbank corporation and by a resident
Offered to the public through a public offering
Equivalent to investment grade rating affirmed by a rating agency
Administrated by an authorised securities institution
8 Securities Reporting Offline delivery mechanism (email)
9 Scope of deposits to meet Average daily total deposits in rupiah at all branch Average daily total deposits in rupiah at all branch
DD MIR /DD MIR Sharia offices in Indonesia offices and sharia business units in Indonesia
Including rupiah liabilities to a resident and non- Including rupiah liabilities to a resident and non-
resident third-party nonbank, consisting of: (i) resident third-party nonbank, consisting of: (i) wadiah
demand deposits, (ii) savings deposits; (iii) term savings; (ii) unrestricted investment funds, and (iii)
deposits, and (iv) other liabilities other liabilities
10 Relaxation of DD Bank Indonesia may relax the provisions of the DD MIR/Sharia DD MIR based on credit/financing disbursement
MIR/Sharia DD MIR and fund accumulation
The provisions may be relaxed based on a request from a conventional commercial bank, Sharia bank or Sharia
business unit or a recommendation from the Financial Services Authority (OJK)
Conventional commercial banks, Sharia banks or Sharia business units that receive the relaxed policy are exempt
from sanctions
*As part of further relaxation on macroprudential policy, an adjustment will be applied starting from December 2nd, 2019 125
Adjustment of Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio (MIR)/Sharia
Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio (Sharia MIR)*
Bank Indonesia strengthens accommodative macroprudential policy through an adjustment to the Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio by
including the loan/financing received by banks as a component of funding in MIR/sharia MIR.
3 Calculation Formula Percentage of rupiah securities held by a conventional Percentage of sharia-compliant rupiah securities held by
commercial bank to rupiah deposits an Sharia bank to rupiah deposits
4 Flexibility Under certain conditions, the securities used to meet the MLB Under certain conditions, the securities used to meet the
may be used for repo transactions to Bank Indonesia for open sharia MLB may be used for repo transactions to Bank
market operations, totalling no more than 2% of rupiah Indonesia for open market operations, totalling no more
deposits than 2% of rupiah deposits
5 Sources of Data on Monthly Commercial Bank Reports Monthly Sharia Bank Reports
Deposits
Rupiah deposits to calculate MLB are the average daily Rupiah deposits to calculate sharia MLB are the
total deposits at all branches in Indonesia average daily total deposits at all branches in
Indonesia
Rupiah deposits include: (i) demand deposits, (ii) savings
deposits; (iii) term deposits, and (iv) other liabilities Rupiah deposits include: (i) wadiah savings; (ii)
unrestricted investment funds, and (iii) other liabilities
127
Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (MLB) Policy and Credit card policy
Policy to increase the Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (MPLB), effective 1st May 2020.
Regulation Before After
1 Increase in the Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (MLB) 4% of rupiah deposits 6% of rupiah deposits
for conventional commercial banks
2 Increase in the Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (MLB) 4% of rupiah deposits 4.5% of rupiah deposits
for Islamic banks and Islamic business units
1 Lower upper limit on credit card interest 2.25% per month 2% per month 1st May 2020
3 Temporary reduction of late payment 3% or maximum of IDR150,000 1% or maximum of IDR100,000 1st May 2020 – 31st
penalties December 2020
4 Supporting credit card issuer policy to extend Issuer discretion 1st May 2020 – 31st
the due date for customers December 2020
128
Relaxing the Loan-to-Value (LTV) and Financing-to-Value (FTV) Ratios*
The LTV/FTV relaxation is conducted while taking into account aspects of prudential and consumer protection*
1. Increasing opportunities of first time buyers to fulfill their housing needs 2. Relaxing the amount of loan/financing facility through indent
through housing loan, specifically by adjusting the LTV ratio for property mechanism to a maximum of 5 facilities without taking account of
loan and the FTV ratio for property financing for the 1st facility, 2nd the orders
facility, etc., making the largest LTV ratio for property credit and FTV 3. Adjusting the arrangement of stages and amount of property
ratio for property financing as shown in the table below. loan/financing disbursement of indent property:
*As part of further relaxation on macroprudential policy, an adjustment will be applied starting from December 2nd, 2019
Source: Bank Indonesia 129
Relaxing the Loan-to-Value (LTV) and Financing-to-Value (FTV) Ratios*
Prudential aspects of Relaxing the Loan-to-Value (LTV) and Financing-to-Value (FTV) Ratios
1. The requirements of the LTV ratio for property credit and FTV ratio for property financing are as follows:
i. The net ratio of NPL to total credit or NPF to total financing must not exceed 5%; and
ii. The gross ratio of property NPL to total property credit or property NPF to total financing must not exceed 5%.
2. Banks must make sure that there is no loan transfer to another borrower at the same bank or different bank for tenors of less
than 1 year. The requirements are valid for banks that will disburse pre-order property loan/financing.
3. Banks are required to comply with prudential principles when disbursing loans.
4. Gradual loan liquidation is only allowed for developers that comply with bank’s risk management policy (e.g. the business
feasibility of the developer).
5. Banks are required to ensure that transactions to disburse loans (including down payment) and gradual liquidation must be
processed through the debtor and developer/seller’s bank account.
Central government or local government loan / financing programs are exempt from this regulation.
Note: Adjustments of the LTV ratio for property loans, FTV ratio for property financing and down payments on automotive loans or financing will be effective from
December 2nd, 2019
Bank Indonesia adjusts macroprudential policy in automotive sectors by: (Lowering the minimum limit of down payment on green automotive
loans/financing from 5-10% to 0%, in compliance with prudential principles.
1. Adjustment of Minimum Down Payments on Green Automotive Loans/FinancingThe green vehicles criteria refers to the Presidential
Regulation No. 55 of 2019 concerning Battery Electric Vehicles.
Requirements:
1. Gross NPL ratio on total credit <5%; and
2. Net NPL ratio on automotive loan <5%
2. To support the development and delivery of funds shall be performed in more than 2 days after the transaction date
Can only be
Bank – Customer performed to Excluding following activities:
hedge rupiah a. Bank Indonesia certificates;
exchange rate b. Placement of funds with bank;
risk. c. Unwithdrawn credit facilities;
d. Documents of foreign currencies sales againts rupiah;
e. Money transfer by fund transfer companies
f. Intercompany loan
g. Money changer activities.
Transaction Settlement
• Use Fixing mechanism
• Reference rate: JISDOR for USD/IDR and BI FX Transaction MidRate for non-USD/IDR
• Settlement currency : IDR
• Roll over and early termination are not allowed
Cover Hedging
Bank may conduct DNDF Transactions with Bank Overseas for cover hedging purpose.
• Underlying Transactions: DNDF Transaction between Bank and Customer/Foreign
• Purpose: Hedging
Notes:
Customer A conduct DNDF transactions with Bank B, and so Bank B can conduct DNDF
transactions with overseas Bank for the purpose of cover hedge.
Source: Bank Indonesia
137
Amendment on DNDF Regulation
*to provide more flexibility in DNDF transaction
*to increase liquidity and efficiency in domestic foreign exchange market
Article 3 Article 3
1. DNDF transactions must have Underlying 1. Sell FX/IDR through DNDF up to $ 5 mio can be done without
underlying documents
Article 6 Article 6
2. Not Regulated; 2. DNDF can be terminated (unwind);
Article 11 Article 11
3. Underlying documents must be final (firm) with additional 3. Underlying documents for buy FX/IDR for DNDF is :
supporting documents • Final (firm commitment) + Supporting documents
4. Underlying documents for sell FX/IDR for DNDF above
threshold $ 5 mio can be:
• Final (firm commitment) + Supporting documents
• Projection (anticipatory basis) + Supporting documents
Article 11
Article 11
5. In using estimate underlying transaction documents in the
4. Not Regulated;
form of cash flow projection, Bank must evaluate the
appropriateness through:
a. Supplementary documents;
b. Historical data within at least 1 year before; and
c. Track record of the Customer or Foreign Party.
*Effective on May 17th, 2019; English version of the regulation is available in BI website.
As hedging instruments against Rupiah interest rate changes IRS is a contract between two parties to
periodically exchange rupiah interest rate flows
4 during the contract period or at the completion
of the contract based on certain notional
amount. IRS pricing is based on JIBOR.
Improvement of
IRS transaction
2 liquidity
Alignment
between JIBOR
and OIS interest Encourage price transparency in the rupiah
rate money market
OIS transaction
1 with IndoNIA as
Strengthen monetary policy transmission
Provide alternative hedging instruments
benchmark rate against rupiah interest rate changes
IndoNIA & JIBOR Support securities market deepening in
Indonesia
Strengthening
reference rate
based on real
transactions
Source: Bank Indonesia
139
OIS and IRS Transactions: General Provisions
Market Conventions. When performing IRS and OIS IndONIA Index Notional of Net Quotation : 1W, 2W,
transactions, the respective bank is bound by market with 5 interest payment in 1M, 2M, 3M, 4M,
conventions agreed upon by market players through decimals IDR with 0 decimals 5M, 6M
industry association including the Indonesian Foreign
Exchange Market Committee.
At the 1st phase, OIS
Compound
Settlement Date = 1 settlement will only
Settlement. Settlement can be performed as a netting Floating Rates
business days after be done at the end
payment and every transaction has to be settled in (CFR) based
Maturity Date (MD) of the OIS tenor
Rupiah. Close-out netting can be applied under on 5 decimals
(MD+1bd).
predetermined conditions.
Bank Indonesia has instituted a Reformulation of Monetary Policy Operations Framework which consists of 3 pillars;
(1) implementation of BI 7day Reverse Repo Rate;
(2) implementation of reserve requirement averaging; and
(3) continue to implement money market deepening program.
Reformulation of
Monetary Policy Operational Framework
PREVIOUS JIBOR
• Can be traded among contributor banks for 10
minutes.
• Up to the amount of IDR10 billion.
• Up to 1-month tenor.
Banking intermediation manages to grow positively in August 2020, while multi-finance financing contracts as economy yet to fully recover
Banking loans in Aug-20 managed to expand by 1.04% amidst pressure on credit Growth of financing distributed by multi-finance contracts by 12.90% in Aug-20 in
distribution due to the COVID-19 pandemic. line with slowing economic activity.
YoY
IDR tn
IDR Tn Bank Loans YoY Growth (rhs) YoY Financing Growth (rhs) 10%
6.000 5521,87 14%
500
12% 392
5.000 5%
400
10%
4.000 0%
8% 300
3.000
6% 200 -5%
2.000
4%
1,04% 100 -10%
1.000 2% -12,90%
0 0% - -15%
Jun-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Mar-19
May-19
Mar-20
May-20
Apr-19
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Oct-19
Aug-20
Nov-19
Dec-19
Mar-19
May-19
Mar-20
May-20
Apr-19
Jun-19
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Capital raised through corporate issuance continues to increase. As of 22 Sep’20, Despites still in contraction, insurance premium declining trend continue to
the total of capital raising reaches IDR 84.9 Tn. stabilise since May.
IDR Tn 50
IPO Rights Issue Corporate Bond & Sukuk Life Insurance Premium Growth General & Reinsurance Premium Growth
180
160
140 30
120
100 66,8
-0,2
80 10
60 13,6
40
20 4,5 -10
0
Mar-20
May-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
2016
2017
2018
2019
Agu-20
-9,3
-30
Domestic financial institutions capital are strong and stable amidst the pandemic, with high net interest margin and low leverage
CAR of the banking sector remains high and stable at 23.16% with Tier-1 capital at RBC of the insurance industry remains high and well above the minimum
21.39% as of August 2020 *) threshold (120%) *)
Oct-19
May-20
Mar-19
Apr-19
Jun-19
Mar-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Aug-20
Sep-19
Dec-19
Jan-19
Jan-20
Apr-19
Apr-20
Mar-19
May-19
Feb-20
Mar-20
May-20
Nov-19
Jun-19
Jun-20
Feb-19
Jul-19
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Gearing ratio of multi-finance companies is steadily maintained at a level of below
Profitability of the banking sector as of Aug-20 remains high and stable *) three times in August 2020 *)
6 Net Interest Margin Return on Assets
4
4,43
3
4 2,4
2
2
1,12 1
0 0
Dec-19
Jan-19
May-19
May-20
Mar-19
Apr-19
Jun-19
Mar-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Dec-19
Mar-19
May-19
Mar-20
May-20
Apr-19
Jun-19
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) *) provisional figures due to the relaxation on financial institutions’ report to OJK because of Covid-19
144
Manageable Credit Risks with Adequate Liquidity
Financial Institutions are equipped with ample liquidity, while credit risk is maintained at a low level and below the threshold
The ratio of liquid assets to deposit and non-core deposits is growing and
maintained well above the threshold following banks’ cautious appetite of Investment adequacy ratio in the insurance industry is steadily maintained above
lending*) 100% (threshold) *)
Liquid Assets to Non-Core Deposits % %
% 139,87 250 Life Insurance General Insurance
140 Liquid Assets to Deposits (rhs) 35
130 187
30 200
120
110 25
29,86 150
100 20
90
15 100
80 threshold LA to Deposit (rhs) = 10%
70 10 106,3
50 threshold Investment Adequacy Ratio= 100%
60
threshold LA/ NCD= 50% 5
50
40 0 0
Mar-19
Dec-19
Mar-20
May-19
Sep-19
May-20
Apr-19
Jun-19
Apr-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Nov-19
Jun-20
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Dec-19
Jan-19
Mar-19
May-19
Mar-20
May-20
Apr-19
Jun-19
Apr-20
Jun-20
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
NPL ratios are still manageable below the threshold, at 3.22% gross and 1.11% After a spike in July-20 due to credit relaxation and contracted financing, multi-
net as of August 2020 *) finance companies’ NPF has started declining in Aug-20 to 5.2% *)
%
5 6
5,2
NPL Net NPL Gross
5
4
3,22
4
3
3
2
2
1,11
1 1
0 0
Dec-19
Mar-19
May-19
Mar-20
May-20
Apr-19
Jun-19
Nov-19
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Mar-19
Dec-19
Mar-20
May-19
May-20
Apr-19
Jun-19
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) *) provisional figures due to the relaxation on financial institutions’ report to OJK because of Covid-19
145
Manageable Market Risks
Amidst rising global pressure, the risk profile of domestic financial institutions remains at manageable levels
Net open position in the banking sector is maintained far below the maximum limit Mutual funds’ net asset value (NAV) is in recovery trend with steady movement
of 20% *)
%
5 IDR Tn NAV Mutual Funds JCI (rhs)
610 7.000
4 560 6.000
510 5.000
3
2,31 460 4.000
2 410 3.000
360 As of 5 October, 2020 2.000
1
310 1.000
0 260 0
Dec-19
Mar-19
May-19
Mar-20
May-20
Jul-20
Apr-19
Jun-19
Nov-19
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Sep-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Oct-20
Feb-19
Des-19
Feb-20
May-20
May-19
Okt-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
Jun-19
Mar-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Aug-20
The exposures of multi-finance companies to foreign debt have largely been
Insurance & pension fund investment value is steadily increasing *) mitigated by company hedging measures
IDR Tn
IDR Tn IDR Tn
Insurance Pension Funds (rhs) 250 Domestic Debt Foreign Debt
1.500 400 225
1165,79 200 150,90
1.200 175
350
150
900
125
300
100
600
75
250 105,28
300 50
286,92
25
0 200 0
Dec-19
Apr-19
Apr-20
Mar-19
May-19
Mar-20
May-20
Jun-19
Nov-19
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Mar-19
Dec-19
Mar-20
May-19
May-20
Apr-19
Jun-19
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Feb-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Jul-20
Aug-19
Oct-19
Aug-20
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) *) provisional figures due to the relaxation on financial institutions’ report to OJK because of Covid-19 146
Domestic Capital Market Performance Amid Global Challenges
Easing restrictions in many countries signals market positivism on economic recovery prospect, but effect of new cases and rising number of Covid-19’s still
remains Domestic investors still dominate the strengthening of domestic market
Uneven recovery still marks uncertainty in the global market as investment portfolios performance despite Jakarta’s PSBB retightening has increased JCI’s
tend to shift into gov’t bonds volatility
Stock Index Performance as of 16 Oct’20 (compared to 31 Dec’19) 320 Comp Bond Index Comp Stock Index (rhs) 7000
WORLD 3,16 298 6500
THAI -21,91 300
S KOREA 6,55 6000
INDO -18,99 280
HKN -13,49 5500
SIN -21,40
PHIL -24,53 260 5000
CHIN 9,38
4500
MAL -5,35 240 5.103
JPN -1,04 4000
EU -14,14
US 220
0,24 3500
BRAZ -14,99
TURK 4,24 200 3000
Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20 Aug-20 Oct-20
-35 -25 -15 -5 5 15
Non-resident portfolios’ sell-off are decreasing, Gov’t Debt Securities recorded Attractiveness of government’s bond causes a decline in bond yields in line
IDR2.68 Trillion inflow as of 5 Oct’20 with strengthening expectation of rupiah against the USD
80 Gov't Debt Securities Equity Yield (%) 5-yr Yield 10-yr Yield USD/IDR
60 10 20.000
2,68 20-yr Yield IDR (rhs)
40
18.000
20 9 16.000
0
-20 14.000
8
-40 12.000
-60 -0,02 10.000
7
-80 8.000
-100 6 6.000
-120 As of 5 October, 2020 4.000
-140 5 2.000
Dec-19
May-19
May-20
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
Jun-19
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Jul-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
Aug-19
Jul-20
Sep-20
Aug-20
05-Oct-20
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
May-19
Aug-19
Jul-19
May-20
Aug-20
Mar-19
Apr-19
Jun-19
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Jan-19
Sep-19
Nov-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Feb-19
Oct-20
Oct-19
Source: Bloomberg and Ministry of Finance 147
Stimuli to Support Indonesia’s Financial Industry
OJK and other government institutions have worked intensively to minimize the impact of COVID-19 on the economy
1 Maintaining business fundamental of the real sector 2 Maintaining financial market stability
OJK Regulation No. 11/POJK.03/2020: OJK Circular Letter No. 3/SEOJK.04/2020:
“National Economic Stimulus as A Countercyclical “Other Conditions as Significantly Fluctuating Market Condition
Policy of The Impacts of COVID-19 Outbreak” on Stock Buyback issued by Issuers or Public Companies”
Bank Relaxation of credit assessment and credit restructuring to debtors - Prohibition of short-selling
who are affected by COVID-19. - Asymmetric Auto Rejection (current auto rejection limits under 7%)
- Credit assessment (up to IDR10 billion) is based only on the - 30-minute Trading Halt for 5% decrease in IHSG
punctuality of debtors to pay their debts and interests. - Negation of trade in the pre-opening session
- This applies to Commercial and Sharia Banks - Stock buyback without prior general shareholders meeting
- With maximum 1 year period of credit restructuring
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) *) OJK Regulations in Response to Government Regulation in Lieu of Law No. 1 Year 2020 to maintain financial stability and economic activities. 148
Further Stimuli to Provide Liquidity and Capital in Banking Industry
Relaxation for Conventional and Sharia Banks Restructured credit/financing is excluded from the Loan at Risk (LAR) in the assessment
(Reporting/Treatment/Governance of of banks performance. Banks are also allowed to approve credit restructuring with several
Restructured Credit/Financing) alternative governance by considering the necessary principle.
i. Eliminating the obligation to fulfill Capital Conservation Buffer by 2.5 percent of Risk
Weighted Assets (ATMR) for BUKU 3 and BUKU 4 banks (until 31 March 2021)
ii. Maintaining the obligation of fulfilling Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) and Net Stable
Adjustment of Banking Provisions Implementation Funding Ratio (NSFR) for BUKU 3, BUKU 4, and foreign banks at a minimum level of
during Relaxation Period 85 percent (until 31 March 2021)
iii. Dismissing the quality assessment of Foreclosed Collateral (AYDA) based on the
period of ownership (until 31 March 2021)
iv. Reducing the obligation of education funds provision to less than 5 percent
Deferral of Basel III Reforms Implementation i. The deferment reforms include Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA) for operational risk, credit
(valid until 31 December 2022) risk, market risk, and Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA)
ii. Until then, the Capital Adequacy Requirement still refers to the current RWA standard.
i. Relaxing the General Loan Loss Provision (PPAP) to less than 0.5%
ii. Exemption of Interbank Placement for Legal Lending Limit (BPMK) and Maximum Limit
Relaxation for Rural and Rural Sharia Banks of Fund Channeling (BPMD) to a maximum 30% of capital
iii. Temporary Halt on Foreclosed Collateral (AYDA) calculation based on period of
ownership
iv. Providing 5% less on Education, Training, and Human Resource Fund from the
previous year
National Economic Recovery Program (PEN) Providing Interest Subsidies for MSMEs
PP No. 23/2020 Article 20 Paragraph 2 Government Regulations No. 23 of 2020
All debtors with credits up to IDR500 million will be given interest
OJK carry out efforts to support the economic recovery, subsidies while debtors with credits up to IDR10 billion will go
through: through the same mechanism with credit restructuring program. The
program is eligible for debtors of banks/multi-finance companies
with Performing Loan (Kol 1 and Kol 2) before COVID-19, valid from
Fund Placement 29 February 2020.
Targeted
Placement of funds by the Government to provide Beneficiaries Other Requirements
liquidity support to banks conducting loan
restructuring and to provide additional credit / • MSMEs debtors with credits up to • Obedient taxpayer
IDR10 billion
working capital financing • Excluded from National
• Debtors of housing loans (KPR) up to Blacklist (DHN)
type 70
• Debtors of motorcycle loans for
productive activities, including online
OJK supports the program through Liquidity Buffer transportation and informal business
and Credit Restructuring to Banks and Multi-
Finance Companies
OJK’s Role Mechanism
Providing necessary information in the The provision regarding the
implementation of interest subsidies budgeting, implementation, and
based on the procedure which will be responsibility mechanism of interest
arranged through Joint Decision Letter subsidies and debtor requirements
(SKB) are regulated in the Minister of
Finance Regulation (PMK)
Supporting acceleration of
national economic growth
Improvement of business
process in the industry
Product: QIB offering and private placements, private Development of Integrated Licensing (SPRINT).
fund, asset-backed securities, REITs, infrastructure fund, Enhancement of electronic reporting system.
IGBF (Indonesia Government Bonds Future) & equity Development of electronic public offering.
crowdfunding. Integrated data warehouse and supervisory system.
Issuer: Financial conglomerates, big bank debtors, local
government, IDX incubators, SMEs, SOEs & big tax payers.
Enhancing the role of the domestic institutional investors Development of market players’ capacity
(insurers & pension funds) in capital markets . Enhancement of GCG for publicly-listed companies
Development of the domestic investor base (conducting Establishment of disgorgement fund
investor education programs).
Simplification in opening securities account.
Development of regional securities companies.
Development of e-bookbuilding.
Online marketing initiative
OJK strives to build a strong foundation for financial inclusion programs, to ensure access to financial products &
services by Indonesians of all social classes. Such initiatives also include the enhancement of financial literacy and
financial consumer protection.
The result of OJK’s 2019 national survey demonstrated an improvement in financial literacy & inclusion among
Indonesians compared to that of 2016.
In Apr-2016, the Minister of Finance, the Governor of Bank Indonesia, and the Chairman of the Board of Commissioners of the Financial Services Authority
launched a Coordination Forum for Development Financing through Financial Market (FK-PPPK). The three authorities have agreed to formulate “The National
Strategy of Financial Market Development”
Vision:
To Establish Deep, Liquid, Efficient,
Inclusive, and Safe Financial Market
Mission: Financial Market as Sources of National Development Financing
TARGET KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATOR STRATEGIC ACTION PLAN
1 2 3 POLICY COORDINATION,
ECONOMIC FUNDING & RISK MARKET INFRASTRUCTURE
3 Pilars HARMONIZATION &
MANAGEMENT DEVELOPMENT
EDUCATION
NCSA Programs
Pilot Project
2016-2020
9876543210
XXYYZZ
12345678
Full
Non Cash
Food Assistance Implementation
(Bantuan Pangan
Non Tunai – BPNT) LPG
Subsidy
Interconnected &
interoperable
payment system
Presidential Reg. No. 20/2018 on Use of Foreign Labor – released on March 2018
This regulation aims at simplifying the permit application process for foreign workers, hence making the process more efficient and faster, in order to
rise foreign direct investment in Indonesia
Presidential Reg. No. 56/2017 on Social Impact Handling in Land Acquisition Process for PSN – released on June 2017
This regulation allows the Executing Agency to pay land acquisition compensation to the impacted community who does not have official rights over the
land required for PSN. This regulation helps to solve the land acquisition problem due to community objection over the land use.
MoF Reg. No. 60/2017 on Procedures for the Provision of Central Government Guarantee for the Acceleration of the National
Strategic Projects Implementation – released on May 2017
The supporting regulation for Presidential Reg. No. 3/2016 on the Acceleration of the National Strategic Projects Implementation. This regulation
regulates the scope and general requirements and procedures to propose and grant guarantees, as well as allocate state budget obligation on
government guarantees to all PSN. The guarantee provision is expected to increase the feasibility and trust of investors to participate in the
implementation of PSN.
Government Reg. No. 13/2017 on National Spatial Plan (RTRWN) – released on April 2017
The issuance of RTRWN can resolve spatial planning mismatch in the implementation of infrastructure projects listed in the annex of Government Reg.
No. 13/2017. A number of breakthroughs were developed, and one of them is that the Minister of Agrarian and Spatial can issue a recommendation of
spatial utilization; so that the process of obtaining project permission can be done.
MoF Reg. No. 209/2019 on Procedures for Land Acquisition for National Strategic Projects and Asset Management of Land
Acquisition by State Asset Management Agency – released on December 2019
The implementing regulation of Presidential Reg. No. 102/2016 on Financing of Land Acquisition for the Development of Public Interest in the
Framework of the National Strategic Implementation. This regulation becomes the legal basis for the financing of the procurement of National Strategic
and Priority Projects by BLU LMAN.
Presidential Reg. No. 32/2020 on Infrastructure Financing through Limited Management Rights – released on Feb 2020
This regulation allows foreign investors to collaborate with national companies when investing in state owned assets and state owned enterprise’s assets.
Presidential Reg. No. 66/2020 on Land Acquisition Funding for Public Interest Development in the National Strategic Projects
Implementation – released on May 2020
This regulation supports acceleration of land acquisition funding by allowing Minister to pay back the National Strategic Project’s land acquisition funding
with State Revenue and Expenditure Budget
Presidential Reg. No. 79/2019 and No. 80/2019 on Acceleration of Economic Development in selected area in Central Java Province
– released on November 2019
This regulations aim to increase regional competitiveness which will have an impact on investment growth and an integrated and sustainable national
economy. This Presidential Reg. states that the Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs (CMEA) will provide assistance for the availability of
planning, preparation and implementation documents.
MoF Reg. No. 139/2020 on Procedures for the Provision of Central Government Guarantee for the Acceleration of the National
Strategic Projects Implementation – released on September 2020
This regulations acts as a guideline for the implementation of Presidential Reg. No. 66/2020
Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP) is currently in the process of designing the third amendment to
Presidential Decree No.3 /2016 on the Acceleration of the Implementation of National Strategic Projects
This new regulation change will add new PSN proposals that have been approved, as well as deleting the list of completed projects.
The new regulation will consist of 201 PSN projects dan 10 programs.
Government of Indonesia
Project Viability
Guarantee Availability
Development Funding Tax Facilities Land Acquisition
Fund Payment
Facility (PDF) Gap (VGF)
1
The issuance of RTRWN can resolve spatial planning mismatch in the implementation of infrastructure projects listed in the
annex of Government Reg. No. 13/2017. A number of breakthroughs were developed, and one of them is that the Minister
of Agrarian and Spatial can issue a recommendation of spatial utilization; so that the process of obtaining project
permission can be done.
MoF Reg. No. 60/2017 on Procedures for the Provision of Central Government Guarantee for the
Acceleration of the National Strategic Projects Implementation
2 The supporting regulation for Presidential Reg. No. 3/2016 on the Acceleration of the National Strategic Projects
Implementation. This regulation regulates the scope and general requirements and procedures to propose and grant
guarantees, as well as allocate state budget obligation on government guarantees to all PSN. The guarantee provision is
expected to increase the feasibility and trust of investors to participate in the implementation of PSN.
Presidential Reg. No. 56/2017 on Social Impact Handling in Land Acquisition Process for PSN
3 This Presidential Reg. allows the Executing Agency to pay land acquisition compensation to the impacted community who
does not have official rights over the land required for PSN. This regulation helps to solve the land acquisition problem due to
community objection over the land use.
4
Presidential Reg. No. 66/2020 on Land Acquisition Funding for Public Interest in Implementing PSN
This Presidential Reg. was issued to accelerate the process of land acquisition funding for PSN as well as replacing the
Presidential Reg. No. 102/2016
MoF Reg. No. 21/2017 on Procedures for Land Acquisition for National Strategic Projects (PSN) and Asset Management of
Land Acquisition by State Asset Management Agency (j.o. MoF Reg. No. 5/2019, j.o. MoF Reg. No. 209/2019, j.o. MoF Reg.
5 No. 139/2020)
The implementing regulation of Presidential Reg. No.102/2016 on Financing of Land Acquisition for the Development of
Public Interest in the Framework of the National Strategic Implementation. This regulation becomes the legal basis for the
financing of the procurement of National Strategic and Priority Projects by BLU LMAN
08 05
SOE’s Assignment 07 06 Local Content
Utilization
Existing Facilities
12
Projects Projects
Projects
Sulawesi
Sumatra Kalimantan US$23.4 B
Maluku & Papua
US$43.6 B US$35.7 B
US$34.5 B
89
Projects 3 Programs
National projects Projects
12 Projects
Java
US$100.7 B
US$72.7 B 13
Projects
Bali &
Nusa Tenggara
US$0.7 B Exchange rate: US$ 1 = IDR 13,500
Electricity
1 Program
Road Dams SEZs & IEs Railway Ports Clean Water & Airports
Energy
69 Projects 51 Projects 29 Projects 16 Projects 10 Projects Sanitation 7 Projects
11 Projects
8 Projects Aeroplane Industry
1 Program
SOEs/
Electricity
RSOEs
Private 1 Program
31% US$ 76.7 Bn
59%
Roads
69 Projects
US$ 49.7 Bn
State Budget
Total Investment US$ 31.6 Bn Railways
Value2 16 Projects
SOEs/RSOEs US$ 29.2 Bn
US$ 96.6 Bn
US$ 307.4
Private SEZs and IEs
Billion US$ 179.2 Bn 31 Projects
US$ 31 Bn
1Exclude
7 projects which investment value are still unknown
Exchange rate : US$ 1 = IDR 13,500
Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP) 167
Progress on Projects and PSN Programs
32 projects, 1 electricity program, and 1 27 projects, 1 electricity program, and 1 27 projects, 1 electricity program, and 1
economic equality program in construction economic equality program in construction economic equality program in
and partial-operation phase and partial-operation phase construction and partial-operation phase
22 projects in construction and will start
48 projects in construction and will start 98 projects in construction and will start
operating in 2019 operating in 2019
operating after 2019
52 projects in construction and will start 80 projects in construction and will start
operating after 2019 operating after 2019 6 projects in transaction
32 National
48 26 14 5
56 11 16 4 2 13
27 3 8
53
12
155
25 50
29
2
41 6 57 9 58 17
4 31
14
59
301
24 47 3 6
8 9 2
Completed 2016 49 23
11 54
61
55 19
17 21 62 33 34 35 22 1
10
36 37 38 39 40 18 7
20 7
45 43 44
20 Projects (US$ 2.5 Bn) 52 12
28 13
• 7 Airports • 1 Seaports 42
• 1 Toll Road • 1 Gas Pipe
• 6 Dam • 4 National Border
10 Projects (US$ 4.5 Bn) 32 Projects (US$ 15.4 Bn) 30 Projects (US$ 12.2 Bn) 2 Projects (US$ 1.3 Bn)
• 2 Toll Road • 3 National Border • 2 Railway • 1 Airports • 4 Airports • 1 Railway (LRT South
• 1 Access Road • 1 Dam • 4 Dam • 4 Industrial Zone • 9 National Road Sumatera/Palembang)
• 1 Airports • 1 Irrigation • 1 Irrigation • 4 Smelter • 6 Industrial Zone • 1 Airport (Yogyakarta
• 1 Gas Facility • 10 Toll Road • 1 Fishery Center • 2 Smelter International Airport)
• 5 SEZ • 4 Dam
• 2 Technology
1In cumulative, including projects that are already taken out in 2016 and 2017 • 2 railways
Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP)
• 1 seaport Exchange rate: US$ 1 = IDR 13,500
17
0
Progress on 37 Priority Projects
From the revised National Strategic Projects, the Government has selected a list of 37 Priority Projects to be the focus of
infrastructure provision.
1. Balikpapan-Samarinda Toll Road 13. LRT of DKI Jakarta 26. Tuban Oil Refinery
2. Manado-Bitung Toll Road 14. Kuala Tanjung International Hub Seaport 27. RDMP/Revitalization of the Existing Refineries
3. Panimbang-Serang Toll Road 15. Bitung International Hub Seaport (Balikpapan, Cilacap, Balongan, Dumai, Plaju)
4. 15 Segments of Trans – Sumatera Toll Road 16. Patimban Port 28. Abadi WK Masela Field
5. Probolinggo – Banyuwangi Toll Road 17. Inland Waterways Cikarang-Bekasi-Laut (CBL) 29. Unilization Field Has Jambaran-Tiung Biru
6. Yogyakarta – Bawean Toll Road 18. Palapa Ring Broadband 30. Indonesian Deepwater Development (IDD)
7. SHIA Express Railway 19. Batang, Central Java Power Plant (CJPP) 31. Tangguh LNG Train 3 Development
8. MRT Jakarta South-North Line 20. Central – West Java Transmission Line 500 kV 32. West Semarang Drinking Water Supply System
9. Makassar-Parepare Railway 21. Indramayu Coal-fired Power Plant 33. Jakarta Sewerage System
10. Light Rail Transit (LRT) of Jakarta-Depok- 22. Sumatera 500 kV Transmission (4 Provinces) 34. National Capital Integrated Coastal Development
Bogor-Bekasi 23. Mulut Tambang Coal-fired Power Plant (6 Provinces) (NCICD) Phase A
11. LRT of South Sumatera 24. PLTGU (16 Provinces) 35. Jatiluhur Drinking Water Supply
12. East Kalimantan Railway 25. Bontang Oil Refinery 36. Lampung Drinking Water Supply
37. Waste to Energy Program in 8 cities
Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP) 171
Progress on 37 Priority Projects
Progress of 37 Priority Projects (as of June 2020) Recent Milestones
4 project is completed
Palapa Ring
8% 6 projects in construction and West package has been fully operasional since April 2018.
11% partial operation phase
22 projects in construction and will
5% start operating after 2019 Trans Sumatera Toll Road
Segment of Pekanbaru-Dumai (131,5Km) has been operated on Sept
60% 3 projects in transaction 26th, 2020.
16%
2 projects in preparation
West Semarang Water Supply System:
On March 2018, pre-qualification stage has resulted 4 shortlisted bidders
17 Dec ‘14 Jan ‘15 Jan ‘15 16 Mar ‘15 4 May ‘15
Cabinet Meeting
“There’s electricity crisis in Indonesia, 35,000 MW Program Distribution
requires construction of large capacity Update Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL)
plant "
2019-2028)
Kalimantan (4,477 MW) Sulawesi (2,570 MW)
1. Op. 904 MW 1. Op. 1,146 MW
Maluku-Papua (877 MW) The progress so far:
2. Cons. 785 MW 2. Cons. 963 MW
1. Op. 437 MW
Aug‘20
3. PPA 1,413 MW 3. PPA. 76 MW
4. Proc. 235 MW 2. Cons. 54 MW
4. Proc. 218 MW 3. PPA. -
Sumatera (9,410 MW) 5. Plan. 158 MW 5. Plan. 150 MW
1. Op. 1,302 MW 4. Proc. 160 MW No Phase MW %
2. Cons. 4,248 MW 5. Plan. 225 MW
3. PPA 3,555 MW 1 Operating 8,400 24
4. Proc. 85 MW
5. Plan. 85 MW 2 Construction 19,055 54
Jawa, Madura & Bali (18,399 MW) Nusa Tenggara (812 MW) 3 Signed Power-Purchase Agreement 6,528 18
1. Op. 4,184 MW 1. Op. 427 MW
2. Cons. 12,730 MW 2. Cons. 274 MW 4 Procurement 839 2
3. PPA. 1,485 MW 3. PPA. -
4. Proc. - 4. Proc. 5 MW 5 Planning 724 2
5. Plan. - 5. Plan. 106 MW
Source: PLN Note : Progress of 35,000 MW Electricity Program as of August 2020
Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP) 173
Energy Sector: the Progress of 35.000 MW Program
December 2016 November 2017 December 2018 December 2019 August 2020
2% 3% 3% 8% 2% 2%
19% 24%
6% 5% 3% 2%
16% 9%
19% 18%
28%
44% 32%
30%
38% 52%
24% 57% 54%
5,824 MW in planning 2,228 MW in planning 954 MW in planning 734 MW in planning 724 MW in planning
phase phase phase phase phase
The Government has issued Presidential Regulation No. 4/2016 on Electricity Infrastructure Acceleration to accelerate power projects
PT PLN
Provision of Electricity
1 2A 2B
Strengthen Equity
Strengthen PLN‘s Balance Sheet
Loan from independent Equity Injection by the PT PLN’s divident
lenders Government allocation
Refinancing Hedging
Bond issuance by Asset Company
Direct Lending *)SJKU=Surat Jaminan
PT PLN Revaluation Tax Holiday
Financial Asset Optimization Kelayakan Usaha/
Other types of Business Viability
Direct Lending
funding Guarantee Letter
Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP) 175
Significant Progress on Infrastructure Projects
Roads Improving Monitoring System on Infrastructure Projects1
Trans-Sumatra Toll Road Merah Putih Bridge, Ambon Database Platform data outlook
Dams Drinking Water Processing
Project information that is efficient and
such as map, track, functional using a user-
existing study and friendly framework.
latest project status.
Jatigede Dam (Operational) Umbulan Drinking Water Provision System, East Java
Transportation
Note: OBC: Outline Business Case; PDF: Project Development Facility; GCA: Government Contracting Activity
Source : Ministry of Finance; Bappenas; KPPIP: “Komite Kebijakan Percepatan Penyediaan Infrastruktur” or National Committee for the Acceleration of Infrastructure Delivery
Infrastructure – Guarantee for Government-related From 2008 to Q2-2020 **, the government has issued 88 guarantee documents with total
PPP Guarantee entities obligations (line ministries, local governments, value of USD40.07 billion, there were 28 guarantee documents worth USD3.82 billion have
SOEs, local SOEs) under PPP contracts/agreements been expired.
The Maximum Guarantee Limit for the period 2020-2024 is set at 6% of GDP.
Beginning in 2008 the Government has allocated a contingent budget with respect to these
Infrastructure – Guarantee against infrastructure risks
guarantees. Any unused budget allocation may be transferred to a guarantee reserve fund.
Political Risk for National Strategic Projects (Presidential Decree This reserve fund, together with the relevant annual budget allocations, serves as reserves
Guarantee No.58/2017) which are not covered by other type of for any claim that arises from these guarantees.
guarantees
*) MOF provides both credit guarantees and BVGs for 35GW program **) As of end June 2020; currency conversion of IDR14,302.00/USD1 and IDR16,080.46/EUR1
Financial Facilities to Attract More Private Participation More Funding Schemes are on the Pipelines
179
Progress of PPP Infrastructure Projects
Project Cost
No Project Name Financial Facilities Status
(IDR tn)
1 Central Java Power Plant 40 Guarantee (MoF & IIGF) FC on June 6th, 2016; Construction 30%; COD Target: May 2020
2 Palapa Ring – West Package 1.28 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on August 11th, 2016; COD target: February 2018
3 Palapa Ring – Central Package 1.38 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on September 29th, 2016; COD target: March 2018
4 Palapa Ring – East Package 5.13 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on March 29th, 2017; COD target: September 2018
5 Umbulan Water 2.1 PDF, VGF & IIGF Guarantee FC on August 30th, 2016; COD target: July 2019
Project Cost
No Project Name Financial Facilities Status
(IDR tn)
1 Batang–Semarang Toll Road 11 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on April 27th, 2016
2 Manado–Bitung Toll Road 5.1 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
3 Samarinda–Balikpapan Toll Road 9.9 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
4 Pandaan–Malang Toll Road 5.9 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
5 Serpong–Balaraja Toll Road 6.0 - PPP contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
6 Jakarta–Cikampek Elevated Toll Road 14.8 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts both signed on December 5th, 2016 and
February 22nd, 2017
7 Krian–Legundi-Krian Toll Road 9.0 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts both signed on December 5th, 2016 and
February 22nd, 2017
8 Serang–Panimbang Toll Road 5.3 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts signed on February 22nd, 2017
9 Cileunyi–Sumedang-Dawuan Toll Road 8.2 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts signed on February 22nd, 2017
The Government had issued Presidential Regulation No 82/2015 and Ministry of Finance Regulation No 189/2015 to provide guarantee for SOE
Direct Lending from IFIs for the Development of Infrastructure Projects.
The objective of this guarantee is to provide credit enhancement in terms of low interest rate and long tenor financing,
with 3 main principles:
The Government had issued Ministry of The objective is to give stimulus to the
Based on Government Regulation acceleration of local infrastructure
Finance Regulation No 174 of 2016 to
No. 95/2015 and Ministry of Finance development through the ease of access
provide guarantee to PT SMI on the
Regulation No. 232/2015, Minister of
assignment of regional infrastructure to infrastructure financing and to boost
Finance assigns PT SMI (Sarana Multi
financing provision, by loan to local local economic growth, as well as to
Infrastruktur) to carry out functions in
governments that is transferred from PIP provide alternative financing schemes in
providing loan to local government, as
to PT SMI, and new loan channeled by PT order to meet local infrastructure
previously carried out by PIP
SMI to the local government. development needs and to reduce
(Government Investment Center).
reliance on state/local budget.
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