Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Plan Energetico
Plan Energetico
Plan Energetico
—Guidelines—
Secretaría de
Secretaría de Gobierno de Energía Planeamiento
Energético
Secretaría de Gobierno
Our vision de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
3
Secretaría de Gobierno
Where we are heading in energy markets de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Oil and
83 136
MMtoe TWh
derivatives
30% Natural Gas
57%
Thermal
65%
10
%
45% 5
* TIOS: Total Primary Energy Supply + balance of trade
Secretaría de Gobierno
Private investment in the energy sector – 2018 est. de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Power distribution (data for AMBA) Renewable generation Thermal power generation
Upstream O&G Transport and distribution of Oil and Gas Total private investment
6
Secretaría de Gobierno
Public investment in the energy sector – 2018 est. de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Total public
201 265 24
MMUSD MMUSD MMUSD
1,152
MMUSD
20 184 458
MMUSD MMUSD MMUSD
7
Secretaría de Gobierno
Sweet spots of Vaca Muerta – Sustainability of the Plateau de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Oil
Window: 22.000 km2 5,4+ MM Acres
EUR / Well 631 kbbl/well
Landing points/area 2.5/km2 (2.5/247 acres)
MMbbl/Area 1.6 MMbbl/km2 (6.5 kbbl/acre)
Unconventional Production Plateau 2030 1,143 kbbl/day
Reservoir to explote in 25 years 10,434 MMbbl
Exploited Area 6,614 km2 / 1.6 MM acres (30%)
Gas
Window: 13.000 km2 3,2+ MM acres
EUR / Well 12.9 BCF/well
Landing points/area 2.5/km2 (2.5/247 acres)
BCF/area 32.25 BCF/km2 (0.13 BCF/acre)
Unconventional Production Plateau 2030 14.1 BCF/day
Reservoir to exploit in 25 years 128.6 TCF
Exploited Area 3,990 km2 / 987,643 acres (31%)
8
Secretaría de Gobierno
Current players in Vaca Muerta (Wood Mackenzie) de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
• More than 30 big, independent and local companies are active in Vaca Muerta
9
Secretaría de Gobierno
Activity is increasingly driven by new players (IHS – Markit) de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Chevron Wintersall
10
Secretaría de Gobierno
31 key projects de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
31 Black Light Wet Dry
Pilots Area Operador Oil Oil Gas Gas Cond 2010 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
1 Loma Campana YPF
Development
2 El Orejano YPF
3 Aguada Pichana Este Total
4 Fortín de Piedra Tecpetrol
5 La Amarga Chica YPF
6 Bandurria Sur YPF
7 Cruz de Lorena - Sierras Blancas Shell
8 La Escalonada Total
9 Rincon de la Ceniza Total
10 Bajo del Choique - La Invernada ExxonMobil
11 Bandurria Centro PAE
12 Pampa de las Yeguas I ExxonMobil
13 Rincon del Mangrullo YPF
14 Aguada de la Arena YPF
15 La Ribera I YPF
16 La Ribera II YPF
17 Aguada Federal Wintershall
24 18 Bandurria Norte Wintershall
29
28 8 10 19 Aguada Pichana Oeste - Aguada de Castro PAE
25
22 9 20 Bajada de Anelo Shell
21 San Roque Total
212 21 22 Los Toldos I Sur ExxonMobil
18 17
11 23 Bajada de Palo Vista Oil & Gas
14 20 23
6 5 7
24 Bajo del Toro YPF
19 3 30
1 25 Cerro Arena YPF
15
26 Las Tacanas YPF
4
13 16 4 27 Las Tacanas Norte Pampa
26
27 28 Cerro Las Minas YPF
29 Salinas del Huitrin YPF
30 La Calera Pluspetrol
31 Puesto Rojas Phoenix
Sources: WoodMackenzie, Ministerio de Energía y Recursos Naturales de Neuquén y Ministerio de Energía de la Nación
11
Secretaría de Gobierno
What would Vaca Muerta look like at full development? de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Oil Reserves and Resources (Bbbl) Natural Gas Reserves and Resources (Tcf)
P1 conv, 2.1 P2 conv, 0.7 P3 conv, 0.5 R conv, 1.0 P1 Conv, 11.9 P2 Conv, 5.2 P3 Conv, 4.8 R Conv, 8.3
Unconventional Unconventional
Resources, 27.0 Resources, 802.0
14
Secretaría de Gobierno
Vaca Muerta vs. US plays de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Acreage Acreage
Thickness Reservoir Vaca Muerta Eagle Ford
Play TOC [%] ~8.65 MM acres ~9.4 MM acres
[m] pressure [psi] 35.000 km2 38.000 km2
Wolfcamp
3 200—300 4,600
(Permian)
Max Thickness Max Thickness
Vaca Muerta Eagle Ford
~1,480 feet ~330 feet
Sources: Energy Information Administration (EEUU), 2013 e YPF, 2014 15
Secretaría de Gobierno
Completed wells in Vaca Muerta by resource type de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
There is plenty
of room
in Vaca Muerta Tight
for new players Shale
Conventional
Agentina’s concession terms are competitive against its peer group, Secretaría de Gobierno
de Energía
even when including the Vaca Muerta cost of entry (Wood Mackenzie) Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Notes: *Permian including original entry cost at US$15,000/acre | * Vaca Muerta entry costs based on recent YPF and GyP transactions
Source: Wood Mackenzie
YPF farm-ins have averaged US$8,000/acre, less than half L48 costs Secretaría de Gobierno
de Energía
of US$20,000-30,000 per acre (Wood Mackenzie) Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
GyP Neuquen license round entry costs (signature bonus and work commitments) have
equated to US$3000/acre.
Neuquen basin ownership Cost per acre, YPF farm-ins
Midland Permian
$25 average 2016-2018
Eagle Ford,
$20 Contango Oil &
Gas
000 US$/acre
$15 Loma Campana,
Chevron
Bajada de Añelo, Bajo del Toro,
Shell Statoil
$10 El Orejano, Dow
La Amarga Chica,
Petronas Bandurria Sur,
Schlumberger
$5
GyP average
$-
oct-12 mar-14 jul-15 nov-16 abr-18
50 Jun 18
Unconventionals represent 48 kbbl/d
12%
45
+54%
40 shale oil horiz
of oil production
jun17-jun18
35
Total oil production
increased 30
5.0% Kbbl/d
25
between june 17 and june 18
20
60 14%
50 Total 12% 15
unconventional
10%
40
Kbbl/d
10
8%
30
6%
20
4%
10 2% 5
- 0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Secretaría de Gobierno
Shale gas production - Horizontal wells de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Jun 18
20 20 MMm3/d
Unconventional represents
36%
18
16
+162%
of natural gas production shale gas horiz
14 jun17-jun18
Total natural gas production
increased
12
8.2% MMm3/d 10
between june 17 and june 18
8
35%
Total
40
35 30% 6
30 unconventional 25%
MMm3/d
25
4
20%
20
15%
15
10%
10
5 5% 2
- 0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Argentina is one of the four
countries in the world which are
commercially developing
unconventional resources.
Secretaría de Gobierno
Cost decline as performance increases (source YPF) de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
26.9 3.05
2.27
16.4 16.1
12 13.1 11.9 1.63 1.39
9.1 9.5
6.9 5.2
2015 2016 2017 H1 2018 Source: MINEM 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018
Q3 2018
1.2 1 1.9 12
1.1 1.7
0.9 0.8 1.4 1.4
0.7 0.7 0.5 10
0 8
2016 2017 Q1 2018 Source: MINEM Q3 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018
2018
Source: YPF and Ministerio de Energía 22
Secretaría de Gobierno
WTI and Brent vs Medanito de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
90
80 77 78
74 74
72 72
69 69 70 70
70 66 68
64 69 66
63 66 68
64 66
60 59 58 63 63 63
62 61 62
57 59
53 54 55 56
50
USD/bbl
40
30
20
10
apr-18
nov-17
dec-17
jan-18
feb-18
mar-18
may-18
jun-18
jul-18
ago-18
sep-18
Medanito WTI Brent Medanito Export Parity
Note: Medanito Export Parity was estimated using Brent -4 USD/bbl (transport) -10% (export tax). 23
Secretaría de Gobierno
US´ Oil Prices vs Medanito’s export parity price (09/13/2018) de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
80
70 68.8 66.9
66.5 65
60 57.5
50
USD/BBL
40
30
20
10
0
Eagle Ford (Texas) Williston Sweet (North "Permian" WTI Medanito EPP
Dakota) W.Tx./N.Mex.Inter.
25
Secretaría de Gobierno
Economic values of horizontal wells (Wood Mackenzie) de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
26
Secretaría de Gobierno
Liquid break-even prices in Vaca Muerta vs. USA plays de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
28
Sources: Wood Mackenzie | **Current estimate own elaboration 28
Secretaría de Gobierno
Oil Production de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
1,600
1,500 250
1,500 NGLs
Bb bl
1,400 Unconventional Double oil 1,320 0 ,2
1,300 P1ND + P2 + P3 production in 5 years
200
1,200
P1 Developed
1,100 midstream
requirements 1,012
Thousand m3/day
1,000
10%
870 a.a. 150
900
kbbl/day
15%
800 750 a.a.
400
300 50
350 P1ND + P2 + P3
12.2 5,6 Tcf
12
P1 Developed 10.5
300 midstream
requirements 10
BCF/day
10%
MMm3/day
8
200 6.7 13%
Neuquén-Rosario 6.3 a.a.
32 Tcf
Pipeline 35 MMm3/d 5.8
5.3 6
150 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.7 14%
4.4 4.3 4.2 4.4 4.3 a.a.
4.0 4.0
4
100
50 2
1,900
1,800 Loma Amarilla (100% YPF)
Ag. Del Chañar (100% IEASA)
Puesto Hernández (100% YPF)
El Trapial (85% Chevron - 15% YFC)
Las Manadas (100% YPF) Los Toldos II (90% Americas Petrogras - 10% GyP Neuquén)
1,700
C. Amargo Este (55% PAE - 35% Madalena - 10% PyG
Águila Mora (90% O&G Developments - 10% GyP Neuquén)
Neuquén)
M. Buena Esperanza (50% YPF - 50% Pluspetrol) Lindero Atravesado (38% YPF - 62% PAE)
C. Amargo Oeste (45% O&G Developments - 45% Shell - 10
1,600
Ag. Villanueva (100% Pluspetrol)
%GyP Neuquén)
C. Amargo Sur (45% O&G Developments - 45% Shell- 10
Narambuena (50% YPF-50% Chevron)
%GyP Neuquén)
1,500
Chihuido de la S. Negra (100% YPF) Al Norte de la Dorsal (100% YSUR)
NGLs, 68
1,400
San Roque (25% Wintershall - 34% YPF - 16% PAE - 25% Total)
1,300
La escalonada (45% Total - 23% Shell - 23 % O&G
1,200 Developments - 10% GyP Neuquén)
Bandurria Centro (100% PAE)
1,100
Kbbl/day
450
400
Associated Gas; 55
350
Conventional; 45
-
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Plateau MMm3/d 32
Wells
500
1,500
0
1,000
2,500
2,000
2018 292 216 84 258 850
Conventional Oil
BUSD
10
15
0
5
20
25
30
35
Production Wells and associated investments
2018 3 4 10
Gas
2019 4 4 4 13
Associates
2020 5 4 5 15
Natural Gas
Unconventional
Conventional Oil
2021 7 3 5 17
Unconventional Oil
Conventional Natural
2022 8 3 6 19
Investments - BUSD
2023 10 6 7 24
2024 11 8 8 28
2025 10 8 8 29
2026 10 8 8 28
2027 10 7 7 26
de Energía
2028 9 6 7 26
2029 9 6 7 25
2030 9 6 7 24
Secretaría de Gobierno
33
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Secretaría de Gobierno
Equipment requirements to develop resources de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
184
179 179 40
180 40 39
174 173 172
170 38
158 35
160 34
35
33 33 33
140
132 30
119
120
Number of sets
25
Number of rigs
109 25
100 96 21
20 19
80
68 15
15
60
10
40
6
5
20
- -
2018
2028
2022
2019
2027
2021
2026
2029
2024
2023
2025
2020
2030
2019
2024
2023
2025
2020
2018
2028
2022
2027
2021
2026
2029
2030
34
Secretaría de Gobierno
New employment estimation de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Direct , indirect and induced Jobs at the oil and gas in Argentina
1200
400 134
72
481
200
247
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Bottom up estimation:
• Overall Jobs 2017 (direct, indirect, induced): 454 thousand jobs
• 500 direct Jobs per rig, 600 Jobs per LNG Train and 20% refinement incrrease
• Indirect jobs: 3.25 per each direct job in the extraction sector of oil and gas and 9.66 per each job in midstream and
downstream (IOT 1997).
• Induced Jobs: +40% (1.7 upstream / 3.9 downstream) per each direct job in Oil and Gas (source: MINEM + MINPROD).
35
Secretaría de Gobierno
On track to recover the energy trade surplus de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
6.0
895
5.9
6.0
5.6
900 871
5.8
Imports 842 6.0 Bolivia Imports
850
4.9
804
800 5.5 LNG Imports
762
750 Exports 704 5.0 Exports
700 4.5 Balance
3.4
650 Balance 616
4.0
600
3.5
550 490
500 3.0
BCF/day
kbbl/day
450 2.5
1.5
400 362
2.0
350
1.5
300 254
250 1.0
0.1
200 166 0.5
150 0.0
86
100 58
-0.5
50
-0.3
-1.0
-0.4
0
-0.8
-50 -1.5
-100 -2.0
2010
2020
2011
2012
2021
2022
2014
2024
2017
2027
2013
2023
2008
2015
2025
2018
2028
2009
2016
2019
2026
2029
2030
2016
2019
2010
2020
2011
2012
2021
2022
2014
2024
2017
2027
2013
2023
2008
2015
2025
2018
2028
2009
2026
2029
2030
36
Secretaría de Gobierno
On track to recover the energy trade surplus de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
32 18
50 USD/BBL
30 LNG: 6 USD/MMBTU
16 Bol: 5 USD/MMBTU
75 USD/BBL
28
100 USD/BBL
14
26
12 LNG: 8 USD/MMBTU
24 Bol: 7 USD/MMBTU
22 10
BUSD
BUSD
20
8 LNG: 10 USD/MMBTU
18 Bol: 10 USD/MMBTU
6
16
4
14
12 2
10 0
8
-2
6
-4
4
2 -6
0 -8
2012
2022
2012
2022
2011
2021
2011
2021
2017
2027
2017
2027
2010
2020
2010
2020
2013
2023
2013
2023
2015
2025
2015
2025
2014
2024
2014
2024
2018
2028
2018
2028
2016
2019
2026
2029
2016
2019
2026
2029
2030
2030
2008
2008
2009
2009
Secretaría de Gobierno
O&G’s net exports can surpass current agribusiness exports de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
18
Natural Gas
16
14
Soybean
12 Complex
10
BUSD
Natural Gas
8
Corn Crude
6 Oil
4 Wheat
Crude Oil
Meat, milk, leather
2
Other
-
Agri 2017 O&G Potential 2023 O&G Potential 2027
-2
-4
-6
2013
2023
2015
2014
2018
2016
2019
2012
2022
2011
2021
2017
2010
2020
2008
2009
Secretaría de Gobierno
O&G’s net exports can surpass current agribusiness exports de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
45
40
35
30
Natural Gas
BUSD
25
Soybean
20 Complex
15 Natural Gas
Corn Crude
10 Oil
Wheat
Crude Oil
5 Meat, milk, leather
Other
0
Agri 2017 O&G Potential 2023 O&G Potential 2027
-5
-10
2012
2022
2011
2021
2017
2027
2010
2020
2013
2023
2015
2025
2014
2024
2018
2028
2016
2019
2026
2029
2030
2008
2009
Norpatagonico Train — PPP project to be bidded soon
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
200km recovery
250km new railway
391km upgraded
582 M USD
193 km
330 M USD
176 km
Secretaría de Gobierno
Patagonia LNG: Energy for the world de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Gas pipeline
4.2 BCF per day
200
150
Allen 120
50
Allen – Puerto Rosales pipeline expansion. 60MM USD. 8
• Current capacity: 157 MMbbl/day
• Expanded capacity: 220 MMbbl/day
5 60
Status:
§ Nomination Process ended the 7th of June
12 companies Nominated blocks.
Blocks to be included in Round 1 are the following:
§ Malvinas Basin: 18 Deepwater blocks from (WD 100
to 700 m) from 3,600 to 6,300 Km2 (Discarded 10
blocks from Nomination process).
§ Austral Basin: 6 Shallow water blocks (WD < 100
m) from 2,000 to 2,700 Km2
§ Argentina Basin: 7 Deepwater blocks (WD 200 to
1,300 m) from 6,000 to 9,000 Km2 & 7
UltraDeepwater blocks (WD 1,200 m to 4,000 m)
from 3,000 to 9,000 km2.
45
Secretaría de Gobierno
Argentina Offshore Round 1 – Main Terms & Conditions de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Bidding Terms
Bids: On committed Working Units for the 1st Exploration Period. Each block will have (i) Minimum Working Units (equivalent to a
4 x 4 or 3 x 3 km of 2D in 100% of the Block) and (ii) Basic Working Units (equivalent to 20% to 40% of 3D of the surface of the
block).
Formula to be used:
Working units in excess of the amount committed in one period may be carried forward to the following period in line with Art. 20 of
the Law.
Committed Working Units not fulfilled in one given period shall be paid in cash or Energy Secretariat will execute the guarantee.
Contract Terms
Long Duration Exploration Permit: Three periods of 4 + 4 + 5 years for all blocks except – Shallow waters: 4 + 3 + 4. Relinquishment
of 50% at the end of 2nd Period. Obligation to drill one well in 2nd Period and on Extension Period
§ Enough time for Production Concession: 30 years + 10 of extension (successive extensions possible)
§ Ability to keep Non Commercial Discoveries: Possibility to keep discoveries for 5 + 5 years after Exploration Permit if
discovery appraised and non commercial
§ Reduced Royalties linked to success: Starting in 5 % to 12% based according to:
R factor = (ƩSales-ƩRoyalties)/(ƩE&A+ƩInvestments+ƩOPEX) 46
Secretaría de Gobierno
Next steps de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
47
Secretaría de Gobierno
Power Transport - 500 kV lines and transmission substation de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Projects in progress
54.72
Weighted average price: 54,72 USD/MWh
Precio Promedio Ponderado: USD/MWh Seleccionar ronda:
Tecnología Ronda
Solar Eólica Peq. Hidro Biomasa Biogás Biogás RS Ronda 1 Ronda 1.5 Ronda 2
50 50 50
Solar Eólica Peq. Hidro Biomasa Biogás Biogás RS Ronda 1 Ronda 1.5 Ronda 2 0 20 40 60 80 100
Argentina fiscal terms and oil pricing Anadarko Delaware Wolfcamp Northeast Extension
assumptions asset assumptions
Lease Information
Royalty: 12% Basin Gross Acres Net Acres
Brent – 10% export retention 36.50 75.56 49.80 916.37 1,571.67 1,192.98
(assumes ARS4/USD exported)
Net Development Drilling in the play
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
25 33 16 80 77 46 46 62 46 31
Current situation
Flow (Mbbl/day)
v 300
expansion works on the oil transport system. 250
200 ü TA-PR pipeline:
Oil Transport System Expansion (OldelVal) 150 most relevant of
the oil pipeline
2017
100 system.
2018
Works needed to supply demand forecast (2019-26) 50
Capacity
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2018
Luján de Cuyo 2020 Year
Pipeline Loma
Next Steps
Campana – Lago Pipeline expansion 2021
P.Hernández Pellegrini. Lago Pellegrini –
(YPF+Tecpetrol) Allen.
Transandino 60.000
Pipeline expansion 2022
E.B. Medanito –
Re Commission de Pipeline expansión Señal Cerro Bayo. Pipeline expansion 2026
A.Mahuida Vaca Muerta
Bajo El Choique Estación de
202 Bombeo Lago Noroeste – E.B.
Auca Mahuida.
Allen – Puerto
Rosales. Pipeline OldelVal Proposition
0 Pellegrini. expansion Lago
Pellegrini –
43km
Cerro Bayo
Crucero Catriel
Pipeline expansion Medanito. v New Contract Carrier regulation to enable firm offer transport
Allen – Puerto
contracts.
2 0 0 km
Rosales.
8
21
14
Medanito
v Time extension of Oldelval concession to match investment
”
2018
120k
m
ü 1.706 Km pipeline.
85km
18” Estimated Expected Results
Loma Campana ü 8 Pump Stations
Lago Pellegrini
8 Expansion spots
Investment
ü
515MM USD v Financial viability of oil pipeline expansions.
20
20
40
km
L.Bastos
Allen Chichinales v More flexibility for producers to match transport contracts with
Chimpay
C.C.C
2
Zorrilla P.Mahuida R.Colorado
Algarrobo Salitral upstream projects.
2 P.Rosales
20 20
C.I.P.H Centenario 2 0
Challacó
Secretaría de Gobierno
Main assumptions about profiles de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Prodution (bbl/day)
600 600
Declination -15% -9%
500 500
Risked P1ND/P2/P3 100% / 50% / 10% 100% / 50% / 10%
400 400
Incorporation of reserves in the
5% 5%
first year 300 300
Incremental incorporation reserves +0,3% per year +0,3% per year 200 200
Production in the first year of the
16.4% 11.9% 100 100
reserves incorporated
Capex 2.5 MM USD 2.5 MM USD 0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Total reserves incorporated 6 TCF 25 MM BBL
Years
Unconventional assumptions
EUR (y30) Producción (bbl/día) Produccion acumulada (kbbl)
12,9 BCF 631 kbbl
EUR total (y30) 2388 kboe 820 kboe Overall unconventional gas production profile.
1 m3 oil per 0.35 400
Condensed -
Overall unconventional production profile Profile of 30% of the best shale gas horizontal wells
o EURy30 = 366 Million m3 gas (12.9 BCF). 0.35
Year 1: 20% EUR. Decline:
o Total EUR = 2,388 kboe 0.30
o Year 2: -48%.
0.25
o Capex = 12.2 MM USD + 15% of facilities. o Year 3: -29%,
MM m3/day
0.20
o Year 4: -21%,
o Opex = 5.9 USD/boe (1 USD/MMBTU) o Year 5: -16%
0.15 o Keep falling until 5%
o IP 30: 0.33 MM m3/d gas
0.10
o Condensed: 1 m3 de oil per 28,000 m3 of gas 0.05
o Horizontal well with 33 fracture stages, 250 tons of sand per 0.00
fracture 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52
Months
o 40 perforation´s days
Perfil tipo Histórico Horizontales
Break-even: 4 USD/MMBTU
Secretaría de Gobierno
Main assumptions about Oil production de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Production (bbl/day)
• P1ND (100%) + P2 (50%) + P3 (10%): 500 500
o The production in the first year is 12% of the incorporated 100 100
reserves, then decline equal to developed reserves (-9%).
0 0
o Accumulated production per well: 28.6 mil m3 (180 kbbl) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Years
o Cost per well: 2 MM USD.
Producción (bbl/día) Produccion acumulada (kbbl)
Overall unconventional production profile Profile of 30% of the best shale oil horizontal wells
o EURy30 = 100.3 mil m3 oil (631 kbbl). 800
bbl/day
o Opex = 7 USD/boe o Year 4: -14%
400
o Nexts : -13%
o IP 30: 92 m3/d oil (579 bbl/dday) 300
100
o Horizontal well with 33 fracture stages, 250 tons of sand per
fracture 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52
o 40 perforation´s days Meses
Perfil tipo Histórico horizontales (GOR 150-300)
Break-even: 46.7 USD/BBL
Emissions
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
77 MMtCO2e
• Our estimations would lead the energy
Power generation 42 MMtCO2e
sector to 56% in the case of fulfilling the
39 MMtCO2e
Fugitive emissions 30 MMtCO2e unconditional commitment and 73% of the
conditional commitment.
2018 2030
Notes: Estimation methodology using the IPCC 2006 methodology with the emission factors of the BUR of the Argentine Republic to the UNFCCC.
Assumptions for vehicle fleet
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
• Annual gasoil consumption per truck: 10.2 m3 • Annual gasoil consumption per bus: 33 m3 • Annual gasoline consumption per car: 1.53 m3
• Annual LNG consumption per truck: 8 tn • Annual CNG consumption per bus: 34 thousand • Annual GNC consumption per car: 1.38 thousand
m3 m3
• Fleet growth in trucks fleet: 2% (a.a,)
• Fleet growth in buses fleet: 2% (a.a.) • Fleet growth in vehicle fleet: 3.8% (a.a.)
• Initial pleet 2017 (ADEFA): 680 thousand.
• Initial fleet 2017 (MINTRAN): 20 thousand. • Initial fleet 2017 (ADEFA): 9.4 million
• Effective cutting biodiesel 2030: 16%
• Effective biodiesel cutting: 20% • Effective cut bioethanol: 22%
200
• Due to the substitution of liquid fossil fuels, it is
possible to save 0.85 million tCO2e of GHG in 2025 150
and 0.57 million in the year 2030. 100
50
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
5%
0%
%
%
%
10 %
%
%
45
35
55
70
15
0
40
85
30
50
10
60
80
90
25
75
20
65
95
Share of Biofuel
Notes: 1) Includes private cars, taxis or similar and SUVs..
Natural gas liquefaction plant analysis
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
• Gradual incorporation: 40 MMm3/d in 2023, 80 MMm3/d in 2024 and 120 MMm3/d in 2025.
• The cost of liquefaction ranges between USD 2.5 / MMBTU and USD 3.6 / MMBTU, depending on the price of gas
in PIST (for each USD that increases local gas, the cost of liquefaction increases 0.1 USD).
Gas price at the wellhead that makes the project viable Plant assumptions:
16 • Capacity per train: 5 MMmtpa (20 MMm3/d)
• Number of trains: 6
14
• Total capacity: 30 Mmmtpa (120 MMm3/d)
LNG USD/MMBTU in Asia
MW
2,000 1,838 1,839
1,705
1,515
1,500 1,378 1,341
203MUSD 1,192 1,154
1,000 845
500
127
28
-
11
20
13
15
22
16
19
24
27
28
10
8
12
14
17
18
21
23
25
26
29
9
30
0
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
5 BUSD 46 BUSD
5.000 MMUSD Estimated value 2017 – 2018 Estimated value 2019 – 2030
Investment 2017 – 2018 (MMUSD) Investment dates are based on project commissions
Secretaría de Gobierno
Gas Distribution de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
Investments (MMUSD)
Centro
250 70 34 48
CAMUZZI GAS PAMPEANA S.A. Región Buenos
33 Aires, La Pampa
30
CAMUZZI GAS PAMEPANA S.A. 200 21 CAMUZZI GAS DEL SUR S.A. Región: Patagonia
17
114
15 107 METROGAS S.A. Región: AMBA
12 104
150
20 112
GASNEA S.A. Región Noreste
14 18 16 17 16
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Investments (MMUSD)
11 Substation 37 Substation 6 TRANSCO
4 4 4
80 4 4 4
9 4 TRANSNOA
8
8 7
7 TRANSNEA
20 43 42 40 42 38
TRANSPA
2312 km
1702 MVA -
21 Substation 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
700
600
347
176
Investments (MMUSD)
500 198
157
300
200 429
400 397 398
319
100
-
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
TRANSMISSION
SUBESTACIONES SUBSTATIONS
ALTA TENSIÓN / MEDIA TENSIÓN ALIMENTADORES
SUBSTATION DE MEDIA TENSIÓN
FEEDERS
200
60 181
53 Forecast 180
166
50 49
50 160 151 151
46 45
39
140
123 Forecast
40
120
31
43 36 100
30 85
41 25 76
40 40 80 70 74
67
36
20 60 51 49
30
36
25 40 30
10 20
20
10 9 13 6
6 5 3
0 1 0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
N° N° SSEE> >100%
de SSEE 100% capacity
de su capacidad N°SSEE
N° de SSEE between
entre 70%deand
70% y 100% 100 % capacity
su capacidad N°N°defeeders with demandde
alim c/restriccion restriction
demanda N°N°defeeders
alim enwith warning alarms
alarma
CENTROS DE TRANSFORMACIÓN
DISTRIBUTION MEDIA TENSIÓN / BAJA
SUBSTATIONS EDENOR MAXIMUM
EVOLUCIÓN DEMAND
DE LA DEMANDA FORECAST
MÁXIMA DE EDENOR
MW
TENSIÓN
6000
1800
1.634
1600 5500
1400
1.267 Forecast 5000
1200 1.129
1.063
1.005 997
1000 881 4500
426 421
400 3500
200
3000
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
2500
CCTTdesde
CCTT since160
160 kVA con
withFC
FCmayor
> 1,10 a 1,10 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Secretaría de Gobierno
Entrance of main generation projects de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
GLOBAL
Coal
Renewables
Hydroelectricity
Nuclear energy
Natural gas
BY REGION Oil
Secretaría de Gobierno
Global energy context - Production, demand and reserves de Energía
Secretaría de Planeamiento Energético
OIL
GAS