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9 Sunday 17 Jan 2021

65 F
Contents
Attendance
start recording
Assignments S
Project
Formulation Problem
Conditional Pay off Tables Introduction
Assignments By Sara

1 2 3
Supply 360
4 2 1
1 90 Demand 320
IDemand Supply
3 2
2 120 ooo Add Warehouse

column
3 I 5
g 150
solved problem
100 130 90 Basic Feasible
I 2 3 4
4 2 I t 0
Not optimal
I
90
go
sell 3
3 1 2 4 0
AVI 90
z 120
10 110
NICE 1080 6190
3 I t 5 O
3 150 1080 540
20 90 40
40
100 130 90 40 1080
4
I 2 3
2 I t 0
Not optimal
I
90
go
sell 3
3 1 2 4 0
AVI 90
z 120
10 110
NTC 1080 6190
3 I t 5 O
g 150 1080 540
20 90 40
40
100 130 90 40 1080

4
I 2 3
If 2 I 0
I go Notoptimal
90 se Kid
3 2 4 t O
AV ZERO
2 120
too 20
NTC 540
3 I t 5 O
g 150
110 ZERO 40
100 130 90 40 540

4
I 2 3
2 I 0
Not optimal
I
90
go
so 12,4
3 2 4 O t AV 20
2 120
100 20 ZERO
NTC 540 l Zo
3 I 1 5 O
g 150 520
110 40
100 130 90 40 540
4
I 2 3
2 I O
90 Optimal
90
3 2 4 O
2 120
100 ZERO ZO
3 I 5 0
g 150
130 20

100 130 90 40 520


OR-Notes of Formulation Problems
Examples
J E Beasley
OR-Notes are a series of introductory notes on topics that fall under the broad heading of the field of
operations research (OR). They were originally used by me in an introductory OR course I give at Imperial
College. They are now available for use by any students and teachers interested in OR subject to the
following conditions.

A full list of the topics available in OR-Notes can be found here.

Linear programming - formulation

You will recall from the Two Mines example that the conditions for a mathematical model to be a linear
program (LP) were:

all variables continuous (i.e. can take fractional values)


a single objective (minimise or maximise)
the objective and constraints are linear i.e. any term is either a constant or a constant multiplied by an
unknown.

LP's are important - this is because:

many practical problems can be formulated as LP's


there exists an algorithm (called the simplex algorithm) which enables us to solve LP's numerically
relatively easily.

We will return later to the simplex algorithm for solving LP's but for the moment we will concentrate upon
formulating LP's.

Some of the major application areas to which LP can be applied are:

Blending
Production planning
Oil refinery management
Distribution
Financial and economic planning
Manpower planning
Blast furnace burdening
Farm planning

We consider below some specific examples of the types of problem that can be formulated as LP's. Note here
that the key to formulating LP's is practice. However a useful hint is that common objectives for LP's are
minimise cost/maximise profit.
Financial planning

A bank makes four kinds of loans to its personal customers and these loans yield the following annual
interest rates to the bank:

First mortgage 14%


Second mortgage 20%
Home improvement 20%
Personal overdraft 10%

The bank has a maximum foreseeable lending capability of £250 million and is further constrained by the
policies:

1. first mortgages must be at least 55% of all mortgages issued and at least 25% of all loans issued (in £
terms)
2. second mortgages cannot exceed 25% of all loans issued (in £ terms)
3. to avoid public displeasure and the introduction of a new windfall tax the average interest rate on all
loans must not exceed 15%.

Formulate the bank's loan problem as an LP so as to maximise interest income whilst satisfying the policy
limitations.

Note here that these policy conditions, whilst potentially limiting the profit that the bank can make, also limit
its exposure to risk in a particular area. It is a fundamental principle of risk reduction that risk is reduced by
spreading money (appropriately) across different areas.

Financial planning solution

We follow the same approach as for the Two Mines example - namely

variables
constraints
objective.

Note here that as in all formulation exercises we are translating a verbal description of the problem
into an equivalent mathematical description.

A useful tip when formulating LP's is to express the variables, constraints and objective in words before
attempting to express them in mathematics.

Variables

Essentially we are interested in the amount (in £) the bank has loaned to customers in each of the four
different areas (not in the actual number of such loans). Hence let

xi = amount loaned in area i in £m (where i=1 corresponds to first mortgages, i=2 to second mortgages etc)

and note that xi >= 0 (i=1,2,3,4).


Note here that it is conventional in LP's to have all variables >= 0. Any variable (X, say) which can be
positive or negative can be written as X1-X2 (the difference of two new variables) where X1 >= 0 and X2 >=
0.

Constraints

(a) limit on amount lent

x1 + x2 + x3 + x4 <= 250

Note here the use of <= rather than = (following the general rule we put forward in the Two Mines problem,
namely given a choice between an equality and an inequality choose the inequality (as this allows for more
flexibility in optimising the objective function)).

(b) policy condition 1

x1 >= 0.55(x1 + x2)

i.e. first mortgages >= 0.55(total mortgage lending) and also

x1 >= 0.25(x1 + x2 + x3 + x4)

i.e. first mortgages >= 0.25(total loans)

(c) policy condition 2

x2 <= 0.25(x1 + x2 + x3 + x4)

(d) policy condition 3 - we know that the total annual interest is 0.14x1 + 0.20x2 + 0.20x3 + 0.10x4 on total
loans of (x1 + x2 + x3 + x4). Hence the constraint relating to policy condition (3) is

0.14x1 + 0.20x2 + 0.20x3 + 0.10x4 <= 0.15(x1 + x2 + x3 + x4)

Note: whilst many of the constraints given above could be simplified by collecting together terms this is not
strictly necessary until we come to solve the problem numerically and does tend to obscure the meaning of
the constraints.

Objective

To maximise interest income (which is given above) i.e.

maximise 0.14x1 + 0.20x2 + 0.20x3 + 0.10x4

In case you are interested the optimal solution to this LP (solved using the package as dealt with later) is x1=
208.33, x2=41.67 and x3=x4=0. Note here this this optimal solution is not unique - other variable values, e.g.
x1= 62.50, x2=0, x3=100 and x4=87.50 also satisfy all the constraints and have exactly the same (maximum)
solution value of 37.5
Blending problem

Consider the example of a manufacturer of animal feed who is producing feed mix for dairy cattle. In our
simple example the feed mix contains two active ingredients and a filler to provide bulk. One kg of feed mix
must contain a minimum quantity of each of four nutrients as below:
Nutrient A B C D
gram 90 50 20 2

The ingredients have the following nutrient values and cost


A B C D Cost/kg
Ingredient 1 (gram/kg) 100 80 40 10 40
Ingredient 2 (gram/kg) 200 150 20 - 60

What should be the amounts of active ingredients and filler in one kg of feed mix?

Blending problem solution

Variables

In order to solve this problem it is best to think in terms of one kilogram of feed mix. That kilogram is made
up of three parts - ingredient 1, ingredient 2 and filler so let:

x1 = amount (kg) of ingredient 1 in one kg of feed mix


x2 = amount (kg) of ingredient 2 in one kg of feed mix
x3 = amount (kg) of filler in one kg of feed mix
where x1 >= 0, x2 >= 0 and x3 >= 0.

Essentially these variables (x1, x2 and x3) can be thought of as the recipe telling us how to make up one
kilogram of feed mix.

Constraints

nutrient constraints

100x1 + 200x2 >= 90 (nutrient A)


80x1 + 150x2 >= 50 (nutrient B)
40x1 + 20x2 >= 20 (nutrient C)
10x1 >= 2 (nutrient D)

Note the use of an inequality rather than an equality in these constraints, following the rule we put forward
in the Two Mines example, where we assume that the nutrient levels we want are lower limits on the amount
of nutrient in one kg of feed mix.

balancing constraint (an implicit constraint due to the definition of the variables)
x1 + x2 + x3 = 1

Objective

Presumably to minimise cost, i.e.

minimise 40x1 + 60x2

which gives us our complete LP model for the blending problem.

In case you are interested the optimal solution to this LP (solved using the package as dealt with later) is x1=
0.3667, x2=0.2667 and x3=0.3667 to four decimal places.

Obvious extensions/uses for this LP model include:

increasing the number of nutrients considered


increasing the number of possible ingredients considered - more ingredients can never increase the
overall cost (other things being unchanged), and may lead to a decrease in overall cost
placing both upper and lower limits on nutrients
dealing with cost changes
dealing with supply difficulties
filler cost

Blending problems of this type were, in fact, some of the earliest applications of LP (for human nutrition
during rationing) and are still widely used in the production of animal feedstuffs.

Production planning problem

A company manufactures four variants of the same product and in the final part of the manufacturing process
there are assembly, polishing and packing operations. For each variant the time required for these operations
is shown below (in minutes) as is the profit per unit sold.
Assembly Polish Pack Profit (£)
Variant 1 2 3 2 1.50
2 4 2 3 2.50
3 3 3 2 3.00
4 7 4 5 4.50

Given the current state of the labour force the company estimate that, each year, they have 100000
minutes of assembly time, 50000 minutes of polishing time and 60000 minutes of packing time
available. How many of each variant should the company make per year and what is the associated
profit?
Suppose now that the company is free to decide how much time to devote to each of the three
operations (assembly, polishing and packing) within the total allowable time of 210000 (= 100000 +
50000 + 60000) minutes. How many of each variant should the company make per year and what is
the associated profit?

Production planning solution


Variables

Let:

xi be the number of units of variant i (i=1,2,3,4) made per year


Tass be the number of minutes used in assembly per year
Tpol be the number of minutes used in polishing per year
Tpac be the number of minutes used in packing per year

where xi >= 0 i=1,2,3,4 and Tass, Tpol, Tpac >= 0

Constraints

(a) operation time definition

Tass = 2x1 + 4x2 + 3x3 + 7x4 (assembly)


Tpol = 3x1 + 2x2 + 3x3 + 4x4 (polish)
Tpac = 2x1 + 3x2 + 2x3 + 5x4 (pack)

(b) operation time limits

The operation time limits depend upon the situation being considered. In the first situation, where the
maximum time that can be spent on each operation is specified, we simply have:

Tass <= 100000 (assembly)


Tpol <= 50000 (polish)
Tpac <= 60000 (pack)

In the second situation, where the only limitation is on the total time spent on all operations, we simply have:

Tass + Tpol + Tpac <= 210000 (total time)

Objective

Presumably to maximise profit - hence we have

maximise 1.5x1 + 2.5x2 + 3.0x3 + 4.5x4

which gives us the complete formulation of the problem.

We shall solve this particular problem later in the course.

Factory planning problem

Under normal working conditions a factory produces up to 100 units of a certain product in each of four
consecutive time periods at costs which vary from period to period as shown in the table below.

Additional units can be produced by overtime working. The maximum quantity and costs are shown in the
table below, together with the forecast demands for the product in each of the four time periods.
Time Demand Normal Overtime Overtime
Period (units) Production Production Production
Costs Capacity Cost
(£K/unit) (units) (£K/unit)
1 130 6 60 8
2 80 4 65 6
3 125 8 70 10
4 195 9 60 11

It is possible to hold up to 70 units of product in store from one period to the next at a cost of £1.5K per unit
per period. (This figure of £1.5K per unit per period is known as a stock-holding cost and represents the fact
that we are incurring costs associated with the storage of stock).

It is required to determine the production and storage schedule which will meet the stated demands over the
four time periods at minimum cost given that at the start of period 1 we have 15 units in stock. Formulate
this problem as an LP.

Factory planning solution

Variables

The decisions that need to be made relate to the amount to produce in normal/overtime working each period.
Hence let:

xt = number of units produced by normal working in period t (t=1,2,3,4), where xt >= 0


yt = number of units produced by overtime working in period t (t=1,2,3,4) where yt >= 0

In fact, for this problem, we also need to decide how much stock we carry over from one period to the next
so let:

It = number of units in stock at the end of period t (t=0,1,2,3,4)

Constraints

production limits

xt <= 100 t=1,2,3,4

y1 <= 60
y2 <= 65
y3 <= 70
y4 <= 60

limit on space for stock carried over


It <= 70 t=1,2,3,4

we have an inventory continuity equation of the form

closing stock = opening stock + production - demand

then assuming

opening stock in period t = closing stock in period t-1 and


that production in period t is available to meet demand in period t

we have that

I1 = I0 + (x1 + y1) - 130


I2 = I1 + (x2 + y2) - 80
I3 = I2 + (x3 + y3) - 125
I4 = I3 + (x4 + y4) - 195

where I0 = 15

Note here that inventory continuity equations of the type shown above are common in production planning
problems involving more than one time period. Essentially the inventory variables (It) and the inventory
continuity equations link together the time periods being considered and represent a physical accounting for
stock.

demand must always be met - i.e. no "stock-outs". This is equivalent to saying that the opening stock
in period t plus the production in period t must be greater than (or equal to) the demand in period t, i.e.

I0 + (x1 + y1) >= 130


I1 + (x2 + y2) >= 80
I2 + (x3 + y3) >= 125
I3 + (x4 + y4) >= 195

However these equations can be viewed in another way. Considering the inventory continuity equations we
have that the above equations which ensure that demand is always met can be rewritten as:

I1 >= 0
I2 >= 0
I3 >= 0
I4 >= 0

Objective

To minimise cost - which consists of the cost of ordinary working plus the cost of overtime working plus the
cost of carrying stock over (1.5K per unit). Hence the objective is:

minimise
(6x1 + 4x2 + 8x3 + 9x4) + (8y1 + 6y2 + 10y3 + 11y4) + (1.5I0 + 1.5I1 + 1.5I2 + 1.5I3 + 1.5I4)

Note here that we have assumed that if we get an answer involving fractional variable values this is
acceptable (since the number of units required each period is reasonably large this should not cause too
many problems).

In case you are interested the optimal solution to this LP (solved using the package as dealt with later) is
x1=x2=x3=x4=100; y1=15, y2=50, y3=0 and y4=50; I0=15, I1=0, I2=70, I3=45 and I4=0 with the minimal
objective function value being 3865

Note:

As discussed above assuming It >= 0 t=1,2,3,4 means "no stock-outs" i.e. we need a production plan in
which sufficient is produced to ensure that demand is always satisfied.
Allowing It (t=1,2,3,4) to be unrestricted (positive or negative) means that we may end up with a
production plan in which demand is unsatisfied in period t (It < 0). This unsatisfied demand will be
carried forward to the next period (when it will be satisfied if production is sufficient, carried forward
again otherwise).
If It is allowed to be negative then we need to amend the objective to ensure that we correctly account
for stock-holding costs (and possibly to account for stock-out costs).
If we get a physical loss of stock over time (e.g. due to damage, pilferage, etc) then this can be easily
accounted for. For example if we lose (on average) 2% of stock each period then multiply the right-
hand side of the inventory continuity equation by 0.98. If this is done then we often include a term in
the objective function to account financially for the loss of stock.
If production is not immediately available to meet customer demand then the appropriate time delay
can be easily incorporated into the inventory continuity equation. For example a 2 period time delay
for the problem dealt with above means replace (xt + yt) in the inventory continuity equation for It by
(xt-2 + yt-2).
In practice we would probably deal with the situation described above on a "rolling horizon" basis in
that we would get an initial production plan based on current data and then, after one time period
(say), we would update our LP and resolve to get a revised production plan. In other words even
though we plan for a specific time horizon, here 4 months, we would only even implement the plan for
the first month, so that we are always adjusting our 4 month plan to take account of future conditions
as our view of the future changes. We illustrate this below.
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P=plan
P P P P D=do (follow) the plan in a period
D P P P P
D P P P P
D P P P P

This rolling horizon approach would be preferable to carrying out the plan for 4 time periods and then
producing a new plan for the next 4 time periods, such as shown below.
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 P=plan
P P P P D=do (follow) the plan in a period
D D D D
P P P P
D D D D
Project submission Due
night before
Final

Introduction

Mathematical Model 8

objective function

ints
optional
Recommend tool for solution
att
A 1 Z
Xh
Z B X 21
X iz
X zz
3 C X31 Xs z

113 X4

Xs X6

Xl Xz Xz Xy Xs X6 30

Xl Xz Xz Xy Xs X6 I
i

f Xi E I j i s
1,2 6

Binary
Integer Mixed Integer
Conditional Pay off Tables

EXI conditional Pay off Ccpo

A bakery shop prepares cakes in the


early hours of each
day to meet the expected demand of the The day
cost of preparation is approximately 60 Pounds per cake
and sells for 120 Pounds during the working hours
Unsold cakes at the end of the cut packed and
day are

frozen The frozen products are then shipped to a


nearby supermarket and sold at 40 Pounds per full cake
The cost of cutting packing andfreezing is 2 Pounds per
cake and the shipping cost is 3 Pounds The expected
cost of losing a customer is estimated at 10 Pounds per
unit of shortage Demand expected
during the day is
10 12 14 or 16 units with propabilities of 10 30
20 and 40 respectively

How
many the baker prepare everyday
cakes should
such that the
pay off
is maximized
Pay off is conditional to supply and Demand

supply Quantity available at the beginning of each


time period
If Q D Surplus
Q L D Shortage

Net Profit Selling price dining the period


Cost of having a unit available at the

beginning of each period

cost of surplus unit Cost of


having a unit available
at the beginning of each
period
lost of getting rid of unsold
units
Selling price at the end of a

period

Cost of shortagelimit Lost opportunity


Unrealized net profit
expected cost of losing a

customer
Surplus Demand
Units sold
shortage Quantity available

Units in surplus Unsold units


Quantity available Demand

Units in Shortage Demand Quantity available

Total NetProfit lostottgairpius

conditional Pag o
sort
Total
9oz TotalNetProfit Cost ofShortage
age
Notation
C cost of making a unit available at the beginning
of period
a

P selling priceduring the period


i lost of getting rid of unsold units
e
Selling price at the end of the period
I expected cost of losing a customer
Q Quantity available at the beginning of a period
Demand receivedduring a period
to Propability of Demand

2 taking cost of shortage in consideration


0 otherwise
Supply Quantity Q

Demand D

Q D
Surplus
Q L D
Shortage
surplus
Pay off
shortage
Pay off Total Net Profit lost IQ f D

Cost of Cost of production


surplus g
Cost of getting rid of unsold
t
selling price at theend of period

selingfedndoft
Cost icostofgettingridofunsoldunits
Cost of shortage

lost 0 3
Net profit z
Price s

Q 6100
D 120

of it
Nghtraffe Yo If IbstopportunitD
Unrealized net profit
Pay off 200 40 1600
Actually cash in hand
y
200

Renate

Q
Assignment 6
Read the formulation problems in this lecture
No submission is required
The grade for assignment 6 will be posted
when I get Assignments

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