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  • Valuasi MYOR Dengan Metode DCF

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    Aqila Naufal
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    1) The document contains financial data for a company over multiple years, including net income, percentage change in net income, present and future values of an investment, equity value, share price, and margin of safety calculations under conservative, moderate, and aggressive scenarios. 2) Net income grew between 7-15% annually from 2015-2019, while the risk free rate was 12% and the average net income growth was 34%. 3) Equity value was 99 billion with 22 million total shares outstanding. Conservative fair value was estimated at 2,231 with a price of 2350, resulting in a negative margin of safety.

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    1) The document contains financial data for a company over multiple years, including net income, percentage change in net income, present and future values of an investment, equity value, share price, and margin of safety calculations under conservative, moderate, and aggressive scenarios. 2) Net income grew between 7-15% annually from 2015-2019, while the risk free rate was 12% and the average net income growth was 34%. 3) Equity value was 99 billion with 22 million total shares outstanding. Conservative fair value was estimated at 2,231 with a price of 2350, resulting in a negative margin of safety.

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    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    18 views7 pages

    Valuasi MYOR Dengan Metode DCF

    Uploaded by

    Aqila Naufal
    1) The document contains financial data for a company over multiple years, including net income, percentage change in net income, present and future values of an investment, equity value, share price, and margin of safety calculations under conservative, moderate, and aggressive scenarios. 2) Net income grew between 7-15% annually from 2015-2019, while the risk free rate was 12% and the average net income growth was 34%. 3) Equity value was 99 billion with 22 million total shares outstanding. Conservative fair value was estimated at 2,231 with a price of 2350, resulting in a negative margin of safety.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
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    of 7

    Kenaikan 7 7 7 7 7

    Tahun 1 2 3 4 5
    Nilai 100 100 100 100 100
    PV 93.45794393 87.34387283 81.62978769 76.2895212 71.29861795

    MYOR 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015


    Net Income 2,039.00 1,760.00 1,631.00 1,389.00 1,250.00
    % Change 15.85 7.91 17.42 11.12 204.88

    Risk Free Rate 12


    1 2 3 4 5
    Tahun 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
    FV 2,548.75 3,185.94 3,982.42 4,978.03 6,222.53
    PV 2,275.67 2,539.81 2,834.61 3,163.63 3,530.83

    Equity 9900 bill


    Total Share 22 mill

    KONDISI KONSERVATIF
    Fair Value 2,231

    Price 2350

    MOS (5.06)
    7 7 7 7 7
    6 7 8 9 10 Total
    100 100 100 100 100 1,000
    66.63422238 62.27497419 58.20091046 54.3933742584 50.8349292134718 702.358

    2014 2013 2012 Average Average Konservatif


    410.00 1,058.00 744.00
    (61.25) 42.20 34.02 25.00

    6 7 8 9 10
    2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
    7,778.17 9,722.71 12,153.39 15,191.73 18,989.67
    3,940.66 4,398.06 4,908.55 5,478.29 6,114.16 39,184
    Kenaikan 7 7 7 7 7 7
    Tahun 1 2 3 4 5 6
    Nilai 100 100 100 100 100 100
    PV 93.45794392523 87.34387 81.62979 76.28952 71.29862 66.63422

    MYOR 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014


    Net Income 2,039.00 1,760.00 1,631.00 1,389.00 1,250.00 410.00
    % Change 15.85 7.91 17.42 11.12 204.88 (61.25)

    Risk Free Rate 12


    1 2 3 4 5 6
    Tahun 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
    FV 2,650.70 3,445.91 4,479.68 5,823.59 7,570.66 9,841.86
    PV 2,366.70 2,747.06 3,188.55 3,701.00 4,295.80 4,986.19

    Equity 9900 bill


    Total Share 22 mill

    KONDISI MODERAT
    Fair Value 2,752

    Price 2350

    MOS 17.10
    7 7 7 7
    7 8 9 10 Total
    100 100 100 100 1,000
    62.27497 58.20091 54.393374 50.8349292134718 702.358

    2013 2012 Average Average Moderat


    1,058.00 744.00
    42.20 34.02 30.00

    7 8 9 10
    2026 2027 2028 2029
    12,794.42 16,632.75 21,622.57 28,109.35
    5,787.55 6,717.69 7,797.32 9,050.46 50,638
    Kenaikan 7 7 7 7
    Tahun 1 2 3 4
    Nilai 100 100 100 100
    PV 93.45794393 87.34387283 81.62978769 76.2895212

    MYOR 2019 2018 2017 2016


    Net Income 2,039.00 1,760.00 1,631.00 1,389.00
    % Change 15.85 7.91 17.42 11.12

    Risk Free Rate 12


    1 2 3 4
    Tahun 2020 2021 2022 2023
    FV 2,732.66 3,662.31 4,908.23 6,578.00
    PV 2,439.88 2,919.57 3,493.58 4,180.43

    Equity 9900 bill


    Total Share 22 mill

    KONDISI AGRESIF
    Fair Value 3,281

    Price 2350

    MOS 39.62
    7 7 7 7 7 7
    5 6 7 8 9 10
    100 100 100 100 100 100
    71.29861795 66.63422238 62.27497419 58.20091046 54.3933742584 50.83492921

    2015 2014 2013 2012 Average


    1,250.00 410.00 1,058.00 744.00
    204.88 (61.25) 42.20 34.02

    5 6 7 8 9 10
    2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
    8,815.82 11,814.95 15,834.37 21,221.20 28,440.61 38,116.06
    5,002.33 5,985.82 7,162.66 8,570.89 10,255.97 12,272.35
    Total
    1,000
    702.358

    62,283

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