Tutorial 7

1. How many years will it take a population to reach 20, 000 if its growth is modelled
by 2000 , if t is in years?
P(t )= −0. 12( t−50)
1+e

Solution:

2000
=20000
1+e−0 . 12( t−50 )

2000 = 20 000 (1 + e-0.12 (t - 50) )

2000
=1+e−0. 12( t−50 )
20000

0.1 = 1 + e-0.12 (t - 50)

-0.9 = e-0.12 (t - 50)

-0.9 = e-0.12 (t - 50)

-0.9 = e-0.12 t + 6

-0.9 = e-0.12 t e6

−0. 9 −0. 12 t
=e
e6

-0.002230877 = e-0.12 t

loge-0.002230877 = -0.12t

log−0.002230877
=−0.12t
log e

Log -0.002230877 = -0.12t (0.4343)

 Log -0.002230877 = -0.0521t

log−0 .002230877
t=
−0 . 0521

t = NaN

Thus, we can conclude that it is not possible for the population to reach 20 000.

Futhermore, the maximum capacity is 2000.

2. A population of 5,000 is exposed to a virus that spreads according to the logistic

5000
function P(t)= , given that t is in days. How many people will be
1+ 4999 e−0.8 t

infected after 2 weeks? How long does it take for the virus to infect 60% of the

population?

Solution:

5000
P(t)=
1+ 4999 e−0.8 t

If t = 4

5000
P(t)=
1+ 4999 e−0.8(14)

P(t)=4680.08

When t = 14 , P = 4680.08

So, 4680 people will be infected after 2 weeks.

60
×5000=3000
100

If p(t) = 3000
 5000
3000=
1+ 4999 e−0. 8 t

5
1+4999 e−(0.8)(t )=
3

5
4999 e−(0.8)(t )= −1
3

2
4999 e−(0.8)(t )=
3

2
e−(0. 8)(t )=
14997

2
−0.8 t=ln [¿ ]¿
14997

t=7.138

It take 7 days for the virus to infect 60% of the

population
3. A species of fish in a lake is modelled by a logistic population model with a relative
growth rate of k = 0.3 per year and carrying capacity of K = 10000.

(a) Write the differential equation describing the logistic population model for this

model.

Solution:

dP P
=kP (1− )
dt K

K
P=
1+ A e−kt

10 000
P=
1+ A e−0.3t

(b) If 2500 fish are initially introduced into the lake, find the logistic function P(t)

that models the number of fish in the lake after t years.

P0=2500

Find A;

K −Po
A=
Po

10000−2500
A=
2500

A ¿3

Then, logistic function P(t)

10 000
P(t)=
1+3 e−0.3 t
(c) Estimate the number of fish in the lake after 5 years. Graph the solution.

t=5

10 000
P(5)=
1+3 e−0.3 (5)

¿ 5990.21

10 000
P( 4)=
1+3 e−0.3(4 )

¿ 5253.25

10 000
P(3)=
1+3 e−0.3(3)

¿ 4505.09

10 000
P(2)=
1+ 3 e−0.3(2)

¿ 3778.67

10 000
P(1)=
1+ 3 e−0.3(1)

¿ 3103.22
 Number of Fish
7000

6000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6

(d) Estimate the time it will take for there to be 8000 fish in the lake.

10 000
8000=
1+3 e−0.3 (t)

10 000
1+3 e−0.3 (t )=
8000

1+3 e−0.3(t )=1.25

−0.3(t )
3e =1.25−1

3 e−0.3(t )=0.25

0.25
e−0.3(t) =
3

−0.3 (t)
e =0.0833

e−0.3(t) =e ln0.0833

−0.3 ( t )=−2.4849066502 t=8.28303316733 t ≈ 9