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LEXIBLE STR

$
F UCTURE
MANAGING

$
FINANCIAL RISK
by Simon Jegher
n my 10 years managing finance/trea- tions and investment bankers point to the fact

I
sury departments, I have spent consid- that, other than in financial institutions, a uni-
erable effort addressing the financial fied and comprehensive financial risk manage-
imperatives of two of Canada’s largest ment focus is likely an exception.
corporations: cash management, The objective of such a process is, first and
including banking and committed lines foremost, to address the key policies relating to
of credit; external financings, averaging financial risk exposures. For example, credit
$1 billion per year, in the global capital mar- ratings are too often seen as simply the fallout
kets; early calls of publicly held debt; deriva- of financial performance, not the result of poli-
tives; pension funds; debt rating agencies; and cies tailored to attaining a specific rating that
all the other associated functions that are the addresses a firm’s long-term capital require-
bread and butter of our daily corporate finance ments. A credit rating policy can set up other
lives. Yet, I always felt a need for a greater capital structure strategies and an appropriate
structure that would bring together these func- fixed/floating composition of the debt portfolio.
tions and the people who implement them—a Another objective of a unified process is to
flexible structure that would encourage the foster a consolidated perspective of financial
innovation required to create financial benefits risk—not only the risk to the company itself,
and shareholder value. but its subsidiaries and parent, where applica-
While on vacation two years ago on a peace- ble. Similarly, for companies with defined bene-
ful, somewhat remote, island off the west coast fit pension plans, the plan’s assets and liabilities
of Florida, I spent a few evenings churning out must also be incorporated into this consolidated
concepts, financial instruments, risks and func- perspective, recognizing that financial risks
tions as they randomly occurred to me. Before I affecting off-balance-sheet items can have signif-
knew it an entire wall was blanketed with yel- icant impacts on cash flows and net income.
low notes. The next few evenings were spent Finally, a comprehensive process brings to light
rearranging the ideas and concepts into a struc- the dynamics between disciplines, thus focusing
ture. While none of the parts of the process are various operating units on common objectives.
innovative on their own, my subsequent dis- For example, liquidity policy will affect the tim-
cussions with both Canadian and U.S. corpora- ing of capital market transactions just as foreign

JANUARY 1999 / RISK MANAGEMENT 29


A FLEXIBLE STRUCTURE

Portfolio and Exposure Management


RISK CATEGORY
-1-
Foreign Interest Counterparty/
Risk Liquidity
Exchange Rates Credit Exposure
Identification

-2-
Policy Development

•Short and Longer Term Business and Financial Plans


Risk
•Pension Fund Exposure
Quantification

Business Review Budgeting Forecasts: Cost of equity, asset cash flow matching, subsidiaries,
pension fund, business cycle correlation
-3-
Operating
Operating Environment: External financing requirements, tax (current and forecasted rate),
Environment economic and capital markets
Assessment
Rating Agencies: Rating outlook, debt capacity, view of financial instruments
FINANCIAL PROCESS

-4-
Development of Acceptable Risk Tolerances: e.g., budget variances, rating implication,
Risk cash flow variances, trust indenture
Tolerances
Communication
• Executive approval
-5- Development of Policies and Objectives Counterparty Policy
• credit rating • Board approval
Policies • Target credit rating
• institutions
& • Capital structure and dividend policy
• notional limits
Objectives • Duration and fixed-floating mix of debt • swap agreements

Portfolio Management Approach


Review and analyze risk reduction/elimination strategies and instruments
Strategy Implementation & Evaluation

Portfolio Software
• evaluation
• implementation

• caps
-6-
• commercial paper • floors
Strategy program • collars • fixed-floating ratio consolidated counter-
& • maturity distribution • forwards • duration party exposure model
Implementation • lines of credit • swaps
• etc.

• securities buyback
• interest rate hedging arbitrage • medium-term
• option monetization note program • swap agreements
• early calls efficiency
analysis

• Funds control, monitoring and processing


Controls:
-7- • Segregation of implementation and monitoring Communication
Risk • Board of Directors
• Audit Committee
Controls
• Financing Committee
& Monthly and Quarterly Capital Portfolio Reporting:
• CFO
Trust Indenture
Reporting • Rating Agencies
Dividend Certificate
• Subsidiaries
Economic/market developments, monitoring, reporting, sensitivity analysis

-8-
Performance
Development and Measurement of Benchmark Portfolio and Risks
Measurement
& Evaluation

exchange policy will affect the nature of deriva- management process is the identification of the
tive strategies. various risks.
Liquidity Risk—Even companies with a
Policy Development highly tuned focus on customer and sharehold-
The first step in creating an active financial er value can go bankrupt because they lack

30 RISK MANAGEMENT / JANUARY 1999


DOLLAR RISKS

short-term liquidity. Short- and longer-term any exposures that undoubtedly exist in the
cash forecasts, combined with worst-case busi- pension fund’s equity and debt portfolios.
ness and economic scenarios, are vital for the Given the publicity surrounding their occasion-
development of a corporate liquidity policy. In al abuse, the use of derivatives might be seen as
turn, this policy will drive ceiling short-term a hard sell to a board of directors. My experi-
debt levels, the size and term of committed ence has shown that boards are receptive to
bank lines of credit and the timing of fixed, derivative use if there is a clear objective of
long-term financings. restricting their use to managing, controlling
Foreign Exchange Risk—A question: Unless and reducing risk combined with appropriate
your company is a financial institution, why are internal controls and reporting.
you taking any foreign exchange risk at all?
Corporate risks should be taken in areas of the Quantification
company’s core expertise. However, analyzing Having identified the firm’s financial risks, the
your corporation’s FX exposure will raise some next step in the process is to quantify the dollar
interesting questions. What exposures are built risk associated with each of them. This requires
into the supply procurement process? If you a dynamic financial model that incorporates the
have a defined benefit pension fund, what is firm’s consolidated financials, long-term busi-
the potential impact of currency exposures? ness plans and off-balance-sheet items such as
While currency risk is integral to the pension pension fund assets and liabilities, leases,
fund’s investment diversification strategy, an derivatives in place and securitization transac-
FX gain or loss could impact the sponsor cor- tions such as the sale of receivables.
poration’s cash contributions to the pension Quantification will require a risk assessment
fund. These and other questions particular to based on various business and economic sce-
your firm’s operations will raise policy issues narios.
that might otherwise go unaddressed.
Interest Rate Risk—The key policy issue that Assessment
determines a firm’s interest rate risk is capital The next step in the process involves a thor-
structure. Thereafter, the primary measure of a ough assessment of the business and operating
company’s debt portfolio interest risk should be environment. For example, how is the firm’s
duration, which is driven by cash flows, as business correlated to the economic cycle? A
opposed to simply utilizing the average life of high correlation might imply that the firm is
the portfolio. Ideally, the duration of the debt capable of assuming higher interest rate risk,
portfolio should be equal to the duration of the assuming rates increase as the economy heats
firm’s assets—an objective that is difficult to up. Similarly, a firm whose markets are aggres-
apply to most companies unless they are finan- sively under attack and whose base technology
cial institutions. Having established a duration is undergoing rapid change should consider
policy, the key implementation decision is taking relatively lower financial risks. (While
determining a fixed/floating mix of debt that sat- this sounds obvious, too many firms groping to
isfies both liquidity and interest rate policies. At be competitive attempt to reduce financial costs
Bell Canada, we have assessed a number of the- by making short-term capital market bets.)
oretical, custom-designed studies, all of which Another aspect that requires assessment is the
point to an approximate 80 percent to 20 per- firm’s prospective view of its long-term debt
cent mix of fixed/floating debt as being the most credit ratings. This total environmental assess-
effective over the longer term. ment determines the appropriate level of finan-
Counterparty/Credit Exposure—A key cial risk.
advantage to derivatives as a risk management
tool is that they allow for the modulation of Risk Tolerance
duration without necessarily increasing liquidi- The level of risk tolerances that a corporation is
ty risk. The best example is borrowing prepared to accept should encompass the
long/fixed and swapping into floating. aggregate of all the identified financial risks and
Similarly, derivatives can be a cost-effective and is dependent on a number of factors. How
flexible vehicle for implementing a foreign much variance in budgeted earnings and cash
exchange policy. Their use, however, comes at flows is tolerable to management, the board
a price. Derivatives result in counterparty credit and the shareholders/capital markets? What
exposure which itself requires a clear policy will be the reaction of the rating agencies to dif-
and operating controls. This policy should ferent levels of earnings and cash flow volatili-
address credit criteria and specific credit limits ties? How much room for variance exists in the
on a consolidated corporate basis, including company’s debt trust indenture tests?

32 RISK MANAGEMENT / JANUARY 1999


These are just a few of the questions that directors. This role for the board is appropriate
will need to be answered in arriving at the and consistent with recent studies and recom-
next step: developing the core financial poli- mendations on the subject of corporate gover-
cies that make up the foundation of the pro- nance. In a study entitled “Where Were the
cess leading toward strategy development and Directors? Guidelines for Improved Corporate
implementation. Governance in Canada,” the Toronto Stock
(A point of clarification: The process should Exchange identified five stewardship responsi-
not be misinterpreted to imply that bilities for a board of directors. The proposed
$
finance/treasury should be a profit center. On
the contrary, the process is focused on hedging
versus speculation. Its operating philosophy is
to reduce both risk and cost. It does require
management to take certain views on market
movements; but doing nothing to develop risk
tolerance policies is in fact speculating with the
company’s current financial exposures.)

Implementation
Having developed a set of financial risk policies
approved by the board of directors, the next
step is implementation and assuring that poli-
cies are adhered to. The intellectual foundation
must be one of managing the entire lower right
hand side of the balance sheet as a single port-
folio that finances the corporation’s operations,
with the focus on cash flows generated from
both sides of the balance sheet.
Strategy implementation is the more familiar
of corporate financial operations and calls for a
financial risk management process specifically
addresses two of the five:

1. the identification of the principal risks of


the corporation’s business and ensuring the
implementation of appropriate systems to
manage these risks
2. ensuring the integrity of the corpora-
tion’s control and management information
systems

Thus, obtaining approval from the board of


directors with respect to adopting the suggested
risk management process should be consistent
with the board’s own view of its managing
responsibilities.
Similarly, communication should be integral
to the operational risk management control
process. The audience for this communication
varies in terms of both the information provid-
ed and the frequency of the reporting. From a
comprehensive array of tools. The key tool is corporate governance perspective, the key
the development, or purchase, of a financial audience is the board of directors or its audit
model for the corporation’s portfolio of out- committee. The implementation of a compre-
standing debt, preferred shares and equity. This hensive financial risk management process
model should be capable of dynamically simu- might also justify the creation of a finance com-
lating the impact of various scenarios on the mittee of the board.
portfolio and the various financial risks, thus Finally, I believe that the debt rating agen-
ensuring constant adherence to policy. It must cies should be apprised of these key financial
be capable of measuring counterparty exposure risk policies and the process in place to actively
and assessing the impact of various derivative manage and control them. The very fact that
strategies. My experience has shown that senior management and the board are taking
investment banking firms are in the best posi- ongoing interest in addressing the very risks
tion to assist in the development of this model. that are uppermost in the minds of the rating
Other vital tools in managing the capital agencies conveys a positive signal respecting
portfolio include both a commercial paper pro- the quality of the earnings and cash flows that
gram and a medium-term note program. The support the corporation’s outstanding debt and
key advantage of these vehicles is the flexibility interest obligations.
they provide in managing the duration of the
capital portfolio. Commercial paper can be an A Continuous Process
important tool in attaining a target floating debt Every process that strives for excellence is cir-
level and medium-term notes are perfectly suit- cular—after implementation, performance
ed to slotting in debt maturities in years where must be measured against the objectives origi-
room exists based on liquidity policy. This flex- nally defined and the entire process evaluated
ibility is further enhanced when combined with for continuous improvement. A corporation’s
interest or cross currency swaps. financial policies and the capital portfolio that
was the outcome of those policies must be
Communication reevaluated based on changing corporate objec-
In policy development, the decision-making tives combined with altered business and eco-
and approving body should be the board of nomic circumstances. RM
JANUARY 1999 / RISK MANAGEMENT 33

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