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The Key Elements
The Key Elements
The Key Elements
build redundancies like using two PC / Laptops connected to two
different ISPs and having trading accounts with at least two different
brokers.
Intraday charting software that accurately updates the minute charts is
a must which can either be provided by the broker on his platform or
purchased by the user from various stock charting vendors like for
example MetaStock (Licensed out by Viratech Software &
Communications India.
Risk Management
The expected return of any strategy depends upon
· Win-v/s- Lose probability
· Quantum of win v/s quantum of loss
For example, the probability of a trade being a winner in a long term
trend following strategy is fairly low often lower than 40%. But when a
trade does turn out to be a winner the quantum of return is multiple
times the summation of losing trades which are greater in number. For
example in a long term trend following the win % may be only 30% but
average profits from winning trades may be 50% while average losses
from losing trades may be 10%.
Hence the gain of 150% from three winning trades more than offsets the
loss of 70% from seven losing trades. This is a high return per winning
trade / low probability of win strategy.
The scalping strategy in our opinion is a high probability of win per trade/
low return per win trade strategy. In other words the probability of a
winning trade is as high as 60% as per Mr. Bharadwaj. But the gains are
limited to a maximum of Rs.10k per trade while losses are restricted to
Rs.5k per trade. Hence out of every 10 trades there will be 6 winners
netting 60k & 4 losers losing 20k netting a total of Rs40k.
More than the maths scalping requires a trader to be extremely
focussed like Arjuna during the trading day as well as have nerves of
steel. As Mr. Bharadwaj says in the presentation it is important to follow
the three rules of risk management
· Never let losses increase beyond Rs.2k -5k per trade.
· Take profits at predetermined levels
· Never let a profitable trade turn into a loser. Cut a winner at zero if it
starts turning against you.