UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No.

C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017

CONFIDENTIAL

PAGE 01 GENEVA 08117 01 OF 02 091439Z RELEASE IN FULL

ACTION RP-10

INFO LOG-00 AID-01 AMAD-01 CIAE-00 C-01 EB-01 EUR-01

HA-09 H-01 INRE-00 INR-01 10-19 LAB-04 L-03
ADS-00 NSAE-00 NSCE-00 OIC-02 OMB-01 PA-01 PM-02
PRS-01 P-01 SDEL-01 SIL-01 SNP-01 SP-01 SR-01
SS-01 STR-18 TRSE-00 T-01 USIE-00 /085W
6C1518 091440Z /38
O 091431Z OCT 92
FM USMISSION GENEVA
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4891
INFO DIA WASHDC//J21-6A/YUGO// IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY BELGRADE IMMEDIATE
AMCONSUL ZAGREB IMMEDIATE REVIEW AUTHORITY: Frank Perez, Senior
EURPO COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE Reviewer

CONFIDENTIAL SECTION 01 OF 02 GENEVA 08117

USVIENNA FOR USDEL CSCE

BRUSSELS ALSO FOR USEC
DEPARTMENT FOR RP - AMBASSADOR ZIMMERMANN

E.O. 12356: DECL:OADR

TAGS: AORC, PREL, PHUM, BK
SUBJECT: ALLEGED SERBO-CROAT CEASE-FIRE AGREEMENT;
- VANCE ON INTERNATIONAL OBSERVERS ON BORDERS

1. CONFIDENTIAL - ENTIRE TEXT.

CONFIDENTIAL

CONFIDENTIAL

PAGE 02 GENEVA 08117 01 OF 02 091439Z

2. RADOVAN KARADZIC TOLD U.S. REP 10/8 THAT AN
AGREEMENT ON A CEASE-FIRE HAD BEEN REACHED BETWEEN THE
KARADZIC SERBS AND BOSNIAN CROATS. HE SAID THE
AGREEMENT, WHICH WOULD GO INTO EFFECT IMMEDIATELY, WOULD
COVER ALL SERBO-CROAT LINES THROUGHOUT
BOSNIA-HERCEGOVINA. KARADZIC CAUTIONED THAT THE
AGREEMENT HAD NOT YET BEEN SIGNED BY THE TWO SIDES AND
THAT NEITHER SIDE HAS YET PUBLICLY ANNOUNCED IT.
KARADZIC ESTIMATED THAT TWO-THIRDS OF THE FRONT LINES
ARE BETWEEN SERBS AND CROATS, WHILE THE REMAINING
ONE-THIRD IS BETWEEN SERBS AND B-H GOVERNMENT FORCES.

3. IT IS UNCLEAR WHAT IMPACT THE RECENT EVENTS AROUND

BOSANSKI BROD WOULD HAVE ON THE AGREEMENT. KARADZIC
INDICATED TO THE U.S. REP THAT BOSANSKI BROD WOULD BE
USED AS A BARGAINING CHIP AGAINST FUTURE TERRITORIAL
ADJUSTMENTS.

UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017

4. IN A SEPARATE MEETING, ONE OF KARADZIC'S AIDES

CLAIMED THE AGREEMENT GOES INTO EFFECT IMMEDIATELY FOR
AN INITIAL PERIOD OF TEN DAYS DURING WHICH NEGOTIATIONS
BETWEEN THE TWO SIDES CONTINUE. HE ADDED THAT THE
AGREEMENT CALLS FOR THE CROATS TO RESTORE ELECTRICITY
LINKS TO THE CITY OF BANJA LUKA AND OTHER SERB-HELD
REGIONS OF BOSNIA-HERCEGOVINA.

5. ALTHOUGH THE AGREEMENT DOES NOT RPT NOT INCLUDE THE

B-H GOVERNMENT AS THE THIRD PARTY IN B-H TALKS IN
GENEVA, THE AIDES BELIEVED THE MUSLIMS WOULD HAVE NO
CHOICE BUT TO GO ALONG. HE THEN ENGAGED IN WISHFUL
SPECULATING THAT THE SERBS AND CROATS MIGHT MOUNT A
CONFIDENTIAL

CONFIDENTIAL

PAGE 03 GENEVA 08117 01 OF 02 091439Z

JOINT CAMPAIGN AGAINST B-H GOVERNMENT FORCES IF THE
LATTER CONTINUED TO FIGHT.

6. WHEN ASKED IN A SEPARATE MEETING ABOUT THE ACCORD,

U.N. NEGOTIATOR CYRUS VANCE CONFIRMED THAT HE HAD BEEN
TOLD 10/8 BY KARADZIC THAT SUCH A SERBO-CROAT AGREEMENT
HAD BEEN REACHED, BUT HE HAD NOT BEEN GIVEN DETAILS.
VANCE, OF COURSE, HAS STEADFASTLY RESISTED ENCOURAGING
TWO SIDES TO REACH AGREEMENTS AT THE EXPENSE OF A
THIRD. IN THIS CASE, AS WELL, HE SAID THE AGREEMENT, IF
IT EXISTS AND IF IT HOLDS, CAN NOT RPT NOT BE CONSIDERED
AS BEING UNDER THE AUSPICES OF THE GENEVA TALKS ON
FORMER YUGOSLAVIA.

7. ON OTHER MATTERS, WE ASKED VANCE FOR HIS THOUGHTS

ABOUT STATIONING INTERNATIONAL OBSERVERS ON SERBIA'S
BORDERS (DERIVED FROM AN EARLIER PANIC PROPOSAL). HE
REPLIED THAT THIS OFFER IS NOT RPT "NOT ATTRACTIVE"
BECAUSE OF THE ENORMOUS EXPENSE INVOLVED. HOWEVER, HE
AGREED TO RECONSIDER IT IF THE DEPARTMENT BELIEVES IT
SHOULD BE PURSUED. IN TANDEM WITH THIS, HE SAID HE WAS
WORKING ON THE PANIC PROPOSAL TO STATION OBSERVERS AT
AIRFIELDS IN SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO, AND BELIEVED THAT
U.S. AWACS CAPABILITIES SHOULD BE LINKED WITH THIS. THE
FOLLOWING DAY (10/9), U.S. REP DISCUSSED WITH AMB.
HERBERT OKUN, VANCE'S ASSISTANT, RESULTS OF RECENT NATO
MEETINGS ON THE SUBJECT OF AWACS CAPABILITIES OVER B-H.

8. OKUN PROVIDED A MAP OF A SUPPLY ROUTE WHICH UNPROFOR

USES FROM BELGRADE THROUGH SERBIA INTO EASTERN BOSNIA TO
DELIVER SUPPLIES TO SARAJEVO. OKUN SAID THIS WOULD BE
CONFIDENTIAL

CONFIDENTIAL

UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017

PAGE 04 GENEVA 08117 01 OF 02 091439Z

RECOMMENDED TO UNHCR AS AN ADDITIONAL VENUE FOR
DELIVERING HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE. ASKED ABOUT
KARADZIC'S OPINION OF THIS IDEA, VANCE HAD SAID IT HAD
NOT BEEN DISCUSSED WITH KARADZIC BUT THAT PRESUMABLY
THERE WOULD BE NO BOSNIAN SERB OBJECTION SINCE THE ROUTE
GOES THROUGH SERB-HELD TERRITORY, INCLUDING KARADZIC
HEADQUARTERS AT PALE. (PRECISE ROUTING IS BELGRADE -
SABAC - LOZNICA - ZVORNIK - VLASENICA - PALE -
SARAJEVO. WE WILL FAX A COPY OF THIS MAP TO EUR/EE.)

CONFIDENTIAL

NNNN

CONFIDENTIAL

PAGE 01 GENEVA 08117 02 OF 02 091439Z

ACTION RP-10

INFO LOG-00 AID-01 AMAD-01 CIAE-00 C-01 EB-01 EUR-01

HA-09 H-01 INRE-00 INR-01 10-19 LAB-04 L-03
ADS-00 NSAE-00 NSCE-00 OIC-02 OMB-01 PA-01 PM-02
PRS-01 P-01 SDEL-01 SIL-01 SNP-01 SP-01 SR-01
SS-01 STR-18 TRSE-00 T-01 USIE-00 /085W
6C1529 091440Z /38
O 091431Z OCT 92
FM USMISSION GENEVA
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4892
INFO DIA WASHDC//J21-6A/YUGO// IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY BELGRADE IMMEDIATE
AMCONSUL ZAGREB IMMEDIATE
EURPO COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE

CONFIDENTIAL SECTION 02 OF 02 GENEVA 08117

USVIENNA FOR USDEL CSCE

BRUSSELS ALSO FOR USEC
DEPARTMENT FOR RP - AMBASSADOR ZIMMERMANN

E.O. 12356: DECL:OADR

TAGS: AORC, PREL, PHUM, BK
SUBJECT: ALLEGED SERBO-CROAT CEASE-FIRE AGREEMENT;

UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017

CONFIDENTIAL

CONFIDENTIAL

PAGE 02 GENEVA 08117 02 OF 02 091439Z

9. VANCE ALSO REVEALED THAT HE HAS RECEIVED A LETTER
FROM MACEDONIAN PRESIDENT KIRO GLIGOROV IN WHICH
GLIGOROV PROPOSES A MEETING WITH VANCE/OWEN IN GENEVA ON
OCTOBER 15. WE WILL KEEP THE DEPARTMENT POSTED IF THIS
ACTUALLY OCCURS.

10. AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS MESSAGES, VANCE/OWEN TRAVEL

10/9 TO MOSCOW FOR MEETINGS WITH YEL'TSIN AND KOZYREV.
WHEN INFORMED THAT YEL'TSIN/KOZYREV MIGHT BE IN BISHKEK
THAT DAY, VANCE DID A QUICK TELEPHONIC CHECK AND WAS
TOLD THAT KOZYREV WOULD RETURN SATURDAY (10/10)
ESPECIALLY FOR THE MEETING WITH VANCE/OWEN, BUT THAT
YELTSIN PROBABLY WOULD NOT BE AVAILABLE.

11. VANCE BRISTLED WHEN ASKED AGAIN ABOUT A ROLE IN THE

GENEVA TALKS FOR UNHRC SPECIAL RAPPORTEUR TADEUSZ
MAZOWIECKI. (VANCE HAD RECEIVED MAZOWIECKI EARLIER THAT
SAME DAY. BY SEPTEL, MISSION WILL REPORT ON AMBASSADOR
ABRAM'S MEETINGS WITH MAZOWIECKI AND VANCE 10/8 ON THIS
SAME SUBJECT. WE BELIEVE A WORKABLE COMPROMISE HAS BEEN
WORKED OUT ON THIS.)

12. ACTION REQUESTED (PER PARA 5): WE WOULD APPRECIATE

FURTHER INSTRUCTIONS ON THE SUBJECT OF STATIONING
INTERNATIONAL OBSERVERS ON SERBIA'S BORDERS. VANCE
UNDERSTOOD OUR INTEREST IN HAVING THIS MECHANISM IN
PLACE NOT ONLY TO INTERDICT POSSIBLE ARMS SHIPMENTS AND
PARA-MILITARY CROSSINGS, BUT ALSO TO ASSIST IN
MONITORING/ENFORCING THE SANCTIONS REGIME. BUT HE
CLEARLY HAS DROPPED THIS IDEA FROM ACTIVE CONSIDERATION
DUE TO BUDGETARY FACTORS. PLEASE ADVISE IF -- AND HOW
CONFIDENTIAL

CONFIDENTIAL

PAGE 03 GENEVA 08117 02 OF 02 091439Z

-- WE SHOULD PURSUE THIS ISSUE. ABRAM##

CONFIDENTIAL

UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017
UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017

NNNN

UNCLASSIFIED U.S. Department of State Case No. F-2015-16745 Doc No. C06227338 Date: 04/26/2017