The Challenge of Continuous Failure The Development of Naturally Fault Tolerant Algorithms E. Chaput

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Future Simulation Concept

Enabler for Eco-Efficient Aircraft Design

Presented by:
Eric CHAPUT
Senior Manager, Multidisciplinary Methods
Flight-Physics Integration
Outline

Aviation Challenges & Vision

Integrated & Multidisciplinary Design

Future Simulation Concept - Cluster of Projects

Concluding Remarks
Aviation’s Ongoing Challenge
Meet Demand & Address Environment
Air travel is a strong growth market
World annual traffic (RPKs - trillions)
12
ICAO total traffic GMF 2007
10
8
Air traffic
6 will double
4 in the next
2 15 years
0
1972 1982 1992 2002 2012 2022

Environmental Impact
Land use
change and Aviation: only 2% of total
forestry man-made CO2 emissions
Low Fuel Burn Industry
Other
Aviation
2%
Low Emissions Levels
Low Noise levels Other transport

Electricity and
heating

Airbus continues to work on more fuel efficient and quieter jetliners.


Aviation’s Ongoing Challenge
Meet Demand & Address Environment
Air travel is a strong growth market
World annual traffic (RPKs - trillions)
12
ICAO total traffic GMF 2007
10
8
Air traffic
6 will double
4 in the next
2 15 years
0
1972 1982 1992 2002 2012 2022

Environmental Impact Average Fuel Consumption World Passenger Fleet


8
7
6 -37%
Low Fuel Burn 5
4
Low Emissions Levels 3
Low Noise levels 2
1
0
1987 1992 1997 2002 2007
Airbus continues to work on more fuel efficient and quieter jetliners.
Aviation’s Ongoing Challenge
Meet Demand & Address Environment
Air travel is a strong growth market
World annual traffic (RPKs - trillions)
12
ICAO total traffic GMF 2007
10
8
Air traffic
6 will double
4 in the next
2 15 years
0
1972 1982 1992 2002 2012 2022

Environmental Impact Relative Fuel Burn Per Seat


100

80
-70%
60
Low Fuel Burn
40
Low Emissions Levels 20

Low Noise levels 0


1960s 1980s today

Airbus continues to work on more fuel efficient and quieter jetliners.


Aviation’s Ongoing Challenge
Meet Demand & Address Environment
Air travel is a strong growth market
World annual traffic (RPKs - trillions)
12
ICAO total traffic GMF 2007
10
8
Air traffic
6 will double
4 in the next
2 15 years
0
1972 1982 1992 2002 2012 2022

Lateral Noise Level


Environmental Impact

Low Fuel Burn 75%


quieter
Low Emissions Levels
Low Noise levels
1960s 1980s today

Airbus continues to work on more fuel efficient and quieter jetliners.


A Business Troublemaker: Oil Price Soaring
Direct Operating Cost Sensitivity to Fuel Price
Brent Crude Oil Closing Price (July 1988 - Mar. 2008)
Capital cost
4$/USgal

Insurance

Cockpit crew Fuel cost

Landing fees

Navigation fees

Line Airframe
maintenance
Oil price hit 100 $/Barrel Jan 3rd 2008 ! maintenance
Engine
2.5$/USgal maintenance
+53 %
Capital cost

1.5$/USgal Fuel cost End May Amsterdam


Insurance Kerosene Spot Price
Capital cost Fuel cost Peaked at 4.17$/USgal
Cockpit crew
Airframe Landing fees Airframe
maintenance Navigation fees maintenance
Insurance Engine Engine
Line
Cockpit crew Line maintenance maintenance maintenance
Landing fees maintenance
Navigation fees +21 % DOC Change
Typical Long Range aircraft type
“Vision 2020” and Targets: ACARE*
Challenges & Associated Goals

Reduced passenger charges


Quality and Increased passenger choice
Affordability Transformed freight operations
Reduced time to market by 50%

Reduction of CO2 by 50%


Environment
Reduction of NOx by 80%
Reduce perceived external noise by 50%

Safety
Reduction of accidents rate by 80%
Drastic reduction in human error and its consequences
Efficiency of the 3X capacity increase
Air Transport 99% of flights within 15’ of schedule
System Less than 15’ in airport before short flights

Airborne - zero hazard from hostile action


Airport - zero access by unauthorized persons or products
Security Air navigation - No misuse. Safe control of hijacked aircraft

…addresses the full scope of customer expectations


*) ACARE – Advisory Council for Aerospace Research in Europe
R&T - Creating Partnerships That Matter
Objectives for 2020
Reduction of CO2 by 50%

Aircraft Manufacturers

?
Engine Manufacturers
?

Air Traffic
? Management
Flight Physics
50% Reduction in Fuel Consumption & CO2
Breakdown of CO2 Target:
20% Comes From Airframe
Vision 2020 relative to a
2000 standard Aircraft
system

Reduction of Aircraft Drag & Weight

Game Changer
Evolution of “Standard”
? Technologies Is Saturating.
Flight Physics Technology / Performance

Step Change in Performance


Future Aircraft
Through
A380 Breakthrough Technologies
A330
Integrated & Multi-disciplinary
Design
A320 Radical Increase in
Evolution
Simulation Capabilities
A300

Time
Rethinking Design Methodologies
Multi-Disciplinary Design
Integrated Optimum Aircraft - the Best Product for the Customers

Performance Flexible Aircraft


Design to Loads
Optimization

Optimum
Loads & Aeroelastics
Aircraft Design
Mission
Optimization

Structural Optimization Optimum Flight Control


Full Multi-Disciplinary Coupled Simulation is a Necessary Enabler
Integrated & Multi-disciplinary Design
Optimum Aircraft Design
Integrated Aerodynamics / Loads / Stress Process Fully Meeting
Handling Quality, Performance Design Requirements
Mission Optimized Aircraft
Multi-Objective Control Design (HQ - Loads - Performance)
Design of Flexible Aircraft

Develop Advanced Active/passive Loads & Aeroelastics Control


Load Protected Aircraft Concept
Active Aeroelasticity
Intelligent Sensor & Control Surface Layout

CFD / CSM
CFD / CSM Coupling Methods for Full Aircraft
Configuration Optimization
CFD-based Manoeuvre Loads / Gust Penetration
Computation
Future Simulation Concept
Fly the Virtual Aircraft
Achieve Fully Interdisciplinary Optimization (Aerodynamic Drag Minimization,
Weight Savings through Loads Management, …)

Objective
To Develop Airbus Aerodynamics and Flight Physics Into a
Full unsteady Navier-
Fully New Paradigm of Simulation. Stokes simulation of flow
Not Only Increase Throughput, but will Radically Change the
Design Process and the Role of the Engineer
Complex Modeling & Superior Algorithms
Critical Enabler for Design with New Technologies

Full Flight Simulation & Full Multi-Disciplinary Design Optimization Full CFD / CSM
Optimization

Speeding Up the Design Process Increase of Simulation Capability by up to a


Million Times Within the Next Decade
Enabler for More Optimized Design of Complete Aircraft
Future Simulation Concept
Radical Increase in Simulation Capabilities
Capacity:
Capacity: LES Available
Available
## of
of Overnight
Overnight Hardware
Hardware
Loads
Loads cases
cases run
run Capacity
Capacity [Flop/s]
[Flop/s]
Unsteady
RANS
102 18
1 Exa (10 )

103 RANS Low


Speed 15
1 Peta (10 )
104
RANS High
Speed
12
105 “Smart” use of HPC power: 1 Tera (10 )
• Algorithms
• Data mining
106 • Knowledge 9
1 Giga (10 )

1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Data Aero
Aero Real
Real time
time
CFD-based
CFD-based CFD-based
CFD-based
HS Set Optimisation
Optimisation CFD based
CFD based
LOADS
LOADS Full
Full MDO
MDO noise
noise
Design &
& CFD-CSM
CFD-CSM in
in flight
flight
&
& HQ
HQ simulation
simulation simulation
simulation
Capability
Capabilityachieved
achievedduring
duringone
onenight
nightbatch
batch
Future Simulation Concept
A Cluster of Projects
- Filton/Bristol C2A2S2E - Bremen/Braunschweig

Innovative overall Comprehensive


system for product solutions for most
design relevant aircraft
United
Change in “Engineer‘s applications
Kingdom
way of working“ Germany Technology integration
IT architecture impact Concentrated world
Powerful HPC center - Multi-Disciplinary Integration expertise
- FlowSimulator Software Powerful HPC center
Backbone
National Initiatives
France
Alongside Mosart - Toulouse/Paris

EU Project Activities Spain Parallel Simulation


Architecture
CFD Components
DOVRES - Getafe/Madrid
High Bandwidth Access
Virtual Reality for Design to Remote Computers
Field Programmable Powerful HPC center
Processors
CFD Specific Hardware

Four Centres With Common View to Achieve FuSim Objectives


Future Simulation Concept
Step change in Hardware & Software

Technology Steps 60
Effective TFLOPS 50 Tflops

50
Multi-core processors, dedicated CPUs

La w
40

’s
New packaging, lower energy consumption

ore
30

Mo
1Tflops
20
Grid computing, intelligent resource 10
1 Gflops Technology
Step
management 0 Moore’s Law

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010


New algorithms, more robust and stable
Intelligent simulation scenarios

C ²A ²S ²E
B r a u n s c h w e ig
F ilt o n

Network of HPC P a r is

CASE - Sun Blade Servers 6180 cores, 47 TFLOPs


CERFACS – IBM BlueGene/L 4096 cores, 13 TFLOPs
T o u lo u s e

CFMS - SWANS Data Center under definition M a d r id


B a r c e lo n a

Access to Top European HPC :


today Tier-1 BSC, TERATEC…
tomorrow Tier-0 PETAFLOPs Machines
Future Simulation Concept
C2A2S2E – Topics and Challenges
Topics
Common research / campus of universities, research establishments and industry
Research for “Physical modeling”, “Algorithms” and “Computer Technology”
Attraction point for international experts and guest researchers
Professional operation of hardware and virtual reality environment
Direct link to high performance computing centers in Germany/Europe
Continuous updates of hardware
Industrial application oriented use of capacities

Simulation challenges
Real-time simulation of the flight of a complete aircraft
Loads and stress for the airplane in the whole envelope
Digital prediction of “Flight Performance” and “Handling”
prior to first flight
Virtual certification prior to production
Future Simulation Concept
CFMS – Topics and Challenges
Topics
Geometry management, parameterization technology, CAD to CFD
Overall simulation system including hybrid meshing and flow control technologies
Framework, use of standards, data visualisation, knowledge management
Data and process modelling, management, representation, and exploitation
Optimisation techniques, algorithms and strategies
Emerging hardware technologies
Enhanced user interface Accuracy
1.E+06
1.E+05
User interface Automation
1.E+04
1.E+03

Simulation challenges Trust


1.E+02
1.E+01 Data management 2013

1.E+00 2010
Reduced product Today

development & operating cost


Speed Fluid simulation
Reduced time to market
Design for increased Link to other systems IT processing power

product complexity / optimisation


Future Simulation Concept
DOVRES – Topics and Challenges

Topics
Solver acceleration by new Hardware/Software integrated processor technology based
in FPGAs*
Solver acceleration by inter-processor network/communication technology
improvement in distributed memory parallel HPC machines
Solver accuracy and robustness optimisation by advanced numerical methods and
expert system development
Virtual reality environment development for design and post-processing

Simulation challenges
Exploration of new hardware/software integration architecture for improved
computation performance
Effective Expert Simulation System Set up
Optimised design in real time
Day-to-day Virtual Reality practical working environment
*) FPGA = Field Programmable Gate Arrays
Mosart
Mosart

Future Simulation Concept


MOSART – Topics and Challenges
Topics
Models connected to multi-disciplinary flow physics studies
Algorithms and software development adapted to Petaflop simulation
Massively parallel computing kernels
Parallel simulation architecture
Grid computing

Simulation challenges
Engineering Productivity improved thanks to High Performance Multi-Disciplinary &
Multi-Scale Simulation
New Software paradigms able to effectively benefit from Petaflops-class HPC
Demonstrator of frontier simulations: LES modelling, Adjoint techniques for numerical
design optimisation, Aeroelastic modelling.
Concluding Remarks
Airbus Future Simulation Concept

Integrated & Multi-disciplinary Design Process and Radical Increase in


Simulation Capabilities are Required to Meet Aviations Ongoing
Challenges

Future Simulation Concept is a Key Enabler for


Introduction of Breakthrough Technologies
Integrated and Multi-disciplinary Optimisation
Taking Benefit of Million Times Increase in Simulation Capabilities
Getting access to PETAFLOPs Capacity
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its content. This document shall not be reproduced or
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The statements made herein do not constitute an offer. They
are based on the mentioned assumptions and are expressed
in good faith. Where the supporting grounds for these
statements are not shown, AIRBUS S.A.S. will be pleased to
explain the basis thereof.
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